Investment Rating - Industry rating: Recommended [4] Core Insights - The integration of "Artificial Intelligence+" is deepening, with AI maintaining high performance in overseas computing power chains, despite short-term volatility pressures. Recommended companies include Unisplendour, ZTE, StarNet, Guanghui New Network, Aofei Data, Data Port, Invec, New Ray Energy, and Wangsu Technology, with related beneficiaries such as Runze Technology and Baoxin Software [1][6][11] - In the long term, the computing power industry chain is still in its early growth stage, driven by reasoning power and model iteration upgrades. Beneficiaries include NewEase, Zhongji Xuchuang, and Tianfu Communication, with CPO-related beneficiaries like Taicheng Light and Yuanjie Technology, and PCB-related beneficiaries such as Shenghong Technology and Hude Electronics [1][7] - The demand for domestic computing power, private cloud, and integrated government and enterprise cloud deployment is expected to accelerate, with beneficiaries including Cambricon, Guangxun Technology, Huagong Technology, Tuwei Information, and Weishi Jiajie [1][7][11] Summary by Sections Section 1: AI and Computing Power - AI is becoming a new engine for economic growth, with significant integration into various industries. The government is promoting the commercialization of AI applications [6] - The recent discussions around the H20 computing chip vulnerabilities are expected to accelerate the domestic production chain, with beneficiaries including SMIC, Cambricon, StarNet, and others [2][10] Section 2: Recommendations in the Communication Sector - Recommended companies in the computing and communication infrastructure include China Mobile, China Telecom, and China Unicom, along with equipment manufacturers like ZTE and Unisplendour [11][13] - The report emphasizes the importance of third-party computing power leasing companies such as Guanghui New Network and Aofei Data, with additional beneficiaries like Runze Technology and Baoxin Software [11][13] Section 3: Optical Network and Edge Computing - Beneficiaries in the optical network upgrade include Guangxun Technology, Huagong Technology, and Tianfu Communication [14] - In edge computing, recommended companies include Wangsu Technology, Youkede, and Qianlong Technology, focusing on high-performance SoC chips [15]

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Recommended" [3] Core Insights - The pork market is experiencing an oversupply, leading to a continued decline in pork prices. The average price of external three yuan pigs is 14.13 yuan/kg, with a week-on-week decrease of 1.09% [2][12] - The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs emphasizes the need for quality improvement and efficiency enhancement in the pig industry, suggesting that outdated production capacity will gradually be eliminated [2][13] - The report highlights the potential benefits of genetically modified crops in increasing yield and self-sufficiency rates for key varieties, with specific companies recommended for investment [12] Summary by Sections Planting Industry - A meeting was held to discuss increasing crop yields in Northeast China, which is crucial for national food security. The region has seen improvements in planting density and technology, contributing to stable yield increases [1] - Companies such as Beidahuang and Suqian Agricultural Development are expected to benefit from these developments, along with seed companies like Dabeinong and Longping High-Tech [1][12] Pig Farming - The average price of pigs has shown a downward trend, with the average weight of slaughtered pigs decreasing for eight consecutive weeks. The number of breeding sows has also decreased slightly [2][12] - The report suggests focusing on companies with significant cost improvements and high future output elasticity, including DeKang Agriculture and Mu Yuan Co., Ltd. [13] Key Agricultural Product Data Tracking - Corn: The average price is 2406.65 yuan/ton, with a week-on-week decrease of 0.09% [27] - Wheat: The average price is 2440.86 yuan/ton, with a week-on-week decrease of 0.08% [30] - Rice: The average price of japonica rice is 2912.00 yuan/ton, with a week-on-week increase of 0.14% [35] - Soybeans: The average price is 3926.32 yuan/ton, remaining stable week-on-week [40] - Cotton: The average price is 15410.00 yuan/ton, with a slight decrease of 0.02% [47] Feed and Vitamin Prices - The average price of pig feed is 2.73 yuan/kg, with a week-on-week increase of 0.37% [53] - The average price of vitamin E is 68.00 yuan/kg, remaining stable week-on-week [62]

Investment Rating - Industry rating: Recommended [4] Core Insights - The introduction of the national childcare subsidy policy is expected to benefit the maternal and infant industry chain, with a subsidy of 3,600 yuan per child per year for families with children under three years old, potentially impacting over 20 million families annually [1][2] - New Oriental's FY2025Q4 performance shows a revenue of 150 million USD, a year-on-year decline of approximately 30%, but with a sequential improvement in operating profit margin from 3% in FY25Q3 to 7% in FY25Q4 [3] - The company is transitioning from a host-driven model to a product-driven model, with significant sales in sanitary products and self-branded items [3] Summary by Sections 1. Industry Overview - The report highlights the positive impact of the national childcare subsidy on birth rates, particularly in lower-tier markets, citing examples from cities like Panzhihua and Tianmen where similar policies led to increased birth rates [2] 2. Company Performance - New Oriental's recent performance indicates a recovery in profit margins despite a decline in revenue, with key products like sanitary napkins and self-branded food items performing well in sales [3] 3. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests five investment themes, including the continuous upgrade of AI technology, the emotional value consumers place on purchases, the recovery of cyclical sectors, the potential of domestic brands going global, and the revival of traditional retail formats [6]

Group 1 - Xiaocai Garden released a profit forecast for H1 2025, expecting a net profit of 360-380 million yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 28.57%-35.71% compared to the same period in 2024. The growth is attributed to operational efficiency optimization, strict cost control, and refined management [2][12]. - The Hong Kong "Stablecoin Regulation Draft" officially came into effect on August 1, establishing a licensing system for fiat stablecoin issuers in Hong Kong. This aims to enhance the regulatory framework for virtual asset activities and promote financial innovation [3][13]. Group 2 - JD.com announced a voluntary public acquisition offer for CECONOMY AG at a price of 4.60 euros per share, with a total valuation of approximately 2.2 billion euros (about 18.1 billion yuan). This acquisition is expected to be the largest overseas acquisition by a Chinese e-commerce company if successful, with 31.7% of shareholders already committing to the offer [4][15]. - JD.com is accelerating its overseas expansion through a "self-built + acquisition" strategy, focusing on local e-commerce rather than cross-border platforms. The company has seen significant growth in its Ochama brand in Europe, with a 284% year-on-year increase in orders from January to October 2024 [5][17]. Group 3 - The Hong Kong stock market experienced declines, with the Hang Seng Index down 3.47% and the Hang Seng Tech Index down 4.94% during the week [19][24]. - In the U.S. market, the non-farm payrolls for July increased by 73,000, significantly below the market expectation of 110,000, with previous months' data also revised downwards [36]. Group 4 - The report highlights the performance of various sectors, with the healthcare sector showing a positive growth of 1.82%, while the materials sector faced the largest decline of 5.87% [20]. - Among Chinese concept stocks, the optional consumer sector fell by 4.84%, and the daily consumer sector decreased by 4.31% [27].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The company reported strong revenue growth in Q2 2025, with a total revenue of 66.30 billion, representing a year-on-year increase of 61.54% [3] - The company is expected to maintain high growth momentum in the electric two-wheeler segment, driven by expanding channels and new product introductions [3] - The net profit margin exceeded 13% in Q2, indicating room for further improvement in profitability [4] - The company is positioned for significant long-term growth, with new products like electric two-wheelers and robotic lawn mowers gaining traction in the market [5][6] Summary by Sections Revenue Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 117.42 billion, up 76.13% year-on-year, with Q2 revenue of 66.30 billion, up 61.54% year-on-year [3] - Breakdown of Q2 revenue: - Electric two-wheelers: 39.60 billion, up 81% year-on-year, with sales of 1.3087 million units, up 77% [3] - Electric scooters: Retail and ToB revenue of 9.29 billion and 4.34 billion, up 28% and 43% respectively [3] - All-terrain vehicles: Revenue of 3.23 billion, up 11% year-on-year [3] - Accessories and others: Totaling 9.83 billion, with significant growth in robotic lawn mowers [3] Profitability Analysis - In H1 2025, the company reported a net profit of 12.42 billion, up 108.45% year-on-year, with Q2 net profit of 7.86 billion, up 70.77% year-on-year [4] - Q2 sales net profit margin was 12.00%, and the non-GAAP net profit margin was 13.22%, both showing year-on-year increases [4] - The gross margin for Q2 was 30.95%, reflecting a slight year-on-year increase [4] Growth Potential - The electric two-wheeler market is projected to exceed 50 million units in 2025, indicating substantial market demand [5] - The company has over 8,700 dedicated stores for electric two-wheelers in China as of June 30, 2025 [5] - The global market for all-terrain vehicles is expected to reach approximately 121.8 billion in 2025, with the company seeing significant growth in Europe and the U.S. [5] - The robotic lawn mower has received high recognition, with 170,000 households using the product [6] Financial Forecast - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 206.36 billion, 262.77 billion, and 332.02 billion, representing year-on-year growth of 45.4%, 27.3%, and 26.4% respectively [7] - Net profit forecasts for the same period are 20.23 billion, 25.87 billion, and 32.45 billion, with year-on-year growth of 86.6%, 27.9%, and 25.4% respectively [7] - The expected EPS for 2025-2027 is 28.12, 35.97, and 45.11 [7]

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Recommended" [4] Core Insights - The non-bank financial sector index fell by 2.40%, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.65 percentage points, ranking 22nd among all primary industries [2][12] - The average daily trading volume of A-shares was 18,096 million yuan, a decrease of 2.1% week-on-week but an increase of 174.5% year-on-year [17] - The China Futures Association issued a notice to regulate improper competition in futures brokerage, which may impact companies relying on low-price strategies in the short term but could enhance overall industry competitiveness in the long run [13][14] Summary by Sections 1. Non-Bank Financial Weekly Insights - The non-bank financial sector index decreased by 2.40%, with the securities sector down 3.22% and the insurance sector down 0.15% [2][12] - Notable gainers included Xiangyi Rongtong (+3.99%) and Xinhua Insurance (+2.05%), while South China Futures (-9.70%) and Hainan Huatie (-9.38%) saw significant declines [2][12] 2. Market Indicators - The average daily trading volume for the third quarter of 2025 was 16,330 million yuan, up 141.8% from the same period in 2024 [17] - As of July 31, 2025, the margin financing balance was 19,847.91 billion yuan, an increase of 2.20% from the previous month [17] 3. Industry News - The insurance sector showed robust growth, with life insurance premiums increasing by 16.3% year-on-year in June 2025, driven by a shift towards insurance savings products due to bank interest rate cuts [15][16] - The China Insurance Association lowered the maximum preset interest rate for ordinary life insurance products to 1.99%, which may enhance profitability for life insurance companies [15][16]

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Recommended" [5] Core Insights - In H1 2025, global TV shipments showed a steady performance with a year-on-year decline of 1.5%, totaling 90.8 million units, while high-end OLED TV shipments increased by 6.7% [9][10] - TCL and Hisense are maintaining their market share expansion, with TCL's global shipments reaching 13.4 million units, up 6.3% year-on-year, and Hisense's shipments at 13.1 million units, up 2.6% year-on-year [10] Summary by Sections Weekly Topic: Global TV Shipment Performance - The global TV shipment growth rate for H1 2025 showed a trend of high growth followed by a decline, with Q2 2025 shipments down by 3.5% year-on-year [9] - Mini-LED TV shipments continued to perform well, with a year-on-year increase of 82.9% in Q1 2025, and an expected annual growth of 50% to reach 11.56 million units [9] Company Announcements - Hisense reported H1 2025 revenue of 49.34 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.44%, and a net profit of 2.077 billion yuan, up 3.01% [15] Data Tracking - Raw material prices showed fluctuations, with copper prices down by 2.6% and aluminum prices down by 4.2% as of August 1, 2025 [17] - The CCFI composite index for shipping rates decreased by 2.3% as of August 1, 2025 [23]

Report Summary 1. Investment Rating The provided content does not mention the investment rating of the REITs industry. 2. Core Viewpoints - This week (July 28 - August 1, 2025), the China Securities REITs Total Return Index closed at 1100.90 points, rising 1.25% weekly, and rebounding to the 1100 - point level. The market showed a volume - increasing upward trend in the second half of the week. The REITs and gold performed well as the "anti - involution" commodity market sentiment weakened, the equity sector significantly corrected, and market risk appetite cooled [1][9]. - The seven REITs sectors stopped falling and rebounded. The consumer facilities and rental housing sectors led the gains, with increases of 4.58% and 3.70% respectively. The tax new - rule on August 1, 2025, which restores the VAT on the interest income of newly - issued government bonds, marginally benefits the allocation of REITs, especially rental housing REITs [2]. - The overall trading sentiment in the market was average this week, only warming up in the second half of the week. The daily average trading volume, turnover, and turnover rate decreased compared to last week. The trading activity of each sector continued to decline, and the turnover rate of all sectors dropped below 1% [3]. - On August 1, the CICC Vipshop Outlet REIT passed the Shanghai Stock Exchange review. The underlying asset is the Shanjing Outlet in Ningbo, with an estimated value of 2.9 billion yuan and a predicted 2026 cash distribution rate of 5.65% [4]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Secondary Market - **Price: Consumer Facilities and Rental Housing Lead the Gains** - The seven REITs sectors stopped falling and rebounded. Consumer facilities and rental housing had the highest increases of 4.58% and 3.70% respectively. The consumer facilities sector had the largest decline in July, but the China Resources Commercial REIT rebounded this week. The predicted 2025 distribution rate of China Resources Commercial is between 3.4 - 3.5%. Eight rental housing REITs generally rose 2 - 4% this week [16][19]. - At the individual bond level, the top - performing REITs this week were China First - Capital Outlet, ICBC Inner Mongolia Energy Clean Energy, and China Resources Commercial, with increases of 6.86%, 6.75%, and 5.77% respectively. The new - listed Huaxia Huadian Clean Energy and BOC Sinotrans Warehouse Logistics had first - day increases of 27.47% and 19.90% respectively [21]. - **Liquidity: Slightly Decreased Trading Activity** - The overall trading sentiment in the market was average this week, warming up in the second half of the week. The daily average trading volume was 554 million yuan, the daily average turnover was 124 million shares, and the daily average turnover rate was 0.60%, decreasing by 4.95%, 4.51%, and 0.03 percentage points respectively compared to last week [24]. - By sector, the rental housing, municipal environmental protection, and consumer facilities sectors had the highest average daily turnover rates this week, but the turnover rates of all sectors continued to decline and dropped below 1%. At the individual bond level, the top three in trading activity were Hua'an Bailian Consumption, CICC China Greentown Commercial Asset, and CICC Yizhuang Industrial Park [28][30]. - Five projects will be unlocked in August. The market trading sentiment has declined recently, and attention should be paid to the potential trading pressure brought by the unlocking projects [33]. - **Valuation: The Distribution Rates of the Park and Warehouse Sectors Remain Above 4%** - This week, REITs stopped falling and rebounded, and the valuation was adjusted. From the perspective of ChinaBond valuation yield, the energy facilities sector had the largest change, dropping to 1.18%. The transportation (5.64%), warehouse logistics (4.99%), and industrial park (4.73%) sectors were at the forefront, with a large number of individual bonds and obvious valuation differentiation [37]. - From the perspective of cash distribution rate, energy - related projects still had the largest change, dropping to 8.08%. The cash distribution rates of the transportation facilities and municipal environmental protection in the franchise - right category were 8.82% and 5.39% respectively. Among the property - right projects, the industrial park (4.28%), warehouse (4.04%), and consumer (3.65%) sectors had higher distribution rates, while the average distribution rate of rental housing was only 2.67% [37]. 3.2 Primary Market - **Initial Offering: CICC Vipshop Outlet REIT Passed the Shanghai Stock Exchange Review** - On August 1, the CICC Vipshop Outlet REIT passed the Shanghai Stock Exchange review. The underlying asset is the Shanjing Outlet in Ningbo, with a total construction area of 104,300 square meters, a total estimated value of 2.901 billion yuan, and a predicted 2026 cash distribution rate of 5.65% [43]. - As of August 1, 2025, there are about 7 - 10 potential issuance projects remaining this year. Currently, there are 2 projects that have been approved and are waiting to be listed, 1 project has passed the exchange review, 9 projects have received feedback from the exchange, and 1 project has been accepted by the exchange [43]. - **Other Key News This Week** - The ICBC Hebei Expressway REIT will have its first dividend in 2025, with a proposed distribution amount of 130 million yuan, accounting for 99.28% of the distributable amount. The main operating data in June 2025 showed that the monthly toll revenue was 45.7645 million yuan, a month - on - month increase of 2.34% and a year - on - year decrease of 2.75%. The average daily traffic volume was 15,200 vehicle - times, a month - on - month increase of 16.11% and a year - on - year decrease of 13.27%. The decrease in the average daily toll - paying traffic volume and toll revenue in June was mainly due to the increase in road control time caused by rainfall [49].

Group 1: Wealth Management Scale - The wealth management scale decreased by CNY 744 billion to CNY 30.92 trillion during the week of July 28 to August 1[1] - In July, the total growth was only CNY 2,469 billion, significantly lower than the historical average of over CNY 10 trillion for the same month[1] - The decline in scale is attributed to ongoing net value decreases and redemption pressures, with short-term and medium-term debt products experiencing maximum drawdowns of 8bp and 6bp respectively[1] Group 2: Leverage Rates - The average leverage level in the interbank market decreased from 107.41% to 107.34% during the week of July 28 to August 1[3] - Non-bank institutions saw a rebound in leverage rates, increasing from 112.10% to 112.34%[3] - Exchange leverage rates also declined slightly from 122.47% to 122.43% during the same period[3] Group 3: Bond Fund Duration - The duration of interest rate-based medium and long-term bond funds decreased from 5.49 years to 5.45 years[4] - Credit bond fund duration reached a historical high of 2.81 years, up from 2.78 years[4] - Short and medium-term bond fund durations decreased to 1.01 years and 1.65 years respectively[4] Group 4: Government Debt Issuance - The planned issuance of government bonds increased to CNY 5,785 billion for the week of August 4-8, up from CNY 5,174 billion[47] - Net issuance of government bonds rose from CNY 2,876 billion to CNY 3,390 billion, primarily due to a significant increase in national bond net issuance[47] - Local government bond issuance for the week of July 28 to August 1 was CNY 3,372 billion, with a net issuance of CNY 2,360 billion[50]

Market Review - Global equity markets experienced a general adjustment, with Hong Kong, France, Germany, and the US stock markets showing significant declines. A-shares, after five consecutive weeks of gains, faced a correction, with major indices generally declining. In terms of sectors, A-share CPO and innovative pharmaceuticals led the gains, while cyclical products like coal and non-ferrous metals saw a pullback. The domestic commodity market cooled down due to risk warnings from the three major futures exchanges and position limits on certain products, leading to sharp declines in previously strong commodities like coking coal, glass, and polysilicon. On the international front, Trump's announcement on July 30 regarding copper tariffs did not impose restrictions on copper raw materials, resulting in a significant drop in COMEX copper prices. In the foreign exchange market, the US dollar index plummeted after the release of non-farm payroll data on Friday, with market expectations for a rate cut in September significantly increasing [1][2][3]. Market Outlook - The report suggests that the current market correction is temporary, and the slow bull market trend remains unchanged. Following the July Politburo meeting and the new round of China-US economic and trade talks, the market's speculation on incremental policies has cooled down, and after five weeks of consecutive gains, the index requires a phase of adjustment. Looking ahead, the expectation of a Federal Reserve rate cut has reignited, and domestic macro and micro liquidity remains relatively ample, which is conducive to the continuation of the slow bull trend in A-shares. Since the "623" market, A-shares have shown clear characteristics of "rotating upward and low-level replenishment," with better sustainability of the profit-making effect. Additionally, the sources of incremental capital in the market are diverse, with increased participation from public and private equity institutions, and the positive feedback effect of "residents allocating funds into the market and the slow rise of the stock market" is expected to strengthen [2][3]. Sector Allocation - The report recommends focusing on the following areas for sector allocation: 1) New technologies and growth directions such as AI computing power, robotics, and solid-state batteries; 2) Reallocation opportunities in dividend sectors after corrections, such as certain undervalued state-owned enterprises. Thematic areas of interest include self-controllable technologies, military industry, low-altitude economy, and marine technology [2][3].