Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is upgraded to "Accumulate" [1] Core Views - The company is expected to maintain its cost leadership position while facing significant operational pressure due to declining prices across the photovoltaic industry [4][6] - The company has achieved a high-purity silicon annual production capacity of over 900,000 tons and solar cell production capacity exceeding 150 GW in 2024 [4] - The company is focusing on cost reduction and efficiency improvement, with significant advancements in technology expected to enhance production capabilities [6] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 919.94 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 34%, and a net loss attributable to shareholders of 70.39 billion yuan [8][9] - The forecast for 2025 indicates a revenue of 666 billion yuan, with a projected net loss of 34.7 billion yuan, followed by a gradual recovery in subsequent years [7][9] - The gross margin for 2024 is expected to be 6.4%, with a significant drop in profitability reflected in the negative net profit margins for 2025 [9][10] Market Position and Production Capacity - The company holds a market share of approximately 30% in the silicon material segment, leading globally with a sales volume of 467,600 tons in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 20.76% [4][5] - In the battery segment, the company expects to sell 87.68 GW in 2024, achieving a global market share of about 14% [4] - The company’s module sales are projected to reach 45.71 GW in 2024, marking a year-on-year increase of 46.93% [5] Cost Management and Technological Advancements - The company has successfully reduced its comprehensive electricity consumption and silicon consumption to 46 kWh and 1.04 kg respectively, with cash costs for silicon production dropping to below 27,000 yuan per ton [6] - The company is advancing its TNC technology to enhance efficiency and reduce costs, with expectations for mainstream power levels to increase by over 25W by 2025 [6] - The company’s HJT pilot line is set to commence production in June 2024, with the highest module power reaching 790.8W [6]

Group 1: Report Information - Report Title: "TS Contract: Can It Still Be Used for Cash-and-Carry Arbitrage? - Interest Rate Weekly (Week 3 of May)" [1] - Report Date: May 19, 2025 [2] - Chief Analyst: Yan Ziqi, with a practice certificate number of S0010522030002 [2] - Research Assistant: Hong Ziyan, with a practice certificate number of S0010123060036 [2] Group 2: Industry Investment Rating - No industry investment rating is provided in the report. Group 3: Core Views - Since the implementation of reciprocal tariffs on April 3, the bond market's maturity yields have first decreased and then increased. Among treasury bond futures, the TL contract has been strong, while the TS/TF/T main contracts have declined [2]. - The weak performance of the TS contract is due to the previous large premium and the change in the expectation of loose monetary policy. The market's expectation of loose monetary policy changed significantly in Q1, and there are differences in the short - term expectation of loose monetary policy after the double - cut in May. The yield curve has flattened instead of steepening as expected [3]. - As of May 16, the basis of the TS main contract is - 0.07 yuan, and the IRR is 1.79%. The basis has significantly converged, and the IRR is close to the capital interest rate, so the cost - effectiveness of cash - and - carry arbitrage is insufficient [4]. - In the short term, the TS contract may still be in a premium state because of the continuous negative carry. The inversion between R001 and the 2 - year treasury bond maturity yield has decreased from about 60bp at the beginning of the year to 15bp on May 16, and the negative carry phenomenon of some varieties will continue [4]. - Considering that the tight capital situation in Q1 will not repeat, the short - term interest rate has a ceiling and the probability of a sharp decline is low. With the significant convergence of the basis, one can consider participating in the possible rise of the TS contract [4]. Group 4: Analyst and Research Assistant Introduction - Analyst Yan Ziqi is the assistant director of the Research Institute of Hua'an Securities and the chief analyst of fixed income. He has 8 years of experience in sell - side fixed income and equity research, and has won the second place in the 2024 Wind Gold Analyst and the best analyst in the 2023 Choice fixed income industry [12]. - Research Assistant Hong Ziyan is a master of financial engineering from the University of Southern California, covering macro - interest rates, institutional behavior, and treasury bond futures research [12].

Demand Side - In April 2025, domestic energy storage tendering reached 10.2GW/30.2GWh, with a year-on-year increase of 90% and a month-on-month decrease of 21%[11] - By March 2025, the domestic installed capacity was 5.35GW/12.9GWh, showing a year-on-year growth of 42.36% in power and 40.60% in capacity[10] - In India, by April 2025, 0.4GWh of battery storage systems were operational, with expectations to reach 0.5GWh by Q2 2025[25] Supply Side - The average price for a 2-hour energy storage system in April 2025 was 0.589 CNY/Wh, reflecting a month-on-month decrease of 12%[4] - In Germany, the energy storage installed capacity in April 2025 was 308.8MWh, a year-on-year decrease of 39.33%[50] - The average single project capacity for domestic energy storage tenders in April 2025 was 284.9MWh, down 20.76% from the previous month[17] Market Trends - In the UK, the newly approved storage project capacity in April 2025 was 1.42GW/2.84GWh, with over 17GWh planned for grid connection throughout the year[63] - The average wholesale electricity price in the core nine European countries in April 2025 was 70.56 EUR/MWh, a year-on-year increase of 32.9%[39] - The total capacity of energy storage projects in India reached 31.64GWh by April 2025, with 19.5GWh tendered in the current year alone[25]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is upgraded to "Accumulate" [1] Core Views - The company's performance in 2024 meets expectations, maintaining a cost leadership position in the industry [1] - The photovoltaic industry is facing significant operational pressure due to a decline in prices across all segments, with polysilicon, silicon wafers, batteries, and modules experiencing price drops of 39%, 50%, 40%, and 29% respectively [4][6] - The company has established a high-purity polysilicon production capacity exceeding 900,000 tons and solar cell production capacity exceeding 150 GW in 2024 [4] - The company continues to reduce costs and improve efficiency, maintaining its industry-leading cost advantage [6] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 919.94 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 34%, with a net profit attributable to the parent company of -70.39 billion yuan [8][9] - The forecasted revenues for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 666 billion yuan, 738 billion yuan, and 797 billion yuan respectively, with year-on-year changes of -27.6%, +10.2%, and +8.6% [7][9] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to be -34.7 billion yuan in 2025, -3.5 billion yuan in 2026, and 21.4 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting significant recovery in profitability by 2027 [7][9] - The gross margin is expected to be 6.4% in 2024, dropping to 1.5% in 2025, and gradually recovering to 8.9% by 2027 [9] Production and Market Position - The company is expected to sell 467,600 tons of polysilicon in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 20.76%, capturing approximately 30% of the national market share [4] - The sales volume of solar cells is projected to be 87.68 GW in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 8.70%, achieving a global market share of about 14% [4] - The sales volume of modules is expected to reach 45.71 GW in 2024, marking a year-on-year increase of 46.93% [5]

[Table_IndNameRptType] 电子 行业周报 电子行业周报：关税大幅削减下消费电子产业充分 受益，关注手机、眼镜和全景相机产业链 [Table_IndRank] 行业评级：增持 报告日期：2025-05-18 [Table_Chart] 行业指数与沪深 300 走势比较 -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 5/24 8/24 11/24 2/25 电子(申万) 沪深300 [Table_Author] 分析师：陈耀波 执业证书号：S0010523060001 邮箱：chenyaobo@hazq.com [Table_Author] 分析师：李美贤 执业证书号：S0010524020002 邮箱：limeixian@hazq.com [Table_Author] 分析师：刘志来 执业证书号：S0010523120005 邮箱：liuzhilai@hazq.com [Table_Author] 分析师：李元晨 执业证书号：S0010524070001 邮箱：liyc@hazq.com 相关报告 主要观点： ⚫[Table_Summary] 本周行情回顾 从指数表现来看 ...

Market Overview - The report indicates that the easing of tariff risks between China and the US has not changed the market's oscillating pattern, with the primary concern being economic expectations [4][5][15]. - Economic data for April shows signs of weakening, with external demand expectations declining and internal demand needing support [4][15]. Industry Configuration - The report highlights that the configuration value of the banking and insurance sectors has further increased, with a recommendation for a balanced investment strategy leaning towards these sectors [6][38]. - The automotive sector is experiencing a strong internal demand but weak external demand, leading to a "strong but not strong, weak but not weak" market condition [21][24]. Automotive Industry Insights - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has proposed new regulations requiring all passenger vehicles to be equipped with automatic emergency braking systems, positively impacting the automotive parts and passenger vehicle sectors [21][22]. - The automotive index is expected to maintain a range-bound pattern, with upward resistance and downward support due to the current economic conditions [21][24]. - As of May 16, the automotive sector index has risen to 7179.8 points, nearing the upper limit of its historical range, indicating a decrease in configuration value as it approaches previous highs [24]. Public Fund Regulations - New public fund regulations are expected to impose stricter constraints on performance benchmarks, which may lead to significant shifts in market behavior, particularly affecting equity funds [25][27]. - The report notes that the current allocation in the bond market is significantly lower than its benchmark, while the equity market allocation exceeds its benchmark [25][27].

[Table_IndNameRptType] 电子 行业周报 电子行业周报：关税大幅削减下消费电子产业充分 受益，关注手机、眼镜和全景相机产业链 [Table_IndRank] 行业评级：增持 报告日期：2025-05-18 [Table_Chart] 行业指数与沪深 300 走势比较 -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 5/24 8/24 11/24 2/25 电子(申万) 沪深300 [Table_Author] 分析师：陈耀波 执业证书号：S0010523060001 邮箱：chenyaobo@hazq.com [Table_Author] 分析师：李美贤 执业证书号：S0010524020002 邮箱：limeixian@hazq.com [Table_Author] 分析师：刘志来 执业证书号：S0010523120005 邮箱：liuzhilai@hazq.com [Table_Author] 分析师：李元晨 执业证书号：S0010524070001 邮箱：liyc@hazq.com ⚫[Table_Summary] 本周行情回顾 从指数表现来看，本周（2025-05 ...

[Table_IndNameRptType]2 固定收益 固收周报 债市多头还有哪些底牌？ ——债市机构行为周报（5 月第 3 周） 报告日期： 2025-05-18 [Table_Author] 首席分析师：颜子琦 执业证书号：S0010522030002 电话：13127532070 邮箱：yanzq@hazq.com [Table_Author] 研究助理：洪子彦 执业证书号：S0010123060036 电话：15851599909 邮箱：hongziyan@hazq.com 本周综述： ⚫[Table_Summary] 短期依然看震荡，利多因素存在不确定性但应维持债市久期 本周信用强，但利率震荡上行。我们上周提出短期震荡观点，主要是基 于宽货币环境下债熊出现概率不高+短期缺乏进一步的利多，从本周来 看，信用强但利率弱，3Y 中短票下行约 5bp，而 10Y 国债则震荡上行 近 5bp，信用利差整体收窄。 资金低于预期的相对转松是当前利率交易的主线。一方面，在双降前 DR007 的运行中枢大致在 1.70%附近，降息 10bp 后对应 1.60%整体符合 年内特征，但考虑到政策利率已经为 1.40%且 ...

Investment Rating - Industry investment rating: Overweight [2] Core Views - The report highlights the rapid iteration of multimodal large models in the domestic market, indicating that computing power remains a long-term theme for the computer industry [1][4] - The supply and demand sides of computing power are both favorable, with TSMC planning to open or upgrade nine advanced manufacturing plants in 2025, with an annual budget set between $38 billion and $42 billion [4][5] - The report emphasizes the strong momentum in AI development both domestically and internationally, suggesting potential investment opportunities in related companies [6][8] Weekly Market Review - From May 12 to May 16, 2025, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.76%, the ChiNext Index increased by 1.38%, and the CSI 300 Index gained 1.12%. The Hang Seng Technology Index rose by 1.95%, while the Nasdaq Index surged by 7.15% [3][26] - Sector performance showed the Media Index decreased by 0.67%, while the Hang Seng Internet Technology Index increased by 2.1%. The AI Index fell by 0.95%, and the Computer Index dropped by 1.26% [3][26] AI Developments - Tencent released the Hunyuan Image 2.0 model on May 16, 2025, achieving real-time image generation capabilities, which enhances the creative process for professional designers [4][42] - Alibaba open-sourced the Wan2.1-VACE model on May 14, 2025, which supports video generation and editing, with versions that can run on consumer-grade graphics cards [4][43] Semiconductor Sector - TSMC is accelerating the production of 2nm technology in Taiwan and has completed the second phase of its Arizona plant, with plans for further expansion [5] - AMD achieved a 39.4% revenue share in the global server CPU market in Q1 2025, marking a significant increase from previous quarters [10][43] Investment Recommendations - Focus on overseas AI companies such as Meta, Adobe, Microsoft, Apple, Nvidia, AMD, and Amazon due to their advancements in model iterations [6][8] - In the domestic AI sector, companies like Baidu, Alibaba, Tencent, and Kuaishou are highlighted for their innovative developments [9][10]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the industry, particularly recommending stocks like Muyuan, Wens, and New Hope due to their competitive cost structures and potential for excess returns in the pig farming sector [1]. Core Insights - The report highlights a 2% week-on-week decline in live pig prices, with a significant year-on-year increase of 37.9% in the output of 20 listed pig companies in April [2]. - The report indicates that the breeding stock of sows has increased, suggesting a potential for normal profitability in pig farming in 2025, despite entering a downward price cycle [2]. - The report emphasizes the historical low valuations of leading pig farming companies, suggesting that they are well-positioned for recovery [2]. Summary by Sections 1. Market Overview - The agricultural sector index increased by 0.05% in the week of May 12-16, 2025, underperforming compared to the Shanghai Composite Index [14]. - The agricultural sector ranks 7th among 31 sub-industries in terms of performance since the beginning of 2025, with a year-to-date increase of 3.54% [14]. 2. Industry Data 2.1 Primary Agricultural Products - Corn prices are reported at 2374.90 CNY/ton, showing a week-on-week increase of 0.48% but a year-on-year decrease of 1.63% [35]. - Soybean prices remain stable at 3927.89 CNY/ton, with a year-on-year decline of 10.48% [35]. 2.2 Livestock - The average weight of pigs at slaughter remains stable at 129.71 kg, which is higher than the same period in 2023 and 2024 [2]. - The report notes that the output of listed pig companies reached 69.18 million heads in the first four months of 2025, marking a 30.1% year-on-year increase [2]. 3. Company Performance - The report lists the output of major listed pig companies, with Muyuan leading at 30.77 million heads, followed by Wens and New Hope [2]. - The report suggests that the introduction of new products in the pet food sector is driving rapid growth for domestic companies like Zhongchong and Guobao [5]. 4. Global Agricultural Trends - The global corn stock-to-use ratio for 2025/26 is projected to be the lowest since the 2015/16 season, indicating tightening supply conditions [3]. - The report forecasts a decrease in the global soybean stock-to-use ratio, reflecting similar trends in the corn market [3].