【成都讯】 随着成渝地区双城经济圈建设持续提速，四川盛世钢联国际贸易有限公司紧抓发展机遇，工业制造、建筑结构、能源交通等领域对高品质板材 的需求日益旺盛。依托"钢板全品类、采买一站式、批发高效率"的综合优势，已成为成都地区极具竞争力的板材采买批发厂家型钢材集团，为区域重点工程 与制造企业持续提供稳定、优质、高效的板材供应支持。 今日，公司板材产品线全面升级，涵盖中厚板、热轧卷、花纹卷、开平板、酸洗卷、冷轧卷、镀锌卷、彩涂卷、镀铝锌卷、锌铝镁卷等十大核心品类，构建 覆盖建筑、桥梁、汽车制造、家电外壳、钢结构厂房等多场景的综合解决方案，进一步巩固在西南市场的领先地位。 产品矩阵齐全，满足多领域"精准匹配"需求 公司坚持"以需定产、以用定材"的服务理念，产品线全面覆盖工业与建筑常用板材类型，精准响应不同客户应用场景： 中厚板：强度高、耐压性强，广泛用于桥梁结构、压力容器、重型机械制造，支持定尺切割与表面处理； 热轧卷与开平板：延展性好、加工性能优，是冷轧与镀锌产品的基础原料，也适用于大型结构件制作； 花纹卷：防滑耐磨，常用于货箱底板、踏板、平台走道，提升安全性能； 酸洗卷：表面洁净、无氧化皮，是冷轧与涂镀前处理的关 ...

-广告- 当前欧洲钢铁制造商正持续推进直接还原铁工厂建设项目，未来将重点聚焦采用绿氢还原铁的工艺。在项目实 施过程中，这些企业面临诸多挑战，导致此前公布的部分计划受到影响。 瑞典GreenIron公司 瑞典GreenIron公司即将在桑德维肯工业园区启用一座直接还原铁工厂。该公司目前处于商业运营前的最后阶 段，正在进行现场热试。该工厂采用专利零排放技术，以绿氢为还原剂，铁矿石处理量约3万吨/年，可将其转 化为绿色生铁。根据2025年8月签署的协议，挪威氢能公司（Norwegian Hydrogen）将在GreenIron的工厂附近共 建绿氢生产设施，为该工厂供应氢能。 瑞典Stegra公司 2025年10月下旬，瑞典另一家公司Stegra（前身为 H2 Green Steel）宣布，其位于博登的绿色板材钢厂建设项目 中，电解槽安装进度已超过50%。该项目计划于2026年投产，还将配备基于Midrex技术的直接还原铁工厂（产 能210万吨/年）、电弧炉炼钢车间及CSP Nexus连铸连轧机组。目前正在进行施工，计划于2027年全面投产。 西班牙海德姆钢铁公司 西班牙海德姆钢铁公司正在推进其在普埃尔托拉诺基地的绿 ...

Core Viewpoint - Baogang Group is making significant progress in its green transformation under the "dual carbon" goals, successfully establishing a green development system that covers production efficiency, green products, and solid waste management [3][5]. Group 1: Production Efficiency - Baogang has achieved breakthroughs in production efficiency, with its energy efficiency upgrade recognized as a benchmark by the China Iron and Steel Association [3]. - The company has implemented over 10 specialized modifications, including waste heat recovery and steam network leakage management, resulting in an energy medium utilization rate increase of over 8% and a reduction of ineffective energy consumption by over 10,000 tons of standard coal annually [3][5]. - Key units such as furnaces and coking processes have reached energy efficiency benchmark levels, creating a replicable "Baogang experience" through technology transformation and system optimization [3][5]. Group 2: Green Products - Baogang has converted its green advantages into product advantages, with its hot-rolled coil products receiving a low-carbon emission steel certificate, achieving a significant breakthrough in carbon reduction of over 40% [4]. - The company’s self-developed 500 MPa rare earth high-strength wind power steel has improved fatigue strength by 29% compared to traditional products, capturing over 30% of the domestic market [4]. Group 3: Solid Waste Management - Baogang's "Carbonization Method for Comprehensive Utilization of Steel Slag" project has been recognized as a top project for 2024, achieving efficient resource utilization of steel slag [4]. - This innovative technology, developed over ten years, can process 100,000 tons of steel slag annually and produce 50,000 to 60,000 tons of high-purity calcium carbonate filler and 60,000 to 70,000 tons of carbon micro-powder, effectively utilizing approximately 30,000 tons of carbon dioxide each year [4]. Group 4: Overall Transformation - The green transformation of Baogang is a profound change covering the entire process and industry chain, with nearly 10 billion yuan invested in 124 ultra-low emission modification projects [5]. - The company is transitioning from a traditional energy-consuming entity to an industry benchmark capable of providing green products, exporting green technology, and practicing a circular economy, paving new paths for high-quality development in traditional heavy industries under the "dual carbon" goals [5].

Group 1: Steel Industry Outlook - The steel industry's mid-cycle outlook faces challenges due to weak demand and tariff barriers, with companies like Tata Steel, Nucor, and Steel Dynamics expected to maintain relative premium due to favorable demand prospects and tariff protections [3][5] - Chinese steel companies are anticipated to improve profitability due to demand recovery and production cuts, with a year-on-year demand growth of 4.3% driven mainly by the automotive and machinery sectors, while exports grew by 9.2% [5][6] - North American steel producers have an optimistic outlook despite uncertainties from tariff policy changes and infrastructure investment delays, with a projected 3% decline in steel demand in 2024 followed by a 2% rebound in 2025 [12][14] Group 2: Copper Industry Insights - U.S. copper tariffs aim to encourage supply repatriation, but limited smelting capacity and slow approval processes hinder this goal, leading to continued reliance on imports [7][8] - Freeport-McMoRan is expected to benefit from increased sales, as U.S. refined copper production in 2024 is projected at 850,000 tons, meeting less than half of the demand [7][8] Group 3: Silver Market Dynamics - Silver is expected to be revalued further, driven by strong industrial demand, with the gold-silver ratio potentially moving from 90 to 80 as macroeconomic factors shift [10][11]

Core Viewpoint - Baogang Group's hot-rolled coil products have received a low-carbon emission steel certificate, marking a significant breakthrough in promoting green and low-carbon development and enhancing product "green content" [1][3]. Group 1 - The low-carbon hot-rolled coil products were certified during the 14th China International Steel Conference, organized by the China Iron and Steel Association [1]. - Baogang's low-carbon energy center conducted thorough calculations to achieve carbon reduction targets, leading to the development of a low-carbon emission steel production plan [3]. - The successful production of low-carbon emission steel was achieved on June 29, 2025, meeting the carbon efficiency E-level requirements set by the China Iron and Steel Association [3]. Group 2 - Baogang Group launched its green low-carbon brand and low-carbon emission steel process roadmap in September last year, establishing two main series: "low-carbon emission rare earth steel" and "low-carbon emission steel" [5]. - The technical team utilized Life Cycle Assessment (LCA) technology to accurately measure carbon footprints, ultimately determining a carbon reduction process that achieves over 40% reduction [5]. - Baogang is the second company in China's steel industry to conduct LCA research, having published 10 Environmental Product Declarations (EPD) and one carbon footprint report covering various products [5].

Core Viewpoint - The report provides a comprehensive overview of domestic commodity basis data as of July 31, highlighting the differences between spot prices and futures contract prices across various commodities, indicating market trends and potential investment opportunities [1][2]. Group 1: Commodity Basis Data - Copper shows a spot price of 78,500 with a futures closing price of 78,040, resulting in a basis of 460 and a basis rate of 0.59% [1]. - Zinc has a spot price of 22,320 and a futures price of 22,345, leading to a negative basis of -52 and a basis rate of -0.11% [1]. - Aluminum's spot price is 16,625, while the futures price is 16,735, resulting in a basis of -110 and a basis rate of -0.66% [1]. - The basis for rebar steel is 165 with a spot price of 3,370 and a futures price of 3,205, indicating a strong basis rate of 4.90% [1]. - The basis for paper pulp is notably high at 618, with a spot price of 5,850 and a futures price of 5,232, reflecting a basis rate of 10.56% [1]. Group 2: Price Changes and Trends - The price of cotton increased by 1,675 to reach 15,325, showing a significant rise of 10.93% [2]. - Industrial silicon has a spot price of 9,850, with a futures price of 8,760, resulting in a basis of 1,090 and a basis rate of 11.07% [2]. - The price of palm oil increased by 40 to 8,940, reflecting a slight rise of 0.45% [2]. - The price of eggs decreased by 282 to 3,240, indicating a decline of 8.70% [2]. - The price of sugar increased by 162 to 5,955, showing a rise of 2.72% [2]. Group 3: Market Insights - The report indicates that the basis rates for various commodities vary significantly, with some commodities like paper pulp and industrial silicon showing strong positive basis rates, suggesting potential investment opportunities [1][2]. - The fluctuations in prices across different commodities highlight the volatility in the market, which could impact investment strategies [1][2]. - The data reflects the overall health of the commodity market, with certain commodities experiencing price increases while others face declines, indicating a mixed market sentiment [1][2].

Core Viewpoint - The U.S. steel industry is currently experiencing a tight supply situation driven by tariff policies, leading to a short-term maintenance of high steel prices and a potential long-term upward shift in price levels [1][3]. Supply - The U.S. is the only major market globally with a tight supply and high reliance on imports, with an estimated net import volume accounting for about 20% of consumption in 2024, making it the largest net importer [3][21]. - The U.S. steel supply is characterized by a high proportion of electric arc furnace (EAF) steel, with around 70% of crude steel production coming from EAFs, significantly higher than the global average of 30% [3][5]. - Approximately 7 million tons of crude steel capacity is expected to be released in the medium term, primarily from EAFs, which may partially replace imports and maintain a healthy and flexible supply [3][19]. Demand - The automotive sector represents a significant portion of U.S. steel demand, with an estimated consumption of 89 million tons in 2024, where construction, automotive, and machinery account for approximately 44%, 28%, and 9% respectively [4][33]. - Policy-driven improvements in demand are anticipated, particularly in non-residential construction and automotive sectors, due to tariffs on imported vehicles and increased domestic production [4][39]. Price - U.S. hot-rolled coil (HRC) prices have increased by 35% since the beginning of 2025, reaching $900 per ton, with expectations of maintaining high prices in the short term due to tariff impacts [1][42]. - The price of U.S. steel is influenced by trade protection policies, with a potential for upward movement in the long term as EAF production increases and the supply of quality scrap steel becomes a critical resource [47][48]. Industry Dynamics - The U.S. steel industry has undergone significant consolidation, with the top four companies controlling over 80% of the market share, a trend that has intensified since 2000 [5][15]. - The recent acquisition of U.S. Steel by Nippon Steel is expected to have profound implications for all stakeholders involved, including potential improvements in competitiveness and market share for U.S. Steel [48][49].

Core Viewpoint - Despite a downturn in the construction industry leading to weakened steel demand, China continues to maintain high production levels and is exporting large quantities to neighboring countries, resulting in increased trade friction surrounding steel products [1][2]. Group 1: Steel Demand and Prices - The circulating price of hot-rolled steel plates in the Tokyo area is approximately 112,500 yen per ton, a decrease of 4% compared to the end of June, marking the lowest level since August 2021 [2]. - Japan's steel demand is low due to factors such as uncertainty related to U.S. tariff policies, labor shortages, and extreme heat, which hinder construction projects [2]. - In June, China's steel exports reached 9.67 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 10.7%, while total exports from January to June amounted to 58.14 million tons, a historical high for the same period [2]. Group 2: Trade Friction and Anti-Dumping Measures - Japan is initiating an anti-dumping tariff investigation on nickel-based stainless steel cold-rolled sheets and cold-rolled steel plates, targeting products from mainland China and Taiwan [3]. - The global number of anti-dumping investigations related to steel reached a historical high of 41 in 2024, with 30 cases specifically targeting China [3]. - Countries are increasingly seeking to exclude low-priced imported steel, leading to an oversupply of Chinese steel in the market [3].

Group 1 - The South Korean government announced a 21.62% anti-dumping tax on Chinese stainless steel plates for five years, escalating trade tensions despite previous commitments to ease relations with China [1][3] - In response, China extended anti-dumping duties on stainless steel billets and hot-rolled coils from South Korea, the EU, the UK, and Indonesia, with rates as high as 103.1% [3][4] - The steel industry is crucial for China's manufacturing sector, and the anti-dumping measures reflect a strategic response to protect domestic industries from external low-price dumping [4][14] Group 2 - South Korea's actions are part of a broader strategy that includes investigations into various steel and chemical products, indicating a comprehensive approach to trade protection [3][4] - The anti-dumping measures from China are based on a systematic logic, with a history of investigations dating back to 2019, and are designed to prevent Korean companies from benefiting from the expiration of previous tariffs [4][14] - The trade conflict is influenced by U.S. pressure, as South Korea faces potential automotive tariffs from the U.S. if it does not impose higher tariffs on Chinese steel products [6][7] Group 3 - The South Korean steel and chemical industries are under significant pressure, with capacity utilization rates projected to drop from 82% in 2023 to 68% by 2025, leading to potential closures of over 30 small and medium-sized steel firms [7][11] - China's anti-dumping measures include exemptions for certain companies, such as POSCO, if they maintain export prices above a specified threshold, indicating a more nuanced approach compared to South Korea's blanket measures [4][5] - The ongoing trade tensions highlight the delicate balance South Korea must maintain in its foreign relations, particularly in the context of its economic dependencies on both the U.S. and China [14][15]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [4][26]. Core Views - The company is expected to experience a decline in net profit by 38% in 2024, with revenue projected at 322.1 billion yuan, a decrease of 6.5% year-on-year. However, the company maintains a strong cash flow with operating cash flow increasing by 9.6% to 27.74 billion yuan [5][6]. - The company plans to distribute a total dividend of 2.15 billion yuan in the second half of 2024, which, along with previously distributed cash dividends and share buybacks, will total 5.31 billion yuan, representing 72.1% of the net profit attributable to shareholders [5][6]. - The company is focusing on product structure upgrades and maintaining stable operations despite industry pressures, with steel sales expected to remain flat at 51.6 million tons in 2024 [6][26]. Financial Performance and Projections - For 2024, the company is projected to achieve revenue of 322.1 billion yuan and a net profit of 7.36 billion yuan, with a significant recovery expected in 2025, where net profit is forecasted to rise to 9.75 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 32.4% [3][26]. - The company plans to produce 48.79 million tons of iron and 52.61 million tons of steel in 2025, with total revenue expected to reach 312 billion yuan [6][25]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is projected to be 0.44 yuan in 2025, with a corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 15.6x [26][27].