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推新大年,健康引领
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-06-11 00:38
证券研究报告 | 朝闻国盛 gszqdatemark 2025 06 11 年 月 日 朝闻国盛 推新大年,健康引领 今日概览 【电子】影石创新(688775.SH)-影像设备龙头,创新引领发展—— 20250610 【汽车&海外】雅迪控股(01585.HK)-政策驱动景气度上行,龙头盈利 修复可期——20250610 ◼ 研究视点 【计算机】海光曙光复牌,国产算力生态开始整合重估——20250610 作者 | 分析师 | 丁逸朦 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 执业证书编号:S0680521120002 | | | | | 邮箱:dingyimeng@gszq.com | | | | | 行业表现前五名 | | | | | 行业 | 1 月 | 3 月 | 1 年 | | 医药生物 | 9.7% | 7.4% | 10.8% | | 纺织服饰 | 4.7% | 5.1% | 12.4% | | 农林牧渔 | 4.6% | 9.1% | 0.8% | | 银行 | 4.3% | 10.7% | 27.7% | | 美容护理 | 4.3% | 13.1% | 12.3% | ...
影石创新(688775):影像设备龙头,创新引领发展
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-06-10 09:20
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the company Core Insights - The company, Yingshi Innovation, is a leader in the smart imaging device industry, focusing on panoramic cameras and action cameras, with a strong emphasis on technological innovation and global brand development [1][9] - The company's revenue is projected to grow from 1.328 billion yuan in 2021 to 5.574 billion yuan in 2024, with a CAGR of 61.31%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase from 252 million yuan to 946 million yuan during the same period, with a CAGR of 55.42% [1][19] - The global market for handheld smart imaging devices is expected to grow significantly, with a projected market size of 59.2 billion yuan by 2027, driven by increasing consumer demand and technological advancements [2][39] Summary by Sections Section 1: Company Overview - Yingshi Innovation was established in 2015 and has developed a comprehensive technology system centered on panoramic technology, anti-shake technology, AI image processing, and computational photography [1][9] - The company has achieved a global market share of 67.2% in the panoramic camera segment, ranking first, and is positioned second in the action camera market according to Frost & Sullivan [2][9] Section 2: Industry Development - The smart imaging device industry is experiencing rapid growth, with the global market size for handheld smart imaging devices increasing from 16.43 billion yuan in 2017 to 36.47 billion yuan in 2023, and expected to reach 59.2 billion yuan by 2027 [2][39] - The demand for action cameras is particularly strong in outdoor scenarios, with the North American market leading global trends [2][39] Section 3: Product Innovation - The company emphasizes product innovation, with a focus on advanced technology applications and a robust product definition capability [3][12] - Yingshi Innovation has established a global sales network covering over 10,000 retail stores and has formed long-term partnerships with major retailers like Apple Store and Best Buy [3][12] - R&D investment has increased significantly, from 150 million yuan in 2021 to 780 million yuan in 2024, reflecting the company's commitment to innovation and technology development [3][29] Section 4: Financial Performance - The company's revenue and net profit have shown consistent growth, with a revenue increase of 53.3% year-on-year in 2024 [19][21] - The gross margin has remained around 50%, with fluctuations due to the varying margins of different product lines [21][19] - The company has maintained a strong focus on R&D, with over half of its employees dedicated to research and development as of 2024 [29][12]
雅迪控股(01585):政策驱动景气度上行,龙头盈利修复可期
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-06-10 07:08
证券研究报告 | 首次覆盖报告 gszqdatemark 2025 06 10 年 月 日 资料来源:Wind,国盛证券研究所 注:股价为 2025 年 06 月 06 日收盘价 | 买入(首次) | | | --- | --- | | 股票信息 | | | 行业 | 汽车零部件 | | 06 月 06 日收盘价(港元) | 12.36 | | 总市值(百万港元) | 38,472.32 | | 总股本(百万股) | 3,112.65 | | 其中自由流通股(%) | 100.00 | | 30 日日均成交量(百万股) | 9.65 | 雅迪控股(01585.HK) 政策驱动景气度上行,龙头盈利修复可期 以旧换新叠加新国标落地,行业需求有望重回快速增长区间。预计行业 2025/2026 年销量 5600/6175 万辆,同比+12%/+10%,未来行业稳态需 求接近 6500 万辆。主要受益于:1)以旧换新政策补贴力度大,截至 2025 年 4 月 8 日全国电动自行车售旧、换新各 334.1 万辆,平均单车补贴金额 688 元,据中国自行车协会监测,行业一季度产量同比+25%,刺激效果 显著,后续换购需求有 ...
海光曙光复牌,国产算力生态开始整合重估
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-06-10 06:26
证券研究报告 | 行业点评 gszqdatemark 2025 06 10 年 月 日 计算机 海光曙光复牌,国产算力生态开始整合重估 事件:2025 年 6 月 9 日,海光信息与中科曙光分别发布关联交易预案, 通过换股吸收合并的方式对海光信息和中科曙光进行战略重组,并于 6 月 10 日开市起复牌。 高溢价换股吸收曙光,国产算力价值重估时刻。1)中科曙光公告称,公 司与海光信息筹划由海光信息通过向中科曙光全体 A 股换股股东发行 A 股股票的方式换股吸收合并中科曙光,并发行 A 股股票募集配套资金。参 与本次换股的中科曙光股票为 14.63 亿股,若不考虑合并双方后续可能的 除权除息等影响,按照换股比例 1:0.5525 计算,海光信息为本次换股吸 收合并发行的股份数量合计为 8.08 亿股。2)吸收合并方海光信息换股价 格为 143.46 元/股,被吸收合并方中科曙光换股价格为 79.26 元/股,停牌 前收盘价分别为 136.13 元/股和 61.90 元/股,换股价格相较停牌前收盘 价分别溢价 5.4%和 28.0%。3)本次换股吸收合并完成后,中科曙光将终 止上市,海光信息将承继及承接中科曙光的全 ...
雅迪控股:政策驱动景气度上行,龙头盈利修复可期-20250610
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-06-10 05:48
证券研究报告 | 首次覆盖报告 gszqdatemark 2025 06 10 年 月 日 雅迪控股(01585.HK) 政策驱动景气度上行,龙头盈利修复可期 以旧换新叠加新国标落地,行业需求有望重回快速增长区间。预计行业 2025/2026 年销量 5600/6175 万辆,同比+12%/+10%,未来行业稳态需 求接近 6500 万辆。主要受益于:1)以旧换新政策补贴力度大,截至 2025 年 4 月 8 日全国电动自行车售旧、换新各 334.1 万辆,平均单车补贴金额 688 元,据中国自行车协会监测,行业一季度产量同比+25%,刺激效果 显著,后续换购需求有望加速释放。2)2024 版新国标将于今年 9 月实施, 新增防火、防电池篡改的要求,降低铅酸电池重量要求,提高行业准入门 槛,预计行业 Q2-Q3 老国标车型需求有望维持旺盛。 行业格局:头部车企优势明显,未来市场份额有望稳中有升。龙头公司雅 迪/爱玛在产品价格带、渠道方面优势明显,市占率大幅领先同行,2024 年分别销售 1302/1070 万台,对应市占率 26%/21%,合计市占率达 47%。 展望未来,通勤场景(占比约 50%)与娱乐场景 ...
计算机行业点评:海光曙光复牌,国产算力生态开始整合重估
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-06-10 03:53
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the industry [7] Core Viewpoints - The strategic merger between Haiguang Information and Zhongke Shuguang marks a significant moment for the domestic computing power ecosystem, leading to a revaluation of domestic computing power assets [2] - The merger will allow Haiguang Information to inherit all assets, liabilities, and rights from Zhongke Shuguang, enhancing the competitive edge against international leaders in the computing power industry [2][3] - The combined strengths of Haiguang Information in chip technology and Zhongke Shuguang in complete machine and data center infrastructure will create synergies that enhance technological breakthroughs and industry resilience [3] Summary by Sections Merger Details - Haiguang Information will conduct a share swap to absorb Zhongke Shuguang, issuing a total of 808 million shares at a swap price of 143.46 CNY per share for Haiguang and 79.26 CNY per share for Zhongke, reflecting premiums of 5.4% and 28.0% respectively compared to their last closing prices [2] Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, Haiguang's contract liabilities surged to 3.237 billion CNY, a 258.47% increase from the previous year, indicating strong demand in the domestic computing power sector [4] - The inventory level reached 5.794 billion CNY, up 6.80% from the previous quarter, showcasing the company's confidence in future growth [4] Industry Outlook - The report suggests focusing on the computing power ecosystem, particularly in the server sector, highlighting companies such as Zhongke Shuguang, Haiguang Information, and others as key players to watch [4]
中孚实业(600595):破局启新程,逐梦铸华章
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-06-09 07:43
Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [4]. Core Views - The company has a solid market position and is undergoing a transformation with a focus on green aluminum production, which is expected to enhance its profitability and competitive edge [4][11]. - The company is expected to achieve significant growth in net profit from 2025 to 2027, with projected net profits of 1.8 billion, 2.3 billion, and 2.7 billion yuan respectively [4][44]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Established in 1993, the company has a well-integrated industrial chain covering coal, electricity, aluminum, and aluminum processing, with capacities of 2.25 million tons of coal, 750,000 tons of aluminum, and 690,000 tons of aluminum processing [1][14]. - The company faced severe losses in 2018 due to asset impairment and production restrictions, leading to a restructuring plan that was completed in 2021, resulting in a return to profitability in 2021 and a successful delisting from risk warnings in 2022 [1][19]. Electrolytic Aluminum and Green Transformation - In September 2023, the company acquired a 25% stake in Zhongfu Aluminum for 1.21 billion yuan, increasing its electrolytic aluminum capacity to 630,000 tons, with plans to reach 750,000 tons by 2025 [2][3]. - The company is expected to benefit from reduced electricity costs in the Sichuan region starting in 2025, enhancing its profitability [3]. Market Trends and Pricing Power - The report highlights the importance of green aluminum pricing as the EU's carbon border adjustment mechanism (CBAM) is implemented, which could provide Chinese electrolytic aluminum companies with significant market access and pricing power [4][11]. - The company is positioned to transition from being a cost taker to a rule maker in the global green industrialization wave by completing its clean energy transition [4]. Financial Projections and Valuation - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 18.79 billion yuan in 2023, growing to 28.09 billion yuan by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 29.2% from 2020 to 2024 [5][32]. - The report estimates earnings per share (EPS) to increase from 0.29 yuan in 2023 to 0.66 yuan in 2027, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio projected to decline from 12.6 in 2023 to 5.5 in 2027, indicating a favorable valuation compared to peers [5][4].
基本面高频数据跟踪:乘用车零售回升
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-06-09 07:00
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided regarding the report industry investment rating. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The GSSC Fundamental High - Frequency Index remained stable this week, with an increase of 0.1 points week - on - week and 5.0 points year - on - year, and the year - on - year growth rate remained unchanged. The long - short signal for interest - rate bonds was long, with a signal factor of 5.4% (previous value: 5.8%) [1][9]. - In terms of production, the industrial production high - frequency index showed an expanding year - on - year increase, while tire开工率 declined [1][9][16]. - In total demand, the decline in the real - estate sales high - frequency index narrowed year - on - year; the infrastructure investment high - frequency index showed an expanding year - on - year increase; the year - on - year increase in the export high - frequency index narrowed; and the consumer high - frequency index maintained a stable year - on - year increase [1][9]. - In terms of prices, the month - on - month CPI forecast remained at - 0.1%, and the month - on - month PPI forecast improved from - 0.2% to - 0.1% [1][10]. - The inventory high - frequency index showed a narrowing year - on - year increase; the transportation high - frequency index showed an expanding year - on - year increase; the financing high - frequency index showed an expanding year - on - year increase [2][10]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Total Index: Fundamental High - Frequency Index Remained Stable - The current GSSC Fundamental High - Frequency Index was 126.0 points (previous value: 125.9 points), with a year - on - year increase of 5.0 points (previous value: 5.0 points), and the year - on - year growth rate remained unchanged. The long - short signal for interest - rate bonds was long, with a signal factor of 5.4% (previous value: 5.8%) [1][9]. 3.2 Production: Tire开工率 Declined - The industrial production high - frequency index was 125.5 (previous value: 125.4), with a year - on - year increase of 4.8 points (previous value: 4.7 points), and the year - on - year growth rate expanded. Electric furnace开工率 was 64.7% (previous value: 65.4%); polyester开工率 was 88.9% (previous value: 90.9%); semi - tire开工率 was 73.9% (previous value: 78.3%); full - tire开工率 was 63.5% (previous value: 64.8%); PTA开工率 was 78.6% (previous value: 77.6%); PX开工率 was 84.6% (previous value: 80.6%); and the coal dispatch at Qinhuangdao Port was 47.6 tons (previous value: 47.3 tons) [1][9][16]. 3.3 Real - Estate Sales: New Home Sales Were Continuously Negative Year - on - Year - The transaction area of commercial housing in 30 large and medium - sized cities was 21.0 million square meters (previous value: 31.9 million square meters); the premium rate of land transactions in 100 large and medium - sized cities was 3.7% (previous value: 10.0%) [27]. 3.4 Infrastructure Investment: Asphalt开工率 Rebounded - The infrastructure investment high - frequency index was 118.1 (previous value: 117.9), with a year - on - year increase of 1.6 points (previous value: 1.2 points), and the year - on - year growth rate expanded. The开工率 of asphalt plants was 31.3% (previous value: 27.7%) [1][9][38]. 3.5 Exports: Container Freight Index for Exports Continued to Rise - The CCFI index was 1155 points (previous value: 1118 points); the export price index of Yiwu small commodities was 104 points (previous value: 108 points); the RJ/CRB index was 297.6 points (previous value: 292.3 points) [45]. 3.6 Consumption: Retail and Wholesale of Passenger Cars by Manufacturers Increased - The retail volume of passenger cars by manufacturers was 95,364 units (previous value: 60,823 units); the wholesale volume of passenger cars by manufacturers was 156,618 units (previous value: 75,923 units); the average daily box office was 82.57 million yuan (previous value: 34.35 million yuan) [57]. 3.7 CPI: Pork Prices Continued to Fall - The average wholesale price of pork was 20.6 yuan/kg (previous value: 20.7 yuan/kg); the average wholesale price of 28 key - monitored vegetables was 4.3 yuan/kg (previous value: 4.3 yuan/kg); the average wholesale price of 7 key - monitored fruits was 7.9 yuan/kg (previous value: 7.8 yuan/kg); the average wholesale price of white - striped chickens was 17.3 yuan/kg (previous value: 17.4 yuan/kg) [66]. 3.8 PPI: Rebar Prices Continued to Fall, Copper Prices Continued to Rise - The closing price of steam coal (produced in Shanxi) at Qinhuangdao Port was 609 yuan/ton (previous value: 611 yuan/ton); the futures settlement price of Brent crude oil was 65 US dollars/barrel (previous value: 64 US dollars/barrel); the spot settlement price of LME copper was 9720 US dollars/ton (previous value: 9650 US dollars/ton); the spot settlement price of LME aluminum was 2455 US dollars/ton (previous value: 2466 US dollars/ton) [72]. 3.9 Transportation: Passenger Traffic Declined - The passenger traffic of the subway in first - tier cities was 36.66 million person - times (previous value: 39.01 million person - times); the road logistics freight rate index was 1050 points (previous value: 1050 points) [82]. 3.10 Inventory: Aluminum Inventory Continued to Rise - The aluminum inventory was 165,000 tons (previous value: 138,000 tons); the soda ash inventory was 1.627 million tons (previous value: 1.613 million tons) [88]. 3.11 Financing: Local Government Bonds Declined, Credit Bonds Rebounded - The net financing of local government bonds was 5.05 billion yuan (previous value: 13.74 billion yuan); the net financing of credit bonds was 12.46 billion yuan (previous value: 5.12 billion yuan); the 6M national - share bank acceptance bill rediscount rate was 1.08% (previous value: 1.10%); the average value of the bill rate - certificate of deposit rate was - 0.73% (previous value: - 0.73%) [99].
中孚实业:破局启新程,逐梦铸华章-20250609
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-06-09 05:48
证券研究报告 | 首次覆盖报告 gszqdatemark 2025 06 09 年 月 日 中孚实业(600595.SH) 破局启新程,逐梦铸华章 铝企老兵重整再出发,市场地位坚实而稳固。中孚实业成立于 1993 年, 2002 年上交所挂牌上市。目前公司拥有"煤-电-铝-铝加工"较为健全的 产业链优势,煤/铝/铝加工产能为 225/75/69 万吨。受计提大量的资产减 值及供暖季限产政策等影响,2018 年公司利润亏损严重,2019 年公司被 实施退市风险警示。2021 年底公司重整计划执行完毕,2021 年公司盈利 扭亏 2022 年成功摘帽。2025 年 2 月公司推出员工持股计划,通过协议转 让方式受让处置专户的 2.6 亿股股票,占公司总股本的 6.47%,总人数不 超过 6,500 人。 电解铝涅槃重生,绿色转型引领新趋势。2023 年 9 月公司以 12.1 亿元自 有资金收购中孚铝业 25%股权,电解铝权益产能为 63 万吨(绿电铝 44 万吨、火电铝 19 万吨),2024 年 10 月,公司以 12.5 亿元自有资金再次 收购中孚铝业 24%股权,2025 年 3 月完成股东变更工商登记, ...
海光信息:换股吸收合并曙光,打造国产算力的全技术栈“航母”-20250609
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-06-09 02:30
Investment Rating - Maintain "Buy" rating [4][9] Core Views - The report highlights the strategic merger of Haiguang Information with Zhongke Shuguang, aiming to create a comprehensive domestic computing technology stack [1] - The company has shown strong financial performance in Q1 2025, with revenue reaching 2.4 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 50.76%, and net profit of 506 million yuan, up 75.33% [2] - The report emphasizes the competitive advantages of Haiguang's DCU, which supports various precision computing capabilities and has a robust software ecosystem [3] Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, operating cash flow turned positive at 2.522 billion yuan, compared to a negative 6.8 million yuan in the same period last year [2] - The company’s revenue is projected to grow significantly, with estimates of 14.919 billion yuan in 2025, 19.251 billion yuan in 2026, and 24.245 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting growth rates of 62.8%, 29.0%, and 25.9% respectively [10] - The net profit for 2025 is expected to reach 3.979 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 106.1% [10] Market Position and Strategy - Haiguang Information is positioned as a leading domestic chip manufacturer, benefiting from the increasing demand for AI applications and domestic computing capabilities [9] - The company has established a strong ecosystem with nearly 5,000 partners across various sectors, enhancing its market presence and collaborative innovation [3] - The report notes the potential for significant market opportunities due to geopolitical factors affecting foreign semiconductor manufacturers, which may favor domestic players [8]