Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints - Long - term credit bonds adjusted with interest rates, while short - term credit bond spreads significantly compressed. This week, affected by the easing of Sino - US trade tariff policies, market interest rates fluctuated upward. Credit bond trends were differentiated, with long - end yields adjusting with interest rates and medium - short - end yields falling. Credit spreads of various types of credit bonds compressed, with short - term varieties having a larger decline [2][5]. - Urban investment bond spreads declined. Spreads of urban investment bonds generally decreased this week, with different levels of decline for platforms of different external subject ratings and in different regions and administrative levels [2][9]. - Industrial bond spreads generally declined, and the spreads of mixed - ownership real estate bonds significantly compressed. Central and local state - owned real estate bond spreads decreased, mixed - ownership real estate bond spreads dropped significantly, and private real - estate bond spreads slightly increased. Spreads of coal, chemical, and steel bonds also declined [2][19]. - Secondary and perpetual bond spreads were generally stable, and their overall performance was weaker than that of ordinary credit bonds. Most yields of secondary and perpetual bonds followed the interest rate upward, with only some weakly - qualified varieties slightly falling [2][29]. - Industrial perpetual excess spreads were basically flat, and urban investment perpetual excess spreads slightly declined [2][32]. Summary by Directory 1. Long - term credit bonds adjusted with interest rates, short - term credit bond spreads significantly compressed - Market interest rates fluctuated upward. 1Y, 3Y, 5Y, 7Y, and 10Y maturity China Development Bank bond yields increased by 3BP, 3BP, 6BP, 6BP, and 5BP respectively [2][5]. - Credit bond trends were differentiated. 1Y maturity credit bond yields of all grades decreased by 3 - 6BP, 3Y maturity yields decreased by 0 - 2BP, 5Y maturity yields increased by 1 - 2BP, and 7Y and 10Y maturity yields increased by 2 - 3BP [2][5]. - Credit spreads compressed. 1Y maturity credit bond spreads of all grades decreased by 6 - 9BP, 3Y, 5Y, and 7Y maturity spreads decreased by 3 - 5BP, and 10Y maturity spreads decreased by 2BP. Rating spreads and term spreads were differentiated [2][5]. 2. Urban investment bond spreads declined - Spreads of different rating platforms declined. AAA - rated platform credit spreads decreased by 7BP, while AA+ and AA - rated platform spreads decreased by 8BP [2][9]. - Regional spreads showed different declines. In different provinces, spreads of AAA - rated platforms mostly decreased by 6 - 8BP, AA+ - rated platforms mostly decreased by 7 - 9BP, and AA - rated platforms mostly decreased by 6 - 8BP. Different regions had different decline amplitudes [9][11][12]. - Spreads of different administrative levels declined. Provincial, municipal, and district - county - level platform credit spreads decreased by 7BP, 7BP, and 8BP respectively [2][15]. 3. Industrial bond spreads generally declined, mixed - ownership real estate bond spreads significantly compressed - Real estate bond spreads varied. Central and local state - owned real estate bond spreads decreased by 6 - 7BP, mixed - ownership real estate bond spreads decreased by 104BP, and private real - estate bond spreads increased by 4BP. Spreads of some real - estate companies like Longfor and Vanke also changed [2][19]. - Spreads of other industrial bonds declined. Spreads of coal, chemical, and steel bonds decreased, with coal and chemical bonds decreasing by 7BP and steel bonds decreasing by 8BP [2][19]. 4. Secondary and perpetual bond spreads were generally stable, overall performance was weaker than that of ordinary credit bonds - Yields and spreads of different terms and grades changed. 1Y maturity secondary capital bonds and AA+ and above perpetual bonds' yields increased by 2 - 3BP, with spreads decreasing by 0 - 1BP; AA - rated perpetual bond yields decreased by 1BP, with spreads decreasing by 4BP. Similar changes occurred in 3Y and 5Y maturity bonds [2][29]. 5. Industrial perpetual excess spreads were basically flat, urban investment perpetual excess spreads slightly declined - Industrial perpetual excess spreads were stable. The AAA3Y excess spread was 11.71BP, at the 20.54% quantile since 2015, and the AAA5Y excess spread was 9.22BP, at the 9.54% quantile [2][32]. - Urban investment perpetual excess spreads declined slightly. The AAA3Y urban investment perpetual bond excess spread decreased by 0.03BP to 7.25BP, at the 3.45% quantile; the AAA5Y excess spread decreased by 0.89BP to 10.56BP, at the 9.68% quantile [2][32]. 6. Credit Spread Database Compilation Instructions - Market credit spreads and related excess spreads were calculated based on ChinaBond medium - short - term notes and perpetual bonds data, with historical quantiles starting from the beginning of 2015. Credit spreads of urban investment and industrial bonds were compiled and statistically analyzed by the R & D center of Cinda Securities, also with historical quantiles starting from 2015 [38]. - Calculation methods were provided for industrial and urban investment individual bond credit spreads, bank secondary capital bond/perpetual bond excess spreads, and industrial/urban investment perpetual bond excess spreads [38][39]. - Sample selection criteria were given, including selecting medium - term notes and public corporate bonds, excluding guaranteed and perpetual bonds, and removing bonds with remaining maturities below 0.5 years or above 5 years. Different rating types were used for different bond types [40].

电新周报：Optimus 展示舞蹈动作，机器人再进化 [Table_Industry] 电力设备与新能源 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 5 月 17 日 证券研究报告 行业研究 [行业周报 Table_ReportType] [Table_Title] Optimus 展示舞蹈动作，机器人再进化 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 5 月 17 日 本期核心观点 [Tale_S 行业展望及配置建议： um ➢ 新能源汽车： [Table_StockAndRank] 电力设备与新能源 投资评级 看好 上次评级 看好 武浩 电新行业首席分析师 执业编号：S1500520090001 联系电话：010-83326711 邮 箱：wuhao@cindasc.com 孙然 电新行业分析师 执业编号：S1500524080003 联系电话：18721956681 邮 箱：sunran@cindasc.com 信达证券股份有限公司 CINDA SECURITIES CO.,LTD 北京市西城区宣武门西大街甲 127 号金隅大厦 B 座 邮编：100031 动力电池格局有望优化，板块盈利 ...

市场波动加剧 VIX 普涨，尾部风险预期理性回落 [Table_ReportTime] 2025 年 5 月 17 日 请阅读最后一页免责声明及信息披露 http://www.cindasc.com 1 [Table_FirstAuthor] 于明明 金融工程与金融产品首席分析师 执业编号：S1500521070001 联系电话：+86 18616021459 邮 箱：yumingming@cindasc.com 证券研究报告 金工研究 [T金工ableReportType] 点评报告 于明明 金融工程与金融产品 首席分析师 执业编号：S1500521070001 联系电话：+86 18616021459 邮 箱：yumingming@cindasc.com 崔诗笛 金融工程与金融产品 金融工程分析师 执业编号：S1500523080001 联系电话：+86 18516560686 邮 箱：cuishidi@cindasc.com 孙石 金融工程与金融产品 金融工程分析师 执业编号：S1500523080010 联系电话：+86 18817366228 邮 箱：sunshi@cindasc.com 信达证券股 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the light industry manufacturing sector is "Positive" [2] Core Insights - Overall consumer demand remains weak, but there are opportunities in specific segments where product and channel transformations can enhance market share, and brand recognition or performance recovery is expected [8] - The pet food segment shows high potential with strong consumer education barriers, brand loyalty, and significant single product effects [8] - The baby care market is fragmented, with strong brands rapidly increasing market share through cost-effectiveness and popular products, heavily relying on online sales [8] - Domestic second-tier brands in sanitary napkins and toothpaste are gaining market share, utilizing platforms like Douyin for marketing and channel empowerment [8] - The trend of innovative products and brand rejuvenation in the trendy toy sector is accelerating, with companies like Pop Mart and Blokus experiencing rapid revenue growth [8] Summary by Sections 1) Product & Channel Transformation - Baiya Co. reported a significant increase in revenue and is expected to see a gradual improvement in its profitability model [9] - Dengkang Oral Care's revenue growth exceeded expectations, with a sustainable improvement in profitability [9] - Runben Co. experienced strong revenue growth driven by new product launches, particularly in the sunscreen category [9] - Zhongchong Co. is successfully transforming its brand, with expectations of over 40% growth in its flagship product [9] - Companies in the trendy toy sector are well-positioned to benefit from consumer trends and new product launches [9] 2) High Competitive Barriers - Guibao Pet's revenue and profit growth exceeded expectations, driven by strong brand performance and successful high-end product launches [10] - The overall industry remains vibrant, with companies optimizing their product and channel structures [10] 3) Performance Recovery Expected - Chenguang Co. has underperformed due to a weak consumer environment, but recovery is anticipated if market conditions improve [10] - The company is focusing on enhancing its IP product strategy, which is expected to contribute to new growth points [10]

24&25Q1 包装板块综述：塑料包装&纸包装 延续稳健，金属包装或困境反转 [Table_Industry] 轻工制造 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 05 月 16 日 证券研究报告 行业研究 [Table_ReportType] 行业专题研究（普通） [Table_StockAndRank] 轻工制造 投资评级 买入 上次评级 买入 [Table_Author] 姜文镪 新消费行业首席分析师 执业编号：S1500524120004 邮 箱： jiangwenqiang@cindasc.com [Table_Title] 24&25Q1 包装板块综述：塑料包装&纸包装 延续稳健，金属包装或困境反转 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 05 月 16 日 [Table_Summary] [Table_Summary] 塑料包装：收入保持稳健，盈利中枢抬升。永新股份 24Q4/25Q1 收入 +9.6%/+1.6%，归母净利润同比+41.7%/+2.9%，24Q4、25Q1 毛利率/ 净 利 率 分 别 为 25.9%/16.7% （ +1.6/+3.6pct ）、 21. ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the light industry manufacturing sector is "Positive" [2] Core Insights - Overall consumer demand remains weak, but there are opportunities in specific segments where product and channel transformations can enhance market share, and brand recognition or performance recovery is expected [2][8] - The pet food sector shows high potential with strong consumer education barriers, brand loyalty, and significant single product effects [2][8] - The baby care market is fragmented, with leading brands rapidly increasing market share through cost-effectiveness and popular products, heavily relying on online sales [2][8] - Domestic second-tier brands in sanitary napkins and toothpaste are gaining market share, utilizing platforms like Douyin for traffic generation and empowering other platforms and offline markets [2][8] - The trend of innovative products and brand rejuvenation in the trendy toy sector is accelerating, with companies like Pop Mart and Blokus experiencing rapid revenue growth [2][8] Summary by Sections 1) Product & Channel Transformation - Baiya Co. reported a significant revenue increase of 39% in Q4 2024 and 30% in Q1 2025, with a strong performance in e-commerce and a positive outlook for its probiotic series [3][9] - Dengkang Oral Care also showed robust growth, with a 39% increase in Q4 2024 and 19% in Q1 2025, benefiting from an optimized product structure and strong online sales [3][9] - Runben Co. experienced a 34% revenue increase in Q4 2024 and 44% in Q1 2025, driven by the rapid launch of new products [4][9] - The trendy toy sector, represented by companies like Blokus and Pop Mart, saw revenue growth of 156% and 278% respectively, indicating a strong market presence [4][9] 2) High Competitive Barriers - Guibao Pet's revenue and profit exceeded expectations, driven by strong growth in its proprietary brand and successful high-end product launches [10] - The overall industry remains buoyant, with companies optimizing product and channel structures, leading to sustained revenue growth and improved profitability [10] 3) Performance Recovery Expected - Chenguang Co. reported lower-than-expected performance due to a weak consumer environment, but recovery is anticipated if market conditions improve [10] - The company is focusing on enhancing its IP product strategy, which is expected to contribute to new growth points [10]

24&25Q1 包装板块综述：塑料包装&纸包装 延续稳健，金属包装或困境反转 [Table_Industry] 轻工制造 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 05 月 16 日 证券研究报告 行业研究 [Table_ReportType] 行业专题研究（普通） jiangwenqiang@cindasc.com [Table_Title] 24&25Q1 包装板块综述：塑料包装&纸包装 延续稳健，金属包装或困境反转 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 05 月 16 日 [Table_Summary] [Table_Summary] 塑料包装：收入保持稳健，盈利中枢抬升。永新股份 24Q4/25Q1 收入 +9.6%/+1.6%，归母净利润同比+41.7%/+2.9%，24Q4、25Q1 毛利率/ 净 利 率 分 别 为 25.9%/16.7% （ +1.6/+3.6pct ）、 21.3%/10.6% （-0.8/+0.1pct）。24Q4 表现靓丽主要系下游需求补库叠加成本下降，同时 规模效应释放。25Q1 原油价格持续下跌，彩印产品顺价，我们预计 25Q1 产品均价下跌中 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for Horizon Robotics (9660.HK) [3] Core Insights - Horizon Robotics is positioned as a leader in the new generation of automotive intelligent chips and a world-class AI algorithm company, focusing on software-defined principles and exploring new boundaries in intelligent driving [5][14] - The intelligent driving market is expected to grow significantly, with the AD market projected to take over from ADAS as the main growth driver, achieving a market size of 407 billion yuan by 2030 [12][37] - The company has a leading market share in the intelligent driving computing solutions market, with a 28.65% share in the first half of 2024, and is expected to further increase its share in the OEM ADAS and AD markets [11][57] Summary by Sections Company Overview - Horizon Robotics focuses on intelligent driving chip platforms, full-scene intelligent driving solutions, and supporting toolchains, establishing itself as a comprehensive supplier in the industry [5][14] - The company has launched several intelligent driving chips, including J2, J3, J5, and J6, and has developed a self-adaptive BPU computing unit that maximizes computational efficiency [14] Market Growth - The AD+ADAS market in China has seen a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 57.8% from 2019 to 2023, with the AD market growing at a CAGR of 144.2% [12][37] - By 2030, the AD market is expected to reach a size of 407 billion yuan, with a CAGR of 48.8% from 2025 to 2030 [12][37] Competitive Position - Horizon Robotics has a steadily increasing market share, with 41% in the ADAS market and over 30% in the AD market among Chinese OEMs by the end of 2024 [12][57] - The company has established partnerships with major OEMs, including BYD, Geely, and Chery, to support their intelligent driving strategies [61][69] Financial Projections - Revenue projections for Horizon Robotics are expected to reach 36.10 billion yuan in 2025, 56.97 billion yuan in 2026, and 80.53 billion yuan in 2027, with corresponding growth rates of 51%, 58%, and 41% respectively [6] - The company anticipates a return to profitability by 2027, with a projected net profit of 668 million yuan [6] Customer Base and Partnerships - Horizon Robotics has a broad customer base, covering major domestic automakers and new energy vehicle manufacturers, which positions it well for future growth as the demand for intelligent driving solutions increases [69]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" based on its strong performance and growth potential [10]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 5.09 billion RMB in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 53.92%. The social business revenue reached 4.63 billion RMB, growing by 58.1%, while the innovative business revenue was 460 million RMB, up by 21.3% [1][2]. - The operating profit was 729 million RMB, an increase of 32.3%, and the adjusted EBITDA was 963 million RMB, reflecting a growth of 42.8% [1]. - The company expects to record a revenue of approximately 1.5 to 1.57 billion RMB in Q1 2025, which is a year-on-year increase of about 41.5% to 48.1% [2]. Summary by Sections Social Business Performance - The social business continues to show robust growth, with a revenue of 4.63 billion RMB in 2024, up 58.1%. Key products like MICO and YoHo are contributing significantly, while the new product SUGO has seen revenue growth exceeding 200% [3]. - The average monthly active users (MAU) for the social business reached 32.835 million in Q1 2025, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 3.4% [3]. Innovative Business Development - The innovative business, particularly in premium games, has shown significant growth, with total revenue exceeding 705 million RMB, a year-on-year increase of over 80%. The flagship game "Alice's Dream: Merge Games" has also performed well [3]. - The social e-commerce segment has experienced revenue growth exceeding 200% and profit growth over 600% [3]. Profit Forecast - The company is expected to maintain high growth in its social and gaming products, with new products in development. The acquisition of remaining shares in NBT Social Networking is anticipated to further enhance profits in 2025 [5]. - The projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 903 million, 1.12 billion, and 1.38 billion RMB, representing year-on-year growth rates of 88.1%, 23.9%, and 23.3% respectively [5].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Horizon Robotics (9660.HK) is "Buy" [3]. Core Insights - Horizon Robotics is positioned as a leader in the new generation of automotive intelligent chips and a world-class AI algorithm company, focusing on software-defined principles and exploring new boundaries in intelligent driving [5][14]. - The market for intelligent driving is expected to grow significantly, with the AD (Autonomous Driving) market projected to have a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 144.2% from 2019 to 2023, and the overall AD+ADAS market expected to grow at a CAGR of 57.8% during the same period [5][12][37]. - Horizon Robotics has achieved a market share of 28.65% in the full-stage intelligent driving computing solutions market as of the first half of 2024, and is expected to further increase its share in the OEM ADAS and AD markets [5][57]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Horizon Robotics focuses on intelligent driving chip platforms, full-scene intelligent driving solutions, and supporting toolchains, establishing itself as a comprehensive supplier in the industry [5][14]. - The company has launched several intelligent driving chips, including J2, J3, J5, and J6, and has developed a self-adaptive BPU computing unit that maximizes computational efficiency [14]. Market Growth - The AD+ADAS market is projected to reach a scale of 407 billion yuan by 2030, with a CAGR of 48.8% from 2025 to 2030 [12][37]. - The domestic OEM market share has increased from 19.8% in 2019 to 39.8% in 2023, with expectations to exceed 60% by 2029 [61]. Competitive Position - Horizon Robotics has established a strong customer base, providing stable and reliable intelligent driving solutions to 27 OEMs, covering 42 brands [57][69]. - The company is recognized for its competitive advantages in cost-effectiveness, software capabilities, and customization, which have solidified its position in the industry [11][21]. Financial Projections - Revenue projections for Horizon Robotics are estimated at 36.10 billion yuan in 2025, 56.97 billion yuan in 2026, and 80.53 billion yuan in 2027, with corresponding growth rates of 51%, 58%, and 41% respectively [6]. - The net profit is expected to turn positive by 2027, with a forecasted profit of 668 million yuan [6].