投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1778 号 宝城期货股指期货早报（2026 年 1 月 28 日） ◼ 品种观点参考—金融期货股指板块 时间周期说明：短期为一周以内、中期为两周至一月 | 品种 | 短期 | 中期 | 日内 | 观点参考 | 核心逻辑概要 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | IH2603 | 震荡 | 震荡 | 偏弱 | 震荡整理 | 估值端提升较快，股指震荡整固 需求升温 | 备注： 1.有夜盘的品种以夜盘收盘价为起始价格，无夜盘的品种以昨日收盘价为起始价格，当日日盘收盘 价为终点价格，计算涨跌幅度。 2.跌幅大于 1%为弱势，跌幅 0~1%为偏弱，涨幅 0~1%为偏强，涨幅大于 1%为强势。 3.偏强/偏弱只针对日内观点，短期和中期不做区分。 期货研究报告 ◼ 主要品种价格行情驱动逻辑—金融期货股指板块 品种：IF、IH、IC、IM 日内观点：偏弱 中期观点：震荡 参考观点：震荡整理 核心逻辑：昨日各股指均震荡整理。沪深京三市成交额 29215 亿元，较上日缩量 3592 亿元。中长期 来看，政策面利好预期以及增量资金持续净流入股市的 ...

投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1778 号 宝城期货贵金属有色早报（2026 年 1 月 28 日） ◼ 品种观点参考 时间周期说明：短期为一周以内、中期为两周至一月 | 品种 | | 短期 | 中期 | 日内 | 观点参考 | 核心逻辑概要 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 黄金 | 2604 | 震荡 | 强势 | 强势 | 观望 | 高位波动加剧，短期资金获利了 结意愿强 | | 铜 | 2603 | 震荡 | 强势 | 弱势 | 观望 | 强预期弱现实 | 说明： 1.有夜盘的品种以夜盘收盘价为起始价格，无夜盘的品种以昨日收盘价为起始价格，当日日盘收盘价为终点价格， 计算涨跌幅度。 主要品种价格行情驱动逻辑—商品期货 品种：黄金（AU） 2.跌幅大于 1%为弱势，跌幅 0~1%为震荡偏弱，涨幅 0~1%为震荡偏强，涨幅大于 1%为强势。 3.震荡偏强/偏弱只针对日内观点，短期和中期不做区分。 专业研究·创造价值 1 / 3 请务必阅读文末免责条款 期货研究报告 日内观点：强势 中期观点：强势 参考观点：观望 核心逻辑：昨日夜盘纽约金 ...

Group 1: Investment Ratings - No investment ratings are provided in the report Group 2: Core Views - The copper price closed lower overnight The concentrate supply remains tight, and smelting profits are on the verge of profit and loss Although the smelting output decreased month - on - month, it generally continued to grow strongly The power investment is stable, automobile production and sales are growing, home appliance production is declining, and the real estate market remains weak The supply disruption in the copper mine has led to an expected supply - demand deficit globally After the release of optimistic sentiment, the copper price may experience a phased adjustment [2] - The zinc price closed higher overnight The zinc concentrate processing fee has declined, and the concentrate supply is temporarily tight, but the smelting output continues to grow The galvanized sheet inventory is generally at a high level The cumulative growth rate of infrastructure investment is slowing down, automobile production and sales are growing, home appliance production is declining, and the real estate market remains weak The overall supply - demand difference of zinc is not obvious After the release of the overall optimistic sentiment in non - ferrous metals, the zinc price may experience a phased adjustment [2] Group 3: Summary by Catalog (Market Data) - **Copper**: The previous domestic futures closing price was 102,280 yuan/ton, the domestic basis was - 260 yuan/ton, the previous LME 3 - month contract closing price was 13,024 dollars/ton, the LME spot premium (CASH - 3M) was - 93.80 dollars/ton, the LME inventory was 170,525 tons, and the daily change of LME inventory was - 1,175 tons [2] - **Aluminum**: The previous domestic futures closing price was 24,230 yuan/ton, the domestic basis was - 190 yuan/ton, the previous LME 3 - month contract closing price was 3,213 dollars/ton, the LME spot premium (CASH - 3M) was - 5.71 dollars/ton, the LME inventory was 505,275 tons, and the daily change of LME inventory was - 2,000 tons [2] - **Zinc**: The previous domestic futures closing price was 24,895 yuan/ton, the domestic basis was - 15 yuan/ton, the previous LME 3 - month contract closing price was 3,359 dollars/ton, the LME spot premium (CASH - 3M) was - 30.81 dollars/ton, the LME inventory was 111,325 tons, and the daily change of LME inventory was - 175 tons [2] - **Nickel**: The previous domestic futures closing price was 146,110 yuan/ton, the domestic basis was - 2,370 yuan/ton, the previous LME 3 - month contract closing price was 18,235 dollars/ton, the LME spot premium (CASH - 3M) was - 214.32 dollars/ton, the LME inventory was 285,552 tons, and the daily change of LME inventory was 1,824 tons [2] - **Lead**: The previous domestic futures closing price was 16,935 yuan/ton, the domestic basis was - 140 yuan/ton, the previous LME 3 - month contract closing price was 2,028 dollars/ton, the LME spot premium (CASH - 3M) was - 47.43 dollars/ton, the LME inventory was 213,600 tons, and the daily change of LME inventory was - 1,575 tons [2] - **Tin**: The previous domestic futures closing price was 450,220 yuan/ton, the domestic basis was 12,000 yuan/ton, the previous LME 3 - month contract closing price was 54,865 dollars/ton, the LME spot premium (CASH - 3M) was - 244.00 dollars/ton, the LME inventory was 7,065 tons, and the daily change of LME inventory was - 130 tons [2]

Morning session notice 早盘提示 更多精彩内容请关注格林大华期货官方微信 研究员： 纪晓云 从业资格： F3066027 交易咨询资格：Z0011402 联系方式：010-56711796 | | | | | | | 钢材: 【行情复盘】 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 周二螺纹热卷收跌。夜盘收跌。 【重要资讯】 | | | | | 1、上周（1 月 19 日-1 月 25 日），10 个重点城市新建商品房成交（签约）面积总 | | | | 计 | 117.04 万平方米，环比下降 3%，同比下降 33.8%。 | | | | | 2、2025 年，全国规模以上工业企业实现利润总额 73982.0 亿元，比上年增长 0.6%。 | | | | | 3、2025 年，黑色金属冶炼和压延加工业实现利润总额 1098.3 亿元，同比增长 | | 黑色建材 | 钢材 | 震荡 | 299.2%。 | | | | | 4、2025 年冰洗市场整体规模达 2489.6 亿元，处于近十年高位水平。其中，2025 | | | | | 年冰箱产业零售额达 1271 ...

Morning session notice Morning session notice 早盘提示 早盘提示 更多精彩内容请关注格林大华期货官方微信 更多精彩内容请关注格林大华期货官方微信 ，须注明出处为格林大华期货有限公司。 研究员： 刘洋 从业资格： F3063825 交易咨询资格：Z0016580 联系方式：liuyang18036@greendh.com | 板块 | 品种 多（空） | 推荐理由 【行情复盘】 | | --- | --- | --- | | | | 周二国债期货主力合约开盘大致平开，多数全天横向窄幅波动，30 年期品种回调较 多，截至收盘 30 年期国债期货主力合约 TL2603 下跌 0.33%，10 年期 T2603 持平， | | | | 5 年期 TF2603 持平，2 年期 TS2603 持平。 | | | | 【重要资讯】 | | | | 1、公开市场：周二央行开展了 4020 亿元 7 天期逆回购操作，当天有 3240 亿元逆 | | | | 回购到期，当日合计净投放 780 亿元。 | | | | 2、资金市场：周二银行间资金市场隔夜利率有所回落，DR001 全天加 ...

所长 早读 国泰君安期货 2026-01-28 期 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 1 期货研究 期货研究 2026-01-28 所长 早读 今 日 发 现 美伊冲突或有升级，美元重挫，黄金又新高 观点分享： 美伊冲突或有升级，美元重挫，黄金又新高。昨天市场的波动基本上都被美伊冲突升级 的可能性所带动，美国在中东加强军事部署，和据相关人士爆料美国可能对伊朗动武的消息 极大的增加了市场的担忧。加之美国消费者信心指数创近年来新低、特朗普表示不担心美元 下跌、同时同时市场开始加注周三(今日晚间)公布的联储利率决议暂停降息等诸多因素的影 响，美元出现大幅下滑。受此影响，贵金属也因此保持了强势，黄金价格再创历史新高；离 岸人民币三年来也首次涨破 6.94。日元三连涨，欧元和英镑也创下三年来新高。正在股市方 面，市场表现的仍然较为强势。在美股科技公司财报公布之际，市场对盈利预期较为乐观。 标普创下历史新高；欧洲方面主要国家股市也都基本保持了上涨的趋势。 所 长 首 推 | 板块 | 关注指数 | | --- | --- | | 生猪 | ★★★★ | 生猪：旺季预期落空，近端供应压力显现。近期生猪现货市场表现出两个异常 ...

广发早知道-汇总版 广发期货研究所 电 话：020-88818009 E-Mail：zhangxiaozhen@gf.com.cn 目录： 每日精选： 金融期货： 股指期货、国债期货 贵金属： 黄金、白银、铂、钯 集运欧线 商品期货： 有色金属： 铜、氧化铝、铝、铝合金、锌、锡、镍、不锈钢、碳酸锂、工业硅、多 晶硅 黑色金属： 钢材、铁矿石、焦煤、焦炭、硅铁、锰硅 农产品： 油脂、粕类、玉米、生猪、白糖、棉花、鸡蛋、红枣、苹果 能源化工： PX、PTA、乙二醇、短纤、瓶片、纯苯、苯乙烯、LLDPE、PP、甲醇、烧 碱、PVC、尿素、纯碱、玻璃、天然橡胶、合成橡胶 投资咨询业务资格： 证监许可【2011】1292 号 每日重点关注品种逻辑解析 金融衍生品： 组长联系信息： 张晓珍（投资咨询资格：Z0003135） 电话：020- 88818009 邮箱：zhangxiaozhen@gf.com.cn 周敏波（投资咨询资格：Z0010559） 电话：020-81868743 邮箱：zhoumingbo@gf.com.cn 朱迪（投资咨询资格：Z0015979） 电话：020-88818008 邮箱：zhudi@g ...

| | 申银万国期货研究所 陆甲明 （从业编号F3079531 交易咨询号Z0015919） lujm@sywgqh.com.cn 021-50583880 | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | LL | | | PP | | | | | 1月 | 5月 | 9月 | 1月 | 5月 | 9月 | | | 前日收盘价 | 6947 | 6899 | 6930 | 6676 | 6709 | 6745 | | 期 | 前2日收盘价 | 6974 | 6935 | 6962 | 6716 | 6737 | 6778 | | 货 | 涨跌 | -27 | -36 | -32 | -40 | -28 | -33 | | 市 | 涨跌幅 | -0.39% | -0.52% | -0.46% | -0.60% | -0.42% | -0.49% | | 场 | 成交量 | 76 | 496965 | 37005 | 194 | 408475 | 29237 | | | 持仓量 | 228 | 520760 | 709 ...

| 申万期货品种策略日报——股指 | 2026/1/28 | 星期三 | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 申银万国期货研究所 贾婷婷（从业资格号：F3056905；交易咨询号：Z0016232 ）jiatt@sywgqh.com.cn;15921620356 | 申银万国期货研究所 柴玉荣 （从业资格号：F03111639；交易咨询号：Z0018586）chaiyr@sywgqh.com.cn;18802979529 | | | | | | | | | | | 一、股指期货市场 | IF当月 | IF下月 | IF下季 | IF隔季 | | | | | | | | 前两日收盘价 | 4713.80 | 4719.40 | 4701.60 | 4653.40 | 前日收盘价 | 4714.80 | 4718.20 | 4703.00 | 4653.40 | | | 涨跌 | -7.60 | -9.60 | -6.00 | -9.80 | 沪深300 | 涨跌幅 | -0.1 ...

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. Core Viewpoints - On January 27, 2026, equity index and CGB futures were mixed, and most commodities showed lower performance, with AU, AG, and vegetable oils rising [2][10][11]. - The profits of China's SVIA rose by 0.6% in 2025 [1][3][36]. - Hong Kong will launch offshore treasury bond futures and expand the interest rate derivatives business under the "Stock Connect" [37]. Summary by Directory 1. China Futures 1.1 Overview - On January 27, equity index and CGB futures were mixed. In equity index futures, IC rose 0.6% and IF dropped 0.2%; in CGB futures, T rose 0.00% and TL dropped 0.33%. In commodity futures, most showed lower performance, with AU, AG, and vegetable oils rising. The top three gainers were Silver, RBD Palm Olein, and Tin, while the top three decliners were Platinum, PTA, and Coking Coal [10][11][12]. 1.2 Daily Raise - **RBD Palm Olein**: Rose 2.7% to 9,238 yuan/ton on January 27. It is set to enter a production decline season with an expected inventory destocking trend, and the market is projected to trade sideways with a bullish bias. The recent rise in crude oil prices and bullish fundamental expectations have underpinned the overall uptrend of vegetable oils. Attention should be paid to biodiesel policies and export performance in producing regions, and the arbitrage strategy of long palm oil and short rapeseed oil is recommended [15][18][19]. 1.3 Daily Drop - **Coking Coal**: Dropped 3.0% to 1,116.5 yuan/ton on January 27. Demand - side winter stockpiling is still underway, and supply - side coal mines are expected to see a production decline as the holiday approaches. The fundamentals will continue to improve marginally with strong spot market support, but the bullish driving force from fundamentals is limited, and the market is expected to trade sideways [22][24][25]. - **Coke**: Dropped 2.8% to 1,668.0 yuan/ton on January 27. Supported by a firm cost side, coupled with lingering expectations of steel mill resumptions and remaining demand for winter stockpiling replenishment, the coke market faces limited supply - demand structural imbalances. Spot price hikes are still expected to materialize, and the futures market is projected to track the movement of coking coal [28][32][33]. 2. China News 2.1 Macro News - In 2025, China's industrial enterprises above designated size achieved a total profit of 7.3982 trillion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 0.6% [36]. 2.2 Industry News - Hong Kong Chief Executive Li Jiachao stated that Hong Kong will launch offshore treasury bond futures and expand the interest rate derivatives business under the "Stock Connect" [37].