公司研究 [Table_ReportType] 公司点评报告 [嘉Ta必bl优e_(St6o8c8k0A8n9d)Rank] | | | 赵 雷 食品饮料行业分析师 执业编号：S1500524100003 信达证券股份有限公司 CINDA SECURITIES CO.,LTD 北京市西城区宣武门西大街甲 127 号 金隅大厦 B 座 邮编：100031 证券研究报告 [Table_Title] Q1 业绩超预期，看好增长持续性 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 5 月 4 日 [T事ab件le：_S公um司ma公ry布] 2025 年一季报。25Q1，公司实现营业收入 1.56 亿元，同 比+33.28%，归母净利润 4500 万元，同比+85.07%；扣非归母净利润 4137 万元，同比+119.46%。 点评： 风险因素：客户订单不及预期，产品降价超预期，资产重组不及预期 请阅读最后一页免责声明及信息披露 http://www.cindasc.com 1 邮 箱：zhaolei@cindasc.com Q1 收入亮眼，国内业务推动增长。从区域角度看，得益于新国标产品 的持续放量，Q1 公 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The report highlights that the company achieved a revenue of 115.78 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 8.24%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 8.45 billion yuan, down 18.94% year-on-year. The first quarter of 2025 showed a revenue increase of 1.35% year-on-year to 33.02 billion yuan, with a net profit of 4.87 billion yuan, down 17.71% year-on-year [2][4] - The company is expected to see a recovery in performance, driven by a rebound in demand for dairy products and cost reduction efforts. The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025-2027 are 1.67, 1.83, and 1.99 yuan, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 18X, 16X, and 15X [5] Financial Summary - In 2024, the company reported total revenue of 115.78 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of -8.24%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 8.45 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 18.94%. The gross profit margin was 34.1% [6] - For 2025, the expected total revenue is 119.20 billion yuan, with a projected growth rate of 3.0%. The net profit is anticipated to be 10.64 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 25.9% [6] - The company plans to distribute dividends of 7.726 billion yuan in 2024, with a payout ratio of 91.4%, resulting in a dividend yield of 4.08% based on the latest closing price [4]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1][4]. Core Views - The report indicates that the company's performance in Q1 2025 showed a slight decline in revenue due to weak demand in the dairy industry, with a revenue of 625 million yuan, down 2.50% year-on-year [2][4]. - The company faced a net loss of 73.3 million yuan in Q1 2025, a significant decrease of 1713.36% year-on-year, primarily due to the culling of cows impacting profitability [2][4]. - Despite the challenges, the report suggests that the company's operational resilience remains strong, and it anticipates a recovery in performance after an initial decline [4]. Financial Summary - The company achieved total revenue of 2,714 million yuan in 2023, with a projected growth rate of 12.6% [5]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company for 2023 was 142 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 27.7% [5]. - The gross margin for 2023 was reported at 19.1%, with a forecasted increase to 19.2% by 2027 [5]. - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is estimated at 0.24 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 39.66 [5]. Market and Competitive Landscape - The dairy industry is experiencing oversupply and weak demand, leading to a decline in milk prices and a 3.5% year-on-year decrease in the national cow inventory [4]. - The company has been exploring new sales channels and optimizing its cattle structure to improve production efficiency, with a reported increase in dairy product sales volume by 12.37% year-on-year [4]. - The report highlights that the company is actively addressing the challenges posed by increased market competition and supply-demand imbalances [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the environmental industry, consistent with the previous rating [2]. Core Insights - The environmental sector's total fund holdings reached 8.06 billion, with a focus on waste incineration and leading equipment companies [16]. - The report highlights that the environmental quality and industrial green low-carbon development requirements set by the "14th Five-Year Plan" are expected to sustain high prosperity in energy conservation and environmental protection [34]. - The report emphasizes that the water and waste incineration sectors, as operational assets, are expected to see stable profit growth and improved cash flow, benefiting from market reforms in public utilities [34]. Market Performance - As of April 30, the environmental sector experienced a slight decline of 0.02%, outperforming the broader market, which fell by 0.49% [8]. - The water governance sector increased by 1.09%, while the water service sector decreased by 1.41% [10]. Industry Dynamics - On April 27, the Guangzhou Development and Reform Commission announced adjustments to water prices effective June 1, 2025, with new tiered pricing for residential water usage [26]. - The State Council's report on the 2024 environmental status indicated that all ecological environment quality improvement indicators met annual targets, exceeding the timeline requirements of the "14th Five-Year Plan" [25]. Fund Holdings - In Q1 2025, the top three companies by market value held by funds were Weiming Environmental, Hanlan Environment, and Jingjin Equipment, primarily focusing on waste incineration and environmental equipment [16]. - The report notes that the number of funds holding shares in Su Shi Testing and Hanlan Environment is significantly higher than others [19]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies such as Hanlan Environment, Xingrong Environment, and Hongcheng Environment, while suggesting attention to companies like Wangneng Environment and Junxin Co. [34].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 10.274 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 20.1%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.004 billion yuan, up 51.2% year-on-year [1] - The company is experiencing a recovery in profitability, with production capacity steadily expanding and continuous improvement in its pulp and paper layout [1][2] - The company is benefiting from the gradual implementation of projects in Guangxi and Hubei, as well as active expansion into overseas markets, with a 36% year-on-year increase in exports for the entire year [2] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 2.991 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 35.4%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 236 million yuan, down 12.1% year-on-year [1] - The company’s gross margin in Q1 2025 was 14.6%, a decrease of 3.4 percentage points year-on-year, and the net profit margin was 7.9%, down 4.3 percentage points year-on-year [3] - The company’s total revenue is projected to reach 13.504 billion yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth rate of 31.4% [5] Production Capacity and Projects - The Hubei project is expected to produce 93,400 tons of paper and 59,800 tons of pulp in 2024, while the Guangxi project is expected to produce 28,900 tons of paper and 100,100 tons of pulp [3] - By 2025, the company’s production capacity is expected to increase by 30% to 40% due to the completion of the first phase of both projects, which will add over 900,000 tons of paper production capacity and 900,000 tons of pulp production capacity [3] Cash Flow and Operational Efficiency - The operating cash flow for Q1 2025 was -196 million yuan, an increase of 218 million yuan year-on-year [4] - As of the end of Q1 2025, the company’s inventory turnover days were 124.12 days, a decrease of 22.48 days year-on-year, and accounts receivable turnover days were 56.22 days, down 5.25 days year-on-year [4] Profit Forecast - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders is 1.351 billion yuan in 2025, 1.717 billion yuan in 2026, and 2.006 billion yuan in 2027, with corresponding P/E ratios of 11.0X, 8.7X, and 7.4X [4][5]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The company has shown strong revenue growth, achieving 1.214 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 35.6%, and a net profit of 109 million yuan, up 23.8% year-on-year [2][3] - The company is experiencing a transformation with a focus on its own brand, which is expected to continue driving high growth in 2025 [2] - The company’s profitability faced temporary pressure due to increased depreciation costs, but operational efficiency is expected to improve in the coming quarters [3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved total revenue of 1.214 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 35.6% [4] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for 2024 was 109 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 23.8% [4] - For Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 291 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 21.9%, and a net profit of 14 million yuan, which is a slight increase of 2.2% year-on-year [3] Revenue Breakdown - In 2024, domestic sales generated 259 million yuan (up 7.5% year-on-year), while overseas sales reached 955 million yuan (up 45.9% year-on-year) [2] - The gross margin for domestic sales was 33.0% (up 5.4 percentage points), while for overseas sales it was 31.4% (down 2.0 percentage points) [2] Profitability and Cost Management - The gross margin for Q1 2025 was 25.4%, down 2.8 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 4.9%, down 0.9 percentage points year-on-year [3] - The company maintained a strong cost control with a total expense ratio of 19.20% in Q1 2025, which is a decrease of 1.1 percentage points year-on-year [3] Future Projections - The company’s net profit is projected to reach 125 million yuan in 2025, 143 million yuan in 2026, and 164 million yuan in 2027, with corresponding P/E ratios of 23.76X, 20.76X, and 18.08X respectively [4]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for 旺能环境 (002034) is not explicitly stated in the report [1]. Core Insights - The report highlights that the company's performance is under short-term pressure due to impairment provisions, while the operational efficiency of waste incineration is continuously improving [1][3]. - In 2024, the company achieved total revenue of 3.173 billion yuan, a slight decrease of 0.17% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 561 million yuan, down 6.9% year-on-year [1][3]. - The first quarter of 2025 showed a positive trend with total revenue of 874 million yuan, an increase of 11.12% year-on-year, and a net profit of 201 million yuan, up 10.62% year-on-year [1][3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported total revenue of 3.173 billion yuan, a decrease of 0.17% from 2023, primarily due to a reduction in BOT project construction revenue [3]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 561 million yuan, a decline of 6.9%, influenced by increased bad debt provisions and asset disposal losses [3]. - The gross profit margin improved to 38.54%, up 1.2 percentage points year-on-year [3]. Business Segments - The main business segments generated the following revenues in 2024: - Municipal solid waste operations: 2.296 billion yuan (+3.5%) - Kitchen waste operations: 462 million yuan (+27.29%) - BOT project construction: 31 million yuan (-88.18%) - Rubber recycling: 187 million yuan (+81.45%) - Lithium battery recycling: 57 million yuan (-33.89%) [3]. - The gross profit margins for these segments were 47.89%, 31.33%, 0%, -5.64%, and -59.9%, respectively [3]. Operational Efficiency - As of the end of 2024, the company had 21 operational waste-to-energy plants with a total capacity of 21,820 tons, including the South Taihu Phase V project, which achieved a thermal efficiency increase from 22% to 30% [3]. - In Q1 2025, the waste incineration power generation projects generated revenue of 656 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.52% [3]. Future Outlook - The company forecasts revenues of 3.359 billion yuan, 3.428 billion yuan, and 3.592 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with growth rates of 5.9%, 2.0%, and 4.8% [6]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 693 million yuan, 753 million yuan, and 795 million yuan for the same years, with growth rates of 23.5%, 8.7%, and 5.5% [6].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 10.274 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 20.1%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.004 billion yuan, up 51.2% year-on-year [1] - The company is experiencing a recovery in profitability, with production and sales benefiting from projects in Guangxi and Hubei, and a successful expansion into overseas markets [2] - The company’s production capacity is expected to grow significantly, with the completion of projects in Guangxi and Hubei contributing to an estimated 30%-40% year-on-year increase in production in 2025 [3] Financial Performance Summary - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 2.991 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 35.4%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 236 million yuan, down 12.1% year-on-year [1][4] - The gross margin for Q1 2025 was 14.6%, a decrease of 3.4 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 7.9%, down 4.3 percentage points year-on-year [3] - The company’s operating cash flow for Q1 2025 was -196 million yuan, an increase of 218 million yuan year-on-year [4] Future Projections - The company’s net profit is projected to reach 1.351 billion yuan in 2025, with corresponding P/E ratios of 11.0X, 8.7X, and 7.4X for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4][5] - The company is expected to maintain a strong growth trajectory, with total revenue projected to reach 20.29 billion yuan by 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 19.8% [5]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The company has shown strong revenue growth, achieving 1.214 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 35.6%, and a net profit of 109 million yuan, up 23.8% year-on-year [2][3] - The company is experiencing a transformation with a focus on its own brand, which is expected to continue driving high growth in the coming years [2][3] - The company is managing costs effectively, with a decrease in expense ratios, which is expected to improve profitability as production efficiency increases [3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved total revenue of 1.214 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 35.6% [4] - The net profit attributable to the parent company was 109 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 23.8% [4] - For Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 291 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 21.9%, and a net profit of 14 million yuan, up 2.2% year-on-year [2][3] Revenue Breakdown - Domestic sales reached 259 million yuan, growing by 7.5% year-on-year, while overseas sales were 955 million yuan, up 45.9% year-on-year [2] - The gross margin for domestic sales was 33.0%, while for overseas sales it was 31.4% [2] Profitability and Cost Management - The gross margin for Q1 2025 was 25.4%, down 2.8 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 4.9%, down 0.9 percentage points year-on-year [3] - The company has maintained a strong control over expenses, with a total expense ratio of 19.20%, down 1.1 percentage points year-on-year [3] Future Projections - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 125 million yuan, 143 million yuan, and 164 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 23.76X, 20.76X, and 18.08X [4][3]

Investment Rating - The report does not provide a specific investment rating for Yuma Technology (300993) [1] Core Insights - Yuma Technology has reported a revenue of 769 million yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 16.1%, and a net profit of 186 million yuan, up by 12.5% [1] - The company is expanding its overseas warehouse layout and synchronizing capacity and regional expansion, with a steady increase in orders [1] - The first quarter of 2025 saw a revenue decline of 4.9% to 151 million yuan, attributed to early stocking by overseas clients and pressure on domestic sales [1] - The company is focusing on optimizing product structure and steadily expanding capacity, with total capacity reaching 67.65 million square meters by the end of 2023 [2] - Yuma Technology's gross profit margin for Q1 2025 was 40.7%, showing a year-on-year increase of 1.3 percentage points [3] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the revenue from sunlight, full shading, and adjustable light fabrics was 266 million yuan, 222 million yuan, and 167 million yuan respectively, with growth rates of 31.4%, 9.3%, and 8.5% [2] - The company expects net profits for 2025 to be 192 million yuan, with projected P/E ratios of 16.1X, 13.4X, and 11.4X for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [3][5] - The operating cash flow for Q1 2025 was 7 million yuan, down by 20 million yuan year-on-year, primarily due to increased inventory for shortening delivery times [3][7] - The company plans to build a production base in Vietnam to mitigate trade friction impacts [2]