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古井贡酒:业绩符合预期,底盘扎实经营稳态强
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2024-09-01 03:41
159.00 183.00 207.00 231.00 255.00 279.00 303.00 230830231130240229240531 人民币(元) 成交金额(百万元) 成交金额 古井贡酒 沪深300 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |-------------------------------|--------|--------|--------|--------|--------| | 公司基本情况(人民币) \n项目 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024E | 2025E | 2026E | | 营业收入(百万元 ) | 16,713 | 20,254 | 24,484 | 28,929 | 33,635 | | 营业收入增长率 | 25.9% | 21.2% | 20.9% | 18.2% | 16.3% | | 归母净利润 (百万元) | 3,143 | 4,589 | 5,815 | 7,174 | 8,669 | | 归母净利润增长率 | 36.8% | 46 ...
古井贡酒:2024年中报点评:业绩保持高增,产品结构持续优化
Guohai Securities· 2024-09-01 03:39
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company has maintained high growth in performance, with continuous optimization of its product structure. The revenue for the first half of 2024 reached 138.06 billion, a year-on-year increase of 22.07%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 35.73 billion, up 28.54% year-on-year [3][5] Summary by Relevant Sections Performance Overview - In H1 2024, the company achieved revenue of 138.06 billion, a 22.07% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 35.73 billion, reflecting a 28.54% growth [3] - The second quarter of 2024 saw revenue of 55.19 billion, up 16.79% year-on-year, and a net profit of 15.07 billion, which is a 24.57% increase [3] Product Structure and Market Performance - The product structure has steadily improved, with revenue from different product lines in H1 2024 as follows: Year Original Liquor 10.787 billion (+23.12%), Gujing Liquor 1.238 billion (+11.47%), and Yellow Crane Tower 1.403 billion (+26.58%) [2] - The revenue contribution from Year Original Liquor increased by 0.54 percentage points to 80.33%, with a gross margin increase of 1.16 percentage points [2] Market Strategy - The company is focusing on a "nationalization and next-high-end" strategy, enhancing its product and customer structure while accelerating its national expansion [2] - As of the end of H1 2024, the number of distributors in various regions was as follows: North China 1,288, South China 630, Central China 2,848, and international 16 [2] Financial Projections - The company aims to exceed 200 billion in revenue and is targeting 300 billion, with projected revenues for 2024-2026 being 243.35 billion, 287.95 billion, and 333.39 billion respectively [5][6] - The expected net profits for the same period are 58.81 billion, 72.37 billion, and 86.75 billion, with corresponding EPS of 11.12, 13.69, and 16.41 [5][6]
古井贡酒:市场稳扎稳打,利润持续释放
Ping An Securities· 2024-09-01 02:08
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for Gujing Gongjiu [3][7][14] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 13.8 billion yuan in 1H24, representing a year-on-year growth of 22%, with a net profit of 3.6 billion yuan, up 29% year-on-year [6][7] - The product structure is upgrading, with significant growth in the premium product segment, particularly the aged raw liquor [7] - The company is expanding its market presence outside its base region, with notable growth in the North China market [7] Financial Performance Summary - 1H24 revenue breakdown: aged raw liquor 10.8 billion yuan (+23% YoY), Gujing Gongjiu 1.2 billion yuan (+11% YoY), and Huanghelou and others 1.4 billion yuan (+27% YoY) [7] - 2Q24 gross margin improved to 80.5%, up 2.7 percentage points year-on-year, indicating enhanced profitability [7] - The company’s net profit margin for 2Q24 was 27.3%, an increase of 1.7 percentage points year-on-year [7] Market Expansion and Strategy - Revenue by region in 1H24: Central China 11.9 billion yuan (+21% YoY), North China 1.1 billion yuan (+35% YoY), South China 800 million yuan (+17% YoY) [7] - The company is accelerating its national expansion strategy, with solid performance in its home market of Anhui and ongoing growth in Jiangsu, Hebei, and Shandong [7] Future Projections - The forecast for net profit in 2024-2026 has been adjusted to 5.8 billion, 7.0 billion, and 8.3 billion yuan respectively [7][8] - The company is expected to maintain a strong growth trajectory, driven by stable growth in its core products and effective market expansion strategies [7][8]
古井贡酒2024H1业绩点评:稳步前行,盈利兑现持续
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for Gujing Gongjiu with a revised target price of 219.26 yuan, down from the previous 343.20 yuan [3][12]. Core Views - The company's revenue in Q2 2024 was slightly below expectations, but profit performance met expectations, indicating a steady cash flow. The report highlights the company's market share logic and continuous improvement in profitability, suggesting a strong certainty in future performance [3][12]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q2 2024, the company achieved revenue of 5.519 billion yuan and a net profit of 1.507 billion yuan, representing year-on-year increases of 16.79% and 24.57%, respectively [12]. - The revenue growth was slightly below expectations due to seasonal adjustments and a dip in consumer demand, while profit growth aligned with forecasts [12]. - The gross margin improved significantly year-on-year, attributed to product mix enhancements and reduced discounting [12]. Profitability and Cash Flow - The report notes a notable increase in the company's net profit margin, which rose by 1.8 percentage points year-on-year, reaching historical highs [12]. - Cash flow from sales increased by 12.8% year-on-year, with contract liabilities at the end of the period amounting to 2.22 billion yuan, indicating stable cash flow performance [12]. Market Position and Future Outlook - The report emphasizes the importance of market share concentration in the liquor industry, suggesting that Gujing Gongjiu's solid provincial channels and product structure align with consumer trends, which may lead to sustained market share growth [3][12]. - The long-term outlook for the company is positive, with expectations of continued profitability improvements and a strong performance certainty [12].
古井贡酒:2024年中报点评:徽酒龙头稳健增长 提质增效持续推进
Minsheng Securities· 2024-08-31 14:30
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [2] Core Views - The company achieved a total revenue of 13.806 billion yuan and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 3.573 billion yuan in the first half of 2024, representing year-on-year growth of 22.07% and 28.54% respectively [2] - The revenue for Q2 2024 was 5.519 billion yuan, with a net profit of 1.507 billion yuan, showing year-on-year increases of 16.79% and 24.57% respectively [2] - The company's contract liabilities at the end of H1 2024 were 2.218 billion yuan, down 26.67% year-on-year, indicating fluctuations in contract liabilities and revenue growth [2] - The Year Original Series saw both volume and price increases, with revenue from the white liquor business reaching 13.428 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 22.29% [2] - The gross profit margin for the Year Original Series improved to 86.31%, up 1.16 percentage points year-on-year [2] - The company expects net profit attributable to shareholders to grow by 26.4%, 23.5%, and 20.3% in 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 16, 13, and 11 [2] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 20.254 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 21.2% [6] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2023 is estimated at 4.589 billion yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 46.0% [6] - The gross margin for 2024 is expected to be 80.79%, with a net profit margin of 23.87% [6] Product Performance - The Year Original Series contributed 80.33% to the total revenue, with a revenue increase of 23.12% year-on-year [2] - The company plans to launch new products in the Grape Wine Series, which is expected to sustain the growth trend in the second half of the year [2] Market Dynamics - The company experienced significant growth in the North China market, with revenue increasing by 35.10% year-on-year [2] - Online sales grew by 18.88%, while offline sales increased by 22.17% in H1 2024 [2] Cost Management - The company managed to reduce its sales and management expense ratios, contributing to improved profitability [2] - The gross profit margin for H1 2024 was 80.41%, an increase of 1.53 percentage points year-on-year [2]
古井贡酒:年份原浆延续量价齐升,龙头省内护城河稳固
HUAXI Securities· 2024-08-31 13:03
[Table_Title] 年份原浆延续量价齐升,龙头省内护城河稳固 | --- | --- | --- | --- | |------------------------------|--------------|------------------------------|---------------| | [Table_DataInfo] 评级: 增持 | | 股票代码: | 000596 | | 上次评级: 增持 | | 52 周最高价 / 最低价(元): | 293.07/156.64 | | 目标价格(元): | 总市值(亿元) | | 817.81 | | 最新收盘价(元): | 172.02 | 自由流通市值(亿元 ) | 702.87 | | | | 自由流通股数 (百万) | 408.60 | [Table_Summary] 事件概述 公司发布中报,24H1 实现收入 138.1 亿元,同比+22.1%;归母净利 35.7 亿元,同比+28.5%。24Q2 实现收 入 55.2 亿元,同比+16.8%;归母净利 15.1 亿元,同比+24.6%。收入符合市场预期,利润略超市场预期。 分析 ...
古井贡酒:公司事件点评报告:业绩增长稳健,全年目标达成可期
Huaxin Securities· 2024-08-31 10:07
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" investment rating for the company [2][4] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 13.806 billion yuan in the first half of 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 22.07%, with a net profit of 3.573 billion yuan, up 28.54% year-on-year [2] - The second quarter of 2024 saw revenue of 5.519 billion yuan, an increase of 16.79%, and a net profit of 1.507 billion yuan, up 24.57% year-on-year [2] - The gross profit margin for the first half of 2024 was 80.41%, an increase of 1.53 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to product mix improvement [2] - The company plans to achieve revenue and total profit of 24.45 billion yuan and 7.95 billion yuan respectively in 2024, with expected year-on-year growth of 20.72% and 25.55% [4] Revenue Growth and Profitability - The company’s revenue from different product lines in the first half of 2024 was as follows: Year-round raw liquor 10.787 billion yuan (+23.12%), Gujing Gongjiu 1.238 billion yuan (+11.47%), and Huanghelou and others 1.403 billion yuan (+26.58%) [3] - Online and offline revenue for the first half of 2024 was 408 million yuan (+18.88%) and 13.397 billion yuan (+22.17%) respectively [3] - The number of distributors increased to 4,782, a net increase of 141 year-on-year [3] Financial Forecasts - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) for 2024-2026 are projected to be 10.91, 13.64, and 16.78 yuan, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 16, 13, and 10 times [4][6] - The company’s revenue growth rates are forecasted at 21.5% for 2024, 18.6% for 2025, and 18.2% for 2026 [6][8] - The net profit growth rates are expected to be 25.6% for 2024, 25.0% for 2025, and 23.0% for 2026 [6][8]
古井贡酒:半年报监事会决议公告
2024-08-30 11:52
证券代码:000596、200596 证券简称:古井贡酒、古井贡 B 公告编号:2024-018 安徽古井贡酒股份有限公司 第十届监事会第七次会议决议公告 本公司及监事会全体成员保证本公告内容真实、准确和完整,没有虚假记载、 误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 一、监事会会议召开情况 安徽古井贡酒股份有限公司(以下简称"公司")第十届监事会 第七次会议于 2024 年 8 月 30 日以通讯方式召开,会议通知于 2024 年 8 月 16 日通过邮件等方式送达公司全体监事。公司于 2024 年 8 月 30 日(含当日)前收到全体监事的表决意见。本次会议的召开符合 《公司法》和《公司章程》等有关规定,会议形成的决议合法、有效。 2.审议并通过《公司 2024 年半年度募集资金存放与使用情况专 项报告》 经审核,监事会认为:公司的募集资金使用和管理制度完善,运 作规范,公司严格按照深圳证券交易所印发的《深圳证券交易所上市 公司自律监管指引第 1 号——主板上市公司规范运作》和公司《募集 资金管理制度》等规定,对募集资金实行了专户存储和专项使用。公 司董事会编制的《关于 2024 年半年度募集资金存放与使用情况的专 1 项报 ...
古井贡酒:半年报董事会决议公告
2024-08-30 11:52
证券代码:000596、200596 证券简称:古井贡酒、古井贡 B 公告编号:2024-017 安徽古井贡酒股份有限公司(以下简称"公司")第十届董事会 第六次会议于 2024 年 8 月 30 日以通讯方式召开,会议通知于 2024 年 8 月 16 日通过邮件等方式送达公司全体董事。公司于 2024 年 8 月 30 日(含当日)前收到全体董事的表决意见。本次会议的召开符合 《公司法》和《公司章程》等有关规定,会议形成的决议合法、有效。 二、董事会会议审议情况 1.审议并通过《公司 2024 年半年度报告及摘要》 具体内容详见公司同日在巨潮资讯网披露的《公司 2024 年半年 度报告及摘要》。 表决结果:9 票同意,0 票反对,0 票弃权。 2.审议并通过《公司 2024 年半年度募集资金存放与使用情况专 项报告》 安徽古井贡酒股份有限公司 第十届董事会第六次会议决议公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证本公告内容真实、准确和完整,没有虚假记 载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 一、董事会会议召开情况 1.公司第十届董事会第六次会议决议。 特此公告。 安徽古井贡酒股份有限公司 董 事 会 二〇二四年八月三十一日 2 ...
古井贡酒:半年度非经营性资金占用及其他关联资金往来情况汇总表
2024-08-30 11:52
安徽古井贡酒股份有限公司 2024 年半年度非经营性资金占用及其他关联资金往来情况汇总表 单位:人民币万元 非经营性资金占用 资金占用方名称 占用方与上市公司的关联关系 上市公司核算 的会计科目 2024 年期 初占用资 金余额 2024 年半年 度占用累计 发生金额 (不含利 息) 2024 年 半年度占 用资金的 利息(如 有) 2024 年半 年度偿还 累计发生 金额 2024 年 6 月末占用 资金余额 占用形成原因 占用性质 控股股东、实际控制 人及其附属企业 小计 前控股股东、实际 控制人及其附属企 业 小计 其他关联方及其附属 企业 小计 总计 | | | | | 2024 年期 | 2024 | 年半年 度占用累计 | 2024 年 半年度占 | 年半 2024 | 2024 | 年 6 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 其它关联资金往来 | 资金往来方名称 | 往来方与上市公司的关联关系 | 上市公司核算 的会计科目 | 初占用资 | | 发生金额 | ...