Group 1 - Several foreign institutions have raised their GDP growth forecasts for China in 2025, indicating a growing optimism towards Chinese assets [1][8][11] - Morgan Stanley, Deutsche Bank, and others have expressed bullish sentiments on Chinese stocks, with Morgan Stanley's mid-year outlook predicting increases in major indices [1][4][5] - High demand for Chinese assets is driven by a stronger RMB against the USD, improved corporate earnings outlook, and anticipated foreign capital inflows [5][6] Group 2 - Foreign institutions are focusing on two main sectors: technology and internet leaders, and high-dividend strategies to hedge against volatility [6][7] - The trend of overweighting Chinese assets has been noted, with Standard Chartered and HSBC highlighting the importance of diversifying investments in Asia [7] - Recent adjustments in GDP growth forecasts reflect a broader expectation of economic improvement, supported by policy measures and potential fiscal stimulus [8][9][11]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the machinery equipment industry is "Recommended" [2][4][48] Core Views - The machinery industry is experiencing structural opportunities driven by policy support, technological iteration, and globalization. The recent market has shown rapid rotation of hotspots, suggesting a favorable environment for left-side layout in less crowded sectors [4][48] - The operating rate of engineering machinery has decreased, while export demand continues to recover. In May 2025, the average operating rate for major engineering machinery products was 59.5%, down 5.01 percentage points year-on-year and 2.45 percentage points month-on-month [4][49] - Domestic demand is expected to recover due to a new round of concentrated replacement cycles, the gradual effects of real estate easing policies, and the catalytic effects of national large-scale replacement policies [49] Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The machinery equipment index rose by 1.18% from June 3 to June 6, 2025, ranking 18th among 31 primary industries. Sub-industries such as laser equipment (+5.08%) and engineering machinery components (+3.46%) performed well, while textile and apparel equipment (-1.77%) and engineering machinery complete machines (-1.16%) saw declines [4][48] - In April 2025, excavator sales reached 22,142 units, a year-on-year increase of 17.6%, with domestic sales of 12,547 units (+16.4%) and exports of 9,595 units (+19.3%) [40][49] Key Data - As of May 2025, the manufacturing PMI was 49.5%, with a month-on-month increase of 0.5 percentage points. The production index and new orders index showed signs of recovery, indicating improved business expectations and operational activities [18][50] - The production of industrial robots in April 2025 was 71,547 units, a year-on-year increase of 51.5%, attributed to the "old-for-new" policy and effective loan interest subsidies for equipment upgrades [29][51] Company Focus - Companies to watch include XCMG (000425.SZ), Sany Heavy Industry (600031.SH), and Zoomlion (000157.SZ) for engineering machinery, and Huazhong CNC (300161.SZ), Neway CNC (688697.SH), and Haitian Precision (601882.SH) for general equipment [4][49][50] - The report highlights the importance of focusing on high-tech segments such as reducers and servo systems, as well as system integrators benefiting from diversified downstream applications [51]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is experiencing a fluctuating upward trend, with specific sectors such as CRO, weight loss drugs, and innovative pharmaceuticals showing significant gains. The rise of self-controllable technology and the acceleration of AI commercialization are driving the technology sector's performance [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - The A-share market maintained a fluctuating upward trend, with a slight pullback in the afternoon [1] - The CRO, weight loss drugs, and innovative pharmaceuticals sectors saw the highest gains in the afternoon [1] - The 信创 ETF (562570) rose nearly 1% at the close, with top holdings including 用友网络 (600588) and 泛微网络 (603039) [1] Group 2: Industry Trends - The computer industry has entered a new AI Agent market phase, accelerating the commercialization of technology [1] - The 信创 industry chain is undergoing mergers and acquisitions, evolving towards "technology complementary integration" and "ecosystem closure construction" [1] - Current mergers and acquisitions exhibit three main characteristics: 1) Technology collaboration orientation, where companies acquire to fill technological gaps [2] 2) Policy-driven concentration, enhancing industry concentration and encouraging mergers for resource optimization [2] 3) International ecological layout, allowing companies to acquire core technologies through cross-border mergers [2] Group 3: Related ETFs - 信创 ETF (562570) is closely related to the strategic restructuring of 海光信息 and 中科曙光, which are significant components of the index [3] - 云计算50 ETF (516630) tracks an index with a high AI computing content, covering various popular computing concepts [3] - As of May 30, 中科曙光 is the sixth largest component of the 云计算50 ETF, with a weight of 4.32% [3]

国证通用航空产业指数的军工行业占比及无人机相关公司占比均较高(军工占比60%、无人机占比56%， 数据来源：Wind，截至2025/5/30)，未来有望同时受益于两个板块的景气度提升。首先是军工方面，在 全球贸易关税政策不确定性急剧上升的背景下，各国都在加强国防军事开支，中国军用装备的海外关注 度持续提升，军贸订单有望放量。第二是低空经济方面，全球首批民用无人驾驶航空器运营合格证 (OC)落地中国，从应用场景来看，短期无人机巡检、救援、植保等场景有望加速落地，中期低空文旅 观光、无人机物流打开广阔空间，长期来看有望颠覆传统交通方式、带来未来交通出行方式的重大变 革。根据中国民航局的数据预测，到2025年中国低空经济市场规模将达到1.5万亿元，到2035年有望达 到3.5万亿元，eVTOL即将进入大规模量产阶段。 署名：永赢通用航空ETF基金经理刘庭宇 全球科技领域的博弈可能会持续进行，低空经济是我国技术处于全球领先水平且可以实现全产业链国产 化的新质生产力方向，也是中美同时在推进的科技主线，后续有望受益于自主可控升级的需求。 近期军工板块再次活跃，一方面受东南亚和南亚国家计划采购中国军机及防空装备的消息提振， ...

Group 1 - The A-share market continues its upward trend, with major indices showing more gains than losses, particularly in sectors such as pharmaceuticals, agriculture, defense, and non-bank financials [1] - The recent rise in interest in self-controllable technology is reflected in the performance of the Xinchuang ETF (562570), which has increased by nearly 0.5% [1] - The 7th Beijing Zhiyuan Conference is scheduled for June 6-7, 2025, featuring Richard Sutton, the 2024 ACM Turing Award winner, discussing the transition of AI from the "human data era" to the "experience era" [1] Group 2 - Haiguang Information and Zhongke Shuguang have announced a strategic restructuring, which is highly relevant to the Zhongzheng Xinchuang Index [2] - Haiguang Information and Zhongke Shuguang are the 1st and 8th largest weighted stocks in the index, collectively accounting for over 10% of its weight [2] - The Xinchuang ETF (562570) tracks the Zhongzheng Information Technology Application Innovation Industry Index, focusing on domestic substitution and covering cutting-edge industries such as AI, data computing, industrial software, and information security [2]

Group 1 - The Indonesian government is evaluating the feasibility of purchasing Chinese-made J-10 fighter jets, indicating a renewed demand for advanced Chinese military equipment amid ongoing conflicts [1] - The military trade sector is experiencing significant activity, with the military ETF (512660) seeing over 500 million yuan in net inflows for five consecutive days, and its fund size has grown over 40% this year, currently exceeding 14.3 billion yuan [1] - Analysts from Huafu Securities predict substantial growth in the defense and aerospace sectors driven by multiple catalysts, including the "14th Five-Year Plan" and the "Centenary of the Army" goals, with the military industry index's TTM price-to-earnings ratio at 65.05, indicating high investment value [1] Group 2 - The military ETF (512660) tracks the CSI Military Industry Index (399967), which includes the top ten military-related listed companies, reflecting the overall performance of the Chinese military theme stocks [2] - The CSI Military Industry Index (H30229) aims to provide authoritative investment targets for the military sector, showcasing distinct characteristics of the national defense industry [2]

基础化工 | 证券研究报告 — 行业周报 2025 年 6 月 9 日 强于大市 化工行业周报 20250608 国际油价上涨，丙烯酸、维生素价格下跌 今年以来，行业受关税相关政策、原油价格大幅波动等因素影响较大，六月份建议关注：1、安 全监管政策、行业供给端变化等对农药及中间体行业的影响；2、上半年"抢出口"等因素带来 的部分公司业绩波动；3、自主可控日益关键背景下的电子材料公司；4、分红派息政策稳健的 能源企业等。 行业动态 投资建议 截至 6 月 8 日，SW 基础化工市盈率（TTM 剔除负值）为 22.18 倍，处在历史（2002 年至今） 的 69.94%分位数；市净率为 1.89 倍，处在历史水平的 29.26%分位数。SW 石油石化市盈率 （TTM 剔除负值）为 10.97 倍，处在历史（2002 年至今）的 17.71%分位数；市净率为 1.14 倍，处在历史水平的 20.11%分位数。今年以来，行业受关税相关政策、原油价格大幅波动 等因素影响较大，六月份建议关注：1、安全监管政策、行业供给端变化等对农药及中间体 行业的影响；2、上半年"抢出口"等因素带来的部分公司业绩波动；3、自主可控日益关 ...

金融界6月9日消息，周一港股集体高开，盘面上，大型科技股、医药股多数走高，截至11：30，港股科 技50ETF(513980)涨1.69%，成交额达5.07亿元。盘中最高涨超2%，年内至今已涨超32%！ 热门个股方面，创新药概念股活跃，金斯瑞生物科技涨超14%，三生制药涨超7%，信达生物等涨超 6%，快手-W等涨超5%，美团-W、中芯国际涨超4%，理想汽车-W涨超3%，百济神州涨超2%，阿里巴 巴-W等跟涨。 资金净流入方面来看，Wind数据统计，截至最新收盘日，港股科技50ETF(513980)近三月区间净流入额 46.87亿元，年初至今区间净流入额62.05亿元。 华泰证券指出，往前看，中美元首通话释放积极信号下关税摩擦影响或进一步减弱，出口链压力缓和下 中国增长预期或抬升，尤其是在此前并未跟随其他货币升值的情况下，人民币及人民币资产均有补涨空 间，短期市场风险偏好提振下我们依然看好港股相对全球市场的收益表现。 兴业证券表示，6月市场主线有望再度偏向科技成长。近期，已观察到成长板块已自底部"蠢蠢欲动"。 当前从拥挤度、滚动收益差、成交占比、日历效应等各项指标来看，近期科技板块的位置已自底部抬 升，整体仍处 ...

Market Performance - The three major stock indices in Shanghai and Shenzhen opened slightly higher on June 9, with the Shenzhen Component Index and the ChiNext Index experiencing upward fluctuations before a slight retreat before the midday close [1] - By midday, the Shanghai Composite Index was at 3393.26 points, up 0.23%, with a trading volume of approximately 326 billion; the Shenzhen Component Index was at 10246.65 points, up 0.62%, with a trading volume of approximately 497 billion; the ChiNext Index was at 2064.40 points, up 1.22%, with a trading volume of approximately 238 billion [1] Sector Performance - The pharmaceutical and healthcare sectors continued their strong performance, with significant increases in sub-sectors such as weight loss drugs, CRO concepts, innovative drugs, hepatitis concepts, and traditional Chinese medicine [1] - Other sectors showing notable gains included Kuaishou concepts, blind box economy, rare earth permanent magnets, batteries, lottery concepts, and diversified finance [1] - Conversely, sectors such as precious metals, highways, and banking experienced relatively minor declines [1] Economic Indicators - The National Bureau of Statistics reported a 0.1% year-on-year decline in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for May, with a month-on-month decrease of 0.2% [3] - Energy prices fell by 6.1% year-on-year, contributing approximately 0.47 percentage points to the CPI decline, marking it as the primary factor for the decrease [3] Policy Developments - Shenzhen has announced plans to expand the use of housing provident funds for home purchases, allowing eligible residents to withdraw funds for down payments on homes within the city [4]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint highlights the recent rebound in technology sectors, particularly in military, pharmaceutical, and TMT industries, with the Sci-Tech Innovation Board ETF (589630) rising nearly 1.5% [1] - The A-share merger and acquisition market has been active this year, with significant participation from Sci-Tech Innovation Board companies, especially in sectors like biomedicine, semiconductors, and new-generation information technology [1] - Data indicates that out of 86 major restructuring events in 2025, 18 involved Sci-Tech Innovation Board companies, showing a significant increase compared to the same period last year [1] Group 2 - Dongwu Securities emphasizes the importance of self-reliance in technology, focusing on sectors such as artificial intelligence, autonomous control, new energy technology, aerospace information technology, and data elements [1] - In aerospace information technology, areas like low-altitude economy, satellites, and commercial space are highlighted as key focus points [1] - The report suggests that the AI sector should concentrate on AI agents, AI applications (like standalone software and smart terminals), humanoid robots, and autonomous driving [1] Group 3 - Western Securities notes that the level of merger and acquisition activity reflects the direction of the industrial cycle, with the highest number of mergers occurring in the automotive, electronics, and machinery sectors in 2024 [2] - The report indicates that the trends in automotive intelligence, semiconductor self-control, and high-end manufacturing are accelerating technological upgrades and industry evolution [2] - It is suggested that if AI commercialization leads to performance improvements through mergers and acquisitions, it could create a mainline market trend; otherwise, it may only represent a short-term thematic opportunity [2] Group 4 - The Sci-Tech Innovation Index ETF from Guotai (code: 589630) tracks the Sci-Tech Innovation Index (code: 000680), which includes representative stocks from the Sci-Tech Innovation Board, with an average market capitalization of approximately 11 billion [2] - The index focuses on technology innovation companies, covering more early-stage innovative firms and emphasizing hard technology sectors [2] - Investors without stock accounts can consider Guotai's linked ETFs for the Sci-Tech Innovation Board Comprehensive ETF [2]