Morning session notice 早盘提示 重要事项: 本报告中的信息均源于公开资料，格林大华期货研究院对信息的准确性及完备性不作任何保 证，也不保证所包含的信息和建议不会发生任何变更。我们力求报告内容的客观、公正，但 文中的观点、结论和建议仅供参考，报告中的信息和意见并不构成所述期货合约的买卖出价 和征价，投资者据此作出的任何投资决策与本公司和作者无关，格林大华期货有限公司不承 担因根据本报告操作而导致的损失，敬请投资者注意可能存在的交易风险。本报告版权仅为 任何机构和个人不得以任何形式翻版 如引用、转载、刊发，须注明出处为格林大华期货有限公司。 2025 年 11 月 17 日星期一 研究员：纪晓云 从业资格：F3066027 交易咨询资格：Z0011402 联系方式：010-56711796 | 板块 | 品种 | 多（空） | 推荐理由 【行情复盘】 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 上周焦煤主力合约收报 1192.0 元/吨，跌破 1200 元关口，周跌幅达 5.77%；焦炭主力合 | | | | | 约收报 1669.5 元/吨，周跌幅为 5.06 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Domestic vegetable oil prices are expected to be bullish, with rapeseed oil being the strongest, soybean oil being cautiously bullish, and palm oil oscillating at the bottom. For two - meal products, look for new buying points during the decline, with soybean meal waiting for a pullback and rapeseed meal having limited room for further decline [1][2][3] 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1 Vegetable Oil Section 3.1.1 Market Review - On November 14, before the release of the US Department of Agriculture report, the vegetable oil market was under pressure. The closing prices of the main contracts of soybean oil, palm oil, and rapeseed oil all decreased compared to the previous day, with varying degrees of position changes [1] 3.1.2 Important Information - NYMEX crude oil futures rose over 2% on November 14 due to supply concerns. The US EPA approved some small refinery exemption applications. Brazil may not raise the biodiesel blending ratio from 15% to 16% by March 2026. MPOB's October palm oil data showed increased production, exports, and inventory. Malaysia's palm oil exports from November 1 - 15 decreased by 15.5% compared to the same period in October. As of the 45th week of 2025, the total domestic inventory of the three major edible oils decreased by 6.01% week - on - week [1][2] 3.1.3 Market Logic - Externally, the US soybean supply - demand report was bullish, and the Malaysian palm oil market was in a vacuum. Domestically, soybean oil followed the upward trend but had limited upside. Palm oil was weak, and rapeseed oil's short - term sharp rise might face a callback risk. The overall vegetable oil market was divided [2] 3.1.4 Trading Strategy - Unilateral: Do not chase high for rapeseed oil, hold soybean oil long positions cautiously, and do not short palm oil. Provide support and resistance levels for each contract [2] - Arbitrage: None 3.2 Two - Meal Section 3.2.1 Market Review - On November 14, before the release of the US Department of Agriculture report, the protein sector was led by soybean meal. The main contract of soybean meal rose, while the main and secondary contracts of rapeseed meal declined [2][3] 3.2.2 Important Information - The US Department of Agriculture's November supply - demand report showed a decrease in US soybean yield and production forecasts. China resumed the soybean import licenses of three US companies. Brazilian soybean planting progress was 61% as of November 10. StoneX predicted an increase in Brazil's 2025/26 soybean production. Brazil's soybean exports in October were higher than last year. There were rumors of China's purchase of Australian rapeseed. As of the 45th week of 2025, domestic imported soybean inventory increased, while domestic soybean meal inventory decreased [2][3] 3.2.3 Market Logic - Externally, the US soybean supply - demand report was bullish, but then the market was under pressure. Domestically, the supply of soybeans was sufficient, and the downstream demand was weak. Rapeseed meal had limited room for further decline due to zero raw material inventory [3] 3.2.4 Trading Strategy - Unilateral: Buy long positions in the far - month 2605 contract of soybean meal, close short positions in rapeseed meal, and look for new buying points during the decline. Provide support and resistance levels for each contract [3] - Arbitrage: None

Morning session notice 早盘提示 更多精彩内容请关注格林大华期货官方微信 本报告中的信息均源于公开资料，格林大华期货研究院对信息的准确性及完备性不作任何保 证，也不保证所包含的信息和建议不会发生任何变更。我们力求报告内容的客观、公正，但 文中的观点、结论和建议仅供参考，报告中的信息和意见并不构成所述期货合约的买卖出价 和征价，投资者据此作出的任何投资决策与本公司和作者无关，格林大华期货有限公司不承 担因根据本报告操作而导致的损失，敬请投资者注意可能存在的交易风险。本报告版权仅为 格林大华期货研究院所有 任何机构和个人不得以任何形式翻版 如引用、转载、刊发，须注明出处为格林大华期货有限公司。 格林大华期货研究院 证监许可【2011】1288 号 2025 年 11 月 17 日 星期一 研究员： 于军礼 从业资格： F0247894 交易咨询资格：Z0000112 | 勋称：中国将赢得人工智能竞赛，他将中国的潜在胜利归功于更有利的监管环境和 | | --- | | 更低的能源成本。华为公布"十大发明"成果，Scale-up 超节点算力平台、新一代超 | | 高容量 SSD 存储、短距光互联 ...

Morning session notice 早盘提示 更多精彩内容请关注格林大华期货官方微信 格林大华期货研究院 证监许可【2011】1288 号 2025 年 11 月 17 日 星期一 | 板块 | 品种 | 多（空） | 推荐理由 【行情复盘】 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 受外部市场下跌影响，周五两市主要指数低开走弱，油气板块走强。两市成交额 1.95 万亿元，稍有缩量。沪深 300 指数收 4628，跌 73 点，跌幅-1.57%；上证 50 指数收 | | | | | 3038 点，跌 35 点，跌幅-1.15%；中证 500 指数收 7235 点，跌 119 点，跌幅-1.63%； | | | | | 中证 1000 指数收 7502 点，跌 87 点，跌幅-1.16%。行业与主题 ETF 中涨幅居前的 | | | | | 是油气资源 ETF、科创板新能源 ETF、石油天然气 ETF、中药 ETF、石油 ETF，跌幅 | | | | | 居前的是中韩半导体 ETF、创业板人工智能 ETF 国泰、信创 ETF 易方达。两市板块 | | | | | 指数中 ...

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core View of the Report - The theme of stabilizing growth remains the main line for the macro - economy in the fourth quarter. The short - term treasury bond futures may continue to fluctuate, and the impact of the stock index should be continuously monitored. Investors are advised to consider moderately buying on dips and conduct trading - type investment in a band - trading manner [44][45]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Treasury Bond Futures Market Review - This week, the main contract of treasury bond futures showed a narrow - range horizontal fluctuation. The 30 - year treasury bond closed up 0.11% for the week, while the 10 - year, 5 - year, and 2 - year treasury bonds fell 0.06%, 0.04%, and 0.02% respectively [4]. - As of November 14, compared with November 7, the overall change in the yield - to - maturity curve of treasury bond cash bonds was small. The 2 - year treasury bond yield remained flat at 1.43%, the 5 - year yield dropped 1 BP to 1.58%, the 10 - year yield remained flat at 1.81%, and the 30 - year yield dropped 1 BP to 2.15% [7]. Macroeconomic Data - **Investment Data**: From January to October, the national fixed - asset investment decreased by 1.7% year - on - year (market expectation: - 0.7%, - 0.5% in January - September). General infrastructure investment (including electricity) increased by 1.5% year - on - year (market expectation: 2.8%, 3.3% in January - September, 9.2% in 2024). Narrow infrastructure investment (excluding electricity) decreased by 0.1% year - on - year (1.1% in January - September, 4.4% in 2024). Manufacturing investment increased by 2.7% year - on - year (market expectation: 3.4%, 4.0% in January - September, 9.2% in 2024). Real estate development investment decreased by 14.7% year - on - year (market expectation: - 14.5%, - 13.9% in January - September, - 10.6% in 2024) [10]. - **Real Estate Data**: From January to October, the sales area of new commercial housing was 71,982 million square meters, a year - on - year decrease of 6.8% (- 5.5% in January - September, - 12.9% in 2024); the sales volume was 6,901.7 billion yuan, a year - on - year decrease of 9.6% (- 7.9% in January - September, - 17.1% in 2024). In October, the year - on - year decline in the sales area and volume of new homes nationwide widened significantly. In October, among 70 large and medium - sized cities, the second - hand housing prices in first - tier cities decreased by 0.9% month - on - month (the decline narrowed by 0.1 percentage points), second - tier cities decreased by 0.6% (the decline narrowed by 0.1 percentage points), and third - tier cities decreased by 0.7% (the decline widened by 0.1 percentage points) [13][16]. - **Consumption Data**: In October, the total retail sales of consumer goods were 4,629.1 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 2.9% (market expectation: 2.7%, 3.0% in September). From January to October, the total retail sales of consumer goods increased by 4.3% (4.5% in January - September, 3.5% last year). From January to October, service retail sales increased by 5.3% year - on - year [19][21]. - **Service Industry Data**: In October, the national service industry production index increased by 4.6% year - on - year (a new low for the year, 5.6% in September). From January to October, it increased by 5.7% year - on - year (5.2% in 2024) [23]. - **Industrial Data**: In October, the added value of industrial enterprises above designated size increased by 4.9% year - on - year (market expectation: 5.5%, 6.5% in September). From January to October, it increased by 6.1% year - on - year (5.8% in 2024) [26]. - **Employment Data**: In October, the national urban surveyed unemployment rate was 5.1%, a decrease of 0.1 percentage points from the previous month and an increase of 0.1 percentage points from the same period last year [29]. Financial Data - **Social Financing Data**: In October, the social financing scale increased by 815 billion yuan (market expectation: 1.5 trillion yuan, 597 billion yuan less than the same period last year). The net financing of government bonds increased by 489.3 billion yuan (560.2 billion yuan less than the same period last year), and corporate bond net financing was 246.9 billion yuan (148.2 billion yuan more than the same period last year) [32]. - **Loan Data**: In October, RMB loans increased by 220 billion yuan (market expectation: 460 billion yuan, 280 billion yuan less than the same period last year). Corporate medium - and long - term loans increased by 30 billion yuan (140 billion yuan less than the same period last year), and corporate short - term loans decreased by 190 billion yuan [34]. - **Money Supply Data**: At the end of October, the balance of broad money (M2) was 335.13 trillion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 8.2% (market expectation: 8.0%, 8.4% in September). The balance of narrow money (M1) was 112 trillion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 6.2% (market expectation: 6.6%, 7.2% in September) [36]. - **Interest Rate Data**: This week, short - term capital interest rates rose. The weighted average of DR001 for the whole week was 1.42%, and the weighted average of DR007 was 1.49% (1.424% last week). The average issuance rate of one - year AAA inter - bank certificates of deposit remained stable at 1.636% (1.637% last week) [41].

证监许可【2011】1288号 报告 预计钢矿仍维持震荡走势 2025年11月14日 更多精彩内容 请关注 格林大华期货 官方微信 研究员：纪晓云 联系方式：010-56711796 期货从业资格证号：F3066027 期货交易咨询号：Z0011402 钢矿观点 前10月房地产投资增速继续下滑，房地产用钢指标——房屋新开工、施工和竣工指标继续下降。狭义基建 投资增速为-0.1%，2021年以来首次降为负值。制造业投资增速降为2.7%，为2021年以来的最低水平。前 10月粗钢产量同比下降，且降幅扩大。生铁产量同比下降1.8%，粗钢产量继续调控。本期螺纹供给继续下 降，库存持续去化。热卷供给增加，库存小幅下降。五大钢材产量和库存均下降，钢材需求淡季。本期铁 水日产236.88万吨，环比增加2.66万吨。预计大概率降至230万吨以下。钢厂盈利较低，主动性复产积极 性不足。钢厂盈利欠佳，成本端支撑较强。总体看，预计钢矿继续维持震荡区间。螺纹主力合约压力位 3230，支撑位3000。热卷压力位3450，支撑位3200。铁矿主力2601合约压力位833，支撑位750。 【交易策略】 维持钢矿短期震荡走势的判断。建议短线 ...

煤焦数据快讯-2025年10月原煤产量数据 11月14日 2020-2025年中国原煤月度累计产量(亿吨) 2020-2025年中国原煤月度产量(亿吨) 47.6 5.00 50. 0 45.0 39.7 40. 0 4. 50 35.0 4. 12 4. 07 30. 0 4. 00 25.0 20. 0 15.0 3. 91 3.50 3.81 · 10. 0 5.0 3.00 0.0 2. 50 5月 7月 8月 11月 3月 4月 6月 9月 10月 12月 ■2023年 ■2024年 ■2025年 =2022年 =2021年 =2021年 2022年 2023年 ·2024年 -- 2025年 国家统计数据显示，10月原煤生产保持较高水平。10月份，规上工业原煤产量1.1亿吨。同比下降2.3%，日均产量1312万吨。1—10月份，规上工业原煤产 量39.7亿吨,同比增长1.5%。 格林大华0351团队点评：自7月反内卷政策公布以来，原煤产量同比保持下降。随着11月2025年度中央安全生产考核巡查正式工作启动，预计11-12月原媒 产量同比仍可能保持保持回落,能否完成年初国家能源局预定的48亿吨产量, ...

Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The price of Shanghai silver has reached a new high, and silver inventories are continuously decreasing [2][42][48] - The U.S. government has resumed operation, and trillions of dollars in funds from the fiscal general account will flow into the market, equivalent to four interest rate cuts [4][43] - The U.S. employment boom is declining, and the number of corporate lay - offs in October has increased significantly compared to September and the same period last year [14] - China's commodity competitiveness has increased, and the U.S. import volume from China in August has increased by nearly 40% month - on - month [17] - The U.S. manufacturing industry is accelerating its return, and "re - industrialization" is speeding up [26] - U.S. consumption remains strong, as shown by the data of wholesalers' sales and retail and food sales [29][32] - The eurozone's manufacturing PMI remained flat in October, while the service industry PMI accelerated its expansion [35] - India's manufacturing and service industries have continued to expand for more than three years [37] - Japan's long - term government bond yields are on an upward trend [40] - The Shanghai Composite Index continues to consolidate at 4000 points, and stock index futures long positions should be mainly allocated to the CSI 300 Index and the SSE 50 Index for range trading [43][46] - London spot gold prices are higher than New York futures gold prices, and gold is moving towards physical shortage [57] - Copper prices are rising moderately due to AI infrastructure and power construction [59] Summary by Related Catalogs Global Economic Outlook - The U.S. government shutdown has ended, and trillions of dollars in funds from the Treasury general account will flow into the market [12] - NVIDIA CEO Huang Renxun believes that China will win the AI competition due to a more favorable regulatory environment and lower energy costs [12] - Huawei has announced "ten major inventions" including key technologies such as the Scale - up super - node computing platform [12] - Goldman Sachs CEO is optimistic about the stock markets in Hong Kong and the Chinese mainland, and many Chinese stocks seem "very attractive" [12] - Morgan Stanley predicts that there will be a 44 - gigawatt power gap in U.S. data centers by 2028 [12] - More companies report a slowdown in consumption, and the weakness has spread to the middle - income group [12] - In October, the total number of U.S. corporate lay - offs was 153,074, mainly driven by the technology and warehousing industries, an increase of 183% from September and almost three times that of the same period last year [12][14] - The U.S. employment boom is declining [14] - After the U.S. imposed reciprocal tariffs on various countries, China's commodity competitiveness increased, and the U.S. import volume from China in August increased by nearly 40% month - on - month [17] - The U.S. ISM services PMI in October was 52.4, continuing to expand [20] - In August, the U.S. manufacturing backlog of orders was at a record high, with a year - on - year increase of 7.1%, indicating high prosperity [23] - In August, the U.S. capital goods import amount was $91.9 billion, still at a high level, with a year - on - year growth rate of 10.5%, indicating that the U.S. manufacturing industry is accelerating its return [26] - In August, U.S. wholesalers' sales reached a record high of $711.3 billion, with a year - on - year increase of 6.2%, indicating strong consumption [29] - In August, the total U.S. retail and food sales increased by 0.6% month - on - month, exceeding expectations, indicating strong consumption [32] - The eurozone's manufacturing PMI remained flat in October, while the service industry PMI accelerated its expansion [35] - India's manufacturing and service industries in October continued to expand and have been expanding for more than three years [37] - Japan's long - term government bond yields are on an upward trend [40] Big - Asset Allocation - The U.S. government has resumed operation, and trillions of dollars in funds from the fiscal general account will flow into the market, equivalent to four interest rate cuts [43] - The Shanghai Composite Index has reached a new high again, insurance funds are continuously entering the market with an average monthly inflow of 150 billion yuan, the market style has temporarily shifted to high - dividend and bonus stocks, and the SSE 50 Index has strengthened [43][44] - The Shanghai Composite Index continues to consolidate at 4000 points, and stock index futures long positions should be mainly allocated to the CSI 300 Index and the SSE 50 Index for range trading [43][46] - The price of Shanghai silver has reached a new high, and silver inventories are continuously decreasing. The Shanghai Gold Exchange has only 822 tons left, and the Shanghai Futures Exchange has only 584 tons left [42][43][51] - London spot gold prices are higher than New York futures gold prices, and gold is moving towards physical shortage [57] - Copper prices are rising moderately due to AI infrastructure and power construction [59]

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Views of the Report - The Shanghai Composite Index is likely to continue consolidating around 4000 points, and there is a possibility of retesting the upper edge of the previous trading range by the end of the year [19]. - Amid the unclear outlook for the Fed's interest rates, U.S. stocks are shifting from expensive growth stocks to more defensive sectors, intensifying the market style rotation [19]. - Consumption has become the main driving force for economic growth in the fourth quarter, while exports, manufacturing investment, infrastructure investment, and real estate investment are facing challenges [51][52]. Summary by Related Catalogs Policy and Industry Trends - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology plans to accelerate the cultivation of application scenarios in five key areas, including "5G+", "Artificial Intelligence+", "Robot+", "Industrial Internet+", and "Beidou+" [6][7]. - XPeng Motors launched a hyper - anthropomorphic robot named IRON on November 5th [16]. Market Conditions - The Shanghai Composite Index reached a new high on Thursday (hourly chart) and fell below 4000 points again on Friday [11]. - Insurance funds are continuously flowing into the market, with an average monthly inflow of 150 billion yuan. The market style has temporarily shifted towards high - dividend and high - yield stocks, and the SSE 50 Index is strong [14]. - The NASDAQ Composite Index tumbled due to mixed signals on interest rate cuts and overvalued technology stocks, and U.S. stocks have turned defensive [8]. Macroeconomic Data - In October, the year - on - year growth rate of core CPI was 1.2%, the real interest rate turned negative, and the month - on - month growth rate of PPI was positive [21]. - In October, the year - on - year growth rate of M1 was 6.2%, and that of M2 was 8.2% [24]. - In October, non - bank financial institutions had an additional RMB deposit of 1.85 trillion yuan, indicating a continued shift of household savings to the stock market [27]. - In October, household loans decreased by 36.04 billion yuan month - on - month, and corporate medium - and long - term loans had almost zero growth [30]. - The balance of margin trading in the two markets remained stable at around 2.5 trillion yuan, and 2.3 million new A - share accounts were opened in October [33]. Economic Indicators - In October, China's export value was 305.3 billion US dollars, with a year - on - year growth rate of - 1.1%, indicating a slowdown in exports [36]. - In October, the export value of mechanical and electrical products was 190.3 billion US dollars, with a year - on - year growth rate of 1.2%, showing a significant slowdown [39]. - In October, the monthly value of fixed - asset investment in the manufacturing industry was 2.78 trillion yuan, with a year - on - year growth rate of - 6.6%, indicating a slowdown in manufacturing investment [42]. - In October, the monthly value of infrastructure investment was 2.08 trillion yuan, with a year - on - year growth rate of - 12.1%, reflecting the financial difficulties of local governments [45]. - In October, the year - on - year growth rate of real estate development investment was - 23.2%, and the monthly value of newly started housing area reached a new low [48]. - In October, the total retail sales of consumer goods reached 4.62 trillion yuan, a record high, with a year - on - year growth rate of 2.9% [51]. - In October, the monthly power generation was 800.2 billion kWh, with a year - on - year growth rate of 9.4%, a two - year high [55]. - In October, the monthly output of industrial robots was 57,858 units, with a year - on - year growth rate of 13.6% [58]. - In October, the monthly output of integrated circuits was 5.94 billion pieces, with a year - on - year growth rate of 16.5% [61]. Trading Strategies - For futures trading, long positions in stock index futures should be mainly allocated to the CSI 300 Index and the SSE 50 Index, with range - bound trading [19][64]. - Since the stock index is in a large - scale trading range, investors should take a cautious approach towards long - dated deep - out - of - the - money call options on the stock index [20][66].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided 2. Core Viewpoints - In October, the growth rates of fixed - asset investment and exports were lower than market expectations, while the growth of total retail sales of consumer goods slightly exceeded expectations. The year - on - year actual growth of added value of large - scale industries was lower than expected, and the year - on - year growth rate of the service industry production index declined compared with September. Domestic real estate sales volume and housing prices continued to decline year - on - year in October, and the data in early November also showed the same trend. As of the end of October, 500 billion yuan of new policy - based financial instruments had been fully invested, but their effectiveness was not obvious in October's investment data. The physical work volume may be more reflected in the remaining two months of this year and the first quarter of next year. After the China - US economic and trade teams reached a consensus in Kuala Lumpur at the end of October, the decline in the growth rate of exports to the US in the remaining two months of this year will probably slow down, and exports to the US will recover next year [4][18]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Fixed - Asset Investment - From January to October, the national fixed - asset investment decreased by 1.7% year - on - year, lower than the market expectation of a 0.7% decline. General infrastructure investment (including electricity) increased by 1.5% year - on - year, lower than the market expectation of 2.8%. Narrow - sense infrastructure investment (excluding electricity) decreased by 0.1% year - on - year. Manufacturing investment increased by 2.7% year - on - year, lower than the market expectation of 3.4%. Real estate development investment decreased by 14.7% year - on - year. Private fixed - asset investment decreased by 4.5% year - on - year. In October, manufacturing investment decreased by 6.7% year - on - year, and narrow - sense infrastructure investment (excluding electricity) decreased by 8.9% year - on - year. The national fixed - asset investment decreased by 1.62% month - on - month [1][5]. 3.2 Real Estate - From January to October, the sales area of newly built commercial housing decreased by 6.8% year - on - year, and the sales volume decreased by 9.6% year - on - year. In October, the year - on - year decline in the sales area and sales volume of new homes nationwide widened significantly. The average daily transaction area of commercial housing in 30 large and medium - sized cities decreased year - on - year in each quarter, and the decline in October and November expanded. The prices of second - hand residential properties in first - tier, second - tier, and third - tier cities continued to bottom out. In October, the funds in place for real estate development enterprises decreased by 21.4% year - on - year. The new construction area of houses decreased by 29% year - on - year, and the completed area decreased by 28% year - on - year [7][9][10]. 3.3 Industrial Added Value - In October, the actual year - on - year growth of added value of large - scale industries was 4.9%, lower than the market expectation of 5.5%. High - tech manufacturing continued to maintain relatively fast growth. The product sales rate of large - scale industrial enterprises was 96.4%, 0.9 percentage points lower year - on - year [2][11]. 3.4 Foreign Trade - In October, China's export amount in US dollars decreased by 1.1% year - on - year, lower than the expected growth of 3.2%. Imports increased by 1.0% year - on - year, lower than the expected growth of 4.1%. In the first 10 months, the overall export growth rate was 5.3%, exceeding the 5.2% of the same period last year, thanks to export diversification. In the remaining two months of this year, China's exports may have single - digit growth year - on - year [2][12]. 3.5 Consumption - In October, the total retail sales of consumer goods increased by 2.9% year - on - year, slightly exceeding market expectations. By consumption type, commodity retail sales increased by 2.8% year - on - year, and catering revenue increased by 3.8% year - on - year. Among the retail sales of commodities of units above the designated size, categories such as gold and silver jewelry, communication equipment, and cultural office supplies had relatively fast year - on - year growth, while categories such as household appliances and audio - visual equipment, construction and decoration materials, and automobiles had year - on - year declines [3][14][15]. 3.6 Service Industry and Unemployment - In October, the national service industry production index increased by 4.6% year - on - year, reaching a new low this year. From January to October, it increased by 5.7% year - on - year. The national urban surveyed unemployment rate was 5.1%, 0.1 percentage points lower than the previous month and 0.1 percentage points higher than the same period last year [17].