信贷市场坏账风险持续发酵，一系列备受瞩目的企业违约事件引发华尔街高度警惕。在近期英国非银金融机构倒闭事件的冲击波下，私募信贷巨 头受到波及，Apollo全球管理旗下基金被迫下调估值并削减派息。 这一事件迅速在资本市场引发连锁反应，相关金融机构股价纷纷下挫。受此拖累，Jefferies Financial Group股价暴跌近9.8%，Apollo股价下滑达 4.7%。此外，巴克莱银行和桑坦德银行的股价亦在开盘后走低，跌幅分别为3.8%和1.7%。 据华尔街见闻此前文章，英国贷款机构Market Financial Solutions（简称MFS）近日轰然倒闭并进入英国破产管理程序。法庭文件显示，该机构内 部实体指控其存在"严重违规"及抵押品"重大缺口"，导致为其提供融资的多家华尔街巨头面临巨额潜在损失。 桑坦德集团 NYSE: SAN : 12.94 USD -0.27 (2.04%) ↓ 今天 收盘时间: 2月27日 GMT-5上午7:39 • 免责声明 开盘前 12.91 −0.030 (0.23%) 1 个月 6 个月 ５天 YTD 1 年 最大 1 天 5 年 13.2 = 昨日 13.05 USD ...

担保比例提至高位，资金调仓节奏加快 ——资金行为研究双周报（2026/02/05-2026/2/26） 证券研究报告/策略定期报告 2026 年 02 月 26 日 分析师：徐驰 执业证书编号：S0740519080003 Email：xuchi@zts.com.cn 执业证书编号：S0740522050001 Email：wangyj09@zts.com.cn 1、《春节后科技主线行情或将如何演 绎？》2026-02-15 2、《A H 股市场周度观察（2 月第 2 周）》2026-02-15 3、《A H 股市场周度观察（2 月第 1 周）》2026-02-08 请务必阅读正文之后的重要声明部分 报告摘要 分析师：王永健 市场资金流向概览：创业板指、万得全 A 机构资金动荡流出，创业板资金共识仍待凝 聚。2 月 9 日后机构资金对创业板指、万得全 A 流出动能增强并呈震荡流出，散户资 金对两大指数稳步净流入；机构资金净流入加速度在万得全 A、科创综指趋于收敛， 在创业板指波动较大，创业板指资金分歧突出，市场整体资金共识仍待凝聚。 市值与估值风格：小市值指数获得机构与散户资金同步加仓，高估值指数的机构资金 ...

3月两会，3月底4月初中美关系观察窗口，可能都会演绎震荡市中的反弹波段。震荡波段中，最佳机会 是科技新方向，春节假期兑现新亮点的方向，就是短期结构性机会的主要来源，重点关注：机器人产业 (机器人尚未触及低性价比区域)、AI大模型(A股可能更多体现为AI应用的扩散机会)、存储。另外，美 伊冲突担忧升温，关注石油、油运。基于中期机会做配置，景气科技和周期Alpha仍是方向。另外，中 期看好非银金融的重估机会。 兴业证券：节后A股将进入一段高胜率窗口，继续看好A股节后迎来新一轮上行 兴业证券表示，节前A股跟随海外资产调整后已释放了一定的风险，节后A股即将进入一段高胜率窗 口，叠加海外美国关税违宪和特朗普访华日程敲定支撑风险偏好、国内宏观和产业层面的密集催化对结 构上形成指引，继续看好A股节后迎来新一轮上行。 A股三大股指集体低开，沪指跌0.43%，创业板指跌1.23%。盘面上，旅游板块表现活跃，三特索道涨超 3%;锂矿、半导体等板块大幅回调，盛鑫锂能、天齐锂业跌超2%。 机构看后市 申万宏源：春节假期，压制总体风险偏好的因素仍较多，节后可能延续短期调整 申万宏源表示，维持中期还有"第二阶段上涨"的判断，可能启动的窗 ...

编辑|何小桃杜恒峰校对|程鹏 2月26日，港股收跌，其中恒生指数跌1.44%，恒生科技指数重挫2.87%。香港主板市场超1000只个股下跌，南向资金净流出74亿港元。 恒生科技指数三连阴，重要成分股中，阿里巴巴跌3.57%，百度集团跌4.27%，腾讯跌2%，美团跌2.72%，京东跌2.62%，小米集团跌1.18%。 | < w | 恒生科技(HSTECH) | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 5109.33 -151.17 -2.87% | | | | 茨城 成分 | 资讯 | 相关基金 | 月度收益 | | 小鹏汽车-W | 67.500 | -5.06% | -3 | | 9868.HK | | | | | 华虹半导体 | 97.850 | -4.82% | -4 | | 1347.HK | | | | | 毕 里 毕 里-W | 218.200 | -4.63% | -10 | | 9626.HK | | | | | 理想汽车-W | 68.650 | -4.45% | -3 | | 2015.HK | | | | | 百度集团-SW | 123.400 | -4.2 ...

Group 1 - The total margin balance of A-shares reached 26,466.26 billion yuan on February 25, increasing by 238.70 billion yuan from the previous trading day, accounting for 2.52% of the A-share circulating market value [1] - The margin trading volume on the same day was 2,474.56 billion yuan, an increase of 193.33 billion yuan from the previous trading day, representing 9.97% of the total A-share trading volume [1] Group 2 - Among the 31 primary industries in Shenwan, 25 industries experienced net financing inflows, with the electronics industry leading at a net inflow of 4.096 billion yuan [3] - Other industries with significant net financing inflows included non-ferrous metals, basic chemicals, defense and military industry, non-bank financials, and communications [3] Group 3 - A total of 76 stocks had net financing inflows exceeding 100 million yuan, with Northern Rare Earth leading at a net inflow of 936.31 million yuan [4] - Other notable stocks with high net financing inflows included Tongfu Microelectronics, Huagong Tech, Shenghong Technology, Feilihua, Baosteel, Yuntianhua, Zijin Mining, Yongtai Technology, and China Rare Earth [4]

节前科创债供给缩量。本周（2026.2.9-2026.2.13，下同）科创债新增供给达 292.8 亿元，因假期因素主动减量，规 模较前一周明显收缩。发行结构以银行间 1 年内品种为主，亦有宁德时代等优质龙头 5 年期品种发行。新债认购方面， 科创债品种较普通信用债认购相对清淡，市场优先抢配高等级短久期品种，ETF 成分券标的更受机构青睐。 存量科创债评级呈现高度集中特征，AA+及以上隐含评级债券数量占比为 73.7%，AA 级中等资质个券占比也达到 22.1%， 反映部分中小科创主体融资需求；行业分布则以传统行业为主导，建筑装饰、公用事业、综合行业债券数量占比 38.8%， 纺织服饰、通信、非银金融行业较该行业全部信用债估值存在 16bp 以上的超额利差。 科创债品种内部比价方面，最新一周科创债指数成分券与非成分券的利差走阔至 27.1bp，银行间品种与成分券利差读 数也走阔至 8.5bp。拆分到 1-3 年，银行间品种与指数成分券存在近 20bp 的压缩空间。总的来看，节后科创债市场短 期将延续震荡格局，短久期高等级及 ETF 成分券表现占优，投资策略上可聚焦 1-3 年期 AAA 品种，较强的流动性便于 ...

2月24日，A股三大指数延续涨势，上证指数涨0.72%，全市场成交额近2.5万亿元，较昨日放量超2600亿元，超3700只个股收红。板块题材上，小金属、磷 化工、钢铁、稀土永磁、电池、PCB、房地产、PET铜箔、港口航运板块涨幅居前，影视院线、银行、算力租赁、游戏板块跌幅居前；港股高开震荡，盘面 热点轮动较快，非银金融板块活跃。 截至收盘，中证A500指数上涨1%，沪深300指数上涨0.6%，创业板指数上涨1.4%，上证科创板50成份指数上涨0.5%，恒生中国企业指数上涨0.3%。 | 沪深300指数由沪深市场中规 | 令日 | 该指数 | | --- | --- | --- | | 模大、流动性好的300只股票 | 沪深300指数涨跌 | 滚动市盈率 | | 组成,完整覆盖11个中证一级 行业 | 0. 6% | 14.2倍 | | 中证A500指数由各行业市值较 | マ日 | 该指数 | | 大、流动性较好的500只证券 | 中证A500指数涨跌 | 滚动市盈率 | | 组成,覆盖93个三级行业中的 | | | | 89个 | 1.0% | 17.4倍 | 跟踪上证科创板50成份指数 该指数由科创板中市值 ...

Core Insights - The report highlights a significant increase in travel during the Spring Festival, with total passenger flow expected to reach 9.5 billion, marking a historical high. Self-driving remains the dominant mode of transport, with a daily average of 261 million trips, accounting for nearly 85% of total travel [13][35] - The report indicates a recovery in consumer spending, particularly in the retail and tourism sectors, driven by long holiday periods, consumption vouchers, and promotional events. Key retail and catering enterprises saw a daily average sales increase of 5.7% during the Spring Festival [25][30] - The film box office during the Spring Festival saw a significant decline, with revenues dropping to 5.752 billion, the lowest since 2018, and average ticket prices also decreased [31][34] Information Technology Industry - The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index and Taiwan Semiconductor Industry Index showed upward trends, with DRAM prices increasing and MLCC revenues rising significantly in January [4][7] - The report notes a general increase in prices across the semiconductor sector, with NAND index rising by 5.58% [8] Midstream Manufacturing - Prices in the new energy supply chain have generally increased, particularly for lithium raw materials, while sales growth in major engineering machinery companies showed mixed results [4][7] - The report mentions a decrease in the year-on-year growth rate of cargo throughput at Chinese ports, indicating a potential slowdown in midstream manufacturing activity [4][7] Consumer Demand - The report observes an increase in sugar prices, while pork prices have declined. The average wholesale price of pork fell by 0.17% [4][7] - The average ticket price for movies decreased by 5.9%, reflecting a broader trend of reduced consumer spending in the entertainment sector [31][34] Resource Products - The report indicates a decline in rebar prices, while coal prices remained stable. Brent crude oil prices increased, and the chemical product price index showed a general upward trend [4][7] - Industrial metal prices have generally risen, with copper, tin, zinc, cobalt, nickel, and aluminum prices increasing, while inventories for most metals have decreased [4][7] Financial and Real Estate Sector - The report highlights a net injection in the money market, with SHIBOR rates rising. A decrease in A-share turnover and daily transaction volume was noted [4][7] - The report indicates a decline in land transaction premium rates and a decrease in the area of commercial housing sold [4][7] Public Utilities - The report notes a decrease in natural gas ex-factory prices, while electricity generation growth rates have slowed [4][7]

Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the report about the industry investment rating. Report's Core View The report analyzes the investment value of the Bank of China GEM 50 Index (026770/026771). It points out that the GEM 50 Index features high - tech growth and high - quality fundamentals, and performs well in growth - dominant environments and market rebounds. The Bank of China Fund, as the fund manager, has rich experience in managing passive index products [2]. Summary According to the Directory 1. Highlight the Characteristics of the Growth Enterprise Market and Focus on the Broad - based Index of New - Quality Productivity - **Index Compilation Method**: Composed of the 50 stocks with the largest average daily trading volume in the GEM market, it focuses on the liquidity of sample stocks and combines industry coverage, using free - float market capitalization weighting and adjusting every six months [5][6]. - **Index Weight and Market Value Distribution**: As of January 31, 2026, the index has 50 constituent stocks. The weight is concentrated in the top ten constituent stocks, accounting for 65.27%. The average free - float market value is 9.0192 billion yuan, and the average total market value is 14.3456 billion yuan. Both are mainly concentrated between 2 billion and 5 billion yuan [7][10]. - **Index Industry Characteristics**: The constituent stocks are concentrated in the power equipment and communication industries, with a high degree of industry concentration. Compared with the GEM Index, it has more prominent high - tech growth attributes and is highly compatible with new - quality productivity [14][21]. - **Fundamental Characteristics**: The R & D investment as a proportion of operating income is close to 6%, higher than that of other broad - based indexes. The annual return on net assets from 2020 to 2024 is between 14% and 20%, showing high - quality characteristics [22][26]. 2. Index Investment Value Analysis: Prominent Growth Style and Elasticity - **Outstanding Performance in Growth - Dominant Environments**: The GEM 50 focuses on GEM stocks with high - tech growth attributes. In growth - dominant environments, its cumulative return far exceeds that of the Guozheng Growth Index, and the weekly average return since 2014 is 2.56% [27][31]. - **Superior Rebound Strength**: Due to the wider daily price limit of GEM constituent stocks, in several market rebounds since 2022, the GEM 50 Index shows high rebound strength, and the rebound interval returns generally exceed those of comparable indexes [35]. 3. Bank of China GEM 50 Index (026770/026771) It is an over - the - counter passive index product of the Bank of China Fund, which started raising funds on February 24, 2026, with a raising period until March 13, 2026. The current fund managers are Ms. Li Nian and Mr. Yao Jin. The management fee rate is 0.50%, and the custody fee rate is 0.10% [38]. 4. Fund Manager and Fund Manager Information - **Fund Manager Introduction**: The Bank of China Fund is a Sino - foreign joint - venture fund management company jointly established by the Bank of China and BlackRock. It currently manages 14 passive index products with a total scale of 10.043 billion yuan [40]. - **Fund Manager Introduction**: Ms. Li Nian has 9 years of securities experience, and the total scale of her managed products is 299 million yuan. Mr. Yao Jin has 12 years of securities experience, and the total scale of his managed products is 278 million yuan [42][43].

Market Performance - The Hong Kong stock market showed a positive performance during the Spring Festival, with the Hang Seng Technology Index rising over 3% and the overall Hang Seng Index increasing by 1.4% [1] - The A-share market also experienced a "New Year opening red," with the Shanghai Composite Index surpassing 4100 points [1] - Despite the initial positive performance, the Hong Kong market faced a downturn post-holiday, particularly in internet stocks, while sectors like materials, real estate, energy, and healthcare supported the market [1] Sector Performance - The performance of various sectors in the Hong Kong market is as follows: - Materials: +21.60% - Real Estate and Construction: +19.06% - Energy: +18.94% - Industrial: +16.70% - Healthcare: +10.39% - Financials: +6.10% - Information Technology: -8.77% [2] Investment Opportunities - There are significant investment opportunities in the Hong Kong market, particularly in sectors like industrial metals, high-end manufacturing, and innovative pharmaceuticals [3][16] - The influx of southbound capital has led to a change in pricing logic for Hong Kong stocks, making them more sensitive to changes in risk appetite from mainland investors [4] - The appreciation of the Renminbi since December 2024 has increased the attractiveness of Chinese assets, benefiting companies listed in Hong Kong that report earnings in Renminbi [5] Economic Factors - The Federal Reserve is in a rate-cutting cycle, and the expected changes in liquidity are limited, indicating a stable environment for the Hong Kong market [9] - The correlation between Hong Kong stocks and A-shares has strengthened, suggesting that Hong Kong stocks may experience passive increases alongside A-shares [4] Fund Management Insights - Fund manager Zhou Hanying, with extensive experience in global investments, is optimistic about sectors such as non-ferrous metals, AI, and innovative pharmaceuticals [3][16] - The upcoming fund, 景顺长城衡瑞精选混合, will focus on a balanced investment strategy, allowing for a maximum of 50% allocation to Hong Kong stocks to leverage Zhou's expertise [11]