1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - From January 26th to January 30th, the performance of general credit bonds was stronger than that of secondary capital bonds, possibly due to some institutions taking phased profit - taking after the yields of secondary capital bonds declined for two consecutive weeks. Large banks increased their allocation of interest - rate bonds due to abundant liabilities, small and medium - sized banks became more cautious, wealth management products increased their allocation of low - volatility amortized cost - based bond funds under the net - value constraint, and insurance preferred local government bonds. In the next few weeks, the concentrated opening of amortized bond funds will benefit specific - term credit bonds, and the market of secondary capital bonds is driven by the buying power of funds and insurance, with different yield performances for each term. In terms of future allocation, it is recommended to focus on 5 - year AA+ and AAA urban investment bonds with more attractive interest - rate differentials, and for secondary capital bonds, focus on the allocation opportunities of medium - and long - term varieties after phased profit - taking and the warming of market sentiment [3]. - The overall credit bond market recently followed the fluctuations of interest - rate bonds but showed relative resilience. Urban investment bonds generally outperformed secondary and perpetual bonds. The short - end interest rates of interest - rate bonds rose due to the temporary tightening of the capital market, while the long - end and ultra - long - end interest rates fluctuated under the alternating influence of stock market sentiment and policy expectations. The weakening participation of trading - type funds in ultra - long - term interest - rate bonds led to a shift of funds to credit bonds, which is a key reason for the relatively better performance of credit bonds [7]. - The behaviors of major investment institutions have significantly diverged, affecting the supply - demand pattern of credit bonds. Large banks increased their net purchases of interest - rate bonds due to asset shortages and abundant liabilities, which created conditions for the narrowing of credit spreads. At the end of 2025, wealth management products slightly increased their holdings of credit bonds but significantly increased their holdings of public funds, cash, and deposits. This reflects the demand for stable asset net values under the net - value transformation [8]. - In the future, asset supply and specific product cycles will directly affect the credit bond market. Although the supply of government bonds in January was large, the market interest rates remained stable due to the active participation of insurance and other allocation funds, providing a good allocation window for credit bonds. The upcoming opening peak of amortized cost - based bond funds in the next 16 weeks will bring re - allocation demand for corresponding - term credit bonds, and the deepening of the net - value transformation of wealth management products may increase the demand for medium - and long - term amortized bond funds, benefiting medium - and long - term credit bonds [9]. - The recent strong market of secondary capital bonds is driven by the implementation of the new public - fund fee regulations, the structural change of bond - type funds, and the hot sales of dividend - insurance products. Currently, the market has shown signs of differentiation. The yields of 1 - 3 - year varieties have fallen back to near the previous lows, with a narrowing spread protection space, while the 5 - year, 7 - year, and 10 - year varieties still have a certain spread protection margin and relatively high allocation cost - effectiveness. The market rhythm is expected to slow down, and medium - and long - term secondary capital bonds still have certain allocation value. In terms of the allocation strategy, it is recommended to focus on 5 - year AA+ and AAA urban investment bonds and medium - and long - term secondary capital bonds with relatively sufficient spread protection [10]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 10Y Treasury Bonds: Large Banks Net Buy, Small and Medium - Sized Banks Net Sell - Since January 7, 2026, as the yield of 10 - year treasury bonds gradually declined, the net purchase volume of 7 - 10 - year treasury bonds by large banks showed a fluctuating upward trend, with a single - day peak of 14.105 billion yuan. The increase in large - bank purchases of 10 - year treasury bonds has created conditions for the narrowing of credit spreads. On the demand side, bank deposits have shown super - seasonal growth, increasing the scale of on - balance - sheet funds and reducing the pressure on the liability side. On the supply side, the slow issuance of government bonds, especially local government bonds, has created an asset gap, forcing large banks to increase their net purchases [19]. - In contrast, small and medium - sized banks have a more obvious left - hand trading characteristic in bond investment. Since January 7, 2026, as the yield of 10 - year treasury bonds declined, their willingness to allocate medium - and long - term treasury bonds decreased. Their conservative trading strategy is a passive choice due to the weakening of the traditional profit model. The narrowing of the interest - rate spread of 3 - year large - denomination certificates of deposit between representative city commercial banks and large banks has limited their bond - allocation funds, and the increasing difficulty and risk of obtaining capital gains through trading in the volatile bond market have made them more cautious, focusing on stable coupon income [24]. Bank Wealth Management: Slightly Increase Holdings of Credit Bonds, Focus on Low - Volatility and High - Liquidity Assets - At the end of 2025, bank wealth management slightly increased its holdings of credit bonds, focused on increasing the allocation of public funds, cash, and bank deposits, and reduced its holdings of equity - type assets and inter - bank certificates of deposit. The proportion of bond investment was at a low level in recent years. The increase in public - fund investment may be related to the increase in the allocation of amortized cost - based bond funds and bond ETFs, and the increase in cash and bank - deposit investment may be due to the temporary increase in the supply of inter - bank deposits at the end of the year and the relatively attractive interest rates. The decrease in the scale of equity - type assets and inter - bank certificates of deposit may be due to the contraction of the net supply of inter - bank certificates of deposit [30]. New Trends in the Long - Term Bond Market: Slower Brokerage Trading, Insurance Allocation Shift - At the beginning of the year, the concentrated short - selling behavior of brokerage self - operation in 30 - year treasury bonds, combined with the weak承接 power of insurance and other allocation funds, suppressed the trading sentiment of interest - rate bonds. Trading - type investors, represented by funds, reduced their participation in 30 - year treasury bonds and shifted some funds to credit bonds, which is an important reason for the relatively better performance of credit bonds. The selling amount and borrowing balance of 20 - 30Y treasury bonds by brokerage self - operation have declined recently, but they are still at a relatively high level. Insurance institutions prefer local government bonds over 30 - year treasury bonds, mainly for the relatively higher coupon and continuous tax advantages [33]. Is the Supply of Government Bonds in January in Line with Expectations? - Although the supply of government bonds in January was large, the active participation of allocation funds, mainly insurance, in local government bonds effectively alleviated the supply pressure, and the market interest rates remained stable, providing a good allocation window for credit bonds. The actual issuance volume of government bonds in January 2026 was higher than the planned volume, and the issuance scale was basically the same as that of the same period in 2025. After adjusting for seasonal factors, the issuance scale was actually similar to that of the previous year [40]. Future 16 Weeks: Peak Opening of Amortized Bond Funds, Benefiting Corresponding - Term Credit Bonds - The next 16 weeks will be the peak opening period of amortized bond funds, with those with a fixed - opening period of less than 1 year and more than 5 years being the main types, which will have a positive impact on corresponding - term credit bonds. The demand of wealth management products for stable net values may benefit medium - and long - term credit bonds. The opening scale in February is small, but there will be a peak in March. The term structure shows that in February, bonds with a term of more than 5 years are the main type, and in March, bonds with a term of less than 1 year are the main type, which may increase the demand for corresponding - term credit bonds [48]. Adjustment of Cash - Bond Trading Data Caliber: Institutional Classification and Callable Bond Terms - The adjustment of the institutional net - purchase data caliber implemented in 2026 includes two dimensions. One is the simplification of the classification of all - market institutions, and the other is the adjustment of the calculation rule of callable bond terms from being based on the maturity date to being based on the exercise date. After the adjustment, the configuration behavior of wealth - management funds needs to be tracked through the "other" category, and the previous method of judging institutional allocation behavior of secondary capital bonds based on the net - purchase data of 5 - 10Y "other" - type bonds is no longer applicable [52]. How Long Will the Secondary Capital Bond Market Last? - The recent strong market of secondary capital bonds is driven by the improvement of policy expectations, the structural adjustment of bond funds, and the allocation demand of dividend - insurance products. Currently, insurance mainly undertakes long - term secondary capital bonds such as 10Y, while funds have become the main buyers of medium - and short - term secondary capital bonds since December 2025. However, due to the influence of the spread level of secondary capital bonds of different terms, the daily net - purchase growth rate of funds has slowed down. The yields of 1 - 3Y secondary capital bonds have fallen back to near the lows after the release of the draft new public - fund fee regulations in September 2025, with a narrowing spread protection space, while medium - and long - term secondary capital bonds still have a certain spread protection margin and relatively high investment cost - effectiveness [59]. Bond Allocation Strategy: Slightly Cooled Market Sentiment, Focus on Credit Bond Catch - Up - In the past four weeks, the market has shifted from the dominance of secondary capital bonds in mid - January to the recent leadership of general credit bonds. Based on the current interest - rate differential quantile, valuation level, and rotation rhythm, the next - week allocation priority is adjusted as follows: urban investment bonds (AA+, 5Y) > urban investment bonds (AAA, 5Y) > secondary capital bonds (AAA -, 5Y). The 5Y AA+ urban investment bonds have coupon advantages and certain credit - sinking space, and have clear valuation - repair potential; the 5Y AAA urban investment bonds have low credit risk and good liquidity; the 5Y AAA - secondary capital bonds have a relatively reasonable valuation in their sector. For previously strong varieties, such as 5Y AA and AA(2) urban investment bonds and 10Y local government bonds, caution is recommended in allocation [65].

Investment Rating - The report provides a "Buy" rating for several key stocks in the financial and manufacturing sectors, including China Resources Land and Beike-W [15][18][20][21]. Core Insights - The macroeconomic environment shows a continuation of strong supply and weak demand characteristics, with short-term growth pressure remaining manageable [9]. - The real estate sector is experiencing a valuation recovery opportunity for quality developers due to a resonance between fundamentals and policies [10]. - The banking sector is witnessing a recovery from oversold conditions, with stock prices rebounding ahead of improvements in the funding environment [20]. - The non-bank financial sector is expected to benefit from policy-driven high-quality development, with a focus on high-performing stocks [22]. - The new energy sector has established a bottom line, with attention on marginal changes in new technologies [25]. - The machinery sector is gaining order resilience from overseas solar expansion and new business developments, while space solar technology opens growth opportunities [31]. - The environmental sector is focusing on carbon neutrality opportunities, with overseas expansion and metal prices providing elasticity [33]. Summary by Sections Real Estate - The sector is expected to face challenges in 2026, but recent policy easing and improved second-hand housing sales indicate a potential recovery [14]. - China Resources Land is highlighted as a leading developer with strong operational capabilities and a solid financial position, projected to achieve a net profit of 26.2 billion, 27 billion, and 28.2 billion from 2025 to 2027 [15]. Banking - Nanjing Bank is recommended due to its expected double-digit revenue growth in 2025, driven by stable asset quality and improved net interest margins [21]. Non-Bank Financials - New China Life Insurance is noted for its high elasticity and potential for improved returns on equity, with projected intrinsic values of 292.1 billion and 329.0 billion for 2025 and 2026, respectively [24]. New Energy - The storage sector is expected to see demand stability supported by national capacity pricing, while lithium battery technology is anticipated to rebound with improved economic conditions [25]. - JunDa Co. is recognized for its strategic partnerships and potential growth in the space solar sector, with projected profits increasing significantly by 2027 [27]. Machinery - The machinery sector is benefiting from overseas solar project expansions, with companies like DiEr Laser positioned to capitalize on new technologies and increased order volumes [31][32]. Environmental - Weiming Environmental is highlighted for its potential in the Indonesian waste-to-energy market, with expected project launches in early 2026 [39]. - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 2.88 billion and 3.44 billion in 2025 and 2026, respectively [39]. Light Industry - The light industry is seeing a rebound in export-driven companies, with a focus on quality stocks that can leverage cost efficiencies and supply chain advantages [43]. Military Industry - The military sector is expected to benefit from the transition of military technology to civilian applications and increased military trade, with key recommendations including Aviation Power and AVIC Xi'an Aircraft Industry [51][53].

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [9]. Core Insights - The company is positioned as a leading provider of chemical technology solutions, focusing on agricultural CDMO, pharmaceutical small molecules, and small nucleic acid CDMO, with significant achievements in functional chemicals [3][5]. - The agricultural sector is experiencing steady growth, while the pharmaceutical CDMO sector shows promising prospects, particularly in small nucleic acids, which are gaining traction in the market [6][7]. - The company is expanding its footprint in the new energy sector, particularly in lithium battery materials, which presents substantial growth potential [8]. Summary by Relevant Sections Company Overview - Founded in 1985 and located in Taizhou, Zhejiang Province, the company has evolved from producing flavor and fragrance intermediates to becoming a global custom manufacturing service provider in agriculture, pharmaceuticals, and functional chemicals [5][19]. - The company has established a comprehensive business platform that meets diverse customer needs across various stages of product development and lifecycle [21][24]. Agricultural Sector - The global agricultural industry is entering a mature phase, with projected sales of $77.2 billion in 2024, reflecting a 6.8% year-over-year decline. However, the sector is expected to expand steadily due to ongoing population growth [6][53]. - The competitive landscape is characterized by oligopolistic structures, with the top five companies holding a 57.4% market share in 2024, driven by innovation and strong brand channels [6][53]. Pharmaceutical CDMO - The company has been involved in small molecule CDMO for over a decade, with a robust revenue growth trajectory since 2017. A significant rebound is expected in 2025, with projected revenue of 1.018 billion yuan, a 42.8% increase year-over-year [7]. - The company is expanding into the small nucleic acid drug market, which is projected to see 32 transactions worth $29.022 billion in 2025, highlighting the growing commercial value of this segment [7]. Functional Chemicals - The lithium-ion battery electrolyte market is rapidly growing, with expected shipments reaching 2.235 million tons by 2025, a 46.4% increase. The company is focusing on lithium hexafluorophosphate and lithium bis(fluorosulfonyl)imide as key products in this sector [8][24]. - The company is well-positioned to capitalize on the increasing demand for lithium battery materials, with a focus on developing high-performance products [8]. Financial Performance - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 410 million, 630 million, and 790 million yuan for the years 2025 to 2027, respectively, indicating strong financial growth prospects [9].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core View of the Report - Historically, newly - issued convertible bonds showed resilience due to the "no - forced redemption" protection. However, their current valuations have significantly increased, and the valuation gap between newly - issued bonds and the entire market has widened, possibly reflecting the premium pursuit of certainty by funds under the high - valuation background [2][4]. - During the week, the A - share market oscillated weakly, with large - cap stocks outperforming. Cyclical sectors such as petroleum and non - ferrous metals led the gains, and trading activity increased [2][4]. - The convertible bond market weakened overall. Large - cap bonds were relatively resistant to decline, while small and medium - cap bonds were weaker. The average daily trading volume decreased. Valuations were compressed overall, implied volatility and the median price declined but remained at high levels, and market sentiment cooled marginally [2][4]. - Most individual bonds declined. The top - performing bonds had characteristics of low balance and high conversion premium rates [2][4]. - The issuance speed in the primary market accelerated, and the reserve was sufficient. In terms of terms, the willingness to lower the conversion price was weak, and the probability of no forced redemption increased. It is recommended to pay attention to the allocation opportunities of newly - issued and newly - listed bonds after the correction [2][4]. 3. Summary According to the Directory Market Theme Weekly Review - In the correction at the end of August 2025, newly - issued convertible bonds showed certain resistance to decline. They usually enjoy better liquidity and the "no - forced redemption" mechanism due to not entering the conversion period, resulting in relatively more stable median market prices and more resilient valuations compared to the whole market [12]. - At the end of January 2026, the valuations of newly - issued convertible bonds were generally higher than those in August 2025. The expansion of the valuation gap was mainly due to the high return requirements of some funds and the preference for varieties with stronger return certainty under the consensus of "no - forced redemption" [14]. - During the week from January 25th to January 31st, 2026, the equity market weakened as a whole, with the non - ferrous metal sector performing well. The gold and military - related sub - sectors within the non - ferrous metal and aerospace sectors showed different performances [19]. Market Weekly Tracking Main Indexes Differentiated, Science - Innovation and Mid - Cap Stocks Performed Strongly - During the week, the main A - share indexes oscillated weakly. The Shenzhen Component Index performed relatively weakly, and the ChiNext Index rebounded after a decline but still closed down. In terms of style, large - cap indexes were relatively dominant, while small and medium - cap and science - innovation indexes were weaker [21]. - In terms of funds, the net outflow of main funds in the market expanded during the week, and the average daily trading volume increased [22]. - Cyclical sectors in the A - share market were relatively strong during the week. Petroleum and petrochemicals, non - ferrous metals, and coal sectors led the gains, while commerce and retail, automotive, and national defense and military industries were weaker [25]. - In terms of trading volume, trading was mainly concentrated in the electronics, non - ferrous metals, and power equipment sectors. The average daily trading volume of the non - ferrous metal sector increased by more than 70% compared to the previous week [27]. - The congestion degree of market sectors still differed significantly. The congestion degree of sectors such as petroleum and petrochemicals, banks, and media increased, while that of sectors such as commerce and retail, public utilities, and social services decreased [30]. Convertible Bond Market Strengthened Overall, Small - Cap Indexes Performed Strongly - During the week, the convertible bond market weakened as a whole. The CSI Convertible Bond Index oscillated weakly, with large - cap convertible bond indexes performing relatively strongly and small and medium - cap convertible bond indexes performing weaker. The trading volume decreased slightly, but the average daily trading volume still exceeded 9 billion [33]. - Valuations in the convertible bond market were compressed overall when divided by parity and market price intervals. Only the conversion premium rates in some intervals increased, while those in most intervals decreased significantly [36]. - The weighted implied volatility of the convertible bond market balance oscillated weakly during the week, remaining at a historical high. The median market price of convertible bonds also oscillated weakly, still higher than the high point in August 2025 [39]. - Convertible bonds in cyclical sectors showed more flexibility. Coal, petroleum and petrochemicals and other cyclical sectors led the gains. Trading volume was mainly concentrated in the basic chemicals, power equipment, and electronics sectors, with the combined trading volume of these three sectors accounting for more than 35% [43]. - Most individual convertible bonds weakened during the week. Only 109 convertible bonds had an increase in the range of more than or equal to 0, accounting for 28.2% of the total number of outstanding convertible bonds in the market. The top - performing and bottom - performing convertible bonds in the conversion period had different characteristics, and the top - performing bonds generally had low bond balances and some had high conversion premium rates [45]. Convertible Bond Issuance and Terms Tracking Primary Market Pre - issuance Situation During the Week - Two convertible bonds, Naipu Zhuan 02 and Lianrui Convertible Bond, were listed during the week [49]. - A total of 16 listed companies updated their convertible bond issuance plans in the primary market during the week, with different progress stages. The total scale of projects at and after the exchange acceptance stage reached 8.511 billion yuan [50][51]. Summary of Lowering - related Announcements During the Week - Four convertible bonds issued announcements indicating that they were expected to trigger a lowering of the conversion price during the week, with a market - value - weighted average PB of the underlying stocks of 2.2 [56][59]. - Five convertible bonds issued announcements of not lowering the conversion price during the week, with a market - value - weighted average PB of the underlying stocks of 2.6 [58][59]. - One convertible bond issued an announcement proposing to lower the conversion price during the week, with a PB of the underlying stock of 4.3 [59]. Summary of Redemption - related Announcements During the Week - Fourteen convertible bonds announced that they were expected to trigger redemption during the week [61][64]. - Two convertible bonds announced that they would not be redeemed early during the week [62][64]. - One convertible bond announced early redemption during the week [60][63].

丨证券研究报告丨 [Table_scodeMsg1] 公司研究丨点评报告丨长城汽车（601633.SH） [Table_Title] 长城汽车点评：单车营收持续增长，年终奖、政 府补贴等因素短期扰动盈利 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 公司 2025 年实现归母净利润 99.1 亿元，同比下滑 21.7%。公司加速全球化布局，坚定新能源 转型，持续的新车周期有望推动公司销量与业绩改善。长期来看，公司四大拓展战略打开销量 长期增长空间，智能化转型开启全产业链盈利空间。 分析师及联系人 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 [Table_scodeMsg2] 长城汽车（601633.SH） cjzqdt11111 [Table_Title 长城汽车点评：单车营收持续增长，年终奖、政 2] 府补贴等因素短期扰动盈利 [Table_Author] 高伊楠 王子豪 SAC：S0490517060001 SAC：S0490524070004 SFC：BUW101 [Table_Summary2] 事件描述 长城汽车 2025 年实现归母净利润 99.1 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Qingdao Bank [9] Core Viewpoints - Qingdao Bank's performance in 2025 exceeded expectations, achieving over 20% profit growth for two consecutive years, with a strong outlook for 2026 [2][6] - The bank's asset quality has significantly surpassed expectations, indicating underestimated risk management capabilities [2] - The bank has effectively reduced its asset quality burden since 2019 and has centralized credit approval processes to unify risk preferences across branches [2] - Future credit cost rates are expected to improve further, with a projected provision coverage ratio exceeding 300% [2] - The bank's return on equity (ROE) is anticipated to continue rising, and its current valuation remains undervalued from a price-to-book (PB) and price-to-earnings (PE) perspective [2] Summary by Relevant Sections Performance Overview - Qingdao Bank's 2025 net profit growth reached 21.7%, with a significant quarterly increase of 47.8% in Q4 [12] - The bank's loan growth is projected to maintain double-digit rates, driven primarily by corporate lending [12] - The net interest margin is expected to face slight downward pressure, but overall interest income is forecasted to grow robustly [12] Asset Quality and Risk Management - The non-performing loan (NPL) ratio decreased significantly to 0.97% in Q4 2025, with a provision coverage ratio rising to 292% [12] - The bank's credit cost is estimated to be around 1% for 2025, with potential to decrease to 0.7% in the future [12] - Continuous provisioning for non-credit assets has contributed to profit growth, indicating strong risk management practices [12] Strategic Outlook - The bank's three-year strategic plan has been successfully executed, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 15.4% for total assets and 18.9% for profits from 2023 to 2025 [12] - The economic resilience of Shandong province, where the bank operates, is expected to support continued growth, with the province projected to surpass a GDP of 10 trillion yuan by 2025 [12] - Qingdao Bank's market share in Shandong is currently low at 2.3%, suggesting significant room for growth compared to other regional banks [12]

Report Investment Rating - Not provided in the report Core Viewpoints - The issuance of special refinancing bonds is accelerating, with significant amounts of special refinancing bonds and special new special-purpose bonds being disclosed [8] - There are differences between the planned and actual issuance of local government bonds in 2026, and the net financing amounts vary across different months [9] Summary by Directory 1. Issuance Forecast and Review - **2/2 - 2/8 Forecast**: Local government bonds are expected to be issued worth 5796.73 billion yuan, including 2098.11 billion yuan in new bonds (755.35 billion yuan in new general bonds and 1342.76 billion yuan in new special bonds) and 3698.61 billion yuan in refinancing bonds (442.82 billion yuan in refinancing general bonds and 3255.79 billion yuan in refinancing special bonds) [6] - **1/26 - 2/1 Review**: A total of 4392.75 billion yuan in local government bonds were issued, including 2322.72 billion yuan in new bonds (392.03 billion yuan in new general bonds and 1930.69 billion yuan in new special bonds) and 2070.03 billion yuan in refinancing bonds (847.84 billion yuan in refinancing general bonds and 1222.19 billion yuan in refinancing special bonds) [7] 2. Special Bond Issuance Progress - **Special Refinancing Bonds**: As of February 1st, the fifth round's second batch of special refinancing bonds totaled 20000.00 billion yuan, and the third batch totaled 5599.98 billion yuan, with an additional 3023.79 billion yuan to be newly disclosed next week. The top three regions in terms of the third - batch disclosure scale are Jiangsu (800.00 billion yuan), Zhejiang (564.00 billion yuan), and Henan (482.95 billion yuan) [8] - **Special New Special - Purpose Bonds**: As of February 1st, 95.88 billion yuan of special new special - purpose bonds for 2026 have been disclosed, and 25546.72 billion yuan have been disclosed since 2023. The top three regions in terms of the total disclosure scale since 2023 are Jiangsu (2440.35 billion yuan), Hubei (1377.69 billion yuan), and Henan (1325.34 billion yuan), while the top three in 2026 are Sichuan (62.58 billion yuan), Shandong (22.30 billion yuan), and Zhejiang (11.00 billion yuan) [8] 3. Local Issuance Plans and Actual Issuance - **2026 Plans**: In January, the planned issuance was 8059 billion yuan, an increase of 2529.96 billion yuan compared to the same period in 2025, with an actual disclosure of 8633 billion yuan, a planned repayment of 849 billion yuan, and a net financing of 8059 billion yuan. In February, the planned issuance is 8071 billion yuan, a decrease of 3818.89 billion yuan compared to the same period in 2025, with a planned repayment of 1662 billion yuan and a net financing of 6409 billion yuan. In March, the planned issuance is 8463 billion yuan, a decrease of 1353.98 billion yuan compared to the same period in 2025, with a planned repayment of 4191 billion yuan and a net financing of 4272 billion yuan [9] 4. Weighted Average Issuance Term - This week, the weighted average issuance term of local government bonds is 17.31 years, and next week it is 16.12 years. As of January 30th, it is 17.66 years, a 7.7% increase compared to the same period in 2025 [10] 5. Local Government Bond Investment and Trading - **One - Two - Level Spread**: The report presents the one - level and two - level spreads of local government bonds, as well as the two - level spreads by region [41][42] 6. New Special - Purpose Bond Allocations - The report provides a monthly statistics of the allocation of new special - purpose bonds, with the latest month's statistics considering only the issued new bonds [44]

Investment Rating - The report suggests a positive outlook for the gaming industry, emphasizing the long-term empowerment of AI applications, particularly through Google's Genie 3 [12]. Core Insights - Google has officially launched the experimental research prototype Project Genie, with Genie 3 being a key milestone towards AGI, potentially reshaping the game development chain [9][12]. - Genie 3's environment generation capabilities are expected to have significant potential across various sectors, including e-commerce, marketing, interactive education, autonomous driving, physical AI, and simulation [9][12]. - The technology allows for real-time generation of interactive 3D environments based on simple text prompts, representing a major breakthrough in AI world simulation technology [12]. - Genie 3 is anticipated to enhance the efficiency of game prototyping and concept visualization, lowering the barriers for lightweight development in the gaming industry [12]. - The report highlights the potential of Genie 3 to transform AI training paradigms, particularly in autonomous driving and robotics, by providing an infinite "sandbox" for dynamic world generation [12]. Summary by Sections Event Description - Google has launched Project Genie, which allows users to create and explore interactive worlds through text prompts or uploaded images, enabling real-time interaction and simulation of physical environments [9][12]. Event Commentary - Genie 3 is positioned as a critical step towards AGI, capable of generating diverse interactive environments and significantly improving the efficiency of game development processes [12]. - The report identifies the long-term empowerment of industries such as autonomous driving and physical AI through Genie 3's capabilities [12]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on gaming companies that prioritize IP, quality content, and innovative gameplay, as these remain core competitive advantages in the industry [12]. - Companies mentioned as potential beneficiaries include Kaiying Network, Xindong Company, Giant Network, Perfect World, 37 Interactive Entertainment, and Tencent Holdings [12].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive investment rating for the cross-border e-commerce industry [11]. Core Insights - Cross-border e-commerce is characterized by high customer unit prices and high markup rates, but it has a longer midstream chain, leading to significant fluctuations in profitability [22]. - The industry is currently in a recovery phase, with a projected revenue growth of 26% in 2024 and 15% in Q1-Q3 of 2025, while non-recurring net profits are expected to decline by 46% and grow by 1% respectively [3][7]. - The report emphasizes the cyclical nature of profitability in the industry, with leading sellers gaining a relative advantage [8]. Summary by Sections Introduction: Exploring the Operating Cycle of Cross-Border E-Commerce - Cross-border e-commerce involves pre-stocking goods in overseas warehouses and includes complex logistics processes such as customs clearance and last-mile delivery, making it more intricate than traditional consumer goods [3][7]. Review: Strong Profitability Cycles and Head Seller Advantages - Historical analysis shows that the penetration rate of overseas e-commerce and the share of Chinese sellers are increasing, establishing a high growth baseline for the industry [8]. - The industry is transitioning from a phase dominated by e-commerce dividends to one focused on quality and compliance, with leading sellers outperforming overall industry growth [8]. Current Situation: Negative Impacts Easing, Industry Bottoming Out - The industry is currently in a recovery phase, driven by orderly supply chain transitions and tax reforms in China's e-commerce sector, which enhance competitive dynamics among leading sellers [9]. - Inventory levels among top sellers have reached historical lows, indicating that the inventory destocking phase is nearing its end, and shipping costs still have room to decline [9]. Investment Recommendations: Lightening the Load, Performance Inflection Point Expected - The report suggests that the cross-border e-commerce industry is expected to experience a performance inflection point in 2026, with revenue and profitability on an upward trajectory [10]. - Recommended companies include Anker Innovations and Ugreen Technology, which are leveraging channel and operational advantages to build brand recognition among overseas consumers [10].

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. Core Viewpoints - From January 26 - 30, 2026, the central bank's short - term reverse repurchase had a net injection of 58.05 billion yuan, and the treasury cash fixed - deposit injection was 15 billion yuan. From January 26 - February 1, 2026, the net payment scale of government bonds increased, the maturity yield of inter - bank certificates of deposit (NCDs) was overall flat, and the average leverage ratio of the inter - bank bond market decreased slightly. From February 2 - 8, 2026, the expected net payment of government bonds is 390.4 billion yuan, and the maturity scale of NCDs is about 169.7 billion yuan. On January 30, 2026, the median durations of medium - long - term and short - term interest - style pure bond funds decreased by 0.32 years and 0.16 years week - on - week respectively [2]. - At the end of the month, the central bank had a net injection of 7 - day reverse repurchases. In February, 1.5 trillion yuan of medium - long - term liquidity will mature. The impact on the capital market in February may mainly come from the increasing cash withdrawal by residents before the Spring Festival, but the central bank is expected to smooth short - term disturbances, and the capital market is expected to cross the Spring Festival relatively smoothly [6]. - The capital interest rate increased marginally and crossed the month smoothly. The net financing scale of government bonds increased. The maturity yield of NCDs was overall flat, and the net financing amount continued to be negative [7][8]. - The average leverage ratio of the inter - bank bond market decreased slightly. The durations of medium - long - term and short - term interest - style pure bond funds decreased marginally [9]. Summary by Directory Capital Market - From January 26 - 30, 2026, the central bank's 7 - day reverse repurchase had a net injection of 58.05 billion yuan; the treasury cash fixed - deposit injection was 15 billion yuan; the MLF matured 20 billion yuan, and 90 billion yuan was injected this month, with a total net injection of 70 billion yuan. In February, the 3M and 6M repurchase - style reverse repurchase maturities are 70 billion and 50 billion yuan respectively, and the MLF maturity is 30 billion yuan, with a total medium - long - term liquidity maturity of 1.5 trillion yuan [6]. - From January 26 - 30, 2026, the average values of DR001 and R001 increased by 0.3 and 3.7 basis points respectively compared with January 19 - 23, 2026; the average values of DR007 and R007 increased by 8.4 and 8.7 basis points respectively [7]. - From January 26 - February 1, 2026, the net financing amount of government bonds was about 515.03 billion yuan, an increase of about 268.5 billion yuan compared with January 19 - 25, 2026. From February 2 - 8, 2026, the expected net financing amount of government bonds is about 390.4 billion yuan [7]. Inter - bank Certificates of Deposit (NCDs) - As of January 30, 2026, the 1M and 3M NCD maturity yields increased by 4.5 and 0.2 basis points respectively compared with January 23, 2026; the 1Y NCD maturity yield was flat. The NCD yield entered a consolidation phase after two weeks of recovery. There may still be room for the NCD yield to decline, but short - term pre - Spring Festival capital market fluctuations may hinder the realization of the decline [8]. - From January 26 - February 1, 2026, the net financing amount of NCDs was about - 51.3 billion yuan. The expected maturity repayment amount from February 2 - 8, 2026 is 169.7 billion yuan, and the previous week's maturity repayment amount was 428.4 billion yuan. The NCD maturity scale in February is about 1.86 trillion yuan, a decrease of 0.46 trillion yuan month - on - month [8]. Institutional Behavior - From January 26 - 30, 2026, the average leverage ratio of the inter - bank bond market was 107.68%, compared with 107.81% from January 19 - 23, 2026. On January 30 and January 23, 2026, the estimated leverage ratios of the inter - bank bond market were about 107.41% and 107.68% respectively [9]. - On January 30, 2026, the median duration (MA5) of medium - long - term interest - style pure bond funds was 4.02 years, a week - on - week decrease of 0.32 years, at the 68.0% quantile since the beginning of 2022; the median duration (MA5) of short - term interest - style pure bond funds was 1.45 years, a week - on - week decrease of 0.16 years, at the 15.0% quantile since the beginning of 2022 [9].