Market Overview - The A-share market saw all major indices rise today, with the Shanghai Composite Index increasing by 0.65% to close at 3914.01 points, the Shenzhen Component Index rising by 1.25% to 13146.72 points, the STAR Market 50 Index up by 0.72% to 1336.76 points, and the ChiNext Index gaining 1.31% to 3092.50 points [1][14] - Overall, 3396 stocks rose while 1868 stocks fell, with a total trading volume of 18739 billion yuan, an increase of 2881 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] Industry Performance - Among the Shenwan first-level industries, the top gainers included non-ferrous metals (up 2.85%), telecommunications (up 2.81%), electronics (up 1.58%), commercial retail (up 1.41%), and social services (up 1.35%). The only sectors that declined were agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery (down 0.43%), environmental protection (down 0.23%), and real estate (down 0.06%) [1][14] Concept Sectors - The leading concept sectors with significant gains today included smart speakers, MCU chips, ice and snow tourism, photolithography machines, selected industrial metals, the Internet of Things, TWS headphones, GPUs, the SMIC industrial chain, rare earths, circuit boards, 6G, AI wearable devices, selected shipping, and AI mobile phones [2][11]

11月30日，第二十三届国际潮团联谊年会在潮州国际会展中心闭幕。现场还举行了国际潮团总会会旗交 接仪式，并正式宣告第二十四届国际潮团联谊年会将于2027年在新加坡举行。 年会期间举办的"桑梓行 凤城遇"招商引资推介会取得实质性进展，现场签约16个重点项目，计划总投 资达151.41亿元。其中，落地类项目11个，计划总投资123.82亿元；意向类项目5个，计划总投资27.59 亿元。项目涵盖制造业、电力、热力生产和供应业、房地产、文旅体、现代农业、新能源等多个领域。 潮州各县区同步开展专场推介和县区系列产业招商活动，组织年会嘉宾走园区、看企业、对口洽谈，近 距离触摸家乡产业发展脉搏。 珠海潮州商会会长谢孟谋是湘桥区官塘镇人，多年在外打拼。他深切感受到家乡营商环境的持续优 化："看得见的是环境改善，感受深的是服务提升。"他打心底里点赞这次湘桥区举办的文化交流和考察 活动，并表示将积极向在外潮商推介家乡新机遇，"家乡发展越来越好，我们也要尽份力"。 当前，潮州经济稳中有进。今年前三季度，潮州GDP增速达5%，全市外贸出口168.2亿元。潮州坚 持"制造业当家"，大力发展特色经济、港口经济和文化经济，"一把手招商"" ...

《筑梦记》《返归》《招投标》，近几年，周新一年一部长篇小说。在新大众写作日益繁荣的当下，他的写作状态备受注目。近日，一场名为《新大众写 作的跃迁——以周新小说创作为例》的研讨会在南京召开。上海、北京、南京等地的评论家、学者以周新的作品为例，把脉新大众写作。 周新是地产行业的职业经理人，作为一名深耕房地产开发与建设工程管理领域30余年的高级工程师，成功操盘多个大型项目。几年前，从小就有文学梦的 周新提前退休，加入文学创作行列。 江苏省作协党组成员、书记处书记丁捷认为，周新是观察江苏新大众写作的"一个鲜活的切口"。近年来，新大众写作领域，江苏出现了一些现象级的作 家，外卖诗人王计兵写诗歌，泰州的常玫瑰，一边卖馄饨，一边写作，每发表一篇作品就把作品的名称贴到墙上去，整个墙都贴满了作品名称。在混沌店 的二楼她还搞了一个书吧，经常做读书交流活动。如今，她的馄饨店已成为一个网红打卡地。南通如皋人陈慧，在浙江余姚市梁弄菜场，一边卖菜，一边 写作，出了好几部作品。而里下河文学，每年或者每两年都要推出十余位作家，也引起了关注，他们同样是新大众写作的一部分。 与会专家认为，新大众写作的跃迁，绝非凌空虚蹈或追逐流量，而是植根现实的 ...

Core Viewpoint - The manufacturing sector shows signs of improvement with a slight increase in the Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI), while the non-manufacturing sector experiences a decline, indicating mixed economic conditions in China [1][2]. Manufacturing Sector - In November, the manufacturing PMI was reported at 49.2%, an increase of 0.2 percentage points from the previous month, indicating a stable upward trend in manufacturing [1][2]. - Among the 13 sub-indices, production index, new orders index, and new export orders index showed increases, with production index reaching the critical point at 50.0% [2]. - The new orders index rose to 49.2%, reflecting improved demand conditions [2]. Non-Manufacturing Sector - The non-manufacturing business activity index fell to 49.5%, a decrease of 0.6 percentage points from the previous month, suggesting a slowdown in non-manufacturing activities [1][2]. - Service industry activity index also declined to 49.5%, influenced by the end of holiday effects, with certain sectors like real estate and residential services showing weaker market activity [2]. Construction Sector - The construction business activity index improved to 49.6%, up by 0.5 percentage points, indicating a recovery in the construction sector [3]. - The business activity expectation index for the construction sector rose to 57.9%, reflecting increased confidence among construction enterprises regarding future industry developments [3]. Investment Outlook - The release of 500 billion yuan in new policy financial tools in October is expected to stimulate infrastructure and manufacturing investments, contributing to economic stability [3]. - Analysts predict that the acceleration of key projects towards the end of the year, combined with special bonds and policy financial tools, will support investment growth [3].

按一下此處編輯母版標題樣式 文件名 产品及投资方案部 ｜2025年12月1日 每周投资策略 中信証券財富管理 (香港) CITIC Securities Wealth Management (HK) 投资策略 每周投资策略 上周环球 大类资产表现 (1) 欧洲市场焦点 通胀温和的状态 可能在明年延续 本周主要地区 经济数据公布日程 奢侈品行业三季度 积极信号显现； 历峰集团；LVMH (2) 印度市场焦点 经济维持较高增速 但难有显著提升 股票 等待情绪反转； Eternal；Hindalco ETF iShares安硕核心 SENSEX印度ETF (3) 菲律宾市场焦点 腐败丑闻对政府支出和 家庭消费造成打击 股票 东盟最便宜的市场； 罗宾逊地产 ； 国际集装箱码头服务 ETF iShares安碩MSCI 菲律賓ETF 1 股票 上周环球 股市表现 美联储12月降息预期大幅反弹，全球股市上涨 | | | | | | 环球主要股票市场表现 | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- ...

Domestic Focus - President Xi Jinping and President Trump had a phone call on November 24, highlighting the overall stability and improvement of China-U.S. relations since the Busan meeting, emphasizing mutual benefits and shared prosperity [1] - The National Bureau of Statistics reported that from January to October, profits of industrial enterprises above designated size reached 59,502.9 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.9%, marking three consecutive months of growth since August [1] - On November 26, six departments, including the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and the National Development and Reform Commission, issued a plan to enhance the adaptability of supply and demand in consumer goods, aiming for industrial upgrades driven by consumption [1] International Focus - The Bank of Korea decided to maintain the benchmark interest rate at 2.5% on November 27, marking the fourth time it has been held at this level since a reduction in May [2] - The U.S. initial jobless claims fell to 216,000, the lowest since April 2025, with previous values revised from 220,000 to 222,000 [2] - On November 24, the White House announced President Trump's signing of an executive order to launch the "Genesis Project," aimed at transforming scientific research through artificial intelligence [2] Market Overview - The A-share market experienced upward fluctuations due to recent domestic consumption policies and rising expectations for a U.S. Federal Reserve rate cut, with technology sectors like AI, communications, and electronics leading the gains [4] - In the bond market, despite a loosening of funds, bond yields rose, indicating a weak performance overall, with market participants adopting a cautious stance ahead of important meetings [5] - Credit bonds showed significant adjustments and weaker performance, with yields and spreads widening, particularly for lower-rated bonds [6] Future Outlook - The upcoming important domestic meetings in December are expected to maintain a positive macro policy tone, potentially boosting A-share performance if the Federal Reserve proceeds with rate cuts [8] - In the bond market, current yield levels are expected to have strong support, with a potential for a rebound, while strategies should focus on high-yield short-duration credit bonds [9] - The real estate market is still in an adjustment phase, but supportive policies are anticipated to gradually stabilize the market [9]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the steel and non-ferrous metals sectors [6] Core Insights - The report highlights that the profitability of the steel sector is expected to recover to historical average levels due to government policies aimed at phasing out outdated production capacity [5] - The report notes that the liquidity environment for small and medium enterprises has improved slightly, with the BCI index at 52.50, indicating a positive trend [11] - The report indicates that the total inventory of five major steel varieties is at its highest level for the same period in four years, suggesting potential supply pressures [22] Summary by Relevant Sections Liquidity - The BCI index for small and medium enterprises in November 2025 is 52.50, up 0.17% month-on-month [11] - The M1 and M2 growth rate difference was -2.0 percentage points in October 2025, down 0.80 percentage points from the previous month [11] - The current price of London gold is $4,219 per ounce, reflecting a 3.80% increase from the previous week [11] Infrastructure and Real Estate Chain - The total inventory of five major steel varieties is at a four-year high [22] - The price changes for key materials include rebar up 0.93% and cement price index up 0.22% [22] - The national average capacity utilization rate for blast furnaces is 88%, down 0.6 percentage points [43] Industrial Products Chain - The operating rate for semi-steel tires is at a five-year median [3] - Major commodity price changes include cold-rolled steel down 0.25% and copper up 1.77% [3] - The operating rate for semi-steel tires is 69.19%, down 1.88 percentage points [3] Sub-sectors - The price of tungsten concentrate has reached a new high since 2012, at 339,000 yuan per ton, up 3.04% from last week [3] - The price of electrolytic aluminum is 21,430 yuan per ton, reflecting a 0.33% increase [3] - The price of electrolytic copper is 87,480 yuan per ton, up 1.77% [3] Price Ratio Relationships - The gold-silver price ratio has reached its lowest level since August 2024, at 78 times [4] - The price ratio of rebar to iron ore is 4.08 this week [4] - The price difference between hot-rolled and rebar steel is 40 yuan per ton [4] Export Chain - The new export orders PMI for China in October 2025 is 45.90%, down 1.9 percentage points [4] - The CCFI composite index for container shipping rates is 1,121.80 points, down 0.09% [4] - The capacity utilization rate for crude steel in the U.S. is 76.90%, up 0.70 percentage points [4] Valuation Percentiles - The CSI 300 index increased by 1.64%, with industrial metals performing best at +3.46% [5] - The PB ratio for the steel sector relative to the CSI 300 is currently at 0.53, with a historical high of 0.82 [5] - The report suggests that the profitability of the steel sector is likely to recover, leading to a potential PB ratio recovery [5]

Economic Outlook - China is expected to maintain an economic growth target of around 5% for 2026, consistent with 2025, reflecting the central government's focus on stabilizing growth and promoting recovery [1] Consumption - From January to October 2025, total retail sales of consumer goods reached 41.2 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 4.3%, showing a slowdown from a peak of 5% in May [2] - The job market is showing signs of recovery, with the urban unemployment rate dropping to 5.10% in October 2025, and is expected to approach 5.0% [2] - The retail sales growth for 2026 is projected to be around 4.20%, indicating a moderate recovery despite structural pressures [2] Investment - Fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) from January to October 2025 was 408.914 billion yuan, down 1.7% year-on-year, primarily due to a significant decline in infrastructure and real estate investment [3] - Infrastructure investment is expected to rebound significantly in 2026, with a projected growth rate of approximately 5.50% [3] - Manufacturing investment is anticipated to recover to a growth rate of around 5.55% in 2026, supported by improved capacity utilization [3] Real Estate - Real estate investment is at a historical low, slightly above levels during the public health crisis, primarily due to weak sales [4] - The year-on-year growth rate of housing prices is showing signs of marginal recovery, with new residential prices down 2.60% and second-hand prices down 5.40% in October 2025 [4] - The decline in real estate investment is expected to narrow to -10.65% in 2026 [4] Exports - Total exports from January to October 2025 reached 221.146 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 6.2%, despite uncertainties from U.S. tariff policies [5] - Exports to non-U.S. regions have shown strong growth, with significant increases to Africa (26.10%), the EU (7.50%), ASEAN (14.30%), and India (12.30%) [6] - The global economic recovery and potential easing of tariffs are expected to provide a more stable environment for exports in 2026 [5][6] Prices - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 0.2% year-on-year in October 2025, while the Producer Price Index (PPI) fell by 2.1% [7] - Both CPI and PPI are expected to improve, with PPI potentially turning positive in the first half of 2026 [7] Fiscal and Monetary Policy - Fiscal policy is expected to remain proactive, with a projected deficit rate increase from 4% to 4.5% in 2026, alongside an increase in special bond issuance [8] - Monetary policy is anticipated to remain moderately loose, with potential interest rate cuts of 10-20 basis points in 2026 [8] Overall Economic Assessment - The Chinese economy is projected to achieve around 5% growth in 2026, supported by policy measures, external demand recovery, and improving price levels [9]

据韩国保健福祉部11月30日发布的最新统计数据，韩国一人户家庭数量持续上升，去年占家庭总户数的 比重首次超过36%。 具体数据显示，韩国一人户家庭数量已达到804.5万户，占比36.1%。也就是说，当前在韩国每三户家庭 中就有一户为"一人户家庭"。上述数据还显示，2015年这一规模为520万户（27.2%），2020年增至664 万户（31.7%），之后持续攀升。按当前趋势推算，一人户数量预计将在2027年达855万户，2037年达 971万户，至2042年逼近1千万户。 韩国学者金允俊告诉第一财经，韩国一人户家庭数量近些年来的增长，是韩国社会结构变化的缩 影，"一人经济"正以前所未有的速度渗透进韩国社会的方方面面，催生了新的消费模式。 "一人经济" 就年龄结构来看，"一人户家庭"的数量不断上升涉及年轻人与65岁及以上老年人两大群体。其中29岁以 下年轻人占比最高（19.8%），70岁以上老年人次之。 就年轻人而言，近些年来，"一人户家庭"数量的不断上升。首尔科学综合研究生院大学主任教授黄菲告 诉第一财经，韩国政府也在积极应对这一现象，比如推出一些青年公寓，甚至缩小或干脆取消了厨房的 面积，因为现在便利店的餐 ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent stock price volatility of Wantong Development reflects market reassessment of its transition from real estate to the semiconductor industry, with investors showing both optimism and caution regarding the company's transformation efforts [3][4]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Wantong Development's stock has seen a cumulative increase of over 22% in the past month, with a notable 19.99% rise in the last two trading days before a 7.38% drop on November 28, closing at 12.92 yuan [3]. - The fluctuations in stock price indicate a divided sentiment among investors regarding the company's future in the semiconductor sector [3]. Group 2: Semiconductor Business Development - In August, Wantong Development acquired a 62.98% stake in Beijing Shudu Information Technology Co., marking its entry into the PCIe 5.0/6.0 high-speed interconnect chip market, coinciding with a surge in AI computing demand [4]. - The PCIe 5.0 switch chip has entered the introduction phase with multiple clients, and is expected to achieve mass production by Q4 2025, addressing a gap in the domestic AI server interconnect chip market [4][5]. - The chip's application in AI servers is significant, as it directly impacts system computing efficiency, with a high technical barrier and potential for market replacement [4]. Group 3: Governance Changes and Incentive Plans - The company faced governance challenges following the former chairman's legal issues, which raised concerns about the stability of its strategic direction [7]. - An equity incentive plan was introduced, granting restricted stock to 106 key technical and management personnel at Shudu Technology, representing 63% of its total workforce, with a grant price of 6.25 yuan per share [7]. - The incentive plan's performance targets exceed the commitments made at the time of acquisition, indicating a dual intention to stabilize the core team and reinforce confidence in the semiconductor business [7]. Group 4: Challenges in Transformation - Despite efforts to stabilize the team, Wantong Development's transition faces significant challenges, as indicated by its Q3 2025 financial report showing a revenue decline of 4.37% to 317 million yuan, although net losses narrowed by 82.94% [8]. - The company is leveraging cash flow from its traditional real estate business to support its strategic shift towards communication and digital technology, seeking a second growth curve in the digital economy [8]. - The complexity of understanding the new business model poses a challenge, as the transition from real estate to technology-intensive sectors increases management difficulties [8][9]. Group 5: Market Position and Competition - Wantong Development's diversification into various sectors, including satellite internet and 5G technology, raises concerns about a lack of coherent strategic planning [9]. - The company faces uncertainty regarding the sustainability of demand as it shifts from the stable real estate market to rapidly evolving technology sectors, where competition is fierce [9][10]. - The company has yet to establish a competitive advantage in the technology field, with previous investments resulting in significant losses, impacting shareholder value [10].