Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for Horizon Robotics (09660.HK) [4] Core Views - Horizon Robotics is a leading supplier of advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) and high-level autonomous driving solutions, benefiting from the expansion of the smart driving solutions market driven by the trend of driving equality [4][5] - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 3.644 billion, 5.618 billion, and 8.190 billion CNY for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 52.9%, 54.2%, and 45.8% [4][18] - The current stock price of 7.48 HKD corresponds to price-to-sales ratios of 25, 16, and 11 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4] Financial Summary and Valuation Indicators - Revenue (CNY million): 2023A: 1,552; 2024A: 2,384; 2025E: 3,644; 2026E: 5,618; 2027E: 8,190 [8] - Year-on-Year Growth (%): 2023A: 71.3; 2024A: 53.6; 2025E: 52.9; 2026E: 54.2; 2027E: 45.8 [8] - Net Profit (CNY million): 2023A: -6,739; 2024A: 2,347; 2025E: -1,634; 2026E: -945; 2027E: 75 [8] - Gross Margin (%): 2023A: 70.5; 2024A: 77.3; 2025E: 75.1; 2026E: 71.5; 2027E: 69.1 [8] - Net Margin (%): 2023A: -434.3; 2024A: 98.4; 2025E: -44.8; 2026E: -16.8; 2027E: 0.9 [8] - Return on Equity (ROE) (%): 2023A: -27.3; 2024A: 19.7; 2025E: -15.9; 2026E: -10.1; 2027E: 0.8 [8] - Earnings Per Share (EPS): 2023A: -2.5; 2024A: 0.2; 2025E: -0.1; 2026E: -0.1; 2027E: 0.0 [8] Market Position and Competitive Landscape - Horizon Robotics holds a dominant position in the Chinese OEM advanced driver assistance solutions market with a market share of 35.9% as of H1 2024 [5][6] - The company is accelerating its growth in the high-level autonomous driving market and aims to increase its market share with the launch of the HSD solution in 2025 [5][6] - The global and Chinese smart driving solutions market is projected to reach 1,017.2 billion and 407 billion CNY by 2030, with a CAGR of 49.2% and 49.4% respectively from 2023 to 2030 [5][6] Product and Technology Overview - The company offers a comprehensive range of products including hardware, algorithms, and solutions, with a focus on soft-hard integration [4][28] - The latest series of chips, the Journey 6 series, provides significant computational power, with the J6P chip offering 560 TOPS [6][28] - Horizon Robotics has developed a full-stack algorithm capability that meets the development requirements for both advanced driver assistance and high-level autonomous driving solutions [33][34]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Geely Automobile is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The report expresses an optimistic outlook for Geely Automobile's performance in Q1 2025, driven by the launch of several key models, which supports a positive sales and operational performance forecast for the entire year [2] - The company's brand structure is considered reasonable and clear, with expectations for continued revenue and net profit growth as the "Smart Geely 2025" strategy is gradually implemented [7] - The report anticipates Geely's net profit for 2025-2027 to be 16.3 billion RMB, 18.2 billion RMB, and 23.7 billion RMB respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.62 RMB, 1.81 RMB, and 2.35 RMB [7] Financial Summary - In Q1 2025, Geely's sales reached 704,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 48%, with revenue of 72.5 billion RMB, up 25% year-on-year, and a net profit of 5.67 billion RMB, reflecting a 264% increase year-on-year [7] - The company plans to launch 10 new energy models in 2025, with a sales target of 2.71 million units, including 1.5 million units from new energy vehicles [7] - The financial projections indicate a significant increase in revenue from 240.2 billion RMB in 2024 to 321.8 billion RMB in 2025, representing a growth rate of 34% [9]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's overall performance in FY25Q4 showed a revenue of 236.5 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7%, slightly below Bloomberg's expectations. Adjusted EBITDA and adjusted net profit reached 41.8 billion yuan (up 36%, margin of 18%) and 29.8 billion yuan (up 22%, margin of 13%), respectively, both exceeding Bloomberg's expectations by 1.3% and 1.6% [4][5] - The Taobao Group's revenue was 101.4 billion yuan (up 9%), exceeding Bloomberg's expectations by 3.6%, with adjusted EBITA of 41.7 billion yuan (up 8%). The international digital commerce group's revenue was 33.6 billion yuan (up 22%), below expectations by 4.0%, with adjusted EBITA of -3.6 billion yuan (up 12.5%) [5] - The cloud intelligence group's revenue was 30.1 billion yuan (up 18%), slightly above Bloomberg's expectations by 0.8%, with adjusted EBITA of 2.4 billion yuan (up 69%) [6] Summary by Sections Overall Performance - In FY25Q4, the company reported a revenue of 236.5 billion yuan, with adjusted EBITDA of 41.8 billion yuan and adjusted net profit of 29.8 billion yuan, both showing significant year-on-year growth [4][5] Segment Performance - Taobao Group: Revenue of 101.4 billion yuan (up 9%), adjusted EBITA of 41.7 billion yuan (up 8%) [5] - International Digital Commerce Group: Revenue of 33.6 billion yuan (up 22%), adjusted EBITA of -3.6 billion yuan [5] - Local Life Group: Revenue of 16.1 billion yuan (up 10%), adjusted EBITA of -2.3 billion yuan [5] - Cainiao Group: Revenue of 21.6 billion yuan (down 12%), adjusted EBITA of -0.6 billion yuan [5] - Cloud Intelligence Group: Revenue of 30.1 billion yuan (up 18%), adjusted EBITA of 2.4 billion yuan [6] - Entertainment Group: Revenue of 5.6 billion yuan (up 12%), adjusted EBITA of 0.04 billion yuan [5] Cloud Business Growth - The cloud business showed accelerated growth with a revenue of 30.1 billion yuan (up 18%), surpassing Bloomberg's expectations. The AI business has seen continuous triple-digit growth for seven consecutive quarters [6] Future Projections - Revenue projections for FY2026-2028 are 1,086.7 billion yuan, 1,200.6 billion yuan, and 1,315.7 billion yuan, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 9.1%, 10.5%, and 9.6% respectively. Non-GAAP net profit is expected to be 169.3 billion yuan, 186.0 billion yuan, and 192.5 billion yuan for the same period [6][10]

Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [9]. Core Views - The company is expected to benefit from a recovery in profitability as raw milk supply and demand approach balance, leading to a slowdown in price competition. The ongoing product upgrades, particularly in high-end segments like fresh milk and cheese, are anticipated to positively contribute to overall profitability [3][9]. Company Overview - The company is a leading player in the domestic dairy industry, backed by COFCO Group, and is diversifying its product categories. In 2024, the revenue breakdown is projected to be 82.40% from liquid milk, 5.84% from ice cream, 3.74% from milk powder, 4.87% from cheese, and 3.15% from other dairy products [6][14]. - The liquid milk segment remains the core business, with stable growth, while ice cream and cheese segments are expected to see further revenue increases, with cheese showing a year-on-year growth of 0.45 percentage points [6][26]. Industry Analysis - The raw milk supply and demand are expected to rebalance, with a potential price turning point on the horizon. Since 2018, milk production has increased for six consecutive years, but recent demand pressures have led to a 24.53% decline in average raw milk prices from late 2021 to July 2023. The stabilization of milk prices is anticipated to improve the profitability of dairy companies [7][9]. - The trend towards high-quality and health-oriented products is expected to drive long-term demand growth in the dairy sector. Innovations in product offerings, such as low-temperature short-shelf-life milk and sugar-free yogurt, align with the health-conscious consumer trend [7]. Business Strategy - The company is enhancing its upstream milk source through investments in farms and strategic partnerships. It currently collaborates with over a thousand farms, ensuring that 100% of its fresh milk comes from large-scale, intensive farms [8]. - The company is also focusing on digital transformation to improve operational efficiency and expand its distribution channels, particularly in rural areas [8][30]. Financial Performance - The company’s revenue is projected to reach 886.75 million in 2024, with a year-on-year decline of 10.09%, while the net profit is expected to be 1.05 billion, down 97.83% year-on-year. The revenue drop is attributed to weak industry demand, but ongoing product innovation and channel expansion are expected to enhance market presence [23][26].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of HKD 18.77 per share, based on a current price of HKD 13.2 [7]. Core Views - The company is expected to achieve stable growth in its insulin and animal health businesses, supported by a strong pipeline of innovative drugs, particularly in the weight loss sector with UBT251 showing promising clinical results [2][4][6][7]. - The overall revenue forecast for the company from 2025 to 2027 is projected at HKD 145.24 billion, HKD 139.87 billion, and HKD 145.80 billion, with a net profit of HKD 29.07 billion, HKD 25.57 billion, and HKD 27.62 billion respectively [6][7]. Summary by Sections 1. Antibiotics - The company has established itself as a leader in the penicillin industry with a market share of approximately 50% in both penicillin industrial salt and 6-APA [5]. - The antibiotic business is expected to maintain stability due to the overall industry outlook and the company's integrated supply chain advantages [5][7]. 2. Weight Loss: UBT251 - UBT251 has been licensed to Novo Nordisk, with an upfront payment of USD 200 million and potential milestone payments of up to USD 1.8 billion, along with tiered royalties based on net sales [2]. - Clinical trial results for UBT251 show a weight reduction of 15.1% from baseline after 12 weeks, surpassing the performance of similar products [2]. 3. Insulin - The company has successfully bid for all six procurement groups in the national insulin procurement process, with all products selected classified as A-level [3]. - The stable procurement policy is expected to support the growth of the insulin business [3]. 4. Animal Health - The company anticipates launching 19 animal health products starting in 2025, with over 10 products expected to be approved annually from 2026 to 2028 [4]. - The expansion into the pet market is expected to drive accelerated growth in the animal health segment [4]. 5. Financial Forecast and Valuation - The company is valued using a comparable company valuation method, with a target market capitalization of HKD 341.02 billion [6][7]. - The main business is assigned a PE ratio of 6x for 2025, while the innovative drug segment is assigned a PE ratio of 20x [7].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a potential upside in the stock price [6][7]. Core Insights - The company reported significant growth in Q1 2025, with revenue reaching 72.495 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 24.5%, and a net profit of 5.67 billion RMB, up 264% year-on-year, exceeding expectations [7][9]. - The company is accelerating its electric vehicle transformation, with a notable increase in sales of its new energy vehicle brands, which accounted for 48.2% of total sales in Q1, up 18 percentage points year-on-year [9]. - The company is pursuing a strategic integration of its automotive business, including a proposed privatization of its brand Zeekr, which is expected to enhance operational efficiency and reduce costs [9]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company operates in the automotive industry, with a current H-share price of 19.24 HKD and a market capitalization of approximately 135.241 billion RMB [2]. Recent Performance - In Q1 2025, the company sold 703,800 vehicles, a 48% increase year-on-year, with new energy vehicle sales rising by 135% [9]. - The overall gross margin for Q1 was 15.8%, reflecting a slight improvement [9]. Financial Projections - Expected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected to be 13.2 billion RMB, 17.6 billion RMB, and 21.8 billion RMB, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 44%, 30%, and 24% [7][9]. - The earnings per share (EPS) for the same years are forecasted to be 1.35 RMB, 1.75 RMB, and 2.2 RMB, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 13, 10, and 8 [7][9].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a potential upside in the stock price [6][7]. Core Insights - The company reported significant growth in Q1 2025, with revenue reaching 72.495 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 24.5%, and a net profit of 5.67 billion RMB, up 264% year-on-year, exceeding expectations [7][9]. - The company is accelerating its electric vehicle transformation, with a notable increase in sales of its new energy vehicle brands, which accounted for 48.2% of total sales in Q1, up 18 percentage points year-on-year [9]. - The company is pursuing a strategic integration of its automotive business, including a plan to privatize its brand Zeekr, which is expected to enhance operational efficiency and reduce costs [9]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company operates in the automotive industry, with a current H-share price of 19.24 HKD and a market capitalization of approximately 135.241 billion RMB [2]. Recent Performance - In Q1 2025, the company sold 703,800 vehicles, a 48% increase year-on-year, with new energy vehicle sales rising by 135% [9]. - The overall gross margin for Q1 was 15.8%, reflecting a slight improvement [9]. Financial Projections - Expected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected to be 13.2 billion RMB, 17.6 billion RMB, and 21.8 billion RMB, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 44%, 30%, and 24% [7][9]. - The earnings per share (EPS) for the same years are forecasted at 1.35 RMB, 1.75 RMB, and 2.2 RMB, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 13, 10, and 8 [7][9]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is focusing on integrating its automotive operations to improve quality and efficiency, with an anticipated overall benefit exceeding 5% post-integration [9].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Tencent Holdings [4][43] Core Insights - The company achieved revenue of 1800.2 billion RMB in Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 12.9%, exceeding Bloomberg consensus estimates of 1756.0 billion RMB [2][14] - Non-IFRS net profit reached 613.3 billion RMB, up 22.0% year-on-year, also surpassing Bloomberg consensus of 596.8 billion RMB [2][14] - AI is significantly contributing to the gaming and advertising sectors, enhancing product differentiation and user engagement [3][24] Revenue and Profitability - Total revenue is projected to grow from 609,015 million RMB in 2023 to 854,621 million RMB in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 9.18% [4] - Non-IFRS net profit is expected to increase from 157,688 million RMB in 2023 to 298,384 million RMB in 2027, reflecting a strong growth trajectory [4] - The company’s overall gross margin improved to 56% in Q1 2025, driven by growth in high-margin revenue sources such as domestic games and advertising [33][36] Business Segments Performance - The gaming segment reported revenue of 595 billion RMB in Q1 2025, a 23.7% increase year-on-year, with strong performance in both domestic and international markets [20][21] - Social network revenue rose to 326 billion RMB, up 6.9% year-on-year, supported by growth in mobile game virtual goods and paid memberships [22] - Advertising revenue reached 319 billion RMB, a 20.4% increase year-on-year, benefiting from enhanced user engagement and AI-driven optimizations [24] - Financial technology and enterprise services revenue was 549 billion RMB, a 5.0% increase year-on-year, although slightly below expectations [28] Future Outlook - The report forecasts adjusted net profits of 2441 billion RMB, 2693 billion RMB, and 2984 billion RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 18, 16, and 14 times [4][43] - The company is expected to maintain strong business barriers and continue to grow its ecosystem, including video accounts, mini-programs, and fintech services [4][43]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [6]. Core Views - The company reported Q1 2025 operational data, showing low single-digit growth in overall channel revenue, a decline in direct sales, low single-digit growth in wholesale channels, and low double-digit growth in e-commerce channels, with retail performance meeting expectations [2][4]. - Retail operations are stable, with monthly trends showing that January's retail performance exceeded expectations due to pre-Spring Festival effects, while March's performance is expected to be slightly below expectations due to weather fluctuations [7]. - The company anticipates a healthy inventory turnover ratio of approximately 5, with slight improvements in discount levels, although April is expected to see a decline in offline revenue and deeper year-on-year discounts [7]. - The company is focusing on balancing expenses and growth, particularly in light of Olympic-related marketing efforts, while facing short-term revenue growth challenges and significant expense burdens [7]. - Long-term strategies include channel renovations and brand strengthening efforts to seek growth amidst intensified competition, with expectations for net profit to reach 2.43 billion, 2.58 billion, and 2.80 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, reflecting year-on-year changes of -19%, +6%, and +8% respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 15, 14, and 13 [7][9]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The current stock price is HKD 15.28 as of May 16, 2025 [6]. Financial Forecast - Total revenue projections for the company are 28.68 billion, 28.82 billion, 29.46 billion, and 30.12 billion yuan for 2024, 2025E, 2026E, and 2027E respectively, with growth rates of 4%, 1%, 2%, and 2% [9]. - The expected earnings per share (EPS) are 1.17, 0.94, 1.00, and 1.08 yuan for the same years, with P/E ratios of 13.01, 15.00, 14.12, and 13.02 [9].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating with a target price of 660 HKD, indicating a potential upside of 28.4% from the last closing price [5][44]. Core Insights - The company reported Q1 2025 revenue of 180 billion RMB, exceeding market expectations, driven by AI capabilities enhancing various business segments [2][8]. - Non-GAAP operating profit reached 69.3 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 18%, while the core business's Non-GAAP net profit was 61.3 billion RMB, up 22% year-on-year [2][8]. - Significant growth in R&D investment, which rose by 21% to 18.91 billion RMB, and capital expenditure increased by 91% to 27.48 billion RMB, focusing on computing infrastructure and large model development [2][12]. Summary by Sections Revenue Performance - Q1 2025 revenue was 1800 billion RMB, a 13% year-on-year increase and a 4% quarter-on-quarter increase [2][8]. - Value-added services revenue reached 920 billion RMB, growing 17% year-on-year, with social network revenue at 330 billion RMB, up 7% [3][8]. Gaming Sector - Domestic gaming revenue was 340 billion RMB, a 24% year-on-year increase, driven by popular titles like "Honor of Kings" and "Peacekeeper Elite" [3][9]. - International gaming revenue was 167 billion RMB, up 23% year-on-year, with stable performance from long-term products [3][9]. Marketing Services - Marketing services revenue reached 319 billion RMB, a 20% year-on-year increase, primarily due to the expansion of new traffic scenarios and the release of advertising inventory [4][10]. - The integration of AI in advertising has improved efficiency and effectiveness, although the current growth still relies heavily on ecosystem and operational capabilities [4][30]. Financial Technology and Enterprise Services - Financial technology and enterprise services revenue was 550 billion RMB, a 5% year-on-year increase, supported by a recovery in wealth management and payment services [4][11]. - The introduction of large models in financial services has enhanced service intelligence and user engagement [4][11]. Profitability and Margins - The gross margin for Q1 2025 was 56%, a 20% year-on-year increase, driven by high-margin revenue growth in domestic gaming and marketing services [12]. - The value-added services gross margin was 60%, up 22% year-on-year, reflecting the contribution from high-margin domestic games [12]. Shareholder Returns - The company plans to distribute 41 billion HKD in dividends and repurchase at least 80 billion HKD, maintaining a strong balance between business growth and shareholder returns [13].