Report Industry Investment Ratings - Propylene: ★☆☆, indicating a bullish bias but low operability on the trading floor [1] - Plastic: ★☆☆, suggesting a bullish bias but low operability on the trading floor [1] - Styrene: ★☆☆, showing a bullish bias but low operability on the trading floor [1] - PTA: ★★★, representing a clear bullish trend with relatively appropriate investment opportunities [1] - Short Fiber: ★★★, indicating a clear bullish trend with relatively appropriate investment opportunities [1] - Methanol: ★★★, suggesting a clear bullish trend with relatively appropriate investment opportunities [1] - PVC: ★☆☆, showing a bullish bias but low operability on the trading floor [1] - Soda Ash: ☆☆☆, meaning the short - term long/short trend is in a relatively balanced state with poor operability, suggesting to wait and see [1] - Glass: ☆☆☆, indicating the short - term long/short trend is in a relatively balanced state with poor operability, suggesting to wait and see [1] - Pure Benzene: ★☆☆, suggesting a bullish bias but low operability on the trading floor [1] - Ethylene Glycol: ☆☆☆, meaning the short - term long/short trend is in a relatively balanced state with poor operability, suggesting to wait and see [1] - Bottle Chip: ☆☆☆, indicating the short - term long/short trend is in a relatively balanced state with poor operability, suggesting to wait and see [1] - Urea: ☆☆☆, meaning the short - term long/short trend is in a relatively balanced state with poor operability, suggesting to wait and see [1] - Caustic Soda: ☆☆☆, indicating the short - term long/short trend is in a relatively balanced state with poor operability, suggesting to wait and see [1] Core Viewpoints - The chemical market is generally under pressure, with many products facing issues such as weak demand, high inventory, and cost - profit imbalances. Different products have different trends and investment strategies, mainly including anti - arbitrage operations and attention to load changes in each link of the industrial chain [2][3][5] Grouped by Related Catalogs Olefins - Polyolefins - Propylene futures weakened slightly during the day. International oil price decline dampened market sentiment, and demand was hard to boost significantly [2] - Plastic and polypropylene futures consolidated weakly. For polyethylene, trading volume needed to be released; for polypropylene, the supply - side pressure was expected to increase [2] Pure Benzene - Styrene - The price of benzene futures fluctuated narrowly, and the market was in short - term consolidation with medium - term negative factors. Attention should be paid to the port inventory accumulation rhythm [3] - Styrene futures consolidated narrowly. The cost support was insufficient, and the price continued to be weak [3] Polyester - PX supply increased, PTA load decreased, and polyester load increased slightly. PTA might accumulate inventory in the future, and anti - arbitrage was the main strategy [5] - Ethylene glycol supply was expected to increase, with a continued inventory accumulation expectation, and anti - arbitrage was the main strategy [5] - Short fiber had a good spot pattern, but the profit was slightly squeezed. Its price would fluctuate with raw materials. Bottle chip demand weakened, and the cost was the main driver [5] Coal Chemical Industry - Methanol futures fluctuated at a low level. High port inventory and weak demand suppressed the market, and the market was expected to be weak [6] - Urea futures rose significantly. The market was boosted by export news, but caution was needed when chasing up [6] Chlor - Alkali - PVC continued to accumulate inventory and ran at a low level due to high supply and weak demand [7] - Caustic soda fluctuated at a low level. The downstream demand was general, and the supply was high [7] Soda Ash - Glass - Soda ash rose slightly. The supply was high, and the inventory was at a high level. It was expected to be hard to decline in the short term [8] - Glass ran weakly. Cost increase limited the decline space, and attention should be paid to the end - of - year rush - to - work [8]

Report Industry Investment Ratings - Cotton: ★★★, indicating a clear upward trend and relatively appropriate investment opportunities [1] - Pulp: ★☆☆, suggesting a bullish or bearish bias with limited operability on the market [1] - Sugar: ★★★, showing a clear upward trend and relatively appropriate investment opportunities [1] - Apple: ★☆☆, implying a bullish or bearish bias with limited operability on the market [1] - Timber: ★★★, indicating a clear upward trend and relatively appropriate investment opportunities [1] - Natural Rubber: ★☆☆, suggesting a bullish or bearish bias with limited operability on the market [1] - 20 - day Rubber: ★☆☆, implying a bullish or bearish bias with limited operability on the market [1] - Butadiene Rubber: ★☆☆, suggesting a bullish or bearish bias with limited operability on the market [1] Core Views - The report assesses multiple soft commodities including cotton, sugar, apple, rubber, pulp, and timber, providing investment ratings and analyzing the current market situation, supply - demand relationship, and price trends for each commodity, and giving corresponding investment suggestions [1][2][3][4][5][6][7] Summary by Commodity Cotton & Cotton Yarn - Zhengzhou cotton declined slightly today, with the basis gradually weakening and spot trading being average. New cotton cost provides some support to the market, but price increases may face hedging pressure due to average demand. As of October 30, the cumulative processed lint cotton nationwide was 233.9 million tons, a year - on - year increase of 38.6 million tons. As of November 5, the cumulative inspection volume was 215.78 million tons. The demand for pure cotton yarn is average, and the new orders for weavers are poor. It is recommended to wait and see for now [2] Sugar - Overnight, US sugar was weak. In Brazil, the production data in mid - October was neutral, with the cane crushing volume in mid - October basically flat year - on - year and the sugar - making ratio decreasing month - on - month but still slightly up year - on - year. In China, Zhengzhou sugar remained weak. There are rumors of syrup import control, providing some support. The market focus has shifted to the new season's production estimate. The sugar price is expected to remain weak [3] Apple - The futures price fluctuated widely. In the spot market, apple harvesting in Shandong is nearing the end, and there is little off - warehouse stock in the northwest. As of November 6, the national cold - storage apple inventory was 682.74 million tons, a 17% year - on - year decrease. The market focus has shifted to sales expectations. Apple prices are high, and there may be inventory pressure later. A bearish trading strategy is recommended [4] 20 - day Rubber, Natural Rubber, and Synthetic Rubber - Today, RU was weak, and NR & BR declined. The futures market sentiment was cautious. The global natural rubber supply is in the high - production period, but the Yunnan region in China is entering the low - production period. The domestic tire start - up rate increased slightly this week, and the inventory in Qingdao increased. The import volume in October was 66.7 million tons, a 1.2% year - on - year increase and a 10.1% month - on - month decrease. A strategy of trading on oversold rebounds and paying attention to cross - variety arbitrage opportunities is recommended [5] Pulp - Pulp futures rose slightly today. As of November 6, the inventory at major ports in China was 200.8 million tons, a 2.6% month - on - month decrease. In September, the import volume was 295.25 million tons, a year - on - year increase of 27.25 million tons. The demand for pulp is average, and the valuation is low. It is recommended to wait and see or buy on dips [6] Timber - The futures price was weak. The mainstream spot price remained stable. In November, the New Zealand radiata pine price increased, but the domestic spot price was weak, and the import willingness of traders declined. The port delivery volume was above 60,000 cubic meters, and the inventory was low. It is recommended to wait and see [7]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the given content. 2. Report's Core View - No explicit core view is presented in the provided documents. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 50ETF - **Price and Volatility Data**: From November 5 - 7, 2025, the 50ETF price was 3.150, 3.19, and 3.186 respectively, with corresponding daily changes of -0.19%, 1.27%, and -0.13%. The corresponding monthly implied volatility (IV) was 14.25%, 12.80%, and 12.51%, and the next - month IV was 15.56%, 14.89%, and 14.78% [1]. - **IV Quantiles**: The 1 - year and 2 - year monthly IV quantiles were 36.30% and 43.50% respectively, and the 1 - year and 2 - year next - month IV quantiles were 45.90% and 56.40% respectively [1]. - **Skew Index**: The skew index on November 7, 2025, was 102.82, compared to 97.67 the previous day [2]. 3.2 Shanghai 300ETF - **Price and Volatility Data**: From November 5 - 7, 2025, the Shanghai 300ETF price was 4.735, 4.805, and 4.795 respectively, with daily changes of 0.13%, 1.48%, and -0.21%. The monthly IV was 15.25%, 14.53%, and 14.37%, and the next - month IV was 16.91%, 16.18%, and 15.94% [3]. - **IV Quantiles**: The 1 - year and 2 - year monthly IV quantiles were 37.50% and 48.60% respectively, and the 1 - year and 2 - year next - month IV quantiles were 52.30% and 63.80% respectively [3]. - **Skew Index**: The skew index on November 7, 2025, was 104.72 [5]. 3.3 Shenzhen 300ETF - **Price and Volatility Data**: From November 5 - 7, 2025, the Shenzhen 300ETF price was 4.881, 4.956, and 4.941 respectively, with daily changes of 0.00%, 1.54%, and -0.30%. The monthly IV was 15.63%, 14.78%, and 14.95%, and the next - month IV was 16.90%, 16.44%, and 16.41% [6]. - **IV Quantiles**: The 1 - year and 2 - year monthly IV quantiles were 40.80% and 53.50% respectively, and the 1 - year and 2 - year next - month IV quantiles were 50.40% and 62.80% respectively [6]. - **Skew Index**: The skew index on November 7, 2025, was 104.41 [12]. 3.4 Shanghai CSI 500ETF - **Price and Volatility Data**: From November 5 - 7, 2025, the Shanghai CSI 500ETF price was 7.330, 7.451, and 7.440 respectively, with daily changes of -1.47%, 1.89%, and -0.15%. The monthly IV was 19.64%, 18.71%, and 18.55%, and the next - month IV was 21.04%, 20.07%, and 19.92% [14]. - **IV Quantiles**: The 1 - year and 2 - year monthly IV quantiles were 44.80% and 50.90% respectively, and the 1 - year and 2 - year next - month IV quantiles were 56.10% and 64.20% respectively [14]. - **Skew Index**: The skew index on November 7, 2025, was 106.34 [17]. 3.5 Shenzhen CSI 500ETF - **Price and Volatility Data**: From November 5 - 7, 2025, the Shenzhen CSI 500ETF price was 2.930, 2.979, and 2.968 respectively, with daily changes of 0.21%, 1.67%, and -0.37%. The monthly IV was 20.46%, 18.68%, and 18.65%, and the next - month IV was 21.16%, 20.31%, and 20.12% [21]. - **IV Quantiles**: The 1 - year and 2 - year monthly IV quantiles were 52.20% and 59.30% respectively, and the 1 - year and 2 - year next - month IV quantiles were 52.70% and 62.30% respectively [21]. - **Skew Index**: The skew index on November 7, 2025, was 104.65 [26]. 3.6 ChiNext ETF - **Price and Volatility Data**: From November 5 - 7, 2025, the ChiNext ETF price was 3.142, 3.201, and 3.185 respectively, with daily changes of 0.96%, 1.88%, and -0.50%. The monthly IV was 31.34%, 29.04%, and 28.86%, and the next - month IV was 31.85%, 30.61%, and 30.16% [27]. - **IV Quantiles**: The 1 - year and 2 - year monthly IV quantiles were 65.70% and 76.20% respectively, and the 1 - year and 2 - year next - month IV quantiles were 75.60% and 77.80% respectively [27]. - **Skew Index**: The skew index on November 7, 2025, was 102.10 [33]. 3.7 Shenzhen 100ETF - **Price and Volatility Data**: From November 5 - 7, 2025, the Shenzhen 100ETF price was 3.526, 3.590, and 3.567 respectively, with daily changes of 0.20%, 1.82%, and -0.64%. The monthly IV was 21.53%, 20.26%, and 20.37%, and the next - month IV was 22.04%, 21.33%, and 22.06% [38]. - **IV Quantiles**: The 1 - year and 2 - year monthly IV quantiles were 57.50% and 67.60% respectively, and the 1 - year and 2 - year next - month IV quantiles were 54.00% and 68.40% respectively [38]. - **Skew Index**: The skew index on November 7, 2025, was 104.78 [41]. 3.8 Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF - **Price and Volatility Data**: From November 5 - 7, 2025, the Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF price was 1.460, 1.509, and 1.487 respectively, with daily changes of 0.34%, 3.36%, and -1.46%. The monthly IV was 34.35%, 32.60%, and 32.24%, and the next - month IV was 35.61%, 34.03%, and 33.27% [47]. - **IV Quantiles**: The 1 - year and 2 - year monthly IV quantiles were 61.20% and 73.00% respectively, and the 1 - year and 2 - year next - month IV quantiles were 52.20% and 67.40% respectively [47]. - **Skew Index**: The skew index on November 7, 2025, was 96.47 [49]. 3.9 Star 50ETF - **Price and Volatility Data**: From November 5 - 7, 2025, the Star 50ETF price was 1.414, 1.462, and 1.442 respectively, with daily changes of 0.21%, 3.39%, and -1.37%. The monthly IV was 34.74%, 32.95%, and 32.12%, and the next - month IV was 34.81%, 34.12%, and 32.71% [52]. - **IV Quantiles**: The 1 - year and 2 - year monthly IV quantiles were 57.50% and 70.10% respectively, and the 1 - year and 2 - year next - month IV quantiles were 66.10% and 75.60% respectively [52]. - **Skew Index**: The skew index on November 7, 2025, was 97.75 [55]. 3.10 300 Index - **Price and Volatility Data**: From November 5 - 7, 2025, the 300 Index price was 4627.257, 4693.403, and 4678.794 respectively, with daily changes of 0.19%, 1.43%, and -0.31%. The monthly IV was 14.89%, 13.87%, and 13.35%, and the next - month IV was 17.03%, 16.43%, and 16.42% [61]. - **IV Quantiles**: The 1 - year and 2 - year monthly IV quantiles were 38.30% and 43.70% respectively, and the 1 - year and 2 - year next - month IV quantiles were 50.20% and 61.30% respectively [61]. - **Skew Index**: The skew index on November 7, 2025, was 107.07 [65]. 3.11 1000 Index - **Price and Volatility Data**: From November 5 - 7, 2025, the 1000 Index price was 7464.863, 7551.830, and 7541.878 respectively, with daily changes of 0.39%, 1.17%, and -0.13%. The monthly IV was 19.37%, 17.89%, and 17.98%, and the next - month IV was 21.34%, 19.98%, and 20.15% [66]. - **IV Quantiles**: The 1 - year and 2 - year monthly IV quantiles were 25.70% and 24.70% respectively, and the 1 - year and 2 - year next - month IV quantiles were 31.40% and 29.00% respectively [66]. - **Skew Index**: The skew index on November 7, 2025, was 117.24 [70]. 3.12 SSE 50 Index - **Price and Volatility Data**: From November 5 - 7, 2025, the SSE 50 Index price was 3007.970, 3044.742, and 3038.346 respectively, with daily changes of -0.17%, 1.22%, and -0.21%. The monthly IV was 13.86%, 13.00%, and 13.21%, and the next - month IV was 56.53%, 61.58%, and 62.00% [71]. - **IV Quantiles**: The 1 - year and 2 - year monthly IV quantiles were 24.00% and 30.80% respectively, and the 1 - year and 2 - year next - month IV quantiles were 77.50% and 88.30% respectively [71]. - **Skew Index**: The skew index on November 7, 2025, was 101.00 [76].

Report Industry Investment Ratings - Bean No.1: Neutral, represented by white stars [1] - Soybean Oil: Bullish, represented by red stars [1] - Palm Oil: Bullish, represented by red stars [1] - Soybean Meal: Slightly bullish, represented by one red star [1] - Rapeseed Meal: Bullish, represented by red stars [1] - Rapeseed Oil: Bullish, represented by red stars [1] - Corn: Bullish, represented by red stars [1] - Live Pigs: Bullish, represented by red stars [1] - Eggs: Slightly bullish, represented by one red star [1] Core Viewpoints - The prices of some agricultural products are affected by factors such as trade policies, supply - demand relationships, and weather conditions. Traders should pay attention to policy guidance, USDA reports, and changes in supply - demand fundamentals [2][3][4] - Different agricultural products have different investment opportunities and risks, and appropriate investment strategies should be adjusted according to market changes [3][6][8] Summary by Category Bean No.1 - The main contract of Bean No.1 significantly reduced positions, and the price fell from a high due to the drag of surrounding commodities. The price of US soybeans also dropped from a high. The purchase of soybeans by Sinograin started, with a premium for high - protein soybeans. The supply of domestic high - protein soybeans is tight this year, and short - term attention should be paid to policy guidance [2] Soybean & Soybean Meal - The continuous futures contract of soybeans continued to fluctuate and correct widely. The tariff for importing US soybeans in China is now 13%, and there is still no price advantage for commercial imports. With the increase in import costs, the crushing margin has improved, and it is expected that there will be a destocking situation for domestic soybeans in the first quarter of next year. Attention should be paid to the long - buying opportunities after the Sino - US trade eases [3] Soybean Oil & Palm Oil - The price of US soybeans dropped from a high due to the easing of trade optimism. After the recent rise of US soybeans, the spread of the near - month FOB premium to Brazil has been repaired higher than the same period last year. The market is expected to turn to focus on the guidance of the USDA report. Palm oil stopped falling and rebounded, but the rebound momentum on the disk is still not strong. Short - term attention should be paid to whether palm oil with a bearish near - end supply - demand situation can stabilize [4] Rapeseed Meal & Rapeseed Oil - The expected pressure on the price of foreign oilseeds drags down the domestic rapeseed futures price. The low price of Canadian rapeseed makes farmers less willing to sell, and exports are still sluggish. The domestic coastal oil mills have shut down due to the shortage of rapeseed. It is recommended to change the short - long strategy of rapeseed meal to a wait - and - see attitude and focus on the marginal changes in the oilseed import end [6] Corn - The Dalian corn futures fluctuated weakly. The increase in the supply of new corn in the Northeast has decreased, and the price is stable with a slight upward trend. The supply in Shandong has increased. After the tax cut by the State Council Tariff Commission, the tariff for importing US corn in China is 11% within the quota and 75% outside the quota. Attention should be paid to the signing of the latest Sino - US economic and trade agreement and the change in the enthusiasm of grain listing in the Northeast [6] Live Pigs - The futures price of live pigs fluctuated within a narrow range, and the funds increased positions overall. The spot price also showed a narrow - range consolidation. The inventory of breeding sows decreased month - on - month in October, continuing the trend of capacity reduction for two consecutive months. It is expected that the pig price may hit the bottom again in the first half of next year [7] Eggs - The egg futures first fell and then rose, with an overall reduction in positions. The spot price rose today. The inventory of laying hens decreased slightly month - on - month in October but is still at a historically high level. The number of culled chickens in the spot market increased, and the culling age decreased. The disk has maintained a strong pattern recently, and short - selling opportunities in the fourth quarter should be awaited [8]

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Report Industry Investment Ratings - **Thread Steel**: ★★★ (implied by the context as more positive) [1] - **Hot Rolled Coil**: ★★★ (implied by the context as more positive) [1] - **Iron Ore**: ★☆☆ [1] - **Coke**: ★☆☆ [1] - **Coking Coal**: ★☆☆ [1] - **Silicon Manganese**: ★☆☆ [1] - **Silicon Iron**: ★☆★ [1] Core Viewpoints - The overall steel market is under pressure due to weak demand expectations and declining exports, with the disk remaining under pressure. The iron ore market is expected to be in a weak and volatile state, while the coke and coking coal markets may be in a relatively strong and volatile state. The silicon manganese and silicon iron markets have strong price support at the bottom [1][2][3][5][6][7] Summary by Category Steel - The disk showed a weak and volatile trend. The demand and production of thread steel and hot rolled coil both declined, with inventory changes varying. Iron - water production continued to fall, and the negative feedback pressure in the industrial chain remained to be alleviated. The overall domestic demand was weak, and steel exports declined from the high level. The disk was under pressure, and attention should be paid to the support at the lower edge of the shock range and marginal demand changes [1] Iron Ore - The disk declined. The global iron ore shipment was at a high level, and the domestic arrival volume increased significantly. The port inventory was accumulating. The terminal demand entered the off - season, and the iron - water production continued to decrease. The supply - demand relationship was gradually loosening, and there was still a risk of negative feedback in the off - season industrial chain. It was expected to be in a weak and volatile state [2] Coke - The price fluctuated downward. After the third round of price increase was quickly implemented, there was an expectation of a fourth round. The coking profit was average, and the daily production and inventory decreased slightly. The downstream demand was weak, and the steel mills had a strong desire to lower the price. The disk price was at a premium, and it was expected to be in a relatively strong and volatile state [3] Coking Coal - The price fluctuated downward. The Mongolian coal import volume was high, and the coking coal production decreased slightly. The total inventory increased slightly, and attention should be paid to the impact of safety inspections. The downstream demand was weak, and the steel mills had a strong desire to lower the price. The disk price was at a discount to Mongolian coal, and it was expected to be in a relatively strong and volatile state [5] Silicon Manganese - The price fluctuated. The iron - water production continued to decline, while the weekly production of silicon manganese increased slightly, and the inventory was slowly accumulating. The manganese ore inventory decreased slightly, and the price had strong support at the bottom [6] Silicon Iron - The price fluctuated. The iron - water production continued to decline, but the export demand increased to about 40,000 tons, and the secondary demand increased marginally. The supply remained at a high level, and the inventory decreased. The price had strong support at the bottom [7]

Industry Investment Ratings - Crude oil: ☆☆☆, indicating a relatively clear long trend and a current appropriate investment opportunity [1] - Fuel oil: No clear indication - Low - sulfur fuel oil: No clear indication - Asphalt: ★☆☆, indicating a bullish/bearish bias, with a driving force for price movement but poor operability on the trading floor [1] - Liquefied petroleum gas: No clear indication Core Views - The sanctions on Russia's crude oil exports are unlikely to have a continuous inhibitory effect, and there is still room for the downside risk of oil prices to be released this year [1] - The price of fuel oil is mainly driven by the crude oil market, and the spread between low - sulfur and high - sulfur fuel oil is expected to further expand [2] - The asphalt market is in the off - season, with weak demand and falling prices [3] - The fundamentals of LPG have improved marginally, providing support for the LPG futures price [3] Summary by Directory Crude Oil - Overnight international oil prices fluctuated, and were relatively strong in the Asian session. China's crude oil imports in October increased by 2.3% month - on - month and 8.2% year - on - year [1] - There are rumors of the 20th round of EU sanctions on Russia, but the sanctions are unlikely to continuously suppress Russia's crude oil export volume [1] - The fastest inventory accumulation period for global oil in the fourth quarter and the first quarter of next year has not yet arrived, and the bullish support of short - term geopolitical factors for oil prices is increasingly limited [1] Fuel Oil & Low - sulfur Fuel Oil - The fuel oil market has been fluctuating, and its price is mainly affected by the crude oil market. Low - sulfur fuel oil is relatively stronger than high - sulfur fuel oil [2] - The crack spread of low - sulfur fuel oil has strengthened recently due to factors such as the unexpected shutdown of Kuwait's Al - Zour refinery and the adjustment of the shipping rhythm of Dangote refinery. However, the overall supply in Asia is still abundant, and the continuous upward momentum is expected to be limited [2] - Geopolitical factors support high - sulfur fuel oil, but the supply pattern is expected to become looser in the medium term due to the recovery of damaged refineries in Russia and other reasons [2] Asphalt - In the off - season, the demand in the north is weak, and the increase in demand for modified asphalt in the southwest and south China cannot make up for the decline. The shipment volume of 54 sample refineries decreased week - on - week [3] - Social inventories have been increasing year - on - year since the end of October. Refineries have been reducing prices, and market sentiment is bearish [3] Liquefied Petroleum Gas - The LPG futures contract has continued to fluctuate in a narrow range. The chemical demand for propane and butane has increased, and the demand for combustion has improved due to the significant cooling in many places [3] - The storage rates of refineries and ports have decreased, and the improved fundamentals support the LPG futures price [3]

| 11/11/2 | > 国技期货 | 责金属日报 | | --- | --- | --- | | | 操作评级 | 2025年11月07日 | | 黄金 | ☆☆☆ | 刘冬博 高级分析师 | | 白银 | ☆☆☆ | F3062795 Z0015311 | | | | 吴江 高级分析师 | | | | F3085524 Z0016394 | | | | 010-58747784 gtaxinstitute@essence.com.cn | 本周美国部分经济数据继续缺失，已公布数据表现稳健，美联储官员讲话继续保持谨慎，但史上最长的政府 停摆令经济和美联储政策前景存在不确定性。市场等待新的驱动出现，贵金属构筑高位震荡平台，暂时保持 观望。美国地质勤探局(USGS)公布最新关键矿产清单,新增铜、银等矿产，关键矿产清单决定了哪些商品 将被纳入特朗普政府4月宣布的加工关键矿产及其衍生产品相关232条款调查，未来需关注相关关税政策和贸 易限制措施。 ★美国私人数据提供商Revelio Labs: 美国10月份非农就业岗位减少了9100个;美国10月挑战者企业裁员人 数同比大增175%，年内裁员人数同比增长65%；芝 ...

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the content. 2. Core View of the Report The report presents a weekly overview of futures price and volume data, including the closing prices, weekly price changes, 20 - day annualized volatility, volatility changes, speculation degrees, trend degrees, and capital changes of various futures products across different commodity categories such as precious metals, non - ferrous metals, black metals, energy and chemicals, agricultural products, forest products, livestock products, and financial futures. It also shows year - to - date price changes, weekly average open interest changes, and weekly capital flow changes for these futures [3][4][12]. 3. Summary by Commodity Categories Precious Metals - Gold closed at 921.26 with a 0.38% weekly increase, 20 - day annualized volatility of 34.35%, and a volatility change of - 4.61%. Capital increased by 3.93 [3]. - Silver and copper closed at 11,484.00 and 85,940.00 respectively, with weekly decreases of 1.23%. Their 20 - day annualized volatility was 17.85%, and volatility decreased by 21.98%. Capital decreased by 9.30 [3]. Non - Ferrous Metals - Nickel closed at 119,440.00, down 0.95% weekly. Its 20 - day annualized volatility was 8.71%, and volatility decreased by 44.14%. Capital increased by 9.75 [3]. - Aluminum closed at 21,625.00, up 1.41% weekly. Its 20 - day annualized volatility was 9.29%, and volatility decreased by 4.55%. Capital increased by 28.58 [3]. - Tin closed at 283,510.00, down 0.14% weekly. Its 20 - day annualized volatility was 11.93%, and volatility decreased by 39.20%. Capital decreased by 1.45 [3]. Black Metals - Iron ore closed at 760.50, down 4.94% weekly. Its 20 - day annualized volatility was 19.20%, and volatility increased by 5.95%. Capital increased by 1.60 [3]. - Coke closed at 1,756.50, down 1.15% weekly. Its 20 - day annualized volatility was 27.44%, and volatility decreased by 13.29%. Capital decreased by 1.43 [3]. - Coking coal closed at 1,270.00, down 1.24% weekly. Its 20 - day annualized volatility was 35.11%, and volatility decreased by 12.86%. Capital decreased by 2.78 [3]. Energy and Chemicals - Crude oil closed at 460.60, up 0.41% weekly. Its 20 - day annualized volatility was 21.32%, and volatility decreased by 7.79%. Capital increased by 2.00 [3]. - Fuel oil closed at 2,695.00, with a complex performance including a - 1.82% and 0.18% change. Its 20 - day annualized volatility was 21.46%, and volatility decreased by 3.41% and 3.11%. Capital had different changes of 1.94 and - 0.69 [3]. - PTA closed at 4,664.00, up 1.70% weekly. Its 20 - day annualized volatility was 15.80%, and volatility increased by 1.30%. Capital increased by 5.09 [3]. Agricultural Products - Cotton closed at 13,580.00, down 0.11% weekly. Its 20 - day annualized volatility was 5.54%, and volatility decreased by 26.73%. Capital increased by 6.05 [3]. - Sugar closed at 5,457.00, down 0.47% weekly. Its 20 - day annualized volatility was 7.29%, and volatility decreased by 0.95%. Capital increased by 2.04 [3]. - Corn closed at 2,149.00, up 0.89% weekly. Its 20 - day annualized volatility was 10.65%, and volatility decreased by 2.43%. Capital increased by 3.73 [3]. Financial Futures - IC closed at 7,230.20, down 0.17% weekly. Its 20 - day annualized volatility was 24.87%, and volatility decreased by 5.65%. Capital decreased by 50.68 [4]. - IF closed at 4,659.40, up 0.60% weekly. Its 20 - day annualized volatility was 17.35%, and volatility decreased by 12.22%. Capital decreased by 40.88 [4]. - IM closed at 7,412.00, up 0.59% weekly. Its 20 - day annualized volatility was 19.84%, and volatility decreased by 7.29%. Capital decreased by 15.67 [4]. 4. Other Key Information - Year - to - date price changes vary widely across different futures products, with silver having the highest increase of 53.73% and some products having significant decreases such as - 18.97% for a certain product [12]. - 20 - day rubber, aluminum, rapeseed meal, soybean No. 2, and industrial silicon had relatively large increases in open interest [14][16]. - Aluminum, nickel, rapeseed meal, zinc, and palm oil attracted more capital attention [15].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the document. 2. Report's Core View - No information provided in the document. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalog - **Copper**: SMM 1 electrolytic copper average price is 86,015 with a rise of 20, and SMM flat - water copper premium/discount is 15 with a rise of 15 [1]. - **Aluminum**: SMM A00 aluminum average price is 21,540 with a rise of 180, and SMM A00 aluminum premium/discount is - 30 with no change; Alumina (Shanxi) price is 2,840 with no change, and Australian alumina FOB average price is 320 dollars with a rise of 3 dollars [1]. - **Lead**: SMM 1 lead ingot average price is 17,250 with a rise of 25, and SMM 1 lead ingot premium/discount to the current - month futures at 10:15 is - 170 with a fall of 45; Recycled refined lead average price is 17,200, recycled lead average price rises by 25, and the refined - scrap price difference is 50 with no change [1]. - **Zinc**: SMM 0 zinc ingot average price is 22,640 with a rise of 140, and SMM 0 zinc ingot premium/discount to the current - month futures at 10:15 is - 5 with a rise of 10 [1]. - **Tin**: SMM 1 tin average price is 283,700 with a rise of 900, and SMM 1 tin premium/discount to the current - month futures at 10:15 is 700 with a fall of 70; 40% tin concentrate (Yunnan) average price is 271,700 with a rise of 900, and the ratio of 40% tin concentrate (Yunnan) to SMM 1 tin is 95.77% [1]. - **Nickel**: 1 imported nickel average price is 119,825 with a rise of 350, and 1 imported nickel premium/discount to the Shanghai nickel contract average price is 400 with no change; SMM electrowon nickel average price is 119,500 with a rise of 350, and SMM electrowon nickel premium/discount average price is 75 with no change; 1 Jinchuan nickel average price is 122,425 with a rise of 500, and 1 Jinchuan nickel premium/discount to the Shanghai nickel contract average price is 3000 with a rise of 150 [1]. - **Silicon - related**: Oxygen - permeable 421 (Xinjiang) average price is 9,100 with a rise of 0.55, and its premium/discount to the current - month futures at 10:15 is 820 with a fall of 150; N - type polysilicon re - feedstock average price is 52.2 with no change, and N - type polysilicon dense material average price is 51 with no change [1]. - **Lithium - related**: Battery - grade lithium carbonate average price is 80,400 with no change, and its premium/discount to the current - month futures at 10:15 is - 1460 with a fall of 2920; Industrial - grade lithium carbonate average price is 78,200, the battery - industrial lithium carbonate price difference is 2200 with no change [1]. Analysts - Lang Duo, Chief Analyst, research direction: copper, tin,从业资格证号: F3047773, investment consulting number: Z0014087 [1]. - Liu Dongbo, Senior Analyst, research direction: aluminum, alumina, gold,从业资格证号: F3062795, investment consulting number: Z0015311 [1]. - Wu Jiang, Senior Analyst, research direction: nickel and stainless steel, silver, lithium carbonate,从业资格证号: F3085524, investment consulting number: Z0016394 [1]. - Sun Fangfang, Intermediate Analyst, research direction: lead, zinc,从业资格证号: F03111330, investment consulting number: Z0018905 [1]. - Zhang Xiurui, Intermediate Analyst, research direction: industrial (the description seems incomplete),从业资格证号: F03099436, investment consulting number: Z0021022 [1].