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中介收费近千元 内地赴港开户热中的代办生意
经济观察报· 2025-05-11 06:34
Core Viewpoint - The surge in demand for Hong Kong bank accounts is driven by the recovery of the Hong Kong stock market, cross-border wealth management needs, and high talent programs, making Hong Kong bank accounts a vital link to international markets [1][4]. Group 1: Challenges in Opening Accounts - Mainland users face significant difficulties in scheduling appointments and waiting in line when applying for Hong Kong bank accounts [3][8]. - Most intermediaries indicate that proxy applications are no longer feasible, and clients must visit Hong Kong in person, although they can provide guidance and strategies for the process [5][11]. Group 2: Market Trends and Opportunities - Since 2024, there has been a noticeable increase in mainland users traveling to Hong Kong for bank card applications, with a continued rise in interest into 2025 [4][18]. - The number of new private clients at HSBC Hong Kong increased from 130,000 in Q1 2024 to 300,000 in Q1 2025, indicating a growing trend in account openings [18]. Group 3: Role of Intermediaries - A new wave of intermediaries has emerged to assist clients with the account opening process, offering services ranging from appointment scheduling to full guidance [5][7]. - Intermediaries are categorized into two types: those providing accompanying services and those with close ties to banks, some claiming to facilitate account openings without clients needing to visit Hong Kong [5][12]. Group 4: Financial Incentives - The interest in opening Hong Kong bank accounts is partly due to the higher interest rates on savings and investment products compared to mainland offerings, with some Hong Kong banks offering rates above 3.5% for USD deposits [19][20]. - The Hong Kong Monetary Authority reported a 7.09% increase in total deposits and a 14.24% increase in USD deposits in 2024, highlighting the attractiveness of Hong Kong's financial products [19]. Group 5: Regulatory Environment - The regulatory environment for opening accounts in Hong Kong has become stricter, with banks requiring proof of identity, address, and minimum deposit amounts [20][21]. - Frequent large transactions or long periods of inactivity can attract regulatory scrutiny, leading to potential account freezes or investigations [21].
品牌商的选择题:代工订单接不接
经济观察报· 2025-05-11 06:34
代工业务受制于人,但放弃前者、专注于自己的品牌也并非易 事。 作者:阿茹汗 郑明珠 封图:CFP 一家年销售额不到百亿元的乳制品企业陷入了两难: 面对渠道商的代工订单,接还是不接? 纷沓而至的代工需求,虽能解决奶源过剩的烦恼,可一旦做了渠道定制的自有品牌,就意味着各项 成本要一览无余地展现给渠道商,并面临对方的"极致压价",下一步更是要在超市货架上与这些自 有品牌展开正面竞争。 这家不愿具名的乳制品企业位于华东地区。当谈及今年的市场时,市场部负责人语气中透露着无 奈,"渠道定制越来越多,越是大的渠道,越要做定制,这对品牌商来说压力很大,而且会弱化我 们自己的品牌"。 当手握货架资源、流量入口的渠道商们纷纷下场做自有品牌时,品牌商们已经嗅到了危机,这家乳 企不过是众品牌商遭遇的缩影。 凯度消费者指数的数据显示,2024年上半年,在其监测的百余个快消品品类中,零售企业自有品 牌的整体销售额增速为40%,远高于整体快消品2%的销售额增速。此外,在17个品类中,山姆自 有品牌Member's Mark的市场份额已超过0.5%。 盒马们的比价 国内一家头部粮油企业目前与永辉、胖东来、山姆等多个渠道都有代工合作。 面对渠 ...
谁撑住了一季度的固定资产投资
经济观察报· 2025-05-11 06:34
Core Viewpoint - Under the dual policy support, state-owned sector investment growth reached 6.5%, with actual growth estimated to exceed 8% after price factors are deducted, significantly supporting investment growth and the economic foundation amid declining real estate development investment and stagnant private investment [1][3][4]. Investment Trends - In Q1 2025, national fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) was 103,174 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.2%. After accounting for a 2.3% decline in PPI, the actual growth rate of fixed asset investment was approximately 6.5%, surpassing GDP growth by about 1 percentage point [4][5]. - Private fixed asset investment grew by only 0.4% in Q1 2025, marking the fourth consecutive year of minimal growth since 2022. Manufacturing private investment increased by 9.7%, while infrastructure private investment rose by 9.3% [2][7]. Sector Analysis - The first industry saw an investment of 2,081 billion yuan, growing by 16.0%, while the second industry investment was 36,141 billion yuan, increasing by 11.9%. The third industry investment was 64,952 billion yuan, with a marginal growth of 0.1%, indicating a significant decline in private investment in real estate [8][13]. - The decline in real estate development investment, which fell by 9.9% in Q1 2025, has heavily impacted private investment growth, with estimates suggesting that the decline in private real estate investment is even more pronounced [2][22]. Regional Investment Performance - Investment growth varied by region, with the northeastern region showing a growth of 9.7%, primarily driven by state-owned sector investment. The eastern region grew by 2.2%, while the central and western regions saw growth rates of 5.5% and 6.2%, respectively [9][20]. Legislative Impact - The passing of the "Private Economy Promotion Law" on April 30, 2025, aims to support private economic organizations in participating in major national strategies and projects, potentially leading to a rebound in private investment as the real estate market stabilizes [3][21].
长江商学院陈歆磊:零售商做自有品牌并非替代品牌商
经济观察报· 2025-05-11 06:34
Core Viewpoint - The increase in self-owned products by leading retailers may not pose a problem, but if the entire industry follows suit in pursuit of maximum profits, it could create an unfavorable ecosystem for brand manufacturers [1][3]. Group 1: Retail Trends - Retailers are increasing the proportion of self-owned products, with Su Ning's 2024 report indicating that self-owned product sales accounted for 22.6% of total sales, boosting gross margin [5]. - The trend of retailers developing private brands is not new, having started in the late 1970s in Europe, where private brands accounted for about 20% of retail sales, rising to over 40% by 2000 [5]. - In contrast, the share of private brands in China's top 100 supermarket companies was only 5% in 2022, indicating a slower adoption compared to Western markets [5]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The rise of self-owned brands in China is influenced by the lack of strong brand power among retailers, with the top 20 retailers in the U.S. holding 60% market share, while the top 100 in China hold less than 9% [6]. - The shift from a supply-driven market to a consumer-driven market in China means that retailers are now trying to capture differentiated consumer demands, which poses challenges for brand manufacturers [8]. Group 3: Brand Manufacturer Strategies - Brand manufacturers face limited choices: some hesitate to collaborate with retailers for fear of becoming mere OEMs, while others accept the partnership for stable orders [9]. - Key considerations for brand manufacturers when deciding to collaborate with retailers include excess production capacity, brand value protection, and potential competition with retailer's self-owned products [9]. - The actions of retailers in developing self-owned brands are not solely aimed at replacing brand manufacturers but are also driven by the pursuit of higher profits and market validation [10][11].
番茄资本创始人卿永:国内餐饮可出手的机会不多了
经济观察报· 2025-05-10 04:57
Core Viewpoint - The future of restaurant investment will move away from a scattergun approach to a more focused and meticulous strategy, emphasizing the need for investment institutions that understand both capital and industry, capable of identifying and nurturing opportunities [1][14] Group 1: Recent Developments in Restaurant IPOs - New tea beverage brand Bawang Chaji (CHA.O) officially listed on NASDAQ on April 17, becoming the first new-style tea beverage company to enter the US stock market, with a market capitalization exceeding $5 billion after a 12% opening day increase [2] - In the week prior, Hong Kong restaurant brand Niu Daren successfully listed on NASDAQ, raising $120 million, while another brand, Yujian Xiaomian, submitted its prospectus to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, aiming to become the first listed Chinese noodle restaurant [2] - The recent surge in restaurant IPOs has drawn attention, with several brands, including Mixue Ice Cream and Guming, also having listed in Hong Kong [2] Group 2: Investment Trends and Market Dynamics - According to Qing Yong, founder of Tomato Capital, the current wave of IPOs is a continuation of the investment boom in the restaurant sector that peaked in 2021, which saw 178 financing events totaling over 21 billion yuan [3] - The 2021 investment frenzy led to inflated valuations, with brands like Manner and Hutouju achieving single-store valuations exceeding 100 million yuan and 375 million yuan respectively [4] - However, investment in the restaurant sector has cooled significantly, with a 20% year-on-year decrease in financing events in 2023, as capital shifts towards mature enterprises [4] Group 3: Challenges and Future Outlook - Current restaurant investments face the challenge of limited available projects, with many enterprises under pressure to exit their investments, making IPOs a necessary choice [4][5] - The investment landscape has shifted, with a more cautious valuation approach now prevalent, with PE ratios for quality projects at 15 times and ordinary projects at 10 times [10] - The market is witnessing a transformation where only those with sustainable cash flow and reasonable growth will receive valuations aligned with their fundamentals [10][12] Group 4: Investment Strategies and Focus Areas - The financing logic in the restaurant industry has changed, with three main types of companies seeking funding: those nearing IPO, those facing exit pressure, and those with validated single-store models ready for scaling [11][12] - Investment institutions are increasingly focusing on nurturing quality entrepreneurs and building a comprehensive industry ecosystem, moving away from traditional financial investment models [12][13] - Companies are exploring overseas markets for greater investment opportunities, with the US market offering stable single-store profit models and mature exit mechanisms [15]
中小零部件企业困于“账期游戏” 万亿汽车产业链的生死博弈
经济观察报· 2025-05-10 04:57
Core Viewpoint - The Chinese automotive industry has maintained its position as the world's largest producer and seller for 14 consecutive years, leveraging new energy vehicles to become a leader in the industry's transformation. However, thousands of small and medium-sized parts suppliers are caught in a silent "account period war" due to long payment cycles from major manufacturers [1][2]. Group 1: Long Payment Terms - Major manufacturers are extending payment terms, pushing many suppliers to the brink of financial collapse. The average accounts payable turnover days for listed automotive companies in China reached 156 days in 2022, with some exceeding 200 days, while German and Japanese companies typically keep it under 60 days [14]. - The long payment terms are a financial strategy where manufacturers transfer their financial pressure onto the supply chain, leading to significant cash flow issues for suppliers [5][14]. - Suppliers often face a payment cycle of at least 10 months, which includes a minimum of 2 months for material procurement and production, followed by several months of waiting for payment [6]. Group 2: Impact on Small and Medium Enterprises - Small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) are particularly vulnerable, with many unable to survive due to long payment cycles. Cases of companies going bankrupt due to unpaid debts are increasingly common [9]. - SMEs often have to prepay for materials while facing long receivable periods from their customers, creating a severe cash flow crunch [8][9]. - The recent revision of the "Regulations on Ensuring Payment to Small and Medium Enterprises" offers some hope, but many remain skeptical about its enforcement [3][9]. Group 3: Comparison with Foreign Enterprises - Foreign enterprises generally offer better payment terms, with upfront payments ranging from 30% to 60%, and the remaining balance settled within 1 to 2 months [12]. - Domestic enterprises, in contrast, often have complex payment structures that lead to delayed payments, making it difficult for suppliers to manage cash flow effectively [11][12]. - The disparity in payment practices between domestic and foreign companies highlights the challenges faced by SMEs in the Chinese automotive supply chain [10][12]. Group 4: Need for Regulatory Enforcement - There is a call for stricter enforcement of regulations to protect SMEs from long payment terms and to ensure that large enterprises are held accountable for their payment practices [9][14]. - The low cost of violating payment regulations and the lack of accountability for large enterprises contribute to the ongoing issues within the supply chain [14]. - Establishing innovative supply chain financing mechanisms, such as reverse factoring, could provide a potential solution to alleviate cash flow pressures on suppliers [14].
机器人各路大军云集深圳
经济观察报· 2025-05-10 04:57
Core Viewpoint - Shenzhen is emerging as a "Robot Valley," attracting diverse entrepreneurs focused on the "human creation" wave, forming a complete robot industry chain with humanoid robot manufacturers, large model companies, sensors, robotic arms, and dexterous hands [3][4]. Group 1: Diverse Exploration Paths - Companies in Shenzhen are exploring different paths in the "human creation" wave, focusing on motion control, large models, and emotional interaction to find commercial applications [6][4]. - The formation of the "Robot Valley" is supported by a group of "enablers" specializing in core components and key technologies, alongside terminal explorers [4][13]. - Some companies have identified feasible paths for robot commercialization by deeply understanding industry pain points, establishing first-mover advantages in their respective fields [4][19]. Group 2: Key Players and Innovations - Digital Huaxia, founded in early 2024, aims to create humanoid robots with emotional interaction capabilities, targeting service scenarios like banks and high-end retail [6][7]. - Zhi Ping Fang focuses on building an "AI brain" for robots, emphasizing end-to-end technology to enhance environmental understanding and autonomous learning [9][10]. - Pasi Ni is developing advanced tactile sensors to improve robots' interaction with the physical world, addressing a critical gap in robot perception [13][14]. Group 3: Market Dynamics and Trends - The robot industry in Shenzhen is rapidly growing, with over 74,000 related companies and a total output value exceeding 200 billion RMB by the end of 2024 [13]. - Companies like Pudu Technology have successfully penetrated the commercial service robot market, with over 90,000 robots shipped globally [20][21]. - Cloud Whale focuses on home cleaning robots, achieving over 130% revenue growth in 2024 and planning to expand into "home embodied intelligence" [22][23]. Group 4: Application and Future Directions - Companies are increasingly focusing on specific application scenarios, such as Pudu Technology's expansion into humanoid robots for more complex tasks [21]. - Yuejiang Technology is leveraging its expertise in collaborative robots to address automation needs in emerging service sectors, indicating a trend of technology migration to clear market demands [24].
中国央行的“出击”与美联储的“按兵不动”
经济观察报· 2025-05-10 04:57
当下,美国正深陷"关税—通胀—衰退"三角困局。在这个历史 转折点上,中国打出的这张牌可谓中美博弈下的政策组合拳 ——它是一次有力度的"宽信用+对冲风险"组合。 作者:欧阳晓红 封图:图虫创意 非常时期非常政策。 当美联储主席鲍威尔在华盛顿反复强调"需要更多数据",而人民币汇率在"五一"假期表现出足够 的底气时,中国央行率先出手,宣布"双降"(降准与降息),宽松政策先于美联储落地。 5月7日,国务院新闻办公室举行新闻发布会,中国人民银行、国家金融监督管理总局(下称"金融 监管总局")、中国证券监督管理委员会三大金融管理部门联合发布"一揽子金融政策支持稳市场稳 预期"的措施。 中国人民银行宣布,下调政策操作利率10个基点,下调再贷款利率0.25个百分点,下调个人住房公 积金贷款利率0.25个百分点,将科技创新与技术改造再贷款额度从5000亿元提升至8000亿元,设 立5000亿元"服务消费与养老再贷款"等10项增量政策。 这10项政策可归为三大类:一是数量型政策,通过降准等措施,直接增加流动性供应,降低存款 准备金率0.5个百分点,预计将向市场提供长期流动性约1万亿元;二是价格型政策,7天期逆回购 利率下调10个 ...
卡牌的二手江湖
经济观察报· 2025-05-09 14:48
Core Insights - The trading of collectible cards in the primary market is booming, which is driving rapid growth in the secondary market, although both markets are still in their infancy in China [3][6] - The value of collectible cards, the popularity of intellectual properties (IPs), and the issuance strategies of companies will significantly impact the secondary market [3][6] Group 1: Market Dynamics - The collectible card market in China is experiencing a surge, with companies like 卡游 (Kayo) leading the market with over 70% market share [3] - Kayo's revenue is projected to reach 100.57 billion yuan in 2024, a threefold increase from the previous year, with a net profit of 44.66 billion yuan, marking a 378.16% year-on-year growth [3][11] - The secondary market is heavily influenced by the popularity of specific IPs, with 小马宝莉 (My Little Pony) becoming a key driver of Kayo's revenue growth in 2024 [11][12] Group 2: Consumer Behavior - Young consumers, such as students, are actively participating in the card trading market, often selling cards for profit despite not being fans of the IPs [2][5] - The probability of obtaining rare cards is low, with some cards having a chance as low as 0.062%, making the experience akin to gambling [2][5] - The secondary market is seeing significant transactions, with some cards selling for thousands of yuan, far exceeding their original purchase price [6][11] Group 3: Rating and Valuation - The demand for graded cards is increasing, with domestic grading institutions seeing a surge in orders, particularly for 小马宝莉 cards [8][9] - Graded cards serve both a collectible and aesthetic purpose, differing from international markets where grading is more focused on investment [8][9] - The domestic grading market is evolving, with a goal to establish standardized grading and pricing systems [9][12] Group 4: Future Potential - The collectible card market in China has significant growth potential, with per capita spending on collectible cards currently at only 8.6 yuan compared to 92.3 yuan in Japan and 50.7 yuan in the U.S. [12] - The overall market for entertainment products in China is expected to exceed 330 billion yuan by 2029, indicating a growing interest in collectible cards [12] - However, the secondary market may face challenges from the primary market, especially with companies reviving popular cards, which could disrupt the value of existing cards [12]
网营科技要卖给海南发展了 “私募大佬”徐翔关联公司一个月前退出
经济观察报· 2025-05-09 13:06
Core Viewpoint - Hainan Development is acquiring a 51% stake in Hangzhou Woying Technology for no more than 450 million yuan, indicating a strategic move to expand into the e-commerce service sector and embrace the internet economy [2][4]. Group 1: Acquisition Details - The acquisition agreement was signed on May 7, 2025, and Hainan Development will hold 51% of Woying Technology post-transaction, making it a subsidiary [4]. - The acquisition is subject to due diligence and final agreement on specific terms, including the purchase price and share structure [5]. - Woying Technology is a brand e-commerce service provider that offers comprehensive services to global consumer brands [10]. Group 2: Financial Overview - Woying Technology reported total assets of approximately 959 million yuan and net assets of about 430 million yuan as of the end of 2024, with a net profit of around 50 million yuan for the year [10]. - Hainan Development's main business includes curtain wall and interior decoration engineering, photovoltaic glass, and special glass processing, with a reported revenue of 3.912 billion yuan in 2024, down 6.48% year-on-year [13]. Group 3: Market Context - The acquisition represents Woying Technology's closest experience to capital markets, following a history of ownership changes and disputes [8][12]. - The company has a workforce of 613 employees and focuses on four core areas: maternal and infant products, pet care, health food, and beauty and personal care [11].