（原标题：刚刚，利好来了！国办最新印发） 来源：新华社、中国政府网 日前，国务院办公厅印发《关于完善全国统一电力市场体系的实施意见》（以下简称《意见》）。 进一步推动电力交易平台互联互通、交易信息共享互认，电力市场经营主体"一地注册、全国共享"。条 件成熟时，研究组建全国电力交易中心。 在确保安全前提下，科学安排跨省跨区优先发电规模计划，合理扩大省间自主市场化送电规模，加强多 通道集中优化。 充分发挥现货市场发现实时价格、准确反映供需的重要作用，更好引导电力资源优化配置。推动现货市 场2027年前基本实现正式运行。 落实中长期合同签约履约激励约束措施，实现电力资源长期稳定配置，提升风险应对能力。 扩大绿色电力消费规模，加快建立强制消费与自愿消费相结合的绿证消费制度。 进一步完善煤电、抽水蓄能、新型储能等调节性资源的容量电价机制，研究按统一标准对电力系统可靠 容量给予补偿。 在保障能源安全的基础上，分品种有节奏推进气电、水电、核电等电源进入电力市场。 《意见》要求，坚持以习近平新时代中国特色社会主义思想为指导，深入贯彻党的二十大和二十届历次 全会精神，完整准确全面贯彻新发展理念，按照构建全国统一大市场、深化电力 ...

焦煤焦炭产业日报 2026/2/11 免责声明 | 项目类别 | 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | JM主力合约收盘价（日，元/吨） | 1123.50 | +4.50↑ J主力合约收盘价（日，元/吨） | 1667.00 | +2.00↑ | | 期货市场 | JM期货合约持仓量（日，手） | 642057.00 | -18244.00↓ J期货合约持仓量（日，手） | 40196.00 | +956.00↑ | | | 焦煤前20名合约净持仓（日，手） | -91205.00 | +4710.00↑ 焦炭前20名合约净持仓（日，手） | -350.00 | -141.00↓ | | | JM9-5月合约价差（日，元/吨） | 80.00 | +2.50↑ J9-5月合约价差（日，元/吨） | 75.00 | +0.50↑ | | | 焦煤仓单（日，张） | 1700.00 | +1000.00↑ 焦炭仓单（日，张） | 1380.00 | 0.00 | | | 干其毛都蒙5原煤（日，元/吨） ...

Morning session notice 联系方式：0371-65617380 | 板块 | 品种 | 多（空） | 推荐理由 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 【行情复盘】 | | | | | 昨日夜盘玉米期货震荡偏强，截至夜盘收盘主力合约2605合约涨幅0.57%，收于2293 | | | | | 元/吨。 | | | | | 【重要资讯】 | | | | | 1、假期临近，现货购销清淡，部分企业停收。昨日深加工企业收购价弱稳为主。中 | | | | | 国粮油商务网监测数据显示东北地区深加工企业收购价2169元/吨，较前一日跌1元/ | | | | | 吨；华北地区企业收购均价2304元/吨，较前一日持平。 | | | | | 2、昨日南北港口价格小幅上涨。中国粮油商务网监测数据显示锦州港15%水二等玉 | | | | | 米收购价2280-2300元/吨，较前一日涨10元/吨；蛇口港玉米成交价2420元/吨，较 | | | | | 前一日涨10元/吨。 | | | 玉米 | 区间 | 3、仓单方面，大商所数据显示截至2月10日玉米期货仓单数量较前一交易日增减0 ...

2026 年 2 月 11 日 LPG：地缘扰动仍存，基本面驱动向下 丙烯：现货持稳，基差收敛 陈鑫超 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0020238 chenxinchao@gtht.com 赵书岑（联系人） 期货从业资格号：F03147780 zhaoshucen@gtht.com 【基本面跟踪】 LPG、丙烯基本面数据 | | | | 昨日收盘价 | 日涨幅 | 夜盘收盘价 夜盘涨幅 | | | | | 昨日成交 较前日变动 昨日持仓 较前日变动 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 2603 | 4,251 | 1.36% | 4,272 | 0.49% | | 2603 | 61,724 | 8,527 | 29,320 | -7,543 | | | PG | 2604 | 4,560 | 0.64% | 4,569 | 0.20% | PG | 2604 | 33,004 | 2,370 | 76,891 | 2,124 | | 期货市场 | | 2605 | 4 ...

商 品 研 究 2026 年 02 月 11 日 纸浆：震荡运行 20260211 | | | 表 1：基本面数据 | 项目 | | 项目名称 | 昨日数据 | 前日数据 | 变动幅度 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 纸浆主力 | 日盘收盘价(元/吨) | 5, 202 | 5, 200 | +2 | | | | 夜盘收盘价(元/吨) | 5, 210 | 5. 180 | +30 | | 期货市场 | | 成交量(手) | 223.862 | 185. 219 | +38. 643 | | | (05合约) | 持仓量 (手) | 307.016 | 300. 912 | +6. 104 | | | | 仓单数量(吨) | 146. 427 | 146. 447 | -20 | | | | 前20名会员净持仓(手) | -19, 970 | -21,847 | +1.877 | | 价差数据 | 基差 | 银星-期货主力 | 48 | 50 | -2 | | | | 金鱼-期货主力(非标) | -622 | -620 | -2 | | | 月差 | S ...

2026 年 02 月 11 日 橡胶：震荡偏强 20260211 | | 高琳琳 | 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0002332 | gaolinlin@gtht.com | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 【基本面跟踪】 | | | | | 表 1：基本面数据 | | | | | 项目 | | 项目名称 | 昨日数据 | 前日数据 | 变动幅度 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 期货市场 | 橡胶主力 | 日盘收盘价(元/吨) | 16. 335 | 16. 245 | +90 | | | | 夜盘收盘价(元/吨) | 16. 560 | 16. 320 | +240 | | | | 成交量(手) | 177.554 | 197, 424 | -19.870 | | | (05合约) | 持仓量 (手) | 151,944 | 150, 270 | +1,674 | | | | 仓单数量(吨) | 112.570 | 112.570 | o | | | | 前20名会员净空持仓(手) | 24. 491 | 25, 832 | -1. 3 ...

Report Industry Investment Ratings No specific investment ratings for the industry are provided in the report. Core Views - The overall market shows a mixed trend with various commodities having different outlooks, including oscillations, weakening, strengthening, and stable trends. For example, some commodities like rubber are expected to be oscillating and strengthening, while others like PVC are likely to experience weak oscillations [2][14][67]. - Geopolitical factors such as the US - Iran negotiations and the situation in the Middle East have an impact on the energy and chemical markets, causing uncertainties in prices and supply - demand dynamics [6][21]. - The demand and supply fundamentals of different commodities vary. For instance, in the PX - PTA - MEG industrial chain, the supply and demand patterns of each product are affected by factors like device maintenance, production rates, and downstream demand [12][13]. Summary by Commodity PX, PTA, MEG - **PX**: It is in a pre - holiday range - bound market with support at the bottom. The monthly spread is in a reverse arbitrage situation. In February, the supply - demand pattern of upstream products in the industrial chain gradually weakens. The PX operating rate rises, and the PXN processing fee is continuously compressed. It is recommended to short the PTA processing fee when it is above 450 [12]. - **PTA**: The downside space may be limited, and the monthly spread is bearish. Short the PTA processing fee when it is above 450. The terminal demand has mixed performance, and the polyester operating rate is expected to pick up in March. Multiple devices have announced maintenance plans [12]. - **MEG**: The inventory continues to rise, and the supply pressure is still high. Conduct reverse arbitrage operations on the basis and monthly spread. The supply has increased this week, but overseas supply is expected to decrease in March. The demand side has seen large - scale shutdowns of polyester, resulting in significant inventory accumulation pressure in February [13]. Rubber - It is expected to be oscillating and strengthening. The futures prices of rubber have increased, and the spot prices of various rubber varieties have also risen slightly. The inventory in the Qingdao area has increased, and the semi - steel tire enterprises are in different production stages [14][15]. Synthetic Rubber - It is in an oscillating state. The futures prices, trading volumes, and positions of synthetic rubber have changed. The inventory of domestic cis - polybutadiene rubber sample enterprises has decreased, and the butadiene port inventory has also declined [17][18]. LLDPE - The spot trading has stagnated, and due to capital risk - aversion, it is in an oscillating market. The raw material oil price has stabilized after a decline, the ethylene monomer segment is weak, and the downstream demand has mixed performance. Attention should be paid to the inventory accumulation during the holiday and the destocking rate after the holiday [20][21]. PP - The C3 raw materials are relatively strong, but the valuation repair is limited. The cost side has oscillations, the supply side has no new production before the 2605 contract, and the demand side has limited support. Attention should be paid to the marginal changes of PDH devices [23][24]. Caustic Soda - The cost has increased, and the valuation is being repaired. The previous logic of short - selling caustic soda profits may be challenged. The demand side has a weak pattern, and the supply side may see production cuts and load reduction after March. It is recommended to stop losses on short positions in the 03 contract before the Spring Festival and gradually build long positions in the 05 contract at low levels [28]. Pulp - It is in an oscillating state. The trading in the pulp market is light, and the downstream paper mills' purchasing activities have basically stopped. The market lacks driving factors, and attention should be paid to port inventory data and macro - market impacts [33][34]. Glass - The price of the original glass sheet is stable. As the Spring Festival approaches, the downstream procurement volume has decreased, and the float glass factory has no motivation to adjust prices. The market trading is light [40][41]. Methanol - It is in an oscillating state. The methanol spot price index has adjusted regionally. The port inventory has decreased, but the overall inventory is still at a relatively high level. The MTO fundamentals are weak, and the price is expected to be limited in both upward and downward directions [46][47]. Urea - It is oscillating with support. The support comes from the improvement in spot trading driven by pre - holiday order collection and the strong expectation of agricultural spring plowing demand after the Spring Festival. The 05 contract has a fundamental pressure level at around 1830 yuan/ton and a support level at around 1750 - 1760 yuan/ton [49][50]. Styrene - It is in a high - level oscillating state. The styrene profit is at a high level in recent years, which stimulates the return of zombie production capacity. Attention should be paid to the restart progress of some devices after the festival, and the pure benzene pattern is expected to improve after the second quarter [51][52]. Soda Ash - The spot market has little change. The domestic soda ash market is weakly stable, the enterprise devices are operating stably, the supply is at a high level, and the downstream demand has basically completed pre - holiday stocking. The price may remain weakly stable in the short term [53][54]. LPG - Geopolitical disturbances still exist, and the fundamental driving force is downward [57]. Propylene - The spot price is stable, and the basis is converging. The futures prices, trading volumes, and positions of LPG and propylene have changed, and the industrial chain operating rates have also fluctuated [58]. PVC - It is in a weakly oscillating state. The PVC spot market is stable, but the supply - demand is weak, and the export atmosphere has weakened. The industry is still accumulating inventory. The high - production and high - inventory structure is difficult to change, and the market may continue to be under pressure before the holiday [65][66]. Fuel Oil - The fuel oil is in a narrow - range oscillation, and the short - term volatility is decreasing. The low - sulfur fuel oil strengthened in the night session, and the price difference between high - sulfur and low - sulfur in the overseas spot market is still at a low level [68]. Container Freight Index (European Line) - It is in an oscillating state. The futures prices of the container freight index (European line) have declined, and the spot market freight rate is stable before the holiday. The 2604 contract has a weak supply - demand balance in March - April, and the 2610 contract has a reference pressure level. It is recommended to wait and see for now [70][78]. Short - Fiber and Bottle - Chip - Both short - fiber and bottle - chip are in a short - term oscillating state. The short - fiber futures are oscillating strongly, but the downstream is on holiday, and the trading volume is small. The bottle - chip factory has raised the quotation, but the market trading atmosphere is average [81][82]. Offset Printing Paper - It is recommended to wait and see before the holiday. The prices of offset printing paper in the Shandong and Guangdong markets are stable. The large - scale paper mills are producing stably, some small and medium - sized paper mills have shut down, and the market is on holiday [84][85]. Pure Benzene - It is in a strongly oscillating state. The futures prices of pure benzene have increased slightly, and the spot prices have decreased slightly. The port inventory has decreased slightly, and the trading volume in Shandong has been reported [88][89].

月5日，进口棉主要港口库存周环比增加4.14%，总库存51.59万吨。下游纺企陆续停机放假，暂停对原料的 数据来源第三方(wind、同花顺、棉花信息网、棉花协会网)，观点仅供参考。市场有风险，投资需谨慎！ | 项目类别 | 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 期货市场 | 郑棉主力合约收盘价(日,元/吨) | 14655 | 75 棉纱主力合约收盘价(日,元/吨) | 20440 | 80 | | | 棉花期货前20名净持仓(手) | -120128 | -3491 棉纱期货前20名净持仓(手) | -1061 | 107 | | | 主力合约持仓量:棉花(日,手) | 700272 | -432 主力合约持仓量:棉纱(日,手) | 11906 | 381 | | | 仓单数量:棉花(日,张) 中国棉花价格指数:CCIndex:3128B(日,元 | 10686 | 106 仓单数量:棉纱(日,张) | 0 | 0 | | 现货市场 | | 15988 | 21 中国纱线价格指数:纯棉普梳纱32支(日, ...

农产品团队 | 作者： | 辛旋 | | --- | --- | | 从业资格证号： | F3064981 | | 投资咨询证号： | Z0016876 | | 联系方式： | -- | | 作者： | 宋从志 | | 从业资格证号： | F03095512 | | 投资咨询证号： | Z0020712 | | 联系方式： | 18001936153 | 投资咨询业务资格：京证监许可【2012】75号 成文时间：2026年02月09日星期一 更多精彩内容请关注方正中期官方微信 期货研究院 天然橡胶日度策略报告 摘要 【行情复盘】春节长假节前一周，金属板块多头资金集中调仓，流 动性及杠杆效应引发商品系统性调整，橡胶期价在前高附近剧烈震 荡，上周海外美国1月挑战者企业裁员人数10.8万，为自2009年以 来最高的年初数据；美国12月职位空缺录得654.2万人，为2020年 9月以来新低；数据端开始显示出经济的弱势，市场的降息预期有 所回升。上海全乳胶周均价16030元/吨，周环比-60；青岛市场20 号泰标周均价1950美元/吨，周环比-6；青岛市场20号泰混周均价 15168元/吨，周环比-52/。海外产区进入 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided on the industry investment rating. 2. Core Views of the Report - For PTA, as the Spring Festival approaches, polyester production cuts increase, terminals gradually shut down, PTA supply - demand accumulates, and the spot market negotiation is light. It is expected that the pre - holiday PTA spot price will fluctuate with the cost side, and the spot basis will fluctuate in a range [5]. - For MEG, due to the unloading of some ocean - going vessels this week, the visible inventory of ethylene glycol will still maintain an upward trend at the beginning of this week, and the arrival of foreign ships will be decentralized in the second half of the month. There is a strong seasonal inventory accumulation expectation in January - February, but the medium - term supply - demand structure will moderately improve. The import volume in the second quarter is expected to be revised down, and the supply stability in Iran should be monitored. The absolute price of ethylene glycol is at a low level, with limited downside space and buying support at low levels. It is expected that the pre - holiday market will mainly consolidate in a range [8]. 3. Summary According to the Table of Contents 3.1前日回顾 (Previous Day Review) - No specific content provided for this section. 3.2每日提示 (Daily Tips) - PTA: On Friday, the negotiation for February middle - upper was at a discount of 60 - 85 yuan/ton to the 05 contract, and there was a transaction for late February at a discount of 55 yuan/ton to the 05 contract, with the price negotiation range at 5015 - 5135 yuan/ton. The mainstream spot basis today is 05 - 72. The spot is 5090 yuan/ton, the 05 contract basis is - 76, with the futures price higher than the spot price. PTA factory inventory is 3.74 days, a 0.16 - day increase compared to the previous period. The 20 - day moving average is downward, and the closing price is below the 20 - day moving average. The net long position has changed from short to long [5][6]. - MEG: On Friday, the price of ethylene glycol rebounded slightly from a low level, and the market negotiation was average. The spot market fluctuated widely. Today's spot transactions were at a discount of 115 - 120 yuan/ton to the 05 contract, and next - week's spot transactions were at a discount of 105 - 108 yuan/ton to the 05 contract. It rebounded slightly due to plant news during the session, but the increase was limited. The spot is 3630 yuan/ton, the 05 contract basis is - 113, with the futures price higher than the spot price. The total inventory in East China is 83.1 tons, a 4.83 - ton increase compared to the previous period. The 20 - day moving average is downward, and the closing price is below the 20 - day moving average. The net short position has decreased [8][9]. 3.3今日关注 (Today's Focus) - No specific content provided for this section. 3.4基本面数据 (Fundamental Data) 3.4.1 PX Supply - Demand Balance Sheet - It shows the PX supply - demand situation from September 2025 to June 2026, including production, import, demand, inventory change, domestic utilization rate, and balance with polyester [12]. 3.4.2 PTA Supply - Demand Balance Sheet - It presents the monthly balance of PTA from October 2025 to September 2026, covering total production, import, export, consumption, surplus, year - on - year changes in production and consumption, and cumulative year - on - year changes [13]. 3.4.3 Ethylene Glycol Supply - Demand Balance Sheet - It details the monthly balance of ethylene glycol from October 1, 2025, to September 1, 2026, including production, import, consumption, surplus, and various year - on - year and cumulative year - on - year changes [14]. 3.5影响因素总结 (Summary of Influencing Factors) - **Likely Positive Factors**: The 700,000 - ton plant of Gulei Petrochemical will be shut down for maintenance from early March, expected to last until around the end of April [10]. - **Likely Negative Factors**: The 1,000,000 - ton PTA plant of Nengtou resumed operation last week [11]. 3.6价格相关 (Price - Related) - It includes historical price charts of PET bottle chips (market price, production margin, operating rate, inventory), PTA (month - to - month spread, basis), MEG (month - to - month spread, basis), and spot spreads (TA - EG, p - xylene processing spread) [16][17][18][20][23][26][29][32][36][39]. 3.7库存分析 (Inventory Analysis) - It shows the historical inventory data of PTA (factory inventory), MEG (port inventory), PET chips (factory inventory), and polyester products (DTY, FDY, short - fiber inventory in Jiangsu and Zhejiang looms) [42][43][44][46]. 3.8聚酯上下游开工 (Polyester Upstream and Downstream Operating Rates) - **Upstream**: It includes the historical operating rates of PTA, p - xylene, and ethylene glycol [53][54][56]. - **Downstream**: It shows the historical capacity utilization rates of polyester and the operating rates of chemical fiber textile enterprises in Jiangsu and Zhejiang [57][58]. 3.9利润情况 (Profit Situation) - It presents the historical profit data of PTA (processing fee), MEG (production margins of different production methods), polyester fiber short - fiber, and polyester fiber long - filament (DTY, POY, FDY production margins) [59][60][61][64][65].