Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive (Maintained)" [5] Core Viewpoints - The military industry is experiencing a short-term performance bottoming out, with revenue and profit under pressure in 2024 and Q1 2025. The overall revenue for the military sector is projected to be 578.2 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 1%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 19.5 billion yuan, down 39% year-on-year [1][2] - The report highlights three main investment themes for 2025: new domains and new qualities, military trade, and restructuring [3][4][6] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The military sector's revenue and profit are both declining, with Q1 2025 revenue at 110.4 billion yuan, flat year-on-year, and net profit at 5.8 billion yuan, down 12% year-on-year. Excluding 11 shipbuilding companies, the remaining 124 companies are expected to see a revenue decrease of 4% and a net profit decrease of 54% in 2024 [1][2] - The gross margin for the military sector in 2024 is projected to be 20.8%, down 2.4 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin is expected to be 3.5%, down 3.5 percentage points year-on-year [2] Sector Breakdown - In Q1 2025, the aerospace equipment sector is expected to see a revenue decline of 4% and a net profit decrease of 20%. The military electronics sector is projected to experience a revenue drop of 12% and a net profit decrease of 111% in 2024 [3][4] - The report indicates that the growth in contract liabilities and inventory in certain areas suggests strong downstream demand, which is expected to lead to performance recovery in Q2 2025 [3][4] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on downstream main engine manufacturers and high-barrier, well-structured midstream targets, including companies like China Shipbuilding, AVIC, and others in the aerospace and military electronics sectors [7][9] - The new domains and new qualities are highlighted as significant future equipment directions, including drones and commercial aerospace, which are expected to accelerate in 2025 [3][4][9]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained as "Positive" [2] Core Insights - The report emphasizes two main investment lines: leading companies in niche segments and those well-positioned in the robotics sector [2] - The automotive industry is experiencing a shift towards new energy vehicles (NEVs), with significant growth in sales and technological advancements [8][10] - The report highlights the importance of strategic partnerships and technological innovation in enhancing market competitiveness [22][24] Summary by Relevant Sections Overview of the Automotive Industry - In Q1 2025, the Chinese automotive market is characterized by a dominance of new energy vehicles, with NEV sales reaching 3.07 million units [8] - The penetration rate of new energy vehicles is projected to reach 53% in H1 2024 [10] Leading Companies in Niche Segments - **BAIC Blue Valley**: Achieved 130.6 billion yuan in NEV revenue in 2024, with a 26.4% year-on-year growth [13] - **Jianghuai Automobile**: NEV sales increased by 25.08% in 2024, with a total of 51,809 units sold [16] - **Changan Automobile**: Sold 735,000 NEVs in 2024, marking a 52.8% increase [18] - **Geely Automobile**: NEV sales reached 888,000 units in 2024, a 92% increase, with NEV revenue accounting for 41% of total revenue [20] - **BYD**: NEV sales grew over 40% in 2024, maintaining its position as the top seller in China and globally [22] Key Component Manufacturers - **Top Group**: Reported a revenue of 26.6 billion yuan in 2024, with a 35% year-on-year increase [24] - **Fuyao Glass**: Achieved 39.25 billion yuan in revenue in 2024, a growth of 18.4% [26] - **Haoneng Co.**: Revenue reached 2.36 billion yuan in 2024, with a 21.3% increase [28] - **Longsheng Technology**: Revenue of 2.4 billion yuan in 2024, a 31.2% increase [30] - **Zhejiang Rongtai**: Reported a revenue of 1.135 billion yuan in 2024, with a 42% increase [32] Robotics Sector Developments - **Songyan Power**: Launched the humanoid robot N2, which won second place in a marathon event [6] - **Beijing Humanoid Robot Innovation Center**: Developed the "Tiangong Ultra" robot, which won a marathon [6] - **Kepler**: Introduced the K2 "Bumblebee" robot, showcasing its industrial application capabilities [6] - **Yushu**: Collaborated with Great Wall Motors to enhance robot technology and smart manufacturing [6]

Investment Rating - The industry rating is maintained as "Positive" [6] Core Views - The current value of domestic demand is highlighted, with a focus on companies with strong financial reports and sustained fundamental momentum. New consumption trends favor snacks, while traditional consumption is recommended for companies showing signs of recovery [1][18] - The white liquor sector is expected to transition in 2025, with attention on leading companies that demonstrate good performance or effective reforms. The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on industry leaders during this phase [1][13] - Short-term investment opportunities in the consumer goods sector are driven by the snack category and new products launched in membership stores. Recommendations include companies like Salted Fish Pudding, Gan Yuan Food, and You Friend Food [1][18] Summary by Sections White Liquor Sector - The white liquor sector is currently at a low point, with the first quarter possibly being the lowest for the year. The report continues to recommend companies with strong brand momentum and reasonable growth targets [2][13] - The report identifies two main lines of investment: "sustained momentum" and "low base recovery." High-end liquor recommendations include Guizhou Moutai and Wuliangye, while mid-range and regional liquor recommendations include Gu Qingong and Shanxi Fenjiu [2][13] - The white liquor sector is expected to benefit from policy stabilization and real estate recovery, potentially leading to a structural bull market [2][13] Consumer Goods Sector - The consumer goods sector is experiencing a rebound, with a focus on snack companies benefiting from category dividends and new channels like membership supermarkets. Recommendations include leading companies such as Yili, Wanchen Group, and Qingdao Beer [2][18] - The report highlights the importance of seasonal stocking in beer and beverage sectors, as well as the retail transformation and cost cycle providing investment opportunities [1][18] Market Performance - From May 6 to May 9, the CSI 300 index rose by 2.00%, with other food sectors increasing by 3.37% and the white liquor sector by 2.38%. Notable performers in the white liquor sector included Huazhi Wine and Huangtai Wine [3][25] - The report notes that the white liquor sector's performance remains stable, with specific companies showing significant gains [4][25] Company Updates - Guizhou Moutai has undergone management changes, with Zhang Yixing becoming the brand ambassador for Moutai Culture and Tourism Company [5][7] - Wuliangye is implementing refined market strategies, with positive sales performance in various scenarios and a focus on maintaining brand position [8][9] - Jinshiyuan has optimized its organizational structure to enhance management efficiency and market presence [10][11]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained as "Buy" [6] Core Views - The company experienced a revenue decline of 3.53% year-on-year in 2024, with total revenue reaching 1.855 billion yuan and a significant drop in net profit by 47.06% to 147 million yuan. The first quarter of 2025 also showed a decline in revenue by 18.52% year-on-year, amounting to 449 million yuan, and a net profit decrease of 58.27% to 34 million yuan [1][4] Financial Summary - For 2024, the company reported revenues of 1.855 billion yuan, a decrease of 3.53% year-on-year, and a net profit of 147 million yuan, down 47.06% year-on-year. The projected revenues for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 2.014 billion yuan, 2.264 billion yuan, and 2.572 billion yuan, respectively, with expected growth rates of 8.56%, 12.44%, and 13.59% [5][4] - The net profit forecast for 2025, 2026, and 2027 is 163 million yuan, 190 million yuan, and 219 million yuan, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 10.81%, 16.06%, and 15.29% [5][4] Product Performance - In 2024, the revenue from coconut juice, other beverages, fruit cans, and other canned products was 964 million yuan, 142 million yuan, 627 million yuan, and 38 million yuan, respectively, with year-on-year changes of -3.66%, -0.84%, -11.51%, and -22.96% [2] Profitability Metrics - The company achieved a net profit margin of 7.95% in 2024, down 6.53 percentage points year-on-year. The net profit margin for Q4 2024 was 12.36%, a decrease of 4.29 percentage points year-on-year, and for Q1 2025, it was 7.63%, down 7.27 percentage points year-on-year [3][4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5][7]. Core Insights - The company's overall performance in Q1 2025 is subdued, but the key growth driver for 2025 is expected to be offline distribution, with a focus on increasing the proportion of daily sales products and sales performance [5]. - The company achieved revenue of 10.622 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 49.30%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 408 million yuan, up 85.51% year-on-year [5]. - In Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 3.723 billion yuan, a slight increase of 2.13% year-on-year, but net profit decreased by 22.46% year-on-year to 239 million yuan [5]. Revenue Breakdown - Online channels, particularly through Douyin, saw rapid growth, with 2024 online revenue reaching 7.407 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 49.60%, accounting for approximately 70% of total revenue [2]. - Offline distribution also expanded significantly, with offline channel revenue reaching 3.215 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year growth of 48.62% [2]. - The main brand, Three Squirrels, generated revenue of 9.825 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 50.57% [3]. Profitability Analysis - The gross margin for 2024 was 24.25%, an increase of 0.92 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to scale effects and an increase in self-produced products [4]. - The net profit margin for 2024 was 3.84%, up 0.75 percentage points year-on-year [4]. - In Q1 2025, the gross margin was 26.74%, showing stability despite a slight decrease of 0.66 percentage points year-on-year [4]. Future Projections - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 13.522 billion yuan, 16.972 billion yuan, and 20.160 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 27.3%, 25.52%, and 18.78% [5][12]. - The projected net profit for 2025 is 450 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 10.41% [5][12].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [5] Core Views - The company's performance is expected to improve as impairment impacts have bottomed out, with potential growth in the coal machinery and oil and gas sectors [1] - The company reported a 42.9% year-on-year decrease in net profit for 2024, primarily due to goodwill impairment in oil and gas equipment and inventory impairment in real estate [2] - The revenue structure has changed significantly, with a notable decline in profitability due to one-time impairments and reduced profitability in oil and gas equipment [3] Summary by Sections Domestic and International Development - Domestic demand has shown fluctuations, but there is significant potential for diversified development both domestically and internationally. The mining equipment sector is expected to benefit from increased industry concentration, while the logistics equipment sector is gaining overseas orders [1] - The company has expanded into emerging fields, including robotics and new energy equipment, which are expected to provide ongoing growth momentum [1] Financial Performance - For 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 21.9 billion yuan, an 8% increase year-on-year, with overseas revenue growing by 28.4% to 8.17 billion yuan. However, net profit decreased to 1.1 billion yuan, a 42.9% decline [2] - The gross margin for 2024 was reported at 22.4%, down 4.4 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was 4.9%, down 4.2 percentage points [3] Profitability Forecast - The company is expected to see a recovery in performance starting in 2025, with projected revenues of 24.2 billion yuan, 29.5 billion yuan, and 33.9 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, reflecting a CAGR of 18% [4] - The forecasted net profits for the same years are 2.19 billion yuan, 2.65 billion yuan, and 2.99 billion yuan, with a CAGR of 17% [4]

Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for the company, marking the first coverage of the stock [2]. Core Insights - The introduction of professional managers has aided the company's reform, with product structure optimization driving profit improvement. The company has a rich product matrix in functional sugars and nutritional supplements, and has successfully adjusted its operational strategies during industry downturns, leading to a significant rebound in profit and gross margin improvement [1]. - The company stands to benefit from anti-dumping measures on erythritol and is positioned to capture the growing domestic market for allulose. With a production capacity of 30,000 tons per year, the company is expected to see volume and price increases in the European market due to its favorable anti-dumping tax rate [1]. - In 2024, all major segments achieved growth in both sales volume and gross margin, with a net profit of 111 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 106%. The company has set ambitious performance targets for its stock incentive plan, reflecting confidence in future growth [1]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Founded in 1997, the company is a leading player in the functional sugar industry in China, focusing on the research and production of biological (multi)sugars. It has established strategic partnerships with global giants like Coca-Cola and Yili, and has a comprehensive product system covering various functional sugars [18][21]. Management and Strategy - The company has undergone significant management restructuring, bringing in experienced professionals to enhance strategic planning and operational efficiency. The management team now combines international experience with local insights, which is expected to strengthen the company's competitive position in the functional sugar sector [24][25]. Financial Performance - The company forecasts net profits of 181 million, 216 million, and 260 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 20.07, 16.82, and 13.99 times. This indicates a strong growth trajectory compared to industry averages [2][12]. Product Segments - The company has diversified its product offerings, including prebiotics, dietary fibers, and sugar substitutes, which are experiencing rapid growth in demand. The market for these products is expected to expand significantly, driven by increasing consumer health awareness [1][7][23]. Market Outlook - The report highlights the potential for growth in the allulose market and the stability of the erythritol market, suggesting that the company is well-positioned to capitalize on these trends. The anticipated approval of allulose in China is expected to open up new market opportunities [1][10].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [4] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 640 million yuan in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 23%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 86 million yuan, which is a 69% increase year-on-year [1] - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 2.98 billion yuan, up 39% year-on-year, and a net profit of 430 million yuan, reflecting a 54% year-on-year growth [1] - The company’s sales net profit margin for 2024 was 14.5%, an increase of 1.4 percentage points year-on-year, and the weighted ROE was 14.2%, up 2.6 percentage points year-on-year [1] - The revenue from electric golf carts grew over 9 times in 2024, while electric bicycles and off-road motorcycles saw growth rates exceeding 40% [1] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 640 million yuan and a net profit of 86 million yuan, marking a 23% and 69% increase year-on-year respectively [1] - For the full year 2024, the company reported a revenue of 2.98 billion yuan and a net profit of 430 million yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 39% and 54% respectively [1] - The company’s sales net profit margin for 2024 was 14.5%, and the weighted ROE was 14.2% [1] Product Segments - The revenue from smart electric low-speed vehicles in 2024 was 1.89 billion yuan, a 48% increase year-on-year, with electric golf carts contributing 810 million yuan, a staggering 935% increase [2] - The revenue from special vehicles in 2024 was 920 million yuan, with all-terrain vehicles generating 740 million yuan (up 19%) and off-road motorcycles generating 190 million yuan (up 52%) [2] Market Position and Strategy - The company is expected to strengthen its market position as the competitive landscape improves, with its market share likely to increase despite challenges in exports to the U.S. due to high tariffs [3] - The company has established a leading position in overseas production capacity, with factories planned in the U.S., Vietnam, and Thailand, enhancing its core competitiveness [3] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The company’s projected revenues for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 3.79 billion yuan, 4.52 billion yuan, and 5.30 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 27%, 19%, and 17% [4] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 573 million yuan, 692 million yuan, and 826 million yuan for the same years, with growth rates of 33%, 21%, and 19% respectively [4]

证券研究报告 | 浙商早知道 浙商早知道 2025 年 05 月 09 日 ： 张延兵 执业证书编号：S1230511010020 ： 021-80106048 ： zhangyanbing@stocke.com.cn 市场总览 重要观点 http://www.stocke.com.cn 1/3 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 报告日期：2025 年 05 月 09 日 1、所在领域 固收 ❑ 大势：周四上证指数上涨 0.3%，沪深 300 上涨 0.6%，科创 50 下跌 0.4%，中证 1000 上涨 0.8%，创业板指上涨 1.7%，恒生指数上涨 0.4%。 ❑ 行业：周四表现最好的行业分别是通信（+2.6%)、国防军工（+2.6%)、电力设备（+1.6%)、银行（+1.1%)、机械 设备（+1.0%)，表现最差的行业分别是美容护理（-1.0%)、有色金属（-0.4%)、钢铁（-0.4%)、石油石化（- 0.3%)、交通运输（-0.2%)。 ❑ 资金：周四沪深两市总成交额为 12934 亿元，南下资金净流出 23.9 亿港元。 ❑ 【浙商固收 覃汉】债券市场专题研究：如何看待 507 一揽子货币政策措 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [6] Core Views - The company is expected to see a profit turning point due to high profitability and gradual release of profit elasticity. The gross profit margin for 2024 is projected at 70.22%, a year-on-year decrease of 7.85 percentage points, primarily due to the lower margin impact from the consolidation of Fuli Instruments. The core products, chromatography fillers and chromatography media, maintain a gross profit margin of 81.56%, with a slight year-on-year decline of 2.39 percentage points. The company’s unique ability to self-produce core raw materials, microspheres, is expected to further highlight its competitive edge, supporting a high level of gross margin for core products [2][4]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 782 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 33.33%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 82.84 million yuan, up 20.82% year-on-year. In Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 189 million yuan, a year-on-year growth of 22.39%, and a net profit of 29.22 million yuan, reflecting a 72.98% increase year-on-year [9][11]. Growth Potential - The company is positioned to benefit from accelerated domestic substitution and its own product strength and platform-driven growth. The core business of chromatography fillers and chromatography media is expected to continue its growth trend, with Q1 2025 revenue reaching approximately 111 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of about 10.62%. The strategic focus on high-quality clients is anticipated to further enhance operational quality [4][9]. Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The company’s revenue is projected to reach 966 million yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 23.44%. The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 139 million yuan, reflecting a significant year-on-year increase of 68.00%. The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is estimated at 0.34 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 66 times based on the closing price on May 8, 2025 [4][11].