中诚信国际 定期报告 资产证券化 融资租赁需求持续释放，融资成本稳步下行，二级市 场交易活跃度显著提升 ——融资租赁类资产支持证券产品报告（2025 年度） 要点 www.ccxi.com.cn 编号：2025-AT04 2025 年 2 月 13 日 目录 | 要点 | 1 | | --- | --- | | 正文 | 2 | | 声明 | 21 | 负责人 结构融资二部 评级总监 付春香 021-60330927 cxfu@ccxi.com.cn 联络人 作者 结构融资二部 陈 诺 021-60330988 nchen@ccxi.com.cn 发行情况：2025 年交易所市场共发行融资租赁类资产证券化产品 292 单，合计发行 规模 2,895.93 亿元；与上年相比，发行数量增加 41 单，发行规模上升 15.24%。其 中，企业融资租赁类产品发行 237 单，合计发行规模 2,238.87 亿元，与上年相比， 发行数量增加 40 单，发行规模上升 15.90%；汽车融资租赁类产品发行 55 单，合计 发行规模 657.05 亿元，与上年相比，发行数量增加 1 单，发行规模上升 13.04%。融 资成本 ...

Group 1: Report Overview - The report is titled "Asset - Backed Notes Product Report (January 2026)" and focuses on the asset - backed notes (ABN) market [3] Group 2: Industry Investment Rating - No industry investment rating is provided in the report Group 3: Core Viewpoints - In January 2026, the issuance scale of asset - backed notes increased slightly compared to the same period last year, with personal consumption finance products being the dominant force in the market. The secondary - market trading also showed an upward trend [3][4] Group 4: Issuance Situation - In January 2026, 40 ABN products were issued, with a total issuance scale of 29.43 billion yuan, a 4.01% increase in scale and 1 more in quantity compared to the same period last year. All were privately issued [4][5] - The top five sponsoring institutions in terms of issuance scale were CITIC Trust & Investment Co., Ltd. (4.256 billion yuan, 14.46%), Huaxin Trust Co., Ltd. (3.7 billion yuan, 12.57%), Xiamen International Trust Co., Ltd. (3 billion yuan, 10.19%), Huarong International Trust Co., Ltd. (2.764 billion yuan, 9.39%), and China Foreign Economic and Trade Trust Co., Ltd. (2.23 billion yuan, 7.58%). The top ten sponsoring institutions accounted for 81.65% of the total issuance scale [5] - The underlying asset types included personal consumption finance, micro - loans, accounts receivable, general financial leasing, and auto financial leasing. Personal consumption finance products accounted for 63.98% of the issuance scale [4][7] - The highest single - product issuance scale was 2 billion yuan, and the lowest was 70 million yuan. Products with a single - issuance scale between (5, 10] billion yuan had the largest number and scale, accounting for 69.87% [9] - The shortest product term was 0.48 years, and the longest was 4.99 years. Products with a term between (1, 2] years had the largest number and scale, accounting for 59.84% [10][11] - According to the issuance scale of notes at each level, AAAsf - rated notes accounted for 89.15%, AA + sf - rated notes accounted for 4.71%, A + sf - rated notes accounted for 0.10%, and Asf - rated notes accounted for 0.29% [11] - For one - year - around AAAsf - rated notes, the lowest issuance interest rate was 1.79%, the highest was 1.98%, and the interest - rate center was around 1.84% [4][13] - In January 2026, 12 ABCP products were issued, with a total issuance scale of 8.365 billion yuan, a 9.48% year - on - year decrease, accounting for 28.42% of the ABN issuance scale. Personal consumption finance ABCP accounted for 88.82% of the ABCP issuance scale [17] Group 5: Secondary - Market Trading Situation - In January 2026, there were 554 secondary - market transactions of asset - backed notes, a 7.78% year - on - year increase in the number of transactions, and the transaction amount was 46.585 billion yuan, a 5.12% year - on - year increase [4][18] - The more active underlying asset types in the secondary - market trading were personal consumption finance, accounts receivable, REIT - like products, micro - loans, and auto financial leasing, with transaction - amount proportions of 38.42%, 15.53%, 13.92%, 9.43%, and 4.53% respectively [18]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In 2025, the number and scale of issued accounts - receivable asset - backed securities increased year - on - year. The actual financiers were still concentrated in construction central enterprises and their subsidiaries, with a more prominent head - effect. These entities were more inclined to introduce in - system factoring companies, capital companies, asset management companies, trust companies, other financial platforms, and off - system commercial factoring companies as original equity holders or agents of original equity holders to issue securitized products. - In 2025, the average issuance scale of single accounts - receivable asset - backed special plans decreased compared to the previous year, the product term was slightly shortened, the issuance interest rate continued to decline, the securities were mainly of AAAsf credit rating, and the overall product credit risk remained at a low level. The trading activity in the secondary market increased significantly [38]. 3. Summary According to the Directory Issuance Situation - In 2025, 157 accounts - receivable asset - backed securitization products were issued in the exchange market, with a total issuance scale of 180.806 billion yuan. The number of issuances increased by 22, and the issuance scale rose by 9.40% year - on - year. The issuance scale accounted for 12.37% of the total issuance scale of enterprise asset - securitization products for the whole year, a decrease of 0.85 percentage points year - on - year [4][5]. - In terms of issuance venues, 140 products with an issuance amount of 172.474 billion yuan (accounting for 95.39%) were issued on the Shanghai Stock Exchange, and 17 products with an issuance amount of 8.332 billion yuan (accounting for 4.61%) were issued on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange [8]. - Regarding the distribution of original equity holders, the top five original equity holders were China Railway Capital Co., Ltd., China Railway Trust Co., Ltd., China Railway Construction Asset Management Co., Ltd., CCCC Commercial Factoring Co., Ltd., and Shenzhen United Factoring Co., Ltd., with issuance scale proportions of 32.27%, 16.95%, 11.06%, 2.73%, and 2.48% respectively. The total issuance scale of the top five original equity holders was 118.429 billion yuan, accounting for 65.50%; the total issuance scale of the top ten was 134.983 billion yuan, accounting for 74.66% [8]. - In terms of actual financiers, the total issuance scale of the top ten actual financiers was 165.964 billion yuan, accounting for 91.79%, an increase of 1.89 percentage points year - on - year. The actual financiers were mainly concentrated in central enterprises and their subsidiaries, with an issuance scale of 162.126 billion yuan, accounting for 89.67%, a year - on - year increase of 3.06 percentage points. In terms of industries, the actual financiers in the construction industry had an issuance scale of 165.423 billion yuan, accounting for 91.49% [10]. - Regarding the distribution of managers, the top five managers with the highest proportion of new management scale were CITIC Securities Co., Ltd., Huaxi Securities Co., Ltd., Ping An Securities Co., Ltd., Shanghai Guotai Haitong Securities Asset Management Co., Ltd., and CITIC Construction Securities Co., Ltd., with scale proportions of 17.61%, 16.95%, 14.64%, 10.13%, and 9.39% respectively. The total new management scale of the top five managers was 124.244 billion yuan, accounting for 68.72%, a year - on - year increase of 5.54 percentage points; the total new management scale of the top ten managers was 160.486 billion yuan, accounting for 88.76%, a year - on - year increase of 9.70 percentage points [14]. - In terms of product scale distribution, the highest single - product issuance scale was 5.4 billion yuan, and the lowest was 100 million yuan. The products with a single - scale in the (5, 10] billion yuan range had the largest number of issuances, with 51 units and a scale proportion of 21.47%. The average single - issuance scale was 1.152 billion yuan, a decrease of 73 million yuan compared to the previous year [16]. - Regarding the term distribution, the shortest term was 0.69 years, and the longest was 4.99 years. The products with a term in the (1, 3] - year range had the largest number of issuances, with 88 units and a scale proportion of 49.97%. The weighted average term was 2.14 years, slightly shorter than the previous year [17]. - In terms of level distribution, in 2025, AAAsf - rated securities accounted for 90.08%, AA + sf - rated securities accounted for 6.33%, and sub - grade securities accounted for 3.59% [19]. - Regarding the issuance interest rate, the median issuance interest rate of AAAsf - rated securities with a term of around 1 year was 1.85%, a year - on - year decrease of about 29BP [4][21]. Issuance Spread Statistical Analysis - Compared with government bonds of the same term, the average issuance spreads of 1 - year and 3 - year accounts - receivable asset - backed securities in 2025 narrowed compared to the previous year. For example, the average 1 - year spread decreased from 0.74 percentage points in 2024 to 0.48 percentage points in 2025 [26][28]. - Compared with AAA - rated corporate bonds of the same term, the average issuance spreads of 1 - year and 3 - year AAAsf - rated accounts - receivable asset - backed securities in 2025 also narrowed compared to the previous year. The average 1 - year spread decreased from 0.18 percentage points in 2024 to 0.14 percentage points in 2025 [31][32]. - In terms of issuance cost, the average issuance interest rate of 1 - year AAAsf - rated accounts - receivable asset - backed securities issued in 2025 decreased by 32BP year - on - year [32]. Filing Situation - In 2025, 105 accounts - receivable asset - backed special plans were filed with the Asset Management Association of China, with a total scale of 129.051 billion yuan. Compared with the previous year, the number of filings decreased by 12, and the filing scale decreased by 14.02% [4][33]. Secondary Market Trading Situation - In 2025, accounts - receivable asset - backed securities had 5,596 transactions in the secondary market, a year - on - year increase of 102.90%. The total transaction scale was 147.768 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 47.63%. The transaction scale accounted for 13.76% of the total transaction scale of enterprise asset - backed securities in the current period, a decrease of 1.11 percentage points year - on - year, ranking second in terms of transaction scale [4][36]. Maturity Situation in 2026 - It is estimated that 261 outstanding accounts - receivable asset - backed securities will mature in the exchange market in 2026, with a maturity scale of 168.808 billion yuan, accounting for 21.19% of the total maturity scale of all enterprise asset - backed securities in 2026, ranking second in terms of maturity scale [4][37]. - From the perspective of original equity holders, China Railway Capital Co., Ltd. had 43 maturing accounts - receivable asset - backed securities, with a repayment scale of 43.229 billion yuan, accounting for 25.61%; China Railway Trust Co., Ltd. had 33 maturing securities, with a repayment scale of 33.605 billion yuan, accounting for 19.91%; China Railway Construction Asset Management Co., Ltd. had 22 maturing securities, with a repayment scale of 25.449 billion yuan, accounting for 15.08% [37].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the given content 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In 2025, under the dual pressure of increased external environmental uncertainty and internal structural contradictions, small and micro - enterprises faced operational challenges. Despite continuous macro - policy support for inclusive small and micro - enterprise loans, the growth rate of such loans slowed down, and the issuance of small and micro - enterprise loan ABS products declined in terms of both the number of issues and scale. The cumulative default rate of these products rose at the end of the year, indicating pressure on asset quality. The credit performance of small and micro - enterprise credit assets and the future issuance of small and micro - enterprise loan ABS products in the credit asset securitization market remain uncertain [3][4][33] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Policy - In 2025, in the face of a complex situation with deepening external environmental impacts and prominent domestic supply - demand contradictions, the macro - policy implemented a moderately loose monetary policy, maintained the intensity of support for inclusive small and micro - enterprise loans, and optimized the loan structure. Multiple departments issued a series of policies to support small and micro - enterprises, aiming to increase financing supply, reduce costs, and improve service quality. The new general tone of "ensuring quantity, improving quality, stabilizing prices, and optimizing structure" was established [4][5] - The scale of inclusive small and micro - enterprise loans continued to grow, with the balance increasing from 29.40 trillion yuan in 2023 to 36.57 trillion yuan in 2025, and the proportion in total loans rising from 12.37% to 13.45%. However, due to economic slowdown and policy transformation, the growth rate of loans decreased from 23.53% in 2023 to 11.05% in 2025 [6] - The central bank cut the reserve requirement ratio and the loan prime rate (LPR) in 2025, leading to a stable decline in the average interest rate of newly issued inclusive small and micro - enterprise loans. In June 2025, the average rate was 3.48%, a decrease of 0.66 percentage points compared to the previous year [9] Issuance - In 2025, 10 small and micro - enterprise loan ABS products were issued in the inter - bank market, with a total issuance scale of 58.645 billion yuan, a year - on - year decrease of 23.08% in the number of issues and 10.49% in scale. Meanwhile, 117 asset - backed notes (ABN) products with underlying micro - enterprise loans were issued, with a scale of 101.93 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 27.94% in the number of issues and 44.44% in scale [12] - The issuance of small and micro - enterprise loan ABS slowed down due to the loose market liquidity and the slowdown of banks' inclusive small and micro - enterprise loan growth, while the issuance of micro - enterprise loan ABN was more active because of the strong financing and cost - optimization needs of Internet banks and non - bank institutions [12] - In terms of issuing institutions, in 2025, there were 7 institutions issuing small and micro - enterprise loan ABS products. State - owned banks remained the dominant issuers, with 1 state - owned bank issuing 4 products worth 49.612 billion yuan, accounting for 84.60%. The concentration of issuing institutions has increased in recent years [14] Issuance Interest Rate - In 2025, the issuance interest rates of small and micro - enterprise loan ABS products generally showed a downward trend. The interest rate range of senior (AAAsf) securities was 1.58 - 1.96%, and that of sub - senior (AA + sf) securities was 1.91 - 2.19%, with a narrower range compared to 2024. The issuance cost of these products was at a historical low [17] - Compared with the 1 - year ChinaBond Medium - and Short - Term Note Yield, the spread range of AAAsf - rated securities of small and micro - enterprise loan ABS products was - 11 - 20 basis points, and that of AA + sf - rated securities was 21 - 30 basis points, with a narrower spread range compared to the previous year [17] - The issuance interest rates of small and micro - enterprise loan ABS products were generally lower than those of micro - enterprise loan ABN products because banks had an advantage in capital cost over Internet banks and non - bank financial institutions [17] Secondary Market - In 2025, the trading volume of small and micro - enterprise loan ABS products in the secondary market was 9.388 billion yuan, a 49.61% increase compared to 2024. The trading frequency was 43 times, with an average transaction amount of 218 million yuan. The turnover rate was 29.30%, slightly higher than the 2025 credit ABS market turnover rate, but the trading activity still needed to be improved [20] - The "Feichi Jianpu" series of products issued by China Construction Bank had a significant increase in trading activity, with the trading amount increasing by 165.27% compared to the previous year, accounting for 84.57% of the total secondary - market trading amount of small and micro - enterprise loan ABS products in that year [20] Asset Pool Characteristics - In 2025, the average single - household unpaid principal balance of the underlying assets of small and micro - enterprise loan ABS products increased. The proportion of underlying assets with mortgage guarantees was over 90%, and the average single - household unpaid principal balance was 1.7682 million yuan, higher than in 2024 [22] - The weighted average remaining term of the underlying assets decreased slightly to 12.20 months in 2025 from 12.96 months in 2024, remaining relatively short [23] - The weighted average interest rate of the underlying assets continued to decline and remained at a low level. The average interest rate of the asset pool of products issued by state - owned banks was 3.73%, that of joint - stock banks was 4.14%, and that of regional banks was 4.58% [23] Performance during the Continued Period Default Rate - By the end of 2025, the cumulative default rate of small and micro - enterprise loan ABS products showed an upward trend, ranging from 0.00% to 4.53%. The cumulative default rate of products issued by state - owned banks was between 0.00% and 3.43%, that of joint - stock banks was between 0.00% and 4.53%, and that of regional banks was between 0.00% and 4.50% [26] - For the 10 small and micro - enterprise loan ABS products issued in 2025, the cumulative default rate by the end of 2025 was between 0.00% and 1.67%. The cumulative default rate of products issued by state - owned banks was between 0.00% and 0.47%, that of joint - stock banks was between 0.00% and 1.67%, and that of regional banks was between 0.00% and 0.01% [29] Prepayment Rate - In recent years, the prepayment rate of small and micro - enterprise loan ABS products has been declining but remains at a high level. In 2025, except during the peak periods of small and micro - enterprise capital demand such as the Spring Festival and the end of the year, the annualized prepayment rate was generally above 50% [31] - There were significant differences in prepayment rates among products due to the small number of issued products. Among issuing institutions, the average prepayment rate of products issued by state - owned banks was the highest, while that of joint - stock banks was the lowest [31][32]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the Chinese construction machinery industry has been adjusted from "stable weakening" to "stable" [3] Core Viewpoints - The construction machinery industry has shown a clear recovery trend since 2025, driven by continuous improvement in domestic demand and stable export performance. The overall sales volume of construction machinery is expected to continue to improve in 2026, with industry revenue and profits maintaining a growth trend [3][7] - The core products such as excavators and loaders have accelerated their recovery, while the demand for different types of cranes has shown some divergence due to uneven recovery in downstream demand [7][9] - The industry is expected to benefit from multiple drivers of domestic demand, including traditional infrastructure, urban renewal, and mining development, which will support market growth [7][18] Summary by Sections Industry Fundamentals - The construction machinery industry has experienced a significant recovery since 2025, with total sales volume reaching 206.72 million units, a year-on-year increase of 11.47%. The sales of excavators have rebounded after three consecutive years of decline, with a notable increase in exports to countries along the "Belt and Road" [9][10] - The domestic market demand is expected to improve in 2024, supported by policy measures, while exports are projected to maintain steady growth. The overall sales volume for major products in 2024 was 185.45 million units, a year-on-year increase of 4.47% [9][10] Financial Performance - The revenue of sample enterprises in the construction machinery sector is expected to show significant recovery in 2025, with operating cash flow levels restored to previous high levels. The debt scale of these enterprises has been well controlled [41][43] - In 2024, the total operating revenue of the construction machinery industry increased by 0.79% to 816.5 billion yuan, with sample enterprises achieving revenue of 300.73 billion yuan, accounting for 36.83% of the industry total [42][43] Market Outlook - The construction machinery market is expected to enter a stable growth phase in 2026, with small excavators benefiting from special bond funding for rural infrastructure projects, while large excavators will be supported by major infrastructure projects [41][43] - The demand for construction machinery is anticipated to be driven by the replacement of aging equipment and the implementation of policies promoting equipment upgrades, which will release significant market potential [28][24]

www.ccxi.com.cn 编号：2026-AT02 2026 年 2 月 11 日 联络人 jxu@ccxi.com.cn 负责人 结构融资部 评级总监 付春香 021-60330927 cxfu@ccxi.com.cn 中诚信国际 定期报告 资产证券化 个人消费金融及小微贷款类产品发行主体扩容，但 头部集中效应特征仍显著；整体发行规模稳步增长， 融资成本持续下行，二级市场交易活跃度明显提升 ——个人消费金融及小微贷款类资产支持证券产品报告（2025年度） 作者 结构融资部 徐 捷 021-60330988 概况1 根据中国资产证券化分析网（CNABS）、万得（WIND）及上海证券交易所（简称"上交所"）、深圳证 券交易所（简称"深交所"）网站的数据综合来看，2025年交易所市场共发行个人消费金融及小微贷款类资 产证券化产品2 439单，同比增加55单；发行规模3,437.45亿元，同比上升29.61%；占同期交易所市场企业资 产证券化产品发行总规模的比重为23.52%，同比上升2.30个百分点。 从细分基础资产类型来看，个人消费金融类占据主导地位，2025年共发行个人消费金融类资产证券化产 品332单 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the content 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Weihai City is located in the easternmost part of the Shandong Peninsula, with unique geographical and excellent transportation locations. It has a population dividend due to a continuous net inflow of permanent residents. The local economy has developed steadily, but its economic aggregate ranks low in the province, and the industrial development among districts and counties varies significantly [6][7]. - The city's government debt ratio is among the highest in the province. When combined with the interest - bearing debt of urban investment enterprises, the local debt pressure becomes more prominent, and the debt levels of districts and counties are highly uneven [6][40]. - Since the introduction of the "package debt - resolution policy", Weihai has followed Shandong Province's general debt - resolution guidelines and taken multiple measures to address local debt risks. The current debt - resolution policies have achieved some results in reducing net financing, optimizing the channel structure, improving the debt term structure, and lowering financing costs. However, the stock debt scale remains high, the issuance cost and trading spread of urban investment bonds are still at medium - to - high levels in the province, and the debt pressure in some heavily indebted and weakly qualified areas persists [6][60]. - The growth rate of the stock debt of sample enterprises has significantly declined, non - standard financing has been reduced, and the financing cost has decreased. However, the debt scale is still increasing, the debt - repayment indicators have generally weakened, and the operating efficiency and cash - generating ability have not been substantially improved. In addition, the reform of state - owned enterprises in the region has been continuously deepened, the transformation process of financing platforms has accelerated under the background of debt resolution, and new financing for industrial investment entities has achieved a breakthrough, but the number of involved entities is small and the new financing scale is limited [6][79] 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs Regional Overview - Geographical and Transportation Location: Weihai is a prefecture - level city in Shandong, located at the easternmost end of the Shandong Peninsula. It has a well - developed transportation network, including an airport, a port, and a railway network. The population has been in a state of net inflow in recent years, and the urbanization rate is relatively high. It is rich in marine resources and has a good ecological environment [7][8][9] - Economic Development: The city's characteristic agriculture has become more "refined", and the marine fishery has strong industry strength. It has cultivated ten manufacturing iconic industrial chains and eight industrial clusters. The foreign - oriented economy and tourism have also developed well. In 2024, the GDP reached 372.862 billion yuan, ranking 11th in Shandong, with a growth rate of 5.8%. The tertiary - industry's contribution to the economy has further increased, and the marine GDP accounts for 38.2% of the GDP, ranking first among Shandong's coastal cities. However, the industrial development among districts and counties is unbalanced [15][22][25] - Fiscal Situation: Industrial development supports the steady growth of local fiscal revenue, and the fiscal revenue quality is acceptable. The government - funded revenue, mainly from land - transfer revenue, still significantly supports the comprehensive fiscal resources. In 2024, the general public budget revenue was 24.975 billion yuan, and the local comprehensive fiscal resources were 59.473 billion yuan. However, the city's fiscal self - sufficiency ability has weakened in recent years, and the fiscal balance is tight. The fiscal strength among districts and counties is also uneven, and some districts and counties are highly dependent on land finance [34][35][37] Debt Situation - Government Debt: The balance of Weihai's government debt has been rising. By the end of 2024, the local government debt limit and balance were 137.584 billion yuan and 121.509 billion yuan respectively. The debt ratio was 204.31%, ranking second in the province. After including the interest - bearing debt of urban investment enterprises, the debt pressure became more prominent, with a debt ratio of 477.17%, ranking third in the province. The debt levels of districts and counties vary greatly, and Wendeng District and Jingkai District have relatively heavy debt burdens [40][41][43] - Urban Investment Bonds: As of the end of 2024, there were 18 urban investment enterprises in Weihai, with a relatively large number in the province. The stock of urban investment bonds was 55.153 billion yuan, ranking seventh in the province. The bonds are mainly private placement bonds and general medium - term notes, and the main term is 5 years. The city will face a debt - repayment peak from 2028 to 2029 [45][49] - Non - standard Financing: Since the implementation of the "package debt - resolution policy", non - standard financing in Weihai has been rapidly reduced, especially in Huancui District. The city has few non - standard asset risks but has experienced commercial bill overdue events, which showed a trend of "first expanding and then converging" since 2024, and some bond - issuing entities have been involved [53][58] Debt - resolution Progress - Debt - resolution Measures: Weihai has followed Shandong Province's guidelines and taken multiple measures, including cultivating financial sources, making full use of bond tools, promoting the coordinated linkage between finance and finance, strengthening financial supervision and debt management, and promoting fiscal system reform [60][61][62] - Urban Investment Bond Situation: Since 2024, the net financing of urban investment bonds in Weihai has turned negative, the issuance period has been significantly extended, the issuance cost has decreased significantly, and the spread in the primary and secondary markets has narrowed significantly. However, the issuance cost and trading spread are still at medium - to - high levels in the province, and the debt pressure in some heavily indebted and weakly qualified areas remains high [63][66] - Urban Investment Enterprises: The growth rate of the stock debt of urban investment enterprises has significantly declined, the scale and proportion of non - standard financing have been reduced, and the financing cost has decreased. However, the debt scale is still increasing, the debt - repayment indicators have weakened, and the operating efficiency and cash - generating ability have not improved substantially [67] - Urban Investment Transformation: The reform and restructuring of state - owned enterprises in Weihai have been continuously promoted. Under the background of debt resolution, the transformation of financing platforms has accelerated, and new financing for industrial investment entities has achieved a breakthrough. Six urban investment enterprises have been declared as market - oriented operating entities, and two district - level industrial investment entities have issued bonds for the first time, but the number of involved entities is small and the new financing scale is limited [69][73]

www.ccxi.com.cn 其他联络人 结构融资一部 评级总监 杨 威 010-66428877-361 wyang@ccxi.com.cn 中诚信国际 个人消费类贷款证券化 个人消费类贷款 ABS 发行及二级交易有所回升， 但四季度以来消费金融公司发行暂缓；发行利率 持续处于低位；不同机构产品累计违约率有所分 化 ——个人消费类贷款证券化 2025 年度运营报告与 2026 年度展望 要点： 特别评论 2026 年 2 月 | 目录 | | | --- | --- | | 要点 | 1 | | 正文 | 2 | | 结论 | 11 | | 附表 | 12 | 联络人 作者 结构融资一部 刘 昊 010-66428877-681 hliu.terry@ccxi.com.cn 马家瑶 010-66428877-596 jyma@ccxi.com.cn 闫晨溦 010-66428877-475 chwyan@ccxi.com.cn 政策方面，2025 年，居民人均可支配收入保持增长，但个人消费意 愿仍偏弱。国家出台了多项政策降低居民融资成本，提升居民消费 意愿与消费能力，并持续规范消费信贷市场发展； 发行方面 ...

Investment Rating - The outlook for the Chinese retail industry is maintained at "negative improvement," indicating that the overall credit quality of the industry is expected to improve slightly over the next 12 to 18 months but has not yet reached a stable level [6]. Core Insights - The macro consumption is expected to recover slowly in 2026 under policy support, but insufficient consumer confidence will limit the recovery's strength. The department store sector continues to see revenue shrinkage, while supermarkets are focusing on supply chain and digital transformation amidst cost pressures [6][8]. - The retail industry is transitioning from extensive expansion to cost reduction and efficiency improvement, with a focus on business transformation. However, the long-term improvement of retail enterprises depends on the fundamental recovery of consumer confidence and the effectiveness of internal reforms [8][27]. - The retail market is entering a phase characterized by value-driven and experiential innovation, with a gradual normalization of consumption growth expected [27]. Summary by Sections Analysis Approach - The report analyzes the main factors affecting consumption to assess the market's prosperity in the retail sector, focusing on department stores and supermarkets. It suggests that the retail industry will seek long-term growth through weak recovery and deep transformation [9]. Industry Fundamentals - Since 2025, the retail industry's prosperity has been gradually recovering, although it remains weak. The contribution of consumption to GDP growth has increased, with retail sales reaching 50.1 trillion yuan in 2025, a year-on-year growth of 3.7% [10][11]. - The retail market is experiencing structural differentiation, with a shift towards value-driven and experiential recovery. However, without a significant improvement in consumer confidence, retail sales growth is expected to remain slow [10][27]. Financial Performance - Retail enterprises are under pressure, with profitability generally declining. However, there is potential for recovery as companies implement transformation measures. The financial health of retail enterprises remains relatively stable due to sufficient cash reserves and declining leverage [8][27]. - The department store sector continues to face challenges, with revenue indices declining to the lowest levels since 2020. Despite some improvement in net profit indices, the overall performance remains weak [29][34]. Conclusion - The retail industry is expected to continue facing significant operational pressures, with companies needing to focus on cost reduction and efficiency improvements. The long-term success of transformation efforts will depend on external environmental improvements and the effectiveness of implemented measures [34][36].

www.ccxi.com.cn www.ccxi.com.cn 行业展望 联络人 作者 企业评级部 | 陈田田 010-66428877 | | --- | | ttchen@ccxi.com.cn | | 刘紫萱 010-66428877 | | zxliu@ccxi.com.cn | 其他联络人 王梦莹 010-66428877 mywang01@ccxi.com.cn 中诚信国际 中国有色金属行业 中国有色金属行业展望，2026 年 2 月 在矿端供应偏紧、需求韧性较强的背景下，预计 2026 年有色金属行 业保持较高景气度，全球财政与货币政策调整、贸易摩擦、地缘政 治等因素将对行业发展形成扰动，基本金属价格中枢存在上行或高 位震荡预期；加工费低迷、行业竞争加剧令冶炼加工环节承压，行 业利润将进一步向资源自给率高、成本控制能力强的企业集中，整 体信用水平保持稳定。 中国有色金属行业展望为维持稳定，中诚信国际认为未来 12~18 个 月行业总体信用质量不会发生重大变化。 核心观点 1 2026 年 2 月 目录 核心观点 1 分析思路 2 行业基本面 2 行业财务表现 14 结论 22 附表 23 中诚信 ...