1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core View of the Report The "15th Five-Year Plan" period is of great significance in the process of basically realizing socialist modernization. Boosting consumption and technological innovation will be the main drivers on the demand and supply sides respectively during the "15th Five-Year Plan" period. Policies conducive to expanding domestic demand and supporting technological innovation will continue to be promoted, and the relevant industries are expected to benefit from the policy advantages [3][4][20]. 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1 "15th Five-Year Plan" 《Suggestions》 Main Content - The "15th Five-Year Plan" 《Suggestions》 has 15 parts and 61 articles, divided into three major sections. It positions the "15th Five-Year Plan" period as an important stage with a connecting role in the process of basically realizing socialist modernization [7]. - The development environment is characterized by both strategic opportunities and risks, with many uncertain and unpredictable factors. Internationally, the relationship between China and the United States is complex, but China has many favorable factors for shaping the external environment. Domestically, China has advantages such as a stable economic foundation, but also faces challenges such as unbalanced and insufficient development [7][8]. - The main goals include achieving significant results in high - quality development, greatly improving the level of technological self - reliance, and continuously improving people's living standards [9]. 3.2 Industry Construction - Prioritize optimizing and upgrading traditional industries to maintain the competitiveness of industries such as mining, metallurgy, and chemical engineering in the global division of labor. Cultivate and strengthen 4 strategic emerging industry clusters and 6 future industries [11]. - Expand the opening - up of the service industry to attract international capital and advanced business models, and moderately and ahead of time build new infrastructure to reserve development space [11]. 3.3 Technological Innovation - Strengthen original innovation and key core technology research in fields such as integrated circuits and industrial mother machines. Increase the proportion of basic research investment to achieve technological self - control [12]. - Promote the in - depth integration of technological innovation and industrial innovation, accelerate the transformation of scientific and technological achievements into productivity, and create new industries [12]. - Implement the "Artificial Intelligence +" action to lead the transformation of scientific research paradigms and empower various industries [12]. 3.4 Domestic Market - Adhere to the strategic basis of expanding domestic demand, combine improving people's livelihood and promoting consumption, and investment in objects and people. Promote the positive interaction between consumption and investment, supply and demand [13]. - Specific measures include boosting consumption (improving consumption scenarios and promoting residents' consumption ability), expanding effective investment (optimizing government investment and stimulating private investment), and removing obstacles to the construction of a unified national market [13][14]. 3.5 Macroeconomic Governance - Strengthen the coordination of fiscal and monetary policies, and maintain the continuity, effectiveness, and consistency of policies. Promote an economic development model driven by domestic demand and consumption [15]. - In fiscal and tax reform, improve the local tax and direct tax systems, and adjust the central - local fiscal relationship [15]. 3.6 Livelihood Security - Solve structural employment problems by strengthening the coordination between industry and employment, and promoting the healthy development of flexible employment [16]. - Improve the income distribution system to increase the income of low - income groups, expand the middle - income group, and form an olive - shaped distribution pattern [17]. - Improve the social security system, including pension and medical insurance, and focus on reducing the high - cost expenditures of residents in education, housing, etc. [17]. 3.7 Green Transformation - With the goal of achieving carbon peak by 2030, accelerate the construction of a new energy system and implement energy - saving and carbon - reduction reforms. The construction of the electricity market and carbon emission trading market is expected to accelerate [18]. - Reduce pollution emissions, strengthen pollution control, and promote the formation of a green production and lifestyle [18]. 3.8 Summary The "15th Five-Year Plan" 《Suggestions》 deploys strategic tasks and major measures in multiple fields. Boosting consumption and technological innovation will be the main focuses, and relevant industries are expected to benefit from policy support [19][20].

Group 1: Industry Research - The core view is that the basic chemical industry is expected to experience a recovery in profitability due to macroeconomic improvements and supply-side policy advancements, with a focus on sectors like phosphate chemicals, potash fertilizers, and pesticides [1] - New materials driven by AI and robotics are anticipated to maintain strong growth momentum, suggesting investment in leading companies with strong cost control and complete industrial chains [1] - Recommendations include focusing on leading enterprises in semiconductor materials, OLED materials, PEEK, and AI materials that possess technological barriers and customer validation advantages [1] Group 2: Company Research - Nanjing Bank reported a revenue of 41.9 billion with an 8.8% year-on-year growth and a net profit of 18 billion, reflecting strong performance and resilience [2] - Ningbo Bank's revenue and net profit growth rates were 8.3% and 8.4% respectively, indicating a stable expansion despite external economic challenges [3] - Wuxi Bank achieved a revenue of 3.77 billion with a 3.9% year-on-year increase, and a net profit of 1.83 billion, showcasing steady growth in non-interest income [4] - China Ping An's net profit increased by 11.5% year-on-year, with new business value growing by 46.2%, indicating a positive outlook for future growth [5] - New Yangfeng's new fertilizer products showed strong growth, with net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 at 1.686, 1.890, and 2.148 billion respectively [7] - Wanhua Chemical's net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 are 12.8, 16.0, and 18.9 billion, supported by steady production and sales growth in polyurethane and new materials [8] - Jianghua Micro's revenue reached 910 million with a 10.92% year-on-year increase, although net profit decreased by 8.66% due to price declines [9] - Runfeng's net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 are 1.141, 1.338, and 1.626 billion, reflecting a positive outlook in the agricultural chemical sector [10] - Shanghai Petrochemical's net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 were adjusted downwards due to declining refining product sales, but future growth is expected from new material projects [11] - Jiuli Special Materials, a leader in industrial stainless steel pipes, maintains net profit forecasts of 1.624, 1.876, and 2.160 billion for 2025-2027 [12] - Hualing Steel's net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 are 4.012, 4.373, and 4.760 billion, indicating a focus on high-end product structure [13] - Shengxin Lithium's net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 are -0.5, 0.17, and 0.37 billion, with improvements expected from lithium price increases [14] - Puyang Refractories reported a revenue of 4.18 billion with a 4.3% year-on-year increase, but net profit decreased by 22.8% [15] - Kingsoft Office's revenue grew by 25% year-on-year, with net profit increasing by 35%, indicating strong performance driven by AI [16] - Nobon Co. achieved a revenue of 2.02 billion with a 29.7% year-on-year increase, and net profit growth of 38.3% [17] - Betain's revenue decreased by 13.8% year-on-year, with a net profit decline of 34.5%, leading to a downward revision of profit forecasts [18] - Furuida's revenue decreased by 7.3% year-on-year, with a net profit decline of 17.2%, but future growth is expected from brand performance [19] - Baoxin Bird's revenue decreased by 1.6% year-on-year, with a significant drop in net profit, leading to a downward revision of profit forecasts [20] - Weikang Medical's revenue increased by 30.1% year-on-year, with net profit growth of 32.4%, indicating strong performance across sectors [21] - Nanwei Medical's net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 are 0.652, 0.765, and 0.927 billion, reflecting a clear growth path [22] - Songcheng Performing Arts reported a revenue decline of 8.98% year-on-year, with a net profit decrease of 25.22%, leading to a downward revision of profit forecasts [23] - Xueda Education's revenue increased by 11.2% year-on-year, but net profit dropped significantly due to cost pressures [24] - Qianwei Central Kitchen's revenue reached 1.378 billion with a 1% year-on-year growth, but net profit declined by 34.06% [25] - Qingdao Beer reported a revenue of 8.88 billion with a slight decline, but net profit increased by 1.6%, indicating stable profitability [26] - Bairun Co. achieved a revenue increase of 3% year-on-year, but net profit declined due to increased investment costs [27] - Gujia Home's revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are 2.04, 2.27, and 2.54 billion, reflecting strong growth momentum [28] - Sun Paper's net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 are 3.28, 3.84, and 4.58 billion, indicating long-term growth potential [29]

Core Insights - The "15th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes a shift towards high-quality development, focusing on effective demand and technological self-reliance, contrasting with the previous plan's broader economic growth goals [1][2][3] Development Environment - The "15th Five-Year Plan" acknowledges complex changes in the development environment, highlighting issues such as unilateralism and insufficient effective demand, indicating a stronger focus on total demand during this period [1][13][14] Development Goals - The plan sets seven specific goals, including significant achievements in high-quality development and a marked increase in technological self-reliance, with a clear target for improving the resident consumption rate [2][16][17] Industrial Development - Key changes in industrial development include a focus on optimizing traditional industries and nurturing emerging and future industries, with specific mention of sectors like quantum technology and hydrogen energy [3][18][19] Technological Innovation - The plan aims for decisive breakthroughs in critical core technologies through a new national system, emphasizing the importance of self-sufficiency in key areas such as integrated circuits and advanced materials [4][19][21] Expanding Domestic Demand - The strategy shifts to a dual approach of using new demand to drive new supply, with a focus on boosting consumption and effective investment, indicating a more proactive stance on domestic market dynamics [5][22][23] Institutional Reforms - The framework for institutional reforms is more focused, aiming to enhance the vitality of various business entities and improve macroeconomic governance, with specific measures for state-owned and private enterprises [6][24][25] Opening Up - The plan emphasizes the need for steady expansion of institutional openness, aligning with international high-standard trade rules and promoting the internationalization of the Renminbi [7][26][27] Rural Revitalization - The rural revitalization strategy remains consistent, with new measures to enhance rural infrastructure and public services, drawing on successful past initiatives [8][27] Regional Development - The plan highlights the importance of regional coordination and the role of key growth areas, promoting a more integrated approach to regional economic development [9][29][30] Green Development - The focus on green development is intensified, with a systematic approach to building a new energy system and achieving carbon peak and neutrality goals [9][31][32] Social Welfare - The plan prioritizes high-quality employment and income growth, with specific measures to enhance social security and address housing as a fundamental issue of public welfare [10][34][35]

Core Insights - The "14th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes the construction of a modern industrial system, reinforcing the foundation of the real economy, with a focus on intelligent, green, and integrated development [1][2] Group 1: Advanced Manufacturing - The plan highlights the importance of maintaining a reasonable proportion of the manufacturing sector, underscoring the critical role of advanced manufacturing in economic development [1][3] - Advanced manufacturing is identified as a key focus for future development, with institutions suggesting it will drive the transformation and upgrading of the economic structure [2][3] Group 2: Traditional Industries - The plan calls for the optimization and upgrading of traditional industries, aiming to enhance the global competitiveness of sectors such as mining, metallurgy, and machinery [2][3] - It emphasizes the need for technological transformation and the promotion of smart, green, and service-oriented manufacturing [2][3] Group 3: Emerging and Future Industries - The plan aims to cultivate and expand emerging and future industries, focusing on strategic sectors like new energy, aerospace, and low-altitude economy [3][4] - It outlines initiatives for large-scale application demonstrations of new technologies and products, accelerating the development of emerging industries [3][4] Group 4: Future Industry Development - The plan encourages exploration of diverse technological routes and business models in future industries, including quantum technology and hydrogen energy [4] - It highlights the potential of sectors like energy storage and solid-state batteries, which are expected to drive growth in emerging industries [4]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the key changes and focuses in the "15th Five-Year Plan" (2026-2030) compared to the "14th Five-Year Plan" (2021-2025), highlighting shifts in development goals, industry focus, and policy priorities. Development Environment - The "15th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes the complexity of the development environment, including unilateralism and hegemonism, while also recognizing favorable long-term trends. It highlights issues such as insufficient effective demand and pressures on employment and income growth, indicating a greater focus on total demand during this period [1][14][16]. Development Goals - The "15th Five-Year Plan" sets seven goals, with a clear emphasis on "significant achievements in high-quality development," which includes maintaining reasonable economic growth, improving total factor productivity, and increasing the resident consumption rate. The plan also introduces a new goal of significantly enhancing self-reliance in technology [2][17][18]. Industry Development - The plan includes a focus on optimizing traditional industries and nurturing emerging and future industries. It highlights the importance of traditional sectors like mining and manufacturing while also emphasizing new industries such as quantum technology and hydrogen energy [3][19][20]. Technological Innovation - The "15th Five-Year Plan" aims for decisive breakthroughs in key core technologies through a new national system and extraordinary measures, particularly in areas like integrated circuits and advanced materials. It also proposes increased R&D tax deductions and greater government procurement of innovative products [4][20][21]. Expanding Domestic Demand - The plan shifts from a supply-driven approach to one that emphasizes demand, aiming to stimulate consumption and investment. It includes measures to enhance consumer spending and streamline government investment processes [5][22][23]. Systemic Reform - The "15th Five-Year Plan" focuses on enhancing the vitality of various business entities and improving the market-oriented allocation of resources. It emphasizes the need for stronger protection of property rights and the optimization of asset structures [7][24][25]. Opening Up - The plan advocates for a steady expansion of institutional openness, aiming to align with international high-standard trade rules and enhance the internationalization of the Renminbi, reflecting a proactive approach in the context of global economic changes [8][26]. Rural Revitalization - The "15th Five-Year Plan" continues to prioritize rural revitalization, incorporating lessons from previous initiatives to improve rural infrastructure and public services, thereby promoting agricultural modernization [9][27][28]. Regional Development - The plan emphasizes the role of key regions in driving economic growth and proposes measures to enhance public services based on residency registration, reflecting a focus on urbanization and regional advantages [10][29]. Green Development - The "15th Five-Year Plan" aims to accelerate the establishment of a new energy system, focusing on increasing the share of renewable energy and implementing dual control over carbon emissions, indicating a commitment to sustainable development [11][30]. Social Welfare - The plan places a strong emphasis on high-quality employment and income distribution, introducing measures to enhance social security and housing supply, reflecting a shift in the perception of housing as a social issue [12][31][32].

Group 1: Macro and Policy Insights - The central bank's resumption of government bond trading reflects strengthened coordination between fiscal and monetary policies, aiding in stabilizing interest rates and expectations [4][6][7] - The anticipated scale of bond purchases may exceed expectations due to liquidity gaps from government bond issuance and maturing MLF and reverse repos [4][6] - The bond market is expected to experience a trend of recovery in Q4, with a recommendation for a barbell strategy focusing on long-term bonds [7] Group 2: Company-Specific Insights - Sinopec Engineering (02386.HK) is recognized for its strong competitive position and high dividend yield, with projected net profits of 2.56 billion, 2.91 billion, and 3.27 billion yuan for 2025-2027, reflecting growth rates of 4%, 14%, and 12% respectively [9] - Rongxin Culture (301231.SZ) shows significant improvement in performance, with net profits expected to reach 0.14 billion, 0.38 billion, and 0.59 billion yuan for 2025-2027, indicating growth rates of 132.1%, 167.4%, and 54.2% respectively [10] - Kingsoft Office (688111.SH) reported a revenue of 1.52 billion yuan for Q3 2025, a year-on-year increase of 25.33%, with net profits of 0.43 billion yuan, up 35.42% [12] - Jiufeng Energy (605090.SH) anticipates a recovery in LNG and LPG business in Q4, with projected net profits of 1.75 billion, 1.98 billion, and 2.14 billion yuan for 2025-2027 [14][15] - Weiming Environmental (603568.SH) is expected to see net profits of 3.05 billion, 3.60 billion, and 4.02 billion yuan for 2025-2027, driven by stable cash flow from waste incineration projects [16] Group 3: Industry Performance - The coal industry showed a 10.9% increase in January, 11.5% in March, but a decline of 1.4% over the year, indicating volatility [2] - The non-ferrous metals sector experienced a significant annual growth of 61.6%, reflecting strong demand and pricing [2] - The textile and apparel industry, represented by companies like Xin'ao Co. (603889.SH), is expected to benefit from rising wool prices, with projected net profits of 0.455 billion, 0.541 billion, and 0.609 billion yuan for 2025-2027 [11]

Group 1: Luxury Goods Industry - The luxury goods sector in Q3 2025 showed better-than-expected performance, particularly in North America, with a slight improvement in consumption in mainland China [3][4] - Major brands like LVMH, Hermès, KERING, and PRADA reported revenue changes of +1.0%, +9.6%, -5.0%, and +8.5% respectively, all exceeding consensus expectations [3] - Miu Miu led the industry with a 29% revenue increase, while Hermès maintained a steady growth trend with a 9.6% increase [3] Group 2: Retail Performance in China - In September, China's retail sales for clothing and textiles grew by 4.7% month-on-month, indicating a faster pace compared to August [5] - The online retail sales of clothing items increased by 2.8% year-on-year from January to September, showing an acceleration in growth [5] - The export of Swiss watches showed a month-on-month improvement, with a 17.8% increase in exports to China, recovering from a significant decline in the previous year [5] Group 3: Adidas and Deckers Financial Guidance - Adidas reported Q3 revenue of €6.63 billion, with a neutral year-on-year growth of 8%, but raised its full-year revenue guidance to a neutral growth of 9%, below the consensus of 10% [4] - Deckers' FY26 Q2 revenue was $1.43 billion, a 9% year-on-year increase, but its full-year guidance of $5.35 billion fell short of the consensus expectation of $5.45 billion [4] - Deckers anticipates that tariff impacts will become more pronounced in the second half of FY26, affecting consumer attitudes [4] Group 4: Tobacco Industry Trends - The new type of oral tobacco products, combining heated non-combustible and vaporized electronic cigarette characteristics, is gaining popularity globally [10] - The market for new oral tobacco products is expected to grow due to lower tax rates and less intense competition compared to vaporized electronic cigarettes [10][11] - PMI's $16 billion acquisition of ZYN's parent company and the FDA's approval of ZYN products are expected to catalyze industry growth [12]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the tax and fee incentives provided by the Chinese government to support the development of the manufacturing industry, highlighting policies related to accelerated depreciation for fixed assets in various sectors [2][12]. Summary by Sections Enjoyment Subjects - Enterprises in all manufacturing sectors, as well as those in information transmission, software, and information technology services, are eligible for the accelerated depreciation policy [2][3]. Enjoyment Content - Six specific industries, including biopharmaceuticals and aerospace, can shorten depreciation periods or adopt accelerated depreciation methods for fixed assets purchased after January 1, 2014 [3]. - Key industries such as light industry, textiles, machinery, and automobiles can also choose to shorten depreciation periods or use accelerated depreciation for fixed assets purchased after January 1, 2015 [3]. - As of January 1, 2019, the scope of industries eligible for accelerated depreciation has been expanded to include all manufacturing sectors [3]. Enjoyment Conditions - The minimum depreciation period for shortened depreciation cannot be less than 60% of the standard depreciation period as per the Corporate Income Tax Law [4][6]. - Enterprises can choose between the double declining balance method or the sum-of-the-years-digits method for accelerated depreciation [4][6]. Enjoyment Time - The incentives have been in effect since January 1, 2014, and will continue to be available [5]. Application Timing - Enterprises must submit monthly, quarterly, and annual corporate income tax prepayment and settlement declarations to enjoy the benefits [7][17]. Required Documentation - Enterprises must retain documentation proving their eligibility, including invoices for fixed asset purchases and records of tax and accounting differences [8][17]. Enjoyment Methods - The application for benefits can be processed through online platforms such as the electronic tax bureau or in-person at tax service halls [9][18]. Policy Basis - The policies are based on several official notifications and regulations issued by the Ministry of Finance and the State Administration of Taxation, including notices from 2014, 2015, and 2019 [12][19].

Core Insights - Tianjin Dongli District focuses on innovation-driven development, cultivating new quality productivity, and continuously releasing new development momentum [1] - The district has added 226 national high-tech enterprises and 133 specialized and innovative enterprises over the past five years, with a technology contract transaction volume of 43 billion yuan [1] - During the 14th Five-Year Plan period, the manufacturing value-added in Dongli District accounts for over 30% of GDP [1] Group 1: Industry Development - Dongli District has cultivated three billion-level industrial chains in new energy intelligent connected vehicles, light industry, and high-end equipment, with the new materials industry cluster's output nearing 50 billion yuan [1] - Strategic emerging industries account for 30.8% of the district's regulated industrial output [1] - The aerospace industry chain's output increased by 60% year-on-year in 2022, supported by leading enterprises like Aisida [1] Group 2: Traditional Industry Transformation - A total of 33 projects, including those from China and American Schering-Plough and Jinqiao Welding Materials, have secured 1.24 billion yuan in national bond funding, driving nearly 10 billion yuan in investments for smart upgrades and energy-saving initiatives [2] - Dongli District has launched 85 "smart transformation" projects in the past three years, enhancing traditional industries while fostering new emerging industries [2] - Twelve enterprises, including Tiangang and Steel Pipe Company, have been recognized as national green factories, while Pinggao Intelligent Electric and Zhixin Electric have been awarded as national excellent intelligent factories [2] Group 3: Collaboration and Investment - Dongli District has leveraged the opportunities from the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei coordinated development, successfully attracting 122 high-quality projects with a total investment of over 40 billion yuan [2] - Collaborations with high-level institutions such as Tsinghua University and the Chinese Academy of Sciences have been established to enhance resource integration [2]

Core Viewpoint - The implementation of the "Ten Key Industries Stabilization Growth Action Plan" aims to stabilize the industrial economy in the short term while promoting structural adjustments for long-term development, focusing on quality improvement and reasonable growth [2][5]. Summary by Sections Stabilizing Expectations and Adjusting Structure - The action plans for the ten key industries have been released, addressing both immediate stabilization and long-term structural adjustments [3][5]. - Industries such as steel, non-ferrous metals, and construction materials face risks of oversupply, while sectors like automotive and electronic information manufacturing are tasked with high-quality development amidst new challenges [3][5]. Clear Goals and Targeted Efforts - Specific targets have been set for various industries for 2025-2026, including: - Automotive industry aims for approximately 32.3 million vehicle sales in 2025, a 3% increase, with a 20% growth in new energy vehicle sales [6]. - The construction materials sector anticipates over 300 billion yuan in revenue from green building materials by 2026 [6]. - The steel industry targets an annual value-added growth of around 4% [6]. Characteristics of the Stabilization Plans - The plans exhibit three main characteristics: clear goals with defined timelines, differentiated measures across industries, and an emphasis on quality and efficiency improvements [7]. - Measures include stimulating consumption in the automotive sector and optimizing supply structures in the steel industry [7]. Trends and Opportunities - The industrial economy showed a 6.2% year-on-year growth in value-added output from January to August, with 31 out of 41 major industries experiencing growth in August [9]. - The automotive sector is positioned to benefit from the penetration of new energy and smart connectivity, while challenges include price wars and supply chain issues [10][11]. Addressing Shortcomings - Future efforts should focus on overcoming technological bottlenecks, enhancing policy execution, and optimizing the industrial ecosystem [13]. - The need for a balanced approach to avoid overcapacity in certain sectors, such as photovoltaics and lithium batteries, is emphasized [13]. Long-term Development Strategy - The stabilization plans aim to create a conducive environment for industrial development and enhance governance modernization [14]. - The transition to new industrialization is seen as a fundamental path for stabilizing growth, with a phased approach to policy implementation [14].