格隆汇12月11日｜深交所公告，"21万科06"(149568)盘中成交价较前收盘价首次下跌达到或超过20%， 根据《深圳证券交易所债券交易规则》和《关于对债券匹配成交实施盘中临时停牌有关事项的通知》等 有关规定，本所自今日10时38分19秒起对该债券实施临时停牌，于11时08分20秒复牌。 ...

【内容摘要】12月10日，资金面更加充沛；债市延续暖意；转债市场主要指数集体收涨，转债个券多数上涨；各期限美债收益率普遍下行，主要欧洲经济体 10年期国债收益率普遍上行。 一、债市要闻 （一）国内要闻 【11月CPI同比上涨0.7%，PPI同比下降2.2%】根据国家统计局12月10日公布的数据，2025年11月，CPI同比上涨0.7%，上月为上涨0.2%，1-11月CPI累计同 比为0.0%；11月PPI同比下降2.2%，上月为下降2.1%，1-11月PPI累计同比下降2.7%。 【财政部：2025年到期续作特别国债为等额滚动发行，不增加财政赤字】12月10日，财政部有关负责人就2025年到期续作特别国债发行相关问题答记者问表 示，对于2025年12月12日即将到期的7500亿元特别国债，财政部将延续以前年度做法，继续采取滚动发行的方式，向有关银行等额定向发行2025年到期续作 特别国债，所筹资金用于偿还当月到期本金。2025年到期续作的7500亿元特别国债将在全国银行间债券市场面向有关银行定向发行，期限品种包括10年期 4000亿元、15年期3500亿元。发行过程不涉及社会投资者，个人投资者不能购买。 【国 ...

华创证券近期研报指出，寻找地产alpha。当前房地产市场三个问题仍需关注：新房需求中枢下滑；库 存尚未解决；土地财政对经济的拖累，对地产有负面影响，预计2026年房地产销售量价或仍面临一定下 行压力，寻找alpha尤为重要。 智通财经APP获悉，内房股普遍回落，截至发稿，雅居乐集团(03383)跌6.06%，报0.31港元；世茂集团 (00813)跌4.17%，报0.207港元；融创中国(01918)跌2.96%，报1.31港元；富力地产(02777)跌1.56%，报 0.63港元。 消息面上，12月10日午后，地产股突然拉升，龙头万科A直线封死涨停，港股万科则一度涨超17%。值 得关注的是，近期市场有关房贷贴息政策讨论明显增多。据华夏时报，上海易居房地产研究院副院长严 跃进表示，当前，部分城市已经执行了房贷贴息政策，这一做法也可以降低购房者的房贷压力，但需要 考虑贴息到底是谁在贴，是银行还是财政。不过，若贴息政策能够落地，的确可以激发潜在的购房需 求。 ...

金融期货早评 宏观：美联储如期降息 【市场资讯】1）中国 11 月 CPI 同比上涨 0.7%，创 2024 年 3 月来最高，PPI 同比降幅略有 扩大。2）房地产板块午盘大涨，万科展期债券讨论与市场对"房贷贴息"政策预期成为情绪 核心驱动。3）美联储如期再降息 25 基点，但三票委反对，仍预计明年降息一次，将买短 债 400 亿美元；鲍威尔：购债规模未来几个月或维持在较高水平，劳动力市场逐步降温但 慢于预期，目前利率下能耐心等待，关税影响明年料逐渐消退。新美联储通讯社：美联储 暗示暂停降息行动；新债王：今天或是鲍威尔任内最后一次。4）特朗普要搞"美联储主席 最终面试"，哈塞特尚未"板上钉钉"，贝森特仍有望后续接任。哈塞特：特朗普未来 1-2 周 对美联储主席人选做最终决定，重申美联储还有很大的降息空间。5）美国就业成本涨幅创 逾四年新低，通胀压力缓和。6）全球长债收益率飙升至 16 年新高，市场押注全球降息周 期即将终结。 【核心逻辑】海外市场聚焦美联储政策动向，下一任主席人选敲定预期升温，哈塞特当选 概率较高。市场预判其上任后或推动更激进降息，但受鲍威尔任期、经济及通胀等因素制 约，降息落地存在不确定性 ...

万科债跌幅扩大， "21万科06"跌超24%盘中临时停牌，"23万科01"跌超18%，"22万科02"跌超17%，"21 万科04"跌超16%，"22万科04"和"22万科06"跌超10%，"21万科02"跌超7%。 ...

地址：北京市朝阳区朝阳门外大街甲 6 号万通中心 D 座 20 层（100020） 总机：010-8535 6666 注:本报告资讯信息来源于万得资讯和金十数据，冠通研究整理编辑 本公司具备期货交易咨询业务资格，请务必阅读免责声明。 分析师：王静，执业资格证号 F0235424/Z0000771。 免责声明： 本报告中的信息均来源于公开资料，我公司对这些信息的准确性和完整性不作任何保证。报告中的内容和 意见仅供参考，并不构成对所述品种买卖的出价或征价。我公司及其雇员对使用本报告及其内容所引发的 任何直接或间接损失概不负责。本报告仅向特定客户传送，版权归冠通期货所有。未经我公司书面许可， 任何机构和个人均不得以任何形式翻版，复制，引用或转载。如引用、转载、刊发，须注明出处为冠通期 货股份有限公司。 资讯早间报 发布日期： 2025/12/11 隔夜夜盘市场走势 1. 美债收益率集体下跌，2 年期美债收益率跌 7.24 个基点报 3.538%，3 年期美 债收益率跌 6.39 个基点报 3.589%，5 年期美债收益率跌 5.59 个基点报 3.731%， 10 年期美债收益率跌 3.51 个基点报 4.149% ...

格隆汇12月11日｜深交所公告，"21万科06"(149568)盘中成交价较前收盘价首次下跌达到或超过20%， 根据《深圳证券交易所债券交易规则》和《关于对债券匹配成交实施盘中临时停牌有关事项的通知》等 有关规定，本所自今日10时38分19秒起对该债券实施临时停牌，于11时08分20秒复牌。 ...

FICC日报 | 2025-12-11 美联储如期降息25基点，启动"技术性扩表" 市场分析 国内政策预期升温。11月14日国务院常务会议，研究深入实施"两重"建设有关工作，部署增强消费品供需适配性进 一步促进消费政策措施。11月24日，国家发展改革委价格司组织召开价格无序竞争成本认定工作座谈会。11月28 日，工信部组织召开动力和储能电池行业制造业企业座谈会，强调认真落实党中央关于综合整治"内卷式"竞争的 决策部署，加快推出针对性政策举措，依法依规治理动力和储能电池产业非理性竞争。数据方面，中国10月出口 （以美元计价）同比下降1.1%，前值增8.3%，进出口数据受工作日天数减少以及节前抢出口影响，前期的"抢出口" 和"抢进口"有待消化，同时10月投资、消费和工业的增速也出现不同程度放缓，国内经济基础有待夯实。中国11 月官方制造业PMI环比回升至49.2，高技术制造业PMI连续10个月位于临界点50以上，受高基数影响非制造业PMI 小幅回落。中国11月外贸增速大幅回升，以美元计价出口同比转增5.9%，进口同比增1.9%；稀土出口环比增长26.5%， 大豆进口环比降14.5%。中共中央政治局会议明确指出，明 ...

12月10日A股收盘，主要指数呈现分化态势，上证指数跌0.23%报3900.5点，深证成指涨0.29%报13316.42点，创 业板指微跌0.02%；沪深两市合计成交额1.78万亿元，较前一交易日缩量约1254亿元；个股方面2341股上涨、 2658股下跌，下跌个股略占多数；题材方面部分板块涨幅居前。 今日，A股十大人气热股如下：永辉超市、万科A、海马汽车、龙洲股份、航天发展、天通股份、中科曙光、海 南发展、东百集团、特发信息。 | 热度排名 | 人气个股 | 热度值 | 所属概念 | 热度标签 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | l | 永辉超市 | 9.75 | 预制菜, 冷链物流 | 3天3板 | | 2 | 万 科A | 9 | 租售同权, 物业管理 | 首板涨停 | | 3 | 海马汽车 | 8 | 海南自贸区,自由贸易港 | 首板涨停 | | 4 | 龙州股份 | 7.75 | 海峡两岸, 网 约车 | 6大6极 | | 5 | 航天发展 | 7.5 | 福建自贸区, 军工信息化 | 持续上榜 | | 6 | 天通股份 | 7.25 | PCB概念, 锂电池概念 ...

1. Report's Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided. 2. Core Views of the Report - China's economy shows resilience, with the IMF predicting growth rates of 5.0% in 2025 and 4.5% in 2026, up 0.2 and 0.3 percentage points from the October forecast [2][16] - The Fed cut interest rates by 25 basis points for the third time this year, lowering the target range for the federal funds rate to 3.50%–3.75%, and will start a monthly short - term Treasury purchase plan of about $40 billion from December 12 [3][14] - The Asian Development Bank raised the regional economic growth forecast for 2025 to 5.1% and slightly increased the 2026 forecast to 4.6% [17] 3. Summary by Directory Macro Data Overview - GDP growth in Q3 2025 was 4.8% year - on - year, down from 5.2% in the previous quarter but up from 4.6% in the same period last year [1] - In November 2025, the manufacturing PMI was 49.2%, up from 49.0% in the previous month but down from 50.3% in the same period last year; the non - manufacturing PMI for business activities was 49.5%, down from 50.1% in the previous month and 50.0% in the same period last year [1] - In October 2025, social financing scale increment was 816.1 billion yuan, down from 3529.9 billion yuan in the previous month but up from 1412 billion yuan in the same period last year [1] - In November 2025, CPI rose 0.7% year - on - year, up from 0.2% in the previous month; PPI fell 2.2% year - on - year, down from a 2.1% decline in the previous month [1][2] Commodity Investment Reference Comprehensive - China's November CPI was in line with expectations, and the increase was mainly driven by the change of food prices from decline to rise. PPI was slightly lower than expected, with a 0.1% month - on - month increase [2] - The Fed cut interest rates and will start a short - term Treasury purchase plan. The Shanghai Futures Exchange adjusted the margin and price limit for silver futures contracts [2][3] - The container shipping index (European route) futures on the Shanghai International Energy Exchange mostly rose, with the February contract leading the gain [3] Metals - International precious metal futures generally rose due to the Fed's interest rate cut. Indonesia may impose export tariffs on gold. Copper production at some Chilean mines changed in October [5] - As of December 10, the holdings of the world's largest gold ETF decreased. The inventory of some metals on the London Metal Exchange changed significantly on December 9 [5][6] Coal, Coke, Steel and Minerals - Argentina approved a copper mining project, and the copper production of Escondida Mine in Chile increased in October [8] Energy and Chemicals - The seizure of a Venezuelan oil tanker by the US increased short - term supply risks, and the Fed's interest rate cut pushed up oil prices, but global oversupply limited the increase [9] - EIA adjusted its forecast for US crude oil production in 2025 and 2026. US natural gas inventory decreased last week [9] - Saudi companies will develop oil and gas fields in Syria, and an Iraqi oil field resumed production [10] Agricultural Products - The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs will launch a consumption promotion activity for agricultural products. US soybean crushing volume in October and Malaysia's palm oil situation were reported [11][12] Financial News Compilation Open Market - On December 10, the central bank conducted 189.8 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations, with a net injection of 110.5 billion yuan [13] Key News - The Fed cut interest rates, started a short - term Treasury purchase plan, and the dot - plot predicted further rate cuts in 2026 and 2027 [14][15] - China's November CPI rose and PPI fell. The IMF and ADB raised their economic growth forecasts for China and Asia respectively [16][17] - The Ministry of Finance will renew 750 billion yuan of special Treasury bonds and issued 7 billion yuan of RMB Treasury bonds in Hong Kong [17][18] - Some banks' business operations and market - related events such as the launch of green foreign debt business in Shenzhen and the release of a new CDS index were reported [19][20] Bond Market Review - China's bond market continued to be warm, with most interest - rate bond yields falling and Treasury bond futures rising. Money market rates mostly declined [23][24][25] - European bond yields rose, while US bond yields fell [27][28] Foreign Exchange Market Express - The on - shore RMB appreciated against the US dollar, and the US dollar index fell [29] Research Report Highlights - CITIC Securities believes that the RMB's recent appreciation is due to internal economic fundamentals and external factors, which will have an impact on exports and imports [30] - Huatai Securities believes that the global central bank's policy stance may diverge in the next two weeks, and the global manufacturing cycle is expected to recover [30] Today's Reminder - On December 11, a large number of bonds will be listed, issued, have payments made, and have principal and interest repaid [31][32] Stock Market Key News - A - shares recovered after hitting the bottom. The Shanghai Composite Index fell slightly, while the Shenzhen Component Index rose. Real estate stocks rose in the afternoon [33] - The Hong Kong Hang Seng Index rose, with property stocks performing strongly. Southbound funds had a net outflow [33]