Macro and Strategy Research - The economic data for May 2025 shows that the industrial added value increased by 5.8% year-on-year, which is lower than the expected 6.0% and the previous value of 6.1% [3] - The retail sales of consumer goods increased by 6.4% year-on-year, surpassing the expected 4.9% and the previous value of 5.1% [3] - Fixed asset investment accumulated a year-on-year growth of 3.7%, below the expected 4.1% and the previous value of 4.0% [3] - The decline in industrial added value is attributed to fewer working days and a lag in production due to tariff adjustments, particularly affecting labor-intensive industries like textiles [3] - The service sector's production index grew by 6.2%, indicating a slight improvement from April [3] Consumption Growth Challenges - The significant rise in retail sales is driven by holiday consumption and promotional activities, reaching a new high in nearly a year [4] - Automotive sales increased by 11.2% year-on-year, but overall sales revenue growth is limited due to pricing factors [4] - Future consumption may struggle to maintain current levels due to policy adjustments and potential overconsumption [4] Investment Needs Policy Support - Fixed asset investment growth has declined for two consecutive months, with manufacturing investment decreasing by 0.4 percentage points to 7.8% year-on-year [4] - Ten out of twelve sub-sectors in manufacturing saw a slowdown in investment growth, particularly in transportation equipment and non-ferrous metal smelting [4] - Infrastructure investment growth decreased to 9.3%, with local debt pressures limiting project funding [5] - Real estate investment saw a significant decline, with sales in major cities dropping and funding sources for real estate companies decreasing by 10.5% year-on-year [5] Fixed Income Research - The overall issuance rates for credit bonds have mostly decreased, with a range of -7 basis points to 6 basis points [7] - The net financing amount for credit bonds has decreased, with corporate bonds and short-term financing bonds seeing an increase in net financing [7] - The secondary market for credit bonds has seen a significant increase in transaction volume, with most varieties experiencing growth [7] - The credit spreads for medium and short-term notes, corporate bonds, and urban investment bonds have generally narrowed [7] Industry Research - The metal industry is experiencing traditional seasonal characteristics, with demand expected to decline as summer approaches [15] - Steel prices are expected to remain weak due to increasing inventory pressures [15] - Copper prices are supported by tight supply and low inventory, but lack upward momentum in the short term [15] - Gold prices are bolstered by international trade tensions and geopolitical factors, with a need to monitor macroeconomic data and interest rate expectations [15] - The lithium market faces oversupply issues, leading to expected price weakness [15]

Group 1 - The overall economic operation in 2024 was stable, with a 5.8% increase in industrial added value for large-scale enterprises, and a 8.9% growth in the non-ferrous metal industry [15][16] - The non-ferrous metal industry saw a profit increase of 24.5% in the smelting and rolling sector and 47.8% in the mining sector in the first four months of 2025 [15] - The non-ferrous metal industry index rose by 16.41% as of June 13, 2025, outperforming other sectors [16] Group 2 - Gold prices are expected to rise due to multiple factors including weakened dollar credit, increased central bank purchases, and ongoing geopolitical risks [20][34] - In 2024, global central banks purchased 1,045 tons of gold, accounting for 21% of total demand, with significant purchases from emerging market countries [23] - The demand for gold in investment increased by 25% in 2024, reaching 1,180 tons, with bar investment demand growing significantly [23][30] Group 3 - The strategic metals sector, including rare earths and tungsten, is crucial for national defense, economic development, and technological advancement, with China leading in production and reserves [50][62] - The supply of rare earths is expected to tighten due to export controls and limited quota increases, while demand from new energy vehicles and robotics continues to grow [50][67] - The tungsten market is projected to remain strong due to increasing demand from photovoltaic and nuclear fusion sectors, despite tightening supply [50][67] Group 4 - The aluminum industry faces rigid supply constraints with a production cap of 45 million tons, while demand is expected to grow in the new energy sector [4][18] - The demand for aluminum in the automotive and new energy sectors is on the rise, with significant increases in production for battery foils and structural components [4][18] - The copper market is experiencing a shift in demand dynamics, with traditional demand weakening while new energy applications drive growth [5][8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" investment rating for the gold, copper, aluminum, tin, and antimony industries, indicating a positive outlook for these sectors [12][14]. Core Insights - Geopolitical military conflicts have led to increased capital inflow into precious metals, driving strong upward momentum in prices [6]. - The U.S. Federal Reserve is expected to continue its interest rate cuts, which supports the bullish trend in gold prices [12]. - Domestic demand for copper and aluminum is expected to weaken in the short term, but long-term supply-demand dynamics remain tight, supporting prices [12]. Summary by Sections Precious Metals - Gold prices have risen due to geopolitical tensions and continued purchases by the People's Bank of China, which increased its gold reserves by 60,000 ounces in May [6][12]. - The report notes that after a period of consolidation, gold prices are likely to enter a new upward phase [6]. Copper and Aluminum - Domestic macroeconomic indicators show a slight decline in demand, with China's May CPI at -0.1% and PPI at -3.3% [7][29]. - Despite weak downstream demand, low domestic inventory levels are expected to support copper and aluminum prices, which are projected to experience wide fluctuations [11][12]. Tin and Antimony - Tin prices are expected to remain strong due to supply constraints and declining inventories, with domestic refined tin prices at 265,680 RMB/ton [12]. - Antimony prices are under pressure due to weak demand, but long-term supply constraints are expected to support prices [12]. Key Recommendations - The report recommends specific stocks within each sector, including Zijin Mining and Zhongjin Gold for gold, and various companies for copper and aluminum [14][16].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the non-ferrous metals industry is "Positive" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The report highlights that copper prices are expected to remain volatile in the short term due to mixed economic indicators from the US, with a recent decline in copper prices following lower-than-expected CPI data [5] - Aluminum prices are supported by continuous inventory depletion and tight spot supply, while alumina prices have seen a slight decline [5] - Lithium prices are under pressure at the bottom, with a slight increase in carbonate lithium prices, but the market is awaiting further production cuts from mining sources [5] - Cobalt prices have seen a slight increase, with attention on potential policy changes in the Democratic Republic of Congo that could impact supply [5] Summary by Sections 1. Industry Overview 1.1 Important Information - US May CPI was reported at 2.4%, slightly below expectations, indicating potential economic impacts [9] - Recent geopolitical tensions, including Israeli airstrikes on Iran, may affect market stability [9] 1.2 Market Performance - The non-ferrous metals sector outperformed the Shanghai Composite Index, with a weekly increase of 3.79% [11] - The sector's performance was led by magnetic materials, gold, and cobalt, while copper, lithium, and aluminum lagged [11] 1.3 Valuation Changes - The PE_TTM for the non-ferrous metals sector is 19.13, with a slight increase of 0.59 [18] - The PB_LF for the sector is 2.21, reflecting a 0.07 increase [18] 2. Industrial Metals 2.1 Copper - Copper prices saw a decline of 1.44% in London and 1.17% in Shanghai, with significant inventory reductions [23] - The copper smelting profit margin has worsened, indicating financial pressures on producers [23] 2.2 Aluminum - Aluminum prices increased by 1.88% in London and 1.79% in Shanghai, supported by inventory depletion [34] - The profit margin for aluminum producers improved significantly due to rising prices [34] 2.3 Lead and Zinc - Lead prices increased slightly, while zinc prices saw a decline, with mining profits narrowing [48] 2.4 Tin and Nickel - Tin prices remained stable, while nickel prices experienced a slight decline, with profitability for domestic nickel enterprises shrinking [61] 3. Energy Metals 3.1 Lithium - Lithium carbonate prices increased by 0.75%, while lithium hydroxide prices decreased [72] - The profitability of lithium refining remains negative, indicating challenges in the sector [72] 3.2 Cobalt - Cobalt prices have seen a slight increase, with domestic refining margins improving [84]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the metals and new materials industry, indicating a favorable investment environment [4][3]. Core Insights - The report highlights a significant increase in gold prices, surpassing $3,450 per ounce, primarily due to geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and a lower-than-expected U.S. CPI [4][21]. - The report emphasizes the resilience of demand for base metals, with various metals showing positive price movements and suggesting a stable supply-demand balance [4][9]. - The report suggests that the central bank's continued gold purchases indicate a long-term trend towards increasing gold prices, with a focus on companies like Shandong Gold, Zijin Mining, and others [4][21]. Weekly Market Review - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.25%, while the non-ferrous metals index rose by 3.79%, outperforming the CSI 300 by 4.05 percentage points [5][4]. - Precious metals saw a weekly increase of 6.13%, with aluminum up 2.28%, and copper rising by 4.09% [9][4]. - Year-to-date performance shows precious metals up 44.49%, with copper and aluminum also showing significant gains [9][4]. Price Changes - Industrial metals and precious metals experienced varied price changes, with copper down 0.50%, aluminum up 2.14%, and gold up 3.65% [4][15]. - The report notes that the average price of aluminum increased to 20,730 CNY/ton, reflecting a 2.5% weekly rise [46][4]. Supply and Demand Analysis - For copper, the report indicates a decrease in the operating rates of electrolytic copper rods and recycled copper rods, while the demand for wire and cable remains stable [30][4]. - The aluminum sector is facing a decline in processing enterprise operating rates, with a current operating rate of 60.40% [46][4]. - The steel sector is experiencing a decrease in production and demand, with a notable drop in rebar prices [70][4]. Key Company Valuations - The report provides valuations for key companies in the metals sector, with Zijin Mining at 19.15 CNY/share and a projected PE ratio of 24 for 2023 [18][4]. - Other notable companies include Luoyang Molybdenum at 7.91 CNY/share and a PE ratio of 21, and Huayou Cobalt at 35.22 CNY/share with a PE ratio of 18 [18][4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for several companies in the non-ferrous metals sector, including Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, and China Nonferrous Mining [4]. Core Views - The report highlights that geopolitical tensions are driving up precious metal prices, with gold increasing by 3.65% and silver by 0.66% during the week [1]. - Industrial metals are expected to perform well due to ongoing export demand and significant production cuts from mines, particularly in copper [2]. - The lithium market is stabilizing, with prices expected to hold steady in the short term, while cobalt prices may see upward movement due to inventory depletion [3]. - The report emphasizes the importance of central bank gold purchases and the weakening of the US dollar as key factors supporting gold prices in the medium to long term [4]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry and Stock Performance - The SW Nonferrous Index rose by 3.35% during the week, while the Shanghai Composite Index and CSI 300 both fell by 0.25% [1]. 2. Base Metals 2.1 Price and Stock Correlation - The report notes fluctuations in base metal prices, with aluminum prices increasing by 2.10% and copper decreasing by 0.24% [1][12]. 2.2 Industrial Metals - Copper supply remains tight, with the SMM import copper concentrate index down by $44.75 per dry ton, a decrease of $1.46 [2]. - Domestic aluminum social inventory decreased by 44,000 tons, indicating a strong demand despite a seasonal slowdown [2]. 3. Precious Metals and Minor Metals 3.1 Precious Metals - Gold prices are expected to continue rising due to geopolitical tensions and central bank purchases, with a focus on companies like Zijin Mining and Shandong Gold [4]. - Silver prices are supported by industrial demand and are expected to perform well alongside gold [4]. 3.2 Energy Metals - Lithium prices are stabilizing, with production increasing due to prior market rebounds, while cobalt prices are anticipated to rise as inventory levels decrease [3]. - Nickel prices are under pressure due to weak downstream demand and increased production capacity, with expectations of further price declines [3][56].

Investment Rating - Industry rating: Recommended [4] Core Viewpoints - The geopolitical tensions and the decline of the US dollar index have led to a strong performance in gold prices, with COMEX gold rising 3.65% to $3,452.60 per ounce this week [23][25] - The market is increasingly pricing in the possibility of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, with expectations of two cuts this year, the first likely in September [3][43] - The uncertainty in the Middle East, particularly regarding Iran and Israel, is contributing to a shift towards safe-haven assets like gold and silver [5][17] Summary by Sections Precious Metals - COMEX silver increased by 0.66% to $36.37 per ounce, while SHFE gold rose 1.42% to ¥794.36 per gram [23][25] - SPDR gold ETF holdings increased by 201,954.41 troy ounces, while SLV silver ETF holdings decreased by 1,090,806.40 ounces [25] - The gold-silver ratio rose by 2.97% to 94.93 this week [25] Base Metals - In the LME market, copper fell 0.24% to $9,647.50 per ton, while aluminum rose 2.10% to $2,503.00 per ton [49] - SHFE copper decreased by 1.17% to ¥78,010.00 per ton, and aluminum increased by 1.84% to ¥20,440.00 per ton [49] - The supply of copper is expected to tighten due to maintenance plans at domestic smelters and the ongoing geopolitical situation [7][8] Copper - The supply side is affected by a downward adjustment in the annual production forecast for the Kamoa-Kakula project and ongoing maintenance at the Cobre copper mine [7][44] - Domestic copper rod enterprises' weekly operating rate rose to 73.21%, but actual purchases are subdued due to high prices [7] - SHFE copper inventory decreased by 5.08% to 101,900 tons, while LME inventory fell by 13.54% to 114,500 tons [74] Aluminum - The aluminum industry operates at over 95% capacity, with minor maintenance plans causing limited supply disruptions [9][78] - Demand for aluminum products has softened, with a decrease in operating rates for various aluminum products [9][78] - SHFE aluminum inventory decreased by 6.91% to 110,000 tons, while LME inventory fell by 2.92% to 353,200 tons [11][78] Zinc - Zinc prices are under pressure due to weak demand, with domestic zinc ore processing fees rising [79] - SHFE zinc inventory decreased by 3.29% to 45,466 tons, while LME inventory fell by 4.36% to 131,000 tons [79]

Core Points - The company has elected Liu Jianfeng as the chairman of the board and legal representative during the third temporary meeting of the seventh board of directors held on May 30, 2025 [1] - The company has completed the necessary business registration changes and obtained a new business license from the Luoyang Market Supervision Administration, with the legal representative now being Liu Jianfeng [1] - The registered capital of the company is 4.299848124 billion RMB, and it was established on December 22, 1999 [1] Company Information - The company is named Luoyang Luanchuan Molybdenum Industry Group Co., Ltd. and operates as a joint-stock company with investments from Hong Kong, Macau, and Taiwan [1] - The company's business scope includes the mining, selection, smelting, and deep processing of tungsten and molybdenum series products, as well as the import and export of necessary raw materials and machinery [1]

洛阳栾川钼业集团股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）于2025 年5月30日召开第七届董事会第三次临时会议，审议通过关于选举本 公司第七届董事会董事长的议案，同意选举刘建锋先生为公司第七 届董事会董事长，同时担任公司法定代表人。 近日，公司办理完成了相关工商变更登记手续，并取得了洛阳 市市场监督管理局换发的《营业执照》，法定代表人变更为刘建锋先 生，原营业执照其他登记事项未发生变更。 | 名称 | 洛阳栾川钼业集团股份有限公司 | | --- | --- | | 统一社会信用代码 | 91410000171080594J | | 注册资本 | 肆拾贰亿玖仟玖佰捌拾肆万捌仟壹佰贰拾肆人民币元整 | | 成立日期 | 1999年12月22日 | | 类型 | 股份有限公司（港澳台投资、上市） | | 法定代表人 | 刘建锋 | 变更后的营业执照主要登记信息如下： 股票代码：603993 股票简称：洛阳钼业 编号：2025—037 洛阳栾川钼业集团股份有限公司 关于变更法定代表人并换发营业执照的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误 导性陈述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承 ...

股票代码：603993 股票简称：洛阳钼业 编号：2025—036 洛阳栾川钼业集团股份有限公司 关于对外担保计划的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导 性陈述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法 律责任。 重要内容提示： 一、担保审批及授权情况 2025年5月30日，公司2024年年度股东大会审议通过《关于本公 被担保方：相关全资子公司 本次担保金额：洛阳栾川钼业集团股份有限公司（以下简称"公 司"）直接或通过全资子公司（含直接及间接全资子公司，下同） 为其他全资子公司合计提供总额预计不超过15亿元的担保。 本次担保不涉及反担保。 截至本公告披露日公司无逾期担保。 本次担保计划部分被担保方为资产负债率超过70%的全资子公司； 截至本公告披露日，公司对外担保总额占公司最近一期经审计净 资产的20.79%。敬请投资者注意相关风险。 司2025年度对外担保额度预计的议案》，同意授权董事会或董事会授 权人士（及该等授权人士的转授权人士）批准公司直接或通过全资子 公司（含直接及间接全资子公司，下同）或控股子公司（含直接及间 接控股子公司，下同）为其他全资子公司、控股子公 ...