1. Report Industry Investment Ratings The document does not provide industry investment ratings. 2. Report's Core View The report presents the market trends and outlooks for various commodities on November 4, 2025, including precious metals, base metals, energy, chemicals, agricultural products, and livestock. It also analyzes the fundamental data and macro - industry news of each commodity, and gives the trend strength ratings for each commodity. 3. Summary by Commodity Precious Metals - **Gold**: Attention should be paid to risks in US banks. The trend strength is 0. The price of Comex gold 2512 was 4013.70 with a 0.01% increase [2][5]. - **Silver**: It is expected to rebound in a volatile manner. The trend strength is 1. The price of Comex silver 2512 was 47.910 with a - 0.70% decrease [2][5]. Base Metals - **Copper**: A decrease in LME inventory restricts price decline. The trend strength is 0. The price of the Shanghai copper main contract was 87,300 with a 0.33% increase [2][9]. - **Zinc**: It is expected to run strongly. The trend strength is 0. The price of the Shanghai zinc main contract was 22,565 with a 0.94% increase [2][12]. - **Lead**: A continuous decrease in overseas inventory supports the price. The trend strength is 0. The price of the Shanghai lead main contract was 17,420 with a 0.17% increase [2][15]. - **Tin**: Attention should be paid to macro - impacts. The trend strength is 1. The price of the Shanghai tin main contract was 285,760 with a 0.65% increase [2][18]. - **Aluminum**: It is expected to fluctuate strongly. The trend strength is 1. The price of the Shanghai aluminum main contract was 21,600 with a 300 increase compared to T - 1 [2][22]. - **Alumina**: There is support at the bottom. The trend strength is 0. The price of the Shanghai alumina main contract was 2789 with a - 4 decrease compared to T - 1 [2][22]. - **Nickel**: Accumulated inventory at the smelting end suppresses the price, while uncertainties at the ore end provide support. The trend strength is 0. The price of the Shanghai nickel main contract was 120,950 with a 360 increase compared to T - 1 [2][26]. - **Stainless Steel**: The steel price is expected to fluctuate in a narrow range at a low level. The trend strength is 0. The price of the stainless - steel main contract was 12,630 with a - 25 decrease compared to T - 1 [2][26]. Energy and Chemicals - **Crude Oil - related**: - **LPG**: Demand improvement is limited, and the futures valuation is high [2][49]. - **Fuel Oil**: It is expected to fluctuate strongly, but weaker than low - sulfur fuel oil in the short term [2][53]. - **Low - Sulfur Fuel Oil**: There was a short - term adjustment in the night session, and the spot high - low sulfur spread in the overseas market continued to rise [2][53]. - **Chemicals**: - **PTA**: Demand is acceptable, but supply pressure still exists, and it is in a high - level volatile market [2][28]. - **MEG**: Supply pressure is large, and the trend is weak [2][28]. - **Rubber**: It is expected to fluctuate [2][30]. - **Synthetic Rubber**: The cost has collapsed, and it is running weakly [2][32]. - **Asphalt**: It fluctuates following crude oil [2][34]. - **LLDPE**: Unplanned maintenance has increased, and attention should be paid to import pressure [2][36]. - **PP**: It is expected to fluctuate in the medium term [2][37]. - **Caustic Soda**: Cost provides support, and it is in a volatile market [2][38]. - **Paper Pulp**: It is expected to fluctuate [2][40]. - **Glass**: The price of the original sheet is stable [2][42]. - **Methanol**: It is expected to run weakly [2][43]. - **Urea**: It is under pressure and fluctuating [2][45]. - **Styrene**: It is expected to fluctuate weakly [2][47]. - **Soda Ash**: There are few changes in the spot market [2][48]. Agricultural Products and Livestock - **Oils and Fats**: - **Palm Oil**: There is a lack of driving factors, and short - term support should be noted [2][61]. - **Soybean Oil**: The price of US soybeans has rebounded, and the spread between soybean oil and palm oil is expected to widen [2][61]. - **Grains and Oilseeds**: - **Soybean Meal**: US soybeans have reached a new high, and the domestic soybean meal may follow the rebound [2][63]. - **Soybean**: The start of state - reserve purchases has stabilized the market [2][63]. - **Corn**: It is expected to fluctuate [2][65]. - **Sugar and Cotton**: - **Sugar**: It is in a range - bound adjustment [2][66]. - **Cotton**: The impact of the price of seed cotton on cotton futures has weakened [2][67]. - **Livestock and Poultry**: - **Eggs**: They are expected to fluctuate and adjust [2][69]. - **Pigs**: The price center has further declined [2][70]. - **Peanuts**: Attention should be paid to the spot market [2][71].

Core Viewpoint - Agricultural Bank of China’s Liupanshui Shucheng Branch is actively supporting Shougang Liupanshui Steel Group Co., Ltd. in its transformation and efficiency enhancement efforts through financial assistance [1] Group 1: Financial Support - The bank plans to issue 20 million yuan in credit loans to subsidiaries of Shougang Group by 2025 through its "Technology E-Loan" program [1] - This financial support aims to facilitate the production of high-end metal new materials, promoting domestic substitution [1] Group 2: Industry Impact - The initiative is designed to inject financial momentum into the old industrial base of Liupanshui, stabilizing and strengthening the supply chain [1] - The bank's customer managers are actively engaging with the steel group to understand production and funding needs [1]

Economic Indicators - The Huachuang Macro WEI index decreased to 4.82% as of October 26, down 0.42 points from the previous week[7] - Retail sales of passenger cars fell by 9% year-on-year as of October 26, compared to a previous decline of 3%[10] - The sales of commercial residential properties in 67 cities dropped by 33% year-on-year in the last week of October, with a monthly decline of 27%[12] Construction and Infrastructure - The cement shipment rate slightly decreased to 37.4% as of October 24, down 1% from the previous week[19] - The average operating rate of asphalt plants was 31% in the last two weeks of October, down from 35% in the previous two weeks[19] Trade and Shipping - Container throughput at ports fell by 8.2% week-on-week as of October 26, while year-on-year growth was 6.6%[26] - The number of cargo ships from China to the U.S. dropped significantly by 30.4% year-on-year in the first half of November[33] Commodity Prices - The price of rebar in Shanghai rose by 0.6% to 3,210 CNY/ton, while the iron ore price index increased by 1.9% to 107.7 USD/ton[45] - The national cement price index increased by 0.2%[45] Financial Instruments - The yield on 1-year, 5-year, and 10-year government bonds was reported at 1.3826%, 1.5662%, and 1.7954%, respectively, with declines of 8.9bps, 5.12bps, and 5.32bps from the previous week[50]

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The report comprehensively presents macro - economic data, commodity investment trends, financial news, and stock market information. It shows that the economy has both positive and negative factors, such as the mixed performance of PMI data, the upward trend of some metal prices, and the complex situation in the energy and agricultural markets. At the same time, various policy regulations and market reforms are also underway, which will have an impact on different sectors [1][2][5][16]. Summary by Directory Macro Data Overview - In Q3 2025, GDP growth at constant prices was 4.8% year - on - year, lower than the previous quarter's 5.2%. In October 2025, the manufacturing PMI was 49%, down 0.8 percentage points from the previous month, while the non - manufacturing PMI was 50.1%, up 0.1 percentage points from the previous month [1]. - In September 2025, M1 and M2 growth rates were 7.2% and 8.4% year - on - year respectively, with M1 significantly higher than the previous year's - 3.3%. The CPI was - 0.3% year - on - year, and the PPI was - 2.3% year - on - year [1]. - In September 2025, exports and imports increased by 8.3% and 7.4% year - on - year respectively, showing strong foreign trade performance [1]. Commodity Investment Reference Comprehensive - In October 2025, China's official manufacturing PMI declined, while the non - manufacturing PMI entered the expansion range. In 2026, the export quota management of phosphate rock and silver will be suspended, and export license management will be implemented [2]. - The soybean meal and corn series option contracts of the Dalian Commodity Exchange will be listed for trading on February 2, 2026. The China Futures Association has issued the "Futures Market - Making Transaction Business Management Rules" [2]. - The Ministry of Finance and the State Tax Administration have issued a gold tax policy, exempting value - added tax for standard gold transactions on the Shanghai Gold Exchange and the Shanghai Futures Exchange under certain conditions [3]. Metals - London's basic metals mostly rose. Due to the tight supply of copper ore and the Fed's interest - rate cut cycle, copper prices are on an upward trend. The price of LME copper has reached a record high [5]. - In Q3 2025, the global gold demand reached 1313 tons, a 3% year - on - year increase, and the demand value soared 44% to $146 billion, both hitting single - quarter records [5]. - As of October 30, 2025, the aluminum, tin, and nickel inventories in the London Metal Exchange reached new highs, while the lead inventory reached a new low [6]. Coal, Coke, Steel, and Minerals - In the first three quarters of 2025, China's steel production and consumption continued to decline, with the decline in consumption greater than that in production. The average CSPI in the first three quarters was 93.6 points, a 9.64% year - on - year decrease [7]. - As of October 27, 2025, the coal inventory of national unified - regulated power plants was 2.2 billion tons, sufficient for over 35 days. The underground gas storage has completed the annual gas injection task [8]. Energy and Chemicals - The main contract of US crude oil rose. OPEC + members are inclined to slightly increase oil production in December. Turkey's refineries are buying more non - Russian oil [10]. - In October 2025, Russia's pipeline natural gas exports to Europe increased by 5% month - on - month, and its LNG exports in October increased by 21% [10]. Agricultural Products - In October 2025, Ukraine's grain exports decreased from 3.7 million tons in October 2024 to 2.5 million tons. The US Department of Agriculture will release multiple key agricultural reports in November [13][14]. - Poland will maintain the import ban on some Ukrainian agricultural products [14]. Financial News Compilation Open Market - On October 31, 2025, the central bank conducted 355.1 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations, with a net investment of 187.1 billion yuan on that day. This week, 2.068 trillion yuan of reverse repurchases will mature [15]. Important News and Information - The central bank governor proposed to optimize the basic currency issuance mechanism and the intermediate variables of monetary policy. The finance minister pointed out that during the "15th Five - Year Plan" period, special bonds and ultra - long - term special treasury bonds will be used to boost consumption and resolve local government debt [16][17]. - The National Development and Reform Commission allocated 200 billion yuan of new special bond quotas from the 500 billion yuan local government debt balance limit. The National Bureau of Statistics released the October PMI data [17]. - The CSRC and the Asset Management Association of China solicited opinions on the guidelines for the performance comparison benchmarks of public funds, aiming to standardize the performance comparison benchmarks of public funds [18]. Bond Market Summary - The sentiment in the inter - bank bond market was positive, with long - term bonds performing better. The prices of treasury bond futures rose, and the yields of secondary and perpetual bonds declined [23]. - In the exchange bond market, some bonds such as "23 Tai Cai Yuan" rose significantly, while some bonds such as "25 Gong Tou 1A" fell [24]. Foreign Exchange Market Express - The on - shore RMB against the US dollar closed at 7.1135 on October 31, 2025, down 28 basis points from the previous trading day. The US dollar index rose 0.18% [28]. Research Report Highlights - Xingzheng Fixed - Income analyzed the convertible bond holdings of fixed - income + funds in Q3 2025, indicating that the proportion of convertible bonds held by public funds continued to reach new highs, but the overall position of fixed - income + products decreased [29]. - CITIC Securities believed that the expansion of the pilot area for pension wealth management products to the whole country will promote the improvement of the multi - level pension insurance system [29]. Stock Market Important News - After the Shanghai Composite Index exceeded 4000 points, the A - share market fluctuated and adjusted last week. Institutions suggest investors start to layout low - valued sectors with expected profit recovery [33]. - As of October 31, 2025, 5446 domestic listed companies disclosed their Q3 reports, with a total operating income of 53.46 trillion yuan and a net profit of 4.7 trillion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 1.36% and 5.5% respectively [33]. - Many foreign - funded public funds have performed well this year, and fund managers are still optimistic about the allocation value of high - quality technology, manufacturing, and resource - related assets in the fourth quarter [34][35]

Group 1: US-Korea Trade Agreement - The US and South Korea are very close to finalizing a new trade agreement, as stated by President Trump [2][4] - Trump emphasized the importance of South Korea as a key economic and security partner and urged increased investment in US industries [4][5] - The partnership between US and South Korea is seen as central to regional stability and economic growth, with ongoing cooperation in manufacturing and shipbuilding [4][5] Group 2: Investment Details - Under the previous trade agreement, South Korea is set to provide $350 billion for US-controlled investment projects, with $150 billion specifically allocated for shipbuilding cooperation [5] - The investment is aimed at helping South Korean companies enter the US market, particularly in sectors where South Korea has competitive advantages such as shipbuilding, semiconductors, batteries, and energy [5] Group 3: US Senate Bill on Brazil Tariffs - The US Senate passed a bill aimed at overturning the current 50% tariff on Brazilian goods, which was enacted under a national emergency status [7][8] - The bill passed with a vote of 52 to 48, but it still requires approval from the House of Representatives, where it is expected to be stalled [8] - Critics argue that the tariffs have harmed US consumers by increasing the cost of affected goods and materials [9]

证券代码：600507 证券简称：方大特钢 公告编号：临2025-066 方大特钢科技股份有限公司 2025 年前三季度主要经营数据公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈 述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 方大特钢科技股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）根据《上海证券交易所上 市公司自律监管指引第 3 号——行业信息披露》的相关规定，现将 2025 年前三 季度主要经营数据公告如下： 一、主营业务分行业情况 单位：万元 | | | 主营业务分行业情况（2025 | 年 1-9 月） | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 分行业 | 营业收入 | 营业成本 | 营业收入比上年 | 营业成本比上年 | | | | | 同期增减（%） | 同期增减（%） | | 钢铁业 | 1,302,532.84 | 1,176,062.82 | -18.47 | -23.53 | | 采掘业 | 16,278.54 | 5,511.19 | -25.13 | 1.00 | 注：钢铁业包括汽车板簧、弹簧扁钢、优线、螺纹钢、贸易类以及 ...

Group 1 - Shandong Steel held its 17th meeting of the 8th Board of Directors on October 24, 2025, to review the proposal for the Q3 2025 report [1] - For the year 2024, Shandong Steel's revenue composition is 87.27% from the steel industry and 12.73% from other businesses [1] - As of the report date, Shandong Steel has a market capitalization of 17.4 billion yuan [1]

Group 1 - The stock market crash on October 24, 1929, marked a significant turning point in financial history, with the New York Stock Exchange experiencing a record trading volume of 12.9 million shares [1] - Prior to the crash, the Dow Jones Industrial Average had surged by 500% over nine years, leading to rampant speculation and high leverage through margin trading, with customer loan balances reaching $15 billion, double the federal budget [3] - Major financial institutions attempted a rescue operation by pooling $240 million to stabilize the market, but this effort was largely ineffective as stock prices continued to plummet [4] Group 2 - The crisis had global repercussions, with wheat futures in Chicago dropping 40% and the London Stock Exchange's FTSE index falling 12%, highlighting the interconnectedness and fragility of the international financial system [6] - The aftermath of the crash led to the bankruptcy of over 9,000 banks in the U.S. and a surge in global unemployment to 30 million, marking the end of an economic era as noted by economist John Maynard Keynes [6] - The crisis prompted significant financial reforms, including the Glass-Steagall Act of 1933, which established the FDIC and separated commercial and investment banking, reshaping modern financial regulation [8]

Group 1 - India's recent foreign policy appears inconsistent, particularly in its approach to China, as evidenced by the announcement of a 12% tariff on Chinese steel, signaling economic pressure on China while also aligning with U.S. interests [1] - The tariff on Chinese steel is not solely a response to U.S. pressure but also a protective measure for India's own steel industry, which has been struggling to compete with China's low-cost production [1] Group 2 - China is likely to respond to India's tariff with countermeasures, similar to its past reactions to U.S. tariffs, which could include various strong retaliatory actions [3] - One potential countermeasure could involve restricting rare earth exports to India, which would severely impact India's military capabilities, as it relies heavily on Chinese rare earth materials for high-tech weaponry [5] Group 3 - China's infrastructure aid to India has significantly improved local infrastructure and created jobs; a cessation of this aid could lead to stalled projects and increased unemployment, putting political pressure on the Modi government [7] - India's manufacturing sector, while growing, still depends on Chinese raw materials and processing services; a disruption in this supply chain could lead to widespread factory shutdowns and economic turmoil [10] Group 4 - The electronic payment system in India is largely reliant on Chinese technology; if China halts its support, it could lead to a collapse of India's payment systems, reverting to cash transactions and severely impacting economic activities [14] Group 5 - Overall, while India's foreign policy may seem uncertain, China holds significant leverage over India, and appropriate countermeasures from China could compel the Modi government to seek reconciliation [15]

Group 1: Achievements in Manufacturing and Shipbuilding - During the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, China's manufacturing industry has shown significant growth, with total industrial added value increasing from 31.3 trillion yuan to 40.5 trillion yuan, and manufacturing added value rising from 26.6 trillion yuan to 33.6 trillion yuan [3][4] - The construction of large cruise ships is a comprehensive test of a country's shipbuilding capabilities, with China forming a design and construction capability for large cruise ships and establishing a Chinese standard system for the cruise industry [2] - The successful launch of the domestically produced electromagnetic aircraft carrier Fujian marks a new height in China's naval equipment capabilities, while large LNG carriers have gained a leading position in the global market [2] Group 2: Innovation and Transformation in Manufacturing - Innovation is the primary driving force for China's manufacturing transformation, with R&D expenditure in large-scale manufacturing enterprises exceeding 1.6% of operating income [5] - The transition from "manufacturing" to "intelligent manufacturing" is evident, with over 50% of new industrial robot installations globally occurring in China [8] - The integration of digital and physical economies is a notable feature of high-quality development during the "14th Five-Year Plan," with over 459.8 million 5G base stations established [7][8] Group 3: Role of SMEs and Specialized Enterprises - Over 10,000 specialized and innovative SMEs have been added since the "14th Five-Year Plan," contributing significantly to employment, with over 128 million workers in scale SMEs [11] - Specialized and innovative enterprises are crucial for industrial development and are seen as the backbone of the economy, enhancing the stability and safety of industrial and supply chains [10][11] - The number of registered SMEs in China has exceeded 60 million, with an average annual increase of over 4 million since 2021, indicating a robust growth in this sector [10]