Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided 2. Core View - The short - term price of bottle chips is expected to be volatile and slightly stronger, with the main contract reference range of 5,650 - 5,800 yuan/ton. The trading strategy is to wait and see or go short - term long on dips [1] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Market Review - On Thursday night, the PR2601 contract rose 50 yuan to 5,722 yuan/ton. The price of East China water - grade bottle chips rose 40 yuan to 5,730 yuan/ton, and the price of South China bottle chips rose 20 yuan to 5,750 yuan/ton. Long - position holdings increased by 1,738 lots to 58,500 lots, and short - position holdings increased by 1,999 lots to 56,700 lots [1] 3.2 Important Information - Supply and cost - profit: Domestic polyester bottle chip production was 341,900 tons, a week - on - week increase of 6,800 tons. The weekly average capacity utilization rate was 74.8%, a week - on - week increase of 1.49%. The production cost was 5,234 yuan/ton, a week - on - week decrease of 33 yuan/ton. The weekly production gross profit was - 119 yuan/ton, a week - on - week increase of 15 yuan/ton [1] - In September 2025, China's polyester bottle chip exports were 467,700 tons, a decrease of 53,000 tons from the previous month. The cumulative export volume in 2025 was 4.8091 million tons [1] - International oil prices fell due to the increase in US commercial crude oil inventories and market concerns about oversupply. NYMEX crude oil futures December contract fell 0.96 dollars/barrel to 59.60 dollars/barrel, a month - on - month decrease of 1.59%. ICE Brent crude oil futures January contract fell 0.92 dollars/barrel to 63.52 dollars/barrel, a month - on - month decrease of 1.43%. China's INE crude oil futures 2512 contract fell 3.1 yuan to 462.1 yuan/ton, and fell 4.4 yuan to 457.7 yuan/ton at night [1] - The Federal Reserve cut the benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to 3.75% - 4.00%, the second consecutive meeting to cut interest rates, in line with market expectations and the fifth rate cut since September 2024 [1] 3.3 Market Logic - This week, the supply of bottle chips changed little, downstream factories mainly replenished stocks rigidly, and the market was cautious about future demand expectations. The export volume of bottle chips in September decreased month - on - month. Affected by the news of the anti - involution meeting in the chemical fiber and polyester industry, the price soared. The market is waiting for the details of the anti - involution policy to be finalized. The fundamentals may limit the upside space [1] 3.4 Trading Strategy - The trading strategy is to wait and see or go short - term long on dips [1]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core View The report analyzes the market conditions of precious metals, including gold and silver. It points out that there are fluctuations in the prices of COMEX gold and silver futures, as well as Shanghai gold and silver. The market is affected by factors such as the Fed's interest - rate decisions, the change of ETF holdings, and the performance of the US economic data. The short - term trend of gold and silver is uncertain, and it is recommended to wait and see. [1] 3. Summary by Related Contents Market Performance - COMEX gold futures fell 0.20% to $3984.8 per ounce, and COMEX silver futures fell 0.37% to $47.85 per ounce. Shanghai gold rose 0.06% to 915.24 yuan per gram, and Shanghai silver rose 0.11% to 11359 yuan per kilogram. [1] Important Information - As of November 6, the holdings of the world's largest gold ETF, SPDR Gold Trust, increased by 1.72 tons to 1040.35 tons, while the holdings of the world's largest silver ETF, iShares Silver Trust, decreased by 36.68 tons to 15114.03 tons. [1] - In October, global gold ETFs had five consecutive months of capital inflows, and the average daily trading volume reached a record high. [1] - According to CME's "FedWatch", the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 70.6%, and the probability of keeping the interest rate unchanged is 29.4%. By January next year, the probability of a cumulative 25 - basis - point rate cut is 54.2%, the probability of keeping the interest rate unchanged is 17.7%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 - basis - point rate cut is 28.2%. [1] Market Logic - On October 29, the Fed cut the federal funds target rate by 25 basis points to 3.75% - 4.00%, in line with market expectations. But Powell's hawkish speech reduced the market's expectation of a December rate cut. [1] - The US government shutdown continued, breaking the historical record. On November 7, the US dollar index fell to 99.70. [1] - The US ADP employment in October increased by 42,000, exceeding the expected increase of 30,000. The US ISM services PMI in October was 52.4, rebounding more than expected. [1] - The US NASDAQ index led the decline in overnight US stocks, the volatility of the financial market increased, and the night - session prices of Shanghai gold and silver both fell slightly. [1] Trading Strategy - After the short - term peaks of gold and silver were confirmed, last week COMEX gold broke below $4000 per ounce and then rebounded back above $4000. On Tuesday this week, it broke below 4000 again. In the short - term, it may fluctuate around 4000, and it is recommended to wait and see. [1]

Report Industry Investment Rating - No specific industry investment rating is provided in the report. Core Viewpoints - The main indices of the two stock markets rose rapidly after the opening on Thursday, with the Shanghai Composite Index returning to above 4,000 points, and the chip sector leading the gains. The trading volume increased as the market rose, indicating strong market sentiment. [1] - China is expected to win the AI competition due to a more favorable regulatory environment and lower energy costs, according to NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang. The US is planning or building data center projects with a total capacity of over 45 gigawatts and an expected investment of over $2.5 trillion, which will drive up demand for energy and related equipment. [1][2][3] - The structural migration of Chinese capital into stocks may have begun, driven by potential asset reallocation of trillions of dollars. Chinese stocks are becoming more attractive to global investors due to the need for asset diversification. [3] - A stable stock market can inject more capital into the real economy and boost consumption through wealth, psychological, and expectation effects, strengthening the internal circulation of the economy. [3] Summary by Directory Market Review - On Thursday, the trading volume of the two markets reached 2.05 trillion yuan. The CSI 300 Index closed at 4,693 points, up 66 points or 1.43%; the SSE 50 Index closed at 3,044 points, up 36 points or 1.22%; the CSI 500 Index closed at 7,345 points, up 116 points or 1.61%; and the CSI 1000 Index closed at 7,551 points, up 86 points or 1.17%. [1] - Among industry and theme ETFs, semiconductor - related ETFs led the gains, while film and television, tourism, and building materials ETFs led the losses. Among sector indices, home appliance parts, industrial metals, and semiconductors led the gains, while forestry, radio and television, and tourism led the losses. [1] Important Information - The Central Financial Office stated that finance should increase support for major strategies, key areas, and weak links to achieve the key strategic tasks of the 15th Five - Year Plan. A science and technology finance system needs to be established to support innovation. [1] - The capital market should enhance its inclusiveness for new industries, new business models, and new technologies to promote the development of new productive forces and build a capital market ecosystem that encourages long - term investment. [1] - NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang believes China will win the AI competition due to a more favorable regulatory environment and lower energy costs. [1][2][3] - The US EIA expects US electricity consumption to reach record highs in 2025 and 2026, driven by AI and data center expansion. Goldman Sachs predicts that by 2030, AI data centers will increase global electricity demand by 175% compared to 2023. [1] - AMD's Instinct MI308 AI chip has obtained an export license to China, strengthening the logic of domestic substitution in data center construction. [1] - XPeng's humanoid robot features a bionic structure and is equipped with a self - developed physical world large - model. [2] - Grid investment is increasing, and power equipment companies have stable orders. Overseas power infrastructure is upgrading, and some companies are accelerating the layout of new power equipment. [2] - 17 silicon material enterprises plan to form a consortium in 2025 to acquire the production capacity of other silicon material enterprises. [2] - A price increase storm of storage chips is sweeping Shenzhen Huaqiangbei due to the shift of global storage giants' production capacity to more profitable products, leading to a sharp decline in the supply of traditional DDR4. [2] - US data centers are purchasing solid oxide fuel cells, small natural gas turbines, and reciprocating engines. [2] - The US Treasury is considering increasing the auction scale of interest - bearing and floating - rate Treasury bonds. [2] - Deutsche Bank is evaluating options to hedge risks, including short - selling AI - related stocks and using synthetic risk transfer derivatives. [2] - New York City elected a "democratic socialist" mayor, which may lead to corporate out - migration due to wealth redistribution policies. [2] Market Logic - The main indices of the two markets rose rapidly on Thursday, with the Shanghai Composite Index returning to above 4,000 points and the chip sector leading the gains. ETFs have seen significant growth in scale this year. [1][2][3] - The US is actively developing data centers, and China is expected to win the AI competition. Goldman Sachs is optimistic about Chinese stocks. [2][3] 后市展望 - The Shanghai Composite Index quickly returned to above 4,000 points, exceeding expectations. The market is in a large - scale oscillation range, with a slow - bull trend. Caution is needed around the previous high of 4,025 points. [3] - China's capital may be migrating to stocks, and Chinese stocks are attracting overseas investors. A stable stock market can boost the economy and consumption. [3] Trading Strategies - For futures direction trading, due to the market being in a large - scale oscillation range with a slow - bull trend, be cautious around the previous high of 4,025 points. Allocate long positions in stock index futures mainly based on the CSI 300 Index. [3] - For stock index option trading, as the stock index is in a large - scale oscillation range, take a wait - and - see attitude towards long - term deep - out - of - the - money call options. [3]

Report Industry Investment Rating - No industry investment rating information is provided in the given content. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The global economy is approaching the top region due to the continuous wrong - policies in the United States. The U.S. economic situation shows some concerning signs such as high - level Shiller P/E, consumer slowdown, and large - scale corporate layoffs. Meanwhile, China has advantages in the AI field with a more favorable regulatory environment and lower energy costs [2]. Summary According to Related Catalogs Global Economic News in Macro and Finance - NVIDIA CEO Huang Renxun believes China will win the AI competition because of a more favorable regulatory environment and lower energy costs [1]. - The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) expects U.S. electricity consumption to reach record highs in 2025 and 2026, driven by factors like AI and data - center expansion. Goldman Sachs predicts that by 2030, AI data centers will increase global electricity demand by 175% compared to 2023 [1]. - XPeng's first humanoid robot features a female form with a "skeleton - muscle - skin" bionic structure and is equipped with XPeng's self - developed physical world large - scale model [1]. - U.S. data centers are purchasing Bloom Energy's solid oxide fuel cells and other small natural - gas - powered devices for power supply needs [1]. - Global bond sales reached a record $5.94 trillion on November 5, 2025, exceeding the 2024 annual high [1]. - The U.S. Treasury is considering increasing the auction size of coupon - bearing and floating - rate Treasury bonds [1]. - Deutsche Bank is evaluating options to hedge risks, including short - selling AI - related stocks and using "synthetic risk transfer" derivatives [1]. - New York City elected its first "democratic socialist" mayor, which may lead to corporate out - flow due to wealth - redistribution policies [1]. Global Economic Logic - The situation of Sino - U.S. economic and trade relations has eased. Goldman Sachs CEO is optimistic about the stock markets in Hong Kong and the Chinese mainland [2]. - The total capacity of U.S. data - center projects under planning or construction exceeds 45 gigawatts, with an expected investment of over $2.5 trillion. There is a shortage of relevant labor in the data - center construction process [2]. - Apollo Global Management warns that there is a huge gap between AI's energy demand and the current global power supply [2]. - The Shiller P/E of the U.S. stock market has reached 40 for the second time in history, similar to the 1999 Internet bubble period [2]. - Goldman Sachs experts point out that consumer slowdown has spread to the middle - income group, especially 25 - 35 - year - old consumers, and large - scale corporate layoffs may be an economic warning signal [2].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - The report gives a "Oscillating Bullish" rating for the steel products in the black building materials sector [1] 2. Core Viewpoints - Steel prices are affected by factors such as production reduction and maintenance of steel mills, policy adjustments, and supply - demand relationships. Although the demand side is weak, the marginal reduction of crude steel supply and the release of negative risks may lead to a short - term rebound in steel prices [1] 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Market Review - On Wednesday, rebar and hot - rolled coils continued to decline. At night, rebar closed down and hot - rolled coils closed up [1] 3.2 Important Information - Some steel mills in Shanxi have proposed production suspension and maintenance plans. One steel mill's blast furnace is planned to be shut down for maintenance this weekend, with a daily output impact of about 0.7 million tons. Three steel mills are tentatively planned for maintenance in December, with a daily output impact of about 1.35 million tons [1] - The Dalian Commodity Exchange publicly solicited opinions on adjusting the coking coal delivery quality standard [1] - The Tariff Commission of the State Council announced that starting from 13:01 on November 10, 2025, it will adjust the tariff - imposing measures on imported goods originating from the United States, continuing to suspend the implementation of the 24% tariff rate on the United States for one year and retaining the 10% tariff rate [1] - According to data from the China Iron and Steel Association, in late October 2025, key steel enterprises produced 19.99 billion tons of crude steel, with an average daily output of 1.817 billion tons, a 9.8% decrease from the previous ten - day period. The steel inventory was 14.63 billion tons, a decrease of 1.95 billion tons or 11.8% from the previous ten - day period [1] 3.3 Market Logic - On Wednesday, the price of 61.5% Australian PB iron ore powder was 775 yuan/ton (- 10). The price of first - class metallurgical coke at Rizhao Port was 1680 yuan/ton, unchanged; the price of second - class metallurgical coke was 1580 yuan/ton, unchanged. The price of Shanghai rebar was 3190 yuan/ton (- 20) [1] - Blast furnaces in Tangshan are reducing production and undergoing maintenance, some enterprises are reducing production, and electric - arc furnace steel is in full - scale loss. The marginal supply of crude steel is shrinking, while the demand side remains weak. Rebar has declined again, approaching the 3000 - point mark, and negative risks have been released. The resistance level of the rebar main contract is 3230, and the support level is 3000 [1] 3.4 Trading Strategy - The 3000 - point level of rebar still has strong resilience and may rebound in the short term. It is recommended to try to lay out long positions around 3000, and stop loss if it effectively breaks below 3000 [1]

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Viewpoints of the Report - The recent correction in the market has basically ended, and the market is expected to fluctuate upwards and return above 4000 points. It is recommended to mainly allocate long positions in stock index futures based on the CSI 300 Index. For stock index options, in a range - bound market, investors should observe more and trade less on far - month deep out - of - the - money call options [3] Summary by Relevant Catalogs Morning Session Notice - **Market Performance**: On Wednesday, affected by external markets, the major domestic stock market indices opened significantly lower and then fluctuated upwards to close higher. The trading volume of the two markets was 1.87 trillion yuan, slightly decreasing. The CSI 300 Index closed at 4627 points, up 8 points or 0.19%; the SSE 50 Index closed at 3007 points, down 5 points or - 0.17%; the CSI 500 Index closed at 7229 points, up 18 points or 0.26%; the CSI 1000 Index closed at 7464 points, up 29 points or 0.39%. The CSI 1000, CSI 500, CSI 300, and SSE 50 index futures saw net inflows of 16, 15, 6, and 4 billion yuan respectively [1] - **Industry and Theme ETFs**: The top - performing ETFs included Photovoltaic ETF Leader, Power Grid Equipment ETF, etc., while the under - performing ones included China - South Korea Semiconductor ETF, Software 50ETF, etc. Among the sector indices, forestry, power grid equipment, etc. led the gains, and digital media, passenger cars, etc. led the losses [1] Important Information - **Regulatory Policy**: The CSRC will improve the quality and efficiency of overseas listing filings, expand the scope of Shanghai - Shenzhen - Hong Kong Stock Connect targets, and support the inclusion of RMB stock trading counters and REITs in the Hong Kong Stock Connect. It will also support Hong Kong in launching treasury bond futures [1] - **Central Bank Liquidity**: The central bank's net investment in open - market treasury bond trading was 20 billion yuan in October 2025, indicating the resumption of treasury bond trading operations [1] - **Market Outlook**: Goldman Sachs CEO gave an optimistic outlook on the Hong Kong and mainland Chinese stock markets, believing that many Chinese stocks are "very attractive" [1][3] - **Service Industry PMI**: China's RatingDog service industry PMI in October slightly decreased to 52.6 from 52.9 in September, with service demand remaining in expansion [1] - **US Market**: The US government shutdown led to a sharp increase in the US Treasury's general account balance, equivalent to withdrawing over 700 billion US dollars from the market. If the financing situation deteriorates further, the market may repeat the 2019 repo crisis. Once fiscal liquidity returns, it may trigger a new round of "melt - up" in risk assets. The Shiller P/E of the US stock market has reached 40, and future returns of large - cap growth stocks may be negative. Consumption in the US has slowed down, and the recruitment index has reached a new low [1][2] - **Technology Companies**: Microsoft plans to invest over 60 billion US dollars in data centers, and AMD CEO expects the data center AI business to reach a scale of "hundreds of billions of dollars" by 2027 [2] Market Logic - The domestic stock market was affected by external markets, opening lower and then rising. The scale of ETFs has increased by 2 trillion yuan this year. The US is planning or building data centers with a total capacity of over 45 gigawatts and an expected investment of over 2.5 trillion US dollars. The recovery of the stock market has boosted investors' confidence and residents' property income [2][3] 后市展望 - The market is expected to fluctuate upwards after the end of the correction, with photovoltaic and battery sectors leading the gains. Betting on AI is still considered correct, and the data center and energy industries have large investment demands. The stable stock market can drive consumption and enhance the economic cycle [3] Trading Strategy - For stock index futures, long positions should be mainly allocated based on the CSI 300 Index. For stock index options, in a range - bound market, far - month deep out - of - the - money call options should be observed more and traded less [3]

Report Summary 1. Core View - The new coking coal delivery standard released by the Dalian Commodity Exchange on November 4, 2025, raises the quality requirements for delivery products and reduces the premium for low - sulfur alternative delivery products. The increase in Mongolian coal delivery cost is greater than that of Shanxi medium - sulfur main coking coal [1]. 2. Key Changes in Delivery Standards - **Indicator Adjustment**: Adjust the expression of the moisture (Mt) indicator to total moisture (Mt), round ash and volatile matter to two decimal places, and strength to one decimal place [1]. - **Sulfur Content**: Lower the premium reward for sulfur content from 2.5 yuan/ton for every 0.01% reduction to 1.5 yuan/ton, while keeping the deduction standard unchanged [1]. - **Post - reaction Strength**: Increase the post - reaction strength delivery standard from 60% to 65%, and deduct 50 yuan/ton for products with a post - reaction strength of 60% or more but less than 65% [1]. 3. Changes in Premium and Discount for Main Delivery Products - **Shanxi Medium - sulfur Main Coking Coal**: Reduce the premium from 110 yuan/ton to 30 yuan/ton, a decrease of 80 yuan/ton [1]. - **Mongolian No. 5 Clean Coal in Wubulang Jinquan Industrial Park**: Change from a premium of 70 yuan/ton to a discount of 40 yuan/ton, a decrease of 110 yuan/ton [1].

Report Industry Investment Rating - The short - term outlook for treasury bond futures is likely to be volatile with a slight bullish bias [1][2] Core View of the Report - The fundamentals reflected by PMI are favorable for the bond market, and the 1.85% yield of 10 - year treasury bond cash bonds may be the upper limit for some time. Treasury bond futures are expected to be volatile with a slight bullish bias in the short term, and trading - type investors are advised to conduct band operations [2] Summary by Related Contents Market Performance - On Tuesday, most of the main contracts of treasury bond futures opened slightly lower, with minor declines in the morning session and recoveries in the afternoon, showing narrow - range horizontal fluctuations throughout the day. The 30 - year treasury bond futures main contract TL2512 rose 0.03%, the 10 - year T2512 remained flat, and the 5 - year TF2512 and 2 - year TS2512 both fell 0.01% [1] - On Tuesday, the Wande All - A Index opened slightly lower, fluctuated downward continuously, and slightly rebounded at the end of the session, closing with a negative line. The trading volume was 1.94 trillion yuan, a slight decline from the previous trading day's 2.13 trillion yuan [2] Important Information - On Tuesday, the central bank conducted 117.5 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations, with 475.3 billion yuan of reverse repurchases maturing on the same day, resulting in a net withdrawal of 357.8 billion yuan [1] - On Tuesday, the short - term interest rates in the inter - bank money market remained low. The weighted average of DR001 was 1.31% throughout the day, the same as the previous trading day; the weighted average of DR007 was 1.43%, up from 1.42% in the previous trading day [1] - On Tuesday, the closing yields of inter - bank treasury bond cash bonds fluctuated narrowly compared with the previous trading day. The yields of 2 - year, 5 - year, 10 - year, and 30 - year treasury bonds rose by 0.90, 0.27, 0.40, and 0.45 basis points to 1.42%, 1.58%, 1.80%, and 2.14% respectively [1] - PBoC Deputy Governor Lu Lei stated on November 4 that the central bank will adjust the intensity and rhythm of policy support according to the economic and financial situation at home and abroad, implement various monetary policy tools, and release policy effects. This year, the central bank has implemented a moderately loose monetary policy [1] - The central bank's 10 - month liquidity injection data shows that the net injection of treasury bond trading in the open market was 20 billion yuan, indicating the resumption of treasury bond trading operations. The central bank also announced a 700 - billion - yuan 3 - month term repurchase operation on November 5 [1] Market Logic - The PMI in October was 49.0%, remaining below the boom - bust line for the seventh consecutive month, with a larger decline than seasonal factors due to the double - holiday and external factors. The non - manufacturing business activity index was 50.1%, the construction business activity index was 49.1%, and the service business activity index was 50.2%, showing a mild expansion. The fundamentals reflected by PMI are favorable for the bond market [2] - On October 27, the central bank governor stated that the bond market is operating well, and the resumption of open - market treasury bond trading operations directly boosted the bond market last week. The 1.85% yield of 10 - year treasury bond cash bonds may be the upper limit for some time [2] - With the overnight decline in US stocks and the narrow - range horizontal fluctuation of treasury bond futures on Tuesday, treasury bond futures may be volatile with a slight bullish bias in the short term [2] Trading Strategy - Trading - type investors should conduct band operations [2]

Report Industry Investment Rating - The investment rating for the coking coal and coke in the black sector is "oscillating with a bearish bias" [1] Report's Core View - The third round of price increase for coke has been recognized by the mainstream market due to the continuous rise in coking coal spot prices. However, as the downstream demand of steel mills enters the off - season and the molten iron output is expected to decline, the supply shortage in the coking coal spot market is expected to ease. The near - month contracts of coking coal and coke are seeing long - position reductions and price drops, while the far - month contracts are seeing short - position increases and price drops. In the short term, coking coal and coke are expected to oscillate weakly [1] Summary by Related Contents Market Quotes - Yesterday, the main coking coal contract Jm2601 closed at 1253.0, down 2.45% compared to the opening of the day session; the main coke contract J2601 closed at 1729.0, down 2.40% compared to the opening of the day session. In the night session yesterday, Jm2601 closed at 1259.0, up 0.48% compared to the day - session close; the J2601 contract closed at 1734.0, up 0.29% compared to the day - session close [1] Important News - The central bank announced that on November 5th, it conducted 700 billion yuan of outright reverse repurchase operations with a term of 3 months (91 days) to maintain sufficient liquidity in the banking system [1] - On November 4th, some steel mills in Hebei and Tianjin regions raised the coke procurement price for the third time, with an increase of 50 - 55 yuan/ton, effective at 0:00 on November 5th, 2025 [1] - The Dalian Commodity Exchange plans to adjust the delivery quality standards for coking coal and implement the new rules for newly listed contracts after the rule release. This adjustment includes modifying the scope and premium/discount of standard and substitute products for strength indicators, as well as the premium/discount for the substitute product scope of sulfur content indicators [1] Market Logic - The continuous rise in coking coal spot prices has led to cost - driven recognition of the third round of coke price increases in the mainstream market. Today's coking coal auction prices remain relatively strong. But with the downstream demand of steel mills entering the off - season and the expected decline in molten iron output, the supply shortage in the coking coal spot market is expected to ease. The near - month contracts of coking coal and coke are seeing long - position reductions and price drops, while the far - month contracts are seeing short - position increases and price drops [1] Trading Strategy - As coking coal prices start to decline significantly, coking coal and coke are considered bearish in the short term. Attention should be paid to the available inventory days of downstream coking and steel enterprises. After the end of environmental protection production restrictions, there may be a phased replenishment demand. Short positions this week can take profits at low prices to avoid the impact of supply - demand mismatches on the market caused by the concentrated resumption of production of steel mills next week [1]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No specific industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - The major indices of the two markets fell into adjustment again on Tuesday, with a large adjustment range for growth - type indices. The Shanghai Composite Index made a second bottom - probing at 3938 points, and the adjustment is basically over. The market is expected to fluctuate upwards and return above 4000 points. It is recommended to mainly allocate long positions of stock index futures based on the CSI 300 Index [1][3]. - ETF scale has skyrocketed by 2 trillion yuan this year, with various types of ETFs booming. The US data center projects have a total capacity of over 45 gigawatts and are expected to have a total investment of over 2.5 trillion US dollars, with major cloud providers as the main participants [2][3]. - The global energy industry needs an annual investment of up to 4 trillion US dollars due to the development of data centers and AI. China's capital may start a structural shift to stocks, and Chinese stocks are expected to have a more sustained upward trend [2][3]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Market Review - On Tuesday, the major indices of the two markets adjusted again, with large - scale adjustments in growth - type indices. The trading volume decreased during the adjustment, with a turnover of 1.91 trillion yuan. The CSI 300 Index closed at 4618 points, down 34 points (- 0.75%); the SSE 50 Index closed at 3012 points, down 3 points (- 0.11%); the CSI 500 Index closed at 7210 points, down 122 points (- 1.67%); the CSI 1000 Index closed at 7435 points, down 102 points (- 1.36%) [1]. - Among industry and theme ETFs, bank ETFs, semiconductor equipment ETFs, etc. led the gains, while South - Korea semiconductor ETFs, gold stock ETFs, etc. led the losses. Among sector indices, forestry, national banks, etc. led the gains, while precious metals, energy metals, etc. led the losses [1]. - The settlement funds of stock index futures for the CSI 500, CSI 1000, CSI 300, and SSE 50 indices had net outflows of 25, 18, 14, and 5 billion yuan respectively [1]. Important Information - On November 3, the scale of bond ETFs officially exceeded 70 billion yuan, with over 70% of the current scale being incremental in 2025, and over 60% of the 53 products being newly established this year [1]. - Citi's report on the Chinese consumer industry shows that the new gold tax rule may increase the gold procurement cost by up to 7% in the most extreme case, and the industry may raise prices, which may benefit leading enterprises [1]. - Microsoft's CEO said the AI industry lacks sufficient power rather than having excess computing power. Amazon Web Services (AWS) signed a 38 - billion - dollar (about 270 billion yuan) computing power contract with OpenAI for 7 years. Microsoft signed a 9.7 - billion - dollar AI cloud agreement with IREN [1]. - Google's parent company Alphabet plans to raise about 22 billion dollars in bonds. Meta is involved in a 27 - billion - dollar data - center joint - venture project [2]. - The CEO of Abu Dhabi National Oil Company said the global energy industry needs an annual investment of up to 4 trillion US dollars due to data centers and AI [2]. - The US ISM manufacturing PMI in October was 48.7, lower than expected. The eurozone manufacturing PMI in October was flat at 50.0, showing a stagnant recovery. US corporate lay - offs reached nearly 950,000 by September, the highest since 2020 [2]. - A dovish Fed official called for more aggressive interest - rate cuts. A well - known Wall Street bull warned of excessive optimism in US stocks [2]. - The US President expressed a positive attitude towards US - China relations [2]. Market Logic - The major indices of the two markets adjusted again on Tuesday, with large - scale adjustments in growth - type indices. The Shanghai Composite Index made a second bottom - probing. ETF scale has skyrocketed this year, and the US is planning or building large - scale data - center projects [1][2]. - With the stock - market recovery, investor confidence has increased, driving up residents' property income. Goldman Sachs expects a more sustained upward trend in Chinese stocks [2][3]. Future Outlook - The major indices of the two markets adjusted again on Tuesday, with large - scale adjustments in growth - type indices. The Shanghai Composite Index made a second bottom - probing, and the adjustment is expected to end. Betting on AI is still correct, and the current AI boom is different from historical bubbles [1][3]. - The US data - center projects have a large scale, and the global energy industry needs huge investment. China's capital may shift to stocks, and Chinese stocks are expected to rise [2][3]. Trading Strategies - For stock index futures directional trading, it is recommended to mainly allocate long positions based on the CSI 300 Index as the market is expected to rise [3]. - For stock index option trading, it is advisable to buy out - of - the - money long - term call options on the CSI 300 Index [3].