Group 1: Sales Performance - The first phase of Tmall's 618 sales event saw a 72% year-on-year growth in core liquor brands within the Taobao ecosystem, with significant increases in domestic liquor categories [2] - Notable sales growth in domestic liquor brands includes Jian Nan Chun at 284%, Luzhou Laojiao at 433%, and Langjiu at 90% [2] - Imported wine brands also performed well, with Penfolds achieving a 408% increase, ranking second among core liquor brands [2] Group 2: Industry Developments - Nine local specialty liquor industries, including Beijing Erguotou and Shanxi Fen Yang liquor, have been included in the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology's cultivation list [3] - Jiangsu's liquor market is valued at over 100 billion yuan, accounting for 10% of the national market, with white liquor sales reaching nearly 62 billion yuan [4] Group 3: Company Initiatives - Yanghe and Jinshiyuan are actively sponsoring the "Su Super" football league to engage with fans and boost brand visibility [4] - Moutai launched a series of new products at the Osaka Expo, with rapid sell-out observed on the iMoutai app [5] - Jinshiyuan's production capacity is set to exceed 80,000 tons following the completion of a technical upgrade project [10] Group 4: Financial Updates - Guizhou Moutai has repurchased shares totaling 5.1 billion yuan, with a remaining buyback amount of 900 million yuan [6][7] - Zhangyu A was removed from the Shenzhen Component Index, reporting a revenue decline of 25.26% and a net profit drop of 42.68% [13] Group 5: New Product Launches - Langjiu introduced a customized liquor product featuring 520 surnames, available exclusively at its production site [8] - Three Squirrels entered the beverage market with a new brand "Sun Wukong," achieving significant sales shortly after launch [9]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the liquor industry [13] Core Insights - The liquor industry is experiencing a proactive inventory reduction phase, with companies adjusting their growth strategies to maintain healthy operations [6][10] - In 2024, the total revenue of the liquor industry is projected to be 431.6 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 8.25% [2][18] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2024 is expected to reach 166.6 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 7.28% [2][18] Revenue and Profit Trends - The quarterly revenue growth rates for the liquor industry from Q1 2024 to Q1 2025 are +15.37%, +12.05%, +2.42%, +1.43%, and +2.42% respectively [2][6] - The quarterly net profit growth rates for the same period are +15.68%, +10.79%, +1.88%, -2.7%, and +2.63% respectively [2][6] Price Segment Analysis - High-end liquor shows relatively stable performance with a revenue growth rate of 12% in 2024, while the mass market segments face significant adjustments [7][29] - In Q1 2025, the revenue growth rates are as follows: high-end (8%), next high-end (3%), mass high-end (-11%), and mass ordinary (-12%) [30] Profitability Metrics - The gross profit margin for the liquor industry in 2024 is 82.99%, with a slight year-on-year increase of 0.42 percentage points [9][39] - The net profit margin for 2024 is 38.6%, showing a decrease of 0.35 percentage points year-on-year [9][39] Cash Flow Situation - The operating cash flow for Q4 2024 is reported at 62.2 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 51% [48] - In Q1 2025, the operating cash flow is 40.9 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 34% [48] Structural Opportunities - Despite the overall inventory reduction phase, there are still structural opportunities within the industry, particularly for companies with strong barriers and pricing power [10][20] - The report suggests focusing on companies that are benefiting from market share concentration and consumption upgrades, particularly high-end brands [11]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Increase" rating for the food and beverage industry, indicating a positive outlook for the sector [5]. Core Insights - The beer and beverage sector is entering a peak season, with a focus on new product launches in mass-market segments. The report highlights three main lines for investment in liquor: leading brands, high-certainty regional brands, and flexible targets benefiting from recovery and risk appetite [1][2]. - The report emphasizes the importance of product innovation and quality in driving growth for companies like Yanjing Beer and Nongfu Spring, particularly in the beverage segment [3][4]. Summary by Sections Liquor Industry - Guizhou Moutai has launched a new product series, enhancing its cultural product structure and international expansion. The liquor market is stabilizing as inventory adjustments continue, providing long-term investment opportunities in leading stocks [2]. Beer and Beverage Sector - Yanjing Beer is implementing multiple strategies to drive U8 growth, including product quality differentiation and market penetration. Nongfu Spring has introduced a new carbonated drink, indicating ongoing competition in the beverage industry, which is expected to maintain high growth due to improved consumer scenarios [3]. Mass-Market Products - The report notes that Sam's Club is accelerating new product launches, which benefits companies that maintain high quality and innovation. The change in accounting for a subsidiary by Haoxiangni may lead to short-term profit fluctuations but could enhance asset value in the long run [4].

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Positive" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The new consumption trend continues, focusing on low-priced/undervalued stocks with potential catalysts, particularly in the food and beverage sector. Key areas of focus include "category dividends in the food sector," "new channel drivers like membership supermarkets," and "new hotspots in health products" [2][16] - The traditional consumption represented by liquor may face pressure, with current recommendations for leading brands in the fragrance category [12][16] Summary by Sections Liquor Sector - The liquor sector is expected to face pressure in Q2, with current valuations remaining low. Recommended stocks include leading brands such as Guizhou Moutai, Wuliangye, and Shanxi Fenjiu for medium-term positioning [12][16] - Recent performance shows a decline of 0.84% in the liquor sector, with notable increases in stocks like Jinhui Liquor (+6.25%) and Huangtai Liquor (+5.03%) [3][22] - Guizhou Moutai has launched new products at the 2025 Osaka World Expo, indicating ongoing brand expansion efforts [4] Consumer Goods Sector - The consumer goods sector continues to show potential, with a focus on stocks like New Dairy, Jin Zai Food, and Aijia Food. The sector saw a rise in non-dairy beverages (+1.33%) and meat products (+1.30%) [2][22] - The overall market sentiment remains positive, with a recommendation for leading stocks in the retail transformation and cost cycle opportunities [16] Market Performance - From June 3 to June 6, the CSI 300 index rose by 0.88%, with the non-dairy beverage and meat product sectors leading the gains. In contrast, other liquor categories saw declines [22] - The valuation levels in the food and beverage industry have adjusted, with the industry trading at 21.64 times earnings, while specific segments like liquor are trading at varying multiples [28]

Core Viewpoint - The Jiangsu Province Urban Football League, referred to as "Su Super," has gained significant popularity, attracting over 15,000 average spectators per match during the recent rounds, with a record attendance of 22,198 for a single match, indicating a strong economic value in grassroots sports [1][4][2]. Group 1: Event Popularity and Attendance - The league is organized by the Jiangsu Provincial Sports Bureau in collaboration with 13 municipal governments, featuring 516 players, of which only 29 are professional, highlighting its grassroots nature [2]. - The second round of matches averaged 9,852 attendees, surpassing the attendance of concurrent professional leagues, while the third round saw even higher engagement with specific matches drawing over 15,000 spectators [4]. - The rapid rise in online discussions and memes related to the league indicates its cultural impact, with the league's popularity surpassing that of major events like the UEFA Champions League final within 20 days [4]. Group 2: Sponsorship and Economic Impact - Major sponsors, including Jiangsu Bank and Jinshiyuan, have reported significant brand exposure and economic benefits from their involvement, with Jiangsu Bank emphasizing its commitment to cultural finance and community engagement [5][6]. - The league's sponsorship structure includes a tiered system with provincial, strategic, and city-level sponsors, reflecting a well-organized approach to attracting financial support [5]. - The economic impact of the league is evident, with data showing that over 180,000 fans traveled across cities during the holiday period, boosting hotel occupancy rates by 20%-30% and restaurant sales by 15%-25% [4]. Group 3: Broader Economic Trends in Sports - The economic benefits of grassroots sports events are becoming increasingly apparent, with examples from other regions showing substantial direct economic contributions from various sporting events [8]. - The integration of local culture and sports, such as promotional ticket packages that include local delicacies, has proven effective in driving sales and enhancing community engagement [8]. - The Jiangsu Provincial Sports Bureau's initiatives to promote sports events in various venues have led to significant increases in participation and consumer spending, demonstrating the potential for sports to drive local economies [9].

Core Viewpoint - The "Su Chao" event has significantly boosted the stock prices of related companies, despite these companies not providing sponsorship or establishing direct cooperation with the event [1] Group 1: Impact on Companies - Companies such as Jinling Sports, Gongchuang Turf, and Kangliyuan have seen substantial stock price increases due to the "Su Chao" concept [1] - These companies have expressed interest in potential collaborations with "Su Chao" despite not currently being sponsors or partners [1] Group 2: Sponsorship Insights - Jinsiyuan, one of the main sponsors of "Su Chao," noted that their sponsorship was a routine arrangement that unexpectedly generated significant traffic, and they are exploring opportunities to convert this traffic into value [1] - Tianmuhu, involved in the cultural tourism industry, reported that "Su Chao" has a noticeable positive impact on consumer spending among tourists [1]

Group 1 - The Jiangsu Provincial Urban Football League, referred to as "Su Super," has gained significant popularity, with over 500 million live views for a single match and attracting more than 180,000 fans to various venues [1][2] - The league is organized by the Jiangsu Provincial Sports Bureau in collaboration with local governments and features 13 teams from different cities, with a total of 516 participants [1] - The league's impact on local consumption is notable, with an estimated direct audience exceeding 400,000 and a total reach of over 10 million, contributing positively to local economic activities [2] Group 2 - Local enterprises are leveraging the "Su Super" league for brand promotion, with companies like Yanghe and Jinshiyuan actively participating as sponsors [2][3] - Jinshiyuan has announced its partnership with the league, aiming to enhance brand visibility and consumer engagement through various promotional activities [2][3] - Yanghe is sponsoring the Suqian team and has initiated promotional campaigns that encourage tourism and local engagement during match days [3]

Group 1 - The "Su Super" football league in Jiangsu has gained significant popularity, with a 16-fold increase in keyword search volume in the past week, particularly in cities like Suzhou, Wuxi, and Nanjing [2] - Jiangsu Bank is the title sponsor of the "Su Super" league, with a retail AUM of over 1.42 trillion yuan, leading among city commercial banks [2] - The event has attracted various sponsors, including high-end liquor brand Guoyuan V from Jinshiyuan, which sees this as an opportunity to enhance brand visibility [3] Group 2 - Other sponsors include Kang Shifu's bottled water brand "He Kai Shui," indicating a diverse range of corporate involvement in the league [4] - Local listed companies are also leveraging the event for brand promotion, such as Weiweijia, which aims to enhance its brand visibility through participation [5] - CITIC Special Steel, based in Jiangyin, has its logo on the Wuxi team's jersey, showcasing the regional corporate support for the league [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the food and beverage industry [4]. Core Viewpoints - The new consumption trend continues, focusing on low-priced/undervalued stocks with potential catalysts, particularly in the food sector, new retail channels, and health products [2][29]. - The report highlights the need to pay attention to the white liquor sector, which may face pressure in the second quarter, suggesting a focus on leading brands with strong market positions [16][29]. Summary by Sections White Liquor Sector - The white liquor sector is currently under pressure, with a recommendation to prioritize leading brands such as Guizhou Moutai, Wuliangye, and Shanxi Fenjiu for mid-term investments [16][29]. - Recent policies regarding public receptions may impact white liquor consumption, but the overall effect is expected to be limited due to a shift from government to business consumption since 2016 [7][16]. - The report notes that the white liquor sector is still in a bottoming phase, with opportunities for mid-term positioning in leading brands [4][16]. Consumer Goods Sector - The consumer goods sector shows a continuation of the new consumption trend, with a focus on potential catalysts in food categories, new retail channels, and health products [2][29]. - Recommended stocks in this sector include Jin Zai Foods, New Dairy, Anji Foods, and others, with a focus on companies that can leverage new retail opportunities [2][29]. Market Performance - From May 26 to May 30, the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 1.08%, while non-dairy beverages and other liquor categories saw gains of 8.96% and 7.93%, respectively, with white liquor declining by 2.80% [2][35]. - Specific stocks such as Tianyoude Liquor and Huazhi Liquor showed positive performance, while others like Luzhou Laojiao and Shanxi Fenjiu experienced declines [3][39]. Price Trends - The report provides insights into the pricing trends of key white liquor brands, indicating stable prices for Guizhou Moutai and Wuliangye, with slight fluctuations noted [15][55].

截至2025年5月30日收盘，今世缘（603369）报收于44.09元，较上周的45.2元下跌2.46%。本周，今世 缘5月26日盘中最高价报45.14元。5月30日盘中最低价报43.96元。今世缘当前最新总市值549.71亿元， 在白酒板块市值排名7/20，在两市A股市值排名244/5146。 本周关注点 交易信息汇总 5月27日，今世缘出现了一笔折价10.32%的大宗交易，合计成交金额为201.2万元。 公司公告汇总 江苏今世缘酒业股份有限公司发布了2024年度权益分派实施公告。每股现金红利为1.2元（含税），A股 股权登记日为2025年6月5日，除权（息）日和现金红利发放日为2025年6月6日。本次利润分配方案经公 司2025年5月21日的2024年年度股东大会审议通过。本次利润分配以方案实施前的公司总股本 1246800037股为基数，每股派发现金红利1.2元（含税），共计派发现金红利1496160044.4元。无限售条 件流通股的红利委托中国结算上海分公司派发。今世缘集团有限公司、周素明、涟水今生缘贸易有限公 司、涟水吉缘贸易有限公司、王卫东5名无限售条件流通股股东的红利由本公司直接发放。对于持有无 ...