资讯日报：美以联手空袭伊朗，国际油价应声飙涨 股票市场概览 港股市场表现 日本主要指数一年表现 JING YI, CFA, CPA SFC CE No.: BRQ314 +852 2899 6747 jessiejing@guosen.com.cn 注：以上数据均来官方披露、公司资料，国信证券（香港）研究部整理，请务必阅读正文之后的信息披露及其项下所有内容。 富时新加坡海峡指数一年表现 数据日期：2026 年 2 月 27 日 资料来源：万得，国信证券（香港）财富研 究部整理 美股市场表现 2026 年 3 月 2 日 资讯日报 海外市场主要股市上日表现 | 指数 | 收盘价 | 日常跌 | 周常失 | 年初至今 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | (%) | (%) | 湖铁 | | | | | | (%) | | 恒生指数 | 26.631 | 0.95 | 0.82 | 3.90 | | 恒生科技 | 5.138 | 0.56 | (1.41) | (6.86) | | 恒生国企 | 8.859 | 0.51 | (1.12) | (0.61) | | 上证指 ...

Core Viewpoint - The metal market is currently in a state of tight supply-demand balance, with macroeconomic factors being the key drivers of metal price trends, including monetary policy, macro expectations, geopolitical dynamics, and supply disruptions [1][12]. Precious Metals - Geopolitical disturbances, particularly the US-Iran conflict, have led to a steady increase in precious metal prices, supported by ongoing central bank gold purchases. As of the end of January, China's gold reserves reached 74.19 million ounces, an increase of 40,000 ounces from the previous month, marking 15 consecutive months of reserve expansion [2][13]. - Specific price movements include SHFE gold rising by 3.29% to 1,147.90 CNY per gram, COMEX gold increasing by 4.24% to 5,296.40 USD per ounce, and London gold rising by 3.27% to 5,278.26 USD per ounce. Silver prices also saw significant increases, with SHFE silver up 16.34% to 23,019 CNY per kilogram [2][13]. - Recommended stocks in the precious metals sector include Zhongjin Gold, Chifeng Jilong Gold, Shandong Gold, and Zhaojin Mining [3][14]. Base Metals - The copper sector is characterized by a strong supply-demand dynamic, with prices supported by strategic stockpiling and rigid supply. Recent data shows SHFE copper prices increased by 3.53% to 103,920 CNY per ton, while LME copper rose by 2.93% to 13,343.5 USD per ton [4][15]. - In contrast, the aluminum sector faces a "macro positive, inventory pressure" scenario, with SHFE aluminum prices rising by 2.76% to 23,835 CNY per ton, but facing seasonal supply pressures and increasing inventories [5][16]. - Recommended stocks for copper include Jincheng Resources and Luoyang Molybdenum, while for aluminum, recommended stocks include Yun Aluminum and Tianshan Aluminum [4][5][15][16]. Energy Metals - The energy metals sector is experiencing strong demand and declining inventories, with lithium carbonate continuing to deplete. Recommended stocks include Ganfeng Lithium and Tianqi Lithium [7][19]. - The cobalt sector is facing tight raw material supplies, with companies extending their operations into downstream electric new energy sectors to enhance competitive advantages. Recommended stocks include Huayou Cobalt [7][19]. Rare Earth and Strategic Metals - The rare earth sector has seen price increases post-holiday, with prices for praseodymium-neodymium oxide and dysprosium oxide rising significantly. The report highlights the investment value of rare earths as strategic resources [8][20]. - The tungsten sector is benefiting from supply constraints and strategic pricing models, with recommended stocks including Xiamen Tungsten [8][20]. - The uranium sector has seen long-term price increases due to supply rigidity and nuclear power development, with recommended stocks including China Uranium [9][21].

环球市场动态 伊 朗 局 势 的 潜 在 走 向 股 票 周五 A 股涨跌不一，有色金属、电 力领涨；港股集体上升，顺周期板 块推动市场上行；欧洲股市窄幅震 荡，市场谨慎观望伊朗局势发展； 美股大跌，科技公司大规模裁员加 剧 AI 焦虑，PPI 数据超预期和信贷 担忧拖累金融股重挫。 外 汇 / 商 品 市场忧虑伊朗石油供应有可能中 断，上周五纽约期油结束 5 天跌势。 霍尔木兹海峡及附近水域有运油轮 遇袭，周一亚洲時段布油曾升至 80 美元之上。美伊紧张局势升级，触 发资金流入金市避险。 固 定 收 益 美国债市二月表现创一年来最佳， 美债在动荡环境下成为首选避风 港。周六美以联合打击伊朗，进一 步抬升避险情绪。信用债普遍承压， 利差走宽。 产品及投资方案部 注：bp/bps=基点；pt/pts=百分点 中信证券财富管理 (香港) 免责声明请参考封底 2026 年 3 月 2 日 ▪ 当地时间 2 月 28 日，伊朗局势进入了军事冲突爆发阶段。截至北京时间 3 月 1 日 10:00，伊朗局势仍在快速 变化，我们预计难以一次性按最终情景推测并演绎，更可能跟随重要信号持续波动，我们认为美军军事调动、 伊朗政局 ...

股票研究 /[Table_Date] 2026.03.01 避险与通胀，金属迎全面重估 [Table_Industry] 有色金属 | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 李鹏飞(分析师) | 010-83939783 | lipengfei2@gtht.com | S0880519080003 | | 魏雨迪(分析师) | 021-38674763 | weiyudi@gtht.com | S0880520010002 | | 刘小华(分析师) | 021-38038434 | liuxiaohua@gtht.com | S0880523120003 | | 王宏玉(分析师) | 021-38038343 | wanghongyu@gtht.com | S0880523060005 | | 梁琳(分析师) | 021-23185845 | lianglin@gtht.com | S0880525070014 | | 李阳(分析师) | 021-23185618 | liyang7@gtht.com | S08805 ...

地缘政治冲突驱动贵金属和稀有金属价格上涨，避险情绪利好贵金属， 战争消耗品逻辑下，稀土和钨等小金属因海外短缺和国内主导而受益， 尤其关注锑、锗、镓等军用相关品种。 空天作战对重稀土需求旺盛，镝、铽、钇等元素尤为稀缺，中国掌握高 纯工艺，出口管制导致海外氧化钇价格暴涨至国内 80 多倍，加剧美国 战斗机"难产"和日本氧化锆产业链停产风险。 重稀土海外报价仍有显著上行空间，国内价格相对稳定，应关注具备 "深加工顺价"能力的氧化锆瓷块产业链，如爱迪特与国瓷材料，美伊 冲突强化军工消耗预期，可能加剧氧化钇、氧化铽等品种的稀缺性。 轻稀土供需格局因政策变化而显著改变，基本面强劲，上半年供给收缩 确定，氧化钕价格预计仍有较大上涨空间，市场对稀土全产业链的主导 地位与战略属性再认识提升了估值容忍度。 陆地战中钨作为穿甲弹核心材料受益，中国掌控全球 85%的钨供给，国 内矿山品位下滑，制造业刀具需求复苏，钨精矿价格有望突破 120 万元 /吨，关注中钨高新、厦门钨业等。 Q&A 在美伊冲突背景下，资源品板块的核心投资机会如何把握，主要逻辑链条是什 么？ 无论美伊冲突持续时间长短及最终收尾方式，对资源品板块整体均构成"戴维 斯 ...

Summary of Conference Call Records Industry and Company Overview - **Industry**: AI Applications, Robotics, Rare Earth Permanent Magnets - **Companies Mentioned**: DeepSeek, 华如科技 (HuaRu Technology), 展鹏科技 (ZhanPeng Technology), 金力永磁 (JinLi YongCi), 赤峰黄金 (ChiFeng Gold), 厦门钨业 (Xiamen Tungsten), 中油工程 (China Oil Engineering) Key Points and Arguments AI Applications - **DeepSeek** is set to release its latest large model V4, which supports image, video, and text generation, marking a significant update since the R1 inference model launched in January 2025. This aims to meet the market demand for low-cost, open-source models in China [2] - **Financial Insights**: With the increasing penetration of AI applications, major manufacturers are looking to leverage high-frequency consumption scenarios during the Spring Festival to transition AI technology from chat tools to life assistants, accelerating the commercialization of AI applications [2] Robotics and Military Intelligence - **华如科技** has launched a new generation of XSim military intelligence systems, upgrading traditional simulation systems to AI military intelligence platforms [3] - **展鹏科技**'s subsidiary, 领为军融, focuses on providing tactical simulation training and equipment maintenance solutions for aviation troops, utilizing AI algorithms for high realism and intelligent decision-making [3] Rare Earth Permanent Magnets - The **HEIS** standard system for humanoid robots and embodied intelligence was released, predicting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 55% for rare earth permanent magnets in the robotics sector from 2025 to 2030 [4] - **金力永磁** has established a division for humanoid robot motor rotors, with small batch deliveries expected in the first half of 2025 [5] - **赤峰黄金** and **厦门钨业** are collaborating on rare earth resource development in Laos, with significant estimated resources from the "Laos Chuan Kuo Province Mengkang Rare Earth Mine" project [5] Market Trends - The market saw a reduction in trading volume by 504 billion compared to the previous trading day, with an increase in stocks with over 1 billion in trading volume [10] - The **robotics** and **rare earth** sectors are highlighted as strong performers, driven by rising prices and tight supply-demand dynamics, alongside the AI industry chain's upstream material needs [10] Company News - **中油工程** reported a new contract amount of 10.989 billion yuan in January, a year-on-year increase of 9.15%, indicating strong performance in the energy engineering sector [17] - **江丰电子** projected a net profit of 481 million yuan for 2025, a 20.15% increase year-on-year, reflecting robust growth [17] Investment Opportunities - Analysts recommend focusing on leading internet companies' progress in AI commercialization and related investment opportunities as the market evolves [2] - The rare earth permanent magnet industry is expected to see sustained profitability improvements due to expanding global supply-demand gaps starting in 2026 [4] Additional Important Content - The **HEIS** standard system is the first of its kind in China, covering the entire lifecycle of humanoid robots, indicating a move towards standardized development in the industry [4] - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring the commercialization progress of AI applications and the potential investment opportunities arising from this trend [2]

证券研究报告 2026 年 03 月 01 日 湘财证券研究所 行业研究 稀土磁材行业周报 本周行业市场表现强势，产业链价格整体强势 相关研究： | 《本周行业大幅反弹，产业链价格维持涨》 | | | --- | --- | | 20260215 | | | 《本周行业大幅回调，产业链价格保持坚 | | | 挺》 | 20260208 | 行业评级：增持（维持） 近十二个月行业表现 % 1 个月 3 个月 12 个月 相对收益 17 35 100 绝对收益 17 39 119 注：相对收益与沪深 300 相比 分析师：王攀 证书编号：S0500520120001 Tel：(8621) 50293524 Email：wangpan2@xcsc.com 地址：上海市浦东新区银城路88号 中国人寿金融中心10楼湘财证券研 究所 核心要点： ❑ 市场行情：本周稀土磁材行业大涨 12.72%，跑赢基准 11.64pct 据 Wind 数据，本周1稀土磁材行业大幅上涨 12.72%，跑赢基准（沪深 300） 11.64pct。行业估值（市盈率 TTM）提升 10.52x 至 96.91x，当前处于 96.4%2 历史分位 ...

本周行情综述 铜：本周 LME 铜价+1.99%到 13259.0 美元/吨，沪铜+3.53%到 10.39 万元/吨。供应端，据 SMM，进口铜精矿加工费周 度指数升至-50.43 美元/吨；截至本周四，全国主流地区铜库存环比周二增加 4.56%，总库存同比去年同期增加 15.56 万吨。冶炼端，节后国内废产阳极板企业陆续复工但产量尚未恢复，本周 SMM 废产阳极板企业开工率为 7.45%，预计 下周随企业陆续正常生产，开工率恢复至 54.09%。消费端，据 SMM，铜线缆企业开工率 27.72%，环比增加 12.52 个百 分点。节后正月初八起，多数线缆企业已陆续复工，但受终端复苏滞后影响，尚未完全进入满产状态，生产以执行节 前在手订单为主。元宵节后终端行业将逐步复工，订单释放节奏有望加快，预期下周铜线缆开工率环比增加 30.64 个 百分点至 58.36%，同比去年复工第二周增加 1.25 个百分点；本周漆包线行业已全面复工，但终端消费复苏偏缓，企 业普遍反馈需求恢复至正常水平需待元宵节后，符合往年节奏。 铝：本周 LME 铝价+1.16%到 3141.5 美元/吨，沪铝+2.76%到 2.38 万元/ ...

证券研究报告|行业研究周报 [Table_Date] 2026 年 3 月 1 日 节后多数金属价格继续回暖，后续仍看好关键 金属全面行情 [Table_Title2] 有色-能源金属行业周报 [Table_Summary] 报告摘要： ►印尼供应扰动提升市场供给偏紧预期，对镍矿价格或 有支撑 截止到 2 月 27 日，LME 镍现货结算价报收 17685 美元/ 吨，较 2 月 20 日上涨 3.09%，LME 镍总库存为 287976 吨， 较 2 月 20 日增加 0.09%；沪镍报收 14.15 万元/吨，较 2 月 13 日价格上涨 1.05%，沪镍库存为 60,791 吨，较 2 月 13 日增加 0.03%；截止到 2 月 27 日，硫酸镍报收 33 万元/吨，较 2 月 13 日价格上涨 0.30%。根据 SMM，政策端，市场正密切关注印 尼 ESDM 于 2026 年 2 月 10 日发布 2026 年镍矿 RKAB 配 额，司长 Tri Winarno 确认本年度获批产量仅为 2.6 亿至 2.7 亿 吨。这一紧缩趋势在重点项目中尤为显著：据 Eramet 官方消 息，WBN 收到的最初配 ...

公司是高性能稀土永磁材料的领先供应商，业务多基地布局公司是集研发、生产和销售高性能钕铁硼永 磁材料、磁组件及稀土永磁材料回收综合利用于一体的高新技术企业，是新能源和节能环保领域高性能 稀土永磁材料的领先供应商。公司主要产品为钕磁铁磁钢产品，被广泛应用于新能源汽车及汽车零部 件、节能变频空调、风力发电、3C、机器人及工业伺服电机、节能电梯、轨道交通等领域。公司自成 立以来陆续布局赣州、包头、宁波生产基地，且公司产品结构逐步向非风电领域拓展。2026 年2 月公司 完成集团架构调整，形成母公司控股、多生产基地集团。 2025 年以来公司营收稳定增长，业绩实现大幅修复，盈利能力明显改善 2023-2024 年公司面临稀土磁材价格下行周期及底部徘徊期，尽管产能持续释放下销量增长抵消了价格 下行对营收的影响，但受行业竞争加剧、阶段性汇兑收益减少、研发费用持续增加及阶段性高库存订单 滞后等因素影响，业绩连续两年出现持续下滑。据Wind 数据，2025 年前三季度公司产能利用充足叠加 稀土磁材价格回升，营收稳步增长，业绩大幅回升。同期实现营收53.73 亿元，同比增长7.16%，其中 主营业务收入48.99 亿元，同比增长 ...