Core Viewpoint - Luoyang Molybdenum Co., Ltd. has shown significant trading activity and financial performance, with notable increases in net profit despite a decrease in revenue, indicating potential investment opportunities in the company [1][2]. Trading Activity - On October 13, Luoyang Molybdenum's stock rose by 3.11%, with a trading volume of 6.811 billion yuan. The financing buy-in amounted to 711 million yuan, while financing repayment was 637 million yuan, resulting in a net financing buy of 73.57 million yuan. The total financing and securities balance reached 2.984 billion yuan [1]. - The financing balance of Luoyang Molybdenum on the same day was 2.956 billion yuan, accounting for 0.98% of the circulating market value, which is above the 90th percentile level over the past year, indicating a high level of financing activity [1]. - In terms of securities lending, 40,900 shares were repaid, while 142,900 shares were sold, amounting to 2.4636 million yuan in sales. The remaining securities lending volume was 1.6303 million shares, with a balance of 28.1064 million yuan, also exceeding the 90th percentile level over the past year [1]. Company Overview - Luoyang Molybdenum Co., Ltd. was established on December 22, 1999, and listed on October 9, 2012. The company primarily engages in the mining, selection, deep processing, trading, and research of rare metals such as molybdenum, tungsten, and gold [2]. - The revenue composition of the company includes refined metal product trading (48.56%), concentrate product trading (38.31%), copper (27.14%), cobalt (6.04%), molybdenum (3.12%), phosphorus (2.23%), niobium (1.88%), tungsten (1.17%), and others (0.11%) [2]. Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Luoyang Molybdenum reported a revenue of 94.773 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 7.83%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders was 8.671 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 60.07% [2]. - The company has distributed a total of 21.562 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 10.576 billion yuan distributed over the past three years [3]. Shareholder Structure - As of June 30, 2025, the number of shareholders in Luoyang Molybdenum was 237,500, a decrease of 15.95% from the previous period. The average circulating shares per person remained at 0 shares [2]. - Among the top ten circulating shareholders, Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited held 648 million shares, an increase of 69.4089 million shares from the previous period. Other notable shareholders include Huaxia SSE 50 ETF and Huatai-PineBridge CSI 300 ETF, which also increased their holdings [3].

Group 1 - The report highlights the resurgence of tariffs between China and the U.S., suggesting an increased allocation towards gold as a safe-haven asset [1][2] - Precious metals continue to show strength, with silver spot prices reflecting insufficient upward momentum, indicating potential risks of a pullback amid trade disputes [1][2] - The long-term trend of de-dollarization is expected to persist, coupled with inflows into ETFs due to short-term interest rate cuts, supporting a positive outlook for the precious metals sector [1][2] Group 2 - Copper prices are anticipated to rise due to supply disruptions, with recent production guidance cuts from Freeport and Teck Resources enhancing the likelihood of a reversal in the global electrolytic copper balance by 2026 [2] - The aluminum market is also waiting for a buying opportunity following recent price increases, with inventory levels showing expected increases without exceeding forecasts [2] - Cobalt prices have surged significantly, with expectations for continued price increases in 2026-2027 due to a projected supply-demand gap of 20,000 to 30,000 tons next year [3][4] Group 3 - Recent export controls on rare earth materials by Chinese authorities are expected to exacerbate supply-demand imbalances, potentially leading to a new upward trend in rare earth prices [4] - The report suggests monitoring specific companies such as Northern Rare Earth, Baotou Steel, and Huayou Cobalt, among others, for investment opportunities in the precious metals and rare earth sectors [5]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights a strong performance in the non-ferrous metals sector, with the National Index for Non-Ferrous Metals (399395) rising by 2.50% as of October 14, 2025, driven by significant gains in individual stocks such as Silver Holdings (601212) up 10.02% and China Rare Earth (000831) up 8.00% [1] - The increase in spot gold prices, reaching a record high of $4,148.93 per ounce, is attributed to the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts and tariff impacts, which have heightened risk aversion among investors [1] - Dongwu Securities indicates that the downward trend in real interest rates, combined with overseas fiscal and tariff pressures, is boosting safe-haven demand for precious metals, with expectations of further interest rate cuts in October [1] Group 2 - As of September 30, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the National Index for Non-Ferrous Metals (399395) include Zijin Mining (601899) and Northern Rare Earth (600111), collectively accounting for 53.12% of the index [2] - The Non-Ferrous ETF Fund (159880) closely tracks the National Index for Non-Ferrous Metals, reflecting the overall performance of listed companies in the non-ferrous metals sector on the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges [1][2]

Group 1: Metal Industry Overview - The metal industry is experiencing significant changes due to export controls and price fluctuations, particularly in rare earth elements and industrial metals [1][7]. - The Ministry of Commerce has implemented export controls on certain rare earth-related items and technologies containing Chinese components, impacting supply chains [1][7]. Group 2: Industrial Metals - Copper prices are expected to rise due to large-scale mine production cuts, with the current market influenced by the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts and ongoing supply disruptions [2]. - Aluminum production in China is nearing its peak, with a fragile balance in the market that could lead to shortages if demand increases or supply is disrupted [2]. Group 3: Tin and Precious Metals - Global visible tin inventories have significantly decreased, with a peak of 22,763 tons in May 2024, followed by a reduction to below 9,000 tons by the end of 2022 [3]. - Gold prices are reaching new highs, driven by economic signals from the Federal Reserve and increasing global central bank purchases of gold, with expectations for continued price elevation through 2025 [4][5]. Group 4: Energy Metals - The introduction of a quota system in the Democratic Republic of Congo is expected to create a long-term bullish trend for cobalt prices due to anticipated supply shortages [6]. - Lithium prices are rebounding, supported by stable domestic supply and increasing demand from the global energy storage market [6]. Group 5: Minor Metals - The strategic importance of tungsten is rising, with prices expected to increase due to supply constraints and heightened demand [7]. - The uranium market is projected to grow significantly, with demand expected to reach 91,000 tons by 2035, driven by increased nuclear power generation [8]. Group 6: Recommended Stocks - Companies recommended for investment include Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, and China Northern Rare Earth Group, among others, reflecting strong positions in the metal industry [9].

Group 1: Overall Industry Outlook - The non-ferrous metal market remains strong, with significant price increases and robust performance in various sectors such as rare earths, precious metals, and cobalt [1] - The China Securities Index for non-ferrous metals has risen by 85% since the beginning of the year, with individual stocks like Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, and Huayou Cobalt seeing increases of 114%, 169%, and 145% respectively [1] Group 2: Precious Metals - On October 13, both gold and silver prices reached historical highs, with gold hitting $4085.04 per ounce and silver reaching $51.714 per ounce [2] - Companies in the precious metals sector are optimistic about future price trends, citing factors such as the interest rate cycle and geopolitical uncertainties as supportive for gold prices [2] - Silver is expected to follow gold's upward trend, although it typically exhibits greater price volatility [2] Group 3: Industrial Metals - The copper sector showed resilience with a rebound in A-shares, while aluminum prices are expected to strengthen due to seasonal supply increases [3][4] - The relationship between copper prices and U.S. Federal Reserve interest rates is highlighted, with historical data indicating that low interest rates often correlate with rising copper prices [3] - The International Copper Study Group predicts a shift from surplus to shortage in the copper market by 2026, indicating potential price increases [3] Group 4: Cobalt and Other Metals - Cobalt prices have surged due to supply constraints from the Democratic Republic of Congo, with prices rising by 133% since the announcement of export bans [6] - Demand for cobalt remains strong, particularly in high-end electric vehicles that utilize ternary batteries [6] - Other minor metals like antimony and bismuth are experiencing price corrections, with antimony facing supply and demand challenges [6][7]

Core Views - The multi-metal strategic attributes continue to strengthen, driving value reassessment in the non-ferrous metal industry [1] - The investment rating remains "outperform" [2] Tin Market Analysis - Global exchange visible inventory has significantly decreased, with a peak of 22,763 tons in May 2024, followed by a reduction to below 9,000 tons by the end of 2022 [5][73] - The price of tin is expected to rise due to the limited number of new global tin mining projects, with most expected to come online after 2027 [51] Precious Metals - Gold prices have reached new highs, driven by signals from the Federal Reserve regarding potential interest rate cuts, with expectations for further increases in gold prices through 2025 [5] Energy Metals - The implementation of a quota system in the Democratic Republic of Congo is expected to lead to a long-term bull market for cobalt prices [6] - Lithium prices are rebounding, supported by strong demand in the global energy storage market, with supply disruptions still present [6] Minor Metals - The strategic attributes of minor metals are strengthening, with rare earth export controls tightening and significant price increases observed [6] - Tungsten prices are expected to rise due to increased demand and supply constraints [8] Industrial Metals - Copper prices are expected to rise due to large copper mine production cuts, with a focus on monitoring inventory changes [7][9] - Aluminum production in China is nearing its peak, with a fragile balance in the market that could shift to shortages if demand increases [7][32] Recommended Investment Targets - The report recommends a diversified portfolio including companies such as Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, and China Northern Rare Earth [6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the industry [2][9]. Core Insights - The report highlights the increasing geopolitical tensions between China and the U.S., which may elevate demand for safe-haven assets like gold and strategic metals such as rare earths and tungsten [5][9]. - The copper market is experiencing supply disruptions, with prices trending upward due to tight supply conditions [5]. - Aluminum demand is expected to continue, with potential opportunities for investment following market corrections [5]. - The strategic importance of rare earths and tungsten is emphasized due to recent export controls and geopolitical developments [5][9]. Summary by Sections Copper Sector - Supply disruptions are ongoing, with LME copper prices at $10,735 per ton, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 1.9% [5]. - The processing fee for imported copper concentrate is negative, indicating tight supply [5]. - Companies with rich copper reserves are recommended for investment [9]. Aluminum Sector - LME aluminum prices reached $2,800 per ton, up 3.6% week-on-week [5]. - The operating rate for aluminum processing enterprises has slightly decreased, but demand is expected to remain stable [5]. - Investment opportunities are suggested for companies in the aluminum sector following market corrections [9]. Gold Sector - Gold prices are rising, with SHFE gold at 901.6 RMB per gram, up 3.1% week-on-week [5]. - The report suggests that geopolitical tensions may enhance gold's strategic position as a safe-haven asset [5]. - Investment in gold-related companies is recommended due to their undervalued resource potential [9]. Rare Metals Sector - Rare earth prices remain stable, with praseodymium-neodymium oxide at 683,000 RMB per ton [5]. - Recent export controls on rare earths have heightened their strategic importance amid U.S.-China tensions [5][9]. - Investment opportunities are highlighted in companies involved in rare earth production [9]. Steel Sector - Steel prices are stable, with SHFE rebar at 3,103 RMB per ton, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 1.0% [6]. - The report notes frequent disruptions in iron ore supply negotiations, which may impact future prices [6]. - Companies with high self-sufficiency in iron ore are recommended for investment [9].

New Stock Issuance - Marco Polo (Stock Code: 001386) issued at a price of 13.75 on October 13, 2025[1] - New material company (Stock Code: 688585) has a tender offer period from September 29 to October 28, 2025[1] - Zitian (Stock Code: 300280) entered the delisting arrangement period with the last trading day on October 13, 2025[1] Market Alerts - Significant abnormal fluctuations reported for Pinming Technology (Stock Code: 688109) on October 10, 2025[1] - Multiple companies including Kesheng Technology (Stock Code: 688788) and Borui Pharmaceutical (Stock Code: 688166) have recent announcements regarding their stock activities[1] - A total of 30 companies have been flagged for abnormal trading activities, indicating potential market volatility[2]

Core Viewpoint - Luoyang Molybdenum Co., Ltd. is a leading player in the non-ferrous metal mining industry, with significant production capabilities in molybdenum, tungsten, cobalt, and copper, and is experiencing fluctuations in stock performance and market interest [1][2][3]. Company Overview - Luoyang Molybdenum Co., Ltd. is primarily engaged in the mining, selection, smelting, and deep processing of precious metals such as molybdenum, tungsten, and gold, and has a comprehensive integrated industrial chain [2][7]. - The company is one of the top five molybdenum producers globally and the largest tungsten producer, as well as the second-largest cobalt and niobium producer [2][3]. Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, the company reported a revenue of 94.77 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 7.83%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 60.07% to 8.67 billion yuan [8]. - The company has distributed a total of 21.56 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 10.58 billion yuan distributed in the last three years [9]. Production and Growth - The company has been expanding its precious metals business, with the revenue and profit contribution from gold and silver products increasing annually [3]. - In 2023, the company expects to produce between 25,000 to 27,000 ounces of gold from its NPM copper-gold mine in Australia, representing a year-on-year increase of 56% to 69% [3]. Market Activity - On October 13, the company's stock rose by 3.11%, with a trading volume of 6.81 billion yuan and a turnover rate of 2.37%, indicating a market interest ranking of 49th in the A-share market [1]. - The stock has seen a net outflow of 2.59 million yuan from major investors today, with a continuous reduction in holdings over the past three days [4][5]. Shareholder Structure - As of June 30, 2025, the company had 237,500 shareholders, a decrease of 15.95% from the previous period, with the average circulating shares per person remaining at zero [8]. - Major shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited and various ETFs, indicating a diversified ownership structure [9]. Technical Analysis - The average trading cost of the stock is 10.76 yuan, with the current price approaching a resistance level of 18.00 yuan, suggesting potential for a breakout or a pullback [6].

Investment Ratings - The report maintains a "Buy" investment rating for the gold industry, copper industry, aluminum industry, tin industry, and antimony industry [12]. Core Views - The report indicates that the decline in risk assets and the resulting increase in risk aversion will drive up precious metal prices, particularly gold and silver [4][5]. - The Federal Reserve's recent decision to lower interest rates is expected to support the upward trend in gold prices [5]. - Supply disruptions in copper mining are anticipated to strengthen copper prices as the peak demand season approaches [6][8]. - The aluminum market is expected to experience tight supply conditions, although demand recovery post-holiday is still uncertain [9]. - Tin prices are supported by tightening supply due to issues in refining and mining operations [10]. - Antimony prices are expected to remain weak in the short term due to weak demand, but long-term supply constraints may support prices [12]. Summary by Sections Precious Metals - Gold prices increased to $3974.50 per ounce, up by $88.80 from October 3, reflecting a 2.29% rise. Silver prices rose to $50.76 per ounce, up by $3.16, a 6.63% increase [4][32]. - The SPDR Gold ETF holdings increased by 70,000 ounces to 32.7 million ounces, while SLV Silver ETF holdings rose by 11.35 million ounces to 497 million ounces [32]. Copper - LME copper closed at $10,765 per ton, up by $200 from October 3, a 1.89% increase. SHFE copper closed at 85,900 yuan per ton, up by 2,550 yuan, a 3.06% increase [6]. - Supply disruptions from major mines are expected to support copper prices, with Freeport-McMoran and Teck Resources reducing their production forecasts significantly [8]. Aluminum - Domestic aluminum prices reached 21,020 yuan per ton, up by 290 yuan. LME aluminum inventory decreased to 508,825 tons [9]. - The report notes that while supply remains rigid, demand recovery is still weak, leading to potential inventory accumulation [9]. Tin - Domestic refined tin prices rose to 288,830 yuan per ton, an increase of 10,370 yuan, or 5.16% [10]. - Supply issues are exacerbated by slow recovery in mining operations, particularly in Myanmar and Indonesia [10]. Antimony - Antimony prices fell to 167,500 yuan per ton, down by 1,000 yuan, reflecting a 0.59% decrease. The report highlights weak demand and ongoing supply issues [11].