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贾可:两年了,是时候决断了!
汽车商业评论· 2025-06-07 14:35
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the ongoing issues of "involution" and unhealthy competition within the Chinese automotive industry, emphasizing the need for legal compliance and industry self-discipline to ensure sustainable development [11][42][43]. Group 1: Industry Competition and Involution - The Chinese automotive industry has rapidly developed under the banner of "four transformations" but has recently faced severe damage due to unhealthy price wars and involutionary competition [11][18]. - Long-term pressure from price wars has led to increased costs for manufacturers, with estimates of an additional 500-1000 yuan per vehicle due to compliance issues [13]. - The article highlights the importance of collaboration among companies with shared missions and values, advocating for a focus on innovation rather than short-term gains [13][18]. Group 2: Legal and Regulatory Framework - The need for a robust legal framework is emphasized, with calls for strict enforcement of laws to ensure fair competition and protect the industry's integrity [41][42]. - The article references the "Dieselgate" scandal involving Volkswagen, which resulted in over 32 billion euros in losses, as a cautionary tale for the industry [16]. - Industry leaders are urged to adhere to legal standards and maintain transparency to foster a healthier competitive environment [42][43]. Group 3: Responses from Industry Leaders - Key figures in the industry, such as Yang Xueliang from Geely and Wei Jianjun from Great Wall Motors, have publicly criticized the current state of competition, calling for rationality and ethical practices [18][26]. - The article notes that the backlash against leaders advocating for anti-involution measures has been significant, highlighting the challenges faced by those promoting change [20][21]. - The need for collective action and accountability among automotive companies is stressed, with a focus on mutual respect and fair competition [43][44]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The article suggests that the automotive industry is at a critical juncture, where the survival of brands will depend on strategic decisions made in 2025 [45]. - There is a growing consensus that without addressing the issues of involution and unethical practices, the industry risks facing a crisis similar to that of Evergrande in real estate [30][45]. - The upcoming automotive forums are seen as pivotal for discussing the future direction of the industry and the necessary reforms to ensure its health and sustainability [45].
某白宫官员:马斯克如今在特朗普政府中几乎找不到同情者
汽车商业评论· 2025-06-06 15:39
Core Points - The dramatic fallout between Trump and Musk poses significant risks for both parties involved, particularly regarding government contracts and legislative agendas [23][24][32] - Musk's criticism of Trump's legislative agenda could jeopardize Trump's key policy initiatives, while Trump's threats to terminate contracts with Musk's companies could impact Musk's business empire [24][32] Group 1: Conflict Overview - The relationship between Trump and Musk has deteriorated rapidly, with public exchanges escalating to threats and accusations [6][7][14] - Musk's criticism of Trump's policies, particularly regarding tariffs and government contracts, has led to a significant backlash from Trump, who has publicly labeled Musk as "crazy" [6][16] - The conflict has resulted in a notable drop in Tesla's stock price, which fell by 14%, marking the largest single-day decline since 2020 [8] Group 2: Key Issues - The primary points of contention between Trump and Musk include NASA personnel appointments and tariff policies, with Musk expressing anger over the withdrawal of a NASA nomination for a close associate [11][12] - The internal dynamics within the White House have shifted, with Musk's former chief assistant now working for him, indicating a fracture in their previously supportive relationship [12] Group 3: Financial Implications - Trump's threats to cancel government contracts with Musk's companies could have severe financial repercussions, potentially affecting SpaceX's contracts with NASA and the Department of Defense [23][31] - Musk's companies, including Tesla and SpaceX, rely heavily on government contracts and regulatory support, which are now at risk due to the escalating conflict [26][28] Group 4: Political Ramifications - The fallout may weaken Trump's legislative agenda, particularly a significant bill that Musk has publicly opposed, which could increase the federal deficit by $2.5 trillion [32][34] - Musk's influence and financial backing could sway Republican lawmakers, potentially leading to a shift in support away from Trump if the conflict continues [34][35]
重磅!2025第十七届轩辕汽车蓝皮书论坛公布最新议程
汽车商业评论· 2025-06-06 15:39
撰 文 / C A B F 2 0 2 5 设 计 / 琚 佳 一年一度的中国汽车蓝皮书论坛,从2025年第十七届起,更名为轩辕汽车蓝皮书论坛(英文名称不 变,依旧是China Auto Blue Book Forum,简称CABF)。 第十七届轩辕汽车蓝皮书论坛将于2025年6月13日—15日在广州白云国际会议中心越秀万豪酒店·会 议中心举行。 为期3天的论坛,聚焦战略、合资、出行、具身机器人、出海、驾术、设计、场景、营销、AI+等十 大议题,汇聚数十场主题演讲以及15大圆桌辩论和3场尖峰对话。 第十七届轩辕汽车蓝皮书论坛主题为"决断"。这是因为当下的中国汽车产业,已经进入胶着的淘汰 赛周期,汽车品牌的生存还是死亡,取决于2025年的根本策略和关键举措。 以下是最新公布的2025第十七届轩辕汽车蓝皮书论坛议程。轩辕汽车蓝皮书论坛主席贾可博士欢迎 大家参加本届论坛,一起推动中国汽车向前进,推动新汽车向前进! | 2025年6月13日-15日 | | | --- | --- | | 地 点 | | | 心中心 · | | | 6/12 | | | 15:00-21:00 | 凭购票电子二维码或取票码到福朋喜来登 ...
中国稀土引发全球车企或将关闭产线
汽车商业评论· 2025-06-05 23:40
编 译 / 张霖郁 设 计 / 琚 佳 来 源 / Wa l l S t r e e t J o u r n a l 随着中国在稀土等关键矿产领域实施出口管制,全球四家车企正竞相寻找突破办法,因为他们担心 因"缺稀"将导致几周内关闭部分汽车生产线。 据华尔街日报报道,知情人士称,一些传统车企和部分新势力企业以及供应商正考虑将部分汽车零 部件生产转移到中国,以避免工厂关闭。 今年5月,代表大多数主要汽车制造商和零部件供应商的行业组织告诉特朗普政府,如果没有更多 来自中国的稀土零部件,汽车生产可能会减产或立即停止。 将未完成的部件运送到半个地球之外去安装一块巧克力大小的磁铁,将增加制造成本和时间,但这 些公司认为,这或许是关闭部分生产线之外的唯一选择。但此举可能会让汽车制造商面临额外的关 税,尽管如此,行业高管认为,这总比停产关门要好。 汽车公司也正寻找欧洲和亚洲的磁铁替代来源。一位公司高管表示,这些来源都无法提供足够的磁 铁来满足美国汽车行业的需求。 目前汽车行业正考虑的几种方案显示了美国在这一磁铁方面对中国的依赖程度。中国控制着几乎所 有将稀土原料转化为可用形态的精炼能力,分析人士表示,中国拥有从周围岩石中分 ...
大哥“向下”,兄弟们迎难而上
汽车商业评论· 2025-06-05 23:40
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the divergent attitudes of major automotive players towards solid-state batteries, highlighting the varying levels of commitment and technological advancements among different companies in the industry [4][8]. Group 1: Major Automotive Companies' Developments - Toyota has shifted focus from solid-state batteries to hybrid vehicles and new-generation engines, believing hybrids are more aligned with current market demands [4]. - BMW has begun road testing a modified i7 with Solid Power's sulfide solid-state battery [5]. - BYD announced a solid-state battery technology capable of charging in 12 minutes for a range of 1500 kilometers, with an energy density of 400Wh/kg [5]. - Changan Automobile showcased a solid-state battery with an energy density of 400Wh/kg at the Shanghai Auto Show [5]. - Mercedes-Benz has been testing a sulfide solid-state battery in a modified EQS since February [5]. Group 2: Battery Manufacturers' Progress - Guoxuan High-Tech has established a pilot line for sulfide solid-state batteries and plans to produce 2GWh annually [10][12]. - The company has achieved significant advancements in materials, with a single cell capacity of 70Ah and an energy density of 350Wh/kg [15]. - The solid-state battery has passed various safety tests, indicating readiness for mass production [16]. Group 3: Market Outlook and Challenges - The commercial viability of solid-state batteries is still uncertain, with industry experts predicting a clearer picture in five years [8]. - The current cost of solid-state battery cells is approximately ten times that of lithium-ion batteries, posing a significant barrier to widespread adoption [19]. - The article notes that while solid-state batteries show promise, they require substantial time and development to reach mass production levels [19]. Group 4: Alternative Battery Technologies - Companies are also exploring semi-solid state batteries, with several firms planning to launch these products in the near future [21][24]. - Guoxuan High-Tech is developing both semi-solid and solid-state battery technologies, with plans for a 12GWh production line for semi-solid batteries [25]. - Sodium-ion batteries are being commercialized, with applications in commercial vehicles and plans for passenger vehicles by the end of the year [30][33].
长安汽车发布:独立为中央企业
汽车商业评论· 2025-06-05 01:01
长安汽车发布:独立为中央企业 汽车国家队重组的新版本 il ic 47 AUTO BUSINESS REVIEW 推 汽 动 新 车 向 进 前 撰文 / 牛跟尚 0 智慧全球 共赢 未来 FOR 2025长致汽车等股票大 设计 / shelly 6月5日,重庆长安汽车股份有限公司(简称长安汽车)董事会发布关于中国兵器装备集团有限公司 重组进展情况的公告。 2025年6月4日,本公司接到兵器装备集团通知,兵器装备集团收到国务院国有资产监督管理委员会 (以下简称"国务院国资委")通知,经国务院批准,对兵器装备集团实施分立。其汽车业务分立为 一家独立中央企业,由国务院国资委履行出资人职责;国务院国资委按程序将分立后的兵器装备集 团股权作为出资注入中国兵器工业集团有限公司。 本次分立后,本公司间接控股股东将变更为汽车业务分立的中央企业,实际控制人未发生变化。 分立重组不会对本公司正常生产经营活动构成重大影响。 为保证及时、公平地披露信息,维护广大投资者利益,现予以公告。后续,本公司将严格按照信息 披露要求,持续关注有关进展情况,并根据相关法律法规的要求及时履行信息披露义务。 分立重组尚需按照法律规定履行相应程序,有 ...
1700瓦时/千克,未来飞机可能靠它飞
汽车商业评论· 2025-06-03 15:09
Core Viewpoint - MIT's new sodium-air fuel cell technology presents a revolutionary solution for energy storage in electric transportation, particularly in aviation, rail, and maritime sectors, addressing the limitations of traditional lithium-ion batteries [4][5][6]. Group 1: Technology Overview - The sodium-air fuel cell utilizes liquid sodium metal and air, separated by a solid ceramic layer, allowing for rapid fuel replenishment and high energy density [5][8]. - This technology can potentially achieve energy densities three times that of current lithium-ion batteries, making electric flight feasible [8][11]. - The system operates at moderate temperatures (110-130°C), making it suitable for use in aircraft and ships [11][19]. Group 2: Environmental Impact - The byproduct of the sodium-air fuel cell is sodium oxide, which can react with moisture to form sodium hydroxide, ultimately leading to sodium bicarbonate, a compound that can help reduce ocean acidity and capture CO2 [18][19]. - This process is self-sustaining and does not produce CO2 emissions, providing an environmentally friendly energy solution [18][19]. Group 3: Safety and Cost Efficiency - The design of the sodium-air fuel cell enhances safety by isolating the fuel from air until energy is needed, reducing the risk of uncontrolled reactions [21][19]. - Sodium is abundant and inexpensive, making it a viable alternative to lithium for large-scale energy applications [21][19]. Group 4: Future Developments - The research team plans to commercialize the technology through a company called Propel Aero, with initial tests for drone applications expected next year [22][23]. - The project has received funding from various organizations, indicating strong support for its development and potential market impact [23].
汽车巨头杀入机器人赛道
汽车商业评论· 2025-06-02 13:44
撰 文 / 玖 零 设 计 / 赵 昊 然 当特斯拉将Autopilot算法注入Optimus的"大脑",广汽GoMate用汽车电驱技术重构机器人关节,一 场由车企主导的"造人"革命正在重塑全球产业格局。据摩根士丹利预测,到2030年全球人形机器人 市场规模将突破千亿元,其中,中国凭借汽车产业链优势,有望占据半壁江山。 车企的跨界不仅是技术复用,更涉及人才迁徙与生态重构,这场从"四个轮子"到"两条腿"的进化, 不仅是技术跨界,更是一场关于人类生产方式的深刻重构。 技术复用:从造车到"造人"的底层逻辑 车企跨界人形机器人并非偶然,其本质是工业化能力向智能化场景的系统性迁移。这种跨界背后, 隐藏着技术复用、供应链共享和战略重构的深层逻辑。 1.1 技术同源性的深度挖掘 智能汽车与人形机器人在感知、决策、执行三大核心环节的技术架构高度重叠。尤其是软件层面, 智能汽车领域积累的环境感知、路径规划、动态决策等算法,可直接迁移至人形机器人开发。这种 技术外溢效应,本质上是汽车产业在智能化进程中形成的"技术资产"向机器人领域的自然延伸。 2019年,特斯拉Autopilot团队的工程师张宇(化名)被调往机器人Optimus ...
专用车蝶变
汽车商业评论· 2025-06-02 13:44
撰 文 / 牛跟尚 设 计 / 琚 佳 中国电动汽车百人会副理事长兼秘书长张永伟长期研究汽车"五化"变革,他未曾想到,作为商用车 范畴的专用车在行业内颇受关注。 在5月15日举办的中国首个专用车主题盛会——专用车产业创新发展大会暨专用车科技展(2025) 前,十堰市委书记黄剑雄提出,作为"商用车之都"的十堰希望举办专用车大会。 此前,行业专家普遍认为会议筹备难度大,原因在于专用车领域缺乏像乘用车领域那样有流量的企 业家、爆款产品及明星企业,作为2B产品,其C端关注度较低 。 百人会团队经调研和课题研究,发现诸多转变。 其一,专用车领域不乏创新及竞争力产品。 十堰因车而兴,拥有56家专用车资质企业,年均生产10万辆,涵盖自卸、厢式等六大类3162个公告 产品,正打造千亿级产业集群,预计2027年产量达15万辆。 总部和工厂位于十堰的东风商用车,其专用车底盘累计销售超30万台,服务全国多地,应用于环 卫、消防等场景。 正如东风商用车事业部总经理张小帆所言,在"双碳"战略和技术革命背景下,专用车高端化、智能 化、绿色化趋势显著,产业格局深刻变革。 其二,专用车产业正经历重大变革,摆脱以往"散、小、乱"的印象,实现跃 ...