证券之星消息，11月24日，深证XR（970046）指数报收于2062.7点，涨1.74%，成交572.95亿元，换手率 2.53%。当日该指数成份股中，上涨的有48家，超图软件以7.56%的涨幅领涨，下跌的有2家，东山精密 以0.59%的跌幅领跌。 深证XR（970046）指数十大成份股详情如下： | 证券代码 | 股票简称 | 权重 | 最新价 | 涨跌幅 | 总市值(亿元) | | 所属行业 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | sz002475 | 立讯精密 | 20.19% | 53.25 | 0.76% | | 3877.72 | 电子 | | sz000725 | 京东方A | 9.16% | 3.82 | -0.26% | | 1429.21 | ● 电子 | | sz002384 | 东山精密 | 5.91% | 64.35 | -0.59% | | 1178.64 | 电子 | | sz002241 | 歌尔股份 | 5.47% | 27.57 | 0.55% | | 977.53 | 电子 | | sz000100 | ...

Group 1: Market Overview - The global risk appetite has decreased, with the VIX index and MOVE 5-day moving average rising significantly, leading to a synchronized decline in both stock and commodity markets [2] - Major global stock indices have generally retreated, with the technology sector experiencing notable declines, while gold, silver, copper, and oil also recorded drops [2][3] - The USD index has surpassed 100, and the Japanese yen has depreciated significantly, approaching the 160 mark against the dollar [2][5] Group 2: Equity Market Performance - The MSCI global index fell by 2.5%, with developed markets showing a pattern where declines in frontier markets were less severe than in developed and emerging markets [3] - In the U.S., major indices like the S&P 500 and Dow Jones dropped by 1.9%, while the Nasdaq fell by 2.7%, indicating increased scrutiny on the earnings quality of major tech firms [3] - Emerging markets saw significant declines in A-shares, with small-cap and tech boards dropping over 5.1%, while the Russian RTS index rose sharply by 9.1% [3] Group 3: Bond Market Dynamics - The Chinese bond market exhibited a "bear steepening" trend, with the yield curve shifting upward and the 10Y-2Y spread widening [4] - In contrast, U.S. Treasury yields showed a "bull steepening" pattern, with the yield curve moving downward, influenced by dovish comments from the New York Fed [4] - The Japanese government is expected to issue additional bonds to finance a fiscal stimulus plan, which may lead to increased long-term bond yields [4] Group 4: Commodity and Currency Trends - Commodity indices such as South China and CRB fell by 1.8% and 2.2%, respectively, with only three out of thirteen major commodity futures recording price increases [5] - The dollar index rose by 0.9%, while the yen depreciated by 1.2%, which may benefit Japanese exporters but also heighten inflationary pressures [5] - The Bank of Japan faces increased pressure to raise interest rates due to the combination of yen depreciation and inflation [5] Group 5: Fixed Income Issuance and Trading - Net financing in the bond market increased, with a total issuance of 3,846.4 billion yuan against 2,555.6 billion yuan maturing, resulting in a net increase of 1,290.8 billion yuan [9] - Secondary market trading volume decreased, with total transactions amounting to 7,783.28 billion yuan, down from 8,032.22 billion yuan the previous week [10] - The yield on 3-year AAA medium-term notes fell by 2.33 basis points to 1.86%, indicating a downward trend in short-term yields [10]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong financial performance in Q3 2025, with revenue and net profit showing significant year-over-year growth, indicating resilience and growth potential across its business segments [1][2][3][4]. Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company achieved revenue of 28.359 billion yuan, representing a year-over-year increase of 8.2% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 1.7% [1]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 8.616 billion yuan, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 31.8% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 0.2% [1]. - Non-GAAP net profit was 9.502 billion yuan, with a year-over-year increase of 26.7% but a slight quarter-over-quarter decrease of 0.3% [1]. - Gross margin improved to 64.1%, up 2.0 percentage points year-over-year, while the sales expense ratio increased to 15.7%, up 8.3 percentage points year-over-year [1]. Gaming Business - The gaming and value-added services segment generated revenue of 22.3 billion yuan in Q3 2025, marking an 11.8% year-over-year increase and a 2.3% quarter-over-quarter increase [2]. - The company demonstrated strong operational capabilities with classic IPs performing well, including record-high concurrent players for "Dream of Dreams" [2]. - New game launches, such as "Fate: Stars" and upcoming titles like "The Sea of Forgotten," are expected to enhance global reach and player engagement [2]. NetEase Youdao - NetEase Youdao reported revenue of 1.6 billion yuan in Q3 2025, showing a year-over-year growth of 3.6% and a quarter-over-quarter growth of 14.9% [3]. - The AI-native strategy is yielding positive results, with collaborations enhancing resource integration and market demand targeting [3]. NetEase Cloud Music - NetEase Cloud Music achieved revenue of 2 billion yuan in Q3 2025, a slight year-over-year decline of 1.8% but stable quarter-over-quarter [4]. - The introduction of AI tuning features and award-winning recommendation models has improved user experience significantly [4]. Innovation and Other Businesses - Revenue from innovation and other businesses was 1.4 billion yuan, down 18.9% year-over-year and 15.3% quarter-over-quarter [4]. - The company is focusing on brand rejuvenation and leveraging AI technology to enhance content quality and community engagement [4]. Profit Forecast and Investment Rating - The company forecasts revenues of 114.8 billion yuan, 126.5 billion yuan, and 136.2 billion yuan for 2025-2027, with adjusted net profits of 39.1 billion yuan, 44.1 billion yuan, and 49.1 billion yuan respectively [4]. - The target price for 2026 is set at 265 HKD, maintaining a "Buy" rating based on the profitability and competitive landscape of different business segments [4].

11月24日，A股市场整体小幅上涨。截至收盘，上证指数收报3836.77点，上涨0.05%，深证成指收报12585.08点，上涨0.37%，创业板指收报2929.04点， 上涨0.31%，北证50指数上涨0.63%。A股市场合计成交17405.74亿元，较上一交易日减少2433.32亿元。 | | | 今日资金净流入前五大行业 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 行业 | 涨跌幅 | 净流入资金 (亿元) | 资金流入较多个股 | | 计算机 | 3.12% | 107. 91 | 三六零 | | 国防军工 | 5.08% | 106. 10 | 中国船舶 | | 传媒 | 3. 48% | 73.98 | 蓝色光标 | | 申子 | 1.76% | 62. 48 | 北方华创 | | 机械设备 | 1.73% | 36. 93 | 利欧股份 | | | | 今日资金净流出前五大行业 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 行业 | 涨跌幅 | 净流入资金 (亿元) | 资金流出较多个股 | | 基础化工 | 0. 73% | -26. 11 | 国风新材 ...

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market shows a slight increase with a "high and low" trend, driven by small and medium-sized growth stocks and the real estate sector, while large-cap stocks like banks and oil companies face pressure [4][6]. Market Performance - The three major A-share indices experienced a mild increase, with the Shanghai Composite Index slightly retreating due to the drag from heavyweight stocks such as banks and oil [4]. - The Shenzhen Component Index outperformed, supported by active mid and small-cap growth stocks and the real estate sector [4]. Trading Volume and Market Sentiment - The total trading volume in both markets decreased by 11.9%, indicating a significant reduction in market activity and a cautious attitude among investors [7]. - There is a structural adjustment in fund flows, shifting towards undervalued sectors like military and coal, although the overall scale remains limited [7]. Fund Flow Dynamics - Institutional investors are adjusting their portfolios defensively, moving funds into sectors supported by policies and events, such as defense, culture, and computing, while selling off high-valuation growth sectors like electronics and semiconductors [9]. - Retail investors are engaging in short-term speculation, increasing positions in military and media sectors, believing in recovery opportunities due to policy catalysts [9]. Investor Sentiment - The sentiment among retail investors shows a mixed approach, with 21.36% increasing their positions and 22.62% reducing them, while 56.02% remain unchanged [15]. - A majority of retail investors (59.46%) expect the market to rise in the next trading day [18]. Positioning and Profitability - The average position of investors is reported at 71.19%, with 52.80% fully invested [21]. - A significant portion of investors (43.13%) is experiencing losses of less than 20%, while 5.56% have profits exceeding 50% [23].

Group 1: Market Activity - AI application stocks showed active performance today, with "Zhi De Mai" receiving purchases from three institutions totaling 57.48 million [1] - "Visual China" faced sell-offs from two institutions amounting to 79.92 million, along with significant sales from two frontline trading seats [1][15] - "Yi Dian Tian Xia" was sold off by one institution for 78.35 million, with additional sales from two frontline trading seats totaling 18.1 million [2][15] Group 2: Stock Trading Volume - The total trading volume for the Shanghai Stock Connect reached 1146.53 billion, while the Shenzhen Stock Connect totaled 1216.55 billion [3] - The top traded stocks on the Shanghai Stock Connect included "Industrial Fulian" at 34.19 billion, followed by "Kweichow Moutai" at 16.77 billion [4] - On the Shenzhen Stock Connect, "Zhongji Xuchuang" led with 47.87 billion, followed by "Ningde Times" at 34.51 billion [5] Group 3: Sector Performance - Sectors such as military industry, AI applications, and commercial aerospace saw significant gains, while energy metals, Hainan, and gas sectors experienced declines [6] - The military industry sector had a net inflow of 50.72 billion, marking a net inflow rate of 5.31% [7] - The electronics sector led in net outflows, with a total of -67.82 billion, reflecting a net outflow rate of -2.61% [8] Group 4: Individual Stock Fund Flow - "BlueFocus" topped the net inflow list with 13.02 billion, followed by "Yiling" at 9.85 billion [9] - Conversely, "Industrial Fulian" led the net outflow with -26.94 billion, followed by "Xin Yi Pan" at -12.06 billion [10] Group 5: ETF Trading - The top ten ETFs by trading volume included "Zha Gang Securities ETF" at 74.282 billion, with a decrease of 12.56% from the previous trading day [11] - The "Real Estate ETF" saw a significant increase in trading volume, up 161.34% to 7.3597 billion [11] Group 6: Futures Market - In the futures market, all four major index contracts (IH, IF, IC, IM) saw a reduction in positions, with IM experiencing the most significant decrease in short positions [13]

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3836.77 points, up 0.05%, with a trading volume of 715.5 billion yuan [1] - The Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12585.08 points, up 0.37%, with a trading volume of 1012.234 billion yuan [1] - The ChiNext Index closed at 2929.04 points, up 0.31%, with a trading volume of 482.299 billion yuan [1] - The STAR Market 50 Index closed at 1296.60 points, up 0.84%, with a trading volume of 50.8 billion yuan [1] - Total trading volume for both markets was 1727.734 billion yuan, a decrease of 237.927 billion yuan from the previous trading day [1] Sector Performance - Strong sectors included Media, Defense, Military Industry, Computer, Machinery, Education, Construction Decoration, Pharmaceutical Biology, and Retail, with notable activity in concepts like AI, satellite internet, and commercial aerospace [2] - Weak sectors included Oil and Petrochemicals, Coal, Insurance, Banking, and Food and Beverage, with concepts like lithium mining and duty-free showing weakness [2] Stock Performance - A total of 4008 stocks rose, while 1048 stocks fell, with 79 stocks hitting the daily limit up and 35 stocks hitting the limit down [2] - Among the stocks with consecutive limit ups, Zhongshui Fishery led with 7 consecutive limit ups, followed by Guofeng New Materials and Meng Tian Home with 4 consecutive limit ups [5] Capital Flow - The net outflow of main funds in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 13.024 billion yuan, with the ChiNext experiencing a net outflow of 5.956 billion yuan [6] - The Defense and Military Industry sector saw the highest net inflow of main funds at 2.498 billion yuan, followed by Media and Retail sectors [6] - A total of 64 stocks received net inflows exceeding 1 billion yuan, with BlueFocus receiving the highest inflow of 1.344 billion yuan [9][10] Institutional Activity - Institutions had a net buy of 8 stocks, with Dazhong Mining leading at approximately 130 million yuan [15][16] - The most sold stock by institutions was Vision China, with a net outflow of approximately 79.924 million yuan [15][16]

2025 年 11 月 24 日 一周市场回顾 证券研究报告-一周市场回顾 分析师：马遥识途 资格证书：S1330524050001 联系邮箱：mayst@hxzb.cn 联系电话：15201282186 相关研究 一 周 市 场 回 顾 （ 2025.11.10 — 2025.11.14） 2025.11.19 一 周 市 场 回 顾 （ 2025.11.03 — 2025.11.07） 2025.11.14 一周市场回顾 （2025.11.17—2025.11.21） A 股市场： ◼ 本周 A 股上证指数下跌 3.90%，收于 3834.89 点，深证成指下跌 5.13%，收于 12538.07 点，创业板指下跌 6.15%，收于 2920.08 点。 一周市场回顾 （ 2025.10.27 — 2025.10.31） 2025.11.03 融资融券： 请务必阅读报告正文后各项声明 1 / 7 市 场 研 究 · 一 周 市 场 回 顾 · 证 券 研 究 报 告 价值风格类板块代表指数上证 50、中证 100、沪深 300 分别下跌 2.72%、下跌 3.88%、下跌 3.77%，成长风格类板块代表指 ...

Market Overview - The A-share market showed a mixed performance today, with the Shanghai Composite Index slightly up by 0.05% closing at 3836.77 points, while the Shenzhen Component Index rose by 0.37% to 12585.08 points. The STAR 50 Index increased by 0.84% to 1296.6 points, and the ChiNext Index gained 0.31% to close at 2929.04 points. Overall, 4228 stocks rose while 1100 stocks fell, with a total trading volume of 17,406 billion yuan, a decrease of 2,379 billion yuan from the previous trading day [1][2]. Industry Performance - Among the Shenwan first-level industries, sectors such as defense and military industry, media, computer, and social services saw significant gains, with increases of 4.31%, 3.49%, 2.41%, and 2.22% respectively. Conversely, industries like petroleum and petrochemicals, coal, banking, and food and beverage experienced declines, with decreases of 1.21%, 1.09%, 0.79%, and 0.56% respectively [1][2]. Concept Sector Performance - The leading concept sectors today included those related to the China Shipbuilding Industry, aircraft carriers, commercial aerospace, military information technology, and satellite internet, among others. Notably, sectors such as lithium mining and salt lake lithium extraction experienced a pullback [2].

Market Overview - The domestic equity market experienced a pullback due to multiple factors, with the technology sector seeing a larger decline compared to others. On November 21, significant single-day drops were noted, leading to investor divergence regarding future market trends. The Shanghai Composite Index, CSI 300, and SSE 50 fell by 3.9%, 3.8%, and 2.7% respectively, while the Hang Seng Index and Hang Seng Tech dropped by 5.1% and 7.2% respectively [1] External Factors - Following the surge of U.S. tech giants' market capitalization exceeding $5 trillion at the end of October, skepticism regarding an AI bubble has increased. Concerns focus on the substantial capital expenditures expected in AI infrastructure, which may not yield clear returns and face risks of rapid technological obsolescence. The inter-investment and high-value contracts among AI giants create a fragile business model that could collapse if any part fails. Despite positive third-quarter reports from U.S. tech giants, their stock prices showed volatility, raising investor concerns [2] Internal Factors - Recent macroeconomic data indicates that while the overall economy remains stable, there is a structural divergence with external demand outpacing internal demand. The real estate sector, which significantly impacts household assets, has been in a downward adjustment since Q4 2021, further affecting consumer confidence. Investors are questioning the sustainability of a market rally driven solely by liquidity without fundamental support. The financing balance, a key source of market growth, has fluctuated from CNY 1.8 trillion on June 20 to CNY 2.5 trillion by October 29, but has recently shown signs of decline [3] Investment Themes - The analysis suggests that AI and overseas expansion themes are central to the current market rally. AI encompasses both hardware and software dimensions, while overseas expansion includes both manufacturing and service sectors, reflecting the current macroeconomic trend of stronger external demand compared to internal demand [3] Bond Market - In the bond market, yields on government bonds showed mixed results while credit bond yields varied. Despite the central bank's net liquidity injection, the overall funding environment remains tight. Factors such as overseas influences suppressing interest rate cut expectations and domestic real estate stimulus rumors have pressured the bond market. The Shanghai Composite Index's 3.9% drop, particularly the largest since April 7, coincided with a decline in risk appetite, yet bond yields slightly increased due to limited positive factors and unclear monetary policy direction [4]