Report Investment Rating - The report does not provide an overall industry investment rating. However, specific ratings for some commodities are as follows: - Crude oil: Bearish [1] - Fuel oil: Bearish [1] Core Viewpoints - Short - term stock index is expected to fluctuate strongly, and attention should be paid to the possible meeting between Chinese and US leaders during the APEC meeting in South Korea at the end of this month. Asset shortage and weak economy are beneficial to bond futures, but the central bank has recently reminded of interest - rate risks [1]. - Gold is supported to remain at a high level due to factors such as the US government shutdown, Sino - US trade uncertainty, and the Fed's expected rate cut in October, but short - term high - level volatility risks should be noted. Silver price has risen and then fallen again, with increased short - term high - level volatility risks [1]. - Although global trade frictions suppress copper prices, copper prices are expected to continue to run strongly due to ongoing disturbances in copper mine supply and improved domestic and foreign macro - liquidity [1]. - The fundamentals of electrolytic aluminum are mixed, and its price is expected to fluctuate. Alumina production and inventory are increasing, and its fundamentals are weak, pressuring the spot price [1]. - The non - ferrous sector faces correction risks due to Sino - US trade frictions. Zinc prices are under short - term pressure, nickel prices are affected by macro factors in the short term, and stainless steel futures are expected to fluctuate in the short term [1]. - Agricultural product prices are affected by various factors such as trade frictions, policies, and supply - demand relationships, showing different trends of fluctuation [1]. - Energy and chemical product prices are also affected by multiple factors including production, trade policies, and market demand, with different price trends [1]. Summary by Commodity Categories Macro - finance - Stock index: Short - term strong - side fluctuation, beware of tariff policy changes, focus on the possible Sino - US leaders' meeting at the end of the month [1] - Bond futures: Asset shortage and weak economy are beneficial, but the central bank reminds of interest - rate risks [1] - Gold: Supported at a high level, short - term high - level volatility risks [1] - Silver: Short - term high - level volatility risks increased, expected to fluctuate [1] Non - ferrous metals - Copper: Expected to run strongly due to supply disturbances and improved liquidity [1] - Electrolytic aluminum: Mixed fundamentals, price to fluctuate [1] - Alumina: Weak fundamentals, price under pressure, focus on cost support [1] - Zinc: Short - term pressure, support if export window opens [1] - Nickel: Short - term macro - driven fluctuation, high - inventory suppression exists [1] - Stainless steel: Short - term fluctuation, pay attention to supply and macro changes [1] - Tin: Long - term low - buying opportunities, short - term facing callback risks [1] - Industrial silicon: Southwest in the wet season, northwest resuming production [1] - Polysilicon: Production increase in October, supply - demand imbalance [1] - Lithium carbonate: High demand in new energy fields [1] Black metals - Rebar: Lack of clear industrial drivers, low valuation, not recommended for directional trading [1] - Iron ore: Near - month contracts restricted by production cuts, far - month contracts have upward potential [1] - Glass: Supply surplus, price under pressure [1] - Soda ash: Follow glass, price under pressure [1] - Coking coal: Price bottom - finding not over, temporarily wait and see [1] - Coke: Similar logic to coking coal [1] Agricultural products - Palm oil: Near - month contracts lack new drivers, wait for production - reduction and inventory - clearance cycle [1] - Soybean oil: Cost pressure and de - inventory expectation coexist, wait and see [1] - Rapeseed oil: Possible negative speculation, unilateral wait - and - see, inter - month positive spread expected to rise [1] - Cotton: Short - term wide - range fluctuation, long - term pressure with new cotton listing [1] - Sugar: High sugar - making ratio may be adjusted, limited upside space [1] - Corn: Short - term limited rebound, pay attention to grain sales [1] - Ethanol: Tax - included ethanol close to raw sugar price, sugar - making advantage weakened [1] - Logs: Fundamentals declined, wait and see [1] - Live pigs: Supply increase, price outlook weak [1] Energy and chemicals - Crude oil: Bearish due to factors such as OPEC+ production increase and demand decline [1] - Fuel oil: Bearish, follow crude oil in the short term [1] - Asphalt: Supply is sufficient, demand may be over - estimated [1] - Natural rubber: Affected by trade policies and supply increase [1] - BR rubber: Supply is loose, downstream demand is weak [1] - PTA: Production decline due to plant maintenance [1] - Ethylene glycol: Low port inventory, but price under pressure [1] - Short - fiber: Factory devices returning, price - related changes in delivery willingness [1] - Urea: Limited upside space, cost - end support [1] - PVC: Supply pressure, price to fluctuate weakly [1] - Alumina: Short - term price bearish, medium - term bullish [1] - LPG: Suppressed by supply and demand factors [1] - Container shipping: Possible low - level rebound [1]

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content Core Viewpoints - Rubber shows an oscillating performance. The supply and demand fundamentals of rubber remain relatively stable, with normalizing weather in production areas and an expected loosening supply. As of October 12, 2025, China's natural rubber social inventory was 1.08 million tons, a decrease of 0.77 million tons or 0.7% from the previous period. The downstream tire factory's operating rate will gradually recover after the holiday. In the short term, macro - logic is dominant, and rubber may continue to oscillate under the influence of external macro factors. The trading strategy is to temporarily wait and see on a single - side basis, hold a small bottom - position for the arbitrage of going long on Br/NR and short on RU, and also pay attention to the arbitrage of going long on NR and short on the mixed rubber [3] Summary by Relevant Catalogs Futures盘面 - Domestic futures: RU主力 rose from 14895 to 14900 (+5), NR主力 rose from 12235 to 12315 (+80), and BR主力 rose from 10895 to 11135 (+240). - Foreign futures: Tocom RSS3 decreased from 311.8 to 311.5 (-0.3), and Sicom TF remained unchanged at 169.0 [3] Futures Spread - Inter - period spread: For example, RU2605 - RU2601 changed from 0 to - 10, NR主力 - 次主力 decreased from 40 to - 50, and BR主力 - 次主力 increased from 60 to 85. - Inter - variety spread: RU - NR decreased from 2660 to 2585 (-75), RU - BR decreased from 4000 to 3765 (-235), and NR - BR decreased from 1340 to 1180 (-160). - Inter - market spread: RU - Tocom RSS3 ($) increased from 27 to 29 (+2), and NR - Sicom TF ($) increased from 27 to 38 (+11) [3] Raw Material Prices - Thailand: The price of smoked sheet rubber increased from 57.19 to 57.39 (+0.20), the price of glue remained unchanged at 54.10, and the price of cup rubber increased from 49.65 to 50.00 (+0.35). - Hainan and Yunnan: The price of Hainan glue (concentrated latex) increased from 13400 to 13600 (+200), and other prices remained relatively stable [3] Factory Costs and Profits - Full - latex delivery profit: In Hainan, it decreased from - 2006 to - 2199 (-193), and in Yunnan, it increased from - 486 to - 479 (+1). - Concentrated latex production profit: In Thailand, it decreased from 660 to 632 (-29), and in Hainan, it decreased from - 114 to - 144 (-30). - Smoked sheet and 20 - grade rubber gross profit: Thailand's 20 - grade rubber decreased from 167 to 51 (-116), and domestic 9710 remained unchanged at 450 [3] Domestic Spot - Light - colored rubber: The prices of old full - latex and Vietnamese 3L remained unchanged, while the prices of Thai clay and Malaysian mixture increased by 80. - Dark - colored rubber: The price of Thai standard decreased by 5, and the price of domestic standard II remained unchanged. - Latex: The price of Shanghai: Hainan bulk increased by 100. - Synthetic rubber: The price of butadiene rubber BR9000 increased by 100, and the price of styrene - butadiene rubber SBR1502 increased by 50 [3] Overseas Spot - The prices of Thai - mixed CIF, Malaysian - mixed CIF, Thai - standard CIF, Malaysian - standard CIF, and Indian - standard CIF all increased by 10 [3] Futures - Spot Spread - RU spread: RU - Thai - mixed decreased from 295 to 220 (-75), RU - old full - latex increased from 595 to 600 (+5), and RU - Vietnamese 3L increased from - 55 to - 50 (+5). - NR spread: NR - Thai - standard delivery profit increased from - 722 to - 689 (+33), NR - Indian - standard delivery profit increased from - 116 to - 48 (+68), and NR - Malaysian - standard delivery profit increased from - 651 to - 618 (+33) [3] Spot Spread - Variety spread: For example, the price difference between Thai - standard and Thai - mixed ($) remained unchanged at 10, the price difference between Vietnamese 3L and Thai - mixed decreased from 350 to 270 (-80), and the price difference between domestic standard II and Thai - mixed decreased from - 850 to - 930 (-80) [3] Exchange Rates and Interest Rates - Exchange rates: The US dollar index remained unchanged at 98.6659, the US dollar/Chinese yuan decreased from 7.0995 to 7.0968 (-0.003), and other exchange rates remained relatively stable. - Interest rates: SHIBOR - overnight remained unchanged at 1.316, and SHIBOR - F - large increased from 1.414 to 1.419 (+0.005) [3]

Group 1: Report Information - Report title: Log Data Daily Report [3] - Research institution: ITC Futures Research Institute [4] - Analyst: Yang Lulin [4] - Date: October 17, 2025 [4] Group 2: Industry Investment Rating - No information provided Group 3: Core View - After the holiday, the fundamentals of logs weakened slightly. While port inventories increased slightly, the outbound volume decreased. However, considering the holiday factor, it is necessary to observe whether this phenomenon will continue. Log spot prices rose steadily, mainly driven by knot - free and laminated timber. After a sharp decline, the log futures price is below the delivery cost line, and it is not recommended to continue short - selling [5] Group 4: Price Information Spot Price - In Shandong and Jiangsu, the spot prices of different specifications of radiata pine range from 720 to 800 yuan for different lengths and grades (3.9m - 6m, small A - medium A) [5] Foreign Market Quotation - The price range of radiata pine (4m medium A) in the foreign market is 115 - 117 dollars per JAS cubic meter in October, up 2 dollars from 113 - 115 dollars in September [5] Futures Price - For contract LG2511, the current price is 797 yuan per cubic meter, up 4 yuan from the previous period. For contract LG2601, the current price is 823.5 yuan per cubic meter, up 2.5 yuan from the previous period [5] Downstream Wood Square Price - The price of 4000*50*100 wood squares in Shandong and Jiangsu is 1270 yuan, with no change from the previous period [5] Group 5: Supply and Demand Information Supply - In August 2025, the import volume of New Zealand logs was 130.6 million cubic meters, down from 145.8 million cubic meters in July. The import volume of North American logs was 10.1 million cubic meters, down from 10.6 million cubic meters in July. The import volume of European logs was 14.8 million cubic meters, down from 16.6 million cubic meters in July. From October 6 - 12, the shipment volume from New Zealand to China was 34 million JAS cubic meters, down from 35 million JAS cubic meters from September 22 - 28 [5] Inventory - On October 10, the total inventory was 299 million cubic meters, higher than 286 million cubic meters on September 26. Shandong's inventory was 189 million cubic meters, and Jiangsu's was 88 million cubic meters [5] Demand - On October 10, the daily average outbound volume was 5.73 million cubic meters, lower than 6.56 million cubic meters on September 26. Shandong's outbound volume was 3.44 million cubic meters, and Jiangsu's was 1.79 million cubic meters [5]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided 2. Core View of the Report - The LPG market is oscillating weakly, and the low valuation is expected to be repaired [4] 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Market Overview - On October 11, 2025, the average price of the domestic LPG market dropped by 7 yuan/ton to 4451 yuan/ton, a decrease of -0.16%. The closing price of the futures main contract rose by 120 yuan/ton to 4268 yuan/ton, an increase of 2.89% [4] International Market - Affected by tariff policies, the international market prices fluctuated widely this week, with the average price finally falling. Due to the tight supply and demand of butane, the price trend of butane is stronger than that of propane. Market concerns have resurfaced, and Chinese importers have generally turned to purchasing US resources, resulting in high discounts for non-US resources to China. As the external market prices have fallen to relatively low levels, it has attracted buyers, and the strong demand from Sinopec has promoted the recovery of market buying interest and price stabilization and rebound [4] East China Region - The average price of the civil gas market remained stable at 4570 yuan/ton compared with the previous working day. The civil gas market in East China showed a trend of rising first and then falling this week, with the overall atmosphere being average. Affected by the increase in supply from Shandong and warehouse receipts, the prices continued to decline. The price of imported gas was high in the early stage, but it showed signs of loosening in the later stage [4] South China Region - The average price of the civil gas market decreased by 20 yuan/ton to 4570 yuan/ton compared with the previous working day, a decrease of -0.44%. The price center of the civil gas market in South China continued to decline this week, with the final average price slightly falling. Affected by the decline of international oil prices and the external LPG market, the bearish sentiment in the market has increased. Although importers are willing to support prices, the downstream demand remains weak. In terms of industrial gas, prices in different regions have adjusted up and down, and the regional price difference has narrowed, with production and sales basically balanced [4] Shandong Region - The average price of the civil gas market remained stable at 4450 yuan/ton. The average price of etherified C4 decreased by 28 yuan/ton to 4370 yuan/ton, a decrease of -0.64%. The civil gas market in Shandong first stabilized and then declined this week, with the price center significantly shifting downward. Due to the unexpected increase in the release of refineries in the province, the market supply exceeded demand, and the market price dropped to a new low for the year [4]

Group 1: Report Information - Report Title: Double-offset Paper Data Daily Report [3] - Report Date: October 17, 2025 [4] - Researcher: Yang Lulin from the Agricultural Products Research Center of Guomao Futures Research Institute [4] Group 2: Double-offset Paper Futures Data - On October 16, 2025, the price of 0P2601 was 4210, with a daily increase of 0.10% compared to the previous day [5]. - The open interest of the main contract on October 16, 2025, was 1107, a daily decrease of 3.99% [5]. Group 3: Spot Price Data Double-offset Paper - On October 16, 2025, the prices of various double-offset papers in different regions remained stable with no daily or weekly changes, except for Beijing Gaobai Ruixue which also had no changes [5]. Copperplate Paper - The prices of most copperplate papers remained stable on October 16, 2025, but Shandong Chenming Xuetutu decreased by 2.11% week-on-week, and Shandong Taiyang Tianyang decreased by 1.03% week-on-week [5]. Group 4: Papermaking Raw Material Data - On October 16, 2025, the prices of some papermaking raw materials changed. Shandong Needle-leaf Silver Star increased by 0.71% daily and decreased by 0.88% weekly; Shandong Broad-leaf Goldfish increased by 0.71% daily and decreased by 0.88% weekly [6]. Group 5: Double-offset Paper Supply and Demand Data - From August 29, 2025, to October 17, 2025, the production volume, capacity utilization rate, factory inventory, and social inventory of double-offset paper fluctuated [6]. - The production profit of double-offset paper also fluctuated during this period, with the production profit of double-offset paper mainly using chemimechanical pulp being 586.25 on October 17, 2025, and that mainly using broad-leaf pulp being 264 [6]. Group 6: Core Viewpoint - The current spot price of double-offset paper has not stopped falling and stabilizing, and most double-offset papers are still slightly declining. The benefits of the "Golden September and Silver October" have not been reflected. The price of broad-leaf pulp in the raw material end has increased, compressing the production profit of double-offset paper. The production volume has increased due to the resumption of production of Chenming Paper, and the inventory has slightly increased. However, the current capital participation in the futures market is poor, and the overall market is fluctuating. The double-offset paper market is currently in a reasonable operating range, and short-term observation is recommended [7]

Group 1: Report Overview - The report is a daily data report on synthetic rubber, released by the Guomao Futures Research Institute on October 17, 2025 [2][3] Group 2: Market Quotes Summary Futures Market - The closing price of BR2511.SHF was 10,895 yuan/ton, up 240 yuan or 2.20% [3] - The settlement price was 11,005 yuan/ton, up 200 yuan or 1.85% [3] - The trading volume was 18,411 lots, with a 0.00% change, and the position was 76,904 lots, up 27.63% [3] Spot Market - Sinopec Chemical Sales' high - cis butadiene rubber price decreased by 300 yuan/ton this cycle, and PetroChina's main sales companies' price decreased by 500 yuan/ton [3] - As of October 16, 2025, Sinopec Chemical Sales' BR9000 ex - factory price was 11,200 yuan/ton, and PetroChina's main sales companies' BR9000 ex - factory price was 11,000 - 11,000 yuan/ton [3] Price Differences - The month - to - month spread between the second and first contracts was 25 yuan/ton, up 150.00% [3] - The spread between BR and RU was 5.88% [3] - The spread between BR and NR was 11.94% [3] Group 3: Market Analysis Market Trends - The price of butadiene rubber in the Shandong market continued to decline and then rebounded rapidly this cycle. The spot price ranged from 10,600 to 11,400 yuan/ton [3] - At the end of the cycle, under the influence of factors such as increased domestic maintenance losses in October - December and the US interest rate cut, the futures and spot prices of butadiene rubber rebounded rapidly [3] Supply and Demand - The external sales resources of raw materials were sufficient this cycle, but the spot negotiation focus gradually stopped falling, and the weak cost situation of butadiene rubber was slightly alleviated [3] - Due to the successive maintenance of butadiene rubber plants of Qilu Petrochemical, Yangzi Petrochemical, and Maoming Petrochemical, Sinopec's short - and medium - term circulation resources are expected to decrease significantly [3] - There is marginal production profit in private butadiene rubber, leading to an increase in supply, and the price of private resources in the spot market has been lower than that of the two major oil companies [3] - Downstream procurement continued to suppress prices, causing the spot negotiation focus to decline continuously [3] Group 4: Strategy Recommendations - Unilateral: The BR market is expected to consolidate [3] - Arbitrage: After the spread widens again, consider going long on BR and short on RU or NR [3]

Group 1: Report Investment Rating - No information provided Group 2: Core View - The macro - policy has high uncertainty, and it is recommended to stay on the sidelines [1] Group 3: Summary by Relevant Catalog Spot Market - Domestic PVC powder market prices were narrowly adjusted, with mainstream markets slightly rising or falling, and price fluctuations mostly in the range of 0 - 10 yuan/ton. The downstream purchasing enthusiasm was average, and overall spot trading was light. The mainstream spot cash self - pick - up prices for type 5 calcium carbide PVC were 4560 - 4670 yuan/ton in East China, 4620 - 4690 yuan/ton in South China, 4440 - 4550 yuan/ton delivered in cash in Hebei, and 4570 - 4610 yuan/ton delivered in cash in Shandong [1] Futures Market - The futures market was weak in the night session yesterday and showed a slightly stronger overall oscillation today. The fixed - price quotes of traders in the morning changed little, and some of the basis quotes strengthened slightly, but high - price transactions were difficult [1] Basis - The basis in East China decreased from - 97 to - 114, in South China from - 17 to - 34, and in another area from - 117 to - 134, all with a decrease of 17 [1] Profit - The profit of Shandong calcium carbide method and Inner Mongolia calcium carbide method remained unchanged at - 1240 and - 969 respectively [1] External Market - CFR China, CFR Southeast Asia remained unchanged at 706 and 649 respectively [1] Operating Rate - The operating rate of calcium carbide method increased from 82.13% to 82.94%, that of ethylene method increased from 79.75% to 81.9%, and the total operating rate increased from 81.42% to 82.63% [1] Inventory - The inventory in East China increased from 48.84 to 50.27, in South China from 4.93 to 5.43, and the social inventory increased from 53.77 to 55.7 [1]

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content found Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - The supply side of polysilicon has seen an unexpected increase in production scheduling in October due to the resumption of production in Qinghai and the ramping - up of new capacities in other regions. The demand side may see a reduction in silicon wafer production scheduling in October due to the fourth - quarter quota limit. The inventory side shows an accumulation of factory and warehouse - receipt inventories. The two ministries have emphasized not to bid below cost, strengthening the effectiveness of cost support. A policy framework of "capacity reduction + sales at no less than cost price" for polysilicon has basically taken shape, and the medium - to - long - term fundamentals of polysilicon may improve. However, due to the long - term non - fulfillment of the "anti - involution" measure, market sentiment has faded, and the futures price may fluctuate in the short term [2] Group 3: Summary According to Relevant Catalogs Futures Price - PS2511 closed at 52,575 with a 3.36% increase; PS2510 closed at 55,000 with a 3.55% increase; PS2512 closed at 55,050 with a 3.18% increase; PS2601 closed at 54,975 with a 3.18% increase [1] Price Difference - The price difference between PS2510 - PS2511 is - 20 with a change of 90; the price difference between PS2511 - PS2512 is 15 with a change of - 2475; the price difference between PS2512 - PS2601 is 75 with no change [1] Spot Price - The average price of N - type dense polysilicon is 51.25 with no change; the average price of N - type mixed - material polysilicon is 50.25 with no change [1][2] Basis - The basis of N - type dense material - PS2511 is - 1325 with a change of - 1710; the basis of N - type mixed - material polysilicon - PS2511 is - 2325 with a change of - 1710 [2] Inventory - The polysilicon inventory (weekly, in ten thousand tons) is 25.3 with an increase of 1.3; the silicon wafer inventory (weekly, in GW) is 17.31 with an increase of 0.53; the registered warehouse receipts (daily, in tons) is 8130 with an increase of 80 [2] Market News - On October 14, there was market news that relevant authorities might issue a document to strengthen photovoltaic capacity regulation. An industry insider close to the authorities said the document might be released soon, including requirements for limiting the capacity utilization rate of the entire industrial chain and banning new capacity to achieve supply - demand balance [2]

Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core View - The domestic liquid caustic soda market has mixed transaction adjustments today. Prices in many regions remain stable. The prices of 32% liquid caustic soda in Shandong and Hebei are rising steadily, while those in Henan, Anhui, and Chongqing are falling steadily. The mainstream transaction price of 32% ion - exchange membrane caustic soda in Shandong is 780 - 890 yuan/ton, and the procurement price of a large local alumina factory is 740 yuan/ton. The mainstream transaction price of 50% ion - exchange membrane caustic soda in Shandong is 1280 - 1380 yuan/ton, remaining stable compared to the previous working day's average price. Traders are advised to continue to wait and see as the long - short game is intense. [1] Summary by Relevant Catalogs Market Price - **Raw Salt**: The prices in Shandong, Jiangsu, and Northwest regions are 200 yuan, 260 yuan, and 200 yuan respectively, remaining unchanged from the previous day [1] - **Calcium Carbide**: The prices in Shandong and Inner Mongolia are 2830 yuan and 2425 yuan respectively, remaining unchanged [1] - **Liquid Chlorine**: The prices in Shandong, Jiangsu, and Northwest C are 50 yuan, 81 yuan, and - 50 yuan respectively. The price in Northwest C increased by 50 yuan [1] - **32% Liquid Caustic Soda**: The prices in Shandong, Jiangsu, and other regions remain unchanged. The mainstream transaction price in Shandong is 780 - 890 yuan/ton [1] - **50% Liquid Caustic Soda**: The prices in Shandong, Jiangsu, and other regions remain unchanged. The mainstream transaction price in Shandong is 1280 - 1380 yuan/ton [1] - **Caustic Soda Flakes**: The prices in Shandong, Inner Mongolia, and other regions remain unchanged [1] - **PVC**: The prices in Shandong and Inner Mongolia are 4520 yuan and 4380 yuan respectively, remaining unchanged [1] Futures and Related Spreads - **Futures Main Contract**: The closing price is 2453 yuan, up 15 yuan [1] - **Basis**: The basis in Shandong decreased by 15 yuan to 141 yuan, and in Jiangsu decreased by 15 yuan to 516 yuan [1] - **50% Alkali - 32% Alkali Spread**: The spread in Shandong remains unchanged at - 14 yuan [1] - **Caustic Soda Flakes - 50% Alkali Spread**: The spread in Guangdong remains unchanged at 630 yuan [1] - **50% Alkali Regional Spread**: The spread between the East and Shandong remains unchanged at 320 yuan [1] - **Caustic Soda Flakes Regional Spread**: The spreads between Southwest - Inner Mongolia and Southwest - Shandong remain unchanged at 650 yuan and 400 yuan respectively [1] Profit and Electricity Price - **Chlor - Alkali Profit**: The profit in Shandong increased by 49 yuan to 90 yuan, and in the Northwest remains unchanged at 483 yuan [1] - **Electricity Price**: The electricity prices in Shandong and Inner Mongolia are 0.75 yuan and 0.5 yuan respectively, remaining unchanged [1]

Group 1: Shipping Derivatives Data Shipping Freight Index - The current values of the Shanghai Containerized Freight Index (SCFI), China Containerized Freight Index (CCFI), SCFI - West America, SCFIS - West America, SCFI - East America, SCFI - Northwest Europe, SCFIS - Northwest Europe, and SCFI - Mediterranean are 1115, 1087, 1460, 862, 2385, 971, 1031, and 1485 respectively, with daily changes of -6.97%, -2.93%, -10.76%, -1.60%, -6.73%, -7.70%, -1.43%, and -9.34% [5]. Futures Contracts - For contracts EC2506, EC2608, EC2510, EC2512, EC5602, and EC2604, the current values are 1306.6, 1450.2, 1120.6, 1708.6, 1463.4, and 1142.0 respectively, with daily changes of -0.93%, 0.01%, -1.37%, 2.06%, -0.07%, and -0.70% [5]. Contract Positions - The current positions of EC2606, EC2608, EC2410, EC2412, EC2602, and EC2604 are 1510, 1115, 11335, 27023, 9822, and 13676 respectively, with daily changes of (31), 14, (1820), (168), 112, and 310 [5]. Monthly Spreads - The current values of the 10 - 12, 12 - 2, and 12 - 4 monthly spreads are -588.0, 245.2, and 566.6 respectively, with daily changes of (50.1), 35.5, and 42.5 [5]. Group 2: Market News - Trump threatened to impose a 100% tariff on Chinese - origin goods starting from November 1 [5]. - China announced new restrictions on rare - earth and related technology exports and released a new version of the "unreliable entity list" targeting US defense technology companies [5]. - On October 9, Trump announced that Israel and Hamas had reached a peace agreement, with Israel partially withdrawing from Gaza and Hamas releasing remaining hostages [5]. - US customs documents on October 11 outlined new tariffs on certain Chinese products effective from October 14 [5]. - After signing the Gaza agreement, Netanyahu threatened to restart the war if Israel's demands were not met peacefully, and the Israeli middle - level negotiation delegation will stay in Egypt to promote the second - stage agreement [5]. - Trump is expected to visit Israel next Monday, with a "in - and - out" short - visit due to security concerns [5][6]. Group 3: EC Market Analysis Market Overview - The EC market showed a strong and volatile trend. In late October, the overall price increase was called for in the range of 1800 - 2000 (finally settled at 1500 - 1800), and the price increase notice for November is around 2500 [7]. Market Logic - The EC market rebounded significantly due to the Ministry of Commerce's counter - measures against 5 US - related subsidiaries of Hanwha Ocean Co., Ltd. [8]. - These 5 US subsidiaries include one involved in container ship manufacturing, mainly building 2000 - 3000TEU small container ships for Matson's West America route, with little connection to the European route [9]. - Hanwha Shipyard currently has 790,000 TEU of shipping capacity serving the European route, and although these ships are not currently in the sanctions scope, the policy is unclear, and the sanctions scope may expand if Sino - US confrontation escalates [9]. Investment Strategy - The recommended strategy is to wait and see [10].