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白糖日报-20251118
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-11-18 11:59
行业 白糖日报 日期 2025 年 11 月 18 日 研究员:王海峰 021-60635728 wanghaifeng@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F0230741 021-60635740 linzhenlei@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3055047 021-60635732 yulanlan@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F0301101 021-60635732 hongchenliang@ccb.ccbfutures .com 期货从业资格号:F3076808 研究员:刘悠然 021-60635570 liuyouran@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F03094925 农产品研究团队 研究员:林贞磊 研究员:余兰兰 研究员:洪辰亮 请阅读正文后的声明 #summary# 请阅读正文后的声明 - 2 - 印度政府已批准 2025-26 榨季出口 150 万吨食糖,并决定取消甘蔗糖蜜出口 税,将该关税调整为零 150 万吨糖出口配额将按比例分配给在运营的糖厂, 分配依据为各厂过去三个季的平均产量。 ...
纯碱、玻璃日报-20251118
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-11-18 11:58
Report Information - Report Title: Soda Ash and Glass Daily Report [1] - Report Date: November 18, 2025 [2] Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Viewpoints - The soda ash market is expected to maintain a short - term oscillatory and slightly stronger trend, while the glass market is likely to continue its downward trend in the medium term if there is no new market expectation stimulus [8][9] Summary by Section 1. Soda Ash and Glass Market Review and Operation Suggestions Soda Ash - On November 17, the main soda ash futures SA601 contract oscillated with a slight upward trend. The closing price was 1,231 yuan/ton, up 2 yuan/ton or 0.16%, with a daily reduction of 19,289 lots [7] - Fundamentally, enterprise production and sales are approaching balance, and inventory reduction is not obvious. Weekly soda ash production decreased 1.01% to 73.93 tons, still at a high level. The soda ash device is running stably, and individual overhauls have little overall impact. In the demand side, the shipment of Chinese soda ash enterprises from mid - to early November increased 1.57% to 74.62 tons. The production of float glass decreased 1.08% to 111.39 tons. The alkali plant inventory slightly decreased to 170.73 tons, in the middle range of the past six months [8] - In the short - term, the disk price is affected by the increase in light soda ash price and the expected equipment overhaul in late November, and is expected to maintain an oscillatory and slightly stronger trend. In the long - term, the supply - demand pattern of oversupply may continue [8] Glass - Fundamentally, the daily melting volume of float glass remains high, and the supply is supported. The photovoltaic glass is in a weak balance, and the overall glass supply is at a high level for the year. After the holiday, the factory inventory remains high. The real estate market has not shown a stabilizing trend, and the demand for float glass may not continue to rise [9] - Recently, the disk price has been oscillating weakly. In the medium - term, if there is no new market expectation, the downward trend of the disk is difficult to change [9] 2. Data Overview - The report provides data on the price trends of active soda ash and glass contracts, weekly soda ash production, soda ash enterprise inventory, central China heavy soda ash market price, and flat glass production, with data sources from Wind and iFind [12][14][17]
建信期货纸浆日报-20251118
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-11-18 11:58
Group 1: Report Information - Report Type: Pulp Daily Report [1] - Date: November 18, 2025 [2] - Research Team: Energy and Chemical Research Team [4] Group 2: Market Review and Operation Suggestions - Pulp Futures: The previous settlement price of the 01 contract was 5474 yuan/ton, and the closing price was 5474 yuan/ton, with an overall increase of 0.00%. [7] - Shandong Wood Pulp Market: The intended transaction price range of softwood pulp was 4900 - 6500 yuan/ton, remaining stable from the previous trading day. The price of Shandong Yinxing was 5550 yuan/ton. [7] - International News: Finnforest Metsa notified Chinese customers that the November quotation of softwood pulp increased by $20. In September, the chemical pulp shipments of the world's 20 pulp - producing countries increased by 8.3% year - on - year, with softwood pulp up 3.8% and hardwood pulp up 11.8%. Shipments to the Chinese market continued to grow. [7] - European Market: In October, the European wood pulp inventory was 703,900 tons, a month - on - month decrease of 2.8% and a year - on - year increase of 3.4%. The consumption was 844,100 tons, a month - on - month increase of 4.8% and a year - on - year increase of 1.2%. [7] - Inventory: As of November 14, 2025, the weekly pulp inventory in major regions and ports was 1.9766 million tons, an increase of 4.22% from the previous week. [7] - Downstream Market: The performance of downstream base paper remained differentiated. The packaging paper market continued to be favorable, while the prices of other base papers were stable. The improvement of social orders for offset paper was limited, and publishing tenders continued. [7] Group 3: Industry News - Hong Kong Stock Market: On November 17, Hong Kong paper stocks rose. Chenming Paper led with a gain of over 6%, Nine Dragons Paper rose over 5%, and Lee & Man Paper rose nearly 3%. [8] - Price Increase: Since November, the price increase wave in the domestic paper industry has intensified. Shanying Paper raised the prices of products such as red fir paper and corrugated paper by 30 - 100 yuan/ton, and the core product categories in Guangdong and Zhejiang bases increased by 50 yuan/ton. Nine Dragons Paper and other enterprises followed suit. [8] - Market Outlook: Driven by the packaging demand during the "Double Eleven" period, the price increase of packaging paper was supported, but industry insiders pointed out that the price increase might not be sustainable due to the oversupply of bulk paper materials. [8]
建信期货聚烯烃日报-20251118
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-11-18 11:58
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core View of the Report In the context of weak cost support and a continuously loose supply - demand situation, the overall price of polyolefins is expected to remain under pressure. Although the relatively low absolute price may stimulate periodic replenishment demand, providing weak support to the market, the price is likely to oscillate within the bottom range [4]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Market Review and Outlook - **Futures Market Performance**: The opening, closing, highest, lowest prices, price changes, price change rates, trading volumes, and open interest changes of plastic and PP futures contracts (such as plastic 2601, plastic 2605, etc.) are presented. For example, plastic 2601 closed at 6843 yuan/ton, down 17 yuan/ton (-0.25%), and PP2601 closed at 6467 yuan/ton, down 23 yuan (-0.35%) [3][4]. - **Supply - Demand Situation**: In October, the Guangxi Petrochemical plant was successfully put into production. There are no new production plans in November. Some maintenance plants will restart, and the weekly output has increased as expected. In November, the demand is expected to weaken, and downstream buyers have returned to purchasing based on rigid demand after restocking at low prices, which cannot effectively drive up prices [4]. - **Cost Factor**: EIA has raised the inventory accumulation forecast for the fourth quarter. Although OPEC+ has suspended production increases in the first quarter of next year, it is difficult to reverse the oversupply situation, and the cost support for plastics and chemicals is weak [4]. 3.2 Industry News - **Inventory**: On November 17, 2025, the inventory level of major producers was 720,000 tons, an increase of 80,000 tons (12.50%) from the previous working day, compared with 700,000 tons in the same period last year [5]. - **Market Prices**: PE market prices showed partial fluctuations. The prices of LLDPE in North China, East China, and South China were in the ranges of 6800 - 7100 yuan/ton, 6930 - 7400 yuan/ton, and 7050 - 7400 yuan/ton respectively. The mainstream price of propylene in the Shandong market was 5760 - 5800 yuan/ton, up 15 yuan/ton from the previous day. The mainstream prices of PP in North China, East China, and South China were in the ranges of 6230 - 6450 yuan/ton, 6340 - 6600 yuan/ton, and 6450 - 6550 yuan/ton respectively [5][6]. 3.3 Data Overview The report presents multiple data charts, including L basis, PP basis, L - PP spread, crude oil futures settlement price, two - oil inventory, and two - oil inventory year - on - year change rate, but specific data values are not provided in the text [9][12][13].
建信期货股指日评-20251118
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-11-18 11:58
报告类型 股指日评 研究员:何卓乔(宏观贵金属) 18665641296 hezhuoqiao@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3008762 研究员:黄雯昕(宏观国债集运) 021-60635739 huangwenxin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3051589 宏观金融团队 请阅读正文后的声明 #summary# 每日报告 日期 2025 年 11 月 18 日 研究员:聂嘉怡(股指) 021-60635735 niejiayi@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F03124070 一、行情回顾与后市展望 1.1 行情回顾: 11 月 17 日,万得全 A 缩量下跌,开盘震荡回落,尾盘有所修复,收跌 0.15%; 沪深 300、上证 50、中证 500 收盘分别下跌 0.65%、0.87%、0.00%,中证 1000 收 盘上涨 0.27%,中小盘股表现更优。期货方面,期货表现强于现货,IF、IH 主力 合约分别收跌 0.41%、0.70%,IC、IM 主力合约分别收涨 0.08%、0.30%(按收盘 价计算)。 | 表1:股指期 ...
建信期货PTA日报-20251118
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-11-18 11:58
1. Report Information - Report Type: PTA Daily Report [1] - Date: November 18, 2025 [2] - Research Team: Energy and Chemical Research Team [4] 2. Market Review and Operation Suggestions - Futures Market: On the 17th, the closing price of PTA's main futures contract TA2601 was 4,692 yuan/ton, down 20 yuan/ton (0.42%), with a settlement price of 4,696 yuan/ton and a daily reduction of 6,523 lots. The TA2605 contract closed at 4,756 yuan/ton, down 18 yuan/ton, with a trading volume of 84,010 lots, an increase of 10,594 lots [6] - Market Outlook: Although PTA is theoretically in a de - stocking state, the decline in the crude oil market weakens cost support, and there is no tight supply in the PTA spot market. Therefore, the PTA market is expected to be weak [6] 3. Industry News - Crude Oil: Due to concerns about supply after a Ukrainian drone attack on an oil depot in a European country's energy center, international oil prices continued to rise. The settlement price of WTI crude oil futures for December 2025 on the New York Mercantile Exchange was $60.09 per barrel, up $1.40 (2.39%), trading between $58.71 - $60.65. The settlement price of Brent crude oil futures for January 2026 on the London Intercontinental Exchange was $64.39 per barrel, up $1.38 (2.19%), trading between $63.36 - $64.87 [7] - PX Market: The price of PX in the Chinese market was estimated at $829 - 831/ton, down $1/ton; in the South Korean market, it was estimated at $809 - 811/ton, down $1/ton. There was one deal heard during the day, with any January cargo sold at $830/ton. The cost - side single - sided driving force is insufficient due to the fluctuating international oil prices, and the market is waiting to see the operation progress of a PX plant in South China, leading to increased long - short game sentiment [7] - PTA Market: The price of PTA in the East China market was 4,622 yuan/ton, down 12 yuan/ton. The average daily negotiation basis was at a discount of 74 yuan/ton to the futures contract 2601, up 4 yuan/ton [7] 4. Data Overview - The report provides multiple data charts, including international crude oil futures prices, upstream raw material spot prices, PX prices, MEG prices, PTA futures prices, basis differences, PTA warehouse receipts, polyester factory load rates, PTA downstream product prices, and inventory [11][13][17]
建信期货豆粕日报-20251118
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-11-18 11:58
行业 豆粕 日期 2025 年 11 月 18 日 021-60635732 yulanlan@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F0301101 021-60635740 linzhenlei@ccb.ccbfutures.co m期货从业资格号:F3055047 021-60635727 wanghaifeng@ccb.ccbfutures.c om期货从业资格号:F0230741 021-60635572 hongchenliang@ccb.ccbfutures .com 期货从业资格号:F3076808 021-60635570 liuyouran@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F03094925 农产品研究团队 研究员:余兰兰 研究员:林贞磊 研究员:王海峰 研究员:洪辰亮 研究员:刘悠然 请阅读正文后的声明 #summary# 每日报告 | 表1:行情回顾 | | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 合约 | 前结算 ...
贵金属日评-20251118
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-11-18 11:58
研究员:黄雯昕(国债集运) 021-60635739 huangwenxin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3051589 研究员:聂嘉怡(股指) 021-60635735 niejiayi@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F03124070 行业 贵金属日评 日期 2025 年 11 月 18 日 宏观金融团队 研究员:何卓乔(宏观贵金属) 021-60635739 hezhuoqiao@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3008762 请阅读正文后的声明 每日报告 一、贵金属行情及展望 日内行情: 上周在伦敦黄金反弹至 4245 美元/盎司和伦敦白银接近历史记录之后,美联 储官员表态鹰派抑制了美联储降息预期,美元汇率获得提振而金银价格随之回落; 我们判断短期内美联储放缓降息步伐甚至暂停降息、中美贸易形势边际缓和等利 空因素,与地缘政治风险上升和国际贸易货币体系加速重组等利多因素相平衡, 伦敦黄金需要在 3880-4380 美元/盎司的波动区间内运行更长时间以积累再次突 破动能,目前阶段不宜过度追涨杀跌。但在中期维度,环球央行宽松、地缘政 ...
建信期货MEG日报-20251118
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-11-18 11:58
Group 1: Report Information - Report Name: MEG Daily Report [1] - Date: November 18, 2025 [2] - Research Team: Energy and Chemical Research Team [4] Group 2: Market Review and Operation Suggestions - Futures Market Quotes: EG2601 closed at 3938 yuan/ton, up 14 yuan, with a position of 333,212 lots, down 5,448 lots; EG2605 closed at 4023 yuan/ton, up 9 yuan, with a position of 43,117 lots, down 785 lots [7] - Market Situation: On the 17th, the main contract of ethylene glycol futures opened at 3920, reached a high of 3961, a low of 3912, settled at 3932, and closed at 3938, up 14 yuan from the previous trading day's settlement price. The total volume was 181,817 lots, and the position was 333,212 lots [7] - Operation Suggestion: Recently, the supply reduction caused by the shutdown and load reduction of multiple ethylene glycol plants has offset the pressure brought by the accumulation of inventory at ports, and the price of crude oil at the cost end has shown a strong trend. It is expected that ethylene glycol may maintain a strong shock in the short term [7] Group 3: Industry News - International Oil Price: Due to concerns about supply caused by a Ukrainian drone attack on an oil depot in an energy center of a European country, international oil prices continued to rise. WTI exceeded $60 per barrel again. On Friday (November 14), the settlement price of WTI crude oil futures for December 2025 on the New York Mercantile Exchange was $60.09 per barrel, up $1.40 or 2.39% from the previous trading day, with a trading range of $58.71 - $60.65; the settlement price of Brent crude oil futures for January 2026 on the London Intercontinental Exchange was $64.39 per barrel, up $1.38 or 2.19% from the previous trading day, with a trading range of $63.36 - $64.87 [8] - Ethylene Glycol Spot Price: In the Zhangjiagang ethylene glycol market, the spot negotiation this week was 3974 - 3975 yuan/ton, down 5.5 yuan/ton from the previous working day; the negotiation for November was 3974 - 3975 yuan/ton, and for December was 3974 - 3976 yuan/ton. The spot basis was at a premium of 36 - 37 yuan/ton compared to EG2601, the basis for November was at a premium of 36 - 37 yuan/ton, and for December was at a premium of 36 - 38 yuan/ton. The ethylene glycol futures showed a strong shock, the spot price in Zhangjiagang decreased slightly, and the basis negotiation continued to weaken. The mainstream transaction price in the Zhangjiagang market was 3960 - 3990 yuan/ton, down 5 yuan/ton from the previous trading day; the negotiation range in the Fujian market was 4030 - 4050 yuan/ton, down 10 yuan/ton from the previous trading day [8] Group 4: Data Overview - Data Charts: Include charts such as PTA - MEG price difference, MEG price, MEG futures price, spot - futures price difference, international crude oil futures main contract closing price, raw material price index (ethylene), MEG downstream product price, and MEG downstream product inventory [10][15][16] - Data Source: Wind, Research and Development Department of CCB Futures [11][12][13]
建信期货多晶硅日报-20251118
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-11-18 11:58
多晶硅日报 油) 021-60635738 lijie@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3031215 021-60635737 renjunchi@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3037892 硅)028-8663 0631 penghaozhou@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3065843 021-60635740 pengjinglin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3075681 021-60635570 liuyouran@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F03094925 研究员:冯泽仁(玻璃纯碱) 021-60635727 fengzeren@ccb.ccbfutures.com 行业 请阅读正文后的声明 每日报告 一、行情回顾与展望 市场表现:多晶硅主力合约价格先弱后强,PS2601 合约收盘价 52655 元/吨,跌 幅 2.90%,成交量 249766 手,持仓量 136243 手,净减 8948 手。 现货价格:多晶硅 n 型复投料成交价格区间为 4.9-5.5 ...