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一揽子化债以来,城投公司并购,上市公司事件特征观察
Zhong Cheng Xin Guo Ji· 2025-09-17 06:03
Report Industry Investment Rating There is no information about the report industry investment rating in the provided content. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Since the implementation of the "Comprehensive Debt Resolution Package," against the backdrop of clearing hidden debts, exiting financing platforms, and restricted financing, "Urban Investment Company (UIC) transformation" has become a hot topic again. In 2024, the number of UICs' mergers and acquisitions (M&As) of listed companies increased. However, affected by tightened financing channels and increased financial pressure, the single - transaction amount and premium space for UICs' M&As of listed companies' equity have further shrunk since July 2023. Meanwhile, the total assets and profitability of the acquired listed companies have shown a downward trend. The enthusiasm of district - and - county - level UICs for M&As has declined significantly [2]. - From July 1, 2023, to July 31, 2025, there were 28 M&A events of listed companies by UICs. The acquirer UICs were mainly distributed in regions such as Guangdong, Hubei, and Shandong, with provincial and prefecture - level UICs as the main players. District - and - county - level UICs, although with a small proportion, were also mainly located in economically developed regions like Guangdong and Shandong. Most of the acquired listed companies were small - market - capitalization, low - asset, and poorly - performing enterprises. Half of the UICs' M&As of listed companies were indirect and cross - regional, nearly half of the single - transaction amounts were less than 500 million yuan, over 60% were acquisitions at a discount, and nearly 60% of the UICs' shareholding ratios in the acquired listed companies were less than 20% [2]. - UICs' M&As of listed companies present both opportunities and challenges. UICs can achieve resource integration, diversify business layouts, enhance profitability, and preserve and increase the value of state - owned assets through M&As. For the government, M&As can introduce new industries, promote local industrial chains, and attract more enterprises, bringing GDP, tax revenue, and employment benefits. However, M&As also face risks such as high acquisition prices, goodwill impairment, poor performance of listed companies, and integration risks. Therefore, UICs should focus on business synergy, conduct strategic planning and due diligence, improve transaction structure settings, and effectively integrate the acquired listed companies after the M&A [2]. Summary According to the Directory 1. Main Concerns - UICs mainly engage in government - related businesses, with few market - oriented operations, and have problems such as poor asset quality and insufficient self - generating capabilities. Against the backdrop of the "Comprehensive Debt Resolution Package," M&A of listed companies is one of the effective ways for UICs to carry out market - oriented operations [3]. 2. Observation of the Characteristics of UICs' M&As of Listed Companies - **Trend of M&A Events**: In 2019, the number of UICs' M&As of listed companies began to increase, reaching 21 transactions. After that, it decreased but remained relatively stable. In 2024, the number of completed M&As slightly increased to 15. From July 1, 2023, to July 31, 2025, there were 16 ongoing M&A events, but the completion rate of M&A events initiated by UICs in 2025 was low, and the M&A progress slowed down [5]. - **Regional Distribution of Acquirer UICs**: Compared with the historical sample, the number of M&A events by Hubei's UICs increased significantly during the observation period. UICs from economically developed regions such as Guangdong, Shandong, and Zhejiang were still the main players. In terms of the number of M&A events, Hubei and Guangdong ranked first and second, with 6 and 5 events respectively, accounting for 21.43% and 17.86% of all M&A events. In terms of transaction amount, Guangdong, Hubei, and Zhejiang ranked in the top three, with Guangdong's transaction amount reaching 7.363 billion yuan, accounting for 23.00% of the total [6][7]. - **Administrative Hierarchy of Acquirer UICs**: Due to the implementation of the "Comprehensive Debt Resolution Package," the enthusiasm of district - and - county - level UICs for M&As decreased significantly, while the proportion of provincial - level UICs' M&As increased. During the observation period, there were 10 provincial - level M&A events, accounting for 35.71% of the total, with a corresponding transaction amount of 15.921 billion yuan, accounting for about half of the total. There were 13 prefecture - level M&A events, accounting for nearly half of the total, with a transaction amount of 11.739 billion yuan, accounting for 36.66% of the total. There were only 5 district - and - county - level M&A events, accounting for 17.86% of the total, with a transaction amount of 4.358 billion yuan, accounting for 13.61% of the total. Compared with the historical sample, the proportion of provincial - level UICs' M&A events increased by 15.42 percentage points, and that of district - and - county - level UICs decreased by 11.13 percentage points [9]. - **Credit Rating of Acquirer UICs**: Since 2019, the credit ratings of acquirer UICs have been concentrated at AA+ and above. Among the observation - period samples, 26 UICs had public credit ratings, all of which were AA+ and above, and AAA - rated UICs led in terms of transaction volume and transaction amount [10]. - **Characteristics of Acquired Listed Companies**: The acquired listed companies were mainly distributed in economically developed regions such as Jiangsu and Guangdong. They were mostly small - market - capitalization, low - asset, and poorly - performing enterprises. Nearly half of their market capitalizations were below 5 billion yuan, more than half of their asset sizes were below 3 billion yuan, and more than 40% were in a loss - making state. Compared with the historical sample, the total assets and profitability of the acquired listed companies showed a downward trend during the observation period [13]. - **Transaction Characteristics**: Half of the UICs' M&As of listed companies were indirect and cross - regional. Nearly half of the single - transaction amounts were less than 500 million yuan, and over 60% were acquisitions at a discount. Nearly 60% of the UICs' shareholding ratios in the acquired listed companies were less than 20%, and they mainly obtained actual control through methods such as waiver of voting rights, voting rights delegation, and joint concerted action. Compared with the historical sample, since the implementation of the "Comprehensive Debt Resolution Package," UICs' M&As of listed companies' equity have become more inclined to indirect acquisitions, and the single - transaction amount and premium space have further shrunk [19]. 3. Case Studies and Insights - **Case 1: Tangshan Industrial Holding Group Co., Ltd. (formerly Tangshan Financial Holding Industry Development Group Co., Ltd.)'s M&A of Fengfan Co., Ltd.**: After the M&A, Tangshan Industrial Holding Group's business structure was optimized and diversified. Fengfan Co., Ltd.'s business helped Tangshan Industrial Holding Group improve its layout in the new energy sector. The M&A also promoted the growth of Tangshan Industrial Holding Group's operating income, but its profitability needs to be enhanced. However, there were also risks such as potential instability of control rights and high - premium M&A, and the fulfillment of performance commitments needs continuous attention [27][29][32]. - **Case 2: Maoming Port Group Co., Ltd.'s M&A of Maohua Shihua Co., Ltd.**: The M&A had high business synergy in petrochemical storage and port logistics. After the M&A, Maohua Shihua achieved phased improvement, but its non - profitable operation still needs attention. UICs' M&As for the purpose of rescuing listed companies may face the risk of increased financial pressure if the improvement effect is limited [33][34]. 4. Extended Thinking - UICs should focus on business synergy when M&A listed companies, conduct in - depth due diligence to avoid valuation risks, improve transaction structure settings to ensure the stability of control rights, and effectively integrate the acquired listed companies after the M&A to avoid integration and management risks [38][39][40].
国际宏观资讯双周报-20250916
Zhong Cheng Xin Guo Ji· 2025-09-16 11:07
Economic Insights - The U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by only 22,000 in August, with the unemployment rate rising to 4.3%, the highest since 2021, raising concerns about labor market deterioration[11] - Israel's real GDP grew by 2.5% year-on-year in Q2 2025, an acceleration of 0.6 percentage points from the previous quarter[13] - Iran faces an electricity shortfall of approximately 14,000 to 15,000 MW, prompting the government to initiate hundreds of development projects in fisheries, mining, and ports[15] Monetary Policy and Inflation - The European Central Bank indicated that current interest rates should remain unchanged, with inflation in the Eurozone at 2.1% in August, slightly above expectations[9] - Egypt's central bank cut interest rates by 200 basis points, bringing overnight deposit and loan rates to 22% and 23%, respectively, as inflation expectations stabilize[18] - The probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the U.S. Federal Reserve in September is as high as 98% following disappointing employment data[12] Political Developments - French Prime Minister François Béru's government collapsed after a no-confidence vote, marking the fourth prime minister to resign in over a year amid ongoing fiscal challenges[7] - Turkey has closed its ports and airspace to Israeli vessels and aircraft in response to actions in Gaza, escalating regional tensions[26] Sovereign Credit Ratings - Fitch downgraded Poland's sovereign credit outlook from stable to negative, citing increased risks to public finances with projected deficits averaging 6.7% of GDP in 2024 and 2025[48]
国际宏观资讯双周报-20250915
Zhong Cheng Xin Guo Ji· 2025-09-15 09:48
www.ccxi.com.cn 国际宏观资讯双周报 7 月 29 日–8 月 11 日 本周资讯一览 热点评论 2025 年第 15 期 韩美达成关税协议 总统李在明将访美 经济 财政 政治 ttzhang@ccxi.com.cn 国际收支 ESG 主权信用 穆迪将土耳其主权信用等级由 B1 上调至 Ba3 展望由正面调整为稳定 主权与国际评级部 | 杜凌轩 | 010-66428877-279 | | --- | --- | | | lxdu@ccxi.com.cn | | 王家璐 | 010-66428877-451 | | | jlwang@ccxi.com.cn | | 于 嘉 | 010-66428877-242 | | | jyu@ccxi.com.cn | | 张晶鑫 | 010-66428877-243 | | | jxzhang@ccxi.com.cn | | 易 成 | 010-66428877-246 | | | chyi@ccxi.com.cn | | 方菏阳 | 010-66428877-567 | | | hyfang@ccxi.com.cn | | 李泽冕 | 010-66428 ...
地方政府债与城投行业监测周报2025年第33期:专项债会计处理新规强化资金监管,山东力争10月底前完成专项债发行-20250912
Zhong Cheng Xin Guo Ji· 2025-09-12 06:43
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content found 2. Core Views of the Report - The new regulations on the accounting treatment of special-purpose bonds strengthen capital supervision, aiming to improve the full-life cycle management of special-purpose bonds, prevent and resolve local government debt risks, and enhance the efficiency of fiscal fund use [4][5][6] - Sichuan has implemented a new management mechanism for special-purpose bonds, and Shandong aims to complete the issuance of special-purpose bonds by the end of October to promote economic development [4][8][9] 3. Summaries According to Related Catalogs 3.1 News Review - **New Accounting Regulations for Special-Purpose Bonds**: The Ministry of Finance issued the "Interim Provisions on the Accounting Treatment of Related Business of Local Government Special-Purpose Bonds," which standardizes the accounting treatment of special-purpose bond projects for administrative and enterprise project units and requires the submission of relevant information. This is an important measure to improve the full-life cycle management of special-purpose bonds and enhance fiscal governance efficiency [4][5][6] - **Implementation of New Management Mechanisms in Sichuan and Shandong**: Sichuan has established a "2+N" management mechanism for special-purpose bonds, and Shandong plans to complete the issuance of special-purpose bonds by the end of October and use a special bond quota to support key projects [4][8][9] - **Early Redemption and Cancellation of Bond Issuance**: Thirty城投 enterprises redeemed bond principal and interest in advance this week, and one城投 bond cancelled its issuance [4] 3.2 Issuance of Local Government Bonds and Urban Investment Bonds - **Local Government Bonds**: This week, the issuance scale and net financing of local government bonds decreased, with the issuance progress of new special-purpose bonds exceeding 70%. The issuance interest rate and spread both declined [4][13][14] - **Urban Investment Bonds**: The issuance scale and net financing of urban investment bonds decreased this week, while the issuance interest rate increased and the spread widened. The issuance of overseas urban investment bonds totaled 9, with a total scale of 6755 million yuan [4][18][19] 3.3 Trading of Local Government Bonds and Urban Investment Bonds - **Level Adjustment and Credit Events**: There were no level adjustments or credit risk events for urban investment enterprises this week [26] - **Trading Volume and Yield**: The trading volume of local government bonds and urban investment bonds decreased this week. The yield of local government bonds mostly increased, while the yield of urban investment bonds mostly decreased [26] - **Abnormal Trading of Urban Investment Bonds**: There were 11 abnormal trades of 10 bonds from 8 urban investment entities this week, with a decrease in the number of entities and abnormal trades compared to last week [27] 3.4 Important Announcements of Urban Investment Enterprises - Eighty urban investment enterprises announced changes in senior management, legal representatives, directors, supervisors, etc., as well as changes in controlling shareholders, actual controllers, equity/asset transfers, cumulative new borrowings, name changes, and external guarantees [31]
信用利差周报2025年第34期:体育产业发债再获政策支持,基金费率调整对债市有何影响?-20250911
Zhong Cheng Xin Guo Ji· 2025-09-11 11:04
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views - The State Council's new policy on sports industry will increase the supply of sports industry credit bonds and promote innovation in asset - securitized products, but also poses higher requirements for credit risk assessment and prevention [4][11]. - The adjustment of the bond market under the stock - bond rotation shows new characteristics, and the new regulations on fund sales fees have attracted market attention. The new regulations may suppress short - term bond fund investment demand and guide long - term investment [5][15]. - In August, China's import and export growth rates were lower than market expectations, with different performances among trading partners [6][17]. - The central bank's open - market operations led to a net capital withdrawal last week, and the money market was generally stable with most money prices falling [7][20]. - The issuance scale of the primary credit bond market decreased, and the issuance cost fluctuated. The secondary market trading activity cooled, and bond yields showed differentiation [8][36]. 3. Summary by Directory Market Hotspots - **Policy Support for Sports Industry Bond Market**: The State Council's "Opinions" support sports enterprises in financing through the bond market, which may increase the supply of sports industry credit bonds and promote innovation in asset - securitized products. However, it also requires higher credit risk assessment and prevention [4][11]. - **Stock - Bond Rotation and New Fund Sales Regulations**: The A - share market adjusted last week, weakening the "stock - bond seesaw" effect. The bond market adjustment showed new characteristics. The new regulations on fund sales fees may suppress short - term bond fund investment demand and guide long - term investment [5][15]. Macroeconomic Data - In the first eight months of 2025, China's total import and export value was $5412.9 billion, with a year - on - year increase of 3.1%. In August, exports were $3218.1 billion (up 4.4% year - on - year), imports were $2194.8 billion (up 1.3% year - on - year), and the trade surplus was $1023 billion. The growth rates of imports and exports were lower than market expectations. Exports to ASEAN and the EU were stable, while exports to the US continued to decline significantly [17]. Money Market - The central bank net withdrew $421.8 billion through open - market operations last week. On September 5, it conducted a $1 - trillion 3 - month outright reverse repurchase operation. The money market was generally stable, and most money prices fell, with changes ranging from 1 - 10bp [7][20]. Primary Credit Bond Market - The issuance scale of credit bonds decreased to $133.451 billion last week. The issuance scale of each bond type generally decreased, especially for ultra - short - term financing bills and medium - term notes. The net financing of infrastructure investment and financing, power production and supply, and transportation industries had large outflows. The average issuance cost of credit bonds fluctuated, with changes not exceeding 15bp [8][23]. Secondary Credit Bond Market - The trading volume of the secondary bond market was $7247.247 billion last week, and the trading activity cooled for two consecutive weeks. Bond yields showed differentiation. The 10 - year Treasury yield fell 1bp to 1.83%. Short - term credit bond yields mostly declined, while long - term yields rose slightly. Short - term credit spreads narrowed, and long - term credit spreads widened. Rating spreads changed little [36][37].
资产支持票据产品报告(2025年8月):资产支持票据发行节奏有所放缓,个人消费贷款和小微贷款仍然是市场发行的主力资产类型
Zhong Cheng Xin Guo Ji· 2025-09-09 11:33
Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - The issuance rhythm of asset - backed notes has slowed down, and personal consumer loans and micro - loans remain the main asset types in the market issuance [3] Group 3: Summary of Issuance Situation - In August 2025, 56 asset - backed note products were issued, with a total issuance scale of 49.283 billion yuan. Compared with the previous month, the number of issuances increased by 4, and the issuance scale grew by 26.23%. Compared with the same period last year, the number of issuances decreased by 20, and the issuance scale decreased by 26.42%. Only 5 products were publicly issued, and the rest were privately issued [5][6]. - The top five sponsoring institutions in terms of issuance scale were CITIC Trust Co., Ltd. (6.2 billion yuan, 12.58%), Shenzhen Tenpay Network Finance Small Loan Co., Ltd. (5.7 billion yuan, 11.57%), SDIC Taikang Trust Co., Ltd. (4.258 billion yuan, 8.64%), Huaneng Guicheng Trust Co., Ltd. (4.178 billion yuan, 8.48%), and China National Foreign Trade Trust Co., Ltd. (3.7 billion yuan, 7.51%). The total issuance scale of the top ten sponsoring institutions was 35.547 billion yuan, accounting for 72.13% [6]. - The underlying asset types of the issued products mainly included personal consumer finance, micro - loans, subsidies, accounts receivable, and supply chains. Personal consumer finance products accounted for 41.86% of the scale, and micro - loan products accounted for 20.39% [8]. - The highest single - product issuance scale was 2.781 billion yuan, and the lowest was 0.71 billion yuan. Products with a single - issuance scale of (5, 10] billion yuan had the largest number and scale, with 30 products issued, accounting for 53.90% of the scale [10]. - The shortest product term was 0.22 years, and the longest was 20.01 years. Products with a term of (1, 2] years had the largest number and scale, with 20 products issued, accounting for 37.70% of the scale [10]. - According to the issuance scale of notes at each level, AAAsf - rated notes accounted for 90.94%, AA + sf - rated notes accounted for 3.46%, and A + sf - rated notes accounted for 0.04% [12]. - The lowest issuance interest rate of one - year - around AAAsf - rated notes was 1.75%, the highest was 2.80%, and the interest rate center was around 1.79% [5][14]. - In August 2025, 14 ABCP products were issued, with a total issuance scale of 15.978 billion yuan, accounting for 32.42% of the ABN issuance scale, involving five types of underlying assets [17]. Group 4: Summary of Secondary Market Transaction Situation - In August 2025, there were 488 secondary - market transactions of asset - backed notes. The number of transactions decreased by 8.44% month - on - month and increased by 2.74% year - on - year. The transaction amount was 45.375 billion yuan, with a month - on - month increase of 7.08% and a year - on - year decrease of 14.36% [5][18]. - The more active underlying asset types in the secondary - market transactions in August 2025 were REIT - like products, personal consumer finance, micro - loans, subsidies, and accounts receivable, with transaction amount shares of 26.15%, 21.07%, 12.77%, 9.00%, and 8.11% respectively [18]
地方政府债与城投行业监测周报2025年第32期:宁夏、江西加快推进“退平台”,特殊新增专项债累计发行近万亿-20250905
Zhong Cheng Xin Guo Ji· 2025-09-05 07:45
1. Report Title and Period - The report is the 32nd issue of the Weekly Monitoring Report on Local Government Bonds and Urban Investment Industry in 2025, covering the period from August 25th to August 29th, 2025 [1][4] 2. Core Views - The "Opinions on Promoting High - quality Urban Development" proposes to establish a sustainable urban construction and operation investment and financing system, emphasizing the prevention and resolution of local government debt risks and the transformation of urban investment enterprises [6] - Ningxia and Jiangxi are accelerating the withdrawal of financing platforms, with Ningxia achieving a 76% withdrawal rate in 2024 and Jiangxi having 205 platforms exit in the first half of 2025, completing 62.7% of the annual task [6] - The cumulative issuance of special new special - purpose bonds is approaching one trillion yuan, and some funds may be used to clear up arrears to enterprises [5] 3. Summary by Section 3.1. News Review - **Policy Issuance**: The "Opinions on Promoting High - quality Urban Development" proposes to establish a sustainable urban construction and operation investment and financing system, coordinating multiple funding channels and emphasizing the prevention of new local government hidden debts [6] - **Platform Withdrawal**: Ningxia actively promoted the withdrawal of financing platforms in 2024, with a withdrawal rate of 76%, effectively reducing platform debt risks. In the first half of 2025, Jiangxi innovated the replacement bond mechanism, with a debt resolution progress of over 80%, and 205 platforms completed their withdrawal [6] - **Early Redemption**: 28 urban investment enterprises redeemed bond principal and interest in advance this week, involving 29 bonds with a total scale of 59.64 billion yuan [13] - **Cancellation of Issuance**: Two urban investment bonds were cancelled for issuance this week, with a planned total issuance scale of 6.23 billion yuan [14] 3.2. Issuance of Local Government Bonds and Urban Investment Enterprise Bonds - **Local Government Bonds**: The issuance scale decreased by 4.76% to 351.597 billion yuan, the net financing increased by 16.61% to 234.508 billion yuan, the weighted average issuance interest rate decreased by 7.66BP to 2.05%, and the weighted average issuance spread widened by 1.80BP to 22.03BP. The cumulative issuance of special new special - purpose bonds was 967.654 billion yuan [15] - **Urban Investment Bonds**: The issuance amount increased by 6.60% to 112.781 billion yuan, the net financing turned positive, increasing by 386.26 billion yuan to 19.394 billion yuan. The overall issuance interest rate decreased by 1.25BP to 2.32%, and the issuance spread narrowed by 1.11BP to 79.53BP. Five overseas urban investment bonds were issued, with a total scale of 1.936 billion yuan [18][19] 3.3. Trading of Local Government Bonds and Urban Investment Enterprise Bonds - **Funding Situation**: The central bank conducted 2273.1 billion yuan of reverse repurchase and 600 billion yuan of MLF operations, with a net investment of 496.1 billion yuan. Short - term funding rates mostly declined [22] - **Local Government Bonds**: The spot trading volume was 444.324 billion yuan, an increase of 29.06%. Most of the maturity yields increased, with an average increase of 5.60BP [24] - **Urban Investment Bonds**: The trading volume was 285.544 billion yuan, a decrease of 1.38%. Short - term maturity yields decreased, while long - term yields increased. The spreads of 3 - year and 5 - year AA+ urban investment bonds widened, while the 1 - year AA+ spread narrowed [24] - **Abnormal Trading**: Nine urban investment entities had 10 bonds with 13 abnormal trades, with the number of entities, bonds, and abnormal trades all decreasing compared to last week [24] 3.4. Important Announcements of Urban Investment Enterprises - A total of 125 urban investment enterprises announced changes in senior management, legal representatives, directors, supervisors, etc., including 51 announcements of changes in senior management, 10 announcements of changes in controlling shareholders and actual controllers, 4 announcements of equity/asset transfers, 13 announcements of cumulative new borrowings, 1 announcement of name change, 5 announcements of external guarantees, and 1 announcement of business scope change [27]
信用利差周报2025年第33期:央地政策联动推动债市助力城市建设,银行间通用回购机制迎来优化-20250905
Zhong Cheng Xin Guo Ji· 2025-09-05 07:06
Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints - The combined policies of the central and local governments are expected to expand the scope of credit bond issuers and increase the supply of bonds in areas such as urban renewal and urban village renovation. The optimization of the general repurchase mechanism in the inter - bank bond market will improve the market's overall liquidity and the credit bond collateral financing environment, but also bring some risks [4][5]. - Although the allocation value of short - and medium - term credit bonds is emerging, risks such as long project return cycles, uncertain cash flows, and intensified credit stratification need to be vigilant, and the issue of new implicit debts should be prevented [4]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Market Hotspots - **Central - local cooperation for urban construction financing**: The central government's "Opinions on Promoting High - quality Urban Development" and Shanghai's "Implementation Opinions on Accelerating the Renovation of Urban Villages in the City" are expected to expand the scope of credit bond issuers and increase bond supply in urban construction. However, risks such as long project return cycles, uncertain cash flows, and intensified credit stratification need to be noted, and new implicit debts should be prevented [4][11][12]. - **Optimization of the inter - bank general repurchase mechanism**: On September 1, the general repurchase business mechanism in the national inter - bank bond market was optimized. The scope of participating institutions was expanded, and the range of eligible collateral bonds was extended. This is expected to improve market liquidity and the credit bond collateral financing environment, but may also intensify the internal differentiation of credit bonds and has limited short - term boosting effects on low - quality bonds [5][14][15]. Macroeconomic Data - In August, the official manufacturing PMI rose slightly by 0.1 percentage points to 49.40% compared with the previous month but remained in the contraction range. The manufacturing production index increased by 0.3 percentage points to 50.8%, and the new export order index continued to contract for 12 months. The PMI of small and medium - sized enterprises was still below the boom - bust line [6][18]. Money Market - Last week, the central bank net - withdrew 40.39 billion yuan through open - market operations. The central bank injected liquidity through over - renewal of MLF and increased reverse repurchase. The overall money market was stable across the month. The pledged repurchase rates of each term fluctuated, and the 3 - month and 1 - year Shibor changed little [7][20]. Primary Market of Credit Bonds - The issuance scale of credit bonds last week was 256.145 billion yuan, an increase of 21.105 billion yuan from the previous period. The cancellation scale of credit bond issuance was 4.71 billion yuan, a decrease of 10.745 billion yuan from the previous period. The average issuance cost of credit bonds fluctuated between 2 - 20bp [23][25]. Secondary Market of Credit Bonds - The trading volume of cash bonds in the secondary market last week was 831.0473 billion yuan, and the average daily trading volume decreased by 7.6835 billion yuan from the previous period. The yields of treasury bonds and policy - bank bonds generally declined by 1 - 3bp, while the yield of 10 - year treasury bonds increased by 6bp to 1.84%. The yields of credit bonds showed long - and short - term differentiation, and the credit spreads and rating spreads fluctuated within a limited range [34][38][42].
供应链类资产支持证券产品报告(2025 年半年度):产品发行回暖,发行主体扩容,发行利率下行,市场活跃度提升
Zhong Cheng Xin Guo Ji· 2025-09-03 11:53
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report In the first half of 2025, the issuance volume of innovative multi-core enterprise combination mode products and external credit enhancement products increased significantly. Financial institutions such as guarantee companies and commercial banks played the role of a link between fund demanders and providers, expanding the service scope of supply chain asset - backed securities products. The number of core enterprises participating in product issuance increased significantly, and the covered regions and industries also broadened. Meanwhile, against the backdrop of the deep - seated market - oriented operation transformation of local state - owned enterprises, the prominent demand for working capital reduction in the construction industry, and the significant increase in the trading activity of the ABS market, the utility of supply chain asset - backed securities products in asset revitalization became prominent. The market issuance recovered significantly, the product term design tended to be long - term, and the issuance interest rate continued the downward trend [61]. 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1 Issuance Situation - In the first half of 2025, 137 supply chain - related asset - backed securitization products were issued in the exchange market, with a total issuance scale of 69.801 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 35 units and 35.24% in scale. The products accounted for 11.25% of the total issuance scale of enterprise asset - backed securitization products in the exchange market during the same period, a year - on - year increase of 0.22 percentage points [3][4]. - In terms of issuance venues, 104 products were issued on the Shanghai Stock Exchange, with a scale of 57.58 billion yuan, accounting for 82.49%; 33 products were issued on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange, with a scale of 12.221 billion yuan, accounting for 17.51% [6]. - In terms of product issuance scale distribution, 130 products had a single - product issuance scale of 1 billion yuan or less, with a total scale of 59.45 billion yuan, accounting for 85.17% [8]. - In terms of product term distribution, products with an expected term of more than 1 year had a significant increase in issuance volume and scale, with the number of issuance units increasing by 47 and the scale increasing by 132.03% year - on - year [10]. - In terms of initial credit rating distribution, AAAsf - rated securities had a total issuance scale of 54.854 billion yuan, accounting for 78.59%, and AA + sf - rated securities had a scale of 14.63 billion yuan, accounting for 20.96% [11]. - The average issuance interest rate of AAAsf - rated supply chain - related asset - backed securities with a term of about 1 year was 2.20%, and the median was 2.10%, down 49BP and 54BP year - on - year respectively [3][13]. - The average issuance spread based on the 1 - year Treasury bond yield as a benchmark narrowed compared with the same period of the previous year, and the average spread based on the 1 - year corporate bond yield was basically the same as the previous year [18]. 3.2 Core Enterprise Analysis - In the first half of 2025, 122 single - core enterprise products involved 70 core enterprises, with a scale of 63.809 billion yuan, accounting for 91.42%; 15 innovative multi - core enterprise combination products involved 64 core enterprises, with a scale of 5.992 billion yuan, accounting for 8.58%. The number of core enterprises increased significantly year - on - year [24][25]. - In terms of enterprise nature, 122 single - core enterprise products involved 68 state - owned enterprises and 2 private enterprises, with corresponding issuance scales of 55.86 billion yuan and 7.949 billion yuan respectively. The number of state - owned enterprises increased by 21 year - on - year, and the number of private enterprises decreased by 2 [29]. - In terms of regional distribution, single - core enterprise products involved 18 regions, with broader coverage. The top three regions, Beijing, Guangdong, and Shandong, had a total issuance amount of 31.283 billion yuan, accounting for 49.03% [30]. - In terms of industry distribution, single - core enterprise products involved 14 industries, with broader coverage. The infrastructure investment and financing, construction, real estate, and trade industries still led in terms of issuance scale. The issuance scale of the construction industry increased by 30.51% year - on - year, and that of the infrastructure investment and financing industry increased by 104.69% year - on - year [33]. - In terms of public credit ratings, core enterprises of single - core enterprise products were mainly rated AAA and AA +, with a corresponding issuance scale of 61.279 billion yuan, accounting for 96.04% [37]. 3.3 Original Equity Holder Situation - In the first half of 2025, 30 original equity holders or their agents were involved, all of which were factoring companies. The top five original equity holders had a total issuance scale of 47.954 billion yuan, accounting for 68.70% [40]. - 21 factoring companies had no affiliated relationship with the core enterprises of their issued products, with 105 issuance units and a scale of 52.263 billion yuan, accounting for 74.87%; 9 factoring companies had an affiliated relationship, with 32 issuance units and a scale of 17.538 billion yuan, accounting for 25.13% [45]. 3.4 Product Structure Design - In terms of sub - level securities setting, 121 products had a sub - level scale ratio between 0% (excluding) and 2% (including), with a corresponding issuance scale of 65.157 billion yuan, accounting for 93.35% [48]. - In terms of credit enhancement arrangements, 128 products were fully credit - enhanced, with a scale of 64.632 billion yuan; 4 products were single - debtor non - credit - enhanced, with a scale of 1.953 billion yuan; 5 products were multi - debtor non - credit - enhanced or partially credit - enhanced, with a scale of 3.216 billion yuan. The scale of fully credit - enhanced products increased by 42.89% year - on - year [50]. - 113 products had core enterprises or their affiliated companies as credit enhancement subjects, with a scale of 61.281 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 30.19%; 19 products had external guarantee companies and/or banks as credit enhancement subjects, with a scale of 5.951 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 244.39% [53]. 3.5 Filing, Secondary Market Trading, and Maturity Situation - In the first half of 2025, 139 supply chain - related asset - backed special plans were filed with the Asset Management Association of China, with a total scale of 77.576 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 34 units and 37.73% in scale [55]. - In the secondary market, supply chain - related asset - backed securities had 2,528 transactions, with a total scale of 49.509 billion yuan, accounting for 9.93% of the total trading scale of enterprise asset - backed securities in the current year. The number of transactions increased by 1,070, and the scale increased by 75.31% year - on - year [57]. - In the second half of 2025, 242 outstanding supply chain - related asset - backed securities were expected to mature, with a total maturity scale of 57.688 billion yuan, accounting for 18.66% of the total scale of all maturing asset - backed securities during the same period [58].
应收账款类资产支持证券产品报告(2025年半年度):发行节奏有所加快,央企需求持续释放,融资成本明显下行,二级成交活跃度显著提升
Zhong Cheng Xin Guo Ji· 2025-08-29 10:52
Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the content. Core Viewpoints of the Report In the first half of 2025, the number and scale of issued accounts - receivable asset - backed securities increased year - on - year. The actual financiers of these securities were still concentrated in construction central enterprises and their subsidiaries, with a significant head - effect. The average issuance scale of single products decreased compared to the previous year, the product term remained basically the same, the issuance interest rate dropped significantly, the credit rating of securities was mainly AAAsf, the overall credit risk of products remained at a low level, and the trading activity in the secondary market increased significantly [35]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Issuance Situation - In H1 2025, 50 accounts - receivable asset - securitized products were issued in the exchange market, with a total issuance scale of 63.73 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 16 in number and 40.49% in scale. The issuance scale of products with central enterprises and their subsidiaries as actual financiers was 58.566 billion yuan, accounting for 91.90%. Products with actual financiers in the construction industry had a scale of 59.549 billion yuan, accounting for 93.44%. The median interest rate of AAAsf - rated securities with a term of about 1 year was 2.18%, a year - on - year decrease of about 30BP [3][4]. - In terms of issuance venues, 45 products were issued on the Shanghai Stock Exchange, with an amount of 60.633 billion yuan (95.14% in amount), and 5 on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange, with an amount of 3.097 billion yuan (4.86% in amount) [6]. - Regarding the distribution of original equity holders, the top five original equity holders were China Railway Capital Co., Ltd., China Railway Construction Asset Management Co., Ltd., China Railway Trust Co., Ltd., CCCC Commercial Factoring Co., Ltd., and Shenzhen Henghexin Commercial Factoring Co., Ltd., with issuance scale ratios of 35.87%, 20.45%, 14.30%, 4.63%, and 3.25% respectively. The total issuance scale of the top five was 50.026 billion yuan, accounting for 78.50%, and that of the top ten was 57.267 billion yuan, accounting for 89.86% [6]. - For actual financiers, the total issuance scale of the top ten was 62.761 billion yuan, accounting for 98.48%. The scale of central enterprises and their subsidiaries was 58.566 billion yuan, accounting for 91.90%, an increase of 8.21 percentage points year - on - year. The actual financiers were mainly concentrated in the construction industry, with a scale of 59.549 billion yuan, accounting for 93.44% [8]. - In terms of managers, the top five managers with the largest new management scale were CITIC Securities Co., Ltd., Ping An Securities Co., Ltd., Huaxi Securities Co., Ltd., Shanghai Guotai Junan Securities Asset Management Co., Ltd., and CITIC Construction Investment Securities Co., Ltd., with scale ratios of 19.12%, 15.68%, 14.30%, 8.65%, and 7.82% respectively. The total new management scale of the top five was 41.788 billion yuan, accounting for 65.57%, and that of the top ten was 56.349 billion yuan, accounting for 88.42% [12]. - Regarding product scale distribution, the highest single - product issuance scale was 4.032 billion yuan, and the lowest was 1 billion yuan. Products with a single - scale in the (5, 10] billion yuan range had the largest number of issuances (18), accounting for 22.34% of the total scale. The average single - product issuance scale was 1.275 billion yuan, a decrease of 0.06 billion yuan compared to the previous year [15]. - In terms of term distribution, the shortest term was 0.73 years, and the longest was 3 years. Products with a term in the (1, 3] years range had the largest number of issuances (34), accounting for 74.32% of the scale. The weighted average term was 2.03 years, basically the same as the previous year [16]. - For security level distribution, in H1 2025, AAAsf - rated securities accounted for 89.71%, AA + sf - rated securities accounted for 6.76%, and sub - grade securities accounted for 3.54% [17]. - Regarding the issuance interest rate, the median interest rate of AAAsf - rated securities with a term of about 1 year was 2.18%, a year - on - year decrease of about 30BP [19]. 2. Issuance Spread Statistical Analysis - Compared with the same - term Treasury bonds, in H1 2025, the average issuance spread of 1 - year accounts - receivable asset - backed securities narrowed slightly compared to the previous year, while that of 3 - year products widened [25]. - Compared with the same - term AAA - rated corporate bonds, in H1 2025, the average issuance spread of 1 - year AAAsf - rated accounts - receivable asset - backed securities increased slightly compared to the previous year, and that of 3 - year AAAsf - rated products widened [28]. - The average issuance interest rate of 1 - year AAAsf - rated accounts - receivable asset - backed securities issued in H1 2025 decreased by 31BP year - on - year [30]. 3. Filing Situation In H1 2025, 41 accounts - receivable asset - backed special plans were filed with the Asset Management Association of China, with a total scale of 50.756 billion yuan. Compared with the previous year, the number of filings decreased by 8, and the filing scale decreased by 25.00% [3][31]. 4. Secondary Market Trading Situation In H1 2025, accounts - receivable asset - backed securities had 2,241 transactions in the secondary market, a year - on - year increase of 82.20%. The total transaction scale was 65.546 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 38.13%. The transaction scale accounted for 13.15% of the total transaction scale of enterprise asset - backed securities in the same period, a year - on - year decrease of 2.85 percentage points, ranking second in terms of transaction scale [33]. 5. Analysis of Maturity Situation in H2 2025 It is estimated that 165 outstanding accounts - receivable asset - backed securities will mature in H2 2025, with a scale of 104.08 billion yuan, accounting for 33.66% of the total scale of all maturing enterprise asset - backed securities in H2 2025. From the perspective of original equity holders, China Railway Capital Co., Ltd. has 31 maturing accounts - receivable asset - backed securities, with a repayment scale of 35.678 billion yuan (34.28%); China Railway Trust Co., Ltd. has 15 maturing securities, with a repayment scale of 21.822 billion yuan (20.97%); China Railway Construction Commercial Factoring Co., Ltd. has 10 maturing securities, with a repayment scale of 11.662 billion yuan (11.21%) [34].