1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - International oil prices are oscillating. The meeting between Russian President Putin and US President Trump in August 2025 may discuss a long - term peace plan to end the Ukraine war. OPEC+ decided to increase crude oil production by 547,000 barrels per day in September, ending the first - stage复产 work one year ahead of schedule. Geopolitical factors and supply - side changes may lead to a long - term downward trend in crude oil prices. For fuel oil, due to weak power demand in the Middle East and increased production, and with OPEC's continued production increase weakening crude oil sentiment, fuel oil is expected to remain weak. The recommended operation strategy for both crude oil and fuel oil is to wait and see [3]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Market News - Russian President Putin and US President Trump will meet in Alaska on August 15, 2025, to discuss a long - term peace plan to end the Ukraine war. Trump plans to promote a "Putin - Zelensky - Trump" tripartite meeting, but Ukraine opposes excluding European countries. Russia's core demands include Ukraine's recognition of the sovereignty of Russian - occupied areas and abandonment of joining NATO. The US tries to fulfill the "100 - day cease - fire" commitment through a cease - fire agreement [3]. - OPEC+ 8 - country meeting decided to increase crude oil production by 547,000 barrels per day in September, ending the first - stage复产 work one year ahead of schedule. The next meeting will be held on September 7 to discuss future production policy changes [3]. 3.2 Futures Market Data 3.2.1 Futures Closing Prices - **Domestic Market**: SC crude oil closed at 495.2 yuan/barrel, up 5.8 yuan (+1.19%); FU high - sulfur fuel oil at 2770 yuan/ton, up 10 yuan (+0.36%); LU low - sulfur fuel oil at 3502 yuan/ton, up 39 yuan (+1.13%) [3]. - **Foreign Market**: WTI crude oil at 64 dollars/barrel, unchanged; Brent crude oil at 66.71 dollars/barrel, unchanged; Nymex gasoline at 2.0775 dollars/gallon, unchanged; ICE diesel at 669 dollars/ton, unchanged; Nymex natural gas at 2.984 dollars/mmBtu, unchanged [3]. 3.2.2 Spread Data - **Crude Oil Spreads**: SC - WTI spread increased by 0.80 yuan/barrel (+17.62%); SC - Brent spread increased by 0.80 yuan/barrel (+43.73%); Brent - WTI spread remained unchanged at 2.71 dollars/barrel [3]. - **Fuel Oil Spreads**: FU - SC spread decreased by 4 yuan/ton (+6.58%); LU - SC spread increased by 1 yuan/ton (+0.46%); LU - FU spread increased by 29 yuan/ton (+4.13%) [3][4]. 3.3 Spot Price Data - **Crude Oil**: Oman crude oil decreased by 0.62 dollars/barrel (-0.89%) to 68.76 dollars/barrel; Russian ESPO decreased by 0.46 dollars/barrel (-0.73%) to 62.47 dollars/barrel; Brent Dtd increased by 0.18 dollars/barrel (+0.26%) to 68.15 dollars/barrel [4]. - **Fuel Oil**: Singapore high - sulfur fuel oil decreased by 9 dollars/ton (-2.23%) to 394 dollars/ton; Singapore low - sulfur fuel oil decreased by 3 dollars/ton (-0.61%) to 486.5 dollars/ton [4]. 3.4 Fundamental Data - **US EIA Data**: US commercial crude oil inventory decreased by 3029 thousand barrels (-0.71%) to 423,662 thousand barrels; gasoline inventory decreased by 1323 thousand barrels (-0.58%) to 227,082 thousand barrels; distillate oil inventory decreased by 565 thousand barrels (-0.50%) to 112,971 thousand barrels; US production decreased by 30 thousand barrels/day (-0.23%) to 13,284 thousand barrels/day; refined oil inventory decreased by 141 thousand barrels (-0.32%) to 44,681 thousand barrels [4]. - **Singapore ESG Data**: Singapore fuel oil inventory increased by 314 thousand barrels (+1.34%) to 23,699 thousand barrels [4]. - **Exchange Warehouse Receipts**: SC crude oil warehouse receipts remained unchanged at 4,767,000; FU fuel oil warehouse receipts remained unchanged at 92,710; LU fuel oil warehouse receipts remained unchanged at 21,050 [4]. 3.5 Macro and Shipping Data - **Macro Data**: The US dollar index was at 98.267, up 0.2343 (+0.24%); the US 10 - year Treasury yield remained unchanged at 4.27%; the RMB/US dollar exchange rate remained unchanged at 7.2545 [4]. - **Shipping Data**: The Baltic BDI index was at 2038, down 13 (-0.63%); the crude oil freight rate BDTI index was at 1013, up 2 (+0.20%); the refined oil freight rate BCTI index was at 656, down 15 (-2.24%) [4].

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided Group 2: Report's Core View - The urea market is considered to be in an overall oscillating state, with macro and cost factors being positive, while weak domestic demand is negative [1] Group 3: Summary by Relevant Catalogs Cost - The price of coking coal on August 12, 2025, was 470.00, unchanged from the previous day; the price of anthracite small pieces was 890.00, also unchanged; the price of natural gas decreased by 50.00 to 4050.00 [1] Price - Mainstream urea enterprise prices in key regions continued to decline, with low - end factory prices of 1660 - 1670 yuan/ton seeing increased transactions. The short - term market is expected to stabilize and the low - end prices may rise slightly. The market needs more positive factors such as export news or macro - sentiment boost [1] Inventory - Factory inventory, port inventory, and downstream sample inventory remained unchanged at 88.76, 48.30, and 1700.00 respectively on August 12, 2025 [1] Supply - Urea daily production was 192,100.00, and the overall start - up rate was 82.98%, with coal - based at 83.66% and gas - based at 76.52%, all remaining unchanged [1] Demand - The start - up rates of compound fertilizer, melamine, and formaldehyde remained unchanged at 41.50, 61.10, and 41.53 respectively [1] Profit - The profit of fixed - bed was - 167.00, water - coal slurry was 282.00, and natural gas was - 185.00, all unchanged. The price of liquid ammonia decreased by 20.00 to 2180.00 [1] Associated Products - The price of compound fertilizer was 2500.00, unchanged; melamine increased by 30.00 to 5180.00; and something (the text seems incomplete here) increased by 20.00 to 2250.00 [1] Futures - The settlement price increased by 8.00 to 1726.00, the basis decreased by 15.00 to 3.00, the increase rate was 1.67%. The trading volume decreased by 10,414.00 to 91,194.00, the open interest decreased by 17,264.00 to 91,810.00, and the warehouse receipt volume increased by 200.00 to 3823.00 [1]

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - There is no information about the report industry investment rating in the provided content. Group 2: Report's Core View - The domestic liquid caustic soda market had fair transactions today, with prices in most regions remaining stable. The price of 50% liquid caustic soda in Shandong rose steadily, while the price of 48% liquid caustic soda in Jiangsu decreased. Chlor - alkali enterprises in Shandong had good shipments and low inventory pressure. Due to some enterprises having low loads or undergoing maintenance, the price of 32% liquid caustic soda remained stable, and the price of 50% liquid caustic soda rose steadily. Demand in Jiangsu was average, and the price of high - concentration caustic soda decreased slightly. The mainstream transaction price of 32% ion - membrane caustic soda in Shandong was 820 - 865 yuan/ton, and the local large - scale alumina factory's purchase price was 750 yuan/ton. The mainstream transaction price of 50% ion - membrane caustic soda in Shandong was 1270 - 1350 yuan/ton, remaining stable compared to the previous working day. The PVC price in Shandong increased by 30 yuan, and the futures主力 contract's closing price increased by 10. With intense long - short game, it is recommended to continue to stay on the sidelines. [1] Group 3: Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Product Price Changes - **Raw Salt**: Prices in Shandong, Jiangsu, and the Northwest remained unchanged at 200, 250, and 200 respectively [1]. - **Calcium Carbide**: The price in Inner Mongolia decreased by 15 to 2325, while the price in Shandong remained at 2780 [1]. - **Liquid Chlorine**: Prices in Shandong, Jiangsu, and the Northwest changed to - 100, - 50, and - 600 respectively, with increases of 100, 30, and 0 [1]. - **32% Liquid Caustic Soda**: Prices in Shandong, Jiangsu, and other regions remained stable at 800, 890, etc. [1]. - **50% Liquid Caustic Soda**: Prices in Shandong, Jiangsu, and other regions remained stable at 1300, 1400, etc. [1]. - **Caustic Soda Flakes**: Prices in Shandong, Inner Mongolia, the Southwest, etc. remained unchanged [1]. - **PVC**: The price in Shandong increased by 30 to 4830, and the price in Inner Mongolia remained at 4580 [1]. - **Futures and Related Indicators**: The futures主力 contract's closing price increased by 10 to 2502, and the basis in Shandong and Jiangsu decreased by 10 [1]. 2. Price Spreads - **50% Caustic Soda - 32% Caustic Soda Spread**: Remained at 100 in Shandong [1]. - **Caustic Soda Flakes - 50% Caustic Soda Spread**: Remained at 625 in Shandong [1]. - **Regional Spreads of 50% Caustic Soda and Caustic Soda Flakes**: Remained unchanged in various regions [1]. 3. Profits and Electricity Prices - **Chlor - Alkali Profits**: In Shandong, it increased by 100 to - 165, and in the Northwest, it increased by 20 to 818 [1]. - **Electricity Prices**: Remained unchanged in Shandong and Inner Mongolia at 0.75 and 0.5 respectively [1].

Report Summary 1) Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report 2) Core View of the Report - Due to the high uncertainty of macro - policies, it is recommended to remain on the sidelines [1] 3) Summary by Relevant Catalogs Price and Index Changes - Coal (Q5500) price increased from 685 to 690, with a change of 5 [1] - Lanthanum charcoal (Shaanxi medium material) price remained unchanged at 620 [1] - Inner Mongolia calcium carbide price remained unchanged at 2450, and Shandong calcium carbide price remained unchanged at 2780 [1] - Futures (main continuous) price increased from 5010 to 5047, with a change of 37 [1] - Spot prices of different PVC types (such as East China SG - 5, South China SG - 5, etc.) showed varying degrees of increase [1] - Basis in East China decreased from - 120 to - 137, with a change of - 17; in Central - South, it increased from - 110 to - 107, with a change of 3; in North China, it decreased from - 140 to - 147, with a change of - 7 [1] - Shandong calcium carbide - based profit increased from - 840 to - 810, with a change of 30; Inner Mongolia calcium carbide - based profit increased from - 548 to - 528, with a change of 20 [1] - CFR China remained unchanged at 701, CFR Southeast Asia remained unchanged at 679, and FAS Houston decreased from 632 to 627, with a change of - 5 [1] Market Conditions - PVC paste enterprises' quotes were mainly stable, with sporadic grades showing narrow - range flexibility. Traders focused on shipments, the overall market trading atmosphere was average, downstream procurement enthusiasm was insufficient, and most purchases were made as needed, with some waiting - and - seeing sentiment [1] Production and Inventory - Total PVC production start - up rate increased from 76.84% to 79.46%, with a change of 2.62%; calcium carbide - based start - up rate increased from 76.03% to 78.65%, with a change of 2.62%; ethylene - based start - up rate increased from 78.99% to 81.49%, with a change of 2.5% [1] - East China inventory increased from 39.48 to 42.37, with a change of 2.89; Central - South inventory increased from 5.32 to 5.71, with a change of 0.39; social inventory increased from 44.8 to 48.08, with a change of 3.28 [1]

Group 1: Report Summary - This is a log data daily report from the Research Institute of Guomao Futures, dated August 13, 2025 [2][3] Group 2: Price Information Spot Prices - In Shandong, for radiata pine, 3.9m medium A is 750 yuan/m³, 5.9m medium A is 790 yuan/m³, 3.9m small A is 720 yuan/m³, 5.9m small A is 730 yuan/m³; in Jiangsu, 4m medium A is 770 yuan/m³, 6m medium A is 800 yuan/m³, 4m small A is 720 yuan/m³, 6m small A is 750 yuan/m³ [4] Outer - Disk Quotes - The price range of 4m medium A radiata pine in July is 113 - 117 dollars/JAS m³, up 6 dollars from June's 110 - 111 dollars/JAS m³ [4] Futures Prices - LG2511 contract is 845.5 yuan/m³, down 1 yuan from the previous period; LG2509 contract is 824.5 yuan/m³, down 8 yuan from the previous period [4] Downstream Timber Prices - In Shandong and Jiangsu, the price of 4000*50*100 wood squares is 1270 yuan and 1260 yuan respectively, unchanged from the previous period [4] Group 3: Supply and Demand Information Supply - In June 2025, New Zealand's log import volume was 1710000 m³, North American timber was 101000 m³, and European timber was 131000 m³; in July, New Zealand's was 1673000 m³, North American timber was 95000 m³, and European timber was 190000 m³. The shipping volume from New Zealand to China from July 14 - 20 and July 21 - 27 was 320000 JAS m³ [4] Inventory - On August 1, the total inventory was 3170000 m³, with Shandong inventory at 1930000 m³ and Jiangsu inventory at 960000 m³ [4] Demand - On August 1, the daily average outbound volume was 64200 m³, with Shandong's at 35700 m³ and Jiangsu's at 23200 m³ [4] Group 4: Core View - The log spot market was basically stable this week, port inventory and outbound volume were stable, and spot prices rose due to the increase in the price of futures - spot merchants. The current market price of 5.9m medium A is 790 - 800 yuan/m³, and the delivery cost is about 820 - 830 yuan/m². It is expected that the log 09 contract will operate in the range of 820 - 840 yuan/m³ [4]

Report Summary 1. Market Performance Review - The Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.34% to close at 3647.55 points, the Shenzhen Component Index rose 1.46%, the ChiNext Index rose 1.96%, the Beijing Stock Exchange 50 rose 1.18%, the Science and Technology Innovation 50 rose 0.59%, the Wind All A rose 0.99%, the Wind A500 rose 0.63%, and the CSI A500 rose 0.71% [10]. - A - share trading volume reached 1.85 trillion yuan throughout the day, compared with 1.74 trillion yuan the previous day [10]. 2. Index Performance Details | Index | Closing Price | Change (%) | Turnover (billion yuan) | Trading Volume (billion) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | SSE 50 | 2789.8959 | 0.03 | 903.34 | 43.48 | | CSI 300 | 4122.5106 | 0.43 | 3606.86 | 190.44 | | CSI 1000 | 6943.9366 | 1.55 | 4011.63 | 260.97 | [4] 3. CFFEX Stock Index Option Trading | Index | Option Trading Volume (million contracts) | Call Option Volume | Put Option Volume | PCR | Option Open Interest (million contracts) | Call Option Open Interest | Put Option Open Interest | Open Interest PCR | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | SSE 50 | 4.49 | 2.81 | 1.68 | 0.60 | 7.81 | 5.09 | 2.72 | 0.53 | | CSI 300 | 11.64 | 7.49 | 4.15 | 0.55 | 21.19 | 12.10 | 9.09 | 0.75 | | CSI 1000 | 32.18 | 18.10 | 14.08 | 0.78 | 29.47 | 13.65 | 15.82 | 1.16 | [4] 4. Volatility Analysis - The report includes historical volatility chains and next - month at - the - money implied volatility smile curves for SSE 50, CSI 300, and CSI 1000 [6][8][10].

Report Summary 1. Investment Rating No investment rating for the industry is provided in the report. 2. Core View - The shipping market is in a state of weak oscillation. The main reason is that Maersk's freight rate at the end of August dropped to 2200, a decrease of 400 from last week, exceeding market expectations. The spot freight rate has peaked, and the subsequent focus is on the decline slope until the end of October. The freight rate on the European route is under pressure, and it is expected to break through 2000 in September [6][7]. 3. Summary by Relevant Contents Shipping Freight Index - **Current and Previous Values and Changes**: The Shanghai Export Container Freight Composite Index (SCEI) is currently at 1490, down 3.94% from the previous value of 1551; the China Export Container Freight Index (CCFI) is at 1201, down 2.59% from 1233. Rates on various routes such as SCFI - West US, SCFI - East US, and SCFI - Northwest Europe also showed significant declines [4]. - **Other Routes**: SCFIS - Northwest Europe is currently at 2235, down 2.70% from 2297; SCFI - Mediterranean is at 2318, down 0.64% from 2333 [4]. Shipping Derivatives - **Contract Prices**: For contracts like EC2506, EC2508, etc., prices showed different degrees of change, with some rising and some falling. For example, EC2506 rose 0.44% to 1497.1 from 1490.5 [4]. - **Open Interest**: Open interest for contracts such as EC2606, EC2508 also changed. For instance, EC2606 open interest decreased by 30 to 770 from 800 [4]. - **Spread**: The spreads between different contract months (10 - 12, 12 - 2, 12 - 4) also changed. For example, the 10 - 12 spread decreased by 17.2 to -341.2 from -324.0 [4]. Market News - **Policy and Geopolitics**: The US and China need to decide whether to extend the current tariff suspension agreement by August 12. Trump threatened to impose higher tariffs on countries buying Russian oil. Trump will meet with Putin in Alaska on August 15 [5]. - **Industry Developments**: South Korea plans to conduct pilot operations on the "Northern Sea Route" starting in 2026. Three Chinese small - market carriers will offer several voyages on this route in late summer 2025. The latest Global Port Tracker (GPT) report shows that US imports in the last four months of 2025 will decline significantly year - on - year [5]. Strategy - The recommended strategy is to short the October contract on rallies (take profit gradually as it has pulled back recently) and hold the 12 - 4 calendar spread [8].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. 2. Core View of the Report - Affected by Trump's signal of trade talks, the US market rose significantly. After a sharp emotional decline, the domestic market rebounded. It is expected that the overall impact on import costs will be limited under the offset of the rising US market. MO1 is expected to be range - bound in the short term. Attention should be paid to the results of the August supply - demand report this week and the subsequent import situation of Argentine soybean meal [7][8]. 3. Summary by Relevant Content Supply - This week, the good - to - excellent rate of US soybeans dropped to 69%, still at a high level, and the weather in the production areas will be normal in the next two weeks. Under the pressure of the concentrated arrival of Brazilian soybeans, the domestic soybean pressure reduction in August is expected to exceed 10 million tons, and soybean meal is expected to continue to accumulate inventory. The purchase of ships from October to January is progressing slowly, and there is an expectation of inventory reduction in the far - month under the current Sino - US trade policy [7]. Demand - In the short term, the high inventory of pigs and poultry is expected to support feed demand. However, the policy aims to control the inventory and weight of pigs, which is expected to affect the far - month supply of pigs. Soybean meal has a high cost - performance ratio, and the提货 volume is at a high level. In some areas, wheat replaces corn, reducing the use of protein. The far - month trading volume of soybean meal increased significantly this week [7][8]. Inventory - The domestic soybean inventory has increased to a high level. The speed of soybean meal inventory accumulation has slowed down, but it is still in the inventory accumulation cycle. The inventory days of soybean meal in feed enterprises have decreased [8]. Price and Spread - The report provides a large amount of data on the basis of soybean meal and rapeseed meal spot and futures contracts in different regions, as well as the price spread between soybean meal and rapeseed meal, and the import soybean crushing profit and other price - related data [6][7].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core View of the Report - Market liquidity remains abundant, A-share margin trading funds hit a new high, and stock index reactions to domestic and foreign disturbances are significantly dulled [5]. - Valuation factors are expected to continue to play a role as the ERP of CSI 300 is at a historical high (74.25% quantile) and Huijin supports liquidity [5]. - The current stock index futures discount advantage is still large. Strategically, it is advisable to go long on stock index futures when the opportunity arises [5]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Market Data - **Interest Rates**: DRO01 closed at 1.31 with a 0.28bp change, DR007 at 1.44 with a 1.53bp change, GC001 at 1.50 with a 31.50bp change, etc. [4] - **Bond Yields**: 1 - year treasury bond yield is 1.36 with a 0.29bp change, 5 - year at 1.56 with a 1.77bp change, 10 - year at 1.71 with a 2.31bp change, and 10 - year US treasury bond at 4.27 with a 4.00bp change [4]. - **Stock Indexes**: CSI 300 rose 0.43% to 4122.5, SSE 50 rose 0.03% to 2789.9, CSI 500 rose 1.08% to 6391.8, and CSI 1000 rose 1.55% to 6943.9. The trading volume of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets reached 1827 billion yuan, an increase of 116.7 billion yuan from last Friday [4]. - **Stock Index Futures**: IF volume was 104,750 with a 39.4% change, and its open interest was 264,743 with a 5.7% change; IH volume was 49,078 with a 24.4% change, and its open interest was 96,586 with a 7.6% change; IC volume was 93,503 with a 34.3% change, and its open interest was 223,884 with a 4.3% change; IM volume was 213,349 with a 35.4% change, and its open interest was 359,739 with a 7.6% change [4]. Futures Premium and Discount - **IF**: The premium and discount rates for the current - month, next - month, current - quarter, and next - quarter contracts are 14.41%, 0.00%, 0.01%, and 3.12% respectively [7]. - **IH**: The premium and discount rates are 4.89%, 0.17%, - 0.11%, and - 0.03% respectively [7]. - **IC**: The premium and discount rates are 33.63%, 13.61%, 10.86%, and 9.97% respectively [7]. - **IM**: The premium and discount rates are 24.10%, 12.50%, 11.33%, and 11.06% respectively [7].

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided Group 2: Report's Core View - Commodity sentiment has weakened, PTA basis has weakened and trading volume has declined. Domestic PTA production capacity supply has shrunk, and PTA port inventory has decreased. The spread between PX and naphtha has expanded to around $250, while alkyl transfer and TDP profit margins are not optimistic. The spread between PX and MX has remained at around $90. Bottle chips and staple fibers are about to enter the maintenance cycle. The market port inventory has decreased, and polyester replenishment has improved under the weakening basis. The overall polyester inventory is not high, and the polyester load has dropped to 88% [2] Group 3: Summary by Related Catalog Spot Price and Closing Price - PTA spot price increased from 4670 to 4700, with a change of 30; MEG domestic price increased from 4465 to 4484, with a change of 19; PTA closing price increased from 4684 to 4706, with a change of 22; MEG closing price increased from 4384 to 4414, with a change of 30 [2] Short Fiber and Bottle Chip Price - 1.4D direct-spun polyester staple fiber price remained unchanged at 6550; short fiber basis increased from 152 to 155, with a change of 3; 8 - 9 spread decreased from 32 to 28, with a change of 4; polyester staple fiber cash flow increased from 240 to 246, with a change of 6; 1.4D imitation large chemical fiber price remained unchanged at 5700; the spread between 1.4D direct-spun and imitation large chemical fiber remained unchanged at 850; East China water bottle chip price increased from 5918 to 5929, with a change of 11; hot-filled polyester bottle chip price increased from 5918 to 5929, with a change of 11; carbonated polyester bottle chip price increased from 6018 to 6029, with a change of 11; outer market water bottle chip price remained unchanged at 775; bottle chip spot processing fee decreased from 429 to 408, with a change of -21.02 [2] Yarn Price and Processing Fee - T32S pure polyester yarn price remained unchanged at 10300; T32S pure polyester yarn processing fee remained unchanged at 3750; polyester-cotton yarn 65/35 45S price remained unchanged at 16300; cotton 328 price increased from 14860 to 14900, with a change of 40; polyester-cotton yarn profit decreased from 1340 to 1325, with a change of -15.12; primary three-dimensional hollow (with silicon) price remained unchanged at 7060; hollow staple fiber 6 - 15D cash flow decreased from 371 to 339, with a change of -32.02; primary low-melting staple fiber price remained unchanged at 7330 [2] Operating Rate and Sales Ratio - Direct-spun staple fiber load (weekly) decreased from 92.30% to 93.00%, with a change of -0.01; polyester staple fiber sales ratio increased from 56.00% to 57.00%, with a change of 1.00%; polyester yarn operating rate (weekly) decreased from 65.00% to 66.00%, with a change of -0.01; recycled cotton-type load index (weekly) decreased from 51.50% to 46.00%, with a change of -0.06 [3]