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中国香港率先立法推进,美国同样迫切,稳定币的背后是“数字币铸币权”
华尔街见闻· 2025-05-22 01:11
稳定币兴起正成为市场不容忽视的一大趋势, 美国以及亚洲多个国家和地区纷纷推进稳定币立法,而香港特区率先通过立法,抢占背后的"数字币铸币权"。 5月21日,香港特区立法会三读通过《稳定币条例草案》,标志着 将稳定币这一虚拟资产正式纳入法治监管体系,预计今年底前机构可向金管局申请成为合规 稳定币发行商。 近期稳定币的重要性日益增长, 美国政府也加紧推动稳定币立法, 由于美元地位正受到前所未有的调整,特朗普政府更将其视为巩固美元地位的重要工具。 花旗表示,美国格外看重稳定币对美国国债需求的提振以及对美元霸权的巩固作用。 其实,无论是美国、香港还是欧盟,各主要金融中心都在建立自己的数字货币体系,确保货币在数字金融时代拥有更大货币控制权。 这场"数字铸币权争夺 战"可能才刚刚开始,香港先发制人可能为其赢得竞争优势。 稳定币重要性日益增长,亟待立法打开发展空间 稳定币是一种与法定货币或大宗商品等其他传统资产挂钩的数字货币,可广泛应用于跨境支付、汇款和去中心化金融等领域。根据德银的介绍 ,稳定币主要有 四种类型:法定货币挂钩、资产支持挂钩、加密货币挂钩的和算法型。 稳定币通常被视为传统金融与加密货币之间的桥梁, 它有潜力促 ...
一文读懂Google I/O 2025 开发者大会:开启 “模型即平台” 的 AI 生态新时代
华尔街见闻· 2025-05-21 10:38
Core Insights - Google is fully embracing AI agents, integrating them into its core services like search and the AI assistant Gemini, aiming to enhance user experience through a new AI mode search [1][27]. Group 1: AI Model Developments - The keynote at Google I/O 2025 showcased advancements in AI, including the Gemini 2.5 Pro model, which is positioned as Google's most powerful general AI model to date [20][23]. - Gemini 2.5 Flash is introduced as a fast and cost-effective AI model suitable for prototyping, enhancing efficiency by using 22% fewer tokens for the same performance [39]. - The Gemini models have seen a significant increase in usage, with monthly token processing growing from 9.7 trillion to 480 trillion, nearly a 50-fold increase [24]. Group 2: AI Features and Tools - The AI Studio has been updated to include a native voice model supporting 24 languages and active audio recognition, enhancing user interaction capabilities [6]. - The new Stitch project allows for automatic generation of app UI designs from text prompts, which can be exported for further development [4][5]. - The Keynote Companion, a virtual assistant named "Casey," can listen for keywords and provide real-time updates, integrating with maps for navigation [10][11]. Group 3: AI Integration in Android - The Androidify app uses selfies and Gemini models to create personalized Android robot avatars, showcasing the integration of AI in user personalization [14]. - The new UI system, Material 3 Expressive, enhances user interface engagement with playful design elements [17]. - Android 16 introduces features like live updates and performance optimization tools, supporting a broader range of devices [18]. Group 4: AI in Search and Browsing - Google is launching an AI mode in its search function, allowing users to ask complex queries and receive structured answers, enhancing the search experience [47][48]. - The AI mode supports multi-turn conversations and generates rich, visual responses, redefining how users interact with search [49][50]. Group 5: Subscription and Pricing - Google has introduced a new subscription package, Google AI Ultra, priced at $249.99 per month, offering access to advanced models and features, including 30 TB of storage [62][63]. - This package includes various AI tools and services, enhancing user capabilities across Google applications [64].
继续“无人问津”,日本国债的雷,依然没有任何缓解
华尔街见闻· 2025-05-21 10:38
要使超长期债券的需求反弹,市场需要获得更大的保证,即将减少新债券的发行,这在本财年内在技 术上是可能的。 此前周二,日本财务省周20年期国债拍卖录得灾难性结果。投标倍数仅为2.5倍,远低于上月的2.96 倍,创下自2012年以来的最低水平。尾差(Auction Tail,即平均价格与最低接受价格之间的差距)从4 月份的0.34飙升至1.14,为1987年以来最高水平。 市场需求极为低迷,买家基本不愿意接盘长期国债 。 在经历周二债市大幅波动后,日本超长期债券周三几乎没有得到任何喘息的机会。 日本债券市场连续第二天无人出价,30年期和 40 年期日本国债收益率均创下历史新高。 20年期日本国债收益率一度上涨1.5个基点至2.57%,创下自2000年10月以来的最高水平。这一收益率 在周二跃升了令人震惊的15个基点。 同时,30年期收益率下跌1.5个基点至3.110%,较其创纪录的3.14%略有回落,而40年期收益率则在触 及周二3.6%的历史峰值后保持在3.595%不变。 Okasan Securities首席债券策略师Naoya Hasegawa警告: 分析认为, 市场情绪在未来几周内可能继续承压,因为30年 ...
从投行到交易员,华尔街已准备好:10年美债收益率冲击5%
华尔街见闻· 2025-05-21 10:38
随着特朗普税改法案引发美国债务和赤字担忧升级,交易员正大举押注10年期美债收益率将飙至5%。 据彭博报道,交易员正大规模押注长期美债收益率将因美国政府不断膨胀的债务和赤字担忧而飙升,而 特朗普的减税法案使这一局面变得更加危险。 报道称,包括高盛和摩根大通在内的华尔街策略师正在上调他们的收益率预测。其中,押注10年期美债 收益率将达到5%的头寸规模最大。 CME的未平仓合约数据显示,市场出现了大规模押注十年期美债收益率在未来几周内攀升至5%的期权 交易,金额规模高达1100万美元。 评级下调引发恐慌,30年期美债收益率触及5%关口 周一,30年期美债收益率短暂突破5%,达到自2023年11月以来的最高水平,随后回落。 交易员正支付越来越多的费用来对冲曲线长端的抛售, 与周一美国30年期国债收益率突破5%水平以及 最近美国国债收益率曲线陡峭化的走势相符。长期债券合约中看跌期权的偏斜度现已达到约一个月来的 最高水平。 截至5月13日的一周,CFTC数据显示, 资产管理公司清算了大量多头头寸,对冲基金则平仓了空头头 寸。 ⭐星标华尔街见闻,好内容不错过 ⭐ 摩根大通的策略师Jay Barry和Jason Hunter ...
Labubu,新时代的Hello Kitty?
华尔街见闻· 2025-05-21 10:38
Core Viewpoint - Labubu is rapidly emerging as a new generation of super IP, surpassing Hello Kitty in search popularity, with significant sales growth potential projected from 3 billion RMB in 2024 to 14 billion RMB by 2027 [3][8]. Comparison of IPs - Labubu and Hello Kitty share similarities in character style and business model, with Labubu being a newer IP launched in 2015, while Hello Kitty debuted in 1974 [4][5]. - Labubu's merchandise includes blind boxes and plush toys, while Hello Kitty has a broader range of products through extensive licensing [5][6]. - Labubu's search interest has shown exponential growth, particularly in Southeast Asia, Mexico, and Spain, indicating a rising global brand influence [5][6]. Market Performance - Hello Kitty has achieved cumulative retail sales of 8.45 billion USD, while Labubu's sales reached 3 billion RMB in 2024 [7][8]. - Labubu's growth rate is outpacing that of Hello Kitty during its early years, showcasing its market potential [8]. Factors Contributing to Labubu's Success - Product innovation through unique materials that differentiate Labubu from other IPs [10]. - Celebrity endorsements and social media presence have boosted Labubu's visibility [11]. - Strategic marketing campaigns, including collaborations with tourism authorities, have generated significant buzz [12]. - Pop Mart's substantial investments in theme parks and retail stores are enhancing Labubu's market presence [13]. Future Growth Engines - The Monsters series, which includes Labubu, is expected to contribute 27% of the group's annual revenue by 2027 [15]. - New IPs like Molly and Crybaby are projected to exceed 5 billion RMB in sales [15]. - The traditional blind box category will remain significant, but other product categories, including plush toys and MEGA figures, are expected to increase their sales contributions [15]. - AI toys are anticipated to become a new trend in the toy industry, with Pop Mart positioned to lead this innovation [15].
日债拍卖史诗级崩溃,日本正在暴雷?
华尔街见闻· 2025-05-20 07:06
就在全世界都在密切关注美国国债是否会因穆迪下调评级暴跌时,真正的债券市场崩溃发生在地球另一边的日本。 日本20年期国债迎来自2012年以来最差拍卖,投标倍数跌至2.5倍,尾差飙升至1987年以来最高水平,这场债券灾难已经引发日本40年期国债收益率突破历史 高点,达3.59%。 随着日本央行量化紧缩(QT)计划受到质疑,投资者需警惕全球债券市场动荡可能引发的连锁反应,尤其是对持有日债、美债的机构投资者而言。 史诗级崩溃:日本债券拍卖惨败 日本财务省周二进行的1万亿日元(约69亿美元)20年期国债拍卖录得灾难性结果。投标倍数仅为2.5倍,远低于上月的2.96倍,创下自2012年以来的最低水 平。 更为震撼的是,尾差(Auction Tail,即平均价格与最低接受价格之间的差距)飙升至1.14,为1987年以来最高水平。 作为 债券拍卖的"温度计" ,尾差越大,意味着 市场需求极为低迷,买家基本不愿意接盘长期国债 。投资者对当前价格不买账,风险变高。 据媒体报道,日本央行本周将与市场参与者进行磋商,以评估其量化紧缩计划的进度。 国内政治因素也使日本央行关于量化紧缩政策的决定变得复杂。日本议员正在讨论是否需要减税或增 ...
3000亿中药饮片赛道竞速:解码“港交所中药饮片第一股”新荷花
华尔街见闻· 2025-05-20 03:33
Core Viewpoint - The traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) decoction pieces industry is undergoing a transformation from "experience inheritance" to "scientific verification," driven by the increasing demand for standardized and convenient TCM treatments, which is leading to a capitalized moment in the industry [1] Group 1: Company Overview - Sichuan Xinhehua Chinese Medicine Decoction Pieces Co., Ltd. has submitted a listing application to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, aiming to become the "first stock of TCM decoction pieces" in Hong Kong, with over 770 varieties and 4900 specifications of decoction pieces [1][4] - As the second-largest supplier of TCM decoction pieces in China, Xinhehua has established a dual-pillar strategy of "leading position in the core TCM market + disruptive innovation for modern consumers," contributing to the modernization of TCM [1][12] Group 2: Market Changes - The company is capitalizing on four major market changes: the "quality and price" focus of centralized procurement, segmentation of distribution channels, industry specialization, and the evolving health management needs [2] - Recent policies have strengthened support for the TCM industry, with a focus on standardization and centralized procurement, leading to an average price drop of 29.5% for 21 types of decoction pieces across 15 provinces [2][5] Group 3: Product Quality and Standards - Xinhehua is the first TCM decoction pieces company in China to obtain GMP certification and has participated in the formulation of 31 national processing standards and 7 major TCM material specifications, ensuring product quality and safety [3][4] - The company has also contributed to the revision of national standards for specific TCM materials, integrating modern scientific technology into production and quality assessment [4] Group 4: Financial Performance - Xinhehua's revenue has grown from 780 million yuan in 2022 to 1.249 billion yuan in 2024, with a compound annual growth rate of 27% [9] - The company's operational efficiency is reflected in its reduced sales and financial expense ratios, which have decreased by 1.68 percentage points and 0.22 percentage points, respectively, from 2022 to 2024 [9] Group 5: Future Prospects - The market size of TCM decoction pieces reached 278.8 billion yuan in 2023 and is expected to exceed 400 billion yuan by 2030, indicating a promising outlook for the industry [12] - Xinhehua's strategy focuses on maintaining its leadership in the core TCM market while innovating for modern consumers, positioning itself to capture new growth opportunities in the TCM decoction pieces sector [12]
炒黄金狂赚100亿,他转身“炒铜”,又已赚14亿多
华尔街见闻· 2025-05-20 03:33
他就是 边锡明 ,一个曾在黄金市场赚下 15亿美元 (约108.34亿元) 、被称作 "隐形期王" 的交易员。 现在,他的全部火力,已调转至铜。 从塑料到期货市场的 "独行侠" 边锡明,现年 61岁,是中财集团、中财期货等多家企业的董事长。 他早年从事塑料管生意,积累了第一桶金。此后,他将业务拓展至金融领域,逐步构建起中财集团的商业版图。 中财集团的业务涵盖化学建材、金融、期货等多个领域,边锡明是集团的实际控制人,持有集团 65.32%的股权。 在大宗商品市场的风口浪尖,有人浮沉起落,有人悄悄攀登。 2025年春天,当全球投资者都将目光聚焦在屡创新高的黄金价格时,一位来自中国的神秘操盘手,已悄然将资金从黄金抽离,转战铜市,并迅速赚下2亿美元 (约14.45亿元) 浮盈。 在圈内,他几乎从不接受媒体采访,也极少出现在公开活动中,因此被称为 "中国最神秘的期货交易员之一" 。 但他的持仓规模和盘面影响力却不容忽视,被不少业内人士称为 "期货界的独行侠" 。 黄金大胜仗——三年 15亿美元战绩 回顾 2022年至2024年,边锡明可谓 "押对了黄金的所有节奏" 。 在美联储加息周期尾声和全球避险情绪高涨之际,他率先 ...
刚刚,正式降息10BP,银行官宣下调存款利率,最高25基点
华尔街见闻· 2025-05-20 01:30
5月LPR报价出炉,5年期和1年期利率均下调10BP。 5月20日周二,中国人民银行授权全国银行间同业拆借中心公布,中国1年期贷款市场报价利率(LPR)最新报3.00%,上次为3.10%;5年期LPR报3.50%,上次为 3.60%。 本次下调此前官方已有公布,5月7日,中国人民银行行长潘功胜在发布会上表示,将下调金融机构存款准备金率0.5个百分点,预计向市场提供长期流动性约1万 亿; 并下调政策利率0.1个百分点,预计将带动贷款市场报价利率(LPR)同步下行约0.1个百分点 ,同时下调住房公积金利率0.25个百分点。 20日早前,四大行官宣下调存款利率,最高25基点: 其中,活期利率下调5个基点至0.05%;定期整存整取三个月期、半年期、一年期、二年期均下调15个基点,分别为0.65%、0.85%、0.95%、1.05%;三年期和五 年期均下调25个基点,分别至1.25%和1.3%。 此外,招行等大行也将于5月20日起下调人民币存款挂牌利率,这是继央行降息后市场化利率传导机制的又一次显性表现。 银行官宣下调存款利率,多类存款产品利率集体下行 中国四大行以及招商银行、交通银行纷纷官宣下调存款利率。 中国工商银 ...
创纪录抄底,又是散户救了美股!
华尔街见闻· 2025-05-20 01:03
Core Viewpoint - The impact of Moody's downgrade on the U.S. credit rating appears to be short-lived, as retail investors engaged in record "buying the dip" actions, leading to a recovery in the stock market on Monday [1][3]. Group 1: Retail Investor Activity - On Monday, retail investors recorded a net purchase of U.S. stocks amounting to a historic $4.1 billion, marking the first time this figure surpassed $4 billion before noon [2]. - Retail trading volume accounted for 36% of the overall market trading volume, setting a new historical high, exceeding the previous peak in late April [6]. - In April, retail investors significantly contributed to the rebound of the U.S. stock market, with a net purchase of $40 billion, surpassing March's figures and setting a record for the largest monthly inflow [9]. Group 2: Market Performance - The S&P 500 index initially dropped nearly 1.1% at the open but rebounded to close up 5.22 points, or 0.09%, at 5963.60 points [4]. - The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 137.33 points, or 0.32%, closing at 42792.07 points, while the Nasdaq increased by 4.36 points, or 0.02%, to 19215.46 points [4]. Group 3: Investment Strategies - Wall Street strategists advised clients to continue buying on dips, viewing the Moody's downgrade as an opportunity rather than a cause for concern [11]. - Morgan Stanley's strategist Michael Wilson indicated that the market pullback triggered by the downgrade presents a buying opportunity, especially after the U.S.-China tariff truce reduced recession risks [12]. - HSBC's multi-asset strategy head Max Kettner expressed that any decline in risk assets should be seen as an opportunity to increase investments [13].