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金十整理:每日全球外汇、大宗商品市场要闻速递(6月16日)
news flash· 2025-06-16 07:31
5. 贝克休斯油服:美国石油和天然气钻机数量降至2021年11月以来的最低水平。美国石油钻机数量降至 2021年10月以来的最低水平。 美元/泰铢 1. 中国央行逆回购操作当日实现净投放682亿元。 2. 泰国商务部长:泰铢兑美元汇率在37至38之间的水平是适当的。 3. 欧洲央行副行长金多斯:欧美1.15对通胀目标而言并非重大阻碍。 金十整理:每日全球外汇、大宗商品市场要闻速递(6月16日) 外汇: 4. 欧洲央行管委内格尔:数据和预测表明欧洲央行的任务已经完成。欧洲央行最好保持灵活性。 大宗商品: 4. 在伊朗最近一轮袭击后,以色列关闭了其最大炼油厂的部分设施,导弹袭击导致以色列特拉维夫输油 管道破裂。 1. 柬埔寨警告禁止泰国农产品入境。 2. 韩国代理财政部长:将采取措施稳定食品价格。将延长油品税收减免至八月底。 3. 欧佩克秘书长:目前在供应或市场动态方面没有出现任何需要采取不必要措施的情况。 ...
整理:每日全球大宗商品市场要闻速递(6月11日)
news flash· 2025-06-11 06:21
Energy - The European Commission proposed the eighteenth round of sanctions against Russia, suggesting to lower the price cap on Russian oil from $60 per barrel to $45 per barrel [7] - Kazakhstan's Energy Ministry reported that oil exports to Germany via the Druzhba pipeline increased by 48% year-on-year from January to May, reaching 767,000 tons [7] - The EIA projected a decline in U.S. crude oil production next year, previously expected to reach a record high [7] - OPEC Secretary-General stated that global energy demand is expected to grow by 24% by 2050, exceeding 120 million barrels per day [7] Precious Metals and Mining - Zimbabwe's Minister of Mines announced that the country will ban the export of lithium concentrates starting in 2027, which is part of an initiative to encourage foreign mining companies to develop refining operations in Zimbabwe [3] Agriculture - The Euronext September wheat futures fell below €200 per ton due to ample global supply [4] - The Rostov region in Russia, affected by drought, declared a state of emergency [4] Trade Situation - A U.S. appeals court ruled that Trump's tariffs may continue to be in effect during the appeal process [5] - Reports indicate that the U.S. and Mexico are nearing an agreement on steel tariffs [8] - The World Bank warned that a further 10% increase in average U.S. tariffs could lead to a stagnation in global trade by the second half of 2025 [8] - The U.S. Department of Commerce's trade representative mentioned that a framework agreement has been reached between the U.S. and China [8]
银河期货每日早盘观察-20250610
Yin He Qi Huo· 2025-06-10 14:13
Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The international soybean market faces significant pressure from a bumper harvest, and the domestic soybean supply pressure is also obvious, with inventory increasing and prices under pressure [4]. - The price of sugar is expected to remain weak due to factors such as the potential increase in global sugar production in the 2025/26 season and sluggish global demand [7][9]. - The oil market is expected to oscillate in the short - term, and factors such as the production and inventory of Malaysian palm oil, the weather in the United States, and the purchase situation in China and India need to be monitored [19][20]. - Corn prices are expected to be relatively strong in the short - term in the spot market and show strong oscillations in the futures market, affected by factors such as domestic supply, weather, and policy expectations [28]. - The overall supply pressure of the pig market is still evident, and prices are expected to oscillate [34][35]. - The peanut market is weak, with low spot trading volume and expected increase in new - season planting area, and short - selling is recommended for the 10 - contract peanut [38][40]. - Egg prices in the near - month 07 contract are expected to be weak, while the far - month 8 and 9 contracts may rise if the supply situation improves [48][49]. - Apple futures prices are expected to oscillate slightly stronger in June, supported by low inventory and potential impacts on fruit setting [54][56]. - Cotton prices are expected to oscillate in the short - term and may decline in the medium - to - long - term, but the market is subject to the uncertainty of US policies [63][64]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Soybean/M粕类 External Market Conditions - CBOT soybean index fell 0.24% to 1043.75 cents per bushel, and CBOT soybean meal index rose 0.07% to 302 US dollars per short ton [2]. Important Information - The US soybean good - to - excellent rate was 68%, the planting rate was 90%, and the emergence rate was 75%. The export inspection volume in the week ending June 5, 2025, was 547,040 tons. The 2024/25 US soybean ending stocks were estimated at 351 million bushels [2]. - As of the week ending June 6, the actual soybean crushing volume of oil mills was 2.2446 million tons, the operating rate was 63.1%, the soybean inventory was 6.1029 million tons, and the soybean meal inventory was 382,500 tons [2]. Logic Analysis - The international soybean market has a significant bumper - harvest pressure, and the domestic soybean supply pressure is obvious, with inventory increasing and prices under pressure [4]. Trading Strategies - Unilateral: Wait and see. - Arbitrage: M11 - 1 positive spread. - Options: Sell the wide - straddle strategy [5]. Sugar External Market Conditions - ICE US sugar rose, with the main contract rising 0.21 (1.27%) to 16.70 cents per pound [6]. Important Information - The FAO sugar price index in May averaged 109.4 points, down 2.9 points (2.6%) month - on - month. The 24/25 sugar - crushing season in Guangdong had a cumulative sugar production of 654,500 tons, and the industrial inventory was 0 tons [7]. Logic Analysis - Raw sugar has been dragged down by the expected bumper harvest in Brazil and broken through the support level. The domestic sugar price is expected to remain weak due to factors such as the lag in summer stocking demand and the potential increase in processing sugar supply [9]. Trading Strategies - Unilateral: May remain weak in the short term. - Arbitrage: Wait and see. - Options: Sell the out - of - the - money ratio spread options [10][11][12]. Oilseeds and Oils External Market Conditions - The overnight CBOT US soybean oil main price decreased by 0.48% to 47.41 cents per pound, and the BMD Malaysian palm oil main price decreased by 0.15% to 3,919 ringgit per ton [14]. Important Information - Analysts' average forecasts for the 2024/25 US soybean ending stocks were 351 million bushels, and for the 2025/26 were 298 million bushels. As of June 8, 2025, the US soybean good - to - excellent rate was 68%, the planting rate was 90%, and the emergence rate was 75% [15][17]. - As of the week ending June 6, the national key - area palm oil commercial inventory was 372,600 tons, and the soybean oil commercial inventory was 812,700 tons [18]. Logic Analysis - The market expects the Malaysian palm oil to continue to increase production and accumulate inventory in May. India has lowered the crude palm oil tax rate, and the US weather is currently good but may turn dry in the future. The domestic soybean oil is in a stage of inventory accumulation, and the rapeseed oil supply - demand pattern remains unchanged [19]. Trading Strategies - Unilateral: Expected to oscillate in the short term. - Arbitrage: Wait and see. - Options: Wait and see [20][21][22]. Corn/Corn Starch External Market Changes - CBOT corn futures declined, with the main contract falling 2.1% to 433.5 cents per bushel [26]. Important Information - The CBOT corn futures fell due to good weather in the Midwest corn - producing areas and uncertain export prospects. The 2024/25 corn sales rate in Mato Grosso was 51.05%. The US corn good - to - excellent rate was 71%, the planting rate was 97%, and the emergence rate was 87% [27]. - On June 10, the purchase price at the northern port was 2,270 - 2,290 yuan per ton, and the corn price in the North China production area was strong [27]. Logic Analysis - The US corn planting has accelerated, and the weather is good, so the external - market corn price continues to decline. The domestic corn supply is relatively short, and the spot price is expected to be strong in the short term, while the futures price will show strong oscillations [28]. Trading Strategies - Unilateral: The external - market 07 - contract corn will oscillate at the bottom. Wait and see for the 07 - contract corn. - Arbitrage: Conduct oscillating operations on the corn - starch spread, and widen the spread when the price is low. Hold the long - corn and short - 07 - contract corn position. - Options: Those with spot positions can consider the strategy of selling call options when the price is high [31][32]. Pigs Relevant Information - The pig price showed a rebound trend. As of the week ending June 6, the 7 - kg piglet price was 481 yuan per head, and the 50 - kg sow price was 1,626 yuan per head. On June 9, the average wholesale price of pork in the national agricultural product market was 20.46 yuan per kilogram [34]. Logic Analysis - The supply pressure from the breeding side is still evident, and the overall price pressure is relatively significant due to the relatively high inventory [34]. Trading Strategies - Unilateral: Oscillate mainly. - Arbitrage: LH79 reverse spread. - Options: Sell the wide - straddle strategy [35][36]. Peanuts Important Information - The peanut prices in different regions were reported. The peanut oil price was strong, while the peanut meal sales were slow. As of June 5, 2025, the peanut inventory of domestic peanut oil sample enterprises was 144,720 tons, and the peanut oil inventory was 40,100 tons [36][37]. Logic Analysis - The peanut spot trading volume is low, the import volume has decreased significantly, the downstream consumption is weak, and the market expects an increase in the new - season planting area [38]. Trading Strategies - Unilateral: Short - sell the 10 - contract peanut when the price is high. - Arbitrage: Wait and see. - Options: Sell the pk510 - C - 8800 options [40][41][42]. Eggs Important Information - The average price of the main egg - producing areas was 2.75 yuan per catty, and that of the main egg - consuming areas was 2.95 yuan per catty. In May, the national in - lay hen inventory was 1.334 billion, and the monthly chick output of sample enterprises was 46.985 million [44]. - As of the week ending June 6, the national main - area egg - laying hen culling volume was 19.97 million, the national representative - area egg sales volume was 8,856 tons, the production - link inventory was 0.94 days, and the circulation - link inventory was 1.03 days [45][47]. Trading Logic - The near - month 07 - contract egg price is expected to be weak, while the far - month 8 and 9 contracts may rise if the supply situation improves [48]. Trading Strategies - Unilateral: Consider building long positions in the far - month 8 and 9 contracts in mid - to - late June when the rainy season is about to end and the safety margin is high. - Arbitrage: Wait and see. - Options: Wait and see [49]. Apples Important Information - As of May 21, 2025, the national main - area apple cold - storage inventory was 1.7085 million tons. The 2024 - 2025 season's 80 first - and second - grade apple storage profit in Qixia was 0.9 yuan per catty [52][53]. Trading Logic - The low inventory of apples this season is expected to support the opening price of early - maturing apples. The 10 - contract apple futures price is expected to oscillate slightly stronger in June [54][56]. Trading Strategies - Unilateral: Build long positions in the AP10 contract when the price is low. - Arbitrage: Wait and see first. - Options: Wait and see first [61]. Cotton - Cotton Yarn External Market Impact - ICE US cotton rose on Friday, with the main contract rising 0.39 (0.59%) to 65.97 cents per pound [58]. Important Information - The average temperature and rainfall in the US cotton - producing areas and the rainfall in the Indian cotton - producing areas were reported. The cotton spot trading was divided, and the sales and transaction basis were reported [59][60][62]. Trading Logic - The current trading logic is mainly macro - oriented. In the short term, the price will oscillate within a range, and in the medium - to - long - term, it may decline, but the market is subject to the uncertainty of US policies [63]. Trading Strategies - Unilateral: The US cotton is expected to oscillate slightly stronger, and Zhengzhou cotton is expected to oscillate strongly under macro - influence. - Arbitrage: Wait and see. - Options: Wait and see [64][65][66].
国投期货市场主流观点汇-20250605
Guo Tou Qi Huo· 2025-06-05 11:26
Report Overview - The report aims to objectively reflect the research views of futures and securities companies on various commodity varieties, track hot varieties, analyze market investment sentiment, and summarize investment driving logic. It is for internal company use only and does not constitute personal investment advice [1]. Market Data Commodities - **Palm oil**: Closed at 8060.00 with a weekly increase of 0.67% [2]. - **Live pigs**: Closed at 13605.00 with a weekly increase of 0.67% [2]. - **Soybean meal**: Closed at 2968.00 with a weekly increase of 0.54% [2]. - **Corn**: Closed at 2336.00 with a weekly increase of 0.39% [2]. - **Copper**: Closed at 77600.00 with a weekly decrease of 0.24% [2]. - **PTA**: Closed at 4700.00 with a weekly decrease of 0.34% [2]. - **Aluminum**: Closed at 20070.00 with a weekly decrease of 0.42% [2]. - **Silver**: Closed at 8218.00 with a weekly decrease of 0.54% [2]. - **Methanol**: Closed at 2208.00 with a weekly decrease of 0.63% [2]. - **Gold**: Closed at 771.80 with a weekly decrease of 1.06% [2]. - **Crude oil**: Closed at 447.90 with a weekly decrease of 1.08% [2]. - **Ethylene glycol**: Closed at 4349.00 with a weekly decrease of 1.23% [2]. - **Glass**: Closed at 982.00 with a weekly decrease of 1.80% [2]. - **PVC**: Closed at 4764.00 with a weekly decrease of 1.85% [2]. - **Iron ore**: Closed at 702.00 with a weekly decrease of 2.23% [2]. - **Rebar**: Closed at 2961.00 with a weekly decrease of 2.79% [2]. - **Coke**: Closed at 1308.00 with a weekly decrease of 5.42% [2]. A-shares - **CSI 500**: Closed at 5671.07 with a weekly increase of 0.32% [2]. - **CSI 300**: Closed at 3840.23 with a weekly decrease of 1.08% [2]. - **SSE 50**: Closed at 2678.70 with a weekly decrease of 1.22% [2]. Overseas Stocks - **Nikkei 225**: Closed at 37965.10 with a weekly increase of 2.17% [2]. - **Nasdaq Composite**: Closed at 19113.77 with a weekly increase of 2.01% [2]. - **S&P 500**: Closed at 5911.69 with a weekly increase of 1.88% [2]. - **FTSE 100**: Closed at 8772.38 with a weekly increase of 0.62% [2]. - **CAC 40**: Closed at 7751.89 with a weekly increase of 0.23% [2]. - **Hang Seng Index**: Closed at 23289.77 with a weekly decrease of 1.32% [2]. Bonds - **5-year Chinese Treasury bond**: Closed at 1.58 with a weekly increase of 2.36% [2]. - **2-year Chinese Treasury bond**: Closed at 1.50 with a weekly increase of 1.35% [2]. - **10-year Chinese Treasury bond**: Closed at 1.70 with a weekly decrease of 1.33% [2]. Foreign Exchange - **US Dollar Index**: Closed at 99.44 with a weekly increase of 0.32% [2]. - **US Dollar central parity rate**: Closed at 7.18 with a weekly decrease of 0.10% [2]. - **EUR/USD**: Closed at 1.13 with a weekly decrease of 0.14% [2]. Commodity Views Macro-financial Sector Stock Index Futures - **Strategy view**: Among 9 institutions, 1 is bullish, 0 is bearish, and 8 expect a sideways trend [3]. - **Bullish logic**: May PMI data shows significant improvement in corporate export orders; ETF shares tracking the CSI 300 index increased by 600 million this week; The Premier emphasized increasing policy support to expand consumption; Market sentiment for real estate and fiscal policies is expected to further recover [3]. - **Bearish logic**: May construction and service sector PMI is not high; A-share average daily trading volume decreased by 79.4 billion yuan week-on-week; Weak domestic demand affects profit expectations; Trump's false social media posts on China trade increase tariff uncertainty [3]. Treasury Bond Futures - **Strategy view**: Among 7 institutions, 3 are bullish, 0 is bearish, and 4 expect a sideways trend [3]. - **Bullish logic**: Setbacks in China-US economic and trade negotiations support the bond market; Manufacturing PMI remains below the boom-bust line; Weak stock market momentum benefits the bond market; Supply-demand disturbances in the bond market weaken after partial issuance [3]. - **Bearish logic**: Industrial enterprise profit growth rebounds; High-speed profit growth in new kinetic energy industries; Banks and insurance companies have limited capacity to absorb bond supply; Market concerns about rising certificate of deposit rates persist [3]. Energy Sector Crude Oil - **Strategy view**: Among 9 institutions, 1 is bullish, 2 are bearish, and 6 expect a sideways trend [4]. - **Bullish logic**: Saudi Arabia's production increase falls short of expectations; Low oil prices hinder US shale oil supply growth; The Northern Hemisphere enters the peak season for refined oil; Chinese refineries plan to end maintenance in June [4]. - **Bearish logic**: OPEC+ is expected to continue increasing production in July; A large amount of US Treasury bonds will mature in June; Trump reignites China-US trade disputes; Global economic weakness and trade frictions drag down oil demand [4]. Agricultural Products Sector Cotton - **Strategy view**: Among 8 institutions, 0 is bullish, 2 are bearish, and 6 expect a sideways trend [4]. - **Bullish logic**: Xinjiang cotton commercial inventory is depleting faster; Import window is mostly closed; India's cotton production decreases year-on-year; US cotton sowing progress lags behind [4]. - **Bearish logic**: The domestic textile industry enters the off-season; Textile enterprises' operating rates decline; Finished product inventories increase; Post-Dragon Boat Festival temperature rise benefits new cotton growth; US cotton-growing areas have good weather [4]. Non-ferrous Metals Sector Copper - **Strategy view**: Among 7 institutions, 2 are bullish, 2 are bearish, and 3 expect a sideways trend [5]. - **Bullish logic**: Global copper mine supply is disrupted; LME copper inventory is falling; Domestic social inventory is low; Strong demand from power grid and new energy industries [5]. - **Bearish logic**: US steel tariff hikes raise stagflation expectations; Weak domestic commodity market sentiment; Widening scrap-copper price difference; Poor cable orders [5]. Chemical Sector Soda Ash - **Strategy view**: Among 7 institutions, 0 is bullish, 4 are bearish, and 3 expect a sideways trend [5]. - **Bullish logic**: Maintenance peaks in July and August may ease supply pressure; Strong export performance; Stable light soda ash demand [5]. - **Bearish logic**: Weak glass demand affects the soda ash market; End of the PV installation rush; Low downstream purchasing enthusiasm; High production and inventory levels limit price increases [5]. Precious Metals Sector Gold - **Strategy view**: Among 7 institutions, 4 are bullish, 0 is bearish, and 3 expect a sideways trend [6]. - **Bullish logic**: US steel and aluminum tariff hikes increase uncertainty; Central bank gold purchases and safe-haven demand support prices; SPDR Gold ETF holdings increase; Long-term logic of gold as a hedge against credit currency risk [6]. - **Bearish logic**: US economic data shows resilience; The Fed's May meeting was hawkish; US stocks showed no significant reaction to tariff hikes; Market sensitivity to Trump's policies may decline [6]. Black Metals Sector Iron Ore - **Strategy view**: Among 9 institutions, 0 is bullish, 3 are bearish, and 6 expect a sideways trend [6]. - **Bullish logic**: Steel mills maintain profits; Port iron ore inventory decreases; Steel mills' imported ore inventory is low; Global iron ore shipments decline [6]. - **Bearish logic**: Trump plans to double steel and aluminum import tariffs; Mainstream ore shipments recover; Daily pig iron production decreases; Daily port throughput decreases; Weak domestic real estate market [6].
10.26万亿元、200亿元,利好积聚!“数”里行间透视中国经济活力
Yang Shi Wang· 2025-06-05 02:52
Economic Data Summary - In the first four months of 2025, the revenue of industrial enterprises above designated size in national high-tech zones reached 10.26 trillion yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of 7.3% [3] - The innovation-driven and industrial agglomeration effects continue to be released [3] Industry Development - The Zhongguancun new generation information technology industry has entered the trillion-level industry cluster [5] - The scale of the optical electronics information industry in Wuhan East Lake accounts for 50% of the national total [5] - National high-tech zones have laid out cutting-edge fields such as quantum information, humanoid robots, and next-generation internet, forming initial development advantages in related future industries [5] Urban Renewal and Infrastructure - The renovation of old urban residential areas has accelerated, with plans to start the renovation of 25,000 old urban residential areas nationwide in 2025 [8] - In the first four months of 2025, 5,679 old urban residential areas were newly started for renovation, with six provinces and cities having a startup rate exceeding 50% [10] - Central finance will provide subsidies to 20 cities for urban renewal actions, with each city receiving no more than 1.2 billion yuan [13] Commodity Price Index - In May, China's commodity price index rose slightly by 0.3% month-on-month, reaching 110.3 points [16] - Among 50 monitored commodities, 17 saw price increases in May [16] - The non-ferrous price index rose by 0.9%, while the chemical price index rebounded by 0.5% [17] International Air Cargo - Since the beginning of 2025, over 100 new international air cargo routes have been opened, with a focus on Asia and Europe [21][23] - The cargo structure mainly consists of electronic products, auto parts, machinery, and fresh goods [23] - In May alone, 26 new international air cargo routes were opened, with a cumulative total of 101 routes in the first five months of 2025 [24]
整理:每日全球大宗商品市场要闻速递(6月4日)
news flash· 2025-06-04 08:14
金十数据整理:每日全球大宗商品市场要闻速递(6月4日) 能源: 1. 美伊核谈判细节披露:美提议临时允许伊朗继续铀浓缩活动。 2. 调查显示,欧佩克5月份原油产量增加了20万桶/日,达到2754万桶/日。 4. 俄罗斯天然气工业股份公司悄然搁置了在土耳其开发一个新的天然气分销枢纽的计划,放弃通过土耳 其重返欧洲天然气市场的想法。 5. 越南高温天气持续推高用电需求至历史高位,政府指示加快新电厂投运和电网接入工作以保障电力供 应。 其他: 1. 日本首相承诺成立稳定大米供应部长级委员会。 2. 消息人士:美加贸易协议可能在下周G7峰会前达成。 3. 乌克兰农业部长:2025年乌克兰粮食收成可能下降10%至约5100万吨。 3. 哈萨克斯坦国家石油运输商KazTransOil:5月份通过友谊管道向德国供应了23万吨原油。 4. 泰国联合企业集团预计2025年泰国出口增长0.3%-0.5%,此前预期为增长0.3%-0.9%。 ...
预告 | 2025年6月彭博终端用户专享课程
彭博Bloomberg· 2025-06-03 06:30
Group 1 - The article highlights various upcoming Bloomberg seminars and workshops scheduled for June 2025, focusing on different financial markets and tools [2][4][5][6][10]. - It emphasizes the importance of understanding the Bloomberg Terminal for analyzing bonds, foreign exchange, stocks, commodities, and derivatives [8]. - Specific sessions are dedicated to equity analysis, fixed income liquidity analysis, and the impact of tariffs on various sectors, including technology stocks [9][11]. Group 2 - The article provides a detailed schedule of events, including dates and times for each seminar, indicating a structured approach to financial education [3][7][10]. - It mentions the introduction of new data updates and application scenarios for global stock models and China's onshore fixed income market [9][10]. - The seminars aim to equip participants with essential tools and insights for effective market analysis and investment strategies [8][11].
原油与黄金陷入“冰火两重天”
Qi Huo Ri Bao Wang· 2025-05-29 16:06
Core Viewpoint - The global commodity market will continue to experience significant volatility into 2025, driven by policy dynamics and supply-demand imbalances, with U.S. policy movements being the largest variable affecting the market [1]. Oil Market - Oil prices are expected to gradually find a bottom, having fallen from $85 per barrel in January to $60 per barrel currently, exceeding previous expectations [1]. - The increase in oil supply in 2021 and 2022, coupled with a mismatch in supply and demand, has led to a sustained decline in oil prices [1]. - The U.S. government's aim to lower inflation by reducing oil prices and increasing energy production has been highlighted as a significant factor [2]. Demand Dynamics - Global oil demand remains strong, with a noted decline in U.S. demand, particularly in air travel, which decreased by approximately 2% from April to May [2]. - Despite the weakening demand in the U.S., international travel demand, especially from Europe, has reached new highs [2]. Geopolitical Factors - The geopolitical situation in the Middle East is stabilizing, with countries like Saudi Arabia and the UAE diversifying their economies to reduce reliance on energy revenues [2]. - Investments in tourism, fintech, and logistics are becoming focal points for these regions, decreasing the likelihood of escalating regional conflicts [2]. Gold Market - Gold prices are projected to enter a long-term bull market, driven by central bank purchases and safe-haven demand [3]. - Central banks have significantly increased gold purchases, from 400 tons annually to 800 tons in 2022 and 1000 tons in 2023, with expectations of continued high demand [3][4]. - The emergence of new investors, particularly overseas holders of U.S. financial assets, is contributing to increased gold purchases, with a potential 0.5% shift of their $57 trillion in assets into gold leading to an additional 500 tons of demand annually [4]. Metal Market - The metal market, particularly copper, is facing challenges due to high prices and potential trade tensions, with copper currently priced at $9,500 per ton [4]. - The metal market is expected to be significantly impacted by U.S. policy changes, contrasting with the more stable outlook for oil prices [4].
整理:每日全球大宗商品市场要闻速递(5月27日)
news flash· 2025-05-27 07:29
Energy - Kuwait and Saudi Arabia announced the discovery of oil in the neutral zone [1] - Russia extended its gas supply agreement with Serbia until the end of September [1] - South Africa proposed to purchase liquefied natural gas from the United States over the next 10 years as part of a trade agreement [1] - Iran set the price for light crude oil sold to Asian markets in June at a premium of $1.80 per barrel over the Oman/Dubai average [1] - Malaysia, Singapore, and Vietnam signed a renewable electricity export agreement, involving Vietnam exporting renewable energy to Malaysia and Singapore [1] - Indonesia's energy ministry stated that a new electricity supply plan requires approximately $183 billion in investment, with plans to build 47,758 kilometers of transmission lines by 2034 and to start operations of its first nuclear power plant by 2032 [1] - Goldman Sachs projected that oil production growth from non-OPEC shale projects, excluding Russia, could accelerate to 1 million barrels per day over the next two years, while new gas projects in Saudi Arabia and Qatar may increase OPEC's liquefied natural gas production by an average of 200,000 barrels per day [1] - A potential decline in oil prices between 2025-2026 could lead to an earlier peak and reduction in U.S. shale oil production [1] Precious Metals and Mining - Switzerland's gold exports decreased by 34% to 104 tons in April [2] - Mexico's gold production totaled 6,224 kilograms in March, with copper production at 43,394 tons and silver production at 351,667 kilograms [2] - Hong Kong's government reported that gold exports to mainland China in April amounted to 58.61 tons, up from 21.071 tons previously, with net gold exports to mainland China at 43.462 tons, compared to -4.889 tons previously [2]
盛宝银行大宗商品策略主管Ole Hansen:美国总统特朗普推迟对欧盟关税,大宗商品市场对此作出的反应与预期一致。鉴于再次大幅增产的风险,OPEC+会议显然也是个焦点。
news flash· 2025-05-26 20:07
鉴于再次大幅增产的风险,OPEC+会议显然也是个焦点。 盛宝银行大宗商品策略主管Ole Hansen:美国总统特朗普推迟对欧盟关税,大宗商品市场对此作出的反 应与预期一致。 ...