Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" rating for the real estate and property management sectors, highlighting optimism for the new housing market and the revaluation of shopping center values [1]. Core Insights - The real estate sector is expected to continue bottoming out, with core cities stabilizing sooner. Two major opportunities are identified: the elevation of housing policies and the strong performance of quality commercial enterprises during a monetary easing cycle, which may lead to a revaluation of consumer-oriented commercial real estate assets [1][2]. Industry Data Summary New Housing Transactions - In the week of November 29 to December 5, 2025, 34 key cities recorded a total new housing transaction volume of 2.762 million square meters, a week-on-week increase of 9%. The transaction volume for first and second-tier cities rose by 9%, while third and fourth-tier cities saw a 9.7% increase [2][3]. - For December (up to December 5), the transaction volume in 34 cities was 1.871 million square meters, representing a year-on-year decrease of 23.6% but a month-on-month increase of 68.5% compared to November [3][5]. Second-hand Housing Transactions - In the same week, 13 cities recorded a total second-hand housing transaction volume of 1.118 million square meters, a week-on-week decrease of 3.6%. Cumulatively for December, the transaction volume was 979,000 square meters, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 36% [9][10]. Inventory and Sales - In the week of November 29 to December 5, 2025, 15 cities launched 980,000 square meters of new housing, with a total transaction volume of 940,000 square meters, resulting in a sales-to-launch ratio of 0.96. The average months of inventory for the last three months was 23 months, a decrease of 0.3 months [17][18]. Policy and News Tracking Real Estate Sector - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) emphasized the steady development of real estate investment trusts (REITs) and asset securitization. The National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) expanded the asset scope for REITs to include urban renewal projects [26][27]. - Local policies include a housing subsidy of up to 200,000 yuan for low-income groups in Changzhou and new housing subsidies in Nanning for multi-child families [26][29]. Company Announcements - Several real estate companies reported their November sales data, with notable declines in transaction volumes and values. For instance, Greentown China reported a 32.6% decrease in sales volume and a 44.8% decrease in sales value year-on-year [31][33]. - Financing activities included a 25 billion yuan credit facility application by a subsidiary of Gemdale Group, secured by equity in a development company [31][33]. Market Performance Review - The SW Real Estate Index fell by 2.15%, underperforming the CSI 300 Index, which rose by 1.28%. The real estate sector ranked 30th out of 31 sectors in terms of performance [37][40].

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive investment outlook for the home appliance sector, with a recommendation to focus on undervalued stocks with high dividends and stable growth potential [3][4]. Core Insights - The home appliance sector index outperformed the CSI 300 index, rising by 1.8% compared to the 1.3% increase in the CSI 300 [3][4]. - Key companies such as Lek Electric, Stone Technology, and Huaxiang Co. led the gains, while companies like Yitian Intelligent and Zhejiang Meida faced declines [3][8]. - Stone Technology reported significant sales growth during the Black Friday period, with a 41% increase in vacuum cleaner sales and a 361% increase in washing machine sales in Europe [3][12]. - The report highlights three main investment themes: 1. **Self-Electric**: The reversal of real estate policies is expected to benefit the white goods sector, which is characterized by low valuations and high dividends [3]. 2. **Exports**: Companies like Ousheng Electric and Dechang Co. are recommended due to their stable profitability and expanding customer orders [3]. 3. **Core Components**: The demand for key components is expected to exceed expectations, with recommendations for companies like Huaxiang Co. and Shun'an Environment [3]. Industry Dynamics - The report notes a decline in domestic sales for major appliances in October 2025, with air conditioning production down by 27.9% year-on-year and sales down by 20.1% [34]. - Refrigerator production and sales also saw declines, with production down by 9.8% and sales down by 6.11% [40]. - Washing machine production remained stable with a slight decline of 0.2%, but exports increased by 6.41% [43]. - The report emphasizes the impact of rising raw material prices, particularly copper and aluminum, which have increased by 22.52% and 7.50% year-on-year, respectively [14]. Data Observations - The home appliance sector's performance in October showed a mixed picture, with air conditioning and refrigerator sales declining, while washing machine exports increased [34][40][43]. - The report provides detailed statistics on the sales performance of various appliances, indicating a challenging market environment for domestic sales [34][40][43].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the transportation industry, with specific recommendations for companies such as China Shipping, COSCO Shipping Energy, and others in the shipping sector [6][4]. Core Insights - The report highlights the recovery in shipping rates, particularly for VLCCs, which have seen a rise in one-year charter rates to $58,000 per day. It suggests that investors should capitalize on seasonal fluctuations in freight rates [6][4]. - The report emphasizes the strong performance of the road freight sector, which has shown a significant increase of 6.90% in the latest week, outperforming other sub-sectors [7][8]. - The aviation sector is expected to experience a golden era due to rising passenger volumes and constrained supply, with recommendations for several airlines including China Eastern Airlines and Spring Airlines [6][4]. Summary by Sections Shipping - VLCC average rates reached $115,290 per day, despite a 6% week-on-week decline. The market remains tight, with expectations of increased cargo volumes leading to potential rate increases [6][4]. - The report notes a 2% increase in second-hand bulk carrier prices and a slight uptick in new ship prices, indicating a potential turning point in the market [6][4]. Road Freight - The road freight sector has shown resilience, with a reported increase in freight volume of 0.74% week-on-week, indicating steady growth [7][8]. - The report identifies Dragon Boat Holdings as a standout performer in the road freight sector, with a significant weekly gain of 40.2% [13]. Aviation - The report anticipates a significant improvement in airline profitability due to increased international travel and a historical high in passenger load factors [6][4]. - Recommendations include major airlines such as China Southern Airlines and Cathay Pacific, which are expected to benefit from these trends [6][4]. Express Delivery - The express delivery sector is entering a new phase of competition, with expectations of price stabilization and profit recovery. Companies like YTO Express and ZTO Express are highlighted as key players [6][4]. Rail and Highway - Rail freight and highway truck traffic are projected to maintain steady growth, with the report noting a slight decrease in highway truck traffic of 0.24% week-on-week [6][4]. - The report suggests that high-dividend investment strategies in the highway sector remain attractive [6][4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the brokerage sector, indicating a potential for gradual realization of the sector's rebound logic [3]. Core Insights - The recent speech by the chairman of the China Securities Association has shifted market expectations positively for the brokerage sector, with a strong certainty of an upward adjustment in the long-term ROE central [3]. - The report highlights three main investment themes: 1. The attractiveness of the equity market will benefit wealth management and asset management businesses of brokerages, with a specific recommendation for Dongfang Securities [3]. 2. Companies benefiting from an improved competitive landscape, with key recommendations including Guotai Junan, GF Securities, and CITIC Securities [3]. 3. Valuation mismatches in Huatai Securities A+H and strong international business competitiveness in China Galaxy and CICC [3]. Market Review - The Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index closed at 4,584.54, with a weekly change of +1.28%. The non-bank index closed at 1,975.96, with a weekly change of +2.27%. The brokerage, insurance, and diversified financial sectors reported changes of +1.14%, +5.08%, and +0.49%, respectively [6]. - The average daily trading volume for the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 16,962.89 billion, with a year-to-date increase of 61.08% compared to the previous year [17]. Non-Bank Industry Data - As of December 5, 2025, the 10-year government bond yield was 1.85%, with a weekly change of +1.14 basis points. The credit spread for corporate bonds was 0.54%, with a weekly change of +3.61 basis points [11]. - The insurance sector's original premium income for the first ten months of 2025 reached 5.48 trillion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 8% [28]. Individual Stock Highlights - In the insurance sector, notable A-share performances included China Pacific Insurance (+8.23%), Ping An (+5.09%), and China Life (+4.32%) [8]. - In the brokerage sector, the top performers included Zhongyin Securities (+7.89%) and Xingye Securities (+6.35%) [8].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" rating for the real estate and property management sectors [3]. Core Views - The real estate market in China is expected to continue bottoming out, with core cities likely to stabilize sooner. Two major opportunities are highlighted: the rise of favorable housing policies and the strong performance of quality commercial enterprises during a monetary easing cycle, which may lead to a revaluation of consumer-oriented commercial real estate assets [3]. Industry Data - New home sales in 34 key cities totaled 2.762 million square meters for the week of November 29 to December 5, reflecting a 9% increase week-on-week. In December, new home sales are down 23.6% year-on-year [4][5]. - The inventory of unsold residential properties in 15 cities was 89.906 million square meters, with a slight week-on-week increase of 0.04%. The average months of inventory turnover decreased by 0.3 months to 23 months [20][21]. Policy and News Tracking - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) emphasized the steady development of real estate investment trusts (REITs) and asset securitization. The National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) expanded the asset scope for REITs to include urban renewal projects [30][31]. - Local governments are implementing various housing subsidies, such as a maximum subsidy of 200,000 yuan for low-income families in Changzhou and a new housing subsidy policy in Nanning for multi-child families [30][31]. Company Dynamics - Poly Developments completed a change in its controlling shareholder, while Vanke extended the maturity of its medium-term notes. Several real estate companies reported their November sales data, with notable declines in sales volume and value for companies like Greentown China and China Overseas Development [3][36]. - The average price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for mainstream A-share real estate companies for 2025 and 2026 are 22.1 and 19.3 times, respectively, while property management companies have P/E ratios of 13.7 and 12.3 times [3].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" indicating a positive outlook for the sector compared to the overall market performance [4][17]. Core Insights - The core opportunities in the entertainment industry stem from domestic young users and overseas expansion, with key targets expected to have a PE ratio of approximately 15x in 2026 [3][4]. - Companies such as Giant Network and 37 Interactive Entertainment are highlighted for their growth potential, particularly in the gaming sector, with significant international revenue contributions [3][5]. - The report emphasizes the importance of AI applications in enhancing user experience and operational efficiency across various platforms [5][6]. Summary by Relevant Sections Key Companies and Their Prospects - **Giant Network**: Long-term potential in the female-oriented gaming sector is underestimated, with expectations for increased daily active users (DAU) and revenue during the Spring Festival [3][4]. - **37 Interactive Entertainment**: Recently faced administrative penalties but maintains a low PE and high dividend yield, with 32% of revenue coming from overseas [3][4]. - **Century Huatong**: Focus on the global expansion of casual gaming in 2026, with strong core products [4]. - **Pop Mart**: Market expectations for single IP are overly pessimistic; expansion of IP and regions (Europe and America) is crucial for mid-term growth [4][5]. - **Red Star**: Leading in social entertainment in the Middle East, with a low PE and high growth potential [5]. AI and Technology Developments - **Doubao AI Phone**: Represents a significant exploration in cross-application AI agents, with capabilities for deep scheduling and operation across applications [5][6]. - **Cloud AI Infrastructure**: Companies like Baidu and Alibaba are strengthening their AI infrastructure, with new chip developments expected to launch in 2026 and 2027 [6][7]. Market Trends and Valuation - The report includes a valuation table for key companies, indicating projected revenues and net profits for 2024 to 2026, with notable growth rates in several firms [10][11]. - The overall market sentiment is positive, with a focus on recovery rhythms for companies like Focus Media and Visionox [8].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the home appliance sector, with the sector index outperforming the CSI 300 index, increasing by 1.8% compared to the 1.3% rise of the CSI 300 [4][5]. Core Insights - The report highlights significant sales growth for Stone Technology during the Black Friday period, with a 41% increase in vacuum cleaner sales and a 361% increase in floor washing machines in Europe [4][13]. - Luck Electric announced its participation in a private equity fund, investing 20 million yuan, which represents 62.40% of the total subscription amount, focusing on equity investment in Shenzhen Cloud Leopard Intelligent Co., a semiconductor company [4][14]. - The report identifies three main investment themes: 1. White goods benefiting from favorable real estate policies and low valuations, recommending companies like Hisense, Midea, and Gree [4]. 2. Export-driven companies like Ousheng Electric and Dechang Co. are expected to see revenue growth due to large customer orders [4]. 3. Core components in the white goods sector are expected to see increased demand, with recommendations for companies like Huaxiang and Shun'an [4]. Data Observations - In October 2025, the air conditioning sector saw a total production of 10.13 million units, a year-on-year decrease of 27.90%, with domestic sales down 21.30% [4][36]. - The refrigerator sector reported a production of 8.27 million units, down 9.8% year-on-year, with domestic sales decreasing by 10.76% [4][42]. - The washing machine sector experienced a slight production decrease of 0.2%, but exports increased by 6.41% [4][46]. - The report notes that raw material prices for copper and aluminum have risen, with copper prices up 22.52% year-on-year [4][16].

行 业 及 产 业 行 业 研 究 / 行 业 点 相关研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 证券分析师 罗钻辉 A0230523090004 luozh@swsresearch.com 孙冀齐 A0230523110001 sunjq@swsresearch.com 金黎丹 A0230525060004 jinld@swsresearch.com 联系人 罗钻辉 A0230523090004 luozh@swsresearch.com 2025 年 12 月 07 日 券商板块信心提振，补涨逻辑有望 逐步兑现 看好 ——非银金融行业周报（2025/12/1-2025/12/5） 本期投资提示： 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 中庚基金 使用。1 评 非银金融 - ⚫ 券商：本周申万券商 II 指数收涨 1.14%，跑输沪深 300 指数 0.14pct。中证协第八次会员大会上吴清主 席讲话扭转市场对券商板块预期，证券业中长期 ROE 中枢上移确定性强。1）适度拓宽优质券商资本空间 与杠杆上限：会上，吴清主席提到" 在监管政策上，我们将着力强化分类监管、"扶优限劣"。对优质机 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook on the transportation industry, particularly highlighting opportunities in shipping and logistics sectors [4]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the recovery and growth potential in the shipping market, with specific attention to the rise in VLCC (Very Large Crude Carrier) charter rates and the overall shipping market dynamics [6]. - It identifies key investment opportunities in companies such as China Merchants Energy, COSCO Shipping Energy, and others, while also suggesting a focus on high-dividend stocks in the transportation sector [6][22]. Summary by Sections Shipping Market - VLCC one-year charter rates have increased to $58,000 per day, indicating a strong market demand [6]. - The report notes a 6% week-on-week decline in VLCC rates, averaging $115,290 per day, but anticipates potential increases in the coming weeks due to expected cargo volume growth [6]. - The Baltic Dry Index (BDI) rose by 6.5% to 2,727 points, with Capesize rates reaching a two-year high [6]. Air Transportation - The report highlights a significant opportunity for airlines due to the aging aircraft fleet and increasing passenger demand, predicting a "golden era" for the airline industry [6]. - Recommended stocks include China Eastern Airlines, China Southern Airlines, and others, with a focus on companies that can leverage operational efficiencies and rising demand [6]. Logistics and Express Delivery - The express delivery sector is entering a new phase of competition, with potential for profit recovery and industry consolidation [6]. - Companies like Shentong Express and YTO Express are highlighted as having strong growth potential, particularly in Southeast Asia [6]. Road and Rail Transportation - The report indicates resilience in railway freight volumes and highway truck traffic, with a slight increase in railway cargo to 82.12 million tons, up 0.74% week-on-week [6]. - The highway sector is expected to benefit from high dividend yields and potential market value management catalysts [6].

非银金融 行 业 研 究 / 行 业 点 评 相关研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 证券分析师 罗钻辉 A0230523090004 luozh@swsresearch.com 孙冀齐 A0230523110001 sunjq@swsresearch.com 联系人 孙冀齐 A0230523110001 sunjq@swsresearch.com 2025 年 12 月 07 日 险资入市再迎"强心针"，A 股险企 潜在股票增配空间达 789 亿元 金管局再次调降险资股票投资风险因子，为险资入市注入新的"强心针"。周五 盘后，金管局发布《关于调整保险公司相关业务风险因子的通知》（简称"《通 知》"），明确：1）险资持仓时间超过三年的沪深 300 指数成分股、中证红利低 波动 100 指数成分股的风险因子从 0.3 下调至 0.27，持仓时间根据过去 6 年加 权平均持仓时间确定。2）险资持仓时间超过两年的科创板上市普通股的风险因 子从 0.4 下调至 0.36，持仓时间根据过去 4 年加权平均持仓时间确定。3）保险 公司出口信用保险业务和中国出口信用保险公司海外投资保险业务的保费风险 因子从 0.467 下调至 ...