Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the engineering machinery sector [1] Core Insights - The report highlights a strong resonance between domestic and foreign demand, reinforcing the bullish outlook for beta investment opportunities in the sector [1] - Excavator sales reached 19,858 units in September 2025, a year-on-year increase of 25.44%, with domestic sales at 9,249 units (+21.54%) and exports at 10,609 units (+29.05%) [1] - Loader sales totaled 10,530 units, up 30.45% year-on-year, with domestic sales at 5,051 units (+25.58%) and exports at 5,479 units (+35.28%) [1] - The report notes that the domestic market is driven by supply-side renewal demand, with a significant recovery trend observed [1] - The overseas market shows sustained high demand in emerging markets, with exports of engineering machinery amounting to $38.597 billion, a year-on-year increase of 11.4% [1] Summary by Sections Industry Scale - The engineering machinery sector comprises 474 listed companies with a total market capitalization of 4,713.4 billion and a circulating market capitalization of 4,111.5 billion [1] Sales Performance - The report indicates that excavator and loader sales have both shown significant year-on-year growth, with excavators achieving a dual growth rate above 20% for the first time in 54 months [1] - The electric loader segment has seen remarkable growth, with sales increasing by 175.99% year-on-year, achieving a penetration rate of 24.56% [1] Domestic Market Analysis - The report discusses the investment and operational aspects of the domestic market, noting that fixed asset investments in infrastructure and real estate have shown mixed results [1] - The report emphasizes that the current recovery is characterized by structural changes in demand, leading to a stable performance in operating hours despite fluctuations in sales [1] International Market Analysis - Emerging markets continue to show robust demand, with significant growth in exports to regions such as Africa, the Middle East, and Southeast Asia [1] - The report highlights a marginal improvement in demand from Western Europe, which has positively impacted the sales of smaller excavators [1] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on leading companies in the engineering machinery sector, including XCMG, SANY Heavy Industry, Zoomlion, Shantui, and LiuGong, as well as key component manufacturers like Hengli Hydraulic and ADI Precision [1]

Group 1 - The report indicates that in the past 15 years (2010-2024), the probability of large-cap style outperforming in October is relatively high, with a 67% chance of outperforming the broad market index [9][4]. - Value style has a slightly higher probability of outperforming growth style, with a 53% chance of outperforming the broad market index [9][4]. - The main drivers for significant style shifts in the fourth quarter typically include policy changes, disruptions in strong sector logic, or new developments that reinforce other sector logics [4][22]. Group 2 - In terms of liquidity, the report notes that the central bank conducted a net withdrawal of 15,263 billion yuan in the week of October 6-12, with a future expectation of 10,210 billion yuan in reverse repos [26][29]. - The report highlights that the average weekly trading volume in the A-share market increased to 22,704.16 billion yuan, indicating heightened market activity [4][37]. - The net inflow of financing funds reached 473.1 billion yuan, marking a shift from previous net outflows [4][37]. Group 3 - The report identifies that financial real estate and TMT sectors have historically performed well in the fourth quarter, with financial style appearing superior in 4 out of the past 15 years [17][18]. - The report also notes that large-cap style has a higher occurrence rate, appearing in 9 out of the past 15 fourth quarters [18][21]. - The technology leader index has the highest probability of outperforming the broad market index at 62%, with an average return of 3.58% [21][22]. Group 4 - The report mentions that the market sentiment has shown increased trading activity in financing funds, with the proportion of financing transactions in the A-share market rising to 13.9% [46][48]. - The VIX index has increased, indicating a decline in market risk appetite, with the Nasdaq and S&P 500 indices also experiencing declines [48][49]. - The report highlights that the demand for funds has decreased, with no IPO financing in the week of October 9-10, and a reduction in planned share reductions by major shareholders [41][42].

Investment Rating - The report gives a "Strong Buy" investment rating for the company [4][8]. Core Insights - Dongyangguang Pharmaceutical has established a fully integrated R&D, production, and sales platform, focusing on three major areas: anti-infection, chronic diseases (metabolism), and oncology. The company has a rich pipeline of innovative drugs and is experiencing rapid growth in its already launched products [1][8]. Financial Data and Valuation - Total revenue is projected to grow from 6.386 billion CNY in 2023 to 6.995 billion CNY in 2027, with a peak growth rate of 67% in 2023 followed by a decline of 37% in 2024 [3]. - Operating profit is expected to increase significantly from 218.9 million CNY in 2023 to 1.679 billion CNY in 2027, with a remarkable growth of 339% in 2023 [3]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to turn positive in 2025, reaching 564 million CNY, and further increasing to 1.419 billion CNY by 2027 [3]. - The company’s PE ratio is projected to decrease from 137.1 in 2023 to 17.9 in 2027, indicating improving valuation metrics as profitability increases [3]. Business Overview - Dongyangguang Pharmaceutical is recognized as the first Chinese company to go public through a reverse merger, marking a significant milestone in its development [1][13]. - The company has a clear and stable shareholding structure, with the largest shareholder holding 43.35% of the shares [4][16]. R&D Pipeline - The company’s R&D focuses on three main therapeutic areas: - **Anti-infection**: Targeting functional cure for chronic hepatitis B with innovative therapies including siRNA and ASO technologies [8][27]. - **Chronic diseases**: The drug Ifenison is in Phase III clinical trials for idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) and shows promising results [43][44]. - **Oncology**: The company is developing multiple platforms including PROTAC and CAR-T technologies, with key products like Clifofitinib and HEC921 showing significant potential [71][75][77]. Market Position and Growth Potential - The pediatric product line is seen as a core competitive advantage, while the infection and chronic disease lines are expected to drive future growth [8][27]. - The company is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing market for chronic disease treatments, particularly in the metabolic disease sector, with a comprehensive product matrix [54][68]. Conclusion - The report emphasizes the company's strong innovation pipeline and growth potential, leading to a favorable investment outlook [8][9].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company [3][7]. Core Views - The company reported a Q3 revenue growth of 15.9% and a non-net profit growth of 18.9%, although the net profit decreased year-on-year due to investment income impacts [7]. - Domestic brand growth continues to be strong, while overseas factory growth is slightly hindered by capacity issues, though demand remains robust [7]. - The company expects to enhance its global supply chain and profitability with new capacities coming online in the U.S. in 2026 [7]. - Projected net profits for 2025-2027 are estimated at 450 million, 601 million, and 786 million respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.48, 1.97, and 2.58 [7]. Financial Performance - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 3,747 million, with a year-on-year growth of 15% [2]. - Operating profit is expected to reach 372 million in 2023, reflecting a significant growth of 141% [2]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be 233 million in 2023, with a remarkable growth of 120% [2]. - The company’s gross margin improved to 29.1% in Q3, driven by an increase in the share of self-owned brands [7]. - The report anticipates a steady increase in revenue and profit margins over the next few years, with a focus on enhancing brand presence and operational efficiency [7][15].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a strong buy rating for key companies in the home appliance industry, including Midea Group, Gree Electric, and others, indicating a positive outlook for their stock performance [8]. Core Insights - The home appliance industry is experiencing a recovery in export chains despite the recent announcement of a 100% tariff increase by Trump, with companies better prepared for supply chain shifts and a stabilization in fundamentals [2]. - Domestic demand is expected to strengthen, with significant sales growth observed during the National Day holiday, particularly in categories like robotic vacuums and water purifiers [2]. - The report highlights the importance of specific product champions in the export market, such as portable energy storage and catering equipment, which are anticipated to show strong demand elasticity [7]. Industry Overview - The industry comprises 88 listed companies with a total market capitalization of approximately 1979.5 billion [3]. - The absolute performance of the industry over the past month, six months, and twelve months stands at 0.4%, 36.5%, and 33.2% respectively, indicating a robust recovery trend [5]. Company Performance Expectations - Midea Group and Gree Electric are expected to maintain double-digit revenue growth in the third quarter, driven by strong export orders and effective inventory management [6]. - Companies like Ecovacs and Roborock are projected to exceed expectations, with significant revenue growth anticipated due to strategic product launches and market share gains [6]. - The report notes that companies in the two-wheeler segment, such as Ninebot and Taotao, are also expected to outperform, with revenue growth rates of 80% and 99-133% respectively [6]. Key Financial Metrics - Midea Group is projected to have an EPS of 5.60 for 2025, with a PE ratio of 13.0, while Gree Electric is expected to have an EPS of 6.25 with a PE of 6.5, both receiving a strong buy recommendation [8]. - The report emphasizes the strong financial performance of component suppliers like Shun'an Environment, which is expected to see a revenue increase of over 50% in the third quarter [6].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the industry is "Strong Buy" for several key companies, including Ningde Times, Yiwei Lithium Energy, and Sungrow Power Supply [4]. Core Insights - The overseas energy storage market is showing significant growth, particularly in non-US markets such as Europe and Australia, driven by large auctions and supportive policies [2][9]. - Tesla's energy storage revenue reached $2.789 billion in Q2 2025, with a gross profit of $846 million, while Fluence's revenue was $603 million, with over 50% coming from international markets [2][9]. - The European commercial storage market is expanding rapidly, with Solaredge achieving record sales in Q2 2025, and the Australian household storage market benefiting from subsidy policies [3][34]. Summary by Sections Section 1: Overseas Large-Scale Storage Market - Tesla's energy storage revenue in Q2 2025 was $2.789 billion, a year-over-year decrease of 7% but a quarter-over-quarter increase of 2% [2]. - Fluence's revenue reached $603 million, with a year-over-year increase of 25% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 40%, with over half of its international business revenue coming from non-US markets [2][9]. - The demand in non-US markets, particularly in Australia and Italy, is significantly increasing due to large auctions and supportive policies [2][10]. Section 2: European and Australian Storage Performance - Solaredge's revenue for household storage was $289 million, with year-over-year and quarter-over-quarter increases of 9% and 32%, respectively [3]. - Enphase reported revenue of $363 million in Q2 2025, with guidance for Q3 between $330 million and $370 million [3]. - The European commercial storage market is growing rapidly, supported by price reductions in the supply chain and the promotion of dynamic pricing [34]. Section 3: Key Companies and Financial Metrics - Ningde Times has a market capitalization of 176.05 billion yuan, with a strong buy rating and expected EPS growth [4]. - Yiwei Lithium Energy and Sungrow Power Supply also received strong buy ratings, indicating robust growth potential in the energy storage sector [4]. - The overall market capitalization of the industry is 732.16 billion yuan, with 303 listed companies [5].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core View of the Report The report indicates that 5Y and 7Y local bonds are cost - effective, and conducts a comprehensive analysis of the primary and secondary markets of local bonds, including net financing, issuance terms, issuance spreads, secondary spreads, and trading volume [1]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Primary Market Situation - **Net Financing**: This week, local bonds issued a total of 103 billion yuan, with a net repayment of 246 billion yuan due to a repayment amount of 348 billion yuan. The issued bonds were all refinancing general bonds [1][9]. - **Issuance Term**: The 7Y local bond issuance accounted for the highest proportion (54%) this week, with the 10Y and above issuance accounting for 46%. The 7Y local bond issuance proportion increased by about 50 percentage points compared to last week, while the 10Y decreased by about 24 percentage points [1][12]. - **Debt - Resolution - Related Local Bonds**: No special refinancing bonds were issued this week. In 2025, 33 regions have disclosed plans to issue a total of 2001.9 billion yuan in special bonds to replace hidden debts, with Jiangsu, Hunan, Guizhou, and Henan having 251.1 billion, 128.8 billion, 127.1 billion, and 115.1 billion yuan respectively. As of the end of this week, the disclosed and issued scales of special special - purpose bonds in 2025 are 1206 billion and 1202.9 billion yuan respectively [2][15][20]. - **Issuance Spread**: The weighted average issuance spread of local bonds this week was 18.9bp, narrowing compared to last week. The 10Y local bond had the highest weighted average issuance spread at 21.9bp, and the spreads of 7Y and 10Y local bonds both narrowed. Only Anhui issued local bonds this week [1][25]. - **Raised Funds Allocation**: As of the end of this week, the main allocation directions of newly - added special - purpose bond funds in 2025 are cold - chain logistics, municipal and industrial park infrastructure construction (29%), transportation infrastructure (18%), land reserve (14%), affordable housing projects (12%), and social undertakings (12%). The proportion of land reserve allocation increased by 14.2% compared to 2024, while that of cold - chain logistics, municipal and industrial park infrastructure construction decreased by 7.5% [2][26]. - **Issuance Plan**: As of the end of this week, 35 regions have disclosed their local bond issuance plans for the fourth quarter of 2025, with a total planned issuance scale of 896.6 billion yuan, of which 544.8 billion yuan is for October. The planned issuance amounts of new bonds and refinancing bonds in the fourth quarter are 556.7 billion and 339.8 billion yuan respectively. Next week, local bonds are planned to be issued at 32.3 billion yuan, with a repayment amount of 52.1 billion yuan and a net repayment of 19.8 billion yuan, a 4.8 - billion - yuan increase from the previous week [3][30][34]. 3.2 Secondary Market Situation - **Secondary Spread**: This week, the secondary spreads of 5Y and 10Y local bonds were relatively high, reaching 17.5bp and 17bp respectively. The secondary spreads of 30Y, 3Y, 20Y, and 15Y local bonds narrowed, while those of other maturities widened. In terms of historical quantiles in the past three years, the secondary spreads of 5Y and 7Y local bonds were at relatively high levels, reaching 76% and 74% respectively. Regionally, the secondary spreads of 5Y - 15Y local bonds in each region were relatively high, all greater than or close to 15bp, and the 15Y - 20Y local bonds in medium - level regions also had relatively high secondary spreads [4][5]. - **Trading Volume**: Due to the holiday, the trading volume and turnover rate of local bonds decreased compared to last week. The trading volume of local bonds this week was 91.3 billion yuan, with a turnover rate of 0.17%. Guangdong had a large trading volume of 12.7 billion yuan, and Ningxia had the highest turnover rate at 2.2% [5].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the chemical industry, suggesting to focus on phosphate mining and self-controlled new materials [5][6]. Core Insights - The chemical sector experienced a 4.62% increase in the second week of October, outperforming the Shanghai A-share index by 2.82 percentage points [2][12]. - Key stocks that led the gains include Chengxing Co. (+26.15%), Hebang Bio (+17.8%), and Shida Shenghua (+16.28%) [2][12]. - The report highlights the significant price increases in hydrogen peroxide (+5.53%) and isopropanol (+4.5%) among other chemicals [4][18]. - It recommends paying attention to companies with phosphate resources and those involved in the production of critical materials like photoresists [5]. Industry Performance - In the second week of October, 29 out of 32 sub-industries in the chemical sector saw price increases, with phosphate chemicals and phosphates leading at +8.71% [3][15]. - The dynamic PE ratio for the chemical sector is reported at 26.40 times, significantly above the average PE of 17.05 since 2015 [2][12]. Price and Spread Trends - The top five products with the highest weekly price increases include liquid chlorine (+58.91%) and hydrogen peroxide (+5.53%) [4][18]. - The report also notes significant changes in price spreads, with the melamine spread increasing by +522.86% [39][41]. Inventory Changes - Notable inventory increases were observed in methanol (+21.97%) and ethylene glycol (+19.55%) [5][64].

Investment Rating - The industry maintains a "Recommended" rating, indicating a positive outlook for the industry fundamentals and expectations for the industry index to outperform the benchmark index [6]. Core Insights - The average daily signed area for second-hand houses is higher than the same period in 2020, while both new and second-hand house signed areas show significant year-on-year declines [1][18]. - The report highlights that the net rental yield and mortgage rate spread is a key observation point for total demand stabilization in both new and second-hand housing markets [4]. - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on reasonable valuation ranges for investment, suggesting that the adjusted price-to-book (PB) ratio for the sector is approximately 1.2 times, while the top five real estate companies have an average adjusted PB of about 0.7 times [4]. Summary by Sections New Housing Market - The year-on-year decline in new housing signed area has expanded, with the current levels being lower than the past four years [8][10]. - The signed area for new houses in sample cities shows a significant year-on-year decrease of 40% [3]. Second-Hand Housing Market - The year-on-year signed area for second-hand houses has turned negative, with a decline of 49% compared to the previous year [3][13]. - The average viewing numbers for second-hand houses in 12 sample cities have decreased by 3.3% month-on-month, indicating a contraction in market activity [4][42]. Land Acquisition - The cumulative land transaction area from January to September 2025 shows a year-on-year decline of 9%, while the average transaction price has increased by 17% [21]. - The report notes a decrease in the proportion of properties with rising listing prices, indicating a tightening market [4][50]. Inventory and Market Dynamics - The report indicates that the unsold inventory and the turnover cycle for unsold properties have increased compared to July, suggesting a growing backlog in the market [31][34]. - The liquidity outlook suggests a tightening in macro-level liquidity, which may impact market conditions moving forward [48].

Investment Rating - The report provides a strong buy recommendation for several companies in the HVDC and power equipment sector, including Kehua Data, Kstar, Sungrow, and others [3][8]. Core Insights - The report highlights the transition from traditional UPS systems to HVDC as a key trend for powering large data centers, driven by increasing ICT equipment power density and the limitations of existing UPS technology [1][9]. - It emphasizes the opportunity for Chinese companies to participate in the HVDC supply chain, particularly as overseas firms seek collaboration and outsourcing due to the rapid evolution of technology [1][43]. Industry Overview - The industry consists of 303 listed companies with a total market capitalization of 7,321.6 billion [4]. - The absolute performance of the power equipment and new energy sector has shown significant growth, with a 12-month increase of 45.3% [6]. Key Companies and Financial Metrics - Kehua Data (002335.SZ): Market Cap 35.6 billion, 2025 EPS 1.18, PE 58.3, Investment Rating: Strong Buy [3]. - Kstar (002518.SZ): Market Cap 24.4 billion, 2025 EPS 0.99, PE 42.2, Investment Rating: Strong Buy [3]. - Sungrow (300274.SZ): Market Cap 303.8 billion, 2025 EPS 6.59, PE 22.2, Investment Rating: Strong Buy [3]. - Other notable companies include Megmeet, Shenghong, and Hewei Electric, all receiving strong buy ratings [3][8]. HVDC Technology Adoption - The report discusses the shift towards HVDC systems as a more efficient alternative to UPS, particularly for large-scale data centers, highlighting the advantages of reduced energy conversion losses and lower copper usage [31][34]. - It notes that the efficiency of HVDC systems can be 2-3% higher than traditional UPS systems, with significant reductions in copper requirements [31][34]. Opportunities for Chinese Companies - The report identifies potential opportunities for Chinese firms to engage in OEM and direct supply for HVDC systems, as established overseas companies look to leverage local expertise and manufacturing capabilities [1][54]. - Companies like Kehua Data, Megmeet, and Kstar are positioned to benefit from this trend due to their existing technological capabilities and market presence [55][56]. Related Companies - The report highlights several companies involved in HVDC technology and related components, including: - Kehua Data: Leading in HVDC solutions for various data center applications [55]. - Megmeet: Established in server power supply and expanding into HVDC [56]. - Kstar: Strong background in power electronics and renewable energy solutions [57]. - Sungrow: Notable for its global leadership in power electronics and potential in HVDC [58]. - Hewei Electric: Focused on high-power electronics and emerging HVDC applications [61].