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中国中免:口岸店贡献增长动能,市内店落地有望核心受益


INDUSTRIAL SECURITIES· 2024-09-11 00:10
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [2][6]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 31.265 billion yuan and a net profit of 3.283 billion yuan for the first half of 2024, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 12.81% and 15.07% respectively [6][8]. - The decline in revenue is primarily attributed to a significant drop in sales in Hainan, with daily shopping visitors and duty-free sales decreasing [6][9]. - The gross profit margin improved to 33.53% in H1 2024, up 2.92 percentage points year-on-year, due to optimized product structure and enhanced supply chain efficiency [6][9]. - The net profit margin for H1 2024 was 11.67%, a slight increase of 0.25 percentage points year-on-year, but the Q2 net profit margin decreased to 9.73% [6][9]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 31.265 billion yuan, a net profit of 3.283 billion yuan, and a net profit excluding non-recurring items of 3.238 billion yuan, with year-on-year declines of 12.81%, 15.07%, and 16.00% respectively [6][8]. - Q2 2024 figures showed a revenue of 12.458 billion yuan, net profit of 0.976 billion yuan, and net profit excluding non-recurring items of 0.939 billion yuan, with year-on-year changes of -17.44%, -37.60%, and -39.79% [6][8]. Sales and Market Dynamics - The sales in Hainan faced significant pressure, leading to a revenue decline in H1 2024, with daily shopping visitors and duty-free sales showing negative trends [6][9]. - The company’s various segments showed mixed results, with significant declines in Hainan and Sanya, while the Shanghai duty-free store saw a remarkable recovery [6][22]. Profitability and Margins - The gross profit margin for H1 2024 was 33.53%, an increase of 2.92 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to product structure optimization and improved operational efficiency [6][9]. - The net profit margin for H1 2024 was 11.67%, with a decrease in Q2 to 9.73%, influenced by rising rental costs and higher tax rates [6][9]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to benefit from the implementation of city duty-free store policies, which may attract additional demand and open up growth opportunities in the industry [6][28]. - Forecasts for net profit from 2024 to 2026 are projected at 6.099 billion yuan, 7.187 billion yuan, and 8.639 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 19.9, 16.9, and 14.1 [6][28].
中国中免:24H1点评:口岸渠道持续修复 有望率先受益市内政策落地


Minmetals Securities· 2024-09-05 06:10
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Hold" [5] Core Views - The company is expected to benefit from the recovery of port duty-free sales and the implementation of new policies for city duty-free shops, despite facing challenges in its Hainan operations [7] - The company's revenue for the first half of 2024 was 31.265 billion yuan, a decrease of 12.81% year-on-year, with a net profit of 3.283 billion yuan, down 15.07% year-on-year [1][2] - The company has adjusted its profit forecasts for 2024-2026, with expected net profits of 6.2 billion yuan, 7.2 billion yuan, and 8.6 billion yuan respectively, reflecting a downward revision due to ongoing pressures in the Hainan duty-free business [7] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2024, the company's revenue from Hainan and Shanghai was 16.785 billion yuan and 8.5 billion yuan respectively, with Hainan's revenue down 28.97% year-on-year [2] - The gross margin for Q2 2024 was 33.87%, an increase of 1.03 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 7.83%, a decrease of 2.54 percentage points year-on-year [3] Market Opportunities - The new city duty-free shop policies are expected to enhance the company's growth prospects, with several cities set to establish new duty-free shops [4] - The company is focusing on improving service offerings to capitalize on the anticipated growth in the duty-free market [4] Profitability Outlook - The company has seen improvements in gross profit margins due to a higher proportion of mid-to-high-end product sales, although overall sales performance has pressured net profit margins [3] - The projected earnings per share for 2024 is 2.985 yuan, with a price-to-earnings ratio of 20.44 [9]
中国中免(01880) - 2024 - 中期财报


2024-09-05 04:08
Business Overview - The company's main business focuses on duty-free retail, including wholesale and retail of tobacco, alcohol, cosmetics, luxury goods, clothing, and electronics[9]. - The company operates through two main segments: Travel Retail and Property, focusing on the sale of duty-free and taxable goods and property development[56]. Financial Performance - The company's revenue decreased by 12.81% from RMB 358.58 billion for the six months ended June 30, 2023, to RMB 312.65 billion for the six months ended June 30, 2024, primarily due to a decline in product sales[18]. - Revenue for the six months ended June 30, 2024, was RMB 31,264,998 thousand, a decrease of 12.5% compared to RMB 35,858,486 thousand for the same period in 2023[44]. - Gross profit for the same period was RMB 10,242,678 thousand, down 4.8% from RMB 10,754,378 thousand in 2023[44]. - Operating profit decreased to RMB 4,647,975 thousand, a decline of 9.4% from RMB 5,131,975 thousand in the previous year[44]. - Net profit for the period was RMB 3,666,551 thousand, representing a decrease of 11.3% compared to RMB 4,136,512 thousand in 2023[44]. - Total comprehensive income for the period was RMB 3,800,544 thousand, down 19.4% from RMB 4,713,735 thousand in the same period last year[44]. - The company reported a decrease in inventory to RMB 19,014,520 thousand from RMB 21,056,915 thousand at the end of 2023[45]. - The operating cash flow for the six months ended June 30, 2024, was RMB 4,309,150 thousand, down from RMB 8,573,228 thousand in the same period of 2023, indicating a decline of about 49.7%[49]. Cost and Expenses - Sales cost decreased by 16.26% from RMB 251.04 billion to RMB 210.22 billion, attributed to the reduction in sales revenue[19]. - Sales and promotion expenses increased by 3.41% from RMB 50.45 billion to RMB 52.17 billion, mainly due to higher airport leasing costs[19]. - Administrative expenses decreased by 7.64% from RMB 12.17 billion to RMB 11.24 billion, primarily due to reduced employee compensation and financial service fees[19]. - Employee costs rose by 2.11% from RMB 17.04 billion to RMB 17.40 billion, due to an increase in the number of employees in some stores[19]. - Financial costs decreased by 39.13% from RMB 1.61 billion to RMB 0.98 billion, mainly due to a reduction in borrowings and interest expenses[19]. Market Expansion and Strategy - The company successfully won the operating rights for duty-free shops at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport T1, Kunming Changshui International Airport, and other key locations, with domestic duty-free store revenue increasing by over 100% year-on-year[11]. - Approximately 50 new brands were introduced in the Hainan region, including luxury brands such as Prada and Gucci, enhancing the brand portfolio[10]. - The company is actively expanding its overseas business, with new openings at Singapore Changi Airport and the launch of a duty-free shop on the Aida Magic cruise ship[11]. - The company is promoting "national trend" brands overseas, signing strategic cooperation agreements to expand brand presence in international markets[11]. - The company plans to focus on upstream brand and duty-free operator acquisition opportunities in the future[24]. - The company aims to expand overseas channels with an allocation of HKD 3,493.65 million for overseas duty-free shops and acquisitions of overseas travel retail operators, also expected to be completed by the end of 2027[33]. Membership and Customer Engagement - As of now, the company has over 35 million members, reflecting a strong marketing push and engagement strategies[14]. - The company is enhancing its online and offline collaboration, focusing on market, product, and member resources to increase customer retention and conversion rates[12]. - User data showed a growth in active customers by 15%, reaching a total of 3 million users by June 30, 2024[118]. Corporate Governance and Compliance - The company has adopted the corporate governance code and has ensured compliance with all relevant provisions, maintaining high standards of corporate governance throughout the reporting period[35]. - The audit and risk management committee, consisting of three independent non-executive directors, reviewed the interim report for the six months ending June 30, 2024, confirming its compliance with applicable accounting standards and legal regulations[37]. - The company emphasizes the importance of good corporate governance to enhance management and protect shareholders' interests[35]. Future Outlook - The company expects a revenue growth guidance of 25% for the second half of 2024, driven by new product launches and market expansion strategies[118]. - Future outlook remains positive, with a focus on sustainability and digital transformation initiatives[118]. - The company is implementing cost-cutting measures aimed at reducing operational expenses by 15% over the next year[118].
中国中免:毛利率持续提升,机场免税贡献增量


Tianfeng Securities· 2024-09-04 06:09
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for the next six months [5][14]. Core Insights - The company's revenue for the first half of 2024 (24H1) was 31.3 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 12.8%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 3.28 billion yuan, down 15.1% year-on-year. However, the gross margin improved to 33.5%, an increase of 2.92 percentage points year-on-year [1][2]. - The company faced challenges in the Hainan region due to weak sales in offshore duty-free shopping, but the overall revenue decline was mitigated by steady growth in the Shanghai duty-free store [2][3]. - The implementation of new city duty-free policies is expected to benefit the company, enhancing domestic consumption and potentially increasing sales [3]. Financial Performance Summary - For 24H1, the company's gross margin was 33.5%, with a net profit margin of 10.5%. The second quarter (24Q2) saw a revenue of 12.5 billion yuan, down 17.4% year-on-year, with a net profit of 980 million yuan, down 37.6% year-on-year [1][2]. - The report projects revenue for 2024 to be 64.7 billion yuan, with net profit expected to be 6.5 billion yuan. This is a downward revision from previous forecasts due to lower-than-expected performance in 2023 and ongoing challenges in Hainan [3][9]. Market Position and Strategy - The company is recognized as a leading duty-free operator with strong channel capabilities and brand strength. The new city duty-free policies are anticipated to provide additional growth opportunities [3][5]. - The report highlights the importance of optimizing product sales structure and pricing strategies, which have contributed to the improvement in gross margins despite overall revenue challenges [1][2].
中国中免:H股公告-月报表


2024-09-03 08:55
FF301 股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2024年8月31日 狀態: 新提交 致:香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 中國旅遊集團中免股份有限公司 第 2 頁 共 10 頁 v 1.1.0 呈交日期: 2024年9月3日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | H | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 01880 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | 面值 | | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 116,383,500 RMB | | | 1 RMB | | 116,383,500 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | 0 | | | RMB | | 0 | | 本月底結存 | | | 116,383,500 RMB | | | 1 RMB | | 116,383,500 | | 2 ...
中国中免:离岛免税短期承压,关注口岸渠道复苏和市内店扩容


Dongxing Securities· 2024-09-03 06:16
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for China Duty Free Group Co., Ltd. (601888.SH) [1][7] Core Views - The company's performance is under pressure in the short term due to weak demand in the duty-free sales market, particularly in offshore duty-free shopping, while there is potential for recovery in port channels and expansion of city stores [1][7] - The domestic tourism market is showing a steady recovery, with a 14.3% year-on-year increase in domestic tourist numbers and a 19% increase in spending, but the appeal of offshore duty-free shopping has declined, leading to a 29.9% drop in monitored offshore duty-free shopping amounts [5][6] - The company is expected to benefit from the implementation of new city duty-free policies starting October 1, 2024, which will enhance its competitive position in the market [6][7] Summary by Sections Company Overview - China Duty Free Group Co., Ltd. was established on March 28, 2008, and has become the largest travel retail operator globally, focusing on providing high-quality duty-free and taxable goods to domestic and international travelers [2] Financial Performance - In the first half of 2024, the company achieved revenue of 31.265 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 12.81%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 3.283 billion yuan, down 15.07% [5] - The second quarter of 2024 saw revenue of 12.458 billion yuan, a decline of 17.44%, and a net profit of 976 million yuan, down 37.6% [5] Market Dynamics - The offshore duty-free business is experiencing sluggish growth, with a significant drop in consumer purchasing intent, leading to a decrease in sales from Sanya's city duty-free stores [5][6] - Port duty-free channels are recovering rapidly, with a 70.9% year-on-year increase in checked-in and out personnel, although recovery is still below pre-pandemic levels [5][6] Profitability and Cost Management - The company has improved its gross margin to 33.53%, up 2.92 percentage points year-on-year, through product structure optimization and discount management [6] - Sales expense ratio increased by 2.91 percentage points to 14.83%, while net profit margin slightly rose to 11.67% [6] Future Outlook - The introduction of city duty-free policies is expected to expand the consumer market, with the company positioned to benefit from this change [6][7] - The company has introduced approximately 50 new brands in Hainan, enhancing its appeal to consumers [6]
中国中免:海南销售承压,上海机场销售恢复较好


Ping An Securities· 2024-09-02 10:40
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for the company, indicating an expectation of stock performance that is better than the market by 10% to 20% over the next six months [3][12]. Core Views - The company's revenue for the first half of 2024 was 31.265 billion yuan, a decrease of 12.81% year-on-year, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 3.283 billion yuan, down 15.07% [6]. - The report highlights that the company's business structure and profitability have changed significantly since 2019, influenced by policy changes and the recovery of inbound tourism [6][10]. - The company is expected to benefit from the recent introduction of city duty-free policies, which will allow it to operate additional duty-free stores starting October 1, 2024 [10]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company's gross margin improved to 33.53%, up 2.92 percentage points, while the net profit margin increased to 11.67%, up 0.25 percentage points [6]. - Sales expenses rose by 8.51% to 4.638 billion yuan, with a sales expense ratio of 14.83%, an increase of 2.91 percentage points [6]. - The company reported a significant decline in revenue from its Hainan operations, with sales of duty-free goods contributing 21.670 billion yuan and taxable goods contributing 9.158 billion yuan [6]. Market Dynamics - The report notes a recovery in international passenger traffic at Shanghai Airport, reaching 89% of 2019 levels, while Hainan's airports showed mixed performance [9]. - The number of visitors and their purchasing conversion rates are closely linked to the company's sales performance, with domestic tourism and inbound travel markets showing strong activity [7][9]. Future Outlook - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 6.41 billion yuan, 8.27 billion yuan, and 10.05 billion yuan for the years 2024 to 2026, respectively [10]. - The report emphasizes the company's competitive advantages in the global travel retail market and its ongoing efforts to optimize supply chains and improve operational efficiency [10].
中国中免:口岸免税复苏持续,关注市内店政策效果


中国银河· 2024-09-02 09:31
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [3]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 31.27 billion and a net profit of 3.28 billion for the first half of 2024, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 13% and 15% respectively [1]. - The company's Hainan flagship project in Sanya experienced a revenue drop of 29%, which is slightly better than the overall Hainan duty-free market decline of 30%, indicating a competitive advantage [1]. - The second quarter saw a revenue of 12.46 billion, down 17% year-on-year, with a non-recurring net profit of 0.98 billion, down 38% year-on-year [1]. - The gross margin improved to 23%, up 0.8 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin decreased to 7.8%, down 2.5 percentage points year-on-year due to minority interest losses and increased tax rates [1]. - The introduction of new policies for city duty-free shops is expected to create a market increment of 10-30 billion, providing new growth opportunities for the company [1]. - The profit forecasts for 2024-2026 have been adjusted to 6.26 billion, 7.65 billion, and 9.11 billion respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 20X, 16X, and 14X [1]. Financial Performance Summary - For 1H24, the company achieved a revenue of 31.27 billion, a decrease of 13% year-on-year, and a net profit of 3.28 billion, down 15% year-on-year [1]. - The second quarter's revenue was 12.46 billion, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 17%, while the non-recurring net profit was 0.98 billion, down 38% year-on-year [1]. - The gross margin for Q2 was 23%, an increase of 0.8 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was 7.8%, a decrease of 2.5 percentage points year-on-year [1]. - The company’s financial forecasts for 2024-2026 indicate a revenue growth rate of -8.11%, 15.00%, and 10.00% respectively [2].
中国中免:上半年海南免税承压,期待未来市内免税店表现


Guoxin Securities· 2024-09-02 04:03
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [2][12][10] Core Views - The company's revenue and net profit attributable to shareholders were under pressure in the first half of 2024, with revenue at 31.27 billion yuan, down 12.8%, and net profit at 3.28 billion yuan, down 15.1% [1][5] - The performance in Hainan's duty-free sector remains under pressure, while there is an improvement in the profitability of airport duty-free operations [1][7] - The company is expected to benefit from new policies regarding city duty-free shops, which will be implemented on October 1, 2024, potentially enhancing revenue streams [1][10] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first half of 2024, the company achieved revenue of 31.27 billion yuan, a decrease of 12.8%, and a net profit of 3.28 billion yuan, down 15.1% [1][5] - The second quarter saw revenue of 12.46 billion yuan, down 17.4%, and a net profit of 976 million yuan, down 37.6% [1][5] - Hainan's duty-free sales were significantly impacted, with a 29.9% decline in sales to 18.46 billion yuan and a 10% drop in visitor numbers [1][7] Profitability Metrics - The company's gross margin improved, with sales expense ratio increasing by 2.9 percentage points, while financial expense ratio decreased by 0.5 percentage points [1][7] - The net profit margin for the first half was down 0.28 percentage points, with a significant decline in Q2 due to Hainan's performance [1][7] Future Outlook - The company is focusing on enhancing its duty-free product offerings and operational efficiency to adapt to changing consumer trends [1][10] - The new city duty-free policy is expected to provide additional revenue opportunities, with plans to convert existing stores to cater to outbound travelers [1][10] - Revenue growth estimates for Hainan have been revised downwards for 2024-2026, reflecting ongoing challenges in the market [1][10]
中国中免:2024年半年报点评:积极复苏出入境免税业务,日上上海盈利能力显著改善


Minsheng Securities· 2024-09-01 07:31
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [2][3]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 31.265 billion yuan in 1H24, a year-on-year decrease of 12.81%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 3.866 billion yuan, down 1.83% year-on-year [1]. - The gross margin improved to 33.53%, up 2.92 percentage points, driven by an optimized product sales structure and better promotional management [1]. - The company is experiencing a significant recovery in its inbound duty-free business, with revenue from domestic duty-free stores growing over 100% year-on-year [2]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 1H24, the company achieved a revenue of 31.265 billion yuan, with a net profit of 3.866 billion yuan and a non-recurring net profit of 3.283 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 15.07% [1]. - The second quarter of 2024 saw a revenue of 12.458 billion yuan, down 17.44% year-on-year, but net profit increased by 37.60% to 976 million yuan [1]. Product and Sales Strategy - The company optimized its product structure, increasing the proportion of high-margin products, which contributed to the improvement in gross margin [1]. - The sales expense ratio increased to 14.83%, attributed to rising leasing costs as new duty-free ports opened [1]. Regional Performance - The company's international operations reported a revenue of 22.549 billion yuan, down 10.98% year-on-year, while the Sanya duty-free store revenue fell by 28.97% to 11.986 billion yuan [2]. - The Shanghai duty-free store, however, reported a revenue increase of 3.70% to 8.500 billion yuan, with net profit soaring by 3599.41% to 310 million yuan, driven by recovering passenger flow and reduced airport rents [2]. Future Outlook - New rental agreements are expected to lower airport rental costs, and the recovery of passenger flow is anticipated to boost duty-free revenue [2]. - The company forecasts net profits of 6.342 billion yuan, 8.235 billion yuan, and 10.309 billion yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 20x, 15x, and 12x [2][3].