Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive investment rating for the liquor sector, specifically focusing on the white liquor segment [1]. Core Insights - The report highlights the significant market value held by public funds in white liquor stocks, indicating strong investor confidence in this sector [3][4]. - It provides a detailed analysis of the price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) for the white liquor sector, suggesting a favorable valuation compared to historical trends [5][11]. - The report also discusses the proportion of active and index funds invested in white liquor stocks, showcasing the growing interest from various types of investment funds [6][10][12]. Summary by Sections - **Public Fund Holdings**: The total market value of public funds holding white liquor stocks is reported at 5,000 million yuan, reflecting a robust investment landscape [4]. - **P/E Analysis**: The report includes a P/E-TTM analysis for the white liquor sector, indicating a current P/E ratio that is competitive within the market [5][11]. - **Investment Fund Composition**: The report details the percentage of active and index funds that are heavily invested in white liquor stocks, with active funds showing a notable increase in their holdings [6][10][12].

行业点评报告 · 化工行业 "反内卷"浪潮来袭,化工景气有望筑底回升 2025 年 07 月 24 日 核心观点 化工行业 | | | 分析师 霍启迪 ☎：010-8092-7677 网：zhaiqidi_yj@chinastock.com.cn 分析师登记编码：S0130524060004 孙思源 网: sunsiyuan_yj@chinastock.com.cn 分析师登记编码：S0130523070004 相对沪深 300 表现图 2024-07-24 沪深300 基础化工 50% -50% 资料来源：iFind，中国银河证券研究院 证券研究报告 请务必阅读正文最后的中国银河证券股份有限公司免责声明 事件:7月24日,国家发展改革委、市场监管总局联合发布《中华人民共和 ● 国价格法修正草案（征求意见稿）》，向社会公开征求意见。 0 政策整治"内卷式"竞争,化工行业有望走出周期底部。近年来,受产能快 速扩张、需求增速放缓等因素影响,我国包括化工行业在内的部分领域供需失 衡问题愈发显著,企业为抢占份额低价无序竞争,盈利空间被大幅压缩。2024 年、25Q1 基础化工板块销售毛利率分别为 17.4%、17.6 ...

—— 2025Q2 白酒板块基金重仓持股分析 维持 刘来珍 图5:白酒板块 PE-TTM 资料来源：公募基金季报, Wind,中国银河证券研究院 图4：主动型和指数型基金重仓白酒股市值占其股票投资市值比（%） ① 。 ② ③ ① ② 银河证券|CGS 行业跟踪报告 · 食品饮料行业 图1:公募基金重仓持有白酒股市值(亿元) ■持股总市值(亿元) 5,000.00 4,000.00 3,000.00 2,000.00 1,000.00 0.00 资料来源：公募基金季报，Wind，中国银河证券研究院 行业跟踪报告 · 食品饮料行业 主动型基金 =提数型基金 8.00 6.00 4.00 2.00 0.00 资料来源：公募基金季报, Wind,中国银河证券研究院 图6:帝亚吉欧(美股)P/E-TTM 请务必阅读正文最后的中国银河证券股份有限公司免责声明。 2 图3： 主动型基金和指数型基金重仓白酒股市值 ■ 主动型基金 ■指数型基金 4,000.00 3,000.00 2,000.00 1,000.00 0.00 资料来源：公募基金季报, Wind, 中国银河证券研究院 · 1STD pe_ttm 80.0000 ...

Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for Hainan Mining [7][50]. Core Views - Hainan Mining is focusing on three main sectors: iron ore, oil and gas, and new energy, with a strong resource base and a stable shareholding structure [9][12][50]. - The company has shown resilience in its iron ore business, maintaining high profit margins and expanding its oil and gas operations globally [7][9][38]. - The new energy segment is being developed through lithium mining and hydroxide production, with significant projects underway [7][44]. Financial Forecast - Projected revenues for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are expected to be 45.18 billion, 54.61 billion, and 62.93 billion yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 11.13%, 20.86%, and 15.25% [2][51]. - Net profit forecasts for the same years are 7.64 billion, 8.55 billion, and 9.64 billion yuan, with growth rates of 8.12%, 11.97%, and 12.67% [2][51]. - The company's PE ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected to be 20.20x, 18.04x, and 16.01x, indicating a premium compared to peers [50][52]. Business Layout - Hainan Mining has a stable shareholding structure with Fosun Group as the controlling shareholder, focusing on strategic metal and energy mineral exploration, development, and sales [9][12]. - The company’s revenue composition for 2024 is expected to be 48.41% from oil and gas, 37% from self-extracted and processed iron ore, 10.50% from iron ore trading and processing, and 4.08% from other businesses [7][15]. - The iron ore segment has shown strong performance with a gross margin of 45.77% for self-extracted and processed iron ore, and 10.94% for trading and processing [7][15][37]. Growth Drivers - The iron ore business is the cornerstone of Hainan Mining, leveraging advanced mining technologies to maintain high efficiency and profitability [7][32]. - The oil and gas segment has seen continuous growth, with significant contributions from the Bajiao gas field and Malaysian oil fields [7][38]. - The company is actively investing in lithium mining and hydroxide production, with projects in Africa and plans for significant production targets in the coming years [7][44][45].

Macro Overview - The core focus for the second half of the year is to consolidate the positive economic situation while addressing prominent issues such as low prices, declining investment growth, and continuity in consumption policies. The GDP growth rate for the first half of the year reached 5.3%, exceeding expectations [2][3][4] Fixed Income Strategies - In the recent period, strategies such as low-price enhancement, improved dual-low, and high-price high-elasticity recorded returns of 2.6%, 2.3%, and 4.8% respectively, outperforming the benchmark of 2.4%. Year-to-date, these strategies have achieved returns of 9.7%, 21.3%, and 38.4% against a benchmark of 10.3% [12][13][14] Agriculture Sector - The pig farming industry shows a recovery in profitability, with July pig prices stabilizing after a decline. The average price in July was 14.96 yuan/kg, down 8% from the end of 2024. The focus remains on high-quality pig enterprises with good financial conditions [24][25][26] - The pet food sector is in a growth phase, with an increase in market share for quality enterprises. The export value of pet food in the first half of the year saw a slight increase of 0.4% year-on-year [24][26] Steel Industry - The commencement of the Yajiang hydropower project, with an investment of approximately 1.2 trillion yuan, is expected to boost demand for basic and special steel. The project will require significant amounts of steel, estimated at 180,000 tons for basic materials alone [30][31][33] - The recent publication of the "Rural Road Regulations" is anticipated to release demand for infrastructure upgrades, further benefiting the steel sector [31][33] Investment Recommendations - For the agriculture sector, it is recommended to focus on high-quality pig farming enterprises and monitor cost changes closely. In the steel industry, the focus should be on leading enterprises that can benefit from infrastructure projects and capacity adjustments [26][33]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for the non-ferrous metals industry [1]. Core Insights - In Q2 2025, active equity public funds continued to increase their holdings in the A-share non-ferrous metals industry, with the market value of heavy holdings rising to 2.21% of total stock investment value, up from 2.18% in Q1 2025, marking two consecutive quarters of increases [3][5][4]. - The report highlights a structural adjustment in fund holdings, with significant increases in precious metals and rare metals sectors, while industrial metals were reduced [5][8]. - The report suggests that the non-ferrous metals industry, particularly aluminum, copper smelting, and lithium sectors, may become key targets for policy reforms in Q3 2025, leading to potential improvements in industry conditions and supply-demand structures [18]. Summary by Sections Fund Holdings Analysis - In Q2 2025, the market value of heavy holdings in the non-ferrous metals sector accounted for 2.21% of total stock investment value, reflecting a 0.03 percentage point increase from Q1 2025 [4][5]. - The top ten stocks in the non-ferrous metals sector accounted for 73.31% of the total market value of heavy holdings, indicating a concentration in major companies [5][8]. Sector Performance - The report categorizes the non-ferrous metals sector into sub-industries, noting that the fund's heavy holdings in precious metals and rare metals increased, while industrial metals saw a decrease [8][18]. - Specific stocks such as Zijin Mining, Shandong Gold, and Huayou Cobalt were highlighted as significant holdings, with notable increases in positions for companies like Guangsheng Nonferrous and Haotong Technology [14][15]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on leading companies in the aluminum sector such as China Aluminum, Shenhuo Co., and Tianshan Aluminum, as well as lithium companies like Ganfeng Lithium and Tianqi Lithium [18]. - It also suggests that the gold sector, particularly stocks like Shandong Gold and Zhongjin Gold, may see increased allocations from funds due to favorable market conditions [18].

Regulatory Framework - RWA policies are evaluated across six dimensions: ownership mechanism, circulation restrictions, licensing thresholds, tax environment, stablecoin adaptation, and asset structure compliance[11] - The regulatory intensity varies significantly, with some regions emphasizing strong regulation and safety, while others focus on innovation and pilot programs[16] Global Comparisons - The United States, United Kingdom, and Japan maintain high regulatory barriers, reflecting a "strong regulation, safety first" approach, with scores indicating high institutional density and limited innovation space[17] - In contrast, Singapore, UAE, and South Korea adopt a "innovation-oriented, pilot-first" strategy, lowering entry barriers and fostering a flexible regulatory environment[17] Taxation and Incentives - Tax policies are becoming a critical variable, with regions like the EU and South Korea having higher tax burdens but stronger regulatory frameworks, while Singapore and UAE attract projects with low tax rates and flexible regulations[24] - The EU has not established a unified income tax law for crypto assets, leading to structural inconsistencies across member states, impacting the attractiveness of RWA development[36] Regional Practices - The EU employs a standardized regulatory approach through MiCA, ensuring cross-border operational predictability and compliance for RWA assets[32] - South Korea has significantly lowered entry barriers for RWA and stablecoin issuance, promoting rapid market growth and innovation[38] Hong Kong's Unique Position - Hong Kong combines strict licensing with low tax burdens, establishing a regulatory model that supports RWA development while ensuring investor protection[42] - The region's legal system recognizes virtual assets as property, facilitating the establishment of a compliant RWA ecosystem[47] China's Regulatory Stance - China currently restricts RWA to "on-chain registration, off-chain issuance," limiting the operational scope for digital assets within its jurisdiction[48] - The country emphasizes technological service over financial attributes in its asset digitization efforts, focusing on traceability rather than market circulation[49]

Key Insights - The report highlights the impact of the U.S. imposing discriminatory tariffs on ASEAN countries, with rates ranging from 20% to 40% starting August 1, 2025, affecting countries like Malaysia and Indonesia [2] - ASEAN's response to U.S. tariffs includes targeted negotiations for tariff exemptions, internal economic stimulus policies, and strengthening multilateral cooperation to mitigate risks [2][3] - The inclusion of Indonesia in the BRICS group marks a significant expansion, with BRICS now covering 46% of the global population and 35% of the global economy, enhancing its role as a platform for global South cooperation [3] Economic Cooperation - China and ASEAN are deepening their cooperation mechanisms amidst global uncertainties, focusing on the implementation of the China-ASEAN Comprehensive Strategic Partnership Action Plan and advancing negotiations for a new version of the free trade area [5] - The economic collaboration between China and ASEAN is centered around the digital economy, with significant activities in digital technology, artificial intelligence, and green transportation [5] Capital Market Dynamics - The ASEAN stock indices have shown slight increases, with Vietnam leading at a 7.09% rise, while the overall market sentiment remains stable due to supportive policies [4] - The report notes that the A-share market experienced a daily average trading volume of 1.55 trillion yuan, with a 3.35% increase compared to the previous week [8][9] - The securities sector is expected to benefit from ongoing government policies aimed at stabilizing growth and boosting investor confidence, leading to an improved outlook for the sector [10]

Key Insights - The report highlights a continued increase in stock positions among actively managed equity funds, with a total stock value of 2.94 trillion yuan in Q2 2025, a slight decrease from the previous quarter. The stock allocation ratio rose to 84.24%, the highest level since 2005, while the A-share allocation continued to decline [2][3] - The communication, defense, media, and electronic sectors have seen significant increases in fund allocations, indicating a strong preference for technology growth sectors. The financial sector remains underweight despite increased interest [3][4] - The report notes a robust demand for engineering machinery driven by the construction of the Yarlung Tsangpo River hydropower project, with an estimated investment of 1.2 trillion yuan and a projected equipment demand of 120 to 180 billion yuan [14][17] - The introduction of the 科创债 ETF (Science and Technology Innovation Bond ETF) is expected to provide investment opportunities, with a focus on high-quality credit bonds and a favorable risk-return profile compared to other bond ETFs [7][10] Fund Holdings - In Q2 2025, the top ten industries with increased holdings include communication equipment, chemical pharmaceuticals, and logistics, while industries like white goods and engineering machinery saw significant reductions [3][4] - The report identifies a shift in the top twenty individual stocks held by funds, with Zijin Mining and Xiaomi Group rising in rank, while brands like Wuliangye and Shanxi Fenjiu saw declines [4] Company-Specific Insights - 科沃斯 (Ecovacs Robotics) is positioned as a market leader in the global vacuum cleaner and cleaning robot market, with a projected revenue of 16.5 billion yuan in 2024. The company has seen a resurgence in domestic sales due to new product launches and government subsidies [19][20] - The report emphasizes the competitive landscape in the cleaning appliance market, noting that while the market is growing, major players face intense competition, particularly in the smart lawn mower segment [21][22]

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints The report analyzes the Q2 2025 positions of public funds, covering aspects such as scale changes, stock positions, A-share sector and style allocation, industry and individual stock positions, and Hong Kong stock market allocation changes [2]. Summary by Directory 1. Q2 Public Fund Scale Changes - By the end of Q2 2025, there were 12,907 public funds in China, an increase of 307 from Q1 2025. Among them, there were 3,015 stock funds, 4,702 hybrid funds, and 3,862 bond funds, increasing by 209, 31, and 54 respectively compared to Q1 2025 [4]. - The total net asset value of all public funds at the end of Q2 2025 was 33.72 trillion yuan, a growth of 2.1112 trillion yuan from Q1 2025. Stock funds reached 4.27 trillion yuan, hybrid funds 3.21 trillion yuan, bond funds 10.91 trillion yuan, and money market funds 14.23 trillion yuan [5]. - In terms of equity fund sub - types, passive index funds and enhanced index funds both saw increases in quantity and net asset value [11]. - By the end of Q2 2025, the total number of actively managed equity - oriented funds was 4,582, an increase of 45 from Q1 2025, but the total net asset value decreased by 21.18 billion yuan [13]. 2. Actively Managed Equity - Oriented Funds: Stock Positions Continue to Rise - In Q2 2025, actively managed equity - oriented funds held stocks worth 2.94 trillion yuan, a decrease of 0.02 trillion yuan from the end of Q1. However, the stock position in asset allocation continued to rise, from 84.01% at the end of Q1 to 84.24%, a historical high since 2005. The proportion of A - shares in the fund's asset allocation continued to decline [2]. - Most of the stock positions of the four types of actively managed equity - oriented funds increased. The positions of common stock, balanced hybrid, and flexible allocation funds rose by 0.57, 2.05, and 0.49 percentage points respectively, while the position of partial - stock hybrid funds remained basically unchanged [24]. 3. A - Share Sector Distribution and Style Allocation (1) Increased Allocation in the GEM - In Q2 2025, the allocation ratio of the GEM reversed the previous two - quarter decline, rising from 16.58% at the end of Q1 to 18.93%. The allocation ratio of the Sci - Tech Innovation Board increased by 0.18 percentage points, and the allocation ratio of the Beijing Stock Exchange rose from 0.23% at the end of Q1 to 0.41%. The market value of main - board holdings decreased by 2.71 percentage points [25]. (2) Positioning Style Tends towards Growth and Finance - In the A - share market, the market value ratio of large - cap stocks represented by the CSI 300 decreased by 2.55 percentage points in Q2, and the investment enthusiasm for large - cap stocks continued to decline. The allocation ratio of small - cap stocks also decreased by 0.93 percentage points. In terms of growth and value styles, the growth style increased by 0.92 percentage points, and the value style increased by 0.42 percentage points [26]. - From the perspective of the five - style index classification, the growth style increased by 3.98 percentage points, the financial style by 1.72 percentage points, and the stable style by 0.02 percentage points. The consumption and cyclical styles decreased [27]. 4. A - Share Industry Allocation: Increased Allocation in the Communication Industry and Rising Finance Popularity (1) First - Tier Industry Allocation - In Q2 2025, the industries with high market value ratios were electronics (18.67%), pharmaceutical biology (10.91%), power equipment (9.89%), food and beverage (6.73%), and automobiles (6.32%). Industries with relatively low ratios included comprehensive (0.11%), steel (0.34%), coal (0.37%), petroleum and petrochemicals (0.38%), and textile and apparel (0.41%) [30]. - In Q2 2025, industries such as electronics, pharmaceutical biology, power equipment, communication, and household appliances were significantly over - allocated, while non - bank finance, computer, bank, public utilities, and machinery were under - allocated [30]. - In Q2 2025, the market value ratios of 15 first - tier industries increased. Industries with an increase of over 0.5 percentage points included communication, bank, national defense and military industry, non - bank finance, and media. Industries with a decline included food and beverage, automobiles, power equipment, household appliances, and machinery [32]. - In terms of the change in the over - allocation ratio, communication, national defense and military industry, non - bank finance, bank, and media increased significantly, while food and beverage, automobiles, power equipment, machinery, and household appliances decreased [35]. (2) Second - Tier Industry Allocation - In Q2 2025, semiconductor, chemical pharmaceutical, battery, Baijiu II, communication equipment, components, automobile parts, white goods, consumer electronics, and industrial metals ranked high in terms of market value ratio. Chemical pharmaceutical rose to the second place, and Baijiu II dropped to the fourth place [41]. - The top ten industries with increased holdings were communication equipment, components, chemical pharmaceutical, city commercial banks II, insurance II, aviation equipment II, logistics, games II, joint - stock commercial banks II, and feed industry. Industries with significant reductions included Baijiu II, passenger cars, consumer electronics, white goods, and construction machinery [43]. 5. Heavy - Positioned Individual Stocks: Decreased Concentration - Among the top 20 individual stocks by total market value held by actively managed equity - oriented funds, there were 14 A - shares and 6 Hong Kong stocks. Compared with Q1, Zijin Mining and Xiaomi Group - W rose to the 5th and 6th places respectively, and Wuliangye and Shanxi Fenjiu dropped significantly. Newly included stocks were 3 A - shares and 2 Hong Kong stocks [51]. - The top ten stocks with increased holdings were Zhongji Innolight, New Fiber Optic, Hudian Co., Ltd., Cinda Bio (HK), Pop Mart (HK), Shenghong Technology, 3SBio (HK), SF Holding, Haid Group, and AVIC Shenfei. The top ten stocks with reduced holdings were BYD, Alibaba Group Holding Limited - W (HK), Luxshare Precision Industry Co., Ltd., Tencent Holdings Limited (HK), Kweichow Moutai Co., Ltd., Wuliangye, Luzhou Laojiao Co., Ltd., Midea Group Co., Ltd., Shanxi Fenjiu, and Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (HK) [52]. - In Q2 2025, the concentration of heavy - positioned individual stocks in actively managed equity - oriented funds decreased overall. The proportions of the top 10, 20, 30, 40, and 50 stocks in the total market value of heavy - positioned stocks decreased by 3.16, 3.31, 2.90, 2.60, and 2.19 percentage points respectively compared with the end of Q1 [59]. 6. Hong Kong Stock Market Allocation Changes - The allocation ratio of the A - share market in the heavy - positioned stocks of actively managed equity - oriented funds has declined for six consecutive quarters, from 91.34% at the end of 2023 to 80.09% at the end of Q2 2025. The allocation ratio of the Hong Kong stock market has increased from 8.66% at the end of 2023 to 19.91% at the end of Q2 2025, rising by 0.81 percentage points compared with Q1 2025 [62]. - By the end of Q2 2025, there were 360 Hong Kong stocks in the heavy - positioned stocks of actively managed equity - oriented funds, an increase of 33 from Q1. The market value of Hong Kong stock holdings was 326.5 billion yuan, an increase of 8.2 billion yuan from Q1 [63]. - In terms of the Hang Seng primary industries, the market value of information technology, non - essential consumer goods, healthcare, and finance accounted for 32.41%, 26.87%, 14.32%, and 6.33% respectively. The market value and proportion of healthcare and finance increased, while information technology and non - essential consumer goods decreased [63]. - In terms of the Hang Seng secondary industries, the top five industries were software services, pharmaceuticals and biotechnology, professional retail, information technology equipment, and household appliances and products. The market value of eight industries such as pharmaceuticals and biotechnology increased by over 1 billion yuan, while the professional retail industry had the largest decline [67][70]. - In Q2 2025, actively managed equity - oriented funds significantly increased their holdings of Cinda Bio, Pop Mart, 3SBio, JD Health, and Xiaomi Group - W, and significantly reduced their holdings of Alibaba Group Holding Limited - W, Tencent Holdings Limited, Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation, XPeng Inc. - W, and Geely Automobile [73].