Investment Rating - The report does not provide specific investment ratings for the industry segments mentioned [2]. Core Insights - The overall strategy for the industry emphasizes the continuous development of New Energy and AI, with expectations for upstream and downstream sectors to resonate positively due to supply-side reforms [3][4]. - The new cycle for the mid and downstream sectors of the electric vehicle industry has begun, benefiting leading companies like CATL and Hunan Youneng [4]. - Solid-state batteries are highlighted as a major theme in lithium batteries, with companies like Funeng Technology and Xiamen Tungsten benefiting from accelerated adoption by automakers [4]. - The solar and storage industry is expected to gradually confirm a mid-term bottom, with supply-side reforms and the establishment of long-term mechanisms being crucial [5]. - The integration of AI with new energy and wind power industries is noted, with companies like Zhejiang Rongtai and Keda Li benefiting from the deployment of humanoid robots [6]. Summary by Sections New Energy and AI - Continuous efforts in New Energy and AI are expected to drive growth, with increased attention on AI applications in battery data and AI glasses [3][9]. - The launch of the world's first Tesla restaurant featuring humanoid robots marks a significant step in the integration of AI in everyday applications [9]. Electric Vehicle Industry - The recent government meeting emphasized the need to regulate competition in the electric vehicle industry, which may benefit leading companies [4]. - Hunan Youneng plans to invest in a lithium battery cathode material project in Malaysia, indicating a strong commitment to expanding production capacity [4]. Solid-State Battery Development - SAIC Motor is set to launch a model equipped with a semi-solid-state battery, marking a significant advancement in battery technology [4]. - Funeng Technology is expected to complete a pilot line for solid-state batteries by the end of the year, with plans to scale production significantly by 2026 [4]. Solar and Storage Industry - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology is pushing for capacity monitoring and industry self-discipline, which is expected to benefit companies like Longi and GCL-Poly [5]. - The establishment of a long-term mechanism for solar and storage demand is anticipated to gradually improve market conditions [5]. AI Integration - The deployment of humanoid robots in various sectors, including the food service industry, is gaining traction, with companies like Youbixuan leading the way [6][9]. - The upcoming release of AI smart glasses by Alibaba and Huawei is expected to catalyze market interest in AI applications [9].

Investment Rating - The overall industry investment rating is "Positive" [48] Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes the impact of anti-involution policies on capacity regulation, which is beneficial for the livestock industry [6][22] - The agricultural sector has shown strong performance, with the agricultural index rising by 3.61% compared to the broader market indices [27] - The report highlights the long-term investment value of companies in the livestock sector, as their valuations are at historical lows [23] Summary by Relevant Sections Livestock Industry - **Swine**: The national average price for live pigs is 14.12 CNY/kg, down 0.15 CNY from last week. The average price for 15 kg piglets is 33.86 CNY/kg, down 0.17 CNY [6][22] - **Poultry**: The average price for white feather broilers is 3.35 CNY/lb, up 0.15 CNY from last week. The average price for white chickens is 13.7 CNY/kg, up 0.3 CNY [9][22] - **Yellow Chickens**: The average price for yellow chickens is 9.79 CNY/kg, down 0.88 CNY from last month. The industry is experiencing a rise in production capacity [10][25] - **Animal Health**: The animal health industry is recovering from a low point, with significant performance improvements noted in major companies [11][25] Planting Industry - **Seed Industry**: Policies are continuously improving, and the commercialization of genetically modified technology is accelerating, which is expected to boost sales and prices for quality seed companies [12][26] - **Planting**: Grain prices are experiencing short-term adjustments, with corn averaging 2441 CNY/ton, down 10 CNY from last week, while wheat is at 2442 CNY/ton, up 1 CNY [13][26] Recommended Companies - **Buy Ratings**: - Zhongchong Co., Ltd. [4] - Muyuan Foods [4] - Suqian Agricultural Development [4]

Investment Rating - The report recommends a "Buy" rating for multiple companies in the pharmaceutical sector, including Junshi Biosciences, Hualan Biological Engineering-B, and others [3]. Core Insights - The pharmaceutical sector has shown a 1.90% increase this week, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.21 percentage points. Sub-sectors such as pharmaceutical outsourcing, vaccines, and medical consumables performed well, while innovative drugs lagged behind [6][42]. - The report emphasizes the potential of the 4-1BB target in cancer treatment, particularly the PD-L1/4-1BB bispecific antibodies, which may address the limitations of PD-1/PD-L1 monotherapy [5][16][17]. Summary by Sections Industry Viewpoints and Investment Recommendations - 4-1BB is recognized as a promising target for tumor therapy, enhancing T cell activation and survival, which is crucial for effective immune responses against cancer [16]. - Investment strategies focus on the innovative drug sector, driven by increased liquidity and risk appetite, with a recommendation to pay attention to companies with strong pipelines in bispecific antibodies and ADCs [6][38]. Pharmaceutical Industry Market Performance - The pharmaceutical sector's overall P/E ratio is reported at 30.67 times, with a premium of 40.37% compared to the overall A-share market excluding financials [42]. Company Dynamics - Notable company developments include: - LIZHU Group's successful Phase III trial for a monoclonal antibody for psoriasis [43]. - Baiyang Pharmaceutical's planned share reduction by its major shareholder [43]. - Mylab's new medical device approval, enhancing market competitiveness [44]. Industry Dynamics - The report highlights the increasing focus on innovative drug development and the potential for significant market opportunities in the context of upcoming patent expirations for key small molecule drugs [38].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating The provided content does not mention the industry investment rating. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - This week, the public offering REITs market fluctuated and declined, but the trading volume increased. The indexes of property - type and franchise - type public offering REITs both decreased, with only the park infrastructure - type REITs showing a slight increase and the municipal facilities - type having the highest decline. - As of July 25, 2025, a total of 73 public offering REITs have been issued, with a total issuance scale of 191 billion yuan. 14 new public offering REITs have been issued in 2025, and 4 were newly issued in July 2025, with a total scale of 12.5 billion yuan. Additionally, 26 public offering REITs funds are waiting to be listed. - The market is expected to continue to expand, and its activity is expected to further increase. In the context of an asset shortage, public offering REITs have the advantages of high dividends and medium - low risks, with a relatively high cost - performance ratio for allocation [2][4][35]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Secondary Market: This Week, the Public Offering REITs Market Fluctuated and Declined - Index Performance: As of July 25, 2025, the China Securities REITs Index decreased by 1.79% to 860.11 compared with last week, and the China Securities REITs Total Return Index decreased by 1.56% to 1087.36. The indexes of property - type and franchise - type public offering REITs decreased by 1.48% and 2.23% respectively. Among property - type public offering REITs, only park infrastructure - type REITs increased by 3.72%, while others declined, with the municipal facilities - type, water conservancy facilities - type, and other types having different degrees of decline [9][14]. - Trading Volume and Turnover: The total trading volume of the REITs market this week was 741 million shares, a 31.85% increase from last week, and the trading amount was 3.348 billion yuan, a 35.11% increase. The turnover rate of the REITs market this week was 3.62%, compared with 2.77% last week. The trading amounts and turnover rates of most types of public offering REITs increased [10]. - Individual Product Performance: Among the 69 public offering REITs (excluding the 1 newly listed this week), 9 rose and 59 fell. The top gainers included Boshi Jinkai Science and Industry Park REIT, China Merchants Science and Technology Incubator REIT, etc., while the top losers included CITIC Construction Investment Mingyang Smart New Energy REIT, ICBC Inner Mongolia Energy Clean Energy REIT, etc [22]. 3.2 Primary Market: 26 Public Offering REITs Funds are Waiting to be Listed - Issuance Situation: As of July 25, 2025, a total of 73 public offering REITs have been issued, with a total issuance scale of 191 billion yuan. In 2024, 29 REITs were issued, with a total scale of 64.6 billion yuan. In 2025, 14 public offering REITs have been issued, and 4 were newly issued in July 2025, with a total scale of 12.5 billion yuan [27]. - Upcoming Listings: There are 26 public offering REITs funds waiting to be listed, including 15 for initial offerings and 11 for expansion and fundraising. In terms of project status, 10 have passed, 11 have been feedbacked, 4 have been questioned, and 1 has been declared [29]. 3.3 Public Offering REITs Policies and Market Dynamics - Dividend: E Fund Shenzhen Expressway REIT made its first dividend in 2025, with a distribution of 1.937 yuan per 10 shares. The available distribution amount of this public offering REITs was 58.1293 million yuan, and the proposed distribution amount was 58.11 million yuan, accounting for 99.97% of the available distribution amount as of March 31, 2025 [33]. - New Listing: On July 22, the first follow - on issuance infrastructure - type REITs in Inner Mongolia was successfully launched, with a scale of 2.992 billion yuan [34]. 3.4 Investment Suggestions - Market Trend: This week, the REITs index fluctuated and declined, and the trading amount of the public offering REITs market increased. The indexes of property - type and franchise - type public offering REITs decreased, with only park infrastructure - type REITs showing a slight increase and municipal facilities - type having the highest decline. - Market Outlook: This Friday, the first infrastructure REIT project of Shounong Food Group, the CICGAM Shounong Industrial Park REIT, was listed. 14 public offering REITs have been established this year, with a total scale of over 25 billion yuan. Additionally, 26 REITs funds are waiting to be listed, and the market is expected to continue to expand, with its activity expected to further increase. - Investment Value: In the context of an asset shortage, public offering REITs have the advantages of high dividends and medium - low risks, with a relatively high cost - performance ratio for allocation [4][35][36].

Quantitative Models and Construction Methods 1. Model Name: Industry Crowding Monitoring Model - **Model Construction Idea**: This model is designed to monitor the crowding levels of Shenwan First-Level Industry Indices on a daily basis, identifying industries with high or low crowding levels[4] - **Model Construction Process**: The model calculates the crowding levels of various industries based on specific metrics (not detailed in the report) and ranks them accordingly. For the previous trading day, industries such as steel, building materials, and non-ferrous metals had high crowding levels, while media, home appliances, and automobiles had lower levels[4] - **Model Evaluation**: The model provides a useful tool for identifying industry crowding trends and potential investment opportunities or risks[4] 2. Model Name: Premium Rate Z-Score Model - **Model Construction Idea**: This model identifies potential arbitrage opportunities in ETF products by calculating the Z-score of premium rates over a rolling window[5] - **Model Construction Process**: The Z-score is calculated as follows: $ Z = \frac{(P - \mu)}{\sigma} $ where: - $ P $ represents the premium rate of the ETF - $ \mu $ is the mean premium rate over the rolling window - $ \sigma $ is the standard deviation of the premium rate over the rolling window The model flags ETFs with significant deviations from their historical premium rates, indicating potential arbitrage opportunities[5] - **Model Evaluation**: The model is effective in identifying ETFs with potential mispricing but requires caution due to the risk of price corrections[5] --- Backtesting Results of Models 1. Industry Crowding Monitoring Model - No specific numerical backtesting results were provided for this model[4] 2. Premium Rate Z-Score Model - No specific numerical backtesting results were provided for this model[5] --- Quantitative Factors and Construction Methods No specific quantitative factors were detailed in the report. --- Backtesting Results of Factors No specific quantitative factor backtesting results were provided in the report.

Investment Rating - The report suggests a positive investment outlook for the aluminum industry, highlighting the potential for high prices due to stable demand and controlled supply [4][8]. Core Insights - Aluminum is the most abundant metal on Earth, with Guinea holding the largest bauxite reserves at approximately 7.4 billion tons, accounting for 25.52% of global reserves [4][21]. - The global electrolytic aluminum production is projected to reach 72 million tons in 2024, with China maintaining a dominant position at 43 million tons, representing 60% of the total [4][67]. - The report emphasizes the growth potential of the green aluminum industry, particularly in regions like Yunnan, which benefits from abundant hydropower resources [5][70]. Summary by Sections Global Bauxite Resource Status - Bauxite is primarily found in Guinea, Australia, and other countries, with China having a relatively low reserve of 2.34% [21]. - In 2024, global bauxite production is expected to be 45 million tons, with Guinea contributing 13 million tons, or 28.89% [27]. Global Bauxite Production - The top three producers of bauxite in 2024 are Guinea (13 million tons), Australia (10 million tons), and China (9.3 million tons) [27][28]. - China imports significant amounts of bauxite from Guinea and Australia, with imports of 110.58 million tons and 39.89 million tons, respectively [27]. Global Alumina Production - The global alumina production is projected to be 142 million tons in 2024, with China producing 84 million tons, accounting for 60% of the total [37]. - China's alumina capacity is expanding rapidly, with a year-on-year growth of 6.86% [37]. Global Electrolytic Aluminum Production - The report indicates that the global electrolytic aluminum production will reach 72 million tons in 2024, with China leading at 43 million tons [67]. - The demand for electrolytic aluminum is expected to grow due to the increasing use in renewable energy sectors [89]. Yunnan's Clean Energy Advantage - Yunnan province has a significant advantage in clean energy, with hydropower accounting for 71.22% of its total electricity generation in 2024 [70]. - The province is positioned to support high-energy-consuming industries like electrolytic aluminum production [70]. Investment Opportunities - The report identifies Yunnan's green aluminum industry as having substantial growth opportunities due to its resource advantages and the EU's carbon tax policy [5][8]. - Companies like Yun Aluminum are highlighted as leaders in the green aluminum sector, with a comprehensive production capacity and a focus on sustainable practices [79].

Investment Rating - The overall investment rating for the food and beverage industry is positive, with expectations of returns exceeding the CSI 300 index by more than 5% in the next six months [23]. Core Insights - The food and beverage sector has shown signs of stabilization and recovery, with soft drinks, liquor, and dairy products leading in growth. The sector index increased by 0.97%, ranking 14th among 31 sub-industries [4][13]. - The liquor segment is experiencing a rebound, with the SW liquor index rising by 0.88%. The sector is in a bottoming phase, with a focus on the upcoming demand during the Mid-Autumn Festival and National Day [5][17]. - The beverage market is seeing mixed short-term performances due to external events, but there is a long-term positive outlook for companies with upward momentum [6][18]. Summary by Sections Liquor Sector - The liquor sector is recommended for investment, with specific companies like Guizhou Moutai, Luzhou Laojiao, Shanxi Fenjiu, and Jianshiyuan receiving "Buy" ratings. The sector is currently at a historical low valuation, suggesting a potential recovery [3][5][21]. - The price of Moutai (bottle) is reported at 1890 RMB, showing a slight increase, while the price of Wuliangye remains stable at 870 RMB [5][17]. Beverage Sector - The beverage sector is experiencing fluctuations due to public sentiment affecting certain brands. Companies like Nongfu Spring and China Resources Beverage have shown resilience, with Nongfu Spring's market share recovering significantly [6][20]. - Recommendations include Youyou Foods, Dongpeng Beverage, and Dashi Co., with a focus on companies that can capitalize on market share recovery [6][18][21]. Food Sector - The food sector has seen some companies facing challenges due to external events, but there are still opportunities for growth in the long term. The focus remains on companies with strong mid-year performance [6][18].

Group 1: Financial Data Overview - In June, China's social financing scale increased by 41,993 billion RMB, exceeding the expected 37,051 billion RMB and the previous value of 22,870 billion RMB[6] - New RMB loans in June amounted to 22,400 billion RMB, surpassing the expected 18,447 billion RMB and the previous value of 6,200 billion RMB[6] - M2 growth in June was 8.3%, higher than the expected 8.1% and the previous value of 7.9%[4] Group 2: Credit and Financing Trends - New credit in June was 22,400 billion RMB, with a year-on-year increase of 1,100 billion RMB, although still below seasonal averages[11] - Short-term loans contributed significantly to the increase, with a year-on-year rise of 1,334 billion RMB[16] - Government bond financing in June reached 13,508 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 5,032 billion RMB, supporting overall social financing[35] Group 3: M1 and M2 Analysis - M1 increased by 4.6% year-on-year, a significant rise of 2.3 percentage points from the previous month[37] - Total deposits in June increased by 32,100 billion RMB, with a year-on-year increase of 7,500 billion RMB[37] - Resident deposits rose by 3,300 billion RMB year-on-year, while non-financial corporate deposits increased by 7,773 billion RMB[37]

Investment Rating - The industry is rated positively, with expectations of overall returns exceeding the CSI 300 Index by more than 5% in the next six months [27]. Core Insights - The Central Urban Work Conference was held for the first time in ten years, emphasizing the transition of urbanization from rapid growth to stable development, with a focus on improving existing urban quality [8][11]. - Urban renewal has been highlighted as a key focus, with the government stressing the importance of high-quality urban development and the implementation of supportive policies [13][14]. - The report indicates a shift towards a new model of real estate development, with a steady push for the renovation of urban villages and dilapidated housing [18][19]. - The development of modern urban clusters and metropolitan areas is prioritized, with counties identified as crucial for urbanization efforts [25]. Summary by Sections 1. Central Urban Work Conference - The conference reviewed the achievements of urban development in China and set the overall requirements and key tasks for future urban work [7][8]. - It was noted that the urbanization rate increased from 57.3% in 2015 to 67% in 2024, with a total urban population of 944 million [8]. 2. Importance of Urban Renewal - The conference emphasized urban renewal as a core strategy, with a focus on creating vibrant and innovative cities [14]. - A comprehensive policy document was released, outlining eight main tasks to support urban renewal, including the renovation of old neighborhoods and enhancing urban infrastructure [13][14]. 3. New Model of Real Estate Development - The report discusses the ongoing efforts to establish a new real estate development model, which includes the gradual promotion of urban village and dilapidated housing renovations [18][19]. - Recent meetings have reiterated the need for policies that support both rental and purchase housing systems [18]. 4. Development of Modern Urban Clusters - The report highlights the importance of developing modern urban clusters and metropolitan areas, with a specific focus on counties as key components of urbanization [25]. - The conference outlined seven key tasks, with the first being the optimization of the modern urban system to enhance the capacity for population and economic development [25].

Group 1: Macro Economic Overview - The report indicates that the 10-year government bond futures index is fluctuating around the half-year line, consistent with previous assessments, suggesting that the weak adjustment in the stock market and the sluggish fundamentals will support high-level fluctuations in the bond market until the stock market strengthens again [4][16]. - Positive developments in US-China trade negotiations, such as the lifting of restrictions on Nvidia chips and partial easing of rare earth exports, combined with expectations of inflation stabilizing due to anti-involution policies, suggest a trend where stocks rise and bonds fall [4][16]. Group 2: Stock Market Analysis - The A-share market has seen trading volumes return above 1.5 trillion, with various sectors like banking, AI, innovative pharmaceuticals, and military industry experiencing significant rallies, reflecting a "hundred schools of thought" phenomenon [5][20]. - The report maintains that the upward trend in the index is not over, with expectations that it will surpass the high point from October 8 of the previous year, and identifies 3420 points as a strong short-term support level for the index [5][20]. - Key observation points for potential trend reversals include oil price peaks, sustained trading volume, and the stability of the RMB exchange rate [5][20][21]. Group 3: Sector Performance - The report highlights three main sectors for investment: anti-involution policies leading to recovery in sectors like photovoltaics, live pigs, and glass; significant turning points in industries such as solid-state batteries and innovative pharmaceuticals; and high-dividend sectors, particularly coal, which benefits from anti-involution policies [21][22]. - The report notes that the military industry stocks are performing well, with companies like AVIC Shenfei reaching historical highs, and the innovative pharmaceutical sector seeing a nearly 3% increase [21][22]. Group 4: Foreign Exchange Market - The onshore RMB against the USD was reported at 7.1806, showing an increase of 15 basis points from the previous day, with the offshore RMB breaking its downward trend [6][31]. - The report anticipates that the RMB will perform better than most non-USD currencies due to favorable trade negotiation outcomes compared to Europe and Japan [6][31]. Group 5: Commodity Market Insights - The Wenhua Commodity Index has completed a bottom breakout, with a recommendation to adopt a buy-on-dips strategy, particularly in anti-involution related sectors [7][35]. - The report warns investors to be cautious of strong commodities like polysilicon due to potential short squeeze risks, while suggesting that geopolitical uncertainties may lead to continued volatility in oil and related products [7][35].