Core Viewpoint - China Duty Free Group held an investor open day on November 28 in Sanya, Hainan, showcasing its Sanya International Duty-Free City (Phase III) and providing business introductions and on-site communication [1] Group 1: Business Operations - The company is expected to benefit from the continuous deepening of its retail network in Hainan, alongside a gradual recovery in high-end consumption and the optimization of Hainan Free Trade Port policies [1] - The recent impressive performance of duty-free sales in Hainan has led to an upward revision of the company's profit forecasts [1] Group 2: Investment Rating - The company maintains an "Overweight" rating based on the positive outlook for its business operations and profit potential [1]

Core Viewpoint - Huaxi Securities maintains an "overweight" rating on China National Pharmaceutical Group (China National Pharmaceutical), indicating a positive outlook for the company's business operations moving forward [1] Group 1 - The company's business operations are expected to continue on an upward trajectory, supported by strong market demand and strategic initiatives [1] - Recent financial performance shows resilience, with key metrics indicating growth potential in the upcoming quarters [1] - The overall industry environment remains favorable, contributing to the optimistic outlook for China National Pharmaceutical [1]

Core Insights - The 2025 Brand Conference in Shanghai highlighted the innovative trends in brand communication and recognized China Duty Free Group for its impactful brand presence in the tourism retail sector [1] Group 1: Company Achievements - China Duty Free Group has been awarded the "Annual Influential Brand Communication" award for its continuous innovation in consumer interaction within the tourism retail industry [1] - The company has maintained its position as the top tourism service brand in the "China's 500 Most Valuable Brands" list for 22 consecutive years, showcasing its deepening brand influence [1] - China Duty Free Group has established long-term partnerships with over 1,500 globally recognized brands and operates more than 200 retail stores across various regions, including over 30 provinces in China and several international locations [1] Group 2: Industry Trends - The recovery of the domestic market has led to a pronounced aggregation effect among leading companies in the Chinese tourism retail sector, with China Duty Free Group focusing on new store openings, product launches, and enhanced service experiences [2] - The ongoing "Crazy Shopping Season" event aims to create new consumer experiences through content interaction and commercial collaboration, integrating over 30 retail locations and three online platforms [2] - The company is leveraging cultural empowerment and innovative marketing strategies to enhance its brand vitality, including the introduction of unique cultural IPs that resonate with consumers [2] Group 3: Future Outlook - China Duty Free Group is transforming duty-free shopping spaces into engaging cultural tourism destinations, positioning itself as a benchmark for innovation in the tourism retail sector [3] - The company is actively participating in international events to showcase China's tourism retail innovations and strengthen global partnerships for product co-creation [3] - With the upcoming full closure of Hainan Free Trade Port, the tourism retail industry is expected to enter a new development phase, where China Duty Free Group will continue to focus on integrating duty-free and cultural experiences [3]

Summary of Conference Call on Duty-Free Industry and China Duty-Free Group Industry Overview - The duty-free industry in China is experiencing a new growth phase, similar to the situations in 2020 and 2017, despite short-term economic challenges in China [1][2] - The overall trend remains positive, with stock market development and recovery in entrepreneur confidence being encouraging signals [1][2] Key Insights - **K-Shaped Recovery**: Consumer behavior is showing a K-shaped recovery, where high-income and low-end consumer groups are less affected. Government measures such as increased holidays and subsidies are promoting consumption [1][2] - **Sales Performance**: Since Q3 2025, duty-free sales in Hainan have gradually improved from a low base, significantly boosted by the launch of the iPhone 17 [1][3] - **Tourism Demand Shift**: Southeast Asian tourism demand is shifting to Hainan due to events like the Thailand fraud incident and tensions in Sino-Japanese relations, which is expected to enhance tourism and duty-free demand in Hainan [3] - **Luxury Goods Demand**: There is an increase in demand for luxury goods, particularly among high-income groups, with a notable rise in the sales proportion of premium products since July [3] Company-Specific Insights - **China Duty-Free Group (CDFG)**: CDFG is maintaining a strong position in the high-end consumer market, with top-tier properties in Sanya and Haikou. The LV store in Haitang Bay is noted as the best-selling LV store in China, showcasing CDFG's strong brand attraction and leasing capabilities [1][4] - **Market Position**: CDFG's market share and sales are on the rise, while other duty-free operators in Hainan, such as Shen免, Hai旅, and 中出服, are losing competitive edge in the cosmetics sector [2][5] Future Outlook - **Optimistic Projections**: The outlook for Hainan and airport duty-free stores is optimistic, with expectations of a full recovery across the duty-free industry chain if consumer policies are effectively implemented [6] - **Competitive Landscape**: CDFG is expected to maintain its leading position in the market, especially in airport bidding processes, due to its historical advantages [6] - **Investment Opportunities**: It is considered a good time for investors to focus on the duty-free sector, particularly on leading companies like CDFG and Wangfujing, as the luxury segment is beginning to recover [8] Additional Considerations - **Policy Support**: New policies allowing unlimited use of a 100,000 yuan duty-free quota for island residents are anticipated to boost consumption during the New Year and Spring Festival [3] - **Investment Strategy**: While Wangfujing may offer short-term opportunities, CDFG is viewed as having a more stable market position and higher probability of success in the long run [7][8]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for China Duty Free Group (601888) is "Buy" [1] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights the recovery of high-end consumption and the long-term growth potential of Hainan's offshore duty-free market, especially with the optimization of policies and the expansion of retail networks [2][3][4] - The sales of offshore duty-free products in Hainan have seen rapid growth, with a 28.52% year-on-year increase in sales amounting to 1.325 billion yuan from November 1 to November 17 [3] - High-end consumption is showing signs of recovery, supported by strong performance in the gaming sector and luxury brands in the Asia-Pacific region [4] - The Sanya International Duty-Free City Phase III is progressing as planned, with the first phase expected to be completed by August 2026, enhancing the commercial landscape in Hainan [5] - The report has adjusted the revenue forecasts for the company, expecting revenues of 55.468 billion, 61.242 billion, and 70.777 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding net profits of 4.114 billion, 5.091 billion, and 6.150 billion yuan [6] Summary by Sections Event Overview - The company held an investor open day in Sanya, showcasing its retail network and business operations, indicating a positive outlook for profit growth due to high-end consumption recovery and policy optimization in Hainan [2] Analysis and Judgment - The report notes significant improvements in the offshore duty-free shopping policies, which have contributed to increased sales and consumer engagement [3] - High-end consumption is rebounding, with notable growth in luxury brand sales and positive trends in the gaming sector, indicating a favorable market environment [4] Investment Recommendations - The report has revised its earnings forecasts upward, reflecting the strong performance in Hainan's duty-free sales and the anticipated growth in high-end consumption [6]

Core Viewpoint - The upcoming full closure operation of Hainan Free Trade Port marks a new stage of high-level opening in China, with China Duty Free Group (601888.SH) positioned as a key beneficiary due to its dominant position in the offshore duty-free market [3][4]. Policy and Strategic Significance - The closure operation is designed to create a new regulatory framework of "one line open, two lines controlled, and free within the island," significantly reducing tariffs on approximately 74% of goods, covering 6,600 tariff items, thus transforming Hainan into a "systemic open highland" [4][5]. - This policy change will create a favorable environment for duty-free and specialty goods, enhancing the development prospects for companies like China Duty Free Group [5]. Benefits for China Duty Free Group - The closure operation will bring three major policy benefits: 1. Continuous optimization of offshore duty-free policies, with increased quotas and expanded categories, directly benefiting China Duty Free Group as the market leader [6]. 2. Revolutionary upgrades in "island consumption" scenarios, allowing local residents and long-staying tourists to enjoy new consumption privileges, enabling the company to explore diversified business models [6]. 3. Significant improvements in supply chain efficiency, allowing better integration with international supply chains, reducing procurement costs and turnover times, thus enhancing price competitiveness and profitability [6]. Competitive Advantages - China Duty Free Group has established formidable competitive barriers through: 1. Exclusive licensing and first-mover advantages, being the only company with full duty-free channel licenses and extensive early investments in Hainan [8]. 2. Scale effects from partnerships with over 1,000 global brands, providing strong purchasing power and ensuring product diversity and exclusivity [8]. 3. Strong brand recognition and operational experience, making "China Duty Free" the preferred brand for duty-free shopping in China [8]. Future Growth Potential - The company's growth potential is reflected in three aspects: 1. Market expansion as Hainan aims to become an international tourism consumption center, with increasing tourist numbers and spending power [8]. 2. Consumption upgrades, benefiting from the trend of luxury goods consumption returning to China, with Hainan as a key destination [8]. 3. Business model innovation, exploring high-end taxable goods retail, brand flagship stores, and immersive experience consumption [9]. Financial Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported revenues of 39.86 billion yuan, with a net profit of 3.05 billion yuan, reflecting year-on-year declines of 7.3% and 22.1% respectively [13]. - However, Q3 2025 showed signs of stabilization with revenues of 11.71 billion yuan, a slight year-on-year decrease of 0.4%, indicating a narrowing decline compared to earlier in the year [13][18]. - The gross profit margin remained high at 32.5%, showing a 0.5 percentage point increase from 2024, suggesting potential for recovery as the closure policy is implemented [18]. Market Trends - The Hainan offshore duty-free market is beginning to recover, with sales figures showing initial positive effects from new policies, indicating a potential expansion of the consumer base to include international travelers [18][19].

Core Insights - The appreciation of the Renminbi has led to a significant increase in the related sectors, with a 2.61% rise compared to the previous trading day, and China Duty Free Group (中国中免) leading the gains [1] Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3914.01, up 0.65% - The Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13146.72, up 1.25% [1] Top Gainers in Renminbi Appreciation Beneficiary Sector - China Duty Free Group (601888) closed at 84.46, up 6.87%, with a trading volume of 736,300 shares and a turnover of 6.094 billion yuan - Tongling Nonferrous Metals (000630) closed at 5.42, up 6.27%, with a trading volume of 4,738,300 shares and a turnover of 2.57 billion yuan - Air China (601111) closed at 8.46, up 5.35%, with a trading volume of 1,095,600 shares and a turnover of 904 million yuan [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The Renminbi appreciation beneficiary sector saw a net inflow of 312 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 494 million yuan [2] - The top stocks in terms of capital flow included: - China Duty Free Group with a net inflow of 3.44 billion yuan from institutional investors - Tongling Nonferrous Metals with a net inflow of 79.34 million yuan from institutional investors [3]

Core Insights - The report highlights three core trends in the consumer services industry: "New Recovery, New Ecology, and New Supply" [6] - Structural factors are aiding certain sectors in stabilizing and improving operations, indicating a gradual recovery from the bottom [7] - The integration of online platforms with offline operations is reshaping the industry ecosystem, enhancing competition and operational efficiency [8] Industry Overview - The consumer services sector has seen a slight revenue increase of 2.57% year-on-year, totaling 183.23 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, despite a 12.7% decline in net profit [20][22] - The sector's performance has been mixed, with tourism and education sectors showing significant growth, while the hotel and restaurant sectors faced slight declines [16][19] New Recovery - The hotel industry is experiencing a rebound due to increased tourism demand and a stabilization in average daily rates (ADR), with occupancy rates showing signs of improvement [31][57] - The Macau gaming market has shown strong recovery, with gross gaming revenue (GGR) reaching 24.086 billion MOP in October 2025, driven by non-gaming attractions [32][44] - The duty-free market is benefiting from policy optimizations, with sales in Hainan reaching 2.425 billion yuan in October 2025, reflecting a 34.86% year-on-year increase [32][38] New Ecology - Major players like Alibaba, Meituan, and JD.com are competing in the instant retail space, each leveraging their strengths to enhance online and offline integration [42] - The restaurant industry is witnessing a shift towards standardized and professional supply chains, with the chain restaurant rate increasing from 15% in 2020 to 23% in 2024 [46][48] New Supply - The tourism sector is transitioning from a "sightseeing + ticket" model to one focused on content innovation and immersive experiences, with companies like Sanxia Tourism and Haichang Ocean Park leading this change [50][53] - The sports industry is evolving to combine spectator and participatory sports, creating new social engagement opportunities through digital platforms [54] Investment Recommendations - Key recommendations include focusing on leading hotel chains like Jinjiang Hotels and ShouLai Hotels, and monitoring companies with strong supply chain advantages in the restaurant sector [6][8] - The report suggests that innovative companies in tourism, sports, and education sectors, particularly those utilizing AI and content innovation, are worth attention for potential growth [8][50]

FF301 股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年11月30日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 中國旅遊集團中免股份有限公司 呈交日期: 2025年12月1日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | H | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 01880 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 116,383,500 | RMB | | 1 RMB | | 116,383,500 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | | | | RMB | | | | 本月底結存 | | | 116,383,500 | RMB | | 1 RMB | | 116,383,500 | | 2. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | A ...

Core Viewpoint - The tourism retail sector experienced a significant increase of 6.87% on December 1, with China Duty Free Group leading the gains [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3914.01, up by 0.65% [1] - The Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13146.72, up by 1.25% [1] Group 2: Stock Performance - China Duty Free Group (stock code: 601888) closed at 84.46, with a rise of 6.87% [1] - The trading volume for China Duty Free Group was 736,300 shares, with a transaction value of 6.094 billion yuan [1] Group 3: Capital Flow - The tourism retail sector saw a net inflow of 344 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors had a net outflow of 540 million yuan [1] - The net inflow from speculative funds was 195 million yuan [1]