Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints - As of the close on December 23, domestic futures main contracts showed mixed performance. Platinum hit the daily limit, lithium carbonate and palladium rose over 5%, and silver futures rose over 4%. On the other hand, ethylene glycol (EG) dropped over 3%, and liquefied petroleum gas (LPG), logs, and red dates fell over 1%. Different futures varieties have different trends and influencing factors, and investors are advised to make decisions carefully [5]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Commodity Performance - **Futures Market Overview**: As of the close on December 23, domestic futures main contracts had mixed performance. Platinum hit the daily limit, lithium carbonate and palladium rose over 5%, and silver futures rose over 4%. In terms of declines, ethylene glycol (EG) dropped over 3%, and liquefied petroleum gas (LPG), logs, and red dates fell over 1%. Index futures and treasury bond futures also showed different trends. In terms of capital flow, some contracts had capital inflows while others had outflows [5][6]. - **Futures Index Performance**: The main contract of CSI 300 Index Futures (IF) rose 0.12%, the main contract of SSE 50 Index Futures (IH) rose 0.22%, the main contract of CSI 500 Index Futures (IC) rose 0.04%, and the main contract of CSI 1000 Index Futures (IM) fell 0.15%. The main contract of 2 - year treasury bond futures (TS) rose 0.07%, the main contract of 5 - year treasury bond futures (TF) rose 0.17%, the main contract of 10 - year treasury bond futures (T) rose 0.26%, and the main contract of 30 - year treasury bond futures (TL) rose 0.89% [6]. - **Capital Flow**: As of 15:21 on December 23, in terms of capital inflows to domestic futures main contracts, CSI 2603 had an inflow of 2.004 billion yuan, lithium carbonate 2605 had an inflow of 876 million yuan, and platinum 2606 had an inflow of 835 million yuan. In terms of outflows, CSI 2603 had an outflow of 633 million yuan, Shanghai copper 2602 had an outflow of 568 million yuan, and Shanghai aluminum 2602 had an outflow of 256 million yuan [6]. Market Analysis - **Shanghai Copper**: On the day, Shanghai copper opened high and moved low, showing a relatively strong trend during the day. In November, SMM's electrolytic copper production in China was 1.1031 million tons, with a month - on - month increase of 11,500 tons (a month - on - month increase of 1.05%) and a year - on - year increase of 9.75%. From January to November, the cumulative production increased by 1.2894 million tons year - on - year (an increase of 11.76%). SMM predicts that the electrolytic copper production in December will increase by 65,700 tons month - on - month (an increase of 5.96%) and 6.69% year - on - year. Copper foil maintains a high - growth level, but copper products are affected by various factors, and the market is mainly characterized by a relatively strong and volatile trend [8]. - **Lithium Carbonate**: Lithium carbonate opened flat and moved high, rising nearly 6% during the day. This week, the capacity utilization rate of lithium carbonate was 83.52%, significantly higher year - on - year. The downstream energy - storage battery still maintains growth, and lithium iron phosphate has a price - increase expectation, which supports the price increase of lithium carbonate at the raw - material end. However, the end - of - season demand and the uncertainty of mine resumption need to be further observed, and investors are advised to be cautious about chasing the rise [10]. - **Crude Oil**: OPEC+ agreed to maintain the overall oil production of the organization in 2026. Eight additional voluntarily - reducing oil - producing countries reiterated to suspend production increases in the first quarter of next year. The global crude - oil market is still in a pattern of oversupply, but the geopolitical situation in Venezuela has heated up, and it is recommended to wait and see for the time being [11][12]. - **Asphalt**: The supply side shows that the asphalt start - up rate has declined, and the expected production volume in December has decreased. The downstream start - up rate has mostly fallen, and the inventory is at a relatively low level. The market is concerned about the export of Venezuelan heavy - crude oil and its impact on domestic asphalt production. It is expected that the asphalt futures price will fluctuate, and attention should be paid to the situation in Venezuela [13]. - **PP**: As of the week ending December 19, the downstream start - up rate of PP decreased. The enterprise start - up rate is at a neutral - to - low level, and the petrochemical inventory is at a relatively high level. The supply - demand pattern remains unchanged, and it is expected that PP will fluctuate weakly, and the L - PP spread is expected to narrow [15]. - **Plastic**: On December 23, the start - up rate of plastic increased, but the downstream start - up rate decreased. The petrochemical inventory is at a relatively high level. The supply - demand pattern remains unchanged, and it is expected that plastic will fluctuate weakly in the near future, and the L - PP spread is expected to narrow [16][17]. - **PVC**: The upstream calcium carbide price has dropped. The PVC start - up rate has decreased, and the downstream start - up rate has also declined. The export situation is not good, and the inventory pressure is relatively large. The real - estate market is still in the adjustment stage, and it is expected that the upward space for PVC in the near future is limited [18]. - **Coking Coal**: Coking coal opened high and moved high, rising nearly 2% during the day. The supply is in a loose pattern, and the downstream demand is weak. Although the sentiment has recovered and rebounded, the upward height is limited, and investors should beware of sentiment cooling [19][20]. - **Urea**: The futures price opened high and moved high during the day. The spot price is stable, and the supply pressure is not alleviated. The demand is mainly supported by the winter - storage production of compound fertilizers. The inventory is mainly concentrated in the winter - storage areas, and it is expected that the inventory - reduction amplitude will narrow. The market has limited positive factors, and it is recommended to wait for a pullback [21].

1. Report Industry Investment Ratings No information provided regarding industry investment ratings. 2. Core Views of the Reports Tin Industry - Short - term fundamentals remain strong. Tin prices are expected to stay strong within the year. Maintain a bullish view on tin prices, hold long positions, and consider buying on dips. Monitor subsequent macro and supply - side changes [2]. Aluminum Alloy Industry - The market is in a state of strong cost and weak demand. ADC12 prices have limited upside and downside space. The price is expected to continue to oscillate in a high - level range in the short term, with the main contract reference range of 20,800 - 21,600 yuan/ton. Focus on changes in scrap aluminum supply, regional environmental policies, and downstream orders [4]. Polysilicon Industry - Polysilicon prices remain in high - level oscillation, and futures prices are still at a significant premium to the spot market. Pay attention to the reduction in production or price decline pressure. Adopt a wait - and - see strategy for now, and focus on the subsequent production cuts and price adjustment acceptance. Remind investors to manage their positions [5]. Industrial Silicon Industry - Some industrial silicon spot prices rose slightly. Futures prices oscillated and declined. Supply and demand both decreased moderately, and the expectation of industrial silicon production cuts further increased. The price is expected to oscillate at a low level in December, with the main price fluctuation range between 8,000 - 9,000 yuan/ton. If production drops significantly, it may break through 10,000 yuan/ton; otherwise, it will fall [6]. Zinc Industry - TC has stopped falling and stabilized, and zinc prices are oscillating. Domestic zinc concentrate production is in the off - season, while overseas zinc ore imports have increased. Refining production is limited due to profit pressure. Downstream demand is stable, and domestic spot zinc ingots maintain a premium with continuous inventory depletion. LME inventory has increased significantly, and the squeeze risk has eased. The main contract should pay attention to the support at 22,850 - 22,950 [8]. Copper Industry - Against the background of the overseas inventory structural imbalance, copper prices are oscillating at a high level. The upward drivers include further deterioration of overseas inventory structure and improved interest - rate cut expectations; the downward drivers are the weak demand feedback. In the long - term, the bottom center of copper prices may continue to rise, and the main contract should pay attention to the support at 92,500 - 95,000 [12]. Alumina and Aluminum Industry - Alumina prices are expected to oscillate at a low level around the cash - cost line, with the main contract reference range of 2,450 - 2,650 yuan/ton. Pay attention to environmental protection policies and corporate production cuts. Aluminum prices lack a one - way driver and are expected to oscillate widely in the short term, with the SHFE aluminum main contract reference range of 21,800 - 22,600 yuan/ton. Focus on macro - expectations and domestic inventory changes [15]. Nickel Industry - The nickel market sentiment has improved due to low valuations and mine - end news, but the short - term reality is still weak, and the medium - term fundamentals are loose. The price upside is restricted. The short - term is expected to continue oscillating and repairing, but the driving force is limited. Pay attention to the possibility of a callback after the news is digested, with the main contract reference range of 116,000 - 124,000 [16]. Stainless Steel Industry - The stainless - steel market sentiment has improved, but the supply - demand game continues. It is expected to oscillate and adjust in the short term, with the main contract reference range of 12,300 - 13,000. Pay attention to nickel - mine news and steel - mill production - cut implementation [18]. Lithium Carbonate Industry - The lithium carbonate market has a short - term wide - range oscillation. The price may continue to test the high and then retreat and adjust. Pay attention to policies and news [19]. 3. Summaries by Relevant Catalogs Tin Industry - **Spot Prices and Basis**: SMM 1 tin and Yangtze 1 tin prices rose by 1.04%, and LME 0 - 3 spread increased by 82.26%. The import loss increased by 4.56% [2]. - **Inter - month Spreads**: Some spreads changed significantly, such as the spread between 2602 - 2603 increasing by 52.78% [2]. - **Fundamental Data**: In October, tin ore imports, SMM refined tin production, and the average SMM refined tin operating rate increased significantly, while refined tin imports and exports decreased [2]. - **Inventory Changes**: SHEF weekly inventory and social inventory increased, while SHEF daily warehouse receipts and LME daily inventory decreased [2]. Aluminum Alloy Industry - **Prices and Spreads**: SMM aluminum alloy ADC12 prices in different regions rose by 0.46%, and the scrap - to - refined price difference in some areas increased [4]. - **Inter - month Spreads**: Some spreads changed, such as the 2601 - 2602 spread decreasing by 20 yuan/ton [4]. - **Fundamental Data**: In November, the production of recycled and primary aluminum alloy ingots increased, while the import and export of unforged aluminum alloy ingots decreased. The operating rate of recycled and primary aluminum alloys increased [4]. - **Inventory Changes**: The weekly social inventory of recycled aluminum alloy ingots decreased by 2.38% [4]. Polysilicon Industry - **Spot Prices and Basis**: Some N - type silicon product prices rose, and the N - type material basis increased by 17.85% [5]. - **Futures Prices and Inter - month Spreads**: The main contract price decreased by 2.32%, and most inter - month spreads changed significantly [5]. - **Fundamental Data**: Weekly and monthly silicon wafer and polysilicon production decreased, polysilicon imports decreased, and exports increased [5]. - **Inventory Changes**: Polysilicon inventory remained unchanged, and silicon wafer inventory decreased by 7.73% [5]. Industrial Silicon Industry - **Spot Prices and Main Contract Basis**: Some industrial silicon spot prices rose slightly, and the basis increased [6]. - **Inter - month Spreads**: Some spreads changed significantly, such as the 2601 - 2602 spread increasing by 100% [6]. - **Fundamental Data**: National and regional industrial silicon production decreased, while the production of organic silicon DMC and recycled aluminum alloy increased. The national operating rate decreased [6]. - **Inventory Changes**: Xinjiang and Yunnan factory - warehouse inventory increased, while social inventory decreased by 1.43% [6]. Zinc Industry - **Prices and Spreads**: SMM 0 zinc ingot prices decreased slightly, and the import loss increased [8]. - **Inter - month Spreads**: Some spreads changed, such as the 2601 - 2602 spread increasing by 20 yuan/ton [8]. - **Fundamental Data**: In November, refined zinc production and imports decreased, and exports increased significantly. The operating rates of downstream processing industries were basically stable [8]. - **Inventory Changes**: China's seven - region zinc ingot social inventory and LME inventory decreased [8]. Copper Industry - **Prices and Basis**: SMM 1 electrolytic copper prices rose by 1.43%, and the import loss increased [12]. - **Inter - month Spreads**: All inter - month spreads decreased [12]. - **Fundamental Data**: In November, electrolytic copper production increased, and imports decreased. The operating rate of electrolytic copper rod production decreased, while that of recycled copper rod production increased [12]. - **Inventory Changes**: Domestic social, bonded, and SHFE inventories increased, while LME inventory decreased [12]. Alumina and Aluminum Industry Alumina - **Prices and Spreads**: Alumina prices in different regions decreased slightly, and the import profit decreased [15]. - **Inter - month Spreads**: Some spreads changed, such as the AL 2601 - 2602 spread decreasing by 5 yuan/ton [15]. - **Fundamental Data**: In November, alumina production decreased, and the operating rate increased slightly [15]. - **Inventory Changes**: Alumina factory - warehouse and port inventories changed, with the port inventory decreasing by 7.69% [15]. Aluminum - **Prices and Spreads**: SMM A00 aluminum prices rose by 0.50%, and the import loss increased [15]. - **Inter - month Spreads**: Some spreads changed, such as the AL 2601 - 2602 spread decreasing by 5 yuan/ton [15]. - **Fundamental Data**: In November, domestic and overseas electrolytic aluminum production decreased, imports decreased, and exports increased [15]. - **Inventory Changes**: China's electrolytic aluminum and aluminum rod social inventories increased [15]. Nickel Industry - **Prices and Basis**: SMM 1 electrolytic nickel prices rose by 1.42%, and the import profit increased [16]. - **Inter - month Spreads**: Some spreads changed, such as the 2602 - 2603 spread increasing by 40 yuan/ton [16]. - **Supply, Demand and Inventory**: In November, China's refined nickel production and imports decreased. SHFE and social inventories increased, while LME inventory decreased slightly [16]. Stainless Steel Industry - **Prices and Basis**: 304/2B stainless - steel coil prices in some regions rose slightly, and the spot - futures price difference decreased [18]. - **Inter - month Spreads**: Some spreads changed, such as the 2603 - 2604 spread decreasing by 5 yuan/ton [18]. - **Fundamental Data**: In November, China's 300 - series stainless - steel production decreased slightly, imports decreased, and exports increased. The 300 - series social inventory decreased [18]. Lithium Carbonate Industry - **Prices and Basis**: SMM battery - grade and industrial - grade lithium carbonate prices rose, and the lithium spodumene concentrate price also increased [19]. - **Inter - month Spreads**: All inter - month spreads decreased [19]. - **Fundamental Data**: In November, lithium carbonate production and demand increased, imports decreased, and exports increased. The total inventory decreased significantly [19].

中国经济网北京12月23日讯 今日，上海期货交易所日间盘黄金期货主力合约震荡收高，成交下降，持 仓减少。主力2602合约收报1014.24元，涨2.73%或26.92元;成交量为276379手;持仓为199734手，持仓减 少2556手。 隔夜，COMEX黄金期货涨2.16%，报4482.30美元/盎司。 (责任编辑：张海蛟) ...

成文日期：20251218 研究品种:苹果 报告周期: 日报 研究员：漆建华（从业资格号：F03099134;投资咨询从业证书号：Z0017731) 型期货目报 1 期货市场 1.1 合约行情 当日（20251218），期货品种苹果 AP2605 合约震荡下行，当 日收至 9068 点，较昨日下跌 0.95%,全日成交 200113 手，持仓 162157 手，较上一交易日增加 19889 手。 数据来源:国金期货博易大师 1.2 品种价格 当日苹果期货各合约全部下跌,成交量 214210 手,品种持仓 量 187560 手，较上一交易日增加 19146 手。 图:苹果期货日行情表 研究咨询：028 6130 3163 邮箱：institute@gjqh.com.cn 投诉热线：4006821188 请务必阅读文末风险揭示及免责声明 图：苹果 AP2605 分时图 | 合约代 | 昨结算 | 今开盘 | 最高价 | 警低价 | 今收营 | 令结算 | 涨跌1 | 涨跌2 | 成交量 | 持仓量 | 増減量 | 成交额(万元) | 交割合 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | -- ...

每经AI快讯，12月23日，钯金期货日内涨5%，现报1922.50美元/盎司。 （责任编辑：王治强 HF013） 【免责声明】本文仅代表作者本人观点，与和讯网无关。和讯网站对文中陈述、观点判断保持中立，不对所包含内容 的准确性、可靠性或完整性提供任何明示或暗示的保证。请读者仅作参考，并请自行承担全部责任。邮箱： news_center@staff.hexun.com 每日经济新闻 ...

工业硅日报 工业硅&多晶硅日报（2025 年 12 月 23 日） 一、研究观点 点评 22 日工业硅震荡偏弱，主力 2605 收于 8595 元/吨，日内跌幅 0.52%，持仓 增仓 11733 手至 22.2 万手。百川工业硅现货参考价 9593 元/吨，较上一交 易日持稳。最低交割品#421 价格跌至 8850 元/吨，现货升水扩至 255 元/ 吨。多晶硅震荡偏弱，主力 2605 收于 58845 元/吨，日内跌幅 2.1%，持仓 减仓 4238 手至 13.5 万手；百川多晶硅 N 型复投硅料价格小幅上调至 52400 元/吨，最低交割品硅料价格小幅上调至 52400 元/吨，现货对主力贴 水收至 6445 元/吨。西北厂家新增检修动态，因新产出品被前期套保单锁 定，厂家整体压力不大。年末西北存在进一步环保减产预期，工业硅受减 产和多晶硅提振，短期延续偏强态势。当前多晶硅库存积压和收储消息并 存，期现延续分歧表现。周内厂家大幅提升现货报价，因成交寥寥，部分 咨询网站坚持稳价发布。交易所再度进行限仓，提高最小开仓，限制过热 投机，盘面窄幅回调；但因由于仍无新注册仓单，盘面高升水压力难解。 请务必阅读正 ...

每经AI快讯，12月23日，钯金期货日内涨5%，现报1922.50美元/盎司。 每经AI快讯，12月23日，钯金期货日内涨5%，现报1922.50美元/盎司。 ...

Report Summary of Futures Market Analysis 1. Report Industry Investment Ratings - PX: Do not chase highs, expect a high-level volatile market [1] - PTA: Do not chase highs, expect a high-level volatile market [1] - MEG: Trend is weakening [1] 2. Core Views - PX: Unilateral price trend is strong, squeezing downstream profits. Short-term rapid increase in PX, focus on the turning point of downstream polyester operating load. Do not chase highs in the short term [9]. - PTA: Do not chase highs in the short term, go long on PTA and short on PF/PR. Yisheng Ningbo plant restarts as planned. Fuhai's new bottle chip plant goes into production. Do not chase highs in the short term [9]. - MEG: Unilateral market is oscillating, and the medium-term trend remains weak. Although the price of 3,600 yuan/ton has reached the cost line of most production facilities, the domestic ethylene glycol facilities are still resilient, and the operating rate has rebounded to 72%. Huayi 20 restarts this week. Polyester operating rate remains at 91.2% this week, and the restart of plants such as Sanfangxiang and China Resources Zhuhai will boost the load next week. Overall, if the polyester load decreases due to profit pressure, the supply-demand pressure of MEG will continue to rise, so it is difficult for ethylene glycol to rise in the medium term [9][10]. 3. Summary by Related Contents Market Quotes - **Futures Prices**: On the previous trading day, the closing prices of PX, PTA, MEG, PF, and SC were 7,258, 5,040, 3,735, 6,432, and 437.9 respectively, with changes of 188, 158, -3, 140, and 11.3, and percentage changes of 2.66%, 3.24%, -0.08%, 2.23%, and 2.65% [2]. - **Spot Prices**: The previous day's spot prices of PX CFR China, PTA East China, MEG, naphtha MOPJ, and Dated Brent were $893/ton, 4,882 yuan/ton, 3,615 yuan/ton, $539.88/ton, and $62.45/barrel respectively, with changes of $26, 117 yuan, -10 yuan, $9, and $1.29 [2]. - **Spot Processing Fees**: The previous day's processing fees for PX - naphtha, PTA, staple fiber, bottle chips, and MOPJ naphtha - Dubai crude oil were 335.45, 150.47, 221.69, 40.59, and -4.23 respectively, with changes of 30.34, -28.15, -24.11, -61.21, and 0.11 [2]. Market Dynamics - **PX**: On December 22, the PX price rose sharply. Two February Asian spot transactions were at 893 and 891, and three March Asian spot transactions were all at 893. The PX valuation on December 22 was $892/ton, up $26 from last Friday. The Asian xylene price further rose to a multi - month high, approaching $900/ton [3]. - **PTA**: A 2.2 million - ton PTA plant in Ningbo is expected to resume operation on the 24th, which was shut down for maintenance in mid - November [6]. - **MEG**: A 200,000 - ton/year MEG plant in Taiwan is restarting, which was shut down for maintenance in late November. A 400,000 - ton/year MEG plant in South China has restarted normally, which was shut down in early December. The MEG port inventory in some main ports in East China is about 716,000 tons, an increase of 30,000 tons from the previous period [6][7]. - **Polyester**: Fuhai Packaging Materials Co., Ltd.'s new 300,000 - ton/year polyester bottle chip plant has produced high - quality products. On December 22, the sales of direct - spun polyester staple fibers were sluggish, with an average sales - to - production ratio of 35%. The sales - to - production ratio of polyester yarn in Jiangsu and Zhejiang was generally weak, with an estimated average of 40% - 50% by 3:30 pm [7][8]. Trend Intensity - The trend intensity of PX, PTA, and MEG is all 0, indicating a neutral trend. The trend intensity ranges from - 2 (most bearish) to 2 (most bullish) [9].

液化石油气日报 | 2025-12-23 市场驱动有限，现货氛围平淡 市场分析 1、\t12月22日地区价格：山东市场，4270-4390；东北市场，4240-4300；华北市场，4200-4330；华东市场，4320-4370； 沿江市场，4620-4960；西北市场，4100-4270；华南市场，4440-4530。（数据来源：卓创资讯） 2、\t2026年1月下半月中国华东冷冻货到岸价格丙烷591美元/吨，涨8美元/吨，丁烷581美元/吨，涨8美元/吨，折合 人民币价格丙烷4592元/吨，涨64元/吨，丁烷4514元/吨，涨64元/吨。（数据来源：卓创资讯） 3、\t2026年1月下半月中国华南冷冻货到岸价格丙烷584美元/吨，涨8美元/吨，丁烷574美元/吨，涨8美元/吨，折合 人民币价格丙烷4537元/吨，涨63元/吨，丁烷4460元/吨，涨64元/吨。（数据来源：卓创资讯） 原油端近日从低位反弹，昨日外盘LPG价格，但国内市场反应相对平淡，现货涨跌互现。其中，华东成交价格大 体持稳，上游维持低库存运作，下游采购积极性一般，市场心态观望为主。整体来看，当前LPG市场驱动相对有 限，醚后碳四与民用气价 ...

光大期货能化商品日报 光大期货能化商品日报（2025 年 12 月 23 日） | 品种 | 点评 | 观点 | | --- | --- | --- | | | 周一油价重心上移，其中 WTI 2 月合约收盘上涨 1.49 美元至 58.01 | | | | 美元/桶，涨幅 2.64%。布伦特 2 月合约收盘上涨 1.60 美元至 62.07 | | | | 美元/桶，涨幅 2.65%。SC2601 以 439.7 元/桶收盘，上涨 7.4 元/ | | | | 桶，涨幅为 1.71%。海关统计数据显示，2025 年 11 月份，中国原 | | | | 油进口量为 5089.1 万吨，环比增加 5.2%，同比增加 4.9%；1-11 | | | | 月份，中国累计原油进口量为 5.22 亿吨，同比增 3.2%。从排名前 | | | | 三的进口来源国数量来看：进口俄罗斯原油 835.1 万吨，同比下 | | | | 降 3.4%；进口沙特阿拉伯原油 754.8 万吨，同比增加 8.4%；进口 | | | 原油 | 巴西原油 488.7 万吨，同比增加 31.5%。市场持续关注俄乌局势， | 震荡 | | | ...