| 产业期现日报 | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可 【2011】1292号 | 2025年6月3日 | | | | 林嘉施 | Z0020770 | | 价格及基差 | | | | | | | | 现值 | | | 前值 | 日 | 日涨跌幅 | 单位 | | SMM 1#电解销 | | 122325 | 121525 | 800 | 0.66% | 7C/HT | | 1#金川镇 | | 123525 | 122625 | 900 | 0.73% | 元/吨 | | 1#金川镇升贴水 | | 2600 | 2500 | 100 | 4.00% | 元/吨 | | 1#进口镇 | | 121175 | 120375 | 800 | 0.66% | 元/肥 | | 1#进口镇升贴水 | | 250 | 250 | O | | 元/吨 | | LME 0-3 | | -203 | -196 | -7 | 3.79% | 美元/吨 | | 期货进口盈亏 | | -3496 | -3085 | -411 ...

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Ratings - No industry investment ratings are provided in the report. Group 2: Core Views of the Report - For copper, the macro level shows a weakening signal, the fundamental contradiction is weak, and the domestic refined copper balance may shift from tight to neutral. Attention should be paid to the possible slight increase in inventory, which may suppress the absolute price [1]. - For aluminum, supply increases slightly, demand in May - June is not expected to decline significantly, there is still a supply - demand gap, and inventory is expected to decline gently from May to July. The fundamentals are acceptable, and attention should be paid to demand. The monthly positive spread can be held if the absolute price falls [1]. - For zinc, the zinc price fluctuates widely this week. The domestic social inventory accumulates slowly, and the inflection point of accelerated accumulation is expected to appear in early June. Attention should be paid to the node of inventory change from decline to accumulation, and short positions are recommended to be held. The domestic - foreign positive spread can be partially closed at an appropriate time [2]. - For nickel, the supply is at a high level, the demand is weak, the overseas nickel plate inventory accumulates slightly, and the domestic inventory remains stable. The opportunity to shrink the nickel - stainless steel price ratio can be continuously monitored [3]. - For stainless steel, the supply rebounds seasonally in April and some steel mills cut production passively in May. The demand is mainly for rigid needs. The fundamentals remain weak, and it is expected to fluctuate in the short term [3]. - For lead, the price fluctuates and declines this week. The supply is expected to decrease in May. It is expected to fluctuate in the range of 16400 - 16700 next week [6]. - For tin, affected by the overall low commodity sentiment and weak energy varieties, the tin price center moves down. In the short term, it is recommended to wait and see, and in the medium term, pay attention to short - selling opportunities [9]. - For industrial silicon, the overall supply and demand are in a tight - balance state currently, but there is large potential supply pressure in the future. In the long - term, the price is expected to bottom - out based on the cash - flow cost of leading manufacturers [12]. - For lithium carbonate, the price falls this week. In the short term, the downstream demand is weak, and the price is expected to decline after fluctuations next week. In the medium - long term, if the operating rate of leading mining - smelting integrated enterprises does not decline significantly, the price will still fluctuate weakly [14]. Group 3: Summary by Metals Copper - **Market Data**: From May 26 to May 30, the Shanghai copper spot price increased by 30, the waste - refined copper price difference increased by 101, and the LME inventory decreased by 2500 [1]. - **Market Situation**: Overseas, a large amount of Russian copper is extracted from LME warehouses, and the LME cash - 3M spread widens. Domestically, the cross - month spread and spot premium remain stable, and the downstream demand may weaken. The supply is affected by the shutdown of Kamora Copper Mine, which is expected to resume in the fourth quarter [1]. Aluminum - **Market Data**: From May 26 to May 30, the Shanghai aluminum ingot price decreased by 90, the domestic alumina price increased by 1, and the domestic social inventory decreased by 16856 [1]. - **Market Situation**: Supply increases slightly, demand in May - June is not expected to decline significantly, and there is still a supply - demand gap. Inventory is expected to decline gently from May to July [1]. Zinc - **Market Data**: From May 26 to May 30, the Shanghai zinc ingot price decreased by 60, the domestic social inventory remained unchanged, and the LME inventory decreased by 2225 [2]. - **Market Situation**: The zinc price fluctuates widely this week. The domestic TC rises, and the smelting output in June is expected to increase by 25,000 tons compared with May. The domestic demand elasticity is limited, and the overseas demand recovers slightly. The domestic social inventory accumulates slowly, and the LME inventory declines slightly [2]. Nickel - **Market Data**: From May 26 to May 30, the Shanghai nickel spot price increased by 550, the spot import return decreased by 874.57, and the LME inventory decreased by 762 [3]. - **Market Situation**: The pure nickel supply is at a high level, the demand is weak, the overseas nickel plate inventory accumulates slightly, and the domestic inventory remains stable [3]. Stainless Steel - **Market Data**: From May 26 to May 30, the prices of 304 cold - rolled coil, 304 hot - rolled coil, 201 cold - rolled coil, 430 cold - rolled coil, and waste stainless steel remained unchanged [3]. - **Market Situation**: The supply rebounds seasonally in April and some steel mills cut production passively in May. The demand is mainly for rigid needs, and the fundamentals remain weak [3]. Lead - **Market Data**: From May 26 to May 30, the spot premium decreased by 10, the Shanghai - Henan price difference remained unchanged, and the LME inventory decreased by 2375 [4]. - **Market Situation**: The price fluctuates and declines this week. The supply side has problems such as raw material shortage and low profit, and the demand side has high battery inventory and weak overall demand [6]. Tin - **Market Data**: From May 26 to May 30, the spot import return decreased by 1720.64, the spot export return increased by 2414.63, and the LME inventory remained unchanged [9]. - **Market Situation**: Affected by the overall low commodity sentiment and weak energy varieties, the tin price center moves down. The supply is affected by the situation in Myanmar, and the demand is limited by the slowdown of the electronics and photovoltaic industries [9]. Industrial Silicon - **Market Data**: From May 26 to May 30, the 421 Yunnan basis increased by 55, the 421 Sichuan basis decreased by 45, and the warehouse receipt quantity decreased by 615 [12]. - **Market Situation**: The overall market start - up rate increases slightly. The demand from the organic silicon industry increases slightly, but the overall demand is weak. The inventory is at a high level, and there is large potential supply pressure in the future [12]. Lithium Carbonate - **Market Data**: From May 26 to May 30, the SMM electric - grade lithium carbonate price decreased by 200, the SMM industrial - grade lithium carbonate price decreased by 200, and the warehouse receipt quantity decreased by 427 [14]. - **Market Situation**: The price falls this week. The downstream demand is weak, the supply side has production resumption and reduction situations, and the inventory accumulation speed slows down. In the short term, the price is expected to decline after fluctuations [14].

铜 有色金属小组 吴坤金 从业资格号：F3036210 交易咨询号：Z0015924 0755-23375135 wukj1@wkqh.cn 曾宇轲 有色金属日报 2025-6-3 五矿期货早报 | 有色金属 从业资格号：F03120988 0755-23375122 zhangsj3@wkqh.cn 王梓铧 从业资格号：F03130785 0755-23375132 wangzh7@wkqh.cn 刘显杰 从业资格号：F03130746 0755-23375125 liuxianjie@wkqh.cn 陈逸 从业资格号：F03137504 0755-23375125 cheny40@wkqh.cn 上周铜价小幅冲高后回落，伦铜周跌 1.22%至 9497 美元/吨，沪铜主力合约收至 77600 元/吨，端午 假期间特朗普威胁提高钢铁和铝关税导致美铜走强，贵金属和原油价格亦上涨，伦铜上涨 1.24%。产 业层面，上周三大交易所库存环比减少 0.2 万吨，其中上期所库存增加 0.7 至 10.6 万吨，LME 库存 减少 1.5 至 15.0 万吨，COMEX 库存增加 0.5 至 16.4 万吨。上海保税区库 ...

Core Points - Shenzhen Zhongjin Lingnan Nonfemet Company Limited has successfully issued its first phase of technology innovation bonds for the year 2025, raising a total of 800 million RMB [1] - The bonds have a maturity period of 3 years, with an interest rate of 2.03% and a face value of 100 RMB per 100 RMB [1] - The issuance was approved during the annual shareholders' meeting held on May 8, 2023, where the company was authorized to register and issue medium-term notes up to 5 billion RMB [1] Summary by Sections Bond Issuance Details - Bond Name: Shenzhen Zhongjin Lingnan Nonfemet Company Limited 2025 First Phase Technology Innovation Bond [1] - Bond Code: 102582195.IB [1] - Total Issued Amount: 800 million RMB, matching the planned issuance [1] - Interest Rate: 2.03% [1] - Issuance Date: May 29, 2025 [1] - Maturity Date: May 29, 2028 [1] Approval and Registration - The company received approval from the China Interbank Market Dealers Association to register the medium-term notes with a total amount of 5 billion RMB [1] - The registration is valid for 2 years from the date of the notice [1] Underwriters - Bookrunner: Shanghai Bank Co., Ltd. [1] - Lead Underwriters: Shanghai Bank Co., Ltd., CITIC Bank Co., Ltd., Beijing Bank Co., Ltd., China Everbright Bank Co., Ltd., Ping An Bank Co., Ltd. [1]

Core Viewpoint - The national manufacturing PMI for May recorded at 49.5%, showing a 0.5 percentage point increase from the previous month, indicating a near median level for the same period over the past five years [1][3][4]. Demand and Supply - Both demand and supply sides have improved, with external demand rebounding more strongly than internal demand. The new order index rose to 49.8%, up 0.6 percentage points, while the new export order index increased by 2.8 percentage points to 47.5% [6][12]. - The production index rose by 0.9 percentage points to 50.7%, indicating a recovery in manufacturing production [6][10]. Industry Performance - The equipment manufacturing and high-tech manufacturing sectors showed significant growth in new orders, with indices above 52%. Consumer goods manufacturing also saw a stable increase, with new export orders rising over 6 percentage points into the expansion zone [1][8]. - However, some industries, such as textiles and non-ferrous metal processing, reported new order and production indices below the critical point, indicating insufficient release of production and demand [6][8]. Price Trends - The decline in price indices has narrowed significantly, with raw material prices and factory gate prices both decreasing by only 0.1 percentage points compared to the previous month. This indicates that the ability of companies to pass on costs has not yet recovered [10][12]. Non-Manufacturing Sector - The non-manufacturing business activity index recorded at 50.3%, slightly down by 0.1 percentage points but still above the critical point. The construction sector showed a business activity index of 51%, indicating ongoing expansion [12][13]. - The service sector's business activity index rose to 50.2%, reflecting a slight recovery driven by holiday consumption demand [13].

有色早报 研究中心有色团队 2025/05/30 铜 ： 日期 沪铜现货 升贴水 废精铜 价差 上期所 库存 沪铜 仓单 现货进口 盈利 三月进口 盈利 保税库 premium 提单 premium 伦铜 C-3M LME 库存 LME 注销仓单 2025/05/23 160 455 98671 33406 -442.58 364.60 92.0 104.0 31.14 164725 72075 2025/05/26 180 629 98671 32833 - 46.37 93.0 105.0 - - - 2025/05/27 140 544 98671 34961 -822.25 261.41 94.0 109.0 40.08 162150 76350 2025/05/28 150 554 98671 34861 -796.53 232.23 89.0 106.0 44.97 154300 71175 2025/05/29 145 564 98671 32165 -810.64 212.82 89.0 105.0 51.57 152375 74450 变化 -5 10 0 -2696 -14.11 -19. ...

有色早报 研究中心有色团队 2025/05/29 铜 ： 日期 沪铜现货 升贴水 废精铜 价差 上期所 库存 沪铜 仓单 现货进口 盈利 三月进口 盈利 保税库 premium 提单 premium 伦铜 C-3M LME 库存 LME 注销仓单 2025/05/22 125 495 108142 31754 -701.34 264.30 92.0 108.0 15.88 166525 68650 2025/05/23 160 455 98671 33406 -442.58 364.60 92.0 104.0 31.14 164725 72075 2025/05/26 180 629 98671 32833 - 46.37 93.0 105.0 - - - 2025/05/27 140 544 98671 34961 -822.25 261.41 94.0 109.0 40.08 162150 76350 2025/05/28 150 554 98671 34861 - 232.23 89.0 106.0 44.97 154300 71175 变化 10 10 0 -100 - -29.18 -5.0 -3. ...

Board Restructuring Announcement - China Aluminum Corporation is conducting a board restructuring as the current board's term is about to expire [1][2] - The company has nominated eight candidates for the ninth board, including three executive directors, two non-executive directors, and three independent non-executive directors [1][2] Board Candidates - Executive director candidates include He Wenjian, Mao Shiqing, and Jiang Tao, all of whom have extensive experience in management and production technology [4][5] - Non-executive director candidates are Li Xiehua and Jiang Hao, both with significant backgrounds in production technology and enterprise management [5][6] - Independent non-executive director candidates include Yu Jinsong, Chen Yuanyou, and Li Xiaobin, all of whom meet the qualifications and independence requirements set by relevant regulations [2][7][8] Election Process - The nominated candidates will be submitted to the shareholders' meeting for election, with independent non-executive director candidates requiring approval from the Shanghai Stock Exchange before being presented [2] - The election will utilize a cumulative voting system, and the board will consist of nine members, including one employee director to be elected by the employee representative assembly [2] Compliance and Qualifications - All nominated candidates meet the legal and regulatory requirements for serving as directors, with no disqualifications or prior administrative penalties from the China Securities Regulatory Commission [2][3]

证券代码：000878 证券简称：云南铜业 公告编号：2025-045 云南铜业股份有限公司 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整， 没有虚假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 云南铜业股份有限公司（以下简称公司）于 2025 年 5 月 28 日召开第九届董事会第三十九次会议，审议通过了《云 南铜业股份有限公司关于取消公司监事会并修订 <公司章> 程>的预案》。 根据《中华人民共和国公司法》 （2023 年修订）和《中 国证监会上市公司章程指引》（2025 年修订）等相关法律法 规的最新监管要求，公司将不再设置监事会，监事会的职权 由董事会审计与风险管理委员会行使，同时设置 1 名职工代 表董事，并对现行《公司章程》进行修订，相关修订情况如 下： 序号 原全文条款 修订后条款 第一条 为规范云南铜业股份有限公司（以 第一条 为规范云南铜业股份有限公司（以下简称公 司）的组 下简称公司）的组织和行为，坚持和加强党的全 （以下简称《证券法》）《中国共产党章程》《中华人民共和 织和行为，全面贯彻落实"两个一以贯之"重要要求，坚持和加 强 面领导，完善公司法人治理结构，建设中国特色 党的全面领导，完善 ...

证券代码：000878 证券简称：云南铜业 公告编号：2025-043 云南铜业股份有限公司 本预案需提交公司股东大会审议。本预案为股东大会特 别决议事项，审议时须经出席股东大会的股东及股东授权代 表所持表决权股份总数的 2/3 以上表决通过。 二、以 10 票同意，0 票反对，0 票弃权，审议通过《云 南铜业股份有限公司关于修订 <股东会议事规则> 的预案》； 具体内容详见公司同日在指定信息披露媒体上披露的 《云南铜业股份有限公司股东会议事规则》； 本预案需提交公司股东大会审议。本预案为股东大会特 别决议事项，审议时须经出席股东大会的股东及股东授权代 表所持表决权股份总数的 2/3 以上表决通过。 三、以 10 票同意，0 票反对，0 票弃权，审议通过《云 南铜业股份有限公司关于修订 <董事会议事规则> 的预案》 具体内容详见公司同日在指定信息披露媒体上披露的 《云南铜业股份有限公司董事会议事规则》； 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整， 没有虚假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 云南铜业股份有限公司（以下简称云南铜业或公司）第 九届董事会第三十九次会议以通讯方式召开，会议通知于 在规定时 ...