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【长电科技(600584.SH)】运算及汽车电子构筑增长引擎——跟踪报告之五(刘凯/黄筱茜)
光大证券研究· 2025-05-29 13:10
Core Viewpoint - The company is strategically focusing on high-performance packaging technology and high-value applications, optimizing its business structure to capture growth in sectors such as automotive electronics, high-performance computing, storage, and 5G communications [2] Group 1: Business Structure and Growth Areas - The company is accelerating its strategic layout in high-value markets, with revenue distribution in 2024 projected as follows: 44.8% from communication electronics, 24.1% from consumer electronics, 16.2% from computing electronics, 7.9% from automotive electronics, and 7.0% from industrial and medical electronics. All sectors, except for industrial, are expected to achieve double-digit year-on-year revenue growth [2] - The computing electronics segment is a significant growth driver, with a 38.1% year-on-year revenue increase in 2024. The company has extensive experience in memory packaging and has acquired 80% of Shengdie Semiconductor, enhancing its market share in the storage and computing electronics sector [3] Group 2: Automotive Electronics - The company is actively engaging in the automotive electronics sector, forming strategic partnerships with leading international firms. The automotive electronics revenue is expected to grow by 20.5% year-on-year in 2024, significantly outpacing the industry average. The Shanghai automotive electronics packaging production base is under construction and is expected to commence production in the second half of 2025 [4] Group 3: Advanced Technologies and Applications - The company is expanding its capabilities in smart terminal RF, power, and energy sectors. It is developing advanced packaging technologies for 5G, WiFi RF modules, and millimeter-wave radar products. Additionally, it is advancing third-generation semiconductor power devices and modules, with its 2.5D vertical Vcore module already in mass production [5]
【策略】继续关注三类资产——2025年6月A股及港股月度金股组合(张宇生/王国兴)
光大证券研究· 2025-05-29 13:10
点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 报告摘要 5月A股港股市场有所回暖 5月A股主要指数涨跌分化,行业端涨多跌少。受风险偏好波动等因素影响,5月(截至27日),A股主要指数 涨跌出现分化,其中万得全A涨幅最大,而科创50跌幅最大。行业端涨多跌少,轻工制造、综合、纺织服饰等 行业表现较好,而电子、计算机、房地产、社会服务等行业表现相对较差。 5月港股市场震荡上行。5月受海外扰动缓和、国内风险偏好回暖等因素影响,港股市场整体走势震荡上行。截 至2025年5月27日,恒生香港35、恒生指数、恒生综合指数、恒生中国企业指数、恒生科技的涨幅分别为 7.6%、5.7%、5.3%、4.9%、1.9%。 A股观点:继续关注三类资产 政策的持续支持以及中长期资金积极流入背景下, A股市场有望震荡上行。当前A股市场的估值处于2010年以 来的均值附近,而随着政策的积极发力,中长期资金带来的增量资金或将持续流入市场,对资本市场形成托 底,A股市场有望震荡上行。 配置方向上,关注三类资产。方向一:稳定类资产,如高股息、黄金。稳定类资产能够在市场面临不确定时提 供确定性。方向二:产业链自主可控。在"双循环"新发展格局和全球产业链重构的双重驱 ...
【美团-W(3690.HK)】竞争加剧影响短期业绩,看好长期价值释放——2025年一季报点评(付天姿/梁丹辉/赵越)
光大证券研究· 2025-05-29 13:10
Group 1: Financial Performance - The company reported a revenue of 86.557 billion yuan in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 18.1% [2] - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 10.057 billion yuan, showing a significant increase of 87.3% year-on-year [2] - Adjusted net profit for the same period was 10.949 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 46.2% [2] - The overall gross margin improved by 2.4 percentage points to 37.4% in Q1 2025 [2] - Core local business revenue was 64.325 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 17.8% [2] - Operating profit for the core business was 13.491 billion yuan, with an operating margin of 21.0%, up 3.2 percentage points year-on-year [2] - New business segment revenue was 22.232 billion yuan, growing by 19.2% year-on-year, but incurred an operating loss of 2.273 billion yuan [2] Group 2: Business Initiatives and Developments - The company is enhancing support for small and medium-sized businesses through initiatives like traffic support and free digital tools [3] - A new pilot program for rider pension insurance was launched in April 2025, with plans for nationwide rollout [3] - The company introduced multiple consumer confidence measures in the on-demand delivery business, including "安心学" and "安心练" [3] - The product supply for chronic disease medications and medical devices has been expanded to improve cross-selling capabilities [3] - A unified membership program, "美团会员," was launched at the end of March 2025, offering differentiated benefits across various business categories [3] - The company plans to invest 100 billion yuan over the next three years to promote high-quality industry development [3]
【滔搏(6110.HK)】25财年继续保持高分红,未来聚焦经营效率提升——2025财年业绩点评(姜浩/孙未未/朱洁宇)
光大证券研究· 2025-05-27 09:13
Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in revenue and net profit for the fiscal year 2025, with a significant drop in profit margins, while maintaining a high dividend payout ratio of 135.0% [3][6]. Financial Performance - For the fiscal year 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 27.01 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 6.6%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.29 billion yuan, down 41.9% [3]. - Earnings per share (EPS) was reported at 0.21 yuan, with a proposed final dividend of 0.02 yuan per share and a special dividend of 0.12 yuan per share, alongside an interim dividend of 0.14 yuan per share [3]. - The company experienced a decline in gross margin by 3.4 percentage points to 38.4%, and operating profit margin decreased by 3.7 percentage points to 5.9% [3][5]. Revenue Breakdown - Revenue from the main brands (Nike and Adidas) decreased by 6.1%, while other brand revenues fell by 9.9% [3]. - Retail and wholesale revenues accounted for 85.3% and 14.0% of total revenue, respectively, with retail revenue declining by 6.8% and wholesale by 5.8% [4]. Store Performance - The total number of stores decreased by 18.3%, with the company operating 5,020 stores as of February 2025 [4]. - The total sales area decreased by 12.4%, while the average sales area per store increased by 7.2% [4]. Cost and Cash Flow Management - The company reported a slight increase in expense ratio by 0.4 percentage points to 33.2%, with employee costs and rental expenses remaining stable [5]. - Inventory decreased by 4.5% to 6 billion yuan, and operating net cash flow increased by 20.0% to 3.76 billion yuan [5]. Strategic Focus - The company aims to enhance operational efficiency by closing underperforming stores and focusing on online channels, including platform e-commerce and private domain operations [6]. - The company continues to expand its brand portfolio, becoming the exclusive operator for high-end running brand SOAR Running and top outdoor brand Norrøna in the Chinese market [6]. Dividend Policy - The company has maintained a high dividend payout ratio exceeding 100% for the fiscal years 2023 to 2025, with an average dividend yield of 12.6% over the past three years [7].
【老百姓(603883.SH)】数智化体系深度融合,多元化探索第二曲线——跟踪点评(王明瑞/黄素青)
光大证券研究· 2025-05-27 09:13
Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in revenue and net profit for 2024, with a focus on optimizing store layout and expanding its franchise business while enhancing its digital and diversified operations [2][3][4][5]. Group 1: Financial Performance - For 2024, the company achieved operating revenue, net profit attributable to shareholders, and net profit excluding non-recurring items of 2.2358 billion, 519 million, and 496 million yuan, respectively, with year-on-year changes of -0.36%, -44.13%, and -41.18% [2]. - The net cash flow from operating activities was 2.026 billion yuan, down 25.77% year-on-year, with basic EPS of 0.68 yuan [2]. - In Q1 2025, the company reported operating revenue, net profit attributable to shareholders, and net profit excluding non-recurring items of 543.5 million, 251 million, and 243 million yuan, respectively, with year-on-year changes of -1.88%, -21.98%, and -21.59% [2]. Group 2: Profit Distribution and Shareholder Returns - The company proposed a profit distribution plan to distribute a cash dividend of 0.8 yuan per 10 shares (including tax) to all shareholders, with a dividend payout ratio of 60.15% for 2024 [2]. Group 3: Operational Insights - The company faced short-term performance pressure due to an increase in new store openings and goodwill impairment losses, leading to a net loss in Q4 2024 [3]. - The sales gross margin improved to 33.17% in 2024 and 34.22% in Q1 2025, with offline store sales gross margin increasing by 0.7 percentage points year-on-year [3]. - Inventory turnover days decreased by 13 days to 92 days in Q1 2025, with a 75.3% share of centralized procurement sales, up approximately 5.8 percentage points year-on-year [3]. Group 4: Store Expansion and Franchise Development - By the end of 2024, the company had a store network covering 18 provinces, with a total of 15,277 stores, including 9,981 direct-operated stores (up 8.7% year-on-year) and 5,296 franchise stores (up 20.5% year-on-year) [4]. - In Q1 2025, the company added 211 new stores, including 24 direct-operated and 187 franchise stores, while closing 236 underperforming stores [4]. - The proportion of old stores converted to franchises increased to 62% in Q1 2025, up 34 percentage points year-on-year, with franchise delivery revenue exceeding 580 million yuan [4]. Group 5: Digital Transformation and Diversification - The company is advancing its digital transformation by integrating technology with business operations to enhance efficiency and reduce costs [5]. - Online sales (including franchises) reached approximately 2.47 billion yuan in 2024, up 24% year-on-year, and 750 million yuan in Q1 2025, up 34% year-on-year [5]. - The company is exploring diversification by increasing the non-pharmaceutical sales ratio, with a 2.8 percentage point increase in non-pharmaceutical sales in sample diversified stores in Q1 2025 [5].
【名创优品(9896.HK)】门店质量持续优化,关注海外经营杠杆释放——2025年一季报点评(姜浩/梁丹辉)
光大证券研究· 2025-05-27 09:13
Core Viewpoint - The company reported a revenue growth of 18.9% year-on-year in Q1 2025, but profits decreased by 28.9% during the same period, indicating potential challenges in profitability despite revenue growth [2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 4.427 billion yuan, reflecting an 18.9% increase year-on-year, while the profit for the period was 417 million yuan, down 28.9% [2]. - Adjusted net profit for the period was 587 million yuan, showing a decline of 4.8% year-on-year [2]. - The comprehensive gross margin for Q1 2025 was 44.2%, up by 0.8 percentage points compared to the previous year, driven by increased overseas market revenue and improved product mix [3]. Group 2: Brand Performance - The MINISO brand generated a revenue of 4.09 billion yuan in Q1 2025, marking a 16.5% year-on-year increase, supported by a 9.1% growth in domestic revenue and a 30.3% increase in overseas revenue [3]. - The TOP TOY brand reported a revenue of 340 million yuan, which is a significant growth of 58.9% year-on-year, primarily due to an increase in the average number of stores [3]. Group 3: Store Adjustments and Shareholder Returns - As of the end of Q1 2025, the total number of stores reached 7,768, with a net decrease of 12 stores quarter-on-quarter; domestic MINISO stores decreased by 111, while overseas stores increased by 95 [4]. - The company has been optimizing its domestic store structure to enhance store quality [4]. - Shareholder returns amounted to 990 million yuan, including cash dividends of 100 million USD and share buybacks totaling 260 million yuan [4].
【光大研究每日速递】20250528
光大证券研究· 2025-05-27 09:13
Group 1: Real Estate Sector - The public fund's holdings in the real estate sector are significantly underweight, with a total market value of approximately 54.84 billion yuan, accounting for about 0.17% of net value and 0.79% of stock investment value, which is underweight by approximately 0.49 percentage points compared to the standard industry allocation [3] Group 2: Beike-W (2423.HK) - Beike, originally founded as Beijing Lianjia in 2001, has evolved into the largest real estate transaction and service platform in China, launching its "one body and three wings" strategy in 2023 to transform from a traditional real estate service platform to a comprehensive living service provider [4] Group 3: Lenovo Group (0992.HK) - For FY2025, Lenovo reported revenues of 69.077 billion USD, a year-on-year increase of 21%, with non-PC revenue accounting for nearly 47% of total revenue, up by approximately 5 percentage points year-on-year; the net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.384 billion USD, up 37% year-on-year [5] Group 4: Tmall (6110.HK) - Tmall's FY2025 revenue and net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 6.6% and 41.9% respectively, with a payout ratio of 135%; the company plans to focus on improving operational efficiency and cost reduction in FY2026 amid external uncertainties [6] Group 5: Miniso (9896.HK) - In Q1 2025, Miniso achieved revenue of 4.427 billion yuan, an increase of 18.9% year-on-year, but net profit decreased by 28.9%; adjusted net profit was 5.87 billion yuan, down 4.8% [7] Group 6: Lao Bai Xing (603883.SH) - Lao Bai Xing is focusing on integrating its digital intelligence system and exploring diversification for its second growth curve, while optimizing store layout and steadily developing its franchise business [8]
【贝壳-W(2423.HK)】从交易走向居住——投资价值分析报告(付天姿/孙伟风/王贇)
光大证券研究· 2025-05-27 09:13
Core Viewpoint - Beike is the largest real estate transaction and service platform in China, transitioning from a traditional real estate service provider to a comprehensive living service provider with its "one body, three wings" strategy focusing on real estate brokerage, home decoration, and related services [3]. Group 1: Real Estate Brokerage Business - Beike has a significant advantage with its integrated online and offline platform, featuring 50,000 active stores and 445,000 active agents by the end of 2024. The platform integrates various real estate brokerage brands, enhancing its scale advantage [4]. - The company effectively addresses issues such as fake listings and price discrepancies through its "Building Dictionary" and ACN mechanism, while promoting digital transformation to improve efficiency and customer experience [4]. - The growth of the real estate brokerage business is expected to continue due to increasing turnover rates in the second-hand housing market and the company's leading market share [4]. Group 2: Home Decoration and Furniture Business - The domestic home decoration market is projected to reach approximately 3.9 trillion by 2024, characterized by high fragmentation and consumer dissatisfaction due to issues like price transparency and long delivery times [5]. - Beike leverages its real estate brokerage business to drive traffic and employs a "standardization + digitalization + full-link integration" model to enhance delivery capabilities in home decoration [5]. - Following the acquisition of Saintu Home Decoration in 2022, Beike is in a phase of scaling its operations by combining vertical management with an internet platform model [5]. Group 3: Rental and Residential Development - The "Worry-Free Rental" model focuses on sustainable profitability by improving rental efficiency and reducing vacancy periods, managing over 430,000 rental units by the end of 2024 [6]. - The "Beihome" initiative explores a new C2M residential development model, with plans to expand operations in major cities like Beijing, Shanghai, and Guangzhou in 2025 [6].
【联想集团(0992.HK)】FY2025净利润稳健增长,ISG业务连续2个季度实现税前盈利——FY25业绩点评报告(付天姿)
光大证券研究· 2025-05-27 09:13
本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写,仅面向光大证券专业投资者客户,用作新媒体形势下研究 信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户,请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号 难以设置访问权限,若给您造成不便,敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相 关人员为光大证券的客户。 查看完整报告 特别申明: 点击注册小程序 报告摘要 业绩: 方案服务业务(SSG)持续同比增长 FY2025 SSG业务收入84.57亿美元,同比上升13.18%;税前溢利17.85亿美元,同比上升15.49%。运维服务/项 目与解决方案服务业务收入分别同比上升24%/20%,合计收入占SSG比重同比上升4pct至58%。 风险提示: PC需求恢复不及预期;AI PC落地进展不及预期;基础设施方案业务下游需求不及预期;关税政策 变动风险。 发布日期: 2025-05-26 FY2025公司收入690.77亿美元,同比上升21%,其中非PC收入占比同比上升近5pct至47%;归母净利润13.84亿 美元,同比上升37%,低于彭博一致预期的14.81亿美元约7%。FY25Q4归母净 ...
【房地产】地产持仓低配明显,持续关注优质标的——光大地产板块及重点公司跟踪报告(何缅南)
光大证券研究· 2025-05-27 09:13
Group 1: Real Estate Development Sector - As of May 23, 2025, the real estate (Shenwan) price-to-earnings ratio (PE TTM) is 39.04, with a historical percentile of 84.38% (2024-present) [2] - The real estate (Shenwan) price-to-book ratio (PB LF) is 0.71, with a historical percentile of 67.12% (2024-present) [2] - From May 1 to May 23, 2025, the real estate (Shenwan) index decreased by 1.4%, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 4.3 percentage points [2] - Key A-share real estate companies with the largest declines include China Vanke (-2.64%) and Shanghai Lingang (-1.87%) [2] Group 2: Property Services Sector - As of May 23, 2025, the real estate services (Shenwan) PE TTM is 42.46, with a historical percentile of 56.76% (2024-present) [3] - The real estate services (Shenwan) PB LF is 1.53, with a historical percentile of 63.66% (2024-present) [3] - From May 1 to May 23, 2025, the real estate services (Shenwan) index fell by 2.5%, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 5.4 percentage points [3] - Key A-share property service companies with the largest gains include Nandu Property (+5.17%) and Xinda Zheng (+2.30%) [3] Group 3: Public Fund Holdings in Real Estate - As of the end of Q1 2025, the total market value of public funds holding real estate stocks is approximately 54.84 billion, accounting for about 0.17% of net asset value [4] - The proportion of real estate stocks in the public fund's investment portfolio is approximately 0.79%, which is underweight by about 0.49 percentage points compared to the standard industry allocation [4]