Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive investment outlook for the real estate sector, suggesting a "buy" recommendation for stocks in this industry due to recent price recoveries and potential policy support [7]. Core Insights - The A-share real estate sector saw a significant increase of +6.1% in the week of July 5-11, outperforming other sectors, while the Hong Kong real estate sector rose by +0.6% [3][17]. - There is an expectation for new stimulus policies to be introduced, particularly in light of the upcoming Central Urban Work Conference, which historically has influenced urban development strategies and real estate policies [5][13]. - The trend of Real World Asset (RWA) tokenization in the real estate sector is emerging, enhancing liquidity and providing new financing options for real estate companies [6][15]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The A-share real estate sector ranked first among all sectors with a weekly increase of +6.1%, while the Hong Kong real estate sector ranked sixth with a +0.6% increase [3][17]. - The property service index in Hong Kong increased by +1%, indicating a stable performance relative to other indices [25]. Land Market - In the week of July 5-11, the total area of residential land sold across 300 cities was 445 million square meters, reflecting a week-on-week decrease of 48% and a year-on-year decrease of 24% [26]. - The average premium rate for land transactions was reported at 8%, with a cumulative area of 19,016 million square meters sold since the beginning of 2025, showing a year-on-year decline of 3.8% [26][29]. New Housing Sales - In 47 cities, new housing sales totaled 261 million square meters, with a week-on-week decrease of 49% and a year-on-year decrease of 14% [33]. - Sales in first-tier cities decreased by 45% week-on-week and 17% year-on-year, while second-tier cities saw a 53% week-on-week decrease and a 10% year-on-year decrease [33]. Second-Hand Housing Sales - The total area of second-hand housing sold in 22 cities was 229 million square meters, with a week-on-week decrease of 4% and a year-on-year decrease of 2% [41]. - First-tier cities experienced a 13% week-on-week decrease and a 6% year-on-year decrease, while second-tier cities saw a 2% increase week-on-week but an 8% decrease year-on-year [41]. Policy Expectations - The anticipation of new policies is growing due to recent declines in real estate data, with expectations for the Central Urban Work Conference to guide future policy directions [5][13]. - Historical insights from previous conferences indicate a focus on urban development and potential support for the real estate sector [5][13]. RWA Tokenization - The report highlights the development of RWA tokenization in real estate, which allows for the division of property ownership into tradable tokens, thereby increasing liquidity and providing new investment opportunities [6][15].

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for the copper and aluminum industries, with copper showing a stable upward trend and aluminum stabilizing at the bottom [14][15][16]. Core Insights - The copper market is experiencing a slight price decline, with LME copper down 1.92% to $9,663.00 per ton, while domestic copper inventory has increased slightly [15]. - The aluminum market shows a minor price increase, with LME aluminum up 0.17% to $2,602.00 per ton, and a decrease in domestic electrolytic aluminum ingot inventory [16]. - Gold prices have increased by 0.71% to $3,370.30 per ounce, driven by geopolitical tensions and increased demand for safe-haven assets [17]. - The rare earth sector is expected to see price increases due to tightening supply and rising demand, with strategic government actions enhancing the sector's outlook [39]. - The antimony market is stabilizing, with expectations of price recovery supported by reduced domestic production and increased demand from new regulations [40]. - Molybdenum prices are rising, supported by low inventory levels and strong demand from the steel industry [41]. - Lithium prices have shown a mixed trend, with carbonate prices increasing while hydroxide prices have slightly decreased [44]. Summary by Sections 1. Overview of Bulk and Precious Metals Market - Copper shows a robust upward trend, while aluminum is stabilizing at lower levels. Precious metals are accelerating due to fiscal expansion policies [14]. 2. Bulk and Precious Metals Fundamentals Update 2.1 Copper - LME copper price decreased by 1.92% to $9,663.00 per ton, with slight increases in domestic inventory and production rates expected to rise [15]. 2.2 Aluminum - LME aluminum price increased by 0.17% to $2,602.00 per ton, with a decrease in domestic inventory [16]. 2.3 Precious Metals - Gold prices increased by 0.71% to $3,370.30 per ounce, influenced by geopolitical tensions [17]. 3. Overview of Minor Metals and Rare Earths Market - The rare earth sector is expected to benefit from supply constraints and increasing demand, with government actions enhancing market conditions [39]. 4. Minor Metals and Rare Earths Fundamentals Update 4.1 Rare Earths - Prices for rare earth elements are expected to rise due to tightening supply and strategic government actions [39]. 4.2 Antimony - Antimony prices are stabilizing, with expectations of recovery supported by reduced production and new regulations [40]. 4.3 Molybdenum - Molybdenum prices are increasing due to low inventory levels and strong demand from the steel industry [41]. 4.4 Lithium - Lithium carbonate prices increased by 2.43% to 63,200 CNY per ton, while hydroxide prices decreased slightly [44].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the AI-PCB industry chain, indicating strong demand and growth potential [1][4]. Core Insights - The release of the Grok-4 series model by xAI is expected to drive demand in the AI-PCB sector, with significant increases in computational resources and capabilities compared to previous models [1]. - TSMC reported a revenue of NT$263.79 billion in June, a year-on-year increase of 26.9%, indicating robust AI demand [1]. - The report highlights the anticipated rapid shipment of GB200 and GB300 products in the second half of the year, with strong orders from multiple AI-PCB companies [1][4]. - The semiconductor industry is experiencing a shift towards domestic production and self-sufficiency due to geopolitical factors and export controls [24]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry Overview - The AI-PCB industry is witnessing a demand resonance, with many companies experiencing strong orders and full production capacity [4]. - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on performance growth in the first half of the year, particularly in AI-PCB and core computing hardware sectors [4]. 2. Segment Insights 2.1 Consumer Electronics - The launch of Samsung's Galaxy Z Fold7 is noted, with a recommendation to focus on the Apple supply chain due to favorable tariff conditions [5][6]. 2.2 PCB - The PCB industry is maintaining a high level of prosperity, driven by demand from automotive and industrial control sectors, alongside AI growth [7]. 2.3 Components - The report indicates a continued upward trend in the component sector, with AI applications driving demand for higher specifications in electronic components [19]. 2.4 IC Design - The storage segment is expected to see price increases due to supply constraints and rising demand from cloud computing and consumer electronics [21]. 2.5 Semiconductor Equipment and Materials - The report highlights the ongoing trend of domestic substitution in the semiconductor equipment sector, with a focus on advanced packaging and HBM production [24][27]. 3. Key Companies - Companies such as Huadian, North Huachuang, and Jiangfeng Electronics are highlighted for their strong growth prospects in the AI and semiconductor sectors [33][34][37]. - The report suggests that these companies are well-positioned to benefit from the ongoing trends in AI and domestic production [34][36].

Investment Rating - The report suggests a focus on undervalued leaders in the shipbuilding sector, particularly China Shipbuilding, and highlights potential investment opportunities in industrial gases and engineering machinery [3][9]. Core Insights - The global new ship price index showed a slight increase of 0.22% in June 2025, indicating a marginal improvement in industry sentiment [3][22]. - China Shipbuilding's H1 2025 net profit is projected to be between 2.8 billion to 3.1 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 98.25% to 119.49%, showcasing strong performance and capacity for profit release [3][22]. - Industrial gas prices have returned to positive year-on-year growth, driven by structural demand improvements and low inventory levels, with a significant increase in pipeline gas revenue expected for Hangzhou Oxygen [3][22]. - The engineering machinery sector is experiencing a robust upward trend, with excavator sales in June 2025 reaching 18,804 units, a year-on-year increase of 13.3% [3][36]. Summary by Sections General Machinery - The general machinery sector continues to face pressure, with the manufacturing PMI at 49.7%, indicating contraction [24]. Engineering Machinery - The engineering machinery sector shows resilience, with domestic excavator sales increasing by 6.2% and exports by 19.3% in June 2025 [3][36]. Shipbuilding - The shipbuilding sector is witnessing a slowdown in decline, with the new ship price index indicating a recovery trend [3][44]. Oilfield Equipment - The oilfield equipment sector is stabilizing at the bottom, with global rig counts rising to over 1,600 units, reflecting a recovery in demand [3][47]. Industrial Gases - The industrial gases sector is expected to perform well in Q3 2025, benefiting from previous maintenance and low base effects [3][55]. Gas Turbines - The gas turbine industry is on a steady upward trajectory, with significant order growth reported for leading companies [3][57].

Investment Rating - The report suggests focusing on power generation assets in regions with tight supply-demand balance and favorable competition dynamics, particularly recommending companies like Anhui Energy and Huadian International in the thermal power sector [4]. Core Insights - The report highlights the performance of various sectors, with the carbon neutrality sector rising by 3.52% and the environmental protection sector increasing by 3.07% during the week [12]. - It emphasizes the importance of market dynamics and regulatory changes, such as the approval of the cross-grid electricity trading mechanism by the National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration [75]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.09% and the ChiNext Index increased by 2.36% during the week [12]. - The thermal power sector is recommended for investment due to its potential for asset value reassessment in regions with tight electricity supply [4]. Industry News - The report discusses the recent regulatory developments aimed at enhancing the electricity market's efficiency and interconnectivity, including the implementation of a market mechanism for cross-grid electricity trading [75]. - It also notes the ongoing reforms in the renewable energy sector, particularly in Hainan Province, to correct market interventions and ensure fair pricing for new energy projects [75]. Investment Recommendations - For thermal power, the report recommends Anhui Energy and Huadian International due to their strategic positioning in competitive markets [4]. - In the hydropower sector, it suggests focusing on Yangtze Power, while for nuclear power, China National Nuclear Power is highlighted as a key player [4]. - In the renewable energy segment, Longyuan Power is identified as a leading wind power operator worth monitoring [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with expected profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 projected at 46.1 billion, 58.5 billion, and 73.3 billion RMB respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 39%, 27%, and 25% [4]. Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve revenue of 106.3-108.4 billion RMB in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 35.0% to 37.7%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 23.1-24.5 billion RMB, with a year-on-year growth of 33.5% to 41.6% [2]. - The second quarter of 2025 is anticipated to see revenue of 57.8-59.9 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 31.7% to 36.5%, and a net profit of 13.3-14.7 billion RMB, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 24.6% to 37.8% [2]. - The company is focusing on diversifying its product offerings and expanding its market presence, with strong growth expected from its core beverage categories and new product lines [3]. Summary by Sections Revenue and Profit Forecast - The company is projected to achieve significant revenue growth, with estimates of 11.263 billion RMB in 2023, 15.839 billion RMB in 2024, and 21.132 billion RMB in 2025, reflecting growth rates of 32.42%, 40.63%, and 33.42% respectively [7]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to grow from 2.040 billion RMB in 2023 to 4.612 billion RMB in 2025, with growth rates of 41.60% and 38.62% for the respective years [7]. Profitability Metrics - The report indicates that the net profit margin for the second quarter of 2025 is expected to be 23.8%, a slight decrease of 0.50 percentage points year-on-year, while the non-deductible net profit margin is projected at 22.6%, down 2.04 percentage points year-on-year [3]. - The company is expected to maintain strong profitability due to cost advantages and effective channel management, with a focus on enhancing product visibility and driving sales at the retail level [3]. Market Position and Strategy - The company is actively pursuing a national expansion strategy, leveraging refined channel management to enhance operational capabilities and increase product exposure [3]. - The report highlights the company's commitment to innovation and product diversification, which is expected to unlock new revenue streams and enhance overall market competitiveness [3].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - This is a weekly report on public infrastructure REITs, presenting the price - volume performance, valuation, market correlation statistics, and primary - market tracking of various REITs [1][5][6][7][8] 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Secondary Market Price - Volume Performance - The report details the price - volume data of multiple REITs, including their fund codes, industry types, listing dates, issue prices, trading volumes, turnover rates, weekly and year - to - date returns, etc. For example, the turnover rate of Boshi Jingkou REIT this week is 0.14%, and its weekly return is 1.36%, with a year - to - date return of - 2.10% [5][11] 3.2 Secondary Market Valuation Situation - No specific content on secondary - market valuation is summarized from the given text 3.3 Market Correlation Statistics - The correlation coefficients between REITs and different asset classes such as stocks, convertible bonds, pure bonds, and commodities are presented. For instance, the correlation coefficient between REITs and the Shanghai Composite Index is 0.21, and that between REITs and the CSI Convertible Bond Index is 0.19 [21][23] 3.4 Primary Market Tracking - Information about REITs in the primary market is provided, including their project natures, types, stages (e.g., passed, feedback received, or accepted), acceptance dates, original equity holders, underlying projects, and project valuations. For example, the project valuation of Zhongyin Sino - Sinotrans Warehouse Logistics REIT is 11.56 billion yuan, and it has passed the review on December 30, 2024 [27]

Group 1 - The report focuses on the changes in the primary and secondary markets since 2024, highlighting the evolving landscape of public REITs [4][5]. - It emphasizes the importance of constructing a configuration system that transitions from Beta to Alpha, aiming to enhance investment strategies [4][39]. Group 2 - The analysis includes an annual assessment of REITs, detailing investor structures and dividend distributions, which are crucial for understanding market dynamics [4][24]. - The report provides a breakdown of various funds' positions in REITs, showcasing their allocation percentages and total holdings, which reflects investor sentiment and strategy [32][35]. Group 3 - The strategy section outlines the construction of a configuration system that shifts focus from Beta (market risk) to Alpha (excess returns), indicating a more active management approach [39]. - It presents performance metrics for different risk-return combinations, illustrating the annualized returns and volatility associated with various portfolio strategies [44].

Investment Rating for the Reported Industry - There is no information provided about the industry investment rating in the given content. Core Viewpoints of the Report - As of July 4, the heavy - position strategy for secondary capital bonds has significantly recovered, with the weekly returns of the bullet - type and industrial ultra - long - term strategies for secondary bonds approaching their highest levels in the past three months[2][12]. - The average return of the heavy - position strategy for ultra - long - term bonds has rebounded by about 38bp, and the cumulative returns of the industrial and secondary ultra - long - term strategies in the second quarter were lower than that of the urban investment ultra - long - term strategy, but this week's returns are almost at the highest level in the past three months[2][12]. - The duration of general commercial financial bonds has rapidly lengthened from 2.1 years last week to 3.3 years this week, approaching the historical high[3][14]. - As of July 7, 2025, compared with last week, the yields of non - financial and non - real - estate industrial bonds have all declined, with short - term varieties experiencing a larger decline in returns. Real - estate bond yields also mainly declined, especially private - enterprise bonds within 2 years[4][18]. - The activity of ultra - long - term credit bonds has basically remained stable, with high trading enthusiasm this week. The weekly trading volume of industrial bonds with a term of 7 years and above is basically the same as last week, and the weekly trading volume of urban investment bonds with a term of 7 - 10 years has returned to over 100 transactions[5][22]. - In July, the supply rhythm of local government bonds in each province has accelerated. For example, the planned issuance scale of Hunan and Sichuan is over 10 billion. Local government bonds have high coupon rates and long - term configuration value in the current low - interest - rate environment[6][25]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Quantified Credit Strategy - As of July 4, the heavy - position strategy for secondary capital bonds has significantly recovered, with the average return of the credit - style secondary capital bond heavy - position portfolio rising by 28bp to around 0.27%. The ultra - long - term strategy's excess return has rebounded to the level in early June, and the duration strategy has rotated from urban investment bonds to industrial and secondary bonds[2][12]. Variety Duration Tracking - As of July 4, the weighted average trading terms of urban investment bonds and industrial bonds are 2.27 years and 3.27 years respectively, both at over 90% quantile levels since March 2021. Among commercial bank bonds, the weighted average trading terms of secondary capital bonds, bank perpetual bonds, and general commercial financial bonds are 4.28 years, 3.73 years, and 3.27 years respectively. Among other financial bonds, the durations of securities company bonds, securities sub - bonds, insurance company bonds, and leasing company bonds are 1.52 years, 1.69 years, 3.33 years, and 1.37 years respectively[3][14]. Coupon Asset Heat Map - As of July 7, 2025, compared with last week, the yields of non - financial and non - real - estate industrial bonds have declined, with short - term private - enterprise non - perpetual bonds showing significant declines (19.6BP for 1 - 2 - year public bonds and 14.2BP for private bonds within 1 year). Real - estate bond yields also declined, and private - enterprise bonds within 2 years were more popular. Among financial bonds, the yield decline of commercial financial bonds was within 8BP, and 1 - 2 - year varieties performed better. Short - duration bank sub - bonds had a strong performance, with the yield of 1 - year joint - stock bank's perpetual and secondary bonds declining by nearly 13BP[4][18]. Ultra - long - term Credit Bond Micro - tracking - The activity of ultra - long - term credit bonds has basically remained stable. The weekly trading volume of industrial bonds with a term of 7 years and above is basically the same as last week, and the weekly trading volume of urban investment bonds with a term of 7 - 10 years has returned to over 100 transactions. The spread between the weekly average trading return of industrial bonds with a term of 7 years and above and the 20 - 30 - year treasury bonds has narrowed to about 25BP, lower than the lowest value in the long - bond market at the beginning of this year[5][22]. Local Government Bond Supply and Trading Tracking - In July, the supply rhythm of local government bonds in each province has accelerated. Hunan and Sichuan plan to issue over 10 billion each. Many provinces have issued new special bonds to support infrastructure, land storage, and payment of corporate accounts payable. The accelerated supply of local government bonds echoes the policy of front - loading fiscal efforts, fulfilling the dual tasks of stabilizing growth and debt reduction, and highlighting the high - coupon and long - duration configuration value in the current low - interest - rate environment[6][25].

Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. Core Viewpoints The report provides a comprehensive analysis of the supply and trading of local government bonds, including an overview of the stock market, the rhythm of primary supply, and the characteristics of secondary trading. It details the scale, distribution, and trends of local government bond issuance and trading, as well as the participation of different investor groups. Summary by Directory 1. Stock Market Overview - As of July 4, 2025, the stock size of local government bonds reached 51.9 trillion yuan, indicating continuous market expansion [3][11]. - Among the outstanding local bonds, the proportion of new special bonds exceeded 43%, and the proportion of refinancing special bonds was 21% [3][11]. - In terms of the investment direction of special bonds, shantytown renovation, park and new - area construction, and rural revitalization were the major investment fields, with stock balances of 1.97 trillion, 1.57 trillion, and 1.12 trillion yuan respectively. The stock balance of toll roads exceeded 880 billion yuan, and that of water conservancy and ecological projects was over 200 billion yuan [3][11]. - As of July 4, 2025, Guangdong, Jiangsu, and Shandong ranked top three in terms of local bond stock size, with 3.42 trillion, 3.28 trillion, and 3.15 trillion yuan respectively. Other GDP - large provinces such as Sichuan, Zhejiang, Hunan, Henan, Hebei, Hubei, and Anhui also had local bond stocks of over 2 trillion yuan [3][11]. 2. Primary Supply Rhythm - Last week, local government bonds worth 175.91 million yuan were issued, including 29.54 million yuan of new special bonds and 0.7 million yuan of refinancing special bonds. "Ordinary/project income" and "repayment of local bonds" were the main investment fields of special bond funds [4][18]. - As of July 10, 2025, the issuance of special refinancing special bonds in July had reached 286.32 million yuan, accounting for 7.32% of the monthly local bond issuance scale [4][18]. - In terms of the issuance term structure, the issuance proportion of 7 - 10 - year local bonds was relatively high last week, reaching 49.75%. The average coupon rates of local bonds for major terms were basically the same as those two weeks ago. The spread between the issuance rate of 30 - year local bonds and the same - term treasury bonds narrowed to 17.84BP, while the spread of 20 - year local bonds over the same - term treasury bonds slightly widened to 14.9BP [4][28]. - From the perspective of new bond subscription, the upper limit of the bid rate last week significantly rebounded compared with two weeks ago, indicating a warming of primary bidding sentiment [4][28]. - Last week, two provinces had new issuances. Inner Mongolia issued 689 million yuan of local bonds this month, mainly with terms of 7 - 10 years; Ningxia issued 1.0703 billion yuan, with terms concentrated within 7 years. The average issuance rates were both below 2% [4][35]. 3. Secondary Trading Characteristics - As of July 4, 2025, the yield of 10 - year local bonds was 1.77%, and the spread over the same - term treasury bonds was 12.67BP, at the 18% quantile in the past 24 years. The price - difference quantiles of 15 - year and 30 - year varieties were 38% and 53% respectively [5][36]. - Last week, the turnover rates of local bonds for major terms increased slightly. The highest weekly turnover rate was for bonds over 10 years, with a reading of 1.14%. In terms of regions, Guangdong had the most trading volumes last week, with 50 transactions. The average trading term of local bonds last week was 17.3 years, and the average yield was 1.91% [5][41]. - In terms of the investor structure, commercial banks, insurance companies, securities proprietary departments, and broad - based funds were the most active institutions in local bond trading. Insurance companies remained the main undertakers of local bond supply, with a total net purchase of local bonds reaching 3.0119 billion yuan, and the purchase proportion of bonds over 20 - 30 years reaching 81.92% [5][47].