Group 1 - The core opinion of the article is that Tongling Nonferrous Metals Group Co., Ltd. has met the necessary conditions for the early redemption of its convertible bonds, and the legal opinion confirms the compliance with relevant regulations [1][2][4] - The convertible bonds were issued with a total amount not exceeding 2.146 billion yuan, with a maturity period of 6 years from September 21, 2023, to September 20, 2029 [1][2] - The initial conversion price of the bonds was set at 3.38 yuan per share, which was adjusted to 3.30 yuan on June 7, 2024, and further adjusted to 3.20 yuan on June 23, 2025, due to equity distribution [1][2] Group 2 - The company has triggered the conditional redemption clause as its stock price has been above 130% of the conversion price for at least 15 trading days within a 30-day period [2] - The redemption process has received necessary approvals from the board and is in compliance with the relevant management regulations [2][3] - The company is required to fulfill subsequent information disclosure obligations regarding the redemption [2][3]

Report Industry Investment Ratings No information provided in the reports regarding industry investment ratings. Core Views Copper - Macro: Fed's dovish stance boosts copper prices, but concerns about "stagflation" limit upside. Future price depends on smoothness of rate - cut expectations and impact of tariff - induced inflation. - Fundamentals: "Weak reality + stable expectations". Weak reality is due to potential decline in copper demand in H2, but limited supply elasticity restricts supply - demand deterioration. Stable expectations come from improved rate - cut expectations and domestic stimulus policies. Copper prices will at least oscillate without a clear US recession, and an upward cycle needs the resonance of commodity and financial attributes. The reference range for the main contract is 79,000 - 81,000 yuan/ton [1]. Aluminum - Alumina: Market shows "high supply, high inventory, low demand". Supply is affected by rainy - season bauxite imports and new capacity, while demand from electrolytic aluminum is limited. Current prices are near the cost zone, with limited downside. The reference range for the main contract is 2900 - 3200 yuan/ton. - Electrolytic Aluminum: Macro expectations and fundamental improvements resonate. Supply is at a high level, demand is marginally improving, and inventory is low. However, high prices suppress downstream purchases. The price is expected to oscillate between 20,400 - 21,000 yuan/ton, and may fall if demand does not improve [2]. Aluminum Alloy - Fed's rate - cut expectations boost the commodity atmosphere. Supply of scrap aluminum is tight, and some plants have reduced production due to tax policy adjustments. Demand is still weak but shows signs of improvement. If imports are limited, the price will remain firm, and the price difference with aluminum may narrow. The reference range for the main contract is 20,000 - 20,600 yuan/ton [3]. Zinc - Supply: Overseas mines are in an up - cycle, and high TC encourages smelters. August refined zinc output exceeded expectations. - Demand: Entering the peak season, spot trading has improved. The decline in the three primary processing industries' operating rates is limited. - Outlook: Supply is expected to be loose, providing limited upward impetus. Low and declining inventory provides support. Zinc prices may oscillate, with the main contract reference range of 21,500 - 23,000 yuan/ton [6]. Tin - Supply: Tin ore supply is tight, and imports decreased in July. Although Myanmar's production is expected to resume in Q4, it may be delayed. - Demand: Demand from the photovoltaic and electronics sectors is weak. - Outlook: Fundamentals are strong, and prices are oscillating at a high level. If supply recovers smoothly, short - selling is recommended; otherwise, prices will continue to oscillate between 265,000 - 285,000 yuan/ton [8]. Nickel - Macro: US rate - cut expectations and positive domestic policies. - Industry: Nickel prices fell, and spot trading was okay. Nickel ore prices are firm, and nickel - iron prices are strong. Stainless - steel demand is weak, and short - term supply - demand mismatch in nickel sulfate has pushed up prices. - Outlook: Cost provides support, and supply is expected to be loose in the medium - term. Prices are expected to adjust within the range of 118,000 - 126,000 yuan/ton [10]. Stainless Steel - Macro: Fed's rate - cut expectations and positive domestic policies ease export pressure and boost demand expectations. - Industry: Ore prices are firm, nickel - iron prices have increased, and chromium - iron supply has news disturbances. Supply pressure may increase, but terminal demand is still weak. - Outlook: Raw material prices support costs, and the market is cautiously optimistic. Prices are expected to oscillate between 12,600 - 13,400 yuan/ton [12]. Lithium Carbonate - Market: Prices continue to decline, with support around 72,000 yuan/ton. - Fundamentals: Supply contraction is gradually realized, with some reduction in production and imports. Demand is robust, but actual demand growth needs further tracking due to inventory pressure in the material industry. - Outlook: After a decline in the price center, it will oscillate widely, with the main contract reference range of 70,000 - 75,000 yuan/ton [13]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Price and Basis Copper - SMM 1 electrolytic copper price rose 0.45% to 80,520 yuan/ton, and the premium decreased by 30 yuan/ton. - Import loss was - 53 yuan/ton, a decrease of 369.24 yuan/ton from the previous day [1]. Aluminum - SMM A00 aluminum price rose 0.10% to 20,730 yuan/ton, and the premium decreased by 10 yuan/ton. - Alumina prices in different regions decreased slightly [2]. Aluminum Alloy - SMM ADC12 prices remained stable at 20,750 yuan/ton. - The scrap - refined price difference in different regions increased [3]. Zinc - SMM 0 zinc ingot price rose 0.41% to 22,240 yuan/ton, and the premium remained unchanged. - Import loss was - 2479 yuan/ton, a decrease of 212.63 yuan/ton [6]. Tin - SMM 1 tin price fell 0.15% to 273,100 yuan/ton, and the premium decreased by 200 yuan/ton. - Import loss was - 20,238.59 yuan/ton, a 0.70% decrease [8]. Nickel - SMM 1 electrolytic nickel price fell 1.29% to 122,450 yuan/ton. - The cost of producing electrolytic nickel from integrated MHP and high - grade nickel matte decreased [10]. Stainless Steel - 304/2B (Wuxi and Foshan) prices fell 0.38% to 13,150 yuan/ton. - The spot - futures price difference decreased by 5 yuan/ton [12]. Lithium Carbonate - SMM battery - grade lithium carbonate price fell 2.06% to 75,900 yuan/ton. - The price of lithium spodumene concentrate decreased [13]. Month - to - Month Spreads - Copper, aluminum, zinc, tin, nickel, stainless steel, and lithium carbonate all have corresponding month - to - month spread data, with different changes in each case [1][2][3][6][8][10][12][13]. Fundamental Data Copper - August electrolytic copper production was 117.15 million tons, a 0.24% decrease. - July import volume was 29.69 million tons, a 1.20% decrease [1]. Aluminum - August alumina production was 773.82 million tons, a 1.15% increase. - August electrolytic aluminum production was 373.26 million tons, a 0.30% increase [2]. Aluminum Alloy - July recycled aluminum alloy ingot production was 62.50 million tons, a 1.63% increase. - July primary aluminum alloy ingot production was 26.60 million tons, a 4.31% increase [3]. Zinc - August refined zinc production was 62.62 million tons, a 3.88% increase. - July import volume was 1.79 million tons, a 50.35% decrease [6]. Tin - July tin ore import was 10,278 tons, a 13.71% decrease. - July refined tin production was 15,940 tons, a 15.42% increase [8]. Nickel - China's refined nickel production in August was 32,200 tons, a 1.26% increase. - July import volume was 17,536 tons, an 8.46% decrease [10]. Stainless Steel - China's 300 - series stainless - steel crude steel production (43 companies) in August was 171.33 million tons, a 3.83% decrease. - July import volume was 7.30 million tons, a 33.30% decrease [12]. Lithium Carbonate - August lithium carbonate production was 85,240 tons, a 4.55% increase. - July import volume was 13,845 tons, a 21.77% decrease [13].

Report Industry Investment Ratings - Not provided in the given content Core Viewpoints - The copper price broke through and rose this week. With supply disturbances and expected decline in electrolytic copper production in September, there is obvious support at the bottom, and potential squeezing risks should be noted [1]. - For aluminum, supply slightly increased, and demand is expected to improve seasonally in September with inventory depletion. Attention should be paid to reverse spreads between distant months and inside - outside in the low - inventory pattern [1]. - The zinc price fluctuated narrowly this week. In the short term, it is expected to rebound and is recommended for observation; in the medium - to - long - term, it is suitable for short - side allocation. Inside - outside positive spreads can be held, and opportunities for positive spreads between months can be noted [5][6]. - The nickel market has high - level pure nickel production, weak overall demand, and stable premiums. With the situation in Indonesia to be continuously monitored, the short - term fundamental situation is average [7]. - The stainless - steel market has weak fundamentals with partial passive production cuts by steel mills, mainly rigid demand, and stable inventory in Xifu areas. Attention should be paid to the development of the situation in Indonesia [10]. - The lead price oscillated this week. Supply is expected to be tight, demand has a slight improvement, but inventory is at a high level. It is expected that the lead price will maintain a low - level oscillation next week [12]. - The tin price oscillated upward this week. The domestic market is in a situation of weak supply and demand in the short term. It is recommended to observe in the short term and hold at low prices near the cost line in the medium - to - long - term [15]. - For industrial silicon, the short - term supply - demand balance depends on the resumption rhythm of Hesheng. In the medium - to - long - term, it is expected to oscillate at the cycle bottom due to over - capacity [18]. - The lithium carbonate price declined this week. The core contradiction is the excess supply in the medium - to - long - term and the short - term compliance disturbances at the resource end. With the arrival of the peak season, the price has strong downward support [20][21]. Summary by Metal Copper - **Price and Market Data**: From August 28 to September 3, the spot premium of Shanghai copper decreased by 25, the waste - refined copper price difference increased by 39, and the LME inventory decreased by 200 [1]. - **Fundamentals**: Market orders remained resilient, and the copper rod operating rate showed no obvious distinction between peak and off - peak seasons. The rumor of tax rebate cancellation in some areas led to a tight waste - refined price difference, and the production of anode copper may be affected in September and October. The planned production of electrolytic copper in September decreased unexpectedly [1]. Aluminum - **Price and Market Data**: From August 28 to September 3, the prices of Shanghai, Yangtze River, and Guangdong aluminum ingots all increased by 20, and the domestic alumina price decreased by 12. The LME inventory remained unchanged [1]. - **Fundamentals**: Supply slightly increased, and demand was in the seasonal off - peak season in August with a slight improvement in the middle and late stages. The inventory is expected to deplete in September [1]. Zinc - **Price and Market Data**: From August 28 to September 3, the Shanghai zinc ingot price increased by 90, the domestic social inventory remained unchanged, and the LME inventory decreased by 375 [5]. - **Fundamentals**: The domestic TC of zinc ore has limited upward movement, and the import TC increased. The smelting increment in August was further realized. Domestic demand is seasonally weak but has certain resilience, and overseas demand has some resistance in production due to processing fees [5]. Nickel - **Price and Market Data**: From August 28 to September 3, the Shanghai nickel spot price decreased by 1550, and the LME inventory increased by 3996 [6][7]. - **Fundamentals**: Pure nickel production remained at a high level, demand was weak, and premiums were stable. The situation in Indonesia needs continuous monitoring [7]. Stainless Steel - **Price and Market Data**: From August 28 to September 3, the 304 cold - rolled coil price increased by 50, and the 430 cold - rolled coil price increased by 100 [10]. - **Fundamentals**: Steel mills had partial passive production cuts, demand was mainly rigid, and inventory in Xifu areas remained stable [10]. Lead - **Price and Market Data**: From August 28 to September 3, the spot premium increased by 5, and the LME inventory decreased by 3475 [12]. - **Fundamentals**: Supply is expected to be tight, demand has a slight improvement, but inventory is at a high level. It is expected that the lead price will maintain a low - level oscillation next week [12]. Tin - **Price and Market Data**: From August 28 to September 3, the spot import profit increased by 874.40, and the LME inventory increased by 20 [15]. - **Fundamentals**: The domestic market is in a situation of weak supply and demand in the short term. Supply is affected by smelter maintenance and overseas production resumption difficulties, and demand has a peak - season expectation but also a decline in photovoltaic growth [15]. Industrial Silicon - **Price and Market Data**: From August 28 to September 3, the 421 Yunnan basis decreased by 20, and the 553 East China basis decreased by 20 [18]. - **Fundamentals**: The resumption of production in Xinjiang is progressing steadily, and the production in Sichuan and Yunnan is stable. The short - term supply - demand balance depends on the resumption rhythm of Hesheng, and there is over - capacity in the medium - to - long - term [18]. Lithium Carbonate - **Price and Market Data**: From August 28 to September 3, the SMM electric - grade lithium carbonate price decreased by 1600, and the number of warehouse receipts increased by 2111 [20]. - **Fundamentals**: The price declined this week due to multiple factors. The core contradiction is the excess supply in the medium - to - long - term and the short - term compliance disturbances at the resource end. With the arrival of the peak season, the price has strong downward support [20][21].

1. Report Industry Investment Ratings - Gold: ★★★ (Bullish) [1] - Silver: ★★ (Bullish) [1] - Copper: ★★ (Bullish) [1] - Zinc: ★ (Bearish) [1] - Lead: ★ (Bearish) [1] - Tin: ★ (Bearish) [1] - Aluminum: ★ (Bearish) [1] - Nickel: ★ (Bearish) [1] - Industrial Silicon: ★ (Bullish) [1] - Polysilicon: ★★★ (Bullish) [1] - Lithium Carbonate: ★ (Cautiously Bearish) [1] 2. Core Views of the Report - Gold and silver are expected to continue their upward trend in the long - term due to global monetary easing, declining dollar credit, and geopolitical restructuring. In the short - term, they are also strong [1][2][3]. - Copper is expected to maintain a tight supply - demand balance. With the arrival of the peak season, demand will pick up. It is recommended to hold long positions and some can take profits [1][5][6]. - Zinc has insufficient demand and increasing inventory in the short - term. In the long - term, supply will increase while demand decreases, so it is recommended to short on rebounds [1][9][10]. - Aluminum price rebounds are under pressure due to inventory overhang. It is recommended to go long at low prices in the short - term [1][13][14]. - Nickel prices are under pressure as the impact of mine - end disturbances weakens. It is recommended to wait and see after taking profits [1][17][18]. - Lithium carbonate prices are in a wide - range shock. It is recommended to wait and see for stabilization [1][21][22]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Gold and Silver Market Review - Due to factors such as interest rate cuts, tariff disputes, and concerns about the Fed's independence, gold has reached a new high, and silver has also broken through historical highs [2][3] Fundamental Logic - Weak economic data in the US and Germany, Fed officials' support for interest rate cuts, and the Fed's economic beige - book report indicating economic stagnation and reduced inflation concerns. In the long - term, gold will benefit from global monetary easing, declining dollar credit, and geopolitical restructuring [2] Strategy Recommendation - Gold has support around 804 in the short - term, and attention should be paid to the performance around the recent high of 838. Silver has support around 9700. In the long - term, the upward trend remains unchanged [3] Copper Market Review - Shanghai copper has been consolidating at a high level and has firmly stood above the 80,000 - yuan mark [5] Industrial Logic - Tight supply of copper concentrates, with processing fees still in deep inversion. Production may decline in September. With the arrival of the peak season, demand will gradually pick up. Overseas inventory is increasing, but domestic exchange inventory is decreasing, and social inventory is at a low level [5] Strategy Recommendation - It is recommended to hold existing long positions, and some can take profits at high prices. Enterprises can actively arrange short - hedging positions near the previous high. In the long - term, copper is optimistic due to its strategic importance and asset - allocation value [6] Zinc Market Review - Shanghai zinc has been oscillating under pressure [9] Industrial Logic - Abundant supply of zinc concentrates, rising processing fees, and increased smelter production enthusiasm. However, it is the off - season for demand, and domestic inventory is increasing while overseas inventory is decreasing [9] Strategy Recommendation - In the short - term, zinc is weak domestically and strong overseas. Pay attention to the support at 22,000 yuan. In the long - term, it is recommended to short on rebounds [10] Aluminum Market Review - Aluminum prices have rebounded under pressure, and alumina has shown a relatively weak trend [12] Industrial Logic - For electrolytic aluminum, there are obvious expectations of interest rate cuts overseas. Production is increasing slightly, and inventory is rising. The demand side has shown some improvement. For alumina, the supply of bauxite in Guinea is abundant, and domestic production capacity is increasing, with inventory gradually accumulating [13] Strategy Recommendation - It is recommended to go long at low prices in the short - term, paying attention to the changes in the downstream processing enterprises' operating rates [14] Nickel Market Review - Nickel prices have fallen under pressure, and stainless steel has also shown a downward trend [16] Industrial Logic - There are expectations of interest rate cuts overseas. The supply of refined nickel in the domestic market is excessive, while the supply of nickel sulfate is relatively tight. Stainless steel inventory has decreased slightly, but the effect of production cuts is weakening [17] Strategy Recommendation - It is recommended to wait and see after taking profits, paying attention to changes in downstream inventory [18] Lithium Carbonate Market Review - The main contract LC2511 has opened low and gone lower, falling more than 3% [20] Industrial Logic - Rumors of CATL's resumption of production have eased supply concerns. Production remains stable, and inventory has decreased for three consecutive weeks. Terminal demand is approaching the peak season [21] Strategy Recommendation - It is recommended to wait and see for stabilization in the range of 71,300 - 73,000 yuan [22]

敬请投资者重点关注本次发行流程、网上网下申购及缴款、弃购股份处理等方面，并认真阅读同日披露 于上交所网站和符合中国证监会规定条件网站上的《上海友升铝业股份有限公司首次公开发行股票并在 主板上市发行安排及初步询价公告》。 ■ 保荐人（主承销商）：国泰海通证券股份有限公司 上海友升铝业股份有限公司（以下简称"友升股份""发行人"或"公司"）首次公开发行股票并在主板上市 的申请已经上海证券交易所（以下简称"上交所"）上市审核委员会审议通过，并已经中国证券监督管理 委员会（以下简称"中国证监会"）证监许可〔2025〕1616号文同意注册。《上海友升铝业股份有限公司 首次公开发行股票并在主板上市招股意向书》及附录在上海证券交易所网站（www.sse.com.cn）和符合 中国证监会规定条件网站（中国证券网，网址www.cnstock.com；中证网，网址www.cs.com.cn；证券时 报网，网址www.stcn.com；证券日报网，网址www.zqrb.cn；经济参考网，网址www.jjckb.cn）披露，并 置备于发行人、本次发行保荐人（主承销商）国泰海通证券股份有限公司的住所，供公众查阅。 发行人：上海友升铝业 ...

Core Points - The legal opinion letter was issued by Shanghai Jintiancheng Law Firm regarding the second extraordinary general meeting of shareholders of Ningbo Bowei Alloy Materials Co., Ltd. scheduled for 2025 [1][2] - The law firm confirmed that the meeting was convened by the company's board of directors and that the notice was published in accordance with legal requirements [2][3] - The meeting took place on September 3, 2025, and utilized both on-site and online voting methods [3][4] Group 1 - The convening of the meeting was verified to be legal and valid, with the notice published 15 days prior to the meeting date [2][3] - A total of 196 shareholders and their proxies attended the meeting, representing 328,310,253 shares, which accounted for 39.9679% of the total voting shares [4][5] - The online voting system recorded participation from 191 shareholders, representing 3,833,725 shares, or 0.4667% of the total voting shares [4][5] Group 2 - The meeting's agenda was consistent with the items listed in the notice, and no modifications were made to the proposed resolutions during the meeting [5][6] - The voting results showed overwhelming support for the resolutions, with approval rates exceeding 99% for multiple proposals [6][8] - The participation of minority investors was noted, with 16,406,180 shares voted in favor, representing 96.5292% of the votes from this group [9] Group 3 - The law firm concluded that all aspects of the meeting, including the convening, attendance, voting procedures, and results, complied with relevant laws and the company's articles of association [9][10] - The legal opinion letter was issued in triplicate, each having equal legal effect [10]

宝钛股份（600456）(600456.SH)公告，公司拟以自有资金参与竞拍位于宝鸡市科技新城片区高新大道 以南、实业路以西的一宗国有土地使用权(宗地总面积126198m2，挂牌起始价5734万元，土地用途为二 类工业用地)。 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Copper: Oscillating [7] - Alumina: Oscillating weakly [8] - Aluminum: Oscillating [10] - Aluminum alloy: Oscillating [13] - Zinc: Oscillating weakly [16] - Lead: Oscillating [17] - Nickel: Oscillating strongly in the short - term, waiting - and - seeing in the long - term [23] - Stainless steel: Oscillating in the short - term [24] - Tin: Oscillating [25] 2. Report's Core View - Overall non - ferrous metals: Weak US dollar and the fermentation of reverse invoicing issues are driving up the prices of basic metals. In the medium and short - term, prices are supported but the weak terminal demand limits the upside. In the long - term, potential domestic stimulus policies and supply disruptions support prices [1]. - Copper: Macro factors and supply disruptions support prices, and low inventory also provides support, but the US copper tariff is a negative factor [7]. - Alumina: The fundamentals are weak, with strong inventory accumulation trends, but short - term supply fluctuations and long - term mine disturbances need attention [9]. - Aluminum: Short - term macro sentiment is volatile, and the fundamentals are neutral. The aluminum price is expected to oscillate, and inventory and consumption need to be observed [12]. - Aluminum alloy: The cost is supported, supply is reduced, demand is rigid, and there are opportunities for cross - variety arbitrage [13]. - Zinc: The fundamentals are in surplus, and prices may oscillate weakly in the long - term [16]. - Lead: Supply and demand are basically balanced this week, but the release of smelter inventory after the events may pressure prices, and the price is expected to oscillate [19]. - Nickel: The market expects Indonesia's RKAB approval soon, so the price is oscillating strongly in the short - term, and the industry needs to observe the raw material and macro factors [23]. - Stainless steel: The price is expected to oscillate in the short - term, and the implementation of the peak season and inventory changes need attention [24]. - Tin: The supply is tight, providing a strong bottom support, but the terminal demand is weakening, so the price is expected to oscillate [25]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Copper - Information analysis: The Fed may cut interest rates, US GDP growth is better than expected, copper production has decreased, the spot premium has declined, and inventory has increased [7]. - Main logic: Macro factors and supply disruptions support copper prices, and low inventory also provides support, but the demand needs to be observed [7]. - Outlook: Copper may oscillate [8]. 3.2 Alumina - Information analysis: Spot prices have declined, some enterprises have reduced production due to environmental protection, and warehouse receipts have increased [8]. - Main logic: The fundamentals are weak, with strong inventory accumulation trends, but short - term supply fluctuations and long - term mine disturbances need attention [9]. - Outlook: Oscillating weakly, with opportunities for short - selling and reverse arbitrage [11]. 3.3 Aluminum - Information analysis: The price and inventory of aluminum have changed, an Indonesian enterprise is expected to be put into production, and the performance of related listed companies has been released [10]. - Main logic: Short - term macro sentiment is volatile, and the fundamentals are neutral. The aluminum price is expected to oscillate, and inventory and consumption need to be observed [12]. - Outlook: The aluminum price is expected to oscillate in the short - term [12]. 3.4 Aluminum Alloy - Information analysis: The price and spread of aluminum alloy have changed, the exchange has adjusted margins and price limits, and the performance of related listed companies has been released [13]. - Main logic: The cost is supported, supply is reduced, demand is rigid, and there are opportunities for cross - variety arbitrage [13]. - Outlook: Short - term prices are oscillating at a low level, and there is room for recovery and cross - variety arbitrage opportunities [15]. 3.5 Zinc - Information analysis: The spot discount and inventory of zinc have increased, and a smelter will conduct maintenance [15]. - Main logic: The fundamentals are in surplus, and prices may oscillate weakly in the long - term [16]. - Outlook: Zinc prices may oscillate weakly in the long - term [16]. 3.6 Lead - Information analysis: The price, spread, and inventory of lead have changed, and the market transaction is light [16]. - Main logic: Supply and demand are basically balanced this week, but the release of smelter inventory after the events may pressure prices, and the price is expected to oscillate [19]. - Outlook: The lead price is expected to oscillate [19]. 3.7 Nickel - Information analysis: The inventory of nickel has increased, and there are many industry news items [19]. - Main logic: The market sentiment dominates the price, the industry fundamentals are weakening marginally, and short - term trading is recommended [23]. - Outlook: The nickel price is oscillating strongly in the short - term, and waiting - and - seeing in the long - term [23]. 3.8 Stainless Steel - Information analysis: The inventory of stainless steel warehouse receipts has increased, and the production in Indonesia is normal [24]. - Main logic: The prices of nickel - iron and chromium - iron have changed, production has increased, and inventory has decreased slightly. The price is expected to oscillate in the short - term [24]. - Outlook: The stainless steel price is expected to oscillate in the short - term [24]. 3.9 Tin - Information analysis: The inventory and price of tin have changed, and a company will conduct maintenance [25]. - Main logic: The supply is tight, providing a strong bottom support, but the terminal demand is weakening, so the price is expected to oscillate [25]. - Outlook: The tin price is expected to oscillate, and the volatility may increase [25].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views of the Report - Copper prices fluctuated higher overnight. The US ISM manufacturing index in August was 48.7, contracting for the sixth consecutive month. LME copper inventory decreased by 100 tons, Comex inventory increased by 2932 tons, and SHFE inventory decreased by 699 tons. The "Golden September and Silver October" is a traditional consumption peak season in China, and refined copper consumption is expected to be boosted. However, the US recession expectation and high copper prices may limit the upside of prices [1]. - Alumina, Shanghai aluminum, and aluminum alloy all showed a strong - fluctuating trend overnight. Alumina should be shorted on rallies, but chasing short positions is not recommended. Downstream sectors are stocking up quickly before the peak season, and electrolytic aluminum demand may exceed expectations during the peak season. The aluminum industry profit continues to shift from upstream to downstream [1][2]. - LME nickel and Shanghai nickel both declined overnight. Nickel ore prices were stable. Stainless - steel inventory pressure may emerge, while the cost support is strengthening. Ternary demand in the new energy sector is gradually strengthening, and the price of nickel sulfate may continue to rise. First - grade nickel is expected to fluctuate strongly [2]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Research Views - **Copper**: Overnight copper prices rose. The US manufacturing index was in contraction, with new orders expanding for the first time this year. LME, Comex, and SHFE inventories changed. The "Golden September and Silver October" may boost refined copper consumption, but the US recession and high prices may limit the upside [1]. - **Aluminum**: Alumina, Shanghai aluminum, and aluminum alloy trended strongly. Alumina复产 increased, and the surplus expectation was strengthened. Downstream stocking is fast, and electrolytic aluminum demand may exceed expectations. The industry profit is shifting downstream [1][2]. - **Nickel**: LME and Shanghai nickel declined. Inventory increased, and nickel ore prices were stable. Stainless - steel inventory pressure may appear, and new energy demand is strengthening [2]. 3.2 Daily Data Monitoring - **Copper**: The price of flat - water copper increased by 245 yuan/ton. LME inventory decreased by 100 tons, Comex inventory increased by 2374 tons, and SHFE inventory decreased by 699 tons. The active contract import profit increased by 70 yuan/ton [3]. - **Lead**: The average price of 1 lead remained unchanged. LME inventory decreased by 1525 tons, and SHFE inventory increased by 982 tons. The active contract import loss decreased by 35 yuan/ton [3]. - **Aluminum**: The prices of Wuxi and Nanhai aluminum increased. The inventory of LME decreased by 1450 tons, and SHFE inventory increased by 991 tons. The active contract import loss decreased by 45 yuan/ton [4]. - **Nickel**: The price of Jinchuan nickel decreased by 275 yuan/ton. LME inventory increased by 390 tons, and SHFE inventory decreased by 504 tons. The active contract import loss decreased by 380 yuan/ton [4]. - **Zinc**: The主力 settlement price increased by 0.3%. LME inventory decreased by 275 tons, and SHFE inventory increased by 793 tons. The active contract import loss decreased by 2538 yuan/ton [5]. - **Tin**: The主力 settlement price increased by 0.2%. LME inventory increased by 20 tons, and SHFE inventory increased by 75 tons. The active contract import loss decreased by 28963 yuan/ton [5]. 3.3 Chart Analysis - **Spot Premium**: There are charts showing the spot premium of copper, aluminum, nickel, zinc, lead, and tin from 2019 - 2025 [7][9][10]. - **SHFE Near - Far Month Spread**: There are charts showing the spread between the first and second contracts of copper, aluminum, nickel, zinc, lead, and tin from 2020 - 2025 [14][17][21]. - **LME Inventory**: There are charts showing the LME inventory of copper, aluminum, nickel, zinc, lead, and tin from 2019 - 2025 [23][25][27]. - **SHFE Inventory**: There are charts showing the SHFE inventory of copper, aluminum, nickel, zinc, lead, and tin from 2019 - 2025 [30][32][34]. - **Social Inventory**: There are charts showing the social inventory of copper, aluminum, nickel, zinc, stainless steel, and 300 - series from 2019 - 2025 [36][38][40]. - **Smelting Profit**: There are charts showing the copper concentrate index, rough copper processing fee, aluminum smelting profit, nickel - iron smelting cost, zinc smelting profit, and stainless - steel 304 smelting profit margin from 2019 - 2025 [43][45][47]. 3.4 Team Introduction - The research team consists of Zhan Dapeng, Wang Heng, and Zhu Xi, who are all experienced in non - ferrous metal research and have relevant qualifications and achievements [50][51].

Report Industry Investment Ratings No specific industry investment ratings are provided in the report. Core Views - The report provides short - term trend forecasts for various commodities, including precious metals, base metals, energy, chemicals, and agricultural products, based on their fundamentals, market sentiment, and macro - industry news [2][5]. Summary by Commodity Precious Metals - **Gold**: Expected to break through new highs, with a trend strength of 2 [2][7][9]. - **Silver**: Likely to reach the previous high, with a trend strength of 2 [2][7][9]. Base Metals - **Copper**: Market sentiment has improved, leading to price increases, trend strength is 1 [2][11][13]. - **Zinc**: Expected to trade in a range, trend strength is 0 [2][14][15]. - **Lead**: Decreasing inventory supports prices, trend strength is 0 [2][17]. - **Tin**: Expected to trade in a range, trend strength is 1 [2][20][23]. - **Aluminum**: Expected to be slightly bullish in a volatile market, trend strength is 0 [2][24][26]. - **Alumina**: Expected to trade in a range, trend strength is 0 [2][24][26]. - **Cast Aluminum Alloy**: Attention should be paid to policy implementation progress, trend strength is 0 [24][26]. - **Nickel**: Narrow - range fluctuations based on fundamentals, with sentiment influenced by news, trend strength is 0 [2][28][33]. - **Stainless Steel**: Steel prices are expected to fluctuate in a narrow range, trend strength is 0 [2][28][33]. Energy and Chemicals - **Carbonate Lithium**: The basis is slightly repaired, and the weak - side oscillation continues, trend strength is 0 [2][34][36]. - **Industrial Silicon**: Market sentiment is more volatile, and attention should be paid to the registration of warehouse receipts, trend strength is 0 [2][37][39]. - **Polysilicon**: Short - term fluctuations are significantly amplified, trend strength is 0 [2][37][39]. - **Iron Ore**: Macroeconomic expectations are volatile, leading to wide - range fluctuations, trend strength is 1 [2][40]. - **Rebar**: Excessive inventory accumulation leads to price oscillations and corrections, trend strength is 0 [2][42][44]. - **Hot - Rolled Coil**: Excessive inventory accumulation leads to price oscillations and corrections, trend strength is 0 [2][42][44]. - **Silicon Ferroalloy**: Expected to trade in a wide range, trend strength is 0 [2][46][48]. - **Manganese Ferroalloy**: Expected to trade in a wide range, trend strength is 0 [2][46][48]. - **Coke**: Expected to trade in a wide range, trend strength is 1 [2][49]. - **Coking Coal**: Expected to trade in a wide range, trend strength is 1 [2][49]. - **Log**: Prices are expected to fluctuate repeatedly, trend strength is 0 [2][51][54]. - **Para - Xylene**: Supply - demand is in a tight balance, and a long - position spread strategy is recommended [2][55]. - **PTA**: A long - position spread strategy for monthly differences, and partial profit - taking for the long - PTA and short - MEG strategy [2][55]. - **MEG**: Partial profit - taking for the long - PTA and short - MEG strategy [2][55]. Others - **LPG**: Macroeconomic risks are increasing, and crude oil costs are rising [5]. - **Propylene**: Spot prices are still supported, but attention should be paid to the risk of price decline [5]. - **PVC**: The downward trend persists, with pressure on prices [5]. - **Fuel Oil**: Prices declined at night, and it may continue to be weaker than low - sulfur fuel oil in the short term [5]. - **Low - Sulfur Fuel Oil**: Volatility has increased, and the price spread between high - and low - sulfur fuels in the overseas spot market has risen significantly [5]. - **Container Shipping Index (European Line)**: Expected to trade in a wide range [5]. - **Short - Fiber**: Expected to consolidate in a range, and a long - PF and short - PR strategy is recommended [5]. - **Bottle Chip**: Expected to consolidate in a range [5]. - **Offset Printing Paper**: Trading at a low level with limited upward momentum [5]. - **Pure Benzene**: Expected to trade with a weak - side oscillation [5]. - **Palm Oil**: Influenced by macro factors, prices are expected to rebound in a volatile market [5]. - **Soybean Oil**: Prices are expected to fluctuate at a high level, and the spread between soybean oil and palm oil is expected to narrow [5]. - **Soybean Meal**: The significant decline in the good - quality rate of US soybeans has a positive impact on prices [5]. - **Soybean No. 1**: Prices are expected to rebound and fluctuate, and attention should be paid to the market sentiment of the soybean market [5]. - **Corn**: Prices are expected to trade in a range [5]. - **Sugar**: Conab has lowered the production forecast for Brazil [5]. - **Cotton**: Attention should be paid to the listing of new crops [5]. - **Egg**: There is strong near - end game - playing [5]. - **Live Pig**: Market expectations have weakened [5]. - **Peanut**: Attention should be paid to the listing of new peanuts [5].