Core Viewpoint - Guizhou Moutai, known as the "king of stocks," showed resilience amid a significant drop in A-shares, with its stock price rising by 1.86% to 1427.00 yuan, despite broader market challenges [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - On Monday, A-shares experienced their largest single-day drop in nearly eight months, influenced by a sharp decline in gold and silver prices [1]. - Guizhou Moutai's stock reached a peak increase of over 4% during the trading session, with a trading volume of 12.31 billion yuan [1]. Group 2: Industry Dynamics - Recent reports indicate a positive outlook for Guizhou Moutai, with strong demand anticipated for the upcoming Spring Festival, leading to tight supply in various regions [3]. - The company is undergoing a marketing system reform aimed at preventing price speculation, with management emphasizing that product prices should align with market conditions [3]. - Structural adjustments in product offerings and a flattening of distribution channels are seen as strategic moves to enhance competitive advantages and navigate market cycles [3].

财通证券认为，批价方面，原箱普飞已由月初1500元/瓶左右上涨至1700元/瓶以上。主要原因在于：1) 飞天价格下探叠加节前需求集中释放，合力催化动销激增；2)公司削减非标配额，供给端结构调整聚焦 飞天；3)i茅台常态化投放飞天，对个人消费者购买意愿有刺激作用。核心因素在于，白酒旺季需求仍 有刚性，个人消费者所代表的真实开瓶动销逐步成为消费主力。看好本轮春节旺季白酒需求修复。 白酒板块持仓已至冰点，资金面存在做多基础 4Q2025白酒板块的公募基金持仓比例已降至5.1%，是2Q2017以来的历史低点；同时4Q2025主动基金持 仓比例更是仅2.9%。同时，近期各类宽基指数ETF资金净流出或导致白酒板块超跌，并非是基本面和预 期的有效定价。当前白酒板块在资金层面筹码结构进一步调整优化，具备做多的弹性基础。 业绩调整已进入深水区，有望逐步企稳 财通证券（601108）发布研报称，根据今日酒价，近期飞天茅台批价快速上涨至1700元以上。对于本轮 节前白酒需求，市场普遍预期较低，而近期茅台动销与批价均有超预期表现，渠道反馈临近1月末经销 商飞天出货量激增，部分已出现断货和库存见底情况。业绩端看，当前酒企普遍谨慎经营， ...

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market's liquor sector is experiencing a strong performance, with individual stocks showing a general upward trend as the traditional sales peak season approaches due to the upcoming Spring Festival [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The liquor sector index (BK0477) closed at 48,951.83, with a 1.23% increase, indicating a positive market sentiment [2] - Notable stocks such as Jinhuijiu and Huangtaijiu reached their daily limit, while others like Wuliangye and Moutai also saw significant gains [1][2] Group 2: Seasonal Factors - The upcoming Spring Festival is expected to boost sales in the liquor industry, with Moutai's price showing signs of recovery, providing strong price support for liquor stocks [1][3] - The 2026 Spring Festival is anticipated to have one additional day compared to previous years, which may enhance actual sales performance [1][3] Group 3: Macro Environment - The improvement in macroeconomic policies is seen as a positive factor for the liquor sector, with a focus on boosting domestic demand and real estate [3] - The government plans to implement a strategy for expanding domestic demand from 2026 to 2030, which could benefit the liquor industry [3] Group 4: Investment Sentiment - The allocation of public funds to the liquor sector has decreased to 3.93%, indicating a low historical level that may provide room for recovery [3] - Notable investor Duan Yongping expressed confidence in Moutai's stock price, suggesting it is undervalued from a long-term perspective [3] Group 5: Industry Outlook - Despite some companies facing earnings pressure, the valuation of the liquor sector is at historical lows, which may lead to a recovery ahead of earnings improvement [4] - Analysts believe that the liquor industry, as a barometer of the macro economy, is likely to benefit from government support for real estate and domestic demand [4]

Market Overview - The A-share market experienced a significant decline on February 2, with the Shanghai Composite Index falling by 2.48% to close at 4015.75 points, the Shenzhen Component Index dropping by 2.69% to 13824.35 points, and the ChiNext Index decreasing by 2.46% to 3264.11 points. The Sci-Tech Innovation Index saw a sharper decline of 3.95%, closing at 1760.23 points [1][2]. Commodity Market - The domestic commodity futures market closed with widespread declines, with over ten varieties, including silver, platinum, palladium, and copper, hitting the limit down. Notably, silver and gold fell over 15%, while zinc dropped over 6%. Other commodities like low-sulfur fuel oil and pure benzene also saw declines of over 5% [2]. Sector Performance - The electric grid equipment sector showed resilience, with stocks such as Tongguang Cable and Senyuan Electric hitting the daily limit up. The sector's performance contrasts sharply with the overall market trend [3][4]. - The liquor sector continued its upward momentum, with stocks like Huangtai Liquor and Jinhui Liquor achieving multiple consecutive gains [5]. Trading Volume and Market Sentiment - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 2.58 trillion yuan, a decrease of 250.8 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day. Over 4600 stocks declined, with 123 stocks hitting the daily limit down [5][8]. Capital Flow - Main capital flows showed net inflows into sectors such as electric grid equipment, banking, and food and beverage, while there were net outflows from semiconductor, communication, and non-ferrous metal sectors. Specific stocks like Zhongchao Holdings and Shenghong Technology saw significant net inflows [8]. Institutional Insights - Financial institutions expressed concerns about short-term market volatility, advising investors to manage positions carefully and consider buying on dips. Market confidence is still in a recovery phase following increased trading volumes in January [8].

Group 1 - The A-share market's liquor sector showed strong performance with a broad increase in individual stocks, including Jinhuijiu and Huangtaijiu reaching the daily limit, indicating a significant recovery in market sentiment [1] - The upcoming Spring Festival is expected to boost sales in the liquor industry, with Moutai's price showing signs of recovery, providing strong price support for liquor stocks [1][3] - Citic Securities predicts that the liquor industry will focus on market cultivation and consumer education, which will promote sales and reduce burdens for distributors during the Spring Festival [1][3] Group 2 - The macro policy environment is improving, which is beneficial for the liquor sector, as it is a typical cyclical industry influenced by domestic demand and real estate conditions [3] - Public fund holdings in the liquor sector have dropped to 3.93% by the end of 2025, indicating a low allocation that provides ample room for capital recovery in the current rebound [3] - Notable investor Duan Yongping expressed confidence in Moutai's stock price, suggesting it is undervalued from a long-term perspective and plans to increase his holdings [3] Group 3 - Despite some companies in the liquor sector facing earnings pressure, the valuation repair may precede earnings recovery, as the sector has adjusted for about five years [4] - The current market sentiment is pessimistic, but stock prices may lead the fundamentals in finding a bottom [4] - Analysts believe that the liquor industry, as a barometer of the macro economy, is likely to benefit from strong support for real estate and domestic demand, presenting long-term investment opportunities in leading companies [4]

本文字数：1014，阅读时长大约2分钟 作者 |第一财经 栾立 封图 |本报记者任玉明摄 2026.02.02 对于为何茅台价格在短短四天中上演"过山车"行情，有贵阳的茅台酒炒家告诉第一记者，茅台酒市场很 大，就像黄金白银市场，并不是几家经销商或大商就可以左右价格风向。 在他看来，目前茅台酒行情更多是由市场预期在推动。此前市场中有观点认为，"i茅台"平台释放了大 量的产品给过去不会购买或在常规渠道买不到茅台的消费者，由于茅台酒的年产能有限，不排除年内市 场端茅台会有缺货的可能，也制造了长期涨价的预期。但近两日茅台酒价格涨幅过快，又引发了市场担 忧。 白酒独立评论员肖竹青告诉记者，当下的市场变化还是"黄牛"在追涨杀跌，当前经济大环境深度调整， 茅台酒需求刚性并未完全改善。最近茅台价格震荡上扬，是贵州茅台管理层动态市场化调控发货节奏， 合并春节旺季行情交叉作用的结果。 肖竹青认为，"黄牛"是茅台酒市场行情重要的推手，特别是"大黄牛"往往与茅台授权经销商关系紧密， 能够及时了解到茅台调控发货节奏等信息，利用信息不对称的优势"追涨杀跌"。但伴随着贵州茅台对"i 茅台"平台运营的不断优化完善，未来黄牛牟利的空间也会越来 ...

Group 1 - The top 20 stocks with significant capital inflow as of February 2 include Zhongchao Holdings (1.435 billion), Shenghong Technology (676 million), and Xibu Materials (601 million) [1] - Zhongchao Holdings experienced a price increase of 9.96%, while Shuangjie Electric saw a notable rise of 16.58% [2] - The sectors represented among the top inflow stocks include power grid equipment, electronic components, and the liquor industry [2][3] Group 2 - Other notable stocks with significant inflows include Guizhou Moutai (5.46 billion), Baobian Electric (5.45 billion), and Zhejiang Wenlian (5.36 billion) [1] - The banking sector is represented by Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, which had an inflow of 348 million [3] - The highest percentage increase in stock price was observed in Tongguang Cable, which rose by 20% [3]

Core Viewpoint - The liquor industry is expected to benefit from the upcoming Spring Festival marketing activities, with a focus on market cultivation and consumer education to promote sales and alleviate pressure on distributors [1] Industry Summary - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4015.75 points, down 2.48%, while the liquor sector closed at 2275.05 points, down 0.29% [1] - 19 liquor stocks rose, with notable gains from Jinhuijiu and Huangtaijiu, which hit the daily limit [1] - Major liquor companies showed positive performance: - Kweichow Moutai closed at 1427 CNY/share, up 1.86% - Wuliangye closed at 107.29 CNY/share, up 2.18% - Shanxi Fenjiu closed at 173.5 CNY/share, up 1.46% - Luzhou Laojiao closed at 122.00 CNY/share, up 0.91% - Yanghe Brewery closed at 55.87 CNY/share, up 0.99% [1] Company Summary - CITIC Securities highlighted that the liquor industry is learning from leading companies' experiences in channel and product reforms following distributor conferences [1] - The firm anticipates that the actual sales of liquor during the 2026 Spring Festival will remain stable, considering factors such as improved sales dynamics, an additional day off during the holiday, and the consumption scenarios associated with the festival [1]

北京商报讯（记者 刘一博 冯若男）2月2日，北京商报记者从新浪财经酒价内参发布的名优白酒批价数 据中获悉，2月2日53度500ml飞天茅台批价为1715元/瓶，相较于上一日下降15元/瓶。 值得注意的是，53度500ml飞天茅台批价自1月30日起便迎来了新一轮增长。据新浪财经酒价内参数 据，1月29日53度500ml飞天茅台批价较上一日下降4元/瓶，报1627元/瓶。而1月30日，53度500ml飞天 茅台批价则上涨至1665元/瓶。此后，直至1月31日，53度500ml飞天茅台批价触及近日来最高点1755元/ 瓶。 ...

本文字数：1014，阅读时长大约2分钟 作者 | 第一财经 栾立 封图 | 本报记者任玉明摄 2026年刚开年，飞天茅台价格就经历了一次"过山车"行情。 上周酒价突然两天跳涨150元/瓶，一个周末又跌去160元/瓶，让酒商大呼看不懂。今日中午，茅台价格终于企稳。 2026.02. 02 对于为何茅台价格在短短四天中上演"过山车"行情，有贵阳的茅台酒炒家告诉第一记者，茅台酒市场很大，就像黄金白银市场，并不是几家经销商或大 商就可以左右价格风向。 在他看来，目前茅台酒行情更多是由市场预期在推动。此前市场中有观点认为，"i茅台"平台释放了大量的产品给过去不会购买或在常规渠道买不到茅台 的消费者，由于茅台酒的年产能有限，不排除年内市场端茅台会有缺货的可能，也制造了长期涨价的预期。但近两日茅台酒价格涨幅过快，又引发了市 场担忧。 白酒独立评论员肖竹青告诉记者，当下的市场变化还是"黄牛"在追涨杀跌，当前经济大环境深度调整，茅台酒需求刚性并未完全改善。最近茅台价格震 荡上扬，是贵州茅台管理层动态市场化调控发货节奏，合并春节旺季行情交叉作用的结果。 肖竹青认为，"黄牛"是茅台酒市场行情重要的推手，特别是"大黄牛"往往与茅台授 ...