2025.06. 26 本文字数：2261，阅读时长大约4分钟 作者 | 第一财经 祝嫣然 备受市场关注的"国补"资金，有了新进展。 国家发改委政策研究室副主任李超26日在发布会上表示，将在7月下达今年第三批消费品以旧换新资 金。 李超表示，将更加注重"时序性"和"均衡性"的原则，分领域制定落实到每月、每周的"国补"资金使用 计划，保障消费品以旧换新政策全年有序实施。 面对外部环境的不确定性增加，下半年稳增长政策仍需加力，消费品以旧换新等扩内需政策措施有望 继续优化升级。李超强调，当前外部环境的复杂性、严峻性、不确定性有所增加，全球经贸稳定增长 面临挑战，这些都会影响经济平稳运行。随着存量政策加快落地见效，新的储备政策陆续出台实施， 我们有信心、有能力把外部冲击的不确定性和不利影响降到最低，推动经济持续健康发展。 确保"两新"全年有序实施 今年以来，各地持续加力扩围"两新"政策，有力推动消费潜力加速释放。 从最新经济数据来看，5月份社会消费品零售总额同比增长6.4%，增速是2024年以来最高水平，消 费成为拉动经济增长的重要引擎。其中，消费品以旧换新政策发挥了重要作用。 李超介绍，消费品以旧换新方面，超长期特 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese government is intensifying policies to boost domestic consumption, particularly through the "old-for-new" program for consumer goods, in response to increasing external uncertainties and economic challenges [2][5]. Group 1: Policy Implementation - The National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) plans to issue the third batch of "old-for-new" funds in July, emphasizing a more timely and balanced approach to fund allocation [2][4]. - The total support for the "old-for-new" program includes 300 billion yuan from special long-term bonds, with 162 billion yuan already distributed in the first two batches [3][4]. - The program has significantly contributed to the retail sector, with a reported 6.4% year-on-year growth in social retail sales in May, marking the highest growth rate in 2024 [3]. Group 2: Economic Impact - The "old-for-new" policy has led to a surge in sales of related products, exceeding 1.4 trillion yuan this year, with notable growth in the county-level markets [3][7]. - From May 1 to June 21, county-level home appliance sales increased by 47%, and "old-for-new" sales rose by 54%, indicating a new peak in sales [3]. - The focus on upgrading consumption patterns is evident, with sales of high-end appliances increasing by 73% in the first five months of the year [3][7]. Group 3: Future Outlook - The government aims to further enhance the effectiveness of the "old-for-new" policy by expanding the categories of supported products and improving the quality of goods [7][8]. - There is a strong emphasis on collaboration between fiscal, monetary, and industrial policies to ensure timely fund allocation and stimulate consumer spending [8]. - The focus will also be on supporting low-income groups and promoting service-oriented consumption, particularly in sectors like education and healthcare [7][8].

Economic Overview - The overall economic operation is stable, with a focus on maintaining progress while seeking stability amid a complex external environment [2] - In May, the industrial added value increased by 5.8% year-on-year, and the service production index grew by 6.2%, reflecting a slight improvement from the previous month [2] - Social retail sales in May rose by 6.4%, marking the highest growth rate in 2024, while fixed asset investment showed steady growth, with manufacturing investment up by 8.5% [2] Policy Implementation - The "Two New" policies are being actively implemented, with significant funding allocated for equipment updates and consumer goods replacement programs [3] - A total of 200 billion yuan has been allocated for long-term special government bond support for equipment updates, with the first batch of approximately 173 billion yuan already distributed across 7,500 projects [3] - The sales of goods related to the old-for-new consumer program exceeded 1.4 trillion yuan this year, indicating the effectiveness of the policy [3] Employment and Investment - The government has initiated a new action plan to promote employment and income for key groups through labor-intensive projects, with 16.5 billion yuan allocated for 3,900 projects expected to create jobs for 380,000 people [4] - The proportion of labor remuneration in central project funding has been increased from over 30% to 40%, enhancing support for local employment [4][5] Energy Supply - The national power supply and demand balance is generally secure, with an expected increase of about 10 million kilowatts in peak electricity load this summer [6] - The government is taking measures to enhance energy supply capabilities and has coordinated efforts to ensure stable production and supply of coal and natural gas [6]

Economic Outlook - The National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) emphasizes confidence and capability in promoting sustained and healthy domestic economic development despite complex external challenges [2] - The NDRC has implemented proactive macro policies to stabilize employment and promote high-quality development, resulting in overall stable economic operation [2] Employment Support Initiatives - The NDRC has launched the "Action Plan" to enhance employment and income for key groups through the "work-for-relief" policy, with a focus on increasing support for vulnerable populations [2][3] - A total of 16 billion yuan has been allocated for "work-for-relief" projects, expected to create job opportunities for 380,000 individuals [3] Policy Implementation and Funding - The NDRC plans to issue the third batch of funds for the "old-for-new" consumption policy in July, with a total support of 300 billion yuan for consumer goods [4][5] - The first two batches of funding for equipment updates have already allocated approximately 173 billion yuan, supporting around 7,500 projects across 16 sectors [4] Market Impact - The "old-for-new" policy has led to significant sales growth in related products, with sales exceeding 1.4 trillion yuan this year [5] - The NDRC aims to enhance the effectiveness of the "two new" policies by improving project management and ensuring timely funding distribution [5]

Core Viewpoint - The "Two New" policy is effectively boosting investment, consumption, and transformation in China, with significant sales growth in home appliances, furniture, and communication equipment, leading to over 1.4 trillion yuan in sales from trade-in programs this year [1] Group 1: Policy Implementation and Financial Support - The National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) plans to issue the third batch of funding for consumer goods trade-in programs in July, ensuring a structured and balanced approach to fund allocation throughout the year [3][6] - A total of 300 billion yuan in long-term special government bonds will be allocated to support consumer goods trade-in initiatives, with 162 billion yuan already distributed in the first two batches [3][6] - The NDRC aims to enhance project management and financial oversight for equipment upgrades, with 200 billion yuan allocated for equipment updates this year [6] Group 2: Consumer Impact and Sales Data - As of May 31, 2025, the trade-in program has generated 1.1 trillion yuan in sales across five major categories, with approximately 175 million subsidies issued directly to consumers [5] - The program has seen significant participation, with 4.12 million applications for vehicle trade-ins and millions of purchases in home appliances and digital products [5] Group 3: Regional and Sectoral Developments - The Guangdong provincial government has confirmed that it will not prematurely end the trade-in policy, addressing concerns about temporary suspensions in certain cities due to system upgrades [5] - Recent policies from various departments emphasize financial support for key consumption areas, including trade-in programs for old vehicles and appliances, aiming to enhance consumer spending [7][8] Group 4: Economic Outlook - The 300 billion yuan in trade-in subsidies is projected to represent approximately 0.5% of the total disposable income and 0.7% of the total retail sales of consumer goods in 2024, potentially boosting retail sales growth by about 1 percentage point this year [8]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article emphasizes the implementation of the "Two New" policies by the National Development and Reform Commission to boost consumption and investment through the old-for-new consumption policy and equipment updates [1] - The third batch of funds for the old-for-new consumption policy will be allocated in July, with a focus on ensuring a balanced and timely distribution of funds across different sectors [1] - The total support for equipment updates through special long-term bonds amounts to 200 billion yuan, with the first batch of approximately 173 billion yuan already allocated to around 7,500 projects across 16 sectors [1] Group 2 - The total support for the old-for-new consumption policy is set at 300 billion yuan, with 162 billion yuan already distributed in the first two batches [1] - The sales of related products under the old-for-new policy have exceeded 1.4 trillion yuan this year, indicating a rapid growth in sales of appliances, furniture, and communication equipment [1] - The policies are designed to stabilize investment, expand consumption, promote transformation, and improve people's livelihoods, showcasing their effectiveness in the current economic environment [1]

与此同时，我们会同有关部门持续深化新能源上网电价市场化改革，促进电力资源高效配置，引导新能源行业健康有序发展。在各方共同努力下，我 国新能源消纳取得积极进展，据统计， 目前全国新能源消纳利用率维持在90%以上。 下一步，国家发展改革委将会同有关方面， 把新能源消纳作 为新型能源体系建设的重点，深入落实发电、输电、调节等各环节支持政策 ，持续推动新能源高质量发展。 文 | 中关村储能产业技术联盟 6月26日，国家发展改革委召开6月份新闻发布会，国家发展改革委政策研究室副主任李超透露，随着新能源发电装机比重的提高，对于大规模新能 源的高水平消纳，已经成为当前建设新型能源体系的关键。为提升新能源消纳能力，国家发展改革委会同有关方面采取了一系列措施，主要是抓好三 个统筹。 第一个统筹是，统筹电力外送和就近消纳。 充分发挥沙漠、戈壁、荒漠地区风力、光照等资源优势， 加快建设"沙戈荒"大型新能源基地 ，通过将 西北等地区风电、光伏发电跨省区进行外送，提升全国范围内新能源消纳能力。在远距离输送的同时，我们也注重挖掘就近就地消纳需求，积极探索 新能源和产业发展相融合的新模式。比如，近期国家发展改革委、国家能源局印发《关于有序 ...

Group 1 - The National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) is set to issue the third batch of funds for the "old-for-new" consumption policy in July, ensuring the policy is implemented smoothly throughout the year [1][2][13] - The "Two New" policy has shown significant effects, with sales of related products exceeding 1.4 trillion yuan this year, particularly in appliances, furniture, and communication equipment [2][13] - The NDRC has allocated 200 billion yuan in special bonds for equipment upgrades, with the first batch of approximately 173 billion yuan already distributed to around 7,500 projects across 16 sectors [1][13] Group 2 - The NDRC is enhancing the management of equipment upgrade projects and will introduce loan interest subsidies to reduce financing costs for businesses [2][13] - The NDRC is focusing on the timely evaluation of the progress of various sectors under the "Two New" policy to improve its effectiveness [1][2][13] Group 3 - The NDRC has reported a 5.8% year-on-year increase in industrial output and a 6.4% increase in retail sales in May, indicating stable economic performance [9] - Fixed asset investment has shown steady growth, with manufacturing investment rising by 8.5% [9] - The NDRC is actively addressing the challenges posed by external economic pressures while maintaining a focus on domestic economic stability [9]

Core Viewpoint - The National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) emphasizes the importance of the "Two New" policies in stabilizing investment, expanding consumption, promoting transformation, and benefiting people's livelihoods, with a notable increase in sales of home appliances, furniture, and communication equipment [1] Group 1 - The NDRC reported that sales of products related to the trade-in program have exceeded 1.4 trillion yuan this year [1] - The NDRC plans to enhance the management of equipment update projects and accelerate project construction while strengthening fund supervision [1] - A new policy for equipment update loan interest subsidies will be introduced to further reduce financing costs for businesses [1]

Group 1: Core Insights - Passenger car sales continue to show strong performance, driven by favorable policies, with retail sales increasing by 13.7% year-on-year in May [2] - Real estate sales are showing marginal improvement, with transaction area in 30 major cities up by 4.1% year-on-year, particularly in first-tier cities which saw a 13.5% increase [2] - Manufacturing sector shows a slight improvement in operating rates, with increased hiring intentions among companies [3] Group 2: Industry Performance - Construction demand remains weak, impacting the building materials sector, with steel prices significantly declining while cement prices have seen a slight rebound due to self-discipline production limits in some regions [3] - The logistics sector is experiencing a mixed performance, with long-distance passenger demand declining, but logistics activity improving, particularly driven by e-commerce demand during the "618" shopping festival [4] - Dry bulk shipping rates have significantly increased due to renewed geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, although domestic port throughput has decreased [1][4]