Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for the gold, copper, aluminum, tin, and antimony industries [9]. Core Views - The report highlights a positive outlook for copper and aluminum prices due to improving downstream demand and inventory depletion [5][7]. - Gold prices are expected to maintain an upward trend supported by the ongoing interest rate cut cycle by the Federal Reserve [9]. - The tin market is anticipated to experience weak price movements due to a lack of short-term catalysts [9]. - Antimony prices are expected to remain weak in the short term, but long-term supply-demand dynamics may support prices [9]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The non-ferrous metals sector showed a weekly increase of 2.04%, outperforming other sectors [19]. - The top-performing sub-sectors included tungsten (+4.50%), nickel (+3.79%), and aluminum (+3.78%) [19]. Copper Market - LME copper closed at $9,415 per ton, up $283 per ton (3.10%) from April 17 [5]. - SHFE copper closed at ¥77,650 per ton, up ¥1,780 per ton (2.34%) from April 17 [5]. - Domestic copper social inventory decreased significantly, indicating strong demand [6]. Aluminum Market - Domestic electrolytic aluminum prices reached ¥20,100 per ton, an increase of ¥210 per ton (1.06%) [7]. - LME aluminum inventory decreased by 12,575 tons, while domestic SHFE inventory also saw a decline [7]. - The operating rate for leading aluminum profile enterprises increased to 59.5% [8]. Tin Market - Domestic refined tin prices rose to ¥263,180 per ton, up ¥6,800 per ton (2.65%) [9]. - The market is expected to remain weak due to insufficient demand catalysts [9]. Antimony Market - Domestic antimony ingot prices fell to ¥235,500 per ton, down ¥8,000 per ton [9]. - The market activity is low, with cautious purchasing behavior from downstream buyers [9]. Recommended Stocks - The report recommends specific stocks in the gold, copper, aluminum, tin, and antimony sectors, including Zhongjin Gold, Zijin Mining, and Huaxi Youshi [10][12][13].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, indicating a potential upside of over 15% relative to the benchmark index [5][7]. Core Insights - The company reported a significant increase in profits for Q1 2025, with a net profit of 4.83 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 141.10% [3]. - The production of gold decreased slightly to 3.3 tons, down 6.89% year-on-year, primarily due to lower ore grades at overseas mines [4]. - The sales price of gold increased by 40.25% year-on-year to 658 yuan per gram, contributing to the overall profit growth despite rising costs [4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 24.07 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 29.85% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 14.12% [3]. - The gross profit margin for gold sales was 46.42%, up 12.96 percentage points year-on-year [4]. - The total expenses for sales, management, and financial costs amounted to 143 million yuan, accounting for 5.96% of revenue, which is a decrease of 1.75 percentage points from the previous year [4]. Production and Sales - The company’s gold production was 3.3 tons in Q1 2025, with a sales volume also at 3.3 tons, both showing a decline compared to the previous year [4]. - The production of other metals showed varied growth, with copper concentrate production increasing by 111.03% year-on-year [4]. Future Outlook - The company is accelerating key projects to enhance production capacity, with several mining projects expected to contribute to increased output in the coming years [5]. - Forecasted net profits for 2025-2027 are 30.85 billion yuan, 35.35 billion yuan, and 40.73 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 16, 14, and 12 [5][6].

Group 1 - The gold market is experiencing intense volatility, indicating a critical turning point for gold assets [1] - Fund managers are showing divergent strategies regarding gold stocks, with some significantly reducing their positions while others continue to buy [1][2] - The investment strategy debate around gold is quietly unfolding, reflecting differing views on its future performance [2] Group 2 - Dong Chen, a fund manager, has shifted from heavily investing in gold stocks to completely exiting them, replacing them with stocks from other sectors [2] - In contrast, Yuan Weide from China Europe Fund has aggressively bought into gold stocks, making significant additions to his portfolio [3] - The divergence in fund managers' strategies highlights the complexity of gold pricing logic and suggests potential increased volatility in the gold market [3]

Investment Rating - The industry maintains an "Accumulate" rating [5] Core Views - The gold market is expected to enter a consolidation phase in the short term, while still possessing upward momentum in the medium term. Recent price fluctuations are attributed to easing tariff policies and profit-taking by bullish investors. Concerns about the sustainability of central bank gold purchases are also noted [1][36] - For industrial metals, copper is seeing a recovery in prices due to increased downstream operating rates and a significant drop in inventories. The market sentiment has improved following the easing of tariff tensions, although uncertainties from trade conflicts remain [2] - In the energy metals sector, lithium production is being constrained by cost pressures, leading to a reduction in operational rates. The market is closely monitoring inventory levels for signs of a turning point [3] Summary by Sections Weekly Data Tracking - The non-ferrous metal sector has generally seen an increase in prices this week, with specific metals experiencing varied price movements [12][18] - The overall non-ferrous metal index rose by 1.5%, with energy metals up by 2.9% and precious metals down by 2.5% [18] Industrial Metals - **Copper**: Downstream operating rates have improved, and global copper inventories have decreased significantly to 641,000 tons, down by 55,000 tons week-on-week. The market anticipates a price recovery due to increased demand and tight supply conditions [2] - **Aluminum**: The easing of U.S. tariff policies is expected to support aluminum prices in the short term, despite an increase in production capacity [2] Energy Metals - **Lithium**: The production of lithium salts is being curtailed due to rising costs, with current production rates at 45%. The market is awaiting a potential inventory turning point [3] - **Silicon Metal**: High inventory levels are limiting price increases, with current social inventory at 602,000 tons. The market remains in a loose supply-demand balance [3] Key Stocks - Recommended stocks include Zijin Mining, Shandong Gold, and Chalco, all rated as "Buy" with projected earnings per share (EPS) growth [7]

Group 1 - The "national team" has increased holdings in hard technology, domestic demand, and financial insurance sectors while reducing positions in multiple energy stocks during Q1 2025 [1][2] - Over 2,400 A-share listed companies have disclosed their Q1 2025 reports, with more than 360 companies showing "national team" as a major shareholder [1] - The most significantly increased stock by the "national team" is China Ping An, with an additional 252 million shares acquired in Q1 2025, totaling 1.471 billion shares held [1] Group 2 - The "national team" has notably reduced holdings in the energy sector, with China Aluminum seeing a decrease of over 50 million shares, and other companies like Chifeng Gold and Shenhuo Co. also experiencing significant reductions [2] - Insurance funds are focusing on key industries related to national livelihood, with the Honghu Fund, initiated by China Life and Xinhua Insurance, achieving a good performance with investments totaling 50 billion yuan [2][3] - The second batch of long-term investment trials for insurance funds was approved, expanding the total scale from 500 billion yuan to 1.62 trillion yuan, with eight insurance companies participating [3] Group 3 - The Honghu Fund has increased its stake in Shaanxi Coal and has become a significant shareholder, holding over 116 million shares as of Q1 2025 [3][4] - The Honghu Fund also entered the top ten shareholders of China Telecom and holds 76.174 million shares, maintaining its position in Q1 2025 [4] - Insurance companies have mirrored the "national team's" strategy by reducing energy stock holdings while increasing positions in key sectors [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the non-ferrous and steel industry [5]. Core Viewpoints - Iron ore prices have shown significant loosening, suggesting a positive outlook for investment opportunities in the steel sector. The report indicates that after three years of adjustment, the current position of the steel sector offers high cost-effectiveness, with leading enterprises showing improved profitability and stability [8][13]. Summary by Sections Macro Overview - Iron ore prices are expected to decline as steel production peaks post-May Day, leading to potential profit squeezes for iron ore suppliers. The domestic demand-driven pricing in the steel sector is highlighted as a key factor [8][13]. Steel Sector - The weekly consumption of rebar decreased to 2.6 million tons, a significant drop of 5.07% week-on-week. The average price of rebar increased slightly by 1.34% to 3,323 CNY/ton, while cold-rolled prices fell by 1.54% to 3,812 CNY/ton [14][36]. - Total steel inventory decreased significantly, with a total of 1,083 million tons, down 3.68% week-on-week and 24.11% year-on-year [23]. - The profitability of rebar production has improved, with long-process rebar margins increasing by 25 CNY/ton and short-process margins rising by 350 CNY/ton [34][36]. Industrial Metals - The report notes a deepening negative value for copper TC/RC, with the average LME aluminum price rising by 3.63% to 2,412 USD/ton. The cost of electrolytic aluminum in Xinjiang decreased significantly by 16.22%, leading to a substantial profit increase [16][28]. Precious Metals - The report suggests that tariffs may boost demand for safe-haven assets and inflation expectations, with gold prices expected to continue rising. As of April 25, 2025, COMEX gold prices were reported at 3,330.2 USD/ounce, a slight decrease of 0.33% week-on-week [16][48]. New Energy Metals - Lithium production in China saw a significant year-on-year increase of 57.44% in February 2025, with prices for battery-grade lithium carbonate at 69,600 CNY/ton. Nickel and cobalt prices showed mixed trends, with nickel prices declining [15][39][48].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" and maintained [10] Core Insights - The report highlights that the gold price experienced significant fluctuations due to expectations of easing trade conflicts, alongside profit-taking from previous rapid increases. This led to adjustments in gold stocks. Short-term corrections are primarily driven by emotional recovery, with a focus on economic data from May and June following tariff conflicts. The narrative of recession is expected to persist [2][6] - Historical trading behavior suggests that central banks or insurance funds may accelerate gold purchases during rapid price corrections. The ongoing trend of de-dollarization is anticipated to stabilize gold price fluctuations [6] - Most gold stocks have seen a valuation recovery of nearly 20 times but remain at historically low levels. The easing of U.S. tariff expectations has contributed to a rebound in industrial metals [6][7] Summary by Sections Precious Metals - The report maintains a strategy of increasing allocations to gold stocks during corrections, as the valuation of gold stocks is at the lower end of historical cycles. Suggested stocks include Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining, Zhaojin Mining, Shandong Gold, and Shandong Gold International [6][7] Industrial Metals - Easing U.S. tariff expectations have led to a rebound in industrial metals, with LME copper rising by 1.9% and aluminum by 3%. SHFE copper and aluminum also saw increases of 1.7% [7][25] - The report notes a significant reduction in copper and aluminum inventories, with copper down 8.5% week-on-week and 4.84% year-on-year, while aluminum decreased by 3.81% week-on-week and 19.64% year-on-year. This is attributed to improved economic expectations and a shift in export trade [7][27] - The long-term outlook suggests that a weaker dollar will elevate the central price of resource commodities, with a focus on leading copper and aluminum stocks that are currently undervalued [7][8] Energy and Minor Metals - The report emphasizes that supply remains a key factor, particularly for rare earths and tungsten. China has implemented export controls on heavy rare earths, which is expected to catalyze supply-side improvements [8][26] - Tungsten supply is expected to remain rigid, with a controlled mining quota of 58,000 tons for 2025, reflecting a 6.5% decrease from the previous year. This is likely to support price increases [8][26] - The report also highlights potential upward price movements for cobalt and nickel due to supply constraints from Congo and Indonesia, respectively [8][26]

Group 1 - The global investment market has seen significant changes in 2023, with gold prices rising nearly 30% in less than four months, making it a key investment highlight [1] - Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining Co., Ltd. reported a Q1 2025 revenue of 2.407 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 29.85%, and a net profit of 483 million RMB, up 141.1% [1][2] - The company's stock price has doubled since its listing on March 10, 2025, reflecting strong market performance [1] Group 2 - Chifeng Gold is the largest private gold producer in China, operating seven gold and multi-metal mines across China, Southeast Asia, and West Africa [2] - The company achieved a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 33.1% in gold production from 2021 to 2023, surpassing the average growth rate of 16.4% among major domestic gold producers [2] - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 9.026 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 24.99%, and a net profit of 1.764 billion RMB, up 119.46% [2] Group 3 - In 2024, Chifeng Gold produced 15.16 tons of gold, a 5.60% increase year-on-year, with domestic mines contributing 3.91 tons, up 14.6% [3] - The average selling price of gold for the company reached 524.28 RMB per gram, a year-on-year increase of 20.32% [3] - The company expects its gold production capacity to increase, aiming for a production volume of 16.7 tons in 2025 [3] Group 4 - Global gold demand reached a record high of 4,974 tons in 2024, with investment demand growing by 25% to 1,180 tons [4] - Central banks worldwide increased their gold reserves by 1,044.6 tons in 2024, with China's central bank adding 44.17 tons, bringing the total reserves to 2,279.57 tons [4] Group 5 - Despite short-term fluctuations, the long-term outlook for gold remains positive, with strong demand from investors and central banks [5][6] - Analysts predict that international gold prices may exceed $4,000 per ounce by the second quarter of 2026, driven by ongoing demand [5][6] - The recent price increases in gold are attributed to central bank purchases rather than speculative trading [7]

比亚迪第一季度营收1,703.6亿元，同比增36.4%；净利润91.5亿元，同比增100.4%。比亚迪第一季度营 业成本1,628.5亿元，同比增长35%；研发支出142.2亿元，同比+34%。 5、迈信林：第一季度净利润同比增长408% 主要系新增算力服务业务收入和收益 片仔癀(600436.SH)公告称，2024年净利润29.77亿元，同比增长6.42%，拟每10股派发现金股利18.20 元。 3、宁德时代：首次回购公司股份107.53万股 宁德时代(300750.SZ)公告，公司于2025年4月25日首次通过深圳证券交易所股票交易系统以集中竞价交 易方式回购公司股份107.53万股，占公司当前总股本的0.0244%，最高成交价为237.38元/股，最低成交 价为236.01元/股，成交总金额为2.55亿元（不含交易费用）。 4、比亚迪第一季度净利润91.5亿元 同比增100.4% 今日聚焦 1、兆易创新：2024年净利润同比增长584.21% 拟10派3.4元 兆易创新披露年报，公司2024年实现营业收入73.56亿元，同比增长27.69%；净利润11.03亿元，同比增 长584.21%；基本每股收益1 ...

Group 1 - Ganfeng Lithium signed cooperation agreements with Hangzhou government and Hangzhou Energy to establish a high-energy solid-state battery R&D and industrialization base in Hangzhou [3] - Huazhong Holdings will be subject to delisting risk warning due to negative net profit and low operating revenue, with stock suspension on April 28, 2025 [4] - Yulong Co. has applied for termination of its listing on the Shanghai Stock Exchange and will continue trading on the National SME Share Transfer System [5] Group 2 - China Telecom reported Q1 2025 net profit of 8.864 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.11%, with revenue of 134.509 billion yuan, up 0.01% [7] - Chifeng Gold achieved Q1 2025 net profit of 483 million yuan, a significant increase of 141.1%, driven by stable gold production and cost control [8] - Shenkong Co. reported Q1 2025 net profit of 28.51 million yuan, a remarkable increase of 1850.7%, attributed to increased orders and revenue [9] - Guoxuan High-Tech's Q1 2025 net profit grew by 45.55% to 101 million yuan, with revenue of 9.055 billion yuan, up 20.61% [10] - Guodian Power reported Q1 2025 net profit of 1.811 billion yuan, a slight increase of 1.45%, despite a revenue decline of 12.61% [11] - Great Wall Motors experienced a Q1 2025 net profit decline of 45.6% to 1.751 billion yuan, with revenue down 6.63% due to product upgrades and increased investment [12] - Dongwu Securities reported Q1 2025 net profit of 980 million yuan, a significant increase of 114.86%, with revenue of 3.092 billion yuan, up 38.95% [13] - Jinchuan Group reported Q1 2025 net profit of 678 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.07%, with revenue of 3.282 billion yuan, up 14.49% [14] - Zhaoyi Innovation's 2024 net profit increased by 584.21% to 1.103 billion yuan, with revenue of 7.356 billion yuan, up 27.69% [15] Group 3 - Boya Precision plans to have its directors and executives increase their holdings in the company by 3.8 million to 7.6 million yuan [17] - Zhongtong Bus intends to repurchase shares worth 100 million to 200 million yuan, with a maximum price of 15 yuan per share [19]