1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the given content 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - BZ2603 fluctuated strongly and closed at 6,032 yuan/ton. The supply of pure benzene is expected to increase slightly this week, while the demand recovery may be limited. The pre - holiday stocking demand of downstream enterprises may support the price, but it is difficult to drive up the price. The short - term geopolitical conflicts have limited impact on the cost, and the international oil price is under pressure. Affected by the upcoming new round of key industry stable - growth policies, industrial products mainly rose during the day. The daily K - line of BZ2603 should pay attention to the pressure around 6,070 [2] 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market - The latest daily closing price of pure benzene futures is 6,032 yuan/ton, with a month - on - month increase of 44; the settlement price is 6,021 yuan/ton, with a month - on - month increase of 32. The trading volume is 4,149 lots, with a month - on - month decrease of 596; the open interest is 12,379 lots, with a month - on - month increase of 80 [2] 3.2 Spot Market - The mainstream prices of pure benzene in East China, North China, South China, and Northeast China are 5,910 yuan/ton, 5,990 yuan/ton, 5,900 yuan/ton, and 5,970 yuan/ton respectively. The mainstream prices of hydrogenated benzene in Jiangsu and Shanxi are 6,075 yuan/ton and 5,750 yuan/ton respectively. The FOB mid - price of pure benzene in South Korea is 714 US dollars/ton, with a month - on - month decrease of 3; the CFR mid - price of pure benzene in China is 732.5 US dollars/ton, with a month - on - month decrease of 5 [2] 3.3 Upstream Situation - The spot price of Brent DTD crude oil is 67.8 US dollars/barrel, with a month - on - month increase of 1.32; the CFR mid - price of naphtha in Japan is 598.5 US dollars/ton, with a month - on - month decrease of 5.5 [2] 3.4 Industry Situation - The capacity utilization rate of pure benzene is 78.14%, with a month - on - month increase of 0.13; the weekly output is 45.55 tons, with a month - on - month increase of 0.22. The port inventory is 14.4 tons, with a month - on - month decrease of 0.5. The production cost is 5,327.8 yuan/ton, with a month - on - month decrease of 118.2; the production profit is 737 yuan/ton, with a month - on - month increase of 76 [2] 3.5 Downstream Situation - The开工率 of styrene is 74.98%, with a month - on - month decrease of 4.76; the capacity utilization rate of caprolactam is 95.72%, with a month - on - month increase of 6.41; the capacity utilization rate of phenol is 78.54%, with a month - on - month decrease of 0.46; the capacity utilization rate of aniline is 69.24%, with a month - on - month decrease of 0.1; the capacity utilization rate of adipic acid is 64.3%, with a month - on - month increase of 2 [2] 3.6 Industry News - As of September 15, the pure benzene inventory in Jiangsu ports was 13.4 tons, with a month - on - month decrease of 6.94%. From September 5th to 11th, the profit of petroleum benzene of PetroChina was 443 yuan/ton, with a month - on - month decrease of 69 yuan/ton [2] 3.7 Viewpoint Summary - The supply of pure benzene is expected to increase slightly this week, and the restart of some downstream parking devices may narrow the domestic supply - demand gap in the short term. However, the demand recovery may be limited due to the styrene maintenance cycle from late September to October. The pre - holiday stocking demand of downstream enterprises may support the price, but it is difficult to drive up the price. The short - term geopolitical conflicts have limited impact on the cost, and the international oil price is under pressure. Affected by the upcoming new round of key industry stable - growth policies, industrial products mainly rose during the day. The daily K - line of BZ2603 should pay attention to the pressure around 6,070 [2]

沪铜产业日报 2025/9/15 免责声明 本报告中的信息均来源于公开可获得资料，瑞达期货股份有限公司力求准确可靠，但对这些信息的准确性及完整性不做任何保证，据此投资，责任自负。本报告不构成个人投资建议， 客户应考虑本报告中的任何意见或建议是否符合其特定状况。本报告版权仅为我公司所有，未经书面许可，任何机构和个人不得以任何形式翻版、复制和发布。如引用、刊发，需注明 出处为瑞 达研究瑞达期货股份有限公司研究院，且不得对本报告进行有悖原意的引用、删节和修改。 研究员: 陈思嘉 期货从业资格号F03118799 期货投资咨询从业证书号Z0022803 | 项目类别 | 数据指标 最新 环比 | 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 期货主力合约收盘价:沪铜(日,元/吨) 80,940.00 | -120.00↓ LME3个月铜(日,美元/吨) | 10,086.00 | +18.50↑ | | 期货市场 | 主力合约隔月价差(日,元/吨) 30.00 | +50.00↑ 主力合约持仓量:沪铜(日,手) | 179,256.00 | -7620.00 ...

66.51 万吨。另外近期到港棉花主要以澳棉和印度棉为主，巴西棉较少，港口库存降至近两年最低。市场供 数据来源第三方(wind、同花顺、棉花信息网、棉花协会网)，观点仅供参考。市场有风险，投资需谨慎！ 应仍趋于偏紧态势。下游订单略有增加，纺企开机仍维持低位，关注传统消费旺季备货情况。操作上，建 研究员: 王翠冰 期货从业资格号F03139616 期货投资咨询从业证书号Z0021556 议短期暂且观望。 免责声明 本报告中的信息均来源于公开可获得资料，瑞达期货股份有限公司力求准确可靠，但对这些信息的准确性及完整性不做任 何保证，据此投资，责任自负。本报告不构成个人投资建议，客户应考虑本报告中的任何意见或建议是否符合其特定状况。本 报告版权仅为我公司所有，未经书面许可，任何机构和个人不得以任何形式翻版、复制和发布。如引用、刊发，需注明出处为 瑞达期货股份有限公司研究院，且不得对本报告进行有悖原意的引用、删节和修改。 | 项目类别 | 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 期货市场 | 郑棉主力合约收盘价(日, ...

率89.59%，同比加快0.65个百分点。工业库存116.23万吨，同比增加6.01万吨。不过下游处于双节备货阶 数据来源第三方(同花顺、wind)，观点仅供参考，市场有风险，投资需谨慎！ 段，预计刚需对价格有所支撑。短期糖价下跌或受限。操作上，建议观望为主。 研究员: 王翠冰 期货从业资格号F03139616 期货投资咨询从业证书号Z0021556 免责声明 白糖产业日报 2025-09-15 | 项目类别 | 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 期货市场 | 期货主力合约收盘价:白糖(日,元/吨) | 5549 | 9 主力合约持仓量:白糖(日,手) | 381607 | -2891 | | | 仓单数量:白糖(日,张) | 11325 | -274 期货前20名持仓:净买单量:白糖(日,手) | -55352 | -3373 | | | 有效仓单预报:白糖:小计(日,张) 进口加工估算价(配额内):巴西糖(日,元/ | 6 | 0 20 进口加工估算价(配额内):泰国糖(日,元/ | | | | ...

| 项目类别 | 数据指标 环比 | 最新 | 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 期货市场 | 67 期货成交量(活跃:成交量):苯乙烯(EB)(日, 期货收盘价(活跃合约):苯乙烯(日,元/吨) 前20名持仓:买单量:苯乙烯(日,手) -12432 11月合约收盘价:苯乙烯(日,元/吨) | 7087 369534 | | 218394 7097 | 28213 67 | | | 手) | | | | | | | 期货持仓量(活跃:成交量):苯乙烯(EB)(日, -35506 前20名持仓:净买单量:苯乙烯(日,手) | 220017 | | -30154 | -2856 | | | 手) 前20名持仓:卖单量:苯乙烯(日,手) -9576 仓单数量:苯乙烯:总计(日,手) 现货价:苯乙烯(日,元/吨) -80 苯乙烯:FOB韩国:中间价(日,美元/吨) | 399688 7314 | | 1498 862 | -283 -7 | | | 苯乙烯:CFR中国:中间价(日,美元/吨) | 872 | | 7080 | 0 | | ...

| | | | 项目类别 | 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 期货市场 | 期货主力合约收盘价:沪锡(日,元/吨) | 273960 | 10 10月-11月合约收盘价:沪锡(日,元/吨) | -190 | 10 | | | LME3个月锡(日,美元/吨) | 34955 | 255 主力合约持仓量:沪锡(日,手) | 26117 | -1373 | | | 期货前20名净持仓:沪锡(日,手) | -1780 | -762 LME锡:总库存(日,吨) | 2620 | 235 | | | 上期所库存:锡(周,吨) | 7897 | 124 LME锡:注销仓单(日,吨) | 185 | -15 | | | 上期所仓单:锡(日,吨) | 7402 | 76 | | | | 现货市场 | SMM1#锡现货价格(日,元/吨) | 273300 | -600 长江有色市场1#锡现货价(日,元/吨) | 273940 | -630 | | | 沪锡主力合约基差(日,元/吨) | -660 | -610 LME锡 ...

Group 1: Report Summary - The report is a daily report on the Shanghai nickel industry dated September 15, 2025 [2] Group 2: Market Data Futures Market - The closing price of the main futures contract for Shanghai nickel was 122,580 yuan/ton, up 600 yuan; the 10 - 11 month contract spread was -240 yuan/ton, down 60 yuan [3] - The LME 3 - month nickel price was 1,5380 dollars/ton, up 160 dollars; the main contract position volume of Shanghai nickel was 70,610 hands, down 2,030 hands [3] - The net long position of the top 20 futures holders for Shanghai nickel was -28,268 hands, up 1,774 hands; the LME nickel inventory was 224,484 tons, down 600 tons [3] - The Shanghai Futures Exchange nickel inventory was 27,500 tons, up 514 tons; the LME nickel cancelled warrant total was 7,974 tons, down 600 tons [3] - The warrant quantity for Shanghai nickel was 24,959 tons, up 1,430 tons [3] Spot Market - The SMM 1 nickel spot price was 123,000 yuan/ton, up 150 yuan; the spot average price of 1 nickel plate from Yangtze River Co., Ltd. was 123,100 yuan/ton, up 350 yuan [3] - The CIF (bill of lading) price of Shanghai electrolytic nickel was 85 dollars/ton, unchanged; the bonded warehouse (warrant) price of Shanghai electrolytic nickel was 85 dollars/ton, unchanged [3] - The average price of battery - grade nickel sulfate was 28,100 yuan/ton, unchanged; the basis of the NI main contract was 420 yuan/ton, down 450 yuan [3] - The LME nickel (spot/three - month) spread was -171.2 dollars/ton, up 2.52 dollars [3] Upstream Situation - The monthly import volume of nickel ore was 500.58 million tons, up 65.92 million tons; the total port inventory of nickel ore was 1,386.16 million tons, up 77.93 million tons [3] - The average monthly import price of nickel ore was 63.77 dollars/ton, down 2.08 dollars; the tax - included price of Indonesian laterite nickel ore with 1.8% Ni was 41.71 dollars/wet ton, unchanged [3] Industry Situation - The monthly electrolytic nickel output was 29,430 tons, up 1,120 tons; the total monthly nickel - iron output was 2.2 million metal tons, down 0.02 million metal tons [3] - The monthly import volume of refined nickel and alloys was 38,234.02 tons, up 21,018.74 tons; the monthly import volume of nickel - iron was 83.59 million tons, down 20.55 million tons [3] Downstream Situation - The monthly output of 300 - series stainless steel was 3.98 million tons; the total weekly inventory of 300 - series stainless steel was 173.79 million tons, down 1.34 million tons [3] Group 3: Industry News - In August 2025, China's new RMB loans were 59 billion yuan, 31 billion yuan less than the same period last year; the social financing increment was 2.57 trillion yuan, 460 billion yuan less than the same period last year; the year - on - year growth rate of M1 was 6.0%, and that of M2 was 8.8% [3] - Morgan Stanley expects the Fed to cut interest rates by 25 basis points in each of the remaining three meetings this year, and in January, April and July 2026. The probability of a 25 - basis - point rate cut by the FOMC this week is 93.4% [3] Group 4: Core Views - On the macro - front, China's new social financing in August was 2.57 trillion yuan, new loans were 59 billion yuan, and the M2 - M1 gap reached a four - year low. Global financial markets will face a "central bank super - week" [3] - On the fundamental side, Indonesia's PNBP policy restricts release, increasing the cost of nickel resource supply. The premium of domestic mines is stable. Philippine nickel ore supply is rising, but domestic port inventories are falling, with raw materials in a tight situation [3] - In the smelting sector, the production rhythm of leading enterprises in July remained stable, the output of some smelters increased, and new production capacity is still planned, driving a slight increase in overall refined nickel output [3] - On the demand side, the profit of stainless - steel plants has improved, and they have increased production. The production and sales of new - energy vehicles continue to rise, but the demand for ternary batteries is limited. Recently, downstream buyers purchase on dips, the spot premium is stable, domestic inventories increase, and overseas LME inventories accumulate [3] - Technically, the position increases and the price rebounds, with wide - range oscillations. Attention should be paid to the resistance at 125,000 yuan. It is recommended to wait and see or conduct range - bound operations [3]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - The report indicates that on the supply side, zinc ore imports at home and abroad have increased, zinc ore processing fees have continued to rise, and the price of sulfuric acid has risen significantly, leading to further repair of smelter profits and increased production enthusiasm. With the release of new production capacity and the resumption of previously overhauled capacity, supply growth has accelerated. Currently, import losses continue to widen, leading to a decrease in the inflow of imported zinc. - On the demand side, the downstream is at the end of the off - season. The inventory pressure of galvanized sheets is not significant, and the operating rate of processing enterprises shows a stable upward trend. Recently, zinc prices have rebounded, and downstream buyers maintain on - demand procurement, resulting in a dull trading atmosphere. Domestic social inventories have increased, and the spot premium remains low. Overseas, LME inventories have decreased significantly, and the spot premium has risen, supporting zinc prices. - Technically, positions are stable while prices are rising, with a cautious bullish sentiment. Attention should be paid to the support at the 22,200 mark. It is recommended to wait and see for now or go long lightly on dips [3]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market - The closing price of the main Shanghai zinc futures contract is 20,310 yuan/ton, up 5 yuan/ton compared to the previous period. The spread between the October - November contracts of Shanghai zinc is - 5 yuan/ton, up 15 yuan/ton. - The LME three - month zinc quotation is 2,956 US dollars/ton, up 51 US dollars/ton. The total open interest of Shanghai zinc is 221,751 lots, a decrease of 1,484 lots. - The net position of the top 20 in Shanghai zinc is - 7,939 lots, a decrease of 47 lots. The Shanghai zinc warehouse receipts are 51,371 tons, an increase of 5,466 tons. - The SHFE inventory is 94,649 tons, an increase of 7,617 tons; the LME inventory is 50,525 tons, a decrease of 100 tons [3]. 3.2 Spot Market - The spot price of 0 zinc on the Shanghai Non - Ferrous Metals Network is 22,230 yuan/ton, unchanged from the previous period. The spot price of 1 zinc in the Yangtze River Non - Ferrous Metals Market is 22,220 yuan/ton, unchanged. - The basis of the main ZN contract is - 80 yuan/ton, a decrease of 5 yuan/ton. The LME zinc premium (0 - 3) is 30.17 US dollars/ton, an increase of 7.67 US dollars/ton. - The factory price of 50% zinc concentrate in Kunming is 16,950 yuan/ton, an increase of 20 yuan/ton. The price of 85% - 86% crushed zinc in Shanghai is 15,600 yuan/ton, unchanged [3]. 3.3 Upstream Situation - According to WBMS, the zinc supply - demand balance is - 124,700 tons, a decrease of 104,100 tons. According to ILZSG, the zinc supply - demand balance is - 69,100 tons, an increase of 10,400 tons. - ILZSG's global zinc mine production in the current month is 1.0075 million tons, a decrease of 4,300 tons. Domestic refined zinc production is 617,000 tons, a decrease of 11,000 tons. - Zinc ore imports are 455,900 tons, an increase of 124,900 tons [3]. 3.4 Industry Situation - Refined zinc imports are 35,156.02 tons, a decrease of 22,615.39 tons. Refined zinc exports are 483.88 tons, an increase of 266.83 tons. - Zinc social inventory is 144,100 tons, an increase of 4,000 tons [3]. 3.5 Downstream Situation - The monthly output of galvanized sheets is 2.32 million tons, a decrease of 130,000 tons. The monthly sales volume of galvanized sheets is 2.34 million tons, a decrease of 120,000 tons. - The monthly new housing construction area is 352.06 million square meters, an increase of 48.4168 million square meters. The monthly housing completion area is 250.34 million square meters, an increase of 24.6739 million square meters. - The monthly automobile production is 2.51 million vehicles, a decrease of 298,600 vehicles. The monthly air - conditioner production is 19.6788 million units, an increase of 3.4764 million units [3]. 3.6 Option Market - The implied volatility of at - the - money call options for zinc is 13.33%, an increase of 0.12 percentage points. The implied volatility of at - the - money put options for zinc is 13.34%, an increase of 0.13 percentage points. - The 20 - day historical volatility of at - the - money zinc options is 6.3%, a decrease of 0.01 percentage points. The 60 - day historical volatility of at - the - money zinc options is 11.05%, a decrease of 0.01 percentage points [3]. 3.7 Industry News - In August 2025, new RMB loans were 59 billion yuan, 31 billion yuan less than the same period last year. The incremental social financing in August was 2.57 trillion yuan, 460 billion yuan less than the same period last year. The year - on - year growth rate of M1 in August was 6.0%, and that of M2 was 8.8%. - Morgan Stanley expects the Fed to cut interest rates by 25 basis points at each of the remaining three meetings this year, and another three times in 2026. According to FedWatch, there is a 93.4% probability that the FOMC will cut interest rates by 25 basis points this week, with a very small possibility of a 50 - basis - point cut [3].

期上涨。MA2601合约短线预计在2350-2410区间波动。 免责声明 本报告中的信息均来源于公开可获得资料，瑞达期货股份有限公司力求准确可靠，但对这些信息的准确性及完整性不做任 何保证，据此投资，责任自负。本报告不构成个人投资建议，客户应考虑本报告中的任何意见或建议是否符合其特定状况。本 报告版权仅为我公司所有，未经书面许可，任何机构和个人不得以任何形式翻版、复制和发布。如引用、刊发，需注明出处为 瑞达期货股份有限公司研究院，且不得对本报告进行有悖原意的引用、删节和修改。 | 项目类别 | 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 期货市场 | 主力合约收盘价甲醇(日,元/吨) | 2396 | 17 甲醇1-5价差(日,元/吨) | -12 | -6 11985 | | | 主力合约持仓量:甲醇(日,手) | 783891 | -14520 期货前20名持仓:净买单量:甲醇(日,手) | -112186 | | | | 仓单数量:甲醇(日,张) | 16131 | 0 | | | | 现货市场 | 江苏 ...

Report Summary 1. Investment Rating - The provided content does not mention the industry investment rating. 2. Core View - The PVC market shows mixed trends. Supply - side: this week, the impact of shutdowns at Beiyuan and Jinchuan expands, and new maintenance at Ningxia Yinglite and Haohua is added, likely causing a significant drop in capacity utilization. In the long - term, 900,000 tons of new installations from Bohua, Gansu Yaowang, and Qingdao Gulf are planned to be put into production in September, increasing supply pressure. Demand - side: due to pre - holiday stocking in China, the operating rate of some product enterprises has increased recently. However, the weak real - estate market continues to drag down domestic demand, and the upcoming anti - dumping policy in India has led to a wait - and - see attitude in the export market. Also, high caustic soda profits weaken the cost support of calcium carbide and ethylene. With the upcoming favorable policies for key industries, industrial products rose on the day. Technically, the daily K - line of V2601 should pay attention to the pressure around 4975 yuan/ton [3]. 3. Directory Summaries 3.1 Futures Market - The closing price of PVC futures is 4921 yuan/ton, up 45 yuan/ton; trading volume is 990,616 hands, up 346,696 hands; open interest is 1,200,474 hands, down 35,157 hands. The net long position of the top 20 futures holders is - 130,878 hands, up 19,831 hands [3]. 3.2 Spot Market - In the East China region, the price of ethylene - based PVC is 4995 yuan/ton, unchanged; the price of calcium - carbide - based PVC is 4701.54 yuan/ton, unchanged. In the South China region, the price of ethylene - based PVC is 4920 yuan/ton, unchanged; the price of calcium - carbide - based PVC is 4793.75 yuan/ton, up 3.12 yuan/ton. The CIF price of PVC in China is 700 dollars/ton, unchanged; the CIF price in Southeast Asia is 650 dollars/ton, unchanged; the FOB price in Northwest Europe is 690 dollars/ton, unchanged. The basis of PVC is - 211 yuan/ton, down 15 yuan/ton [3]. 3.3 Upstream Situation - The mainstream average price of calcium carbide in Central China is 2700 yuan/ton, up 50 yuan/ton; in North China, it is 2640 yuan/ton, unchanged; in Northwest China, it is 2438 yuan/ton, unchanged. The mainstream price of liquid chlorine in Inner Mongolia is - 575 yuan/ton, unchanged. The mid - price of VCM CFR in the Far East is 509 dollars/ton, up 6 dollars/ton; in Southeast Asia, it is 546 dollars/ton, up 7 dollars/ton. The mid - price of EDC CFR in the Far East is 189 dollars/ton, unchanged; in Southeast Asia, it is 201 dollars/ton, unchanged [3]. 3.4 Industry Situation - The weekly operating rate of PVC is 79.94%, up 2.81 percentage points; the operating rate of ethylene - based PVC is 81.31%, up 3.17 percentage points; the operating rate of calcium - carbide - based PVC is not clearly presented in a comparable way in the table. The total social inventory of PVC is 79.39 million tons, down 0.14 million tons [3]. 3.5 Downstream Situation - The social inventory of PVC in the East China region is 47.83 million tons, up 0.02 million tons; in the South China region, it is 5.33 million tons, down 0.16 million tons. The national real - estate climate index is 93.34, down 0.26. The cumulative value of new housing construction area is 352.06 million square meters, up 48.4168 million square meters; the cumulative value of real - estate construction area is 6.38731 billion square meters, up 54.0957 million square meters; the cumulative value of real - estate development investment is 2810.593 billion yuan, up 363.043 billion yuan [3]. 3.6 Option Market - The 20 - day historical volatility of PVC is 8.81%, down 0.07 percentage points; the 40 - day historical volatility is 20.28%, down 0.01 percentage points. The implied volatility of at - the - money put options is 14.98%, down 0.06 percentage points; the implied volatility of at - the - money call options is 14.98%, down 0.05 percentage points [3]. 3.7 Industry News - On September 15th, the spot price of East China PVCSG5 rose by 20 - 60 yuan/ton compared to last Friday, ranging from 4620 - 4800 yuan/ton. From September 6th to 12th, China's PVC capacity utilization was 79.94%, up 2.81% from the previous period. As of September 11th, the PVC social inventory increased by 1.75% to 934,200 tons. Last week, the downstream operating rate of PVC increased by 4% to 47.5%, with the pipe operating rate up 4.13% to 37.61% and the profile operating rate up 0.83% to 39.22% [3].